Despite climate edicts from the White House, even liberals polled don't think 'climate change' is a top priority

Brookings Institution survey: Public Concern over Climate Still Bottom of the List

Guest essay by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D.

Public opinion surveys are notoriously easy to manipulate. Depending on how you ask the survey question, you can get just about any results you want.

A recently publicized Washington Post – ABC News poll, timed to coincide with the recent announcement of the Obama EPA proposed power plant CO2 emissions regulations, found a majority of Americans supported CO2 restrictions on coal-fired power plants. But the way the question was asked minimized the supposed cost, and maximized the supposed benefit, of such restrictions on the American economy.

Quoting from the HuffPo article about the survey results:

“Asked whether Washington should still go forward with limits if they “significantly lowered greenhouse gases but raised your monthly energy expenses by 20 dollars a month,” 63 percent of respondents say yes, including 51 percent of Republicans, 64 percent of independents and 71 percent of Democrats.”

Hell, even *I* would probably support $20 more a month if it “significantly lowered greenhouse gases”, just to be on the safe side. But it’s NOT going to significantly lower greenhouse gases (on a global basis, which is what matters), nor is it going to cost only $20 a month.

The poll question was so poorly worded and misleading, I think the pollsters should be ashamed of themselves.

A more recent survey of American attitudes on immigration and other matters (including how the various news outlets rank for trustworthiness) was just announced yesterday by the Brookings Institution, and buried in it was the following chart that showed how Americans with different political leanings ranked various concerns.

As is usually the case, “climate” comes in dead last with all groups except self-described “liberals”:

Brookings-survey-results-issuesClearly, jobs and the deficit — basically, “the economy” — is the main concern that most Americans have. And the proposed EPA regulations will hurt far more people than they would help…especially the poor.

Generally speaking, the public has lost faith in scientists whose profession requires them to sound the alarm over global warming climate change climate disruption. Most Americans understand that forecasts of gloom and doom as predicted by “scientific experts” are not as reliable as predictions of, say, this afternoon’s weather.

In fact they have a history of almost zero reliability.

We can predict the time of sunrise in Podunk, Michigan on July 17, fifty years in advance. But not all scientific disciplines are created equally, climate prediction is still in its infancy, and fortunately the public understands that.


 

Dr. Roy Spencer writes regularly here, please add him to your bookmarked list of sites to visit.

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Related:

John Holdren’s ‘personal’ Bi-Polar Vortex video

Quote of the Week – dictators and climate change

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June 11, 2014 9:10 am

I find the location of morals far more informative than the location of climate. It would appear that the more you agree with Adam Smith, the more you consider morality to be important. It sheds light on the antics of some people in this debate.

Matt Skaggs
June 11, 2014 9:11 am

This liberal does not have climate change on the top-10 list of even environmental issues. For many folks like me, sustainability is the (unassailable) goal, which means the fossil fuel economy does need to be dismantled. But we don’t need the false urgency of climate change.

Pamela Gray
June 11, 2014 9:14 am

I wouldn’t pay $1 a month more for costs related to reducing GHG’s. Two reasons: 1) not that stupid, 2) I know people, good people, hard working people, who would have to decide to cut down on buying milk to send in an extra $20 for supposed GHG reduction.

June 11, 2014 9:17 am

“The poll question was so poorly worded and misleading, I think the pollsters should be ashamed of themselves.”
The author of this post is confused. The survey authors have a great deal of which to be proud:

“Sir Humphrey Appleby demonstrates the use of leading questions to skew an opinion survey to support or oppose National Service (Military Conscription).”
Just sayin’

Greg
June 11, 2014 9:24 am

I like the third column where Liberals rate climate above morals.
I guess Peter Glieck is not alone.

Pamela Gray
June 11, 2014 9:26 am

Ah ha! No wonder when survey folks find out its me behind the door they throw eggs while making a fast retreat!

Dave
June 11, 2014 9:26 am

Roy,
When you say Podunk, Michigan, are you referring to the metropolis of Dafter?

mpainter
June 11, 2014 9:37 am

Yes, the pollsters should be ashamed of themselves, but they aren’t- they are getting paid to do what they do. Likewise, some journalists should be ashamed of themselves, but they aren’t- they also are paid to do what they do.
I agree that climate science has become somewhat tarnished by the climate alarmism. Those responsible do not slacken their efforts, and now it is the prez who does it. What a world- a modern day witch hunt led by the Pres of the US.

Ox AO
June 11, 2014 9:39 am

Government can only lower morality it can never improve on it. China / Taiwan is a good example of that. Generally the same body of ethnicity with the primary difference is how corrupted the system of governments. The government of China for decades set up a system if you lived strictly by their laws you would starve to death by not making ends meat with the cap on income.
Citizens of China got around it by creating a huge black market. When your whole livelihood is based on criminal activity morality is based on the thug mentality.
We as consumers can visually see the results of morality on items we buy coming from both countries with Taiwanese products being of better quality.
Better quality items at similar costs should give more jobs unless there is an artificial set of rules to buy from the thug mentality as is happening with the trade we are seeing today.

Walter Allensworth
June 11, 2014 9:42 am

Perhaps the question could have been framed more correctly:
“Would you agree with CO2 limits on coal plants of the affect on global temperatures was an immeasurable 0.003 to 0.01 degrees, would increase your electric bill by 80% (Obama’s number), result in more than a hundred thousand jobs lost, and cost many tens of billions of dollars?”

LeeHarvey
June 11, 2014 9:47 am

@ Dave –
Funny, that… Dafter is almost directly due north of Hell.

Aphan
June 11, 2014 9:48 am

It’s very telling that only one group is more concerned about the climate than they are about being honest, having integrity, being truthful.

Dave
June 11, 2014 9:50 am

LeeHarvey says:
June 11, 2014 at 9:47 am
@ Dave –
Funny, that… Dafter is almost directly due north of Hell.
True, but my hometown is way closer to Paradise, which also has a certain amount of podunkness too…

June 11, 2014 10:13 am

Hell, even *I* would probably support $20 more a month if it “significantly lowered greenhouse gases”, just to be on the safe side.
Sir, you have forgotten the folk up here in Podunk land don’t have an extra 20 to throw at lowering gases. Especially gases that help the hay, oats, wheat, and corn grow.

ferdberple
June 11, 2014 10:18 am

which means the fossil fuel economy does need to be dismantled.
========
assuming the fossil fuel is created from fossilized dinosaurs.
however, if fossil fuel is in fact recycled CO2 (limestone) and water, reduced by iron and heat inside the earth to form hydrogen and carbon and rust, then fossil fuel is the ultimate sustainable technology. and it is all natural.

Editor
June 11, 2014 10:19 am

Thanks, Roy.

Zeke
June 11, 2014 10:22 am

“Asked whether Washington should still go forward with limits if they “significantly lowered greenhouse gases but raised your monthly energy expenses by 20 dollars a month,”
Academics often use hypotheticals to give the impression of inescapable conclusions in class rooms.
Or, maybe it is an example of the dialectic process.
REF: Twisting Truth through Group Consensus: “Tension, created by diversity, is essential to the dialectic process. It energizes members and — when manipulated by well-trained facilitators — produces synergy. You can’t guide people toward synthesis (compromise) unless there are opposing views — both “thesis and antithesis.” That’s why the consensus process must include all these elements:
a diverse group
dialoguing to consensus
over a social issue
led by a trained facilitator
toward a pre-planned outcome.
The true dialectic group never reaches a final consensus, for “continual change” is an ongoing process: one step today, another tomorrow. To permanently change the way we think and relate to each other, our leaders must set the stage for conflict and compromise week after week, year after year. Dialectical thinking and group consensus must become as normal as eating. Eventually, people learn to discard their old mental anchors and boundaries — all the facts and certainties that built firm convictions. They become like boats adrift, always ready to shift with the changing winds and currents.” http://www.crossroad.to/Quotes/brainwashing/dialectic.htm

herkimer
June 11, 2014 10:23 am

Roy
You said
“Generally speaking, the public has lost faith in scientists whose profession requires them to sound the alarm over global warming climate change climate disruption. Most Americans understand that forecasts of gloom and doom as predicted by “scientific experts” are not as reliable as predictions of, say, this afternoon’s weather.”
This post by a blogger named Pat on an earlier track perhaps illustrates why the public now mistrusts what climate scientists say.
1 June 2014: Washington Times: Rowan Scarborough: Pentagon wrestles with bogus climate warnings as funds shifted to green agenda
Ten years ago, the Pentagon paid for a climate study that put forth many scary scenarios.
Consultants told the military that, by now, California would be flooded by inland seas, The Hague would be unlivable, polar ice would be mostly gone in summer, and global temperatures would rise at an accelerated rate as high as 0.5 degrees a year.
None of that has happened…
The report also became gospel to climate change doomsayers, who predicted pervasive and more intense hurricanes, tornadoes, floods and droughts…Doug Randall, who co-authored the Pentagon report, said, “Even I’m surprised at how often it’s referred to…
Asked about his scenarios for the 2003-2010 period, Mr. Randall said in an interview: “The report was really looking at worst-case. And when you are looking at worst-case 10 years out, you are not trying to predict precisely what’s going to happen but instead trying to get people to understand what could happen to motivate strategic decision-making and wake people up. But whether the actual specifics came true, of course not. That never was the main intent.”…
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2014/jun/1/pentagon-wrestles-with-false-climate-predictions-a/?page=all
This Pentagon climate report speaks to the heart of false climate science alarmism that is rampant to day .These alarmist climate science reports are meant to exaggerate , scare and mislead people only and are rarely credible , but the public was never told … This survey again makes a false or unsubstantiated assumption that the US action would significantly lower greenhouse gases at a minor cost to the public when the evidence in other parts of the world is that energy costs double and tripled . In Germany and Denmark the cost of electricity has gone to 35-40cents perkwh compared to the US average .

June 11, 2014 10:45 am

Fascinating survey. But one has to ask why liberals and democrats care about the deficit? Their man is in charge and he loves it! That is the only explanation of the reason he has added so much to it!
What is really surprising however is the closeness of the conservatives and moderates. They have more in common with each other than with liberals.

June 11, 2014 10:46 am

Perhaps we should add that even the Brookings Institute does not believe that there is any merit to looking for global benefits while imposing all the costs for the Social Cost of Carbon and closing US power plants on Americans. http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/research/files/papers/2014/06/04%20determining%20proper%20scope%20climate%20change%20benefits%20gayer/04_determining_proper_scope_climate_change_benefits.pdf
Strikingly enough the metaphor used is wide open US borders or transferring societal resources to non-US citizens.

June 11, 2014 10:50 am

This is the blurb from Brookings on the paper linked above. This really is a big deal, especially since the administration once again misrepresents the nature of laws, regulations, and case law in the way of policies it seeks to implement. Par for the course in my professional experience.
President Obama’s proposed rule for limiting carbon dioxide emissions from the nation’s power plants is estimated to have a compliance cost $7.3 billion dollar while providing a climate benefit of $30 billion in 2030. But a new working paper from Ted Gayer and Kip Viscusi suggests that the EPA’s methodology for calculating the benefit represents a shift away from typical practice. A more traditional cost-benefit analysis would estimate climate benefits of only $2 billion to $7 billion – less than the estimated compliance cost of the rule.
The authors write that the assessments used to determine benefits for Obama’s rule has, like other recent EPA proposals to limit greenhouse gases, shifted to a global benefits approach. Rather than considering only the benefits to U.S. citizens, the analysis considers benefits for other countries while Americans bear the full costs.
The implications of this shift go beyond calculations of climate rules. Gayer and Viscusi write that “[I]f applied broadly to all policies, [this practice] would substantially shift the allocation of societal resources.” For example, a global perspective would likely shift immigration policy to one of entirely open borders, would shift away from transfers to low-income U.S. citizens and towards transfers to much lower-income non-U.S. citizens, and would substantially alter U.S. defense policy.

herkimer
June 11, 2014 10:55 am

I meant to add that in Germany and Denmark where green plans were implemented the cost of electricity has gone to 35-40 cents per kwh compared to the United States national average of 12.26 cents per kwh.. Some. regions in US are already paying 20 cents per kwh like the state of New York. The average rate for Europe is already 20 cents per kwh. In Ontario , Canada where significant cuts in the use of coal were made and replaced by renewables , the cost of electricity doubled and is about 14 cents per kwh( I pay 17.2 cents per kwh)..Ontario has been told that a 33%increase is coming in 3 years and various analysts are projecting the rate to double again in this decade. So an increase of only $20 a month is far from the truth when a doubling or even tripling in some regions could be a possibility.

george e. smith
June 11, 2014 11:23 am

“””””…..Matt Skaggs says:
June 11, 2014 at 9:11 am
This liberal does not have climate change on the top-10 list of even environmental issues. For many folks like me, sustainability is the (unassailable) goal, which means the fossil fuel economy does need to be dismantled. But we don’t need the false urgency of climate change……”””””
Well Matt, I’m not going to ask for details on what about your philosophy causes you to self label yourself, as “liberal”, or “a liberal”. I’m never sure what that means, other than , “liberal with other people’s money or property.”
But your use of that word “sustainability”, does immediately set off sirens, and alarm bells; particularly when YOU choose to follow it with your CURE or FIX..
I’m sure there is some old saying about burning your bridges behind you; but you evidently want to burn them up front.
One thing we DO know about the current mix of economy supporting energy options, is that exactly what we have now and have had in the past have ALREADY proved themselves to be sustainable.
Well that’s how we got here from picking figs all day long, up in the trees. We bootstrapped the entire world economy, and world human population, to its present sustained level, using available new energy sources, as we learned of them, and took advantage of them.
Without actually doing the experiment, we are pretty damn sure, that the free clean green renewable figs, would NEVER have gotten us to this 7 billion world population level. I’m quite certain that the figs could not sustain what we now have.
It was stored (renewable) chemical energy, from fossil fuels, that made it all possible, and sustained it, with minor help from various solar based, short term renewables. Edible plants, and animals, plus water power (hydro), and some others.
So we have an existence proof that we followed a sustainable path to the present state. Despite population decimating disasters (epidemics), the system was always able to recreate the growth; and we are here as proof of that.
So I believe it is entirely reasonable, that BEFORE we dismantle ANY infra-structure, we should pretest each of the proposed substitutes, for proof of self sustainability.
What better test of sustainability, is there, than to have each candidate system, simply duplicate itself; by itself, without any aid and assistance from that which we propose to dismantle.
Ergo, we should immediately cease all subsidies for purported “alternative” or “renewable” or “sustainable” replacements for what we now have.
Inability to sustain oneself, by oneself, is the litmus test of unsustainability.
So Matt, please don’t go around liberally smashing up any of the stuff of our economy, until your sustainable alternatives have proven themselves to be sustainable, without support from that which already is sustainable.
So far, turbo-wind, and PV-solar have not proven themselves to be sustainable. How many non-businesses have gone out of non-business, in “alternative renewable” energies, losing billions of dollars obtained from already sustainable sources; and often complaining, that their “competition” for the exact same non-business, was selling their product too cheaply. They are openly declaring up front that their process is not sustainable.

June 11, 2014 11:30 am

Hell, even *I* would probably support $20 more a month if it “significantly lowered greenhouse gases”, just to be on the safe side.

Warmers believe this (or any other amount you can name) is worth it despite the non-compliance of the other greenhouse gas producers, and they justify the expenditure by two philosophies: precautionary principle (“just to be on the safe side”), and the notion that the U.S. should “lead the world”.
I am well-aware that you are one of the bulwarks against the extremists, Doctor. But conceding that ANY tax to this fraudulent scare is a no-brainer. I mean “no” as in No, no, no!
There are hundreds, (perhaps thousands?) of government workers, scientists, researchers, environmentalists, teachers and professors, textbook-writers and publishers, foundation-bursars, lawyers and journalists, who claim they have a particular triangulation on the shifting middle ground in this argument, but they all have one thing in common: their livelihood depends upon an existential threat posed by global warming.
It appears that you really believe: there is an existential threat, that mankind is the cause of it, and that there really is no solution because China, India and other developing countries are inexorably polluting the world with their CO2. It must be a rough and scary (middle) road that you walk.

June 11, 2014 12:04 pm

The “bigger picture” of focusing on climate change is to appease and fire up the core extreme fringes of the democratic alliance. Since the administration is spent on any agenda that could pass through Congress in the election cycle anyway. Climate Change allows for dictatorial “executive actions” such as the EPA rules as well as international bribery and grandstanding with other deluded political cousins in the EU.
There is a huge low-information voter base as the 44% approval rating demonstrates. AGW links the media left, academic left with the aging greenshirt base such as the Sierra Club etc. in a crusade of hate against evil coal and oil interests in the narrative. Basic, traditional class war politics wrapped in green save-the-earth latex.
So while nothing is likely to get done on any front and focusing on any other topic will only highlight the historic failure of this administration, choosing climate was a shrewd tactical political choice. Losing the Senate will change the entire dynamic and the focus on climate will be seen as the Waterloo for this failed administration priorities. We are at the precipice of even greater foreign policy disasters and monetary inflationist hegemony (QE Era) must eventually fail.
The food and drinks on the Titanic were great by all accounts but that’s not what we generally remember, “Climate Policy” reflects the abstract absurdity of the state of U.S. social and political decline. No matter what media operatives attempt it can’t be spun or concealed.

Roy Spencer
June 11, 2014 12:21 pm

Dave, no, Podunk is near Ann Arbor:
http://www.weatherstreet.com/weather-forecast/Podunk-MI-48158.htm
And, for those who are upset with me for saying I would pay and extra $20 a month…that’s IF it actually significantly reduced global CO2 emissions. Which it won’t. I still suspect more CO2 is better for life on Earth…but if $20 would make the alarmists go away…
…which it won’t…

Reply to  Roy Spencer
June 12, 2014 7:31 am

@Roy Spencer – I think they call that $20 “greenmail”. 😉

June 11, 2014 12:21 pm

Everyone cares about the economy. It is good to be rich.
No-one cares about immigration. Everyone is welcome to come and be rich.
Climate is irrelevant except to “Liberals”. And they don’t rate it highly.
Interestingly the middle dog-whistle words are Morals and Healthcare. As a Brit I can’t see how the two are distinguished. Leaving people to suffer just because they are poor seems to be a moral issue, to me. But I recognise the terms mean different things to different people.
Do all Americans think “Morals” refers to the same issues?

tm willemse
June 11, 2014 12:22 pm

“global warming climate change climate disruption” Oh, dear, you are behind the times; it’s “carbon pollution” now.

latecommer2014
June 11, 2014 12:30 pm

Sustainability is a ridiculous notion when the economy is thrown into the abyss . It only is viable when it can fully replace the fossil fuel power we need today. Setting deadlines is not the way to do that.
A program that promotes development without mandating use until it is viable is the sensible approach.
The approach of the American administration is directly out of the Communist play book. Central control of energy, and government mandated goals have bankrupted every nation that attempted it. It becomes obvious that this is the path they have chosen

Roy Spencer
June 11, 2014 12:47 pm

OMG! I forgot “carbon pollution”! My bad. 🙁

MattS
June 11, 2014 12:53 pm

Dave says:
June 11, 2014 at 9:26 am
Roy,
When you say Podunk, Michigan, are you referring to the metropolis of Dafter?
===============================================================
And here I thought he was referring to the former metropolis of Detritus,…. I mean Detroit

June 11, 2014 12:55 pm

Matt Skaggs says:
June 11, 2014 at 9:11 am
This liberal does not have climate change on the top-10 list of even environmental issues. For many folks like me, sustainability is the (unassailable) goal, which means the fossil fuel economy does need to be dismantled. But we don’t need the false urgency of climate change.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
I am with george e. smith. We are not going to run out of fossil fuel for a very long time, perhaps hundreds of years. Extraction and production costs may become an issue if new forms of energy are developed but in the meantime, King Coal will be back. Look at know reserves and production just in Alberta.
http://www.energy.gov.ab.ca/coal/643.asp
The world has lots of coal that with new technologies can be converted into many products when prices and the political environment are right. No one should have to starve in the dark. (Some Canadians might get the reference. 😏)

Zeke
June 11, 2014 1:15 pm

Sustainability is poorly defined and not attainable. The goal moves endlessly into the horizon. But it does appear to involve using science positions to transmit wild fears to people who do not know better.
But that is not science, it is an old profession called sorcery, which creates extremely negative, physiological reactions to that which is beneficial or neutral, through the use of innuendo, rumor, and the power of suggestion. It is sometimes as simple as repeating the phrases “dirty” and “toxic.” This level of talk is the intellectual equivalent of putting a neon green Mr. Yuck sticker on agriculture and energy.
The next step in the process is and economic trick, in which that which works, is abundant and plentiful – and is already available widely to all levels of society – is banned, or turned into a criminal activity. The replacement does not work, is extremely expensive, and places the products out of the reach of various parts of the citizenry. What the politicians and scientists replace it with are products which they themselves have already become owners or investors in. This has been called “environmental capitalism.” But it is never, ever capitalism when purchases are involuntary. Ever. Besides, that is not economics, it is an old art called iniquity. It is iniquity to use laws to seize property, command its use, and condemn and criminalize useful economic and social activity, such as personal transportation and farming. Repent, and turn to the light.

Victoria
June 11, 2014 1:17 pm

Do liberals really believe wind power & solar power, etc. are sustainable? Enough to increase the cost of electricity to the point people can’t heat & cool their homes when they want to? There is no climate warming or climate warming threat, and yet they are willing to distress the whole country over a pretend idea? Mind boggling. I bet China would laugh its a** off.

Political Junkie
June 11, 2014 1:24 pm

Climate more important than morality to liberals!
We don’t need to guess how Mann, Lewandowsky, Cook, Nuccitelli, Gleick, Connolley et al vote!

June 11, 2014 1:32 pm

Victoria says:
June 11, 2014 at 1:17 pm
Do liberals really believe wind power & solar power, etc. are sustainable?

========================================================================
Hmmm….doesn’t wind power require a changing climate to produce the wind?
So if they achieve their goal of keeping the climate from changing then they’d be rendering wind power “unsustained”.

herkimer
June 11, 2014 2:08 pm

“significantly lowered greenhouse gases ”
I am assuming that this refers to the 30% reduction in co2 proposed by EPA.. In checking other sources to verify what “significant ” means , The Breakthrough Institute estimates that shutting down the 37 coal fired plants to curb emissions of smog forming pollutants and toxic smoke stack emissions would reduce all US emissions by 1% Complyingwith rules to curb air pollution in states downwind from the coal fired plants and shutting another 31 plants would approximately double the previous figure

Bob Weber
June 11, 2014 2:42 pm

This “push” poll appeared to be contrived and released to support this administration’s announcement of the new proposed EPA regs. My definition of sustainable development is “what the market will bear”. Clearly the warmists are attempting to change the nature of the market.

Eliza
June 11, 2014 3:03 pm

The only person REALLY tacking this problem head on is Steven Goddard the man has got all the proof from way back. He has kept all the records of mallfaissance. LOL THIS IS WHAT WILL COUNT IN THE END OF AGW.

June 11, 2014 3:03 pm

Thanks, Dr. Spencer. Good digging.
You write that “the proposed EPA regulations will hurt far more people than they would help…especially the poor”. I do agree that this EPA “carbon reduction” action will hurt people, but I fail to see whom would be helped by it.

boulder skeptic
June 11, 2014 3:14 pm

The survey question was worded exactly as intended. WashPo & ABC are waterboys for Pres Obama. Nuff said…

herkimer
June 11, 2014 3:15 pm

Shutting down the proposed (32+36=68) coal driven power plants to reduce emissions will take out about 8% or 25,000 MW of power from the US coal generated power capacity enough to supply 22 million homes . EPA estimates that the industry will spend $11 billion dollars to comply with the new regulations . I am dubious of any figure coming from EPA. The Overnight capital cost of most gas driven power plant options is $1000-2000/kw. Wind turbine route would be about $2200/kw. Kansas recently gave a go ahead for a 895 MW for $2.8 billion power plant coal driven. So the $11 billion is suspect to replace 25,000 MW. My point is that the higher the real capital cost, the higher will the real electrical rate increase be and not just $20 extra per month

MikeTheDenier
June 11, 2014 3:56 pm

I’ll repeat a suggestion I seen several times and with my own little spin …..If the eco-freaks want to live an alternative sustainable energy life, so they can sleep well at night, then they should rid their lives of EVERYTHING where the electricity to produce the product was generated using fossil fuels and NEVER purchase another product produced with electricity from FF. Oh, and by the way, they can’t use open fires for anything (to include cooking) since it dumps all that nasty carbon into the atmosphere.

Jimbo
June 11, 2014 4:26 pm

Most Americans understand that forecasts of gloom and doom as predicted by “scientific experts” are not as reliable as predictions of, say, this afternoon’s weather.

Here is what happened. People did not see the predictions panning out. Cold winters was the killer I’m afraid. I too would laugh at these fools in the face of extreme cold when I remembered that my children would not know what snow is. The whole thing was destined to fail because it was based on bullshit.

more soylent green!
June 11, 2014 4:29 pm

Note to moderators: The link to the Brookings Institute report takes you to the results for a poll regarding immigration reform.

Jimbo
June 11, 2014 4:35 pm

Roy Spencer says:
June 11, 2014 at 12:21 pm
Dave, no, Podunk is near Ann Arbor:
http://www.weatherstreet.com/weather-forecast/Podunk-MI-48158.htm
And, for those who are upset with me for saying I would pay and extra $20 a month…that’s IF it actually significantly reduced global CO2 emissions. Which it won’t. I still suspect more CO2 is better for life on Earth……

The evidence so far says yes.
3,2,1 “But the ice is melting and sea levels are rising!” The ice has been melting and the sea level has been rising for well over 12,000 years. “But………” no buts, get you stuff together first.

Dav09
June 11, 2014 4:38 pm

“Hell, even *I* would probably support $20 more a month if it ‘significantly lowered greenhouse gases’, just to be on the safe side.”
I wouldn’t. Because climate prediction based on known natural history and astronomical facts (as opposed to grant-whoring and computer-aided numerical masturbation) strongly suggests we might end up pumping out as much GHG as we can muster in a (probably vain) attempt to keep most of the Northern Hemisphere from being scraped off the map by the (overdue) next Ice Age.

June 11, 2014 4:49 pm

Sustainability is in the same neighborhood as Utopia only it’s further down the road near the more expensive homes.

Barbara
June 11, 2014 4:55 pm

The two planned Manitoba hydro projects + the Muskrat Falls project + Ontario Nanticoke project can go a long way towards covering the U.S power plant closures.
Then there are other sources of power from Ontario such as nuclear,gas, hydro and wind that can be sold to the U.S..
Manitoba would supply the mid-west. Muskrat Falls to supply the U.S.east coast. Nanticoke to supply Pennsylvania.
So Obama knows he can shut down power plants and still get electricity from Canada.

u.k.(us)
June 11, 2014 4:58 pm

Jimbo says:
June 11, 2014 at 4:26 pm
“Here is what happened. People did not see the predictions panning out. Cold winters was the killer I’m afraid. I too would laugh at these fools in the face of extreme cold when I remembered that my children would not know what snow is. The whole thing was destined to fail because it was based on bullshit.”
=================
The really sorry part, is that nobody is even reading this shit.
They will do less so, unless the language gets cleaned up.
I can curse with the best of them, but it adds nothing does it ?

June 11, 2014 5:36 pm

“Hell, even *I* would probably support $20 more a month if it “significantly lowered greenhouse gases”, just to be on the safe side. “
Dr Spencer – your statement buys into the notion that CO2 is a problem that needs to be addressed. You are allowing political advocacy to frame the argument.
My view? CO2 is NOT a problem.
Start there when dealing with these people.

davidgmills
June 11, 2014 6:16 pm

To a liberal, when he hears the word morals in a political context, he thinks of people who are religious fanatics who tout their morality, such as people who believe they ought to have the moral right to kill other people who believe abortions should be legal. To a liberal, the word moral has a very negative connotation because of the religious nutjobs who always seem to hypocritically claim to have the moral high ground. In other words, you might as well ask a liberal if he likes hypocrisy.
Most liberals are extremely moral when it comes to believing the average person should get a fair break or chance in life.

Barbara
June 11, 2014 6:17 pm

And Hydro Quebec also supplies electricity to the U.S. There is a planned HVDC cable down the Hudson River to N.Y.C. to be supplied by Hydro Quebec.
Easy to be sustainable when another country will supply your electricity. Also won’t have to flood anyplaces in the U.S. to produce hydro power.

CRS, DrPH
June 11, 2014 8:05 pm

The sun is setting on coal as a fuel for electricity generation. Photo-voltaic systems are kicking coal’s butt.
http://www.eei.org/ourissues/finance/documents/disruptivechallenges.pdf

Recent technological and economic changes are expected to challenge and
transform the electric utility industry. These changes (or “disruptive challenges”) arise due to a convergence of factors, including: falling costs of distributed generation and other distributed energy resources (DER); an enhanced focus on development of
new DER technologies; increasing customer, regulatory, and political interest in demand side management technologies (DSM); government programs to incentivize selected technologies; the
declining price of natural gas; slowing economic growth trends; and rising electricity prices in certain areas of the country.

Barbara
June 11, 2014 8:20 pm

Using wind and solar to supply electricity requires demand side management. When wind and solar power suddenly drop or are not available then customer usage has to be curtailed if there are not sufficient power supplies from other sources.
Sure, Obama can talk about cutting U.S. CO2 emissions all around the world when another country is supplying or going to supply the U.S. with electricity.

bobl
June 11, 2014 8:43 pm

Don’t kid yourselves, look at the experience in Europe and Australia where electricity prices have doubled from this nonsense. It’s not $20 and it’s not going to hit you once. This hurts, and it hurts the poor most, and it won’t be rolled back later. Oppose it now while you can. Get onto those coal state Democrats and let them know what will happen to them next election if your electricity bill increases exceed CPI. Get your friends and neighbours to vote against any politician that supports AGW or the UN Sustainability Plan. Use November wisely, Democrats are scared about what this will do to them in the senate, so now it’s your turn to use scare tactics – let them know what this will do, what YOU will do, to make sure they do not get a seat in the senate. That should go for ANY candidate supporting AGW or Sustainability (Agenda 21) whatever party they are from.
Grassroots revolts do happen, we got our PM Abbott that way in “The day the electorate went nuts” half the country phoned in to the opposition and told them the ETS ( Cap and trade ) legislation was not to be passed.Tony Abbott rolled Malcolm Turnbull (opposition leader) that very night and the ETS was stopped in the senate. Admittedly due to the foibles of our system 2 years later Julia Gillard had the numbers and lumbered us with a carbon tax anyway (after promising not to). The grass roots were enraged, and held the rage for 3 years – fuelled by each and every power bill, Julia Gillards party was rolled in a record landslide by the enraged grassroots voters. If every sceptic in America managed to get 5 others to vote against AGW supporting candidates, then you could be free of this crap for a term or so.
Use our experience, our last election decimated the progressive parties, the issues were national debt and carbon taxes… Show the democrats they face the same fate in November unless the president and EPA are stopped.

June 11, 2014 9:21 pm

June 11, 2014 at 10:55 am | herkimer says

Luxury! We’re already paying +27c/KwH in Australia with a 13% hike to come next month.

herkimer
June 12, 2014 5:57 am

Streetcred
US electricity rates( currently about 12 cents per kwh) may sound as a luxury to Australians. However when you are not a basic commodity supplier like Australia , but a manufacturer, you are competing with China and Asia for manufacturing jobs with their lower labour rate and lower energy costs . If US energy costs double or triple and with their higher labour costs, it will be tough to hold on to manufacturing jobs. China energy rate is 8 cents per kwh . Australia does not have to compete with China for the sales of iron ore or coal. Also Australia does not have to use electrical energy to heat winter homes to the extent that North America needs. So I think we are more sensitive to electrical rate increases

Barbara
June 12, 2014 7:09 am

Meanwhile one of the companies in the demand side management business has close ties to Obama.

herkimer
June 12, 2014 10:39 am

To put the message that Roy posed at the beginning of this track in different context , would the American public be willing to experience less economic growth, reduced household disposable income , higher electricity costs. less employment and increased compliance costs to lower the total US CO2 emissions by 1-2% to achieve a reduction in global temperatures of less than two one hundredth of a degree C when CO2 emissions are coming down anyway through normal market forces and the global temperatures show no upward trend for 17 years

davidgmills
June 12, 2014 12:17 pm

Herkimer: You missed your calling. You could get a job as a legal assistant drafting Requests for Admissions. Can’t tell you how many Requests I got over the years that resembled what you wrote in the numbers of different issues or factors in a single sentence.