The Week That Was: 2014-01-25 (January 25, 2014) Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project
Quote of the Week: “The greatest deception men suffer is from their own opinions.” Leonardo da Vinci [H/t Climate Etc.] Number of the Week: 1 in 100,000 over 70 years
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State of the Union: Last week TWTW incorrectly expressed that President Obama’s State of the Union Address would be at 9 pm on Tuesday, January 21. In fact it will be at 9 pm on Tuesday January 28. The later date was somewhat fortunate for Mr. Obama because January 21 was a cold day with blowing snow in Washington. Between 4 to 12 inches accumulated in various parts around the city. Much of the snow remains because, generally, temperatures have been below freezing.
Many speculate that Mr. Obama will announce dramatic executive actions to fight global warming/climate change. If so, such actions will further illustrate that he is an authoritarian executive who has little regard for legislative processes as called for in the Constitution.
Meteorologist Joe D’Aleo of WeatherBell Analytics informed TWTW that on January 28 every state of the union will have freezing temperatures and parts or all of 27 states will be below zero (-18 ºC). The current National Weather Service forecast for Washington is a high of 18ºF (-8 ºC) and a low of 7ºF (-14 ºC). The low temperature will be some 21ºF (12 ºC) below the Washington normal low for mid-January of 28ºF (-2 ºC). Perhaps the nation would be better off if the President declares his climate action plan is working and no new measures are needed. For an overview of what the week will bring see link under Changing Weather.
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EU Retreat? As it appears that President Obama is preparing for war against global warming, it appears that the EU may be considering retreat. The European Commission proposed 2030 climate and energy goals, which indicated priorities may be changing. Competitive and secure energy came first, then low-carbon energy. The goals for renewable energy in 2030 were raised, but after 2020 specific goals will not be binding on individual countries. It is doubtful that the political leadership of many individual states will desire to continue with substantial renewable energy subsidies as consumer electricity prices continue to rise and government budgets are under pressure.
The goals also include reducing CO2 emissions by 40% by 2030, which would require a significant effort from the current goal of reducing CO2 emissions by 20% by 2020, as compared with 1990 levels. How much carbon intensive industry are the EU member states willing to sacrifice or heavily subsidize? Germany, UK, and several other member states recognize that they are in danger of significant de-industrialization as industries are looking elsewhere to expand, given the high costs of electricity and natural gas in Europe.
It will be interesting to see if and how these goals become actual measures. The Economist, which considers CO2 emissions a threat to the planet, is calling for bold action in the direction of cap-and-trade and carbon taxes. It even makes the assertion that electricity prices would fall if renewable subsidies are dropped. There should be interesting battles within the EU as member states face difficult choices, made far more difficult by past commitments to solar and wind power. See links under Questioning European Green and Cap-and-Trade and Carbon Taxes.
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Integrity of Datasets: Steven Goddard reports he discovered a spurious warming in the US data set provided by the US Historical Climatology Network (USHCN) and used by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (NASA-GISS). The finding is not new. It has been reported by Anthony Watts, Joseph D’Aleo and others. In general, version 2 of the data set, reduced historic temperatures making recent temperatures to appear warmer than the past. All this makes announcements of a certain year being the X hottest in the historic record highly questionable. Once a dataset is compromised, can its integrity be restored? See links under Measurement Issues.
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Maximum and Minimum or Average: The report by Steven Goddard prompted Roy Spencer to update his alternative dataset using the U.S. average Integrated Surface Hourly temperature data (48 states) which he adjusts for changes in population density of the area where the report station is located. The adjustment is to compensate for the Urban Heat Island effect (UHI).
Spencer reports that in 2012 he too discovered a spurious warming in the USHCN dataset around 1998. By averaging four readings of temperatures taken at the same time (00, 06, 12, AND 18 UTC) he calculates a warming trend since 1973 – when there was sufficient hourly coverage of the US. After adjusting for population growth, Spencer shows a warming trend significantly less than that of the USHCN. Further, the spurious warming remains even with no population adjustment. Spencer concludes: Clearly, adjustments to surface temperature data are at least as large as the global warming signal being sought. Until a transparent analysis of the USHCN methodology is carried out, and alternative methods and temperature datasets are tested, I can’t bring myself to believe any U.S. government pronouncements regarding record warm temperatures. See link under Challenging the Orthodoxy.
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PDO: In a post on WUWT, Don Easterbrook describes how he developed the association between changes in the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), glacial fluctuations on Mt. Baker in Washington State, and global temperature data. Easterbrook came across a paper by Mantua, et al., on the influence the PDO on salmon populations in the Northeast Pacific. There was an almost exact correspondence between Easterbrook’s findings of glacial fluctuations on Mt Baker.
Using this association, in 1999, Easterbrook predicted a cooling for the next 25 to 30 years, immediately after the hot El Niño year of 1998. It is likely that few in the audience believed him. Later, Joe D’Aleo added the importance of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO). Easterbrook extended the research to GISP2 ice cores from Greenland and found a similar match. Of course, this research is poorly received by the climate establishment and the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
As Easterbrook states, it is important to realize that the PDO is an index, not a measured value of heat. It is based on about a dozen or so parameters that are related to cyclical variations in sea surface temperatures in the NE Pacific. It has two modes, warm and cool, and flips back and forth between them every 25 to 30 years. The question remains if the climate will cool for 20 to 25 years as Easterbrook predicts.
Easterbrook states that it is not clear what drives these oceanic/climatic cycles. The “correlations with various solar parameters appear to be quite good, but the causal mechanism remains unclear.” See link under Challenging the Orthodoxy.
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Communicate with the Public: The climate establishment continues to believe that the growing distrust the public has in global warming/climate change pronouncements is purely a breakdown in communication and not related to the failure of nature to obey human climate models. In discussing the “missing heat,” Judith Curry neatly sums up the issue. Well, if the scientists don’t understand the cause of the pause, and the public is aware of the pause, then exactly what are we to conclude about the public understanding of climate change? Maybe that the public is not sufficiently ‘sophisticated’ to believe climate model projections that are running much warmer than observations for the past decade? See link under Seeking a Common Ground.
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The Fingerprint: Benjamin Santer complains that independent bloggers profoundly affected him. It is very difficult to have sympathy for this man who, in a hearing before Congress, bragged he changed wording in the final Summary for Policymakers, and Chapter 8, (on Attribution) of the IPCC Second Assessment Report (AR2 – 1995-96) to asserting a discernible human influence on global warming, after it had undergone peer review. He also bragged he discovered the distinct human fingerprint (a hot spot centered over the tropics at about 33,000 feet) which no one can find. Santer accomplished the latter task by truncating atmospheric temperature data, removing data at the beginning and the end of the dataset. These data contradict Santer’s findings. See link under Defending the Orthodoxy and an article by S. Fred Singer http://www.americanthinker.com/2013/11/ipcc_s_bogus_evidence_for_global_warming.html
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Social Cost of Carbon: Comments on the Social Cost of Carbon (SCC) are due on Monday to the Office of Management and Budget. The concept is a construct of an out-of-control bureaucracy. There are a number of models to calculate SCC, using different discount rate. The higher the rate, the lower the SCC.
The science behind EPAs finding that carbon dioxide emissions endanger human health and welfare and its three lines of evidence is imploding. The climate models simply do not work and greatly overestimate the recent warming [no surface warming for 16 years]. There is no reason to believe the climate models are capable of predicting the future climate.
Perhaps with this in mind, Joseph D’Aleo has an amusing post on one of the social costs of increased atmospheric carbon dioxide. Research funded by the National Institute Drug Abuse has found that Cannabis sativa grows best in atmospheres with high concentrations of carbon dioxide, up to the highest level tested, 750 parts per million. See link under Below the Bottom Line.
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Additions and Corrections: The system used to send out TWTW does not allow certain formatting methods as customarily used. For quotes, italics are used, but long quotes cannot be indented. In last week’s TWTW Judith Curry was quoted extensively regarding Mr. Mann’s accusation that her testimony before the Senate Environmental and Public Works Committee was unscientific. Some readers were confused about who was being quoted. We shall make every effort to be clear in the future.
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Number of the Week: 1 in 100,000 over 70 years. Those visiting California for the first time may think it is the most dangerous place on earth for contracting cancer. Retail establishments selling food, groceries, hardware, building products, gasoline etc. are plastered with signs stating: “WARNING: This Area Contains A Chemical Known To The State of California To Cause Cancer.” The standard used to establish this warning is an example of collective chemical phobia: “at least a 1 in 100,000 chance for any person exposed to the product over a period of 70 years contracting cancer.” See Article # 2.
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ARTICLES:
For the numbered articles below please see this week’s TWTW at: www.sepp.org. The articles are at the end of the pdf.
1. The Inventor of the Global Warming Hockey Stick Doubles Down
By S. Fred Singer, American Thinker, Jan 21, 2014
Professor Michael Mann, if you see something, say something – or maybe just keep your mouth shut
2. Caution: This Warning May Be Useless
A ‘right to know’ law in California hasn’t helped consumers, but it’s a big burden on business.
By Michael Marlow, WSJ, Jan 20, 2014
3. California’s Cap-and-Trade Awakening
A Democrat discovers the economic costs of anticarbon politics.
Editorial, WSJ, Jan 17, 2014
http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702304549504579320970298575870?mod=djemMER_h
4. California’s Water Fight
By Allysia Finley, WSJ, Jan 23, 2014
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NEWS YOU CAN USE:
Commentary: Is the Sun Rising?
BBC runs 6 excellent minutes on quiet sun and past correlation with Little Ice Age
By Alec Rawls, WUWT, Jan 19, 2014
[SEPP Comment: Contrary to the report, the cold periods during the Little Ice Age were not confined to Northern Europe.]
Suppressing Scientific Inquiry
Science is not done by peer or pal review, but by evidence and reason
By Jo Nova, Her Blog, Jan 20, 2014
Challenging the Orthodoxy
Nothing left to say
By John Brignell, Number Watch, Jan 19, 2014
http://www.numberwatch.co.uk/2014_january.htm#nothing
Cause of ‘the pause’ in global warming
By Don Easterbrook, WUWT, Jan 17, 2014
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/01/17/cause-of-the-pause-in-global-warming/
‘Big Chill’ Expected to Stay Until 2040
Major cooling cycle could match ‘Little Ice Age’
By Staff Writers, Interview of Tim Ball, WND, Radio, Jan 21, 2014
http://www.wnd.com/2014/01/big-chill-expected-to-stay-until-2040/#bXV1Kbu6yeHikqWi.99
U.S. temperatures, 1973-2013: A alternative view
By Roy Spencer, His Blog, Jan 24, 2014
http://www.drroyspencer.com/2014/01/u-s-temperatures-1973-2013-a-alternative-view/
Defending the Orthodoxy
Report: Obama can advance climate agenda without Congress
By Laura Barron-Lopez, The Hill, Jan 21, 2014
A united call for action on climate change
By Kofi Annan, Washington Post, Jan 22, 2014 [H/t Dennis Manuta]
[SEPP Comment: A reiteration of unsubstantiated claims.]
Former Colo. Gov. Ritter pitches emissions plan based on executive agency action
Transcript by Staff Writers, EETV, Jan 22, 2014
http://www.eenews.net/tv/videos/1769/transcript
‘Neglected Topic’ Winner: Climate Change
By Nicholas Kristof, NYT, Jan 19, 2014 [H/t Timothy Wise]
[SEPP Comment: The gray lady is becoming a supermarket tabloid for the wealthy.]
How climate blogging ‘profoundly affected’ Ben Santer
By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Jan 18, 2014
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/01/18/how-climate-blogging-profoundly-affected-ben-santer/
Questioning the Orthodoxy
Chill Out
By John Stossel, Townhall, Jan 22, 2014
It could be that climate change just isn’t worth worrying about
By Tim Worstall, Adam Smith Institute, Jan 18, 2014
Miss Global Warming Yet? If Not, Just Wait And You Might
By Larry Bell, Forbes, Jan 21, 2014
Social Benefits of Carbon
Large, older trees keep growing at a faster rate
By Deann Gayman for UNL News, Lincoln NB (SPX), Jan 21, 2014
http://www.terradaily.com/reports/Large_older_trees_keep_growing_at_a_faster_rate_999.html
Problems in the Orthodoxy
Next 15 years vital for taming warming: UN panel
By Staff Writers, Paris (AFP), Jan 17, 2014
http://www.terradaily.com/reports/Next_15_years_vital_for_taming_warming_UN_panel_999.html
[SEPP Comment: Some of the draft conclusions on the final volume of AR5 due out in April 2014. Previous reports called the last 10 years vital.]
Seeking a Common Ground
The logic (?) of the IPCC’s attribution statement
By Judith Curry, Climate Etc. Jan 23, 2014
http://judithcurry.com/2014/01/23/the-logic-of-the-ipccs-attribution-statement/
The Scientific Method and Climate Science
By Vincent Gray, WUWT, Jan 21, 2014
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/01/21/the-scientific-method-and-climate-science/
Questions from Congress, Part 2: Responses to Rep. Suzanne Bonamici
By Roger Pielke Jr. His Blog Jan 24, 2014
http://rogerpielkejr.blogspot.com/2014/01/questions-from-congress-part-2.html
Questions from Congress, Part 1: Responses to Representative Lamar Smith
By Roger Pielke Jr. His Blog, Jan 24, 2014
http://rogerpielkejr.blogspot.com/2014/01/questions-from-congress-part-1.html
The case of the missing heat
By Judith Curry, Climate Etc. Jan 20, 2014
http://judithcurry.com/2014/01/20/the-case-of-the-missing-heat/
Review of Recent Scientific Articles by NIPCC
For a full list of articles see www.NIPCCreport.org
Two Decades of Global Dryland Vegetation Change
Reference: Andela, N., Liu, Y.Y., van Dijk, A.I.J.M., de Jeu, R.A.M. and McVicar, T.R. 2013. Global changes in dryland vegetation dynamics (1988-2008) assessed by satellite remote sensing: comparing a new passive microwave vegetation density record with reflective greenness data. Biogeosciences 10: 6657-6676.
http://nipccreport.org/articles/2014/jan/21jan2014a1.html
The Top Ten Problems of the New-and-Improved ECHAM6 Model
Reference: Stevens, B., Giorgetta, M., Esch, M., Mauritsen, T., Crueger, T., Rast, S., Salzmann, M., Schmidt, H., Bader, J., Block, K., Brokopf, R., Fast, I., Kinne, S., Kornblueh, L., Lohmann, U., Pincus, R., Reichler, T. and Roeckner, E. 2013. Atmospheric component of the MPI-M System Model: ECHAM6. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 5: 146-172.
http://nipccreport.org/articles/2014/jan/21jan2014a2.html
Modelling Thermal Characteristics of the Cold Point-Tropopause
Reference: Kim, J., Grise, K.M. and Son, S.-W. 2013. Thermal characteristics of the cold-point tropopause region in CMIP5 models. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 118: 8827-8841.
http://nipccreport.org/articles/2014/jan/21jan2014a3.html
The “Best Available Tools” for Predicting Climate Change
Reference: Siam, M.S., Demory, M.-E. and Eltahir, E.A.B. 2013. Hydrological cycles over the Congo and Upper Blue Nile basins: Evaluation of general circulation model simulations and reanalysis products. Journal of Climate 26: 8881-8894.
http://nipccreport.org/articles/2014/jan/22jan2014a4.html
Models v. Observations
New study says ‘robust modeling’ predicted Antarctic sea ice to decrease, but the ice defies modeling
By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Jan 23, 2014
Link to paper: Climate System Response to Stratospheric Ozone Depletion and Recovery
By Michael Previdi and Lorenzo M. Polvani, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Jan 20, 2014
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.2330/abstract
Models Issues
The empty set
By Andrew Montford, Bishop Hill, Jan 21, 2014
http://bishophill.squarespace.com/blog/2014/1/21/the-empty-set.html
So the answer is that there are NO MODELS at the intersection of “best lower-tropospheric mixing” and “best simulation of extreme rainfall etc”.
Measurement Issues
HadCRUT 2013
By Andrew Montford, Bishop Hill, Jan 24, 2014
http://bishophill.squarespace.com/blog/2014/1/24/hadcrut-2013.html
The HadCRUT global temperature anomaly for 2013 is 0.486. If so it should be outside the 5-95% bands on Ed Hawkins’ famous graph.
That will be more standstill then.
It looks like the 8th warmest year since HADCRUT began and the 8th coldest year in this millenium. Catastrophe looms. Comment By Phillip Bratby
NASA and NOAA Confirm Global Temperature Standstill Continues
By David Whitehouse, GWPF, Jan 21, 2014
http://www.thegwpf.org/nasa-noaa-confirm-global-temperature-standstill-continues/
Given that the IPCC estimates that the average decadal increase in global surface temperature is 0.2 deg C, the world is now 0.3 deg C cooler than it should have been.
Phil Jones 2012 video: Talks about adjusting SST data up ~.3-.5C after WWII
By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Jan 17, 2014
[SEPP Comment: Adjusting sea surface temperatures to make them consistent with land air-surface temperatures?]
Just Hit The NOAA Motherlode
By Steven Goddard, Real Science, Jan 19, 2014
http://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2014/01/19/just-hit-the-noaa-motherlode/
[SEPP Comment: Similar to the link immediately below.]
New study shows half of the global warming in the USA is artificial
By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Jul 29, 2012
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/07/29/press-release-2/
New paper asks: ‘Would the ‘real’ temperature dataset please stand up?’; finds ‘We have no ability to know’ the true temperature data
By Staff Writer, The Hockey Schtick, Jan 19, 2014 [H/t GWPF]
http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.co.uk/2014/01/new-paper-asks-would-real-temperature.html
Changing Weather
And you thought it was cold earlier this month
By Joseph D’Aleo, ICECAP, Jan 24, 2014
http://icecap.us/index.php/go/joes-blog/you_thought_it_was_cold_earlier_this_month1/
Australian heatwaves are nothing new
By Viv Forbes, WUWT, Jan 20, 2014
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/01/20/australian-heatwaves-are-nothing-new/
Air pollution boosts NW Pacific cyclones: study
By Staff Writers, Paris (AFP), Jan 21, 2014
http://www.terradaily.com/reports/Air_pollution_boosts_NW_Pacific_cyclones_study_999.html
[SEPP Comment: Relatively short periods and unrelated to CO2. Much of the pollution can be controlled using commercially available equipment. No link to study.]
Arctic cyclones more common than previously thought
By Pam Frost Gorder for OSC News, Columbus OH (SPX), Jan 20, 2014
http://www.terradaily.com/reports/Arctic_cyclones_more_common_than_previously_thought_999.html
[SEPP Comment: Previously thought by whom?]
California declares drought emergency
By Staff Writers, Los Angeles (AFP), Jan 17, 2014
http://www.terradaily.com/reports/California_declares_drought_emergency_999.html
Changing Seas
German Review: Sea Level Rise Way Below Projections – No Hard Basis For Claims Of Accelerating Rise
IPCC 1990: “No convincing evidence that sea level rise accelerated in the 20th century”
By Sebastian Lüning and Fritz Vahrenholt, Translated by P. Gosselin, No Tricks Zone, Jan 23, 2014
[SEPP Comment: Post glacial sea level rise tapered off about 4000 years ago. Except for the Little Ice Age it has been modest since.]
Ocean heat content uncertainties
By Judith Curry, Climate etc. Jan 21, 2014
http://judithcurry.com/2014/01/21/ocean-heat-content-uncertainties/
[SEPP Comment: Technical analysis of available data questioning claims that the global warming is hiding in the deep ocean.]
Changing Cryosphere – Land / Sea Ice
Antarctica Has Sea Ice Rabbit Ears, a V for Victory or Maybe It’s a Peace Sign?…
By Justthefacts. WUWT, Jan 19, 2014
1932 Shock News : Melting Polar Ice Caps To Drown The Planet
By Steven Goddard, Real Science, Jan 24, 2014
[SEPP Comment: Straight from the New York Times.]
Changing Earth
Study: Changing Land-use Not Global Warming to Blame for Increased Flood Risk
By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Jan 23, 2014
Link to paper: Flood risk and climate change: global and regional perspectives
By Kundzewicz, et al. Hydrological Sciences Journal, Dec 20, 2013
http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/02626667.2013.857411#.UuEn1RAo6po
[SEPP Comment: Not a surprise for those who are familiar with changing land use.]
Agriculture Issues & Fear of Famine
Soil Microbes Alter DNA in Response to Warming
By Brett Israel for GT News, Atlanta GA (SPX), Jan 21, 2014
http://www.seeddaily.com/reports/Soil_Microbes_Alter_DNA_in_Response_to_Warming_999.html
Un-Science or Non-Science?
Be prepared: ‘Extreme’ El Niño events to double, study says
By John Roach, NBC News, Science, Jan 19, 2014 [Clyde Spencer]
http://www.nbcnews.com/science/be-prepared-extreme-el-nino-events-double-study-says-2D11947406
Get used to heat waves: Extreme El Nino events to double
By Staff Writers, Sydney, Australia (SPX), Jan 22, 2014
http://www.terradaily.com/reports/Get_used_to_heat_waves_Extreme_El_Nino_events_to_double_999.html
Lowering Standards
How the American Meteorological Society Justified Publishing Half Truths
By Jim Steele, WUWT, Jan 21, 2014
The Zero-Emissions Imperative
By Angel Gurría, Secretary-General of the OECD, Project Syndicate, Jan 24, 2014
[SEPP Comment: The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development has outlived its mission and its usefulness. Among other things, the author fails to identify the nations that give the major fossil-fuel subsidies are petro-states such as Iran, Saudi Arabia, and OECD member Russia.]
The World Economic Forum gets hijacked by climate alarmism
By Christopher Monckton, WUWT, Jan 24, 2014
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/01/24/the-world-economic-forum-gets-hijacked-by-climate-alarmism/
Climate Comedy?
Apology As Antarctica Rescue Bill Tops $2.4m
By Graham Lloyd, The Australian, Via GWPF, Jan 23, 2014
http://www.thegwpf.org/apology-antarctica-rescue-bill-tops-2-4m/
New Details on the Ship of Fools
By Steve McIntyre, Climate Audit, Jan 21, 2014
http://climateaudit.org/2014/01/21/new-details-on-the-ship-of-fools/
Guess who won an award for understanding Natural Phenomena?
By Jo Nova, Her Blog, Jan 21, 2014
http://joannenova.com.au/2014/01/guess-who-won-an-award-for-understanding-natural-phenomenon/
Communicating Better to the Public – Exaggerate, or be Vague?
Claim: Analysis indicates that North and tropical Atlantic warming affects Antarctic climate
By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Jan 24, 2014
[SEPP Comment: The AMO may impact on the Antarctic Peninsula. But contrary to the article, the warming is not occurring on the main part of the continent.]
The water cycle amplifies abrupt climate change
By Staff Writers, Potsdam, Germany (SPX), Jan 21, 2014
http://www.terradaily.com/reports/The_water_cycle_amplifies_abrupt_climate_change_999.html
Link to paper: Delayed hydrological response to Greenland cooling at the onset of the Younger Dryas in western Europe
By Rach, Brauer, Wilkes, Sachse, Nature Geoscience, Jan 19, 2014
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2053.html
[SEPP Comment: What an abuse of the findings of the paper as stated in the abstract!!]
Massive Antarctic glacier uncontrollably retreating, study suggests
By Laura Poppick, NBC News, Jan 16, 2014 [H/t Clyde Spencer]
‘Modest’ EU climate targets criticized
Planned greenhouse-gas cuts for 2030 might not be enough to avoid disastrous temperature rises.
By Quirin Schiermeier, Nature, Jan 22, 2014
Communicating Better to the Public – Make things up.
NASA Finds 2013 Sustained Long-Term Climate Warming Trend
By Staff Writers, Washington DC (SPX), Jan 23, 2014
http://www.terradaily.com/reports/NASA_Finds_2013_Sustained_Long_Term_Climate_Warming_Trend_999.html
“Long-term trends in surface temperatures are unusual and 2013 adds to the evidence for ongoing climate change,” GISS climatologist Gavin Schmidt said.
[SEPP Comment: No trend is now a trend!]
Photo shopped
By Andrew Montford, Bishop Hill, Jan 21, 2014
http://bishophill.squarespace.com/blog/2014/1/21/photo-shopped.html
Amstrup repeats starving polar bear nonsense, features “Ursus bogus
By Susan Crockford, Polar Bear Science, Jan 21, 2014
Bushfire predictions in 2070 are nonsense on stilts. Models can’t predict rainfall
By Jo Nova, Her Blog, Jan 24, 2014
Climate change could jeopardize future Winter Olympic games
By Laura Barron-Lopez, The Hill, Jan 24, 2014
[SEPP Comment:”If the globe continues to warm at its current rate…” The current rate is zero, all sorts of disasters will happen.]
Neil Young’s Hiroshima – Exhibit #10 in the Drama Queen Files
By Donna Laframboise, NFC, Jan 20, 2014
http://nofrakkingconsensus.com/2014/01/20/neil-youngs-hiroshima-exhibit-10-in-the-drama-queen-files/
Communicating Better to the Public – Go Personal.
The Temperature Standstill And Its Dismissal
By David Whitehouse, GWPF, Jan 22, 2014
http://www.thegwpf.org/temperature-standstill-dismissal/
[SEPP Comment: According to Professor Lowe, climate scientists quoted in last week’s Nature magazine essay on the pause are deniers!]
Expanding the Orthodoxy
NASA: Cracked Sea Ice Stirs Up Arctic Mercury Concern
By Carol Rasmussen for Earth Science News, Pasadena CA (JPL), Jan 22, 2014
http://www.terradaily.com/reports/NASA_Cracked_Sea_Ice_Stirs_Up_Arctic_Mercury_Concern_999.html
[SEPP Comment: Will this hypothesis survive?]
Questioning European Green
Back from the brink?
By Martin Livermore, Scientific Alliance, Jan 24, 2014
http://scientific-alliance.org/scientific-alliance-newsletter/back-brink
Will the EU’s decision to dilute green energy targets significantly help European business?
Yes — By James Sproule, NO By Benny Peiser, City A.M., Jan 23, 2014 [H/t GWPF]
Don’t miss the EU transformation on renewable energy
By Jo Nova, Her Blog, Jan 24, 2014
http://joannenova.com.au/2014/01/dont-miss-the-eu-transformation-on-renewable-energy/#more-33007
[SEPP Comment: Excerpts from different sources.]
EU energy costs widen over trade partners
By Pilita Clark and Christian Oliver, Financial Times, Jan 20, 2014
EU: Re-Industrialization More Important Than Climate Change
By Florian Eder, Die Welt, Translation Philipp Mueller, GWPF, Jan 20, 2014
http://www.thegwpf.org/eu-re-industrialization-important-climate-change/
EU scraps targets forcing Britain to build wind farms: UK free to go nuclear and use fracking
By Ben Spencer, Mail, UK, Jan 22, 2014 [H/t Jan 22, 2014
EU sets out leaner 2030 climate and energy vision
By Charlie Dunmore, Reuters, Jan 22, 2014
http://uk.reuters.com/article/2014/01/22/us-eu-climate-idUKBREA0L0V120140122
Energy Bills To Hit £1,500 As Green Taxes Double
By Tim Webb, The Times, Via GWPF, Jan 22, 2014
http://www.thegwpf.org/energy-bills-hit-1500-green-taxes-double/
EU could cut emissions by 40 percent at moderate cost
By Staff Writers, Potsdam, Germany (SPX), Jan 20, 2014
http://www.energy-daily.com/reports/EU_could_cut_emissions_by_40_percent_at_moderate_cost_999.html
Link to article: Beyond 2020 – Strategies and costs for transforming the European energy system.
By Knopf, et al, Climate Change Economics, No Date
http://www.worldscientific.com/doi/pdf/10.1142/S2010007813400010
“Still, most model calculations optimizing the change of the electricity system project energy from biomass to expand threefold, and from wind even sevenfold by 2050.” This would have to be reflected in a potential future EU target on renewable energy.
[SEPP Comment: Massive expansion of electricity from wind, which is unreliable and needs back-up. This will be at moderate cost?]
Europe’s New Emissions Goals
By Roger Pielke Jr, His Blog, Jan 22, 2014
http://rogerpielkejr.blogspot.com/2014/01/europes-new-emissions-goals.html
The graph indicates that achieving a non-nuclear, renewables-based energy system in Germany, while also reducing emissions to 40% below 1990 levels, will remain a formidable challenge. For now, Germany is building more coal plants and moving away from that 2030 target.
“The Road To De-Industrialisation”: Steel Industry Slams Proposed Energy & Climate Targets
By Staff Writers, Steel Times International, Jan 22, 2014 [H/t GWPF]
UK must cut green goals back in line with Europe’s, manufacturers say
European Commission proposes 40pc cut in carbon emissions by 2030 and scraps legally-binding renewable energy targets
By Emily Gosden, Telegraph, UK, Jan 22, 2014 [H/t GWPF]
Questioning Green Elsewhere
Warmists Pivot to Climate Adaptation
By Peter Wilson, American Thinker, Jan 22, 2014
http://www.americanthinker.com/2014/01/warmists_pivot_to_climate_adaptation.html
[SEPP Comment: Contrary to the article, Bjorn Lomborg is not a skeptic of the concept humans are causing significant global warming.]
Funding Issues
Government Money for Innovations
By Donn Dears, Power For USA, Jan 21, 2014
http://dddusmma.wordpress.com/2014/01/21/government-money-for-innovations/
[SEPP Comment: Innovation is not the final goal, it may be a means of improving human welfare.]
DOE loan program chief Davidson discusses new round of clean tech funding
Transcript by Staff Writers, EETV, Jan 23, 2014
http://www.eenews.net/tv/videos/1770/transcript
[SEPP Comment: Another $8 Billion on top of $16 Billion from the Stimulus Bill and $8 Billion in advanced auto. What is the rate of return on the investment (ROI) on the DOE portfolio?]
Litigation Issues
Future of US Arctic operations in question after court ruling
By Laura Barron-Lopez, The Hill, Jan 22, 2014
[SEPP Comment: The amount of economically recoverable oil may have been greatly underestimated, requiring a new environmental review – more government control!]
Cap-and-Trade and Carbon Taxes
European climate policy: Worse than useless
Current policies are a mess. Here’s how to fix them
Editorial, The Economist, Jan 25, 2014
The 20 largest European energy utilities have lost a jaw-dropping €500 billion in market value since 2008
Subsidies and Mandates Forever
Colorado Consumers Paying Steep Price for Renewable Power Mandates
By James Taylor, Environment & Climate News, Jan 15, 2014
Energy Tax Reform: Scrap the Baucus Proposal (Part IV: Negative Wealth Effects)
By Glenn Schleede, Master Resource, Jan 22, 2014
http://www.masterresource.org/2014/01/backus-energy-tax-reform-4/#more-29375
EPA and other Regulators on the March
Dirty Science in EPA’s War on Coal
By Larry Bell, News Max, Jan 21, 2014
http://www.newsmax.com/LarryBell/EPA-War-Coal-Obama/2014/01/21/id/548112
EPA Administrator Says Coal Rules Necessary Because of ‘Devastating Impacts on the Planet’
But Gina McCarthy tells GOP lawmakers she can’t answer climate-change questions: “I just look at what the climate scientists tell me.”
By Rodrigo Sermeno, PJ Media, Jan 20, 2014
Global Warming Fraud Exposed – Under Oath!!
By Staff Writers, Turner Radio Network, Jan 22, 2014 [H/t Bob Dillon]
http://www.turnerradionetwork.com/news/211-global-warming-fraud-exposed-under-oath
A New Year’s Gift from the Department of Energy
By James Broughel, Mercatus Center, Jan 2, 2014
http://neighborhoodeffects.mercatus.org/2014/01/02/a-new-years-gift-from-the-department-of-energy/
Coal leaders: Obama’s ‘social cost of carbon’ flawed
By Tim Devaney, The Hill, Jan 22, 2014
Link to study: The Social Costs of Carbon? No, the Social Benefits of Carbon
By Staff Writers, Management Information Services, Inc. Jan 2014
http://www.americaspower.org/sites/default/files/Social_Cost_of_Carbon.pdf
The EPA’s Agenda: Undermine Capitalism and America
By Alan Caruba, Warning Signs, Jan 23, 2014
http://factsnotfantasy.blogspot.com/2014/01/the-epas-agenda-undermine-capitalism.html
Energy Issues – Non-US
Alberta premier to challenge Gore on oil sands ‘myths’
By Laura Barron-Lopez, The Hill, Jan 21, 2014
Canada: From Energy Supplier to Competitor?
By Geoffrey Styles, Energy Tribune, Jan 23, 2014
http://www.energytribune.com/79912/canada-from-energy-supplier-to-competitor#sthash.j26PAvBH.dpbs
Germany’s energy revolution on verge of collapse
By Fred Pearce, New Scientist, Jan 22, 2014
High energy prices hold Europe back
US gains huge competitive advantage from EU muddle
Editorial, Financial Times, Jan 21, 2014 [H/t GWPF]
Soaring electricity prices zap struggling Spaniards
By Staff Writers, Madrid (AFP), Jan 19, 2014
http://www.energy-daily.com/reports/Soaring_electricity_prices_zap_struggling_Spaniards_999.html
Energy Issues — US
Climate-Change Busyness
The president’s initiatives yield higher energy costs and no environmental benefit.
By Nicolas Loris, National Review, Jan 17, 2014 [H/t Timothy Wise]
http://www.nationalreview.com/article/368717/climate-change-busyness-nicolas-loris
[SEPP Comment: Ideology replacing concern for the economy in an authoritarian government.]
Energy Efficiency Commonsense
By Donn Dears, Power For USA, Jan 24, 2014
http://dddusmma.wordpress.com/2014/01/24/energy-efficiency-commonsense/
[SEPP Comment: Addressing a maxim that is not true.]
NTSB warns of ‘major loss of life’ without tougher regs on trains carrying crude
By Keith Laing, The Hill, Jan 23, 2014
Washington’s Control of Energy
Canadian foreign minister demands Keystone decision
By Staff Writers, Washington (AFP) Jan 16, 2014
http://www.energy-daily.com/reports/Canadian_foreign_minister_demands_Keystone_decision_999.html
Keystone Cop-Out
Obama should give Canada an answer, already.
By Charles Krauthammer, National Review, Jan 23, 2014
http://www.nationalreview.com/article/369312/keystone-cop-out-charles-krauthammer
TransCanada calls Keystone XL ‘safest pipeline to date’
By Laura Barron-Lopez, The Hill, Jan 22, 2014
Federal Oil Lands Lockdown: Disingenuous Obama at Work
By Paul Driessen, Master Resource, Jan 24, 2014
Oil and Natural Gas – the Future or the Past?
Russia Wakes Up and Smells the Shale
By Staff Writers, American Interest, Jan 19, 2014 [H/t GWPF]
http://www.the-american-interest.com/blog/2014/01/19/russia-wakes-up-and-smells-the-shale/
Azle Residents Take Their Earthquake Concerns to Austin
By Staff Writer, CBS, DFW, Jan 20, 2014 [H/t Paul Sheridan]
http://dfw.cbslocal.com/2014/01/20/azle-residents-take-their-earthquake-concerns-to-austin/
[SEPP Comment: No discussion of actual measurements.]
Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Solar and Wind
Winds Hit 115 mph in the Columbia Gorge
By Cliff Mass Weather Blog, Jan 21, 2014
http://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2014/01/winds-hit-115-mph-in-columbia-gorge.html
[SEPP Comment: From Jan 18 to Jan 25, wind produced virtually no electrical power. The installed wind capacity is 4515 MW as of April 10, 2013]
http://transmission.bpa.gov/Business/Operations/Wind/baltwg.aspx
[Graph last viewed on Jan 25, 2014 17:01 local times]
Breezes That Will Never Beat The Heat
By Ray Evans and Tom Quirk, Quadrant, Jan 21, 2014
http://quadrant.org.au/opinion/doomed-planet/2014/01/breezes-will-never-beat-heat/
[SEPP Comment: Wind turbines do not do well on frigid winter nights in eastern US either.]
China sets duties on US solar materials
By Staff Writers, Reuters, Jan 20, 2014 [H/t GWPF]
http://www.globaltimes.cn/content/838522.shtml#.Ut7rsBAo6pp
[SEPP Comment: Solar wars?]
Green energy giant runs out of cash
German wind energy giant Prokon filed for insolvency on Wednesday, leaving tens of thousands of investors worried about their money. The company advertised itself as a safe bet offering eight percent returns.
By Staff Writers, The Local, Jan 23, 2014
http://www.thelocal.de/20140123/german-green-energy-giant-prokon-insolvent
Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Energy — Other
Boeing Finds Significant Potential in “Green Diesel” as a Sustainable Jet Fuel
By Staff Writers, Seattle WA (SPX), Jan 17, 2014
[SEPP Comment: Competitive with government incentives? What is the cost without government incentives?]
The Ethanol Mandate: Don’t Tweak, Abolish (a costly fuel without a public purpose
By James Griffin, Master Resource, Jan 23, 2014
http://www.masterresource.org/2014/01/ethanol-mandate-abolish/#more-29424
Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Vehicles
Study: Electric vehicles have little impact on US pollutant emissions
By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Jan 21, 2014
Another factor is that passenger vehicles make up a relatively small share of total emissions, limiting the potential impact of EDVs in the first place. For example, passenger vehicles make up only 20 percent of carbon dioxide emissions.
Carbon Schemes
DOE Formally Commits $1B to FutureGen 2.0 CCS Project
By Sonal Patel, Power Magazine, Jan 23, 2014
[SEPP Comment: Is this an example of a commercially available product? Why does it need more money?]
Health, Energy, and Climate
Excess Winter Deaths in England and Wales
By Euan Mearns, Energy Matters, Jan 17, 2014 [H/t GWPF]
http://euanmearns.com/excess-winter-deaths-in-the-england-and-wales/
[SEPP Comment: Declining with prosperity.]
Latest buzz on bee colony collapse disorder: a virus, NOT a pesticide, is the problem
By Staff Writers, ACSH, Jan 22, 2014
http://acsh.org/2014/01/latest-buzz-bee-colony-collapse-disorder-virus-pesticide-problem/
Environmental Industry
Global warmists aim to disempower America
By Ron Arnold, Washington Examiner, Jan 23, 2014
Sold Up the River
By Ron Pike, Quadrant, Jan 23, 2014
http://quadrant.org.au/opinion/qed/2014/01/sold-river/
Other Scientific News
Realtime global wind, temperature, cloud, rain, pressure map
By Luboš Motl, Reference Frame, Jan 23, 2014
http://motls.blogspot.com/2014/01/realtime-global-wind-temperature-cloud.html
Link to global wind map by Cameron Beccario
A Decade in the Dust
By Aaron L. Gronstal for ASTOR, Moffett Field CA (SPX), Jan 19, 2014
http://www.marsdaily.com/reports/A_Decade_in_the_Dust_999.html
Other News that May Be of Interest
Literacy and Academic Freedom at UNC
By Roger Pielke Jr, The Least Thing, Jan 21, 2013
http://leastthing.blogspot.com/2014/01/literacy-and-academic-freedom-at-unc.html
Japan researchers use cosmic rays to see nuclear fuel
By Staff Writers, Tokyo (AFP), Jan 23, 2014
UM Study Finds Wolf Predation of Cattle Affects Calf Weight in Montana
By Staff Writers, Missoula MT (SPX), Jan 24, 2014
[SEPP Comment: Who would have thought? Certainly those in the Federal government who insisted on the re-induction of wolves in Montana.]
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BELOW THE BOTTOM LINE:
Climate Craziness of the week: Guardian’s Damian Carrington ‘glass half full’ moment
By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Jan 22, 2014
“The atmosphere right now is half-full of carbon dioxide”.
[SEPP Comment: At about 4 molecules per 10,000?]
Superbowl, Cannabis and CO2
By Joseph D’Aleo, ICECAP, Jan 22, 2014
http://icecap.us/index.php/go/political-climate/superbowl_cannabis_and_co21/
[SEPP Comment: How to logically defeat your cannabis smoking global warming friends.]
Has Polar Vortex/Brutal Winter Affected Northern Virginia Real Estate Market?
By Ritu Desal, Samson Properties, Jan 22, 2014
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The Wall Street Journal articles can’t be read unless you pay. It is kind of useless to post them.
Regarding the State of the Union address, John Kass of the Chicago Tribune had it right when he wrote:
Are there any reports of how “the polar vortex” is effecting all those electric cars?
Batteries don’t like cold.
Is there a WUWT State of the Union drinking game? Swig on “environment,” swallow on “children,” that sort of thing?
WSJ articles can be accessed in full via Google News. It’s an old trick that still works (from here in SE Asia, at least).
-M.
Taxation of CO2 is the truth and the goal to make us save energy or force us to use it wisely.
What the Gov’ts are really scared about are energy shortages. For many reasons, they love big cars and corporate jets, full aircon luxury in all of Al Gores homes. Armies that march on oil to beget more oil. Homes in luxury places, which are only luxury because their pizza order was flown in along with wines from around the world to their little island hideaways.
On the Earth’s skin, the big boils of oil have already been popped and are now being sucked. Now we’re are down to sticking pins in zits. Many in quite hard to reach places.
@Gunga Din
Google is your friend 😉 Start with “mynissanleaf winter 2014”
It’s a sad life for the 100+ mile a day losers in this world 😀
@Gunga Din, I wouldn’t want to get stuck on an interstate behind an accident at -10 F. A very, very good chance you won’t make it home and, if the traffic clears, you won’t be doing a quick fill up at the next exit. But Teslas will have heated seats – for a little while. They should come with a little bumper sticker thanking everyone else for paying more so that they could preen and for still being around to bail them out when they’re stuck in -10 with no juice.
Cancer chance of 1 in 100,000 after 70 years of exposure. What, are chemicals required to reduce the risk of cancer to earn the California determination of no risk? This is disseminating false fear under every conceivable scenario but one – that we realistically expect to live forever. (By definition, impossible.) This is public disinformation to build the importance of government on a fraud.
You know, over the last week and month, much good fun has been understandably poked at the “Spirit of Mawson” boondoggle, and all. But I fear that amidst all that schadenfreude merriment, some well deserved kudos have been neglected. And, in that regard, I would like to single out the BBC reporters, aboard the “Akedemik Shokalskiy” for an “attaboy”.
In particular, I would like to admiringly note that in all the video reports, that I saw broadcast from the “AS” (perhaps I missed one, I acknowledge), I did not even once see one of the BBC guys impulsively loose his self control, on camera, and insert one or another of his forefingers in to one or another of his nostrils; grope energetically about the interior of his BBC-beak–haughtily-raised so as to force the reporter to look down his nose at the world, I might add; then hold his forefinger up to the camera to show-off just what a total, gross-out, disgusting, dripping goober he has hanging off the end of his finger, there; and continue, finally, with a pop of his “extract” into his prissy pie-hole with lip-smacking pleasure. Not once!
And those not specially qualified to detect such “things” are unlikely to have noticed the slightest nasal-related, dietary-deficiency stress, writhing just beneath the BBC reporters’ carefully cultivated, cool-as-a-cucumber, Iron-sphincter, unruffled-professional persona-fakery. That’s your famous, Brit “grace under pressure”, all right, and why the BBC boys make the the “big-bucks”, and everything!
And for those readers, unfamiliar with British, establishment-elite lingo, the term “banana, peanut-butter milkshake” is a dog-whistle code-word, in those circles, for “I need a booger on the tongue, like right now!”
New unemployment claims remained steady last week, suggesting that post holiday business activities are on a fairly even keel despite Wal~Mart laying off 2% of their Sam’s Club work force, something they have done every other year for well over a decade. Wall Street on the other hand saw mixed fourth quarter profit reports as a signal to sell. Personally, I find it foolish to have a retirement invested there with $600 trillion in CDS primed for a $100t mistake to trigger a collapse. Things are eerily similar to 1929. Predatory lending practices led to a crash in 1926, then markets bounced back only to crash again because of derivatives, shorting and other side bets, requiring Wall Street reform and dropping the gold standard. The weather was also extremely volatile and I look for 2017-2019 to quite possibly be another miserable ‘dust bowl’. Not quite as bad, hopefully.
On the subject of foolish investments, the gold bugs are excited about the ‘jump’ in the price of gold to $1273/oz and they’d love to sell you some. One would think they’d want to hang onto their gold if any of the things they predicted about the imminent collapse of the US dollar were actually true. Gold analysts with a reputation to preserve are quite bearish on gold, saying not to buy until it hits $900/oz or less. Gold peaked in 1982 at $800/oz and the price declined for 20 years. Adjusted for inflation, just to match the 1980 price, gold would need to be $2400/oz.
Gold is a commodity and will never be used for money again. Even when it was used for money they stamped the value on it. Using gold just made counterfeiting hard to do. Richard Nixon stopped the practice of allowing governments to exchange dollars for gold because the Brits were dumping their oil dollars, sapping our gold reserves. Today almost all the ‘money’ only exists as digits in a computer. Bit Coin tries to do the same thing, only without a government to back it. Eventually it will go to zero.
Why Did the U.S. Abandon the Gold Standard?
http://m.mentalfloss.com/article.php?id=12715
http://m.theweek.com/article.php?id=232462
Pope Francis has cleaned house at the Vatican Bank in an unusual wholesale purge of appointments by his predecessors. He sacked all but one of the Cardinals in charge of banking even though they had all been reappointed by Pope Benedict before he left. Messing with bankers is something Popes haven’t been known to do in the past.
Messing with bankers tends to be hazardous to your health, thinking Third Secret of Fatima.
Mikhail Kalashnikov died December 23rd, 2013 at the age of 94, he never regretted the rifle he designed. He built it to kill Nazi’s who were overrunning his home, so how could he. His subsequent designs have dominated light weapons production ever since. He said in a 2007 interview that politicians were to blame for every death caused by his weapons. The “Avtomat Kalashnikov” or AK-47 was designed by this intuitive machinist who had no formal training in engineering or gun design. Legend has it that Vietnam soldiers would abandon their corroded, dirty and jammed up M16’s to use captured 20 year old AK-47’s.
Matthew Guard – I don’t think that works in the States. I have an account, but if I am not signed in and try to see a locked article in Google news from WSJ, only the first couple lines are visible. If you are able to see even the articles with the key symbol in front of them, I’m sure WSJ would like to know about that trick of yours. 😉
Ed Mertin says:
January 27, 2014 at 9:09 am
“Why Did the U.S. Abandon the Gold Standard?”
Because the US had not enough Gold to back the Dollar Notes she handed out, Ed.
Like today. (coughBubacough)
You’re broke. Wish you a happy Federal Reserve Note printing. Maybe you find someone who wants them. Good Luck. You’ll need it.
Anybody who doesn’t want their dollars, send to me, I’ll take ’em..
Did you ever check this out?
http://www.businessinsider.com/the-10-biggest-myths-in-economics-2014-1
Buying MBS and T-bonds is buying something that is in surplus, it is not competing for scarce goods. That’s basically what the Fed does all the time, only it normally loans it to banks (the real money creators) instead of it being spent this way. It’s the Feds job to add money to the economy, or sometimes take it out. Is it a good substitute for good govt. policies on trade, manufacturing, labor and so on? ‘Ell no, but with Rightwing controlling the house it’s all we have.
‘Provide for the general welfare of the people’ is in the constitution. When times are hard it’s the government’s responsibility to buy up surplus labor and goods for infrastructure to re-energise the economy. In ancient Egypt they hired surplus labor to build pyramids, that’s why they were around for 6000 years. They also had no hieroglyph for ‘austerity’.
We are not broke. In reality the US prints its own money, unlike Greece that’s dependent on the German Euro we can print our own and as much as the economy needs.
Here’s my take on measurement issues in the Australian BOM:
http://itsnotclimatescience.com/0007.html
and the next two cartoons.
In the 19th century, scientists realized that gases in the atmosphere cause a “greenhouse effect” which affects the planet’s temperature. These scientists were interested chiefly in the possibility that a lower level of carbon dioxide gas might explain the ice ages of the distant past. At the turn of the century, Svante Arrhenius calculated that emissions from human industry might someday bring a global warming. Other scientists dismissed his idea as faulty. In 1938, G.S. Callendar argued that the level of carbon dioxide was climbing and raising global temperature, but most scientists found his arguments implausible. It was almost by chance that a few researchers in the 1950s discovered that global warming truly was possible. In the early 1960s, C.D. Keeling measured the level of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere: it was rising fast. Researchers began to take an interest, struggling to understand how the level of carbon dioxide had changed in the past, and how the level was influenced by chemical and biological forces. They found that the gas plays a crucial role in climate change, so that the rising level could gravely affect our future. (This essay covers only developments relating directly to carbon dioxide, with a separate essay for Other Greenhouse Gases. Theories are discussed in the essay on Simple Models of Climate.
I can only assume you are following your instructions are (trying) “educate us flat-earth, creationist, oil-funded denialist-right-wing-skeptics” as to the “righteous and earnest” religious dogma you believe on faith. Surely, you can’t be convinced based on the actual evidence … because there is no evidence of man-released CO2 having an effect on temperature the past 60 years. …
After all, the past 70 years as CO2 has steadily increased, there have been more years of steady temperatures and decreasing global temperatures than the 22 when both CO2 and temperatures increased.
However, let me “edit” that little essay you copied verbatim to more closely approach the truth.
In the 19th century, scientists realized that gases in the atmosphere cause a “greenhouse effect” which affects the planet’s temperature. In the 19th century, theis “consensus” of scientists also believed in the miasma theory of cholera infections, rejected the mosquito-link in malaria and yellow fever, refused to use antiseptics or sterilize their instruments of death. These same scientists believed in the aether to transmit light between stars, did not accept any theory of radio or even AC electric currents or transistors or dynamos or transformers or fluorescences or photoelectric behavior of electrons … which were not not yet discovered. They did not accept the idea of neutrons, protons, or cosmic rays or the electromagnetic spectrum – but certainly all of their views were accepted by the “consensus of experts” in ALL of the world’s universities and laboratories. At the turn of the century, Svante Arrhenius calculated that emissions from human industry might someday bring a global warming. Other scientists dismissed his idea as faulty. In 1938, G.S. Callendar argued that the level of carbon dioxide was climbing and raising global temperature, but most scientists found his arguments implausible. It was almost by chance that a few researchers in the 1950s discovered that global warming truly was possible. In the early 1960s, C.D. Keeling measured the level of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere: it’s budget was rising fast. Researchers began to take an interest in this budget, struggling to understand how the level of carbon dioxide could be used to control other funding and increase their power on editorial staffs and universities and government funding sources, and how the level was influenced by chemical and biological forces inside Washington and London and Brussels. They found that the gas plays a crucial role in politics and funding and government control of the world’s economies, so that their rising level of funding could gravely affect our future. …