Sunday Satire – The Skepticism Time Series

I stumbled across this looking for something else. Worth a look just for the chuckle. The only thing missing is the marker for Jim Hansens’s 1988 senate speech  where he and Senator Tim Wirth made the room extra hot for “theatrical effect”.

Click to enlarge to full size - easier reading

Image from Flickr, user wstera2

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Peter Pond
April 10, 2011 5:10 pm

Cut off the early part (pre-1980) and it looks suspiciously like a “Hockey Stick” to me.

Latitude
April 10, 2011 5:16 pm

and another marker around 1980….
…when Hansen started retroactively dropping past temperatures to increase the slope

April 10, 2011 5:35 pm

FUNNY !!!!

Phil's Dad
April 10, 2011 5:47 pm

It seems to me that there is a faily close correlation between the shape of this graph and the seat of my arm chair which is average for 30 years although there may be some local warming involved.

Editor
April 10, 2011 5:57 pm

Extremely well done, my compliments to wstera2, whoever he/she/it is. Even the obsessive geek line is good, with the dashed line portion on the left being the heyday of USENET and other services before the Internet really got going and getting supplanted with the World Wide Web. (Not necessarily improved, just supplanted.)
And I don’t obsessively scan the net 18 hours a day. I walk the dog on weekend morning and have a long commute on weekdays. 16 hours, tops!

DirkH
April 10, 2011 6:26 pm

Ric Werme says:
April 10, 2011 at 5:57 pm
“And I don’t obsessively scan the net 18 hours a day. I walk the dog on weekend morning and have a long commute on weekdays. 16 hours, tops!”
16 for me as well. I need my 8 hours of sleep.

Graeme
April 10, 2011 7:33 pm

Global warming alarmists will (almost, but not quite yet..) go extinct as their species evolves into new forms…
[1] Man Made Global Cooling Alarmists (Take #2… (hey it almost worked in the early seventies))
[2] Peak Everything Alarmists
[3] World Overpopulation Alarmists (Take #28…)
[4] Fukushima Will Kill Us All Alarmists.
There will still be a few rogue Global Warming Alarmists living in a hard to reach warren at the University (that time forgot) of East Anglia where they will eke out their existence on the slim pickings of tenure.
At some point a small mixed party of intrepid rationalists/realists will stumble onto the warren and inadvertantly breach it’s hyperactive air conditioning unit, letting out the warren’s warm air and bringing in the cold blasts of the 21st century “New Dalton” minimum. Possibly a Volcano may explode…, and the small band of remaining Global Warming Alarmists will then expire as they are not adapted to the new reality.

Mike from Canmore
April 10, 2011 7:44 pm

Need to add in at the end something along the lines of “dream up next phantom menace and repeat”. It really is an endless loop that has been going on since the dawn of humans.

kim
April 10, 2011 8:05 pm

People sleep?
========

DirkH
April 10, 2011 8:34 pm

Graeme says:
April 10, 2011 at 7:33 pm
“Global warming alarmists will (almost, but not quite yet..) go extinct as their species evolves into new forms…
[1] Man Made Global Cooling Alarmists (Take #2… (hey it almost worked in the early seventies))
[2] Peak Everything Alarmists
[3] World Overpopulation Alarmists (Take #28…)
[4] Fukushima Will Kill Us All Alarmists.”
These ecological niches are already occupied (probably by well-adapted life forms so mutated warmists will not be able to compete).

Amino Acids in Meteorites
April 10, 2011 10:02 pm

CRU emails hacked? That’s how they came out? I didn’t know it was released to the public yet how it happened. They sure are taking their time in letting us know.
Speaking of the James Hansen 1988 heated room:

Paul Vaughan
April 10, 2011 10:17 pm

Poignant:
“Policy of shredding & “losing” contradictory data begins”

Graeme
April 10, 2011 10:59 pm

@DirkH says:
April 10, 2011 at 8:34 pm
Whoops – it’s worse than I thought!

April 10, 2011 11:15 pm

Al Gores’ lame movie caused the whole thing to collapes. Obvious cause and effect. pg

sandyinderby
April 11, 2011 12:39 am

I’m familiar with this curve, it’s the classic “bathtub curve” of reliability.
http://www.weibull.com/hotwire/issue21/hottopics21.htm
The Global Warming/Climate Change theory has passed through its useful life and has now reached its End of Life and increasing failure rate stage. Sounds about right to me.

John Bosworth
April 11, 2011 2:20 am

And when will the mug be available?

amicus curiae
April 11, 2011 5:49 am

John Bosworth says:
April 11, 2011 at 2:20 am
And when will the mug be available?
===========
too intricate for a mug, T shirt and towels:-)
very very good:-)

polistra
April 11, 2011 6:07 am

It’s good satire, but “Anti-science kooks who disbelieve any scientific theory just on general principles” belongs to the Warmist viewpoint.
Ideally, “people who disbelieve any scientific theory just on general principles” should be the precise definition of a scientist.

Nuke
April 11, 2011 7:35 am

But the 30-year trend — is it up or down?

Jimbo
April 11, 2011 7:40 am

They missed one for snowfalls return, people’s heating bills rise and El Nina kicks in.
[R. Gates, I know that a warmer climate causes more snow and I also know that the previous lack of snow was caused by a warmer climate.]

Hal
April 11, 2011 8:02 am

They say that Skepticism is the new Alarmism.

April 11, 2011 8:20 am

Hal says:
“They say that Skepticism is the new Alarmism.”
‘They’ are wrong. Skepticism is the old, honest scientific method.

Robert
April 11, 2011 8:32 am

I’m not an “anti-science kook”, but I never bought in to the whole idea from the get-go. As the son of a weather man, I heard far too many people over the years say, “it has never been so hot, or so cold, or so rainy, etc before”. Since I had access to the records, it never ceased to amaze me how people were almost always wrong, and they basically had very poor recollections regarding weather. Once the AGW proponents started bleating the same message about climate, the same thinking came to mind: How do they know this? What does the data say? How much data do we really have? Is it really unprecedented?

April 11, 2011 10:46 am

The classic bathtub curve
The Bathtub Curve and Product Failure Behavior
Part One – The Bathtub Curve, Infant Mortality and Burn-in
http://www.weibull.com/hotwire/issue21/hottopics21.htm

April 11, 2011 12:13 pm

Here is a comparison folks mightfind interesting.
I took two graphs from wikipedia, comparing solar activity with temperature:
http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:2000_Year_Temperature_Comparison.png
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Carbon14_with_activity_labels.svg
I flipped the graphs and rescaled so they matched and them plotted them together. It is a bit hard to pick out, but solar activity appears in purple. What it shows is that climate appears to track solar activity for the past 1000 years very closely, and matches many of the details in the proxy records, including where the proxies turn up and down.
This would appear to indicate that solar variability is a strong driver of average global temperature.

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