Upcoming reference pages at WUWT – help needed

One I’d like to see is a recommended reading list. Leif and others kindly suggested some reading for me on Solar and plasma phyiscs. Other subjects like atmospheric physics, meteorology and oceanography would also be educational.

1. El Nino/La Nina/ ENSO page
2. Pacific equator, last 12 months animation loop, sea surface temperature
3. http://www7320.nrlssc.navy.mil/global_ncom/anims/eqp/sst12m.gif
4. from this page: http://www7320.nrlssc.navy.mil/global_ncom/eqp.html

1. El Nino/La Nina/ ENSO page
2. Pacific equator, last 30 days animation loop, sea surface temperature
3. http://www7320.nrlssc.navy.mil/global_ncom/anims/eqp/sst30d.gif
4. from this page: http://www7320.nrlssc.navy.mil/global_ncom/eqp.html

Amino Acids in Meteorites says:
July 24, 2010 at 8:54 am
“1. El Nino/La Nina/ ENSO page
2. Pacific equator, last 12 months animation loop, sea surface temperature[…]”
Looking at the text at
http://www7320.nrlssc.navy.mil/global_ncom/index.html
these don’t seem to be measurements but model outputs; the model being fed data from other models (non-coupled models, IOW). Or am i wrong?

Monthly I present:
a. Preliminary global and NINO3.4 SST anomalies, that also include weekly data for the same indices. Sample:
http://bobtisdale.blogspot.com/2010/06/preliminary-june-2010-sst-anomaly.html
b. “Official” global. hemispheric, ocean basin, and NINO3.4 SST anomalies. Sample:
http://bobtisdale.blogspot.com/2010/07/june-2010-sst-anomaly-update.html
c. And a mid-month update. Sample:
http://bobtisdale.blogspot.com/2010/05/mid-may-2010-sst-anomaly-update.html
Just let me know if I can help.

Everything you need is under my Climatic Indicators at my homesite 😉
No sense in throwing in everything and the kitchen sink I say. Welcome to see what I’ve got.

THE CLIMATE COOK BOOK RAP SHEET
I was challenged recently to back up my claim that NOAA, NASA, an the CRU have been caught red handed cooking up tempuratures for years, (stretching back for decades and centuries.) I did not know where to begin to look!
On that very day WUWT had two prime examples of the Keepers of the Climate Record distorting global temps upwards.
I know that there have to be hundreds of other examples here at WUWT and elsewhere.
Please catalogue the Rap Sheet of these climate frauds caught cooking the books.

Solar:
Debrecen Photoheliographic Data (current version of Greenwich System of Sunspot Area System)
http://fenyi.sci.klte.hu/DPD/index.html
Royal Greenwich Observatory – USAF/NOAA Sunspot Data (1874-present)
http://solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov/greenwch.shtml
Greenwich group and daily sunspot data (1874-1982):
ftp://ftp.ngdc.noaa.gov/STP/SOLAR_DATA/SUNSPOT_REGIONS/Greenwich/
Composite Extreme UV Solar images (SOHO, SDO, STEREO Ahead & Behind)
http://www.robertb.darkhorizons.org/DeepSolarMin9.htm
latest SDO composite w/ spots:
http://www.robertb.darkhorizons.org/SDO_latestLg.jpg
Umbral/Penumbral Greenwich/Debrecen based butterfly diagram of Solar Cycle transitions
Page: http://www.robertb.darkhorizons.org/DeepSolarMin10.htm
Comparison Graph of Solar Cycle 23/24 with SC13/14 & SC14/15 (Umbral Area / 5):
http://www.robertb.darkhorizons.org/TempGr/uSC24vs13_14.GIF

I agree with Atomic Hairdryer that reading lists from knowledgeable people would be a great resource. I am becoming more interested in sunspots and desperately need to know the books and papers with which to start. Once started, I could then keep up. If anyone has a short recommended list, please post it. Thanks.

Atomic Hairdryer says:
July 24, 2010 at 8:05 am

One I’d like to see is a recommended reading list. Leif and others kindly suggested some reading for me on Solar and plasma phyiscs. Other subjects like atmospheric physics, meteorology and oceanography would also be educational.

That’s great Atomic.
Perhaps readers here could read items on the recommended list and do book reviews.
A sort of NYTimes book review section.
WUWT Book Review anyone?

How about a page of predictions versus fulfillments?
We could track the batting averages of people making predictions.
For example, Al Gore’s prediction of an ice less Arctic Ocean within five years.
It would be simple to calculate and verify.
I’ve always felt public pronouncements should be kept track of, as a matter of course.
That way when someone makes a pronouncement, such as Obama saying unemployment is going down by March of next year, one could see a little metric next to their name with their hitting average.
Now what would we call this metric?
PCT – Predictions come true percentage?
TH – Truth hits?
Every time a batter comes to bat, you can see what they’ve done in the past. Not only in general, but this year, this month, against this pitcher.
I have a prediction floating around out there regarding the amount of follow up reporting we will see on the long term effects of the oil spill in the Gulf six months from now. Someone demanded I back up my ‘guarantee’ of the prediction.
This is very important as there is the possibility of my having to buy someone two Coors if I’m wrong.

1. PAGE NAME from above = Global Temperature Page
2. Description = Temperature graphs of 86 cities from the Lower 48 USA, of HadCRUT3 monthly average temperatures as published by Hadley in late 2009 following ClimateGate; The lack of appreciable warming is evident from many of the graphs, plus Urban Heat Island effect is also evident in others. Still others show a noticeable cooling trend.
3. URL for image/graph =
http://sowellslawblog.blogspot.com/2010/02/usa-cities-hadcrut3-temperatures.html
4. URL for source page/main page where image/graph resides = same
5. URL for supporting data, if any (optional) = HadCRUT3 from
http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/temperature/

1. El Nino/La Nina/ ENSO page
2. video that might help laymen understand El Nino:
“Chris de Freitas Ph.D., review of what El Nino is”
3. 6 minute video

WUWT needs an ‘executive summary’ page for people without the time or inclination to follow the arcane details. And, perhaps, a ‘peasant summary’ to explain what the political and economic aspects mean to the citizen and taxpayer.

1. El Nino/La Nina/ ENSO page
2. Typical El Nino & La Nina patterns
3. http://www.nasa.gov/centers/goddard/images/content/209479main_elnino1_080128_HI.jpg
4. http://www.nasa.gov/centers/goddard/news/topstory/2008/elnino_winter.html

1. El Nino/La Nina/ ENSO page
2. El Nino pattern for winter (Dec-Feb) and for summer (Jun-Aug)
3. http://www.magazine.noaa.gov/stories/images/warm.gif
4. http://www.magazine.noaa.gov/stories/mag214.htm

1. El Nino/La Nina/ ENSO page
2. Large 3D animation, El Nino/La Nina evolving in the tropical Pacific Ocean
3. http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/tao/jsdisplay/plots/gifani/t-dyn.gif
4. http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/tao/vis/tao-vis.html

http://www.solarcycle24.com is a great site for images of sunspots both on the face we see and on the back side. It also stores daily data of sunspot number, key EM outputs as well as the cycle 24 prediction graph updated monthly by a known US scientist. The site is maintained by an enthusiast like yourself and I think it does it well.
The NOAA has good stuff on El Nino/La Nina as well as ENSO. I’d try and find a site which monitors AMO, AO, AAO, PDO and IPWP as well, if they exist. I didn’t find them myself, but then I wasn’t looking that hard!
I suspect that ‘global temperature’ is the most pesky of all and I don’t know of one that is unbiased.

1. El Nino/La Nina/ ENSO page
2. NOAA La Nina page
3. http://www.elnino.noaa.gov/lanina.html

1. El Nino/La Nina/ ENSO page
2. Video, when PDO is (+) El Nino is predominant, when PDO is (-) La Nina is predominant
“Chris de Freitas Ph.D., El Nino, La Nina”
3. 2:32 video

3. URL for image/graph

Re: Bob says: July 24, 2010 at 11:25 am

I agree with Atomic Hairdryer that reading lists from knowledgeable people would be a great resource. I am becoming more interested in sunspots and desperately need to know the books and papers with which to start.

Ones I was recommended were:
The Sun from Space, Kenneth R. Lang
http://www.amazon.com/Sun-Space-Astronomy-Astrophysics-Library/dp/3540769528/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1280008156&sr=1-1
Explains kinky flux, complete with pictures. Plus lots more about how our weird and wonderful Sun works, and how we observe it. Helped make sense of a lot of the solar conversations, and also contains a very extensive reference section for further reading.
Plasma Physics for Astrophysics, Russell M. Kulsrud
http://www.amazon.com/Plasma-Physics-Astrophysics-Princeton/dp/0691120730/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1280008630&sr=1-1
Helps explain how/why what the Sun does affects us. Sort of. Missing a few bits like our atmosphere and surface interactions, but therein lies the mysteries, and why I’m now looking for recommendations on atmospheric physics and ocean cycles. Kind of approaching it the old fashioned way and trying to follow the energy.
Online references are all well and good, but I still prefer a good book I can read in comfort. Maybe I’m old fashioned, but still don’t find e-books that user friendly, especially if I drop them in the bath.

Over two billion people, one third of all humanity lives around the Indian Ocean littoral.
No mention of the Indian Ocean or the Indian Ocean Dipole is ever made by the northern hemisphere / ENSO dominated blogsphere or science.
The IOD phase drives droughts and floods in West Africa, the critical monsoons across the Indian subcontinent and the droughts and floods across Indonesia and Australia.
On the phases of the IOD in large part rests the food supplies of one third of all of humanity.
JAMSTEC > Indian Ocean Dipole > http://www.jamstec.go.jp/frsgc/research/d1/iod/
For all major Ocean Indicators in easy understandable format.
OOPC [ Ocean Observations Panel for Climate ] >
http://ioc-goos-oopc.org/state_of_the_ocean/all/
The Great Southern Ocean is listed as extending from 60 degrees south to Antarctica, the 5th largest out of the 7 continents.
The actual extent of the Southern Ocean extends from about 40 degrees S to Antarctica.
Placed in the northern Hemisphere the Southern Ocean would extend down to and across the northern parts of the USA, across the middle Mediterranean and across below Mongolia, across central China and Japan.
The only small land masses in this circumpolar Great Southern Ocean are New Zealand and the southern regions of Chile and Argentina and the Antarctic Peninsula.
Again due to the very biased concentration of ocean and atmospheric research which concentrates almost exclusively on the northern hemisphere, not a great deal of research has been done on the Southern Ocean and it’s possibly immense influences on the world’s climate and weather systems.
The Southern Ocean is the only ocean that links to all of the world’s major ocean basins and allows the interchange of ocean waters between ocean basins.
The Southern Ocean is the source of the largest current in the global ocean system, the Peru current which flows up the west coast of South America and then turns westwards as the Humbolt current paralleling the equator.
With future research, this current may well prove to eventually be one of the drivers and a significant influence on the El Nino / La Nina system.
The major southern hemisphere circumpolar atmospheric system about which not a lot is presently known is the Antarctic Oscillation [ AAO ] or Southern Annular Mode [ SAM ]
The SAM appears to be driven by the polar Ozone hole extent and is increasingly seen as having a very significant effect on southern Australia’s, southern Argentina’s and southern Chile’s winter weather systems.
In Australia’s case those seasonal effects across western, central and southern Australia are also heavily influenced by the IOD and along the east coast, the ENSO.
A high SAM index generally means that the southern origin frontal systems are much further south and the Hadley cell high pressure systems are firmly established over southern Australia with resulting dry conditions during our winter and potential for drought conditions.
The SAM index is currently at some of the highest positive numbers and for one of the longest periods for some decades.
The SAM index > NOAA / NCEP >
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/ENSO/verf/new.aao.shtml
Jet Stream locations and tracks are major drivers of weather particularly in the near polar regions as North Americans and Europeans may well understand after the last couple of winters.
California Regional Weather Server
http://squall.sfsu.edu/
Jet Stream Analyses and Forecasts at 300 mb
http://squall.sfsu.edu/crws/jetstream.html

A simple idea:
The only real threat from “global warming” is sea level rise.
The one sure fire way to see if there actually IS some warming happening is sea level rise ( we really can’t trust the “global (adjusted) (adjusted again) (UHI corrupted) (baseline changed) (beginning date changed to make slope look rising) (etc) temperature page”, so why even bother?
If the temperature is rising, the ice must melt, both at the poles and glaciers/greenland/iceland etc.
If the ice melts, sea levels rise.
If the sea is not rising, then the ice is not melting, and the earth is not warming.
Even if we are told it is warming, without sea level rise, what real threat is it? Most of the good times in human history were during warm periods, and bad ones during cold periods (dark ages anyone?), so other than the sea rising, what real problem is there?
Thus sea level rise or lack thereof has two advantages, first, it is hard to fake, thus is a LOT more reliable than “global temperature page” which this site has shown again and again is being faked now. Second, sea level rise is the only real provable danger, and thus the only thing we need be concerned about.
And if it aint rising than we KNOW that “global warming” ain’t happening, and this is the real purpose of this site, to look at actual FACTS and find out what is REALLY happening, isn’t it?

solar page
web page laymans http://www.landscheidt.info/?q=node/185
chart DSN
http://www.landscheidt.info/images/dsn.png
this shows intensity of sun spot activity
there is more there also but that is independent of other info.
fluffy clouds

Mike Jonas says:
July 24, 2010 at 5:36 pm
Greenwich shut down in 1974. What is done now is a shadow of the 100 years of operation, and why I gave the links to Debrecen Observatory where the cause of precise measurements of photoeheliograms are taken.
Measurement of sunspot area was what Wolf dreamed of, and what Greenwich started.
You get away from the trappings of sunspot counting when you measure.

A. El Nino/La Nina/ ENSO page
1. PAGE NAME from above
JAXA/EORC AMSR-E El Nino Watch
2. Description
SST Graph, Anomaly Graph, Time Series Graph, Plus (Great Site!!)
3. URL for image/graph
http://sharaku.eorc.jaxa.jp/cgi-bin/amsr/elni2/elni2.cgi?lang=e
4. URL for source page/main page where image/graph resides
http://sharaku.eorc.jaxa.jp/cgi-bin/amsr/elni2/elni2.cgi?lang=e
5. URL for supporting data, if any (optional)
http://sharaku.eorc.jaxa.jp/AMSR/index.html
_________________________
B. Solar page – TBD
_____________________________
C. Global Temperature Page – TBD

1. El Nino/La Nina/ ENSO page
2. NOAA: Tropical Atmosphere Ocean Virtual Tour
Description from page: “The TAO/TRITON Array, designed for the study of year-to-year climate variations related to El Niño and the Southern Oscillation (ENSO), consists of approximately 70 moored ocean buoys in the tropical Pacific Ocean. The array is supported by a multi-national partnership of institutions and is a major component of global ocean and global climate observing systems.”
3. none
4. URL for source page/main page where image/graph resides:
http://tao.noaa.gov/proj_overview/tao_tour_ndbc.shtml
5. Data Delivery: http://tao.noaa.gov/tao/data_deliv/deliv_ndbc.shtml
1. Global Temperature Page
2. NOAA: National Data Buoy Center
Description of page: Buoy locations, status, and data is selectable.
3. Specific buoy information requires mouse over from the main page.
4. URL for source page/main page where image/graph resides:
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/
5. Sensor Data requires buoy selection from the main page.
Stations at or near the Bering Strait:
Station NMTA2 – 9468756 – Nome, Norton Sound, AK:
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=nmta2
Station RDDA2 – 9491094 – Red Dog Dock, AK: http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=rdda2
Station PRDA2 – 9497645 – Prudhoe Bay, AK: http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=prda2
Station 46035 (LLNR 1198) – BERING SEA 310 NM North of Adak, AK: http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=46035
Station 46073 (LLNR 1199) – Southeast Bering Sea: http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=46073
1. El Nino/La Nina/ ENSO page
2. NOAA: Tropical Atmosphere Ocean 5-Day Lat Lon Plots
Description from page: page includes 5-Day plots for Zonal Wind, Meridional Wind, Wind Speed, Sea Surface Temperature, Depth Averaged Temperature, Air Temperature, Dynamic Height, 20° C Isotherm Depth, Heat Content, Relative Humidity. Date range is selectable.
3. Most Recent by type requires mouse over from the main page.
4. URL for source page/main page where image/graph resides:
http://tao.noaa.gov/refreshed/latlonPlots.php?type=5day
5. Sensor Data and additional plots: http://tao.noaa.gov/refreshed/siteArrayPlots.php

In addition to the links above for the ENSO, here are some of the more important ones I use.
For SSTs, (not a great visual but it is accurate and updated daily).
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/rtgsst/rtgsst.gif
The cross-section of temperatures at depth are very important because there is definitive cyclic pattern to it (the anomalies sink to about 250 metres depth at 155E and then migrate across the Pacific to the East where they eventually surface at 95 W – it takes just over a year for this below surface cycle to complete – it is probably the strongest predictor of where the ENSO is going of anything ).
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ocean/anim/wkxzteq_anm.gif
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/GODAS/pent_gif/xz/movie.temp.0n.gif
http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/charts/ocean/real_time/xzmaps/
The ocean current anomaly is also very important since the currents are always above normal when a La Nina happens and well-below normal or backwards during an El Nino.
(for this one, nice powerful visual but the link will have to be changed from 2010.06 to 2010.07 when it is updated just a few days after the month-end).
http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/GODAS/mnth_gif/xy/mnth.anom.xy.u15m.2010.06.gif
(5 day pentad rolling animation).
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/GODAS/pent_gif/xy/movie.uv15m.gif
The low-level Trade Winds are also very important. Just found this one that also provides a 7 day forecast (nice visual here but I don’t know how long it will be around – haven’t found the original source yet.)
http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/carl/weather/timeLon/u.anom.30.5S-5N.png
(another one.)
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/zw/zw.obs.gif
Equatorial Upper Ocean Heat Content (updated weekly – not sure how it will show up on a linked page since it is a whole html page by itself).
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ocean/weeklyenso/heat-last-year.gif
Atmospheric Angular Momentum is a strong driver of the ENSO – negative signals La Nina, positive signals El Nino.
http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/images/reanalysis/aam_total/glaam.sig.90day.gif
The TOA/Triton bouys have a much nicer and easier to use interface at this page.
http://tao.noaa.gov/refreshed/sectionPlots.php?type=5day&sec=depth&var=temp
if someone wants to use a direct http/ftp page where all the TAO charts can be found, it is here but there is a huge amount of data/charts in each sub-directory so it will be slow.
http://tao.noaa.gov/styles/images/
Can’t forget the SOI numbers. Updated daily from LongPaddock.
http://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seasonalclimateoutlook/southernoscillationindex/30daysoivalues/
Out-going Longwave Radiation over the Nino regions is often forgot about but it is a central part of how the ENSO develops and then how it impacts temperatures around the globe. As an El Nino is ending, the area around the international date line literally becomes continuously covered in tropical storms – OLR falls by an huge 50 watts/m2 – which no other place on the planet can come close to in terms of anomalies sustained on a continuous basis – the clouds hold the heat in to be transferred to the rest of the globe – during a La Nina there is much much less cloud and whatever heat the La Nina ocean has goes out to space and is lost with very high OLR anomalies. The clouds also participate in cooling off / warming back up the ocean waters so that it is always trying to go back to normal temperatures. (3 month global map updated automatically)
http://cawcr.gov.au/bmrc/clfor/cfstaff/matw/maproom/OLR/m.l3m.html
(OLR Time series signalling if the ENSO is warming up the planet (blues) or cooling off the planet (yellows) – and the corollary, if there is lots of clouds and storms (blue) or very little cloud (yellow) – updated automatically.
http://cawcr.gov.au/bmrc/clfor/cfstaff/matw/maproom/OLR/ts.r4.l.gif

The Nino 3.4 Forecast – All models – updated monthly – NASA GMAO and NCEP CFS models are the best.
http://iri.columbia.edu/climate/ENSO/currentinfo/SST_table.gif
From the NCEP – corrected for highest probablities – updated weekly.
http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfs_fcst/images3/PDFcr_nino34SSTMon.gif

1. El Nino/La Nina/ ENSO page
2. simple 2:00 minute video from NASA explaining some of La Nina
3. http://learners.gsfc.nasa.gov/mediaviewer/LaNinaPeaks/