U.N.'s 'Global Warming=300,000 Deaths a Year' Report – Kofi Annan implies: "close enough for government work"

Close_enough_for_government_work

Many of you have probably heard by now of  the UN. Report saying that “global warming is killing 300,000 people a year”. There’s a Times Online Story (h/t to Gary Boden) about it today that has some startling admissions. Here are some excerpts:

Climate change is already killing 300,000 people a year in a “silent crisis” that is seriously affecting hundreds of millions more, an influential humanitarian group warned today.

A report by the Global Humanitarian Forum, led by Kofi Annan, the former UN Secretary-General, says that the effects of climate change are growing in such a way that it will have a serious impact on 600 million people, almost ten per cent of the world’s population, within 20 years. Almost all of these will be in developing countries.

“Climate change is the greatest emerging humanitarian challenge of our time, causing suffering to hundreds of millions of people worldwide,” Mr Annan said.

“As this report shows, the first hit and worst affected are the world’s poorest groups, and yet they have done least to cause the problem.”

//

The report claims that 90 per cent of the deaths are related to gradual environmental degradation caused by a warming climate, which exacerbates existing threats — mainly malnutrition, diarrhoea and malaria. The rest are said to be the result of weather disasters.

But here is the kicker (emphasis mine):

Mr Annan said the report could never be as rigorous as a scientific study, but said: “We feel it is the most plausible account of the current impact of climate change today.”

Translation: “close enough for government work” (click for definition)

Worse, the U.N. didn’t even do the report themselves. The farmed it out:

The research was carried out by Dalberg Global Advisers, a consultancy firm, who collated all existing statistics on the human impacts of climate change. The report acknowledges a “significant margin of error” in its estimates.

But it is good enough for the MSM to use to scare the crap out of everybody and guilt the gullible into “action”.

‘Bogus’, doesn’t even begin to describe this political ploy.

For a real report, using real data, reflecting the real world situation, please read these reports by WUWT contributor Indur Goklany:

Going Down: Death Rates Due to Extreme Weather Events

How the IPCC Portrayed a Net Positive Impact of Climate Change as a Negative

Wrong: World Health Organization claims that health goes down as carbon goes up

Dealing with climate change in the context of other, more urgent threats to human and environmental well-being

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Compare to “competitive” and “economically viable.” “Profitable.” “Efficient.”

JIm Clarke

My first response to the claim in the title was to demand the name of just one person who has died from man-made global warming. Of course, that can not be done, unless someone has died traveling to the exotic locations they hold those global warming conferences.
This ‘study’ is beyond stupid, yet it is the lead story on the AOL website, too!
I have yet to see any of Indur Goklany’s papers in any of the mainstream media, yet they are much more scientific! The Earth is doing fine. We humans are nuts!

I believe that is the report that Roger Pielke Jr called a “A Methodological Embarassment” in the title to his post at Prometheus:
http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheus/a-methodological-embarassment-5314

David L. Hagen

Per Bob’s link, Pielke critiques:

2. Specifically, to get around the fact that there has been no attribution of the relationship of GHG emissions and disasters, this report engages in a very strange comparison of earthquake and weather disasters in 1980 and 2005. The first question that comes to mind is, why? They are comparing phenomena with many “moving parts” over a short time frame, and attributing 100% of the resulting difference to human-caused climate change. This boggles the mind. . . .The assumption that weather disasters should track earthquake disasters is flawed from the outset for both geophysical and socio-economic reasons. . . .
3. The report cites and undates the Stern Review Report estimates of disaster losses, however, in a peer-reviewed paper I showed that these estimates were off by an order of magnitude and relied on a similar sort of statistical gamesmanship to develop its results (and of course this critique was ignored). . . .
This report is an embarrassment to the GHF and to those who have put their names on it as representing a scientifically robust analysis. It is not even close.
Best regards,
Roger

Anan’s a kleptocrat. Far easier to blame “the AGW caused by the evil Americans” than the socialist/marxist “kings” of Africa who live in luxury, pilfer state tresuries, steal once productive farm land for their cronies who know zilch about farming, and who leave their populations to starve while chastizing us for not giving them more to steal.

Keith

Hey, I guess this means Kofi shouldn’t have arranged those oil licenses for Iraq back in the day! [/snark]
Want to combat Malaria? Use something to kill the mosquitoes. Prior to Silent Spring, we used DDT, and malaria was decreasing world wide. It is pretty much eradicated in the U. S. even now, but the rest of the world didn’t get to use it as thoroughly as it was used here. The Anopheles mosquito is pretty much gone from North America, except, oddly enough, in Alaska and northern parts of Canada. They still get a few malaria cases each year. Malaria is not a result of global warming; it is a result of mosquitoes carrying the virus from an infected host to another person. Mosquitoes inhabit environments as far different as the Amazon and Congo Basins to Antarctica and Siberia. They just need stagnant water in which the eggs can hatch and the larvae mature.
Malnutrition is due people not getting the diet they need. Currently, this is more connected to the poverty conditions in countries than to the temperature. Strike Two!
Diarrhea. They seriously said diarrhea was caused by global warming. Diarrhea is due to a fluid imbalance in your intestines. This can be caused by many things. This is just a short list – food borne pathogens (food poisoning), malnutrition, food allergies, radiation exposure, dysentery. Trust me, there are many more, and most of these are due to poverty conditions rather than the planet warming.
Strike three and you are out of here, Kofi!

James Allison

Here in NZ a news item on TV two nights ago had prominent climate scientists from our Gov. NIWA and Met. Service telling us that painting our roofs white will help combat imminent catastrophic global warming. Confused experts? The very next TV item had our Met. Service (unfortunately not the same employees) warning us of an unseasonal and bitterly cold weather system that will give us snow right down to sea level. Maybe the MSM are developing a sense of humour. And yup our Met Service got the weather forecast right.

Aron

Aren’t Kofi Annan and his friends busy selling food in exchange for oil money to some dictator somewhere in the world? That’s what they spent so much of their time doing in the past, just like George Monbiot’s friend George Galloway was doing in Iraq.

rbateman

From Dalberg Global Advisers
Situation:
A leading international agency (who could that be?? was looking for innovative, non-traditional ways to address environmental and social issues in developing countries.
The organization sought Dahlberg’s counsel on engaging private sector partners and resources to combat global warming.
Dahlberg Approach:
After analysing several options, Dahlberg recommended a long-term partnership with a leading global financial firm whose business was affected by the same issues that the public sector client was seeking to address – climate change and biodiversity loss. Dahlberg worked with the client to close the partnership, develop the concept and business plan, raise startup funds, identity potential partners and lauch the program.
Results:
Our client and it’s partner launched a new program to enable companies and consumers to take greater responsibility for their impact on the environment through C02 emission off-set programs.
So, is the US now a partner of the UN??
Does Kofi Annan now run the Treasury Dept. or lobby Congress?

hunter

And Kofi, in further clarifications, explained that ‘it is clearly a Zionist plot’.

hunter

Seriously- AGW propaganda has become as predictable and boring as

wws

I apologize for this being off topic to this thread – couldn’t find the appropriate e-mail address. Moderator, please delete this post, but do look at this link – I think it is very eye-opening and would be well worth a thread of it’s own.
Lawrence Solomon: Who came up with the idea for a CO2 cap and trade system originally? Why Enron, of course. No wonder it was designed to be nothing but a massive money transfer scam from the top.
http://network.nationalpost.com/np/blogs/fpcomment/archive/2009/05/30/lawrence-solomon-enron-s-other-secret.aspx

cassandraclub

“which exacerbates existing threats — mainly malnutrition, ”
Yeah right. Turning foodcrops into ethanol for driving also exacerbates malnutrition. Using fertile land for growing biofuels als exacerbates malnutrition.
Thank you very much Greenpeace, thank you Mr. Gore for introducing biofuels as an answer to peakoil the climate crisis.

Sean

Most of the commentary on this article misses a more important point. Probably the most prominent program for mitigating greenhouse gasses in the US is to convert food crops, corn and soy beans, into biofuels. Last year when the price of grains skyrocketed because of shortages, the money allocated to programs to alleviate famine throughout the world only went about half as far as it could have without biofuel inflated prices. Oxfam estimated that 30 million more people starved as a result. If only 1% of this group starved as a result of the diversion of food to fuel, that’s 300,000 people. I suspect the toll is greater. In other words, you can make a much more plausible case for climate mitigation stratagies resulting in the deaths of hundreds of thousands of people. With a little bit of digging, I would be you could even get stats that could withstand review by Dr. Pielke.

sylvain
DaveE

hunter (13:57:53) :
Did you read the YouTube comments?
Hilarious
DaveE.

Christian Bultmann

300,000 people is unfortunate but a small number in consideration that millions die every year caused by ill-conceived environmental politics.

Leon Brozyna

Talk about a contradiction in terms: government work.
Governments don’t work, they take. The smaller they are, the less they take, the more is left for working people to use. And I’ll leave it at that before I let loose with a frothing at the mouth diatribe.

page48

What a crock!

Douglas DC

Why do people like Annan, Gobachev and the Profit,Algore, get to head these organizations, or do they start them to fund their copious retirements?
I think I know…

JimB

“I have yet to see any of Indur Goklany’s papers in any of the mainstream media, yet they are much more scientific!”
You folks keep wanting to see “truth” in the media. It’s just not going to happen. This is not a “factual” debate. This is money, plain and simple. They can hide behind whatever headline they wish. 90% of the population that can read it’s up each and every dire headline in the 15 seconds of attention they commonly allocate to any given piece of information, and they move on.
This is fighting a hydra that can grow 10 new heads as quickly and as easily as 1 can be chopped off.
This battle isn’t about truth and facts. It’s about money. And when we finally reach the tipping point where enough people are looking at their paycheck and saying “Hey…WAIT A MINUTE…”, it’s just going to keep on rolling.
JimB

Frederick Michael

It wouldn’t be hard to do a rough calculation of the number of lives saved by global warming. The increase in crop growth as a function of CO2 is well known. The longer growing season in some areas has even been implied by some of the alarmist lit. Together, they provide a lot of agricultural increase — which could be estimated. That could be translated into people not starving, simply by dividing by the amount of food that it takes to feed one person. This would be a MUCH more accurate number than their 300k guess. I’ll bet it’s bigger number too.

Adam from Kansas

Here in Kansas we’re having our first 90 degree days of the year, before anyone asks they usually come around this time of the year and in 4 days a dip into the 70’s.
As far as I read extreme cold will kill more people than extreme heat as seen in previous cold periods
How much of the increasing amount of insect-borne disease cases is due to a rising population or rising rainfall amounts increasing the amount of standing water for mosquitos?

So mr. Anan, no answer me this then, 300.000 deaths due to AGW, that’s about 800 to 850 each day, now how about those other 40.000 to 50.000 each day that die because they lack sufficient medical care, food and above all water? Could you also answer me why it is that of those 40.000 to 50.000 most of them are in the age up to 5 years old? Yep that’s right, kids.
Even when there is a A in GW, then it is still a luxury problem.

Christian Bultmann (14:30:00) :
300,000 people is unfortunate but a small number in consideration that millions die every year caused by ill-conceived environmental politics.

Regrettably, there is NO connection between ANY symptom of actual global warming (today’s 1/4 of one degree rise since 1970) and ANY excessive deaths.
(Higher deaths from higher temperatures (in summer, even if 1/4 of one degree can actually be tracked into a heat wave death incident) are more than offset by reduced deaths in winter due to higher (average) winter temperatures.
More CO2? 12% to 27% MORE plant growth, more food, fuel, fodder, fuel, and feasts.
More growing season? Fewer deaths.
More area available to plant? Fewer deaths.
Sea level rise? Not measureable. Can’t kill someone from a 2 mm rise!
Droughts? No, not from global warming.
Tornadoes? No. Fewer tornadoes recently. Fewer hurricanes also. Real world = Less storms recently. Fewer actual deaths.

Now, I will grant that KOFI murdered 300,000 people through HIS starvation and DDT-restrictions and conversion of fuel and food into ethanol and higher taxes and higher oil charges and higher food prices and economic losses CAUSED by HIS (and the democrat’s) fears of AGW …..

Back in the 60´s the mosquito transmitting malaria and dengue was erradicated from Peru, South America, thanks to DDT, until…:
Malaria, which could have been conquered 20 years ago, is still the single most important tropical disease and a major obstacle to the economic and social development of vast areas of the world. Before the discovery of the pesticide DDT in the early 1940s, there were at least 300 million cases in the world annually, and more than 3 million of those who were stricken died each year. Thanks to the pesticide DI3T, millions of lives were saved from malaria’s grip in the years immediately following World War II. There was hope that DDT would bring an end to this mass killer, once and for all.
But it did not happen, because of an irrational campaign of fear against pesticides, launched in the United States by Rachel Carson and her book Silent Spring

http://www.mitosyfraudes.org/Ingles/Killer.html
Íf I say what I think of that UN bureaucrat…my post would be snipped, so you must interpret my thoughts…&%#&

Nice example of government work in the photo! Seems the same level of care was taken with this report-nicely stated.

Mr.Kofi (Coffee?, I beg your pardon) Annan: Why don´t you and all the UN bureaucrats quit, so we the free people of the earth can apply all those resources to fight hunger in the world?

BrianMcL

Aron, I’d be very careful about accusing GG about having any link with Iraq’s oil for food programme.
He’s made some very robust defences against accusations of impropriety and frequently resorts to court action to defend his reputation.
If I were you I’d either cite some evidence or prepare for a knock on the door.
Perhaps the mods might want to think about this as well.
After all, George has been accused of many things but I’ve never seen him linked to global warming before.

Steven Hill

300,000 less people to pollute, add them to the 50 million that never had a chance to.

John F. Hultquist

Well, again I don’t believe this has anything to do with climate, gases, mileage requirements, and so on. It is that some people (aka democracy haters and by other names) believe certain countries have unfairly taken advantage of many billions of people and have prevented them from leading a better life. Climate change is the current perceived issue that will allow them to redistribute the wealth equitably. Cbullitt (13:36:51) makes the point bluntly that this will not work just as past wealth transfers have not worked. Only the issue changes. The solution is always the same and the non-results predictable. This is where one says, “When you keep doing something the same way and it never works, you should do something else.” Fat chance.

Steven Hill

Have you noticed the series on the History Channel, life after man? It’s like these people want man to die out so the planet can be natural again? Or what exactly is the message?

UN Sec-Gen Kofi Annan presided over the murders of half a million people in Darfur. He said nice words, but did nothing but watch the bloodletting.
A Wall St. Journal editorial on the corrupt Kofi Annan, including Rwanda, Darfur and the UN’s Oil-for-Food corruption: click

Interesting but not surprising to see how New Scientist magazine reported this story : headline reads “Climate change could kill 500,000 a year by 2030” . Beat up of a beat up?
http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn17218-climate-change-could-kill-500000-a-year-by-2030.html

jack mosevich

OT: In case you all missed it: 3 nut-jobs are planning to kite ski across Greenland to, you guessed it, raise awarness of global warming. I suppose they will wear tee shirts since it will be so warm.
See: http://algorelied.com/?p=1957

Mike McMillan

Increased CO2 has raised crop yields 15 to 20%. I suggest that has saved far more than 300K lives.
Nothing increases life span and quality more than raising the standard of living, and nothing is more closely correlated with that than energy usage.

Robert Wood

I wrote my first letter to The Times when I was sixteen – a couple of years ago 🙂
This time, I had a hard time remaining civil; ‘though I did.

maz2

Related.
“In the climate-change debate, the companies on the ‘environmental’ side have the most to gain.
First in a series.
By Lawrence Solomon
We all know that the financial stakes are enormous in the global warming debate — many oil, coal and power companies are at risk should carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases get regulated in a manner that harms their bottom line. The potential losses of an Exxon or a Shell are chump change, however, compared to the fortunes to be made from those very same regulations.
The climate-change industry — the scientists, lawyers, consultants, lobbyists and, most importantly, the multinationals that work behind the scenes to cash in on the riches at stake — has emerged as the world’s largest industry. Virtually every resident in the developed world feels the bite of this industry, often unknowingly, through the hidden surcharges on their food bills, their gas and electricity rates, their gasoline purchases, their automobiles, their garbage collection, their insurance, their computers purchases, their hotels, their purchases of just about every good and service, in fact, and finally, their taxes to governments at all levels.
These extractions do not happen by accident. Every penny that leaves the hands of consumers does so by design, the final step in elaborate and often brilliant orchestrations of public policy, all the more brilliant because the public, for the most part, does not know who is profiteering on climate change, or who is aiding and abetting the profiteers.
Some of the climate-change profiteers are relatively unknown corporations; others are household names with only their behind-the-scenes role in the climate-change industry unknown. Over the next few weeks, in an extended newspaper series, you will become familiar with some of the profiteers, and with their machinations. This series begins with Enron, a pioneer in the climate-change industry.”
http://network.nationalpost.com/np/blogs/fpcomment/archive/2009/05/30/lawrence-solomon-enron-s-other-secret.aspx

Mr Lynn

Mentioned above, also Linked from Benny Peiser’s CCNet:
http://network.nationalpost.com/np/blogs/fpcomment/archive/2009/05/30/lawrence-solomon-enron-s-other-secret.aspx

The climate-change industry — the scientists, lawyers, consultants, lobbyists and, most importantly, the multinationals that work behind the scenes to cash in on the riches at stake — has emerged as the world’s largest industry. Virtually every resident in the developed world feels the bite of this industry, often unknowingly, through the hidden surcharges on their food bills, their gas and electricity rates, their gasoline purchases, their automobiles, their garbage collection, their insurance, their computers purchases, their hotels, their purchases of just about every good and service, in fact, and finally, their taxes to governments at all levels. . .

And according to this article, this industry has been actively involved in suppressing and discrediting skeptical scientists.
Hence the zeal to get a ‘successor to Kyoto’, creating a world-wide cap-and-trade regime, and hence the flurry of pre-Copenhagen alarmist articles, like the bogus UN ‘study’ that claims 300K deaths each year caused by ‘climate change’.
This is a train that will not stop unless derailed. Complaints on obscure (to most people) Web sites are just pissin’ into the wind. We need a prominent voice to stand up and cry “Stop! It’s not true!” And then a way to undercut the flow of money to the ‘climate change’ industry.
/Mr Lynn

Solar Cooling

New Solar Cycle Prediction
May 29, 2009: An international panel of experts led by NOAA and sponsored by NASA has released a new prediction for the next solar cycle. Solar Cycle 24 will peak, they say, in May 2013 with a below-average number of sunspots.
http://science.nasa.gov/headlines/y2009/29may_noaaprediction.htm?list46030

Heh, the methedology is highly dodgy too. Basically they factored out the change in disasters from earthquakes in order to remove things like urbanisation, increase in population, from the change in disasters from storms and floods. Riiight….
More details including link to their “methodology” extract here:
http://softestpawn.wordpress.com/2009/05/29/climate-change-kills-300000-a-year-at-a-guess/
which should give you plenty to get your teeth into, if you’re interested.

Hank Hancock

The thermodelusionists need perceived fear, disease, death, and destruction to advance their agenda. If they can’t base their fear mongering on real data, fabricated and indefensible data will do.
It seems fear is the “cover all bases” component of the AGW threat. It works like this… I would be much more willing to hand over my wallet to someone holding me at gun point than to someone who asks for my money politely. As to the case of the person holding the gun, I don’t believe I would ask if the gun is loaded. Neither would I ask if he can shoot straight in the event the gun is loaded. Giving up my money seems a small price to pay to not have to risk finding out. So it goes with the AGW bandalaros. It doesn’t matter if they have any real ammunition. Most won’t ask. They’ll just hand over their money and believe they made the safer, wiser choice.

Wansbeck

Close enough for government work?
Not even good enough for “Pit Work”

Philip Johns

Good work, as usual. Strange though, that the quotes from Pielke jump straight to points 2 and 3, skipping the preamble …
Let me say first that human-caused climate change is an important problem requiring our utmost attention. Second, the effects of disasters, particularly in poorer countries, is also an important problem that to some degree has been overlooked, as I have argued for many years.
So if the UN’s report lacks the rigour of a proper scientific study where can we turn for the truth? What we need is a report authored by academics at Professorial level at least, commissioned by a proper University and published in a top-flight journal, say The Lancet. I wonder if such a study exists? Well, lookee here
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2009/may/13/climate-change-health-impact

Stephen Skinner

Amazing really. I thought we were losing the battle against Malaria because the various parasites was becoming resistant to antimalerial drugs. So all we have to do is drive less. Brilliant!

AnonyMoose

But it’s printed on paper, so it must be true!

Philip_B

I used to think United Nations sponsored AGW was a scam, albeit the biggest scam the world has ever seen.
I now realize it’s primarily about the desperate need of secular liberals for an apocalyptic religion. The scam is just riding on back of the religous aspect.

Hank Hancock

Paul Reiter, renowned scientist of The Insects and Infectious Disease Unit, Institut Pasteur, Paris, doesn’t buy into the notion that global warming spreads malaria.
His abstract concludes: “Simplistic reasoning on the future prevalence of malaria is ill-founded; malaria is not limited by climate in most temperate regions, nor in the tropics, and in nearly all cases, “new” malaria at high altitudes is well below the maximum altitudinal limits for transmission. Future changes in climate may alter the prevalence and incidence of the disease, but obsessive emphasis on “global warming” as a dominant parameter is indefensible; the principal determinants are linked to ecological and societal change, politics and economics.”
http://climateresearchnews.com/2008/12/malaria-and-global-warming/

Don Shaw

OT but here is NASA’s latest prediction on the solar cycles.
http://science.nasa.gov/headlines/y2009/29may_noaaprediction.htm

Ron de Haan

Kofi Annan is one of the most corrupt UN leaders ever:
His son was involved in the oil for food scandal in Iraq and now he is part of the pr machine with the objective to put us in green shackles.
When this guy opens his mouth, take a step back because all he produces is BS.
P.s He is good friend of Oama who is producing BS as well.