Still lots of cold air coming in from the Arctic. Looks like the heat wave in NYC is coming down too. Only 8 days until the summer solstice, the sunlight distribution on our sphere is looking pretty much like a sine wave:
Still lots of cold air coming in from the Arctic. Looks like the heat wave in NYC is coming down too. Only 8 days until the summer solstice, the sunlight distribution on our sphere is looking pretty much like a sine wave:
Chilly?? It’s been hotter than heck on the East coast lately. I traveled from Delaware to South Carolina this weekend and it was hot THE WHOLE WAY down. I tried to go jogging on Saturday and felt like my lungs were going to collapse. It may be cooling nationwide, but in some areas it’s still business as usual hotness-wise. And to see my CARTOONS click on my name link.
I think it’s warmer than normal in the SE. Here in DC my outside thermometer reads 95. Intellicast says BWI is at 83 but after checking the METAR, I see that info is over an hour old.
KBWI 121454Z 06008KT 040V100 10SM SCT250 28/16
At least the temperature/dew point spread isn’t making it unbearable. This is August weather but not unusual. When I first moved to the area in 1975, conditions were similar.
There’s a Bermuda high plus two high points in the south which are pushing Caribbean air this way. Doesn’t look like the cold wave cooling the west coast will get here in the next couple of days but the Bermuda high is dissipating so there will be some relief.
But that sure looks mighty chilly on the west coast. Y’all can come get some of the heat here if you want. You’re welcome to it.
wow! how inconvenient this truth must be to someone.
Truth’s a very sharp tool
but dull it just a wit
and by it you’ll be bit.
Interesting, but I suspect it was a trifle warmer if you took that a week ago.
Anthony, you don’t have an image with fronts and isobars on you right sidebar.
Just curious as to why.
REPLY: Probably due to my internal forecaster bias that I tend to look at satellite images and analyse what is going on rather than rely on frontral maps. Working on the west coast, you learn to rely on sat imagery far more than frontal maps becuase the data sparseness in the Pacific usually makes them inaccurate.
Speaking of the sun, global warming is a total scam. Anyone who believes it, I put the question to you, why is it that Mars, Neptune, and far off, icy Pluto are heating up? Cow farts in space? Come on… I wrote an article thoroughly debunking the main points of “global warming” you guys might want to check out.
http://warofillusions.wordpress.com/2008/04/18/they-blinded-us-with-pseudoscience-the-global-warming-con/
That is a cool graphic of the sunlight distribution.
We had three or four hot days, and it is back to sweaters here in Vermont.
DAV,
You mean today?? If so I suggest you check the thermometer placement. I work in DC and it is nowhere near 95 today. It was a few days ago, but that heat broke on Tuesday night. Weather.com is reporting 87 right now.
10 day forecast shows near normal temps for the next 4-5 days, then a cold snap with temps in the high 70s to low 80s, a tad below normal.
DAV,
Definitely some UHI going on. Annandale, right outside the beltway is reporting 87, DC is reporting 90. That’s a 3 degree difference in temp in about 7-10 miles
Here on the South/Central West Coast of Florida all is normal. Nice days around 91 (give or take a couple of degrees), clear, teal waters at about 86 degrees, lush green vegetation due to recent summer afternoon thunderstorms (and some extra CO2). The only complaint I have about this time of year is that this is when they “punch” and dress the greens so it makes for some bumpy putting for a couple of days.
Anthony:
I would think the West Coast and Eastern Canada would be affected more than the East coast due to the PDO shift to cold cycle. With the shift, the high pressures born in the Pacific would not have the same level of strength to push the jet stream further north and allow for the heat from the tropics to come as far north as in a warm PDO phase. Where as the Gulf of Mex., a much shallower ergo responsive body of water and not as affected by deep ocean currents would still be able to heat up, adding additional heat and moisture to the air masses coming up from there. In the event of a cold PDO, the border between colder polar air and warmer gulf air would track further south on average. In a warm phase, the high pressure systems would be warmer, and have more more strength to push the jet stream further north, move that line cold/warm border further north. Is my logic on the right track or am I missing something? Thanks in advance.
Bill,
Yep, today. I get about 3-4F higher in the mornings probably because of direct and reflected sunlight. Currently have 93F but both KFME and KBWI are reporting 86F. Reagan (KDCA) is reporting 90F. (all within last 15 minutes).
Yeah, I think its UHI. Both BWI and FME are more open country. I live less than 5 miles from the edge of Ft. Meade but lots more asphalt here.
Let’s see, at 1339UTC today it was 38F at my mountain home south of Denver (at 8250 ft). The hummingbirds started arriving about a month ago, but they seem puzzled at the concept of feeders that are sometimes frozen first thing in the morning.
I’m heading up to the Pacific Northwest & Alaska next month on vacation. I really know how to pick ’em, eh?
“the sunlight distribution on our sphere is looking pretty much like a sine wave”
Kind of an inside joke there Anthony, but it could be interpreted by those unfamiliar with seeing a Sun terminator graphic that something has changed.
Everyone, that global map is simply showing sunrise and sunset.
Seen On The Net… (Yaaaaayyy!)
***
Estate owners sue Greenpeace for prediction 11/06/2008 00:00
The organisers’ graphic prediction on how global warming will affect La Manga has caused sales of houses in the coastal area to drop by 50 percent.
11 June 2008
MADRID – A group of real estate developers and property owners in La Manga del Mar Menor – a spit of sandy, low-lying coastal land and Murcia’s premier beach resort – are threatening to take Greenpeace to court over its graphic predictions of what global warming may do to the area, which they say have caused house prices to plummet.
The lawsuit, which the plaintiffs plan to present unless Greenpeace agrees to an out of court settlement of almost EUR 30 million in damages, comes more than six months after La Manga featured prominently in a photo book published by the environmental organisation that was intended to shock Spain into action on climate change.
Along with photos of a dried up Ebro River in Zaragoza and a desert in an area of Valencia now filled with lemon and orange groves, the book, Photoclima, shows digitally modified photos of La Manga submerged in water with only the tops of hotels, apartment blocks and palm trees emerging from the blue Mediterranean.
Greenpeace says the book is a graphic portrayal of the conclusions of the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which has predicted that global warming will cause sea levels to rise around the world over the coming decades.
“We want to create alarm and a call to action,” Juan López de Uralde, Greenpeace’s director in Spain, said when the book was published.
The photographs certainly caused alarm in La Manga. According to José Ángel Abad, a lawyer who has taken up the case of the area’s aggrieved developers and home owners, prices have plunged by “50 percent” in recent months – a dramatic fall even in light of the end of a nationwide house price boom.
Manipulation
“Greenpeace manipulated the expected rise in sea levels of half a metre to cause alarm. It has sunk the real estate market: no one is buying and everyone has put their apartments up for sale,” Abad claims.
He says his clients are seeking EUR 27 million in damages to cover the decrease in the value of their properties.
However, Greenpeace has no intention of settling out of court, arguing that the La Manga property owners are trying to “blackmail” it into footing the bill for their speculation in the real estate market.
“They’re trying to blame Greenpeace and its campaign for the problems they have encountered in a market saturated thanks to real estate speculation,” Uralde said this week. “We are not going to be intimidated.”
Mike from Canmore:
I think the PDO would have more of an effect on the Western third of North America then elsewhere.
The warmer waters in the central Pacific would favor high pressure forming further west then if the PDO was positive, meaning the arctic air would have a tendency to go further west then during a positive PDO.
There is a good writeup here: http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~mantua/REPORTS/PDO/PDO_egec.htm
“The North American climate anomalies associated with PDO are broadly similar to those connected with El Niño and La Niña, though generally not as extreme (Latif and Barnett 1994, Trenberth and Hurrell 1994, Latif and Barnett 1996, Zhang et al. 1997, Mantua et al. 1997). Warm phases of PDO are correlated with El Niño-like North American temperature and precipitation anomalies, while cool phases of PDO are correlated with La Niña-like climate patterns. PDO variability is strongly expressed in regional snow pack and stream flow anomalies, especially in western North America (see Cayan 1995, Mantua et al. 1997, Bitz and Battisti 1999, Hamlet and Lettenmeier 1999), and may also influence summer rainfall and drought in the US (Nigam et al. 1999).”
Also, negative PDO’s mean more La Nina’s, and weaker and less frequent El Nino’s.
By the way, we went to Canmore last September while visiting the Rockies. The scenery there is breathtaking, gorgeous mounains everywhere you look. You are fortunate to live there (I am assuming you mean Canmore, Alberta).
Here in Saskathcewan the current weather patterns are very problematic: Due to the general coolness, the jetstream is further south than normal, which means we’ve been having cool, dry weather – ok, little bit of rain today, but no good soakings yet. Which is critical for farmers – I know farmers who might loose the canola harvest, because the rain up to date has not been enough to soak the top dry 2 inches of soil. There is a lot of moisture deeper, but if we don’t get enough rain, the seed won’t germinate and grow till where it reaches the moisture zone. If it rains just a little bit, it germinates, but doesn’t reach the deeper moisture zone, and then dies. So yes, this weather ain’t good for us.
G Alston (10:55:12) :
The EU is even more devoted to AGW than is Al Gore. Greenpeace will argue it is only repeating what the UN through the IPCC has said. Also, the EU seems hellbent on socialism. I’ve seen at least one reference to the “Supreme Soviet in Brussels.” The rule making body of the EU seems answerable to no one. What do they care about the problems of rich landowners? Better yet, why would they abrogate the major raison d’etre for many EU regulations?
Wanna bet on the outcome?
Another nail in the coffin of the UN/IPCC is this peer reviewed paper. Here’s an excerpt, pointing out the steady rise in global temperature over the past several hundred years, at least:
“The fact that an almost linear change has been progressing, without a distinct change of slope, from as early as 1800 or even earlier (about 1660, even before the Industrial Revolution), suggests that the linear change is natural change. As shown at the top diagram of Figure 1, a rapid increase of CO2 began only after 1940. As far as the gradient of the linear change is concerned, it can roughly be estimated to be about 0.5°C/100 years based on Figures 3, 4, 5, 6, and 7. It is very interesting to recognize that this gradient is almost comparable with the IPCC’s estimate of 0.6°C/100 years.” [authors’ emphasis]
In other words, the Earth has been warming at essentially the same rate since well before the Industrial Revolution. That fact alone destroys the claim that human activity has any measurable effect on the climate.
When a hypothesis [in this case, AGW] has been decisively falsified, then that hypothesis is no good, and must be entirely rejected. As Einstein said in response to a letter signed by 100 scientists who claimed that his theory of relativity was wrong: ”To defeat relativity one did not need the word of 100 scientists, just one fact.”
The fact that the planet has been warming at the same rate during the past 100 years that it has since the 1600’s is an astonishingly effective falsification, refuting anthropogenic global warming. The AGW hypothesis will never recover from that fact alone.
source:
http://www.iarc.uaf.edu/highlights/2007/akasofu_3_07/Earth_recovering_from_LIA.pdf
I’ll be driving through Canmore on the 21st and 22nd on a whirlwind tour of Banff so I’ll see for myself.
(Got work in Calgary the 23rd-25th)
I can attest to the more effect on the in the western US. It snowed on Tuesday where I live (Moscow Idaho). The low was 34, one off from the record. I been like this all year, a little colder then normal and a lot colder then last year. Last year at this time I was swimming in the outdoor pool wondering why they wait so long to open it.
“The AGW hypothesis will never recover from that fact alone.” DAV
Yes, but where will all that fanaticism go next? And who is stirring it up? And why? Since the government education system has had a near monopoly on education in the US, the onus is on it to explain just why it is not to blame. Blaming the parents won’t do, since THEY were educated by the government schools too.
why is it that Mars, Neptune, and far off, icy Pluto are heating up?
Steve, not that I disagree with your position, but I personally will not use the above as evidence. I have not been able to find any of the research that confirms that statement. Now if you can point me to the scientific research / links that confirm it….
All the anecdotal stuff is nice, but here are the facts. 🙂
– Through May, 2008 had been the coldest year in the U.S. since 1993. And 1993 was still feeling the cool from the Pinatubo eruption.
– The first 11 days of June featured an extreme temperature contrast between the western and eastern U.S. Draw a line from Tucson, AZ to Minneapolis, MN…and basically everyone west and north of that line has been cold, everyone south and east has been warm. Many cities in the West, including Seattle, Portland, Spokane, Missoula, Boise, and Salt Lake City have experienced record cold, while Eastern cities like Boston, NYC, Philadelphia, DC and Richmond have had record warmth. Things look to even out a bit over the next week or two.
Sonic,
Check out the NASA website lots of information there. It’s pretty easy to navigate.
Ralph S (12:02:34) :
Even the pdf you linked shows the multiple interpretations possible in the temperature record. I don’t think it can be said that the temperature record has “an astonishingly effective falsification” of AGW. In fact, if it were so obvious, the IPCC and “the consensus” would have to be deliberately deceptive to be saying otherwise (IOW: abject liars). While it is likely true that many climatologists have AGW bias and are closet greens, but I doubt that they are callously dishonest.
Still it would be interesting to see the rebuttal of this paper. Too bad it wasn’t peer-reviewed (or was it?).
Steve Stip (12:38:29) :
Good question. You can bet it will be to yet another emotional issue along with same appeals to emotion: “for YOUR future”, “for YOUR children”, “for YOUR quality of life”, “for YOUR safety”, etc. It will also continue to push for changes that will permit invasive control of others. It goes without saying the control would be a double plus good.
Ralph S.: Another nail in the coffin of the UN/IPCC is this peer reviewed paper.
If the paper of Syun-Ichi Akasofu that you referenced was peer-reviewed, where was it published? I can’t see any evidence that it’s anything but a samizdat.
Here near the 45th parallel we’re finally having the weather for which we endure the winter; sunny, breezy, low 70’s.
Lots of rain for boaters, also promising for those farmers not in corn this season.
Here in Montana, we had a hard frost most places on the 11th of June. The high where I live was only 48 yesterday with a stiff wind. The Beartooth Mountains are still accumulating snow, and we are expecting high water when it finally warms up. If it warms up.
SONIC! —
Here’s another starting point…
“Look to Mars for the truth on global warming”
http://www.nationalpost.com/story.html?id=edae9952-3c3e-47ba-913f-7359a5c7f723&k=0
DAV —
“Wanna bet on the outcome?”
We *know* what the outcome will be — this time. And we know the Europe is descending into socialist hell, and has been doing so for years; socialist policies have made it too expensive to have kids, and the Europeans aren’t reproducing in enough numbers to sustain the population. And that’s exactly why this was an important article. Despite the certainty of the outcome and the politics being what they are, these people are going after greenpeace anyway. That’s what’s called a clear message. The greens are now being taken on and fought. It won’t be long before the greens will lose some battles. But before that can happen, it has to be proven that they can and ought to be fought. This does that.
Last October we took a fall color tour to Traverse City MI. But there were no fall colors because the temperature during the day was still above 80. That’s almost 20 degrees above normal for that time of year. We went swimming in the Grand Traverse bay on Oct 8. That’s almost unheard of.
This year we are planning a summer vacation there next week. But now the forecast calls for high temps in the low 60s. That’s a bit brisk for swimming. Normal high should be 77. We’ll hope the forecast is wrong.
I remember someone at dot Earth screaming about the hot summer of 2007 claiming every part of the USA had record-breaking heat. It never happened, it was yet another false memory induced by a media stampede. There was a stalled high pressure area over the northwest & rockies that made them hot, but the majority of the 48 was cooler than normal.
I pointed it out. The poster never ack’d.
What really gets me is the near religiosity of these AGWers… you’d think one little cite would give them an opportunity to become a bit more agnostic, recant some of the doom & gloom, but they’re fact-resistant. It’s as if if they recant on one point then their apostasy will doom them to purgatory or something.
Ralph S:
Thank you. Goes to show you what kind of consensus there really is. Akasofu is no lightweight either:
http://www.iarc.uaf.edu/people/indiv/iarc_all_staff.php?photo=sakasofu
What boggles my mind is that the IPCC juggernaught continues to trundle along, Al Gore blowing smoke up everyone’s butt, etc.
Long range models show a pattern flip starting Monday for most of the eastern half of the country with highs in the 70’s for at least a week in many places in the Midwest that normally see 83 – 85 this time of the year.
One thing that has seemed to occur often over the last ten years or so is that warm years (globally) have tended to coincide with very warm January’s in the NH. This year had a below average January (of course, depending on the baseline you choose), so if the trend continues expect this year to be average or slightly above at the most.
Well, it has been conclusively proven that humans are the cause of temperature rise, particularly when they gather en masse in places like cities.
Why, the hot air from the politicians alone is worth probably 10 degrees F.
Dr. S.I. Akasofu’s paper doesn’t appear to have been published in a peer-reviewed format.
Compare it to the many screeds of Dr. James Hansen: http://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/
Where do you want to place your bets?
DAV,
Sorry! I attributed a Ralph H post to you.
How did I do that?
Oh, well
Perhaps a few rolls of duct tape properly applied in DC would end the heat wave. Nah. Bad idea. Could trigger another Ice Age.
Earle W.
Some of that stuff on Hansen’s site is priceless.
http://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailings/20080604_TaxAndDividend.pdf
My favorite line: No bureaucracy is needed to figure this out.
Hansen has a messiah complex. Perhaps some day it will be properly diagnosed.
And as the white coats pry him from his word processor, he will be screaming of government censorship.
Jeez,
My head hurts. I read some of Hansen’s article. Ouch! Did he ever get past age 12? When I was that age, the solutions to the world’s problems seemed obvious if only I was made supreme dictator.
I would tell Hansen that the position of God was taken long ago.
My apologies for the peer review misinformation, which was provided to me along with the paper. I should have verified it before posting here. It does appear to be samizdat, but Dr Akasofu has received numerous comments on the paper, which he responds to.
Dr Akasofu is now retired, but he still writes on global warming. A sample can be found here [thanx to leebert]:
http://people.iarc.uaf.edu/~sakasofu/climate.php
Also, some info on other planetary warming in the Solar System [not peer reviewed, I’m not making that mistake twice!]:
http://www.redicecreations.com/specialreports/2006/11nov/solarsystemwarming.html
Anthony,
Newt Gingrich has a site called “American Solutions” (http://www.americansolutions.com/) which is offering a petition to Congress to urge members to allow for more oil drilling in the US. Nearly 2/3 of a million people have signed it thus far. I should think that this number would greatly increase if you feature his site here. Interested?
The clash of the cold and hot air has really caused some serious flooding in the Plains. The Cedar River in IA is expecting a crest of 32ft. The old record is 20ft. This is probably the most extreme at this point, but the flooding is widespread and many major interstates have sections closed down in the region. As well as many county roads. Not to mention many small towns literally paralyzed from the floods.
Flooding was a problem earlier this Spring in this region between the record or near record snow melt off and the rains. It did dry out some after that, but the ground was still saturated.
I’ll be real curious to see what happens downstream of the Mississippi River when all this water drains in. And what happens with the storminess in the coming weeks. The jet stream really needs to head north.
Wonder, also, about crop damage and it’s extent. Food prices might get even worse later this year. Crops drying up in Canada and drowning in the States. Not a good scenario.
In fact, if it were so obvious, the IPCC and “the consensus” would have to be deliberately deceptive to be saying otherwise (IOW: abject liars).
Not necessarily.
The IPCC is a political entity and is using science to support a political program. Just like politicians at the national level.
What I find disturbing is,
1. The extreme reluctance almost everywhere to criticize what is clearly a political process at the UN.
2. The widespread attempts by scientists and science institutions to suppress any kind of dissent or contrary view. This is profoundly anti-scientific and will seriously damage science and it’s achievements.
Phillip_B
Science is terrifying to many. For instance, is has given us the H-Bomb, biological warfare, etc. If one has a lot of money, its benefits, except for medical advances, are not that important. Who needs robots when one can afford servants?
“A mind is a dangerous thing to educate” is the true motto of the ruling elites.
Don’t forget that as crops drown in the midwest, they’re extremely stressed for water in the southeast due to drought.
As a former supporter of AGW (Alaskans for Global Warming), I just got back from the east coast and after a week of mid ninetys I can say that I am completely in favor of all you people in the lower 48 doing whatever is required to allow me to continue to complain that the fish are biting slow because it is near 60f and to hot.
What really gets me is the near religiosity of these AGWers
It’s not the religion that bothers me. It’s the human sacrifice.
With so many local anecdotal reports, I decided to do something different, i.e. “think global”. The last three days of global temps at http://discover.itsc.uah.edu/amsutemps/ show the lower troposphere as being warmer than the corresponding day last year. If you want the raw daily numbers, click on the “Show data as text” options, or download it directly as http://discover.itsc.uah.edu/amsutemps/data/amsu_daily_85N85S_chLT.r001.txt
While the first 11 days of June 2008 still average below the corresponding 2007 period, the latest trend is worrisome.
Yes there has been a lot of political interference over climate change.
Have any AGW deniers any condemnation of the political shenanigans of George Bush in hiring somebody from the American Petroleum Institute to be Chief of Staff for the Environment and who then proceded to emasculate reports on global warming. When it was exposed he left for a cushy job with Exxon.
/// Cooney monitored global warming policy and science for the Bush White House. Documents obtained by Greenpeace through the Freedom of Information Act reveal a trail of communication between Cooney and Exxon-funded think tanks including the George C. Marshall Institute and Competitive Enterprise Institute
Cooney’s current position with Exxon is unclear. Exxon has not revealed exactly what his role is, saying only that he’s with the company’s public affairs group in Dallas.
Cooney was hired by ExxonMobil June 2005, position as yet unknown. Was Chief of Staff at the White House Council of Environmental Quality from 2001- 2005. Before joining the Bush Administration, Cooney was a lobbyist and “Climate Team Leader” at the American Petroleum Institute. ///
Now that is what I call politicising science.
I live in Switzerland, and this morning i saw in the news that old people were dying in the east coast of United-states because of very hot temperatures. Of course they didn’t mention that in the other part of the country it was rather cold. The hysteria/propaganda of global warming makes me sick.
nice blog…
G Alston:
DAV –
“Wanna bet on the outcome?”
From SDA-
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1025586/FUEL-CRISIS-Forget-warnings-panic-pumps-Thanks-decades-government-neglect-Britain-set-lose-nearly-half-electricity-years.html
From Jennifer-
http://www.jennifermarohasy.com/blog/archives/003157.html#comments
The future is certain and the villian identified. We’ll be coming for them and their sympathisers.
Sandy, what does that have to do with a chilly June? The President can appoint anybody he wants.
In my personal opinion, Greenpeace is deranged.
Philippe, interesting note on the Switzerland news. I hadn’t heard of any huge problem with people dropping dead. Must be in the cities.
Now that is what I call politicising science. You mean the so-called “science” of the IPCC whose whole raison d’etre simply assumes that man-made warming is fact?
The politicisation and promotion to “fact” of what was a lowly hypothesis began in ’79 with Thatcher who had a BSc degree in chemistry using the “issue” to gain political power. The issue was further propelled as an excuse to downgrade the coal industry in support of nuclear power. Then came the Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research, and the self-perpetuating cycle of funding for man-made warming research, and, surprise, surprise, “scientific research” proving man-made warming. It was a scientific coup! The man-made global warming bandwagon was rolling, and a host of political and environmental groups climbed aboard, along with the MSM, and politicians, mainly liberals at first.
Even Bush is now saying AGW is true, just that we need a go slow approach to so as not to hurt our economy.
An AGWer complaining about the politicisation of science is not only the pot calling the kettle black, but the pot having produced the kettle in the first place!
“While the first 11 days of June 2008 still average below the corresponding 2007 period, the latest trend is worrisome”
Er….Walter, don’t worry. It’s called summer.
Philippe,
I live in DC and there were no deaths that I know of associated with the heat. This is because, unlike the hospitals and old folks homes in France, we have air conditioning, so the heat does not affect us as it did the French in 03.
You lose far more people to cold extremes (even in hot years) than you do to heat (a fact that the media tends to ignore completely).
Was there much coverage this past winter of the literally thousands who died of cold exposure in Afghanistan and Pakistan?
Here is the news i am talking about :
“La chaleur fait 30 victimes aux USA
Le bilan de la vague de chaleur qui touche actuellement la côte est des USA
s’est alourdi pour s’établir jeudi à plus d’une trentaine de décès, dont 15 sur la seule ville de Philadelphie. Six Personnes sont aussi mortes à New York.
Les températures ont avoisiné les 40 degrés entre samedi et mardi. Les victimes sont surtout des personnes âgées, selon les autorités sanitaires.”
I am not fluent in English, so i will not try to translate all the text. To summarize, they say that they are 15 people dead in Philadelphie and 6 in New York because of warming. Also, the temperature were near 40 degrees between saturday and tuesday. I don’t know how they know exactly that people died because of warming and not of old age. Of course, in winter, they are never talking of people dying of cold. How strange!
This news comes from Teletext on the Swiss channel.
Slightly off-topic, but germane to the ongoing discussion re: thermal solar wind effects on the polar troposphere after large aurorae (pgs 8 – 9):
http://icecap.us/images/uploads/Solar_Changes_and_the_Climate.pdf
“..Geomagnetic Storms and High Latitude Warming”
“…When major eruptive activity (i.e. coronal mass ejections, major flares) takes place and the charged particles encounter the earth, ionization in the high atmosphere leads to the familiar and beautiful aurora phenomenon. This ionization lads to warming of the high atmosphere which like ultraviolet warming of the stratosphere works its way down into the middle troposphere with time.
Here is an example of an upper level chart two weeks after a major geomagnetic storm. Note the ring of warmth (higher than normal mid-tropospheric heights) surrounding the magnetic pole….”
Whoever wrote this article (it lacks a byline & abstract) has citations at the bottom. John over at skepticalscience.com says some of the citations in the article are stale, but at least there’s some interest in the possibility of boreal heating from solar storms.
“Hansen has a messiah complex. Perhaps some day it will be properly diagnosed”
I don’t agree that he thinks he’s God. I think he believes that God answers to him 😉
“While it is likely true that many climatologists have AGW bias and are closet greens, but I doubt that they are callously dishonest.”
Perhaps not the climatologists, but I certainly wouldn’t put it past their political and politicized bosses – not to mention the media.
“Now that is what I call politicising science.”
But that’s what politicians do – they lie through their teeth.
However, if I may play devil’s advocate, sometimes you have to have an ace or two up your sleeve in order to not get completely crushed by the AGW political and media juggernaut
It’s about time we started scientificating politics.
Bill, it was not only the deaths, there were lots of amputation of frozen extremities. Their sheep and cattle died en masse. All over central Asia. A harbinger of things to come, if we are cooling long term.
=======================
to Sandy (or on the politicization of science)
Government is blunt;
can’t we agree?
So don’t use it on me
and I’ll not on thee.
I can tell you that it isn’t cold in Folsom CA. We should hit 100 degrees today. Nice graphics though. http://www.folsomnative.wordpress.com
Never got very hot in Seattle last summer. Pretty mild really.
This is the same Greenpeace that tells people GM foods aren’t tested and that if you eat them you could grow a third arm, or some other ghastly mutation. Yeah, there’s some science there, boy, let me tell you.
Ralph S.:
FWIW, my comment about Prof. Akasofu’s paper was less to call in question his credentials or the findings of his paper and more to express amazement if a dissenting view had been permitted through the highly political climatology peer-review process.
WD>> “While the first 11 days of June 2008 still average below the
WD>> corresponding 2007 period, the latest trend is worrisome”
JP> Er….Walter, don’t worry. It’s called summer.
But ditto for last year. It’s the difference that’s worrisome. June 1st 2008, we were 0.280 below June 1st 2007. As of June 12th 2008, we were 0.157 above June12th 2007, and pulling away rapidly. It’ll get even worse the next couple of days, because the temperatures actually *FELL* on 13th and 14th last year. See the numbers below; they are lower troposphere temperatures in degrees Kelvin (== Celsius + 273.12). Barring a major drop, I expect the UAH (and other global datasets) for June 2008 to be above June 2007.
Day 2007 2008
== ==== ====
01 271.913 271.630
02 271.968 271.630
03 272.031 271.704
04 272.027 271.751
05 272.076 271.824
06 272.058 271.876
07 272.066 271.982
08 272.077 272.077
09 272.083 272.133
10 272.115 272.200
11 272.143 272.226
12 272.150 272.307
In the 40s this AM in many parts of coastal NoCal. Some places over the weeked had record low highs. There will be additional opportunities for record low highs right on through the solstice.
I live in DC and there were no deaths that I know of associated with the heat. This is because, unlike the hospitals and old folks homes in France, we have air conditioning, so the heat does not affect us as it did the French in 03.