Tips & Notes

Cleaned 02/12/15

1. Be sure to check the front page of WUWT first, we often get duplicate tips here of stories already posted, sometimes days later.

2. Please remember this is not a discussion thread. Tips, notes, and links only please.

3. To put links in comments. simply copy the entire link URL and paste it into the comment. No need for code.

1,008 thoughts on “Tips & Notes


    ” Lead author Dr. Harriet Ridley, from the Department of Earth Sciences at Durham University, said: “The research presents strong evidence that industrial sulphate emissions have shifted this important rainfall belt, particularly over the last 100 years.

    “Although warming due to man-made carbon dioxide emissions has been of global importance, the shifting of rain belts due to aerosol emissions is locally critical, as many regions of the world depend on this seasonal rainfall for agriculture.

    “The role of sulphate aerosols in repositioning the ITCZ was previously identified using computer modelling, but until now no suitable climate record existed to support those ideas.”

    Compare Roy Spencer – a few % reduction in clouds is equivalent to anthropogenic CO2 global warming.

  2. This is from last week but I’m not sure if it had been posted here or not:

    UN Climate Chief: We Are Remaking The World Economy

    The United Nation’s climate chief says that reordering the global economy to fight climate change is the “most difficult” task the international body has ever undertaken.

    “This is the first time in the history of mankind that we are setting ourselves the task of intentionally, within a defined period of time, to change the economic development model that has been reigning for the, at least, 150 years, since the industrial revolution,” Figueres said.

  3. This from the BBC -“Ocean carbon release ended last Ice Age” Dated: 12th Feb 2015.

    It includes “The world’s oceans absorb about a third of the atmospheric carbon dioxide from burning fossil fuels – causing ocean acidification” and “. . . .scientists predict that as the oceans warm, their ability to absorb atmospheric carbon dioxide will be reduced, potentially leading to faster global warming.”

  4. Blocking the Sun to cope with global warming

    Modified jets spewing sulfuric acid could haze the skies over the Arctic in a few years “for the price of a Hollywood blockbuster,” as physicist David Keith of Harvard University likes to say. For a mere billion dollars a program to swathe the entire planet in a haze of sulfuric acid droplets could be ready as soon as 2020, he avers.

    That’s geoengineering, or “the deliberate large-scale manipulation of the planetary environment,” as the U.K.’s Royal Society defines it. This hazing, which mimics the cooling effect of a volcanic eruption, is so cheap that almost any country—or any random billionaire—could afford to do it, if climate change got catastrophic enough that a crash course in cooling the planet came to seem a good idea. Already, a rogue geoengineer has tried to draw down atmospheric carbon dioxide by fertilizing the ocean with iron to promote the growth of photosynthetic plankton. That’s why the U.S. National Research Council empaneled a group of scientists and other experts to take a deeper look at a variety of geoengineering options in two reports released on 10 February—after all we may need them given the rising concentration of heat-trapping atmospheric carbon dioxide, which has now touched 400 parts per million.

  5. This has been in the pipeline for sometime now and it’s just been covered by Notrickszone. It covers consensus, cholesterol and dietary advice. Now set to change. The parallels with climate science consensus are unnerving. How many years do we have to wait? Maybe one funeral at a time. In the case of the US and diet it’s 100 Million Funerals At A Time!

    “Government (Junk) Science Advances 100 Million Funerals At A Time”
    German physicist Max Planck once wisely remarked, “Science advances one funeral at a time.

    10 February 2015
    “The U.S. government is poised to withdraw longstanding warnings about cholesterol”

    10 February 2015
    Butter ISN’T bad for you after all: Major study says 80s advice on dairy fats was flawed

    And here are some articles I found earlier on the issue.

    Wall Street Journal – 2 May, 2014
    The Questionable Link Between Saturated Fat and Heart Disease
    Are butter, cheese and steak really bad for you? The dubious science behind the anti-fat crusade
    “Saturated fat does not cause heart disease”—or so concluded a big study published in March in the journal Annals of Internal Medicine. How could this be? The very cornerstone of dietary advice for generations has been that the saturated fats in butter, cheese and red meat should be avoided because they clog our arteries……..

    Our distrust of saturated fat can be traced back to the 1950s, to a man named Ancel Benjamin Keys, a scientist at the University of Minnesota. Dr. Keys was formidably persuasive and, through sheer force of will, rose to the top of the nutrition world—even gracing the cover of Time magazine—for relentlessly championing the idea that saturated fats raise cholesterol and, as a result, cause heart attacks.

    This idea fell on receptive ears because, at the time, Americans faced a fast-growing epidemic. Heart disease, a rarity only three decades earlier, had quickly become the nation’s No. 1 killer. Even President Dwight D. Eisenhower suffered a heart attack in 1955. Researchers were desperate for answers……

    Critics have pointed out that Dr. Keys violated several basic scientific norms in his study…..

    Annals of Internal Medicine – 18 March, 2014
    Dr. Rajiv Chowdhury et al
    Association of Dietary, Circulating, and Supplement Fatty Acids With Coronary Risk: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis
    Conclusion: Current evidence does not clearly support cardiovascular guidelines that encourage high consumption of polyunsaturated fatty acids and low consumption of total saturated fats.

    Primary Funding Source: British Heart Foundation, Medical Research Council, Cambridge National Institute for Health Research Biomedical Research Centre, and Gates Cambridge.

    BBC – 23 January 2015
    Scientists slow the speed of light
    A team of Scottish scientists has made light travel slower than the speed of light.

    They sent photons – individual particles of light – through a special mask. It changed the photons’ shape – and slowed them to less than light speed.

    The photons remained travelling at the lower speed even when they returned to free space……

    The speed of light is regarded as an absolute. It is 186,282 miles per second in free space.

    Light propagates more slowly when passing through materials like water or glass but goes back to its higher velocity as soon as it returns to free space again.

    Or at least it did until now……

    Guardian – 23 March 2014
    Why almost everything you’ve been told about unhealthy foods is wrong
    Eggs and red meat have both been on the nutritional hit list – but after a major study last week dismissed a link between fats and heart disease, is it time for a complete rethink?
    Last week it fell to a floundering professor, Jeremy Pearson, from the British Heart Foundation to explain why it still adheres to the nutrition establishment’s anti-saturated fat doctrine when evidence is stacking up to refute it. After examining 72 academic studies involving more than 600,000 participants, the study, funded by the foundation, found that saturated fat consumption was not associated with coronary disease risk. This assessment echoed a review in 2010 that concluded “there is no convincing evidence that saturated fat causes heart disease”……

    Butter and cheese better than trans-fat margarines, says heart specialist
    Aseem Malhotra says saturated fat is not a problem, low-fat products are often full of sugar and statins are over-prescribed

    Butter, cheese and even red meat are not as bad for the heart as has been maintained, a cardiologist has said in a leading medical journal, adding that it is time to “bust the myth” of saturated fat.
    Trans-fats found in many fast foods, bakery goods and margarine are indeed a problem, Malhotra writes in the British Medical Journal. But saturated fats in milk, cheese and meat are another matter.

    BBC – 14 October 2014
    Should people be eating more fat?
    …..Scientists from Oxford, Cambridge and Harvard, amongst others, examined the links between eating saturated fat and heart disease. Despite looking at the results of nearly 80 studies involving more than a half million people they were unable to find convincing evidence that eating saturated fats leads to greater risk of heart disease.

    In fact, when they looked at blood results, they found that higher levels of some saturated fats, in particular a type of saturated fat you get in milk and dairy products called margaric acid, were associated with a lower risk of heart disease……

    A recent study, this time published in the Scandinavian Journal of Primary Health Care, “High dairy fat intake related to less central obesity“, certainly questioned the link.

    In this study, researchers followed 1,589 Swedish men for 12 years. They found that those following a low-fat diet (no butter, low-fat milk and no cream) were more likely to develop fat around the gut (central obesity) than those eating butter, high-fat milk and whipping cream.

    To be fair there is a fightback.

    BBC – 10 February 2015
    Food fight: Row over saturated fat advice
    A row has erupted over claims that official guidance to cut down on saturated fat had been based on shaky evidence.

    In the 1970s and 80s, there was a big push away from saturated fats in the US and UK as experts cautioned they were bad for the heart.

    Scientists writing in the journal Open Heart have now argued this advice lacked the solid scientific trials needed to back it up.

    But many experts have come to the defence of the original guidelines……

  6. Glowball warming WILL cause a mega-drought! Article written by Justin Doom. Seriously, no kidding – that’s the byline.

    By the end of this century, researchers are predicting years-long dry spells exacerbated by higher temperatures, creating conditions worse than so-called megadroughts ….

    The conclusion is further evidence that human activity is having profound, harmful and long-lasting impacts on the planet….

    Since when does a model driven projection qualify as either a conclusion or evidence?

    • Since they said so!
      It is called “science” (Not to be confused with actual science. Confusing, isn’t it?).

  7. I just received an invitation to an American Association for the Advancement of Science sponsored
    “Workshop on Communicating Climate Science”, Friday March 6, 2015 at the University of Miami’s RSMAS campus. The workshop is from 8:30am – 12:00pm followed by an hour long Panel Discussion. The panelists will be :
    Mark Cane, Department of Earth & Environmental Sciences and Department of Physics & Applied Mathematics, Columbia University
    Ben Kirtman, Department of Atmospheric Science, University of Miami
    Adam Sobel, Department of Earth & Environmental Sciences and Department of Physics & Applied Mathematics, Columbia University
    Craig Setzer, Chief Meteorologist, CBS Miami

    I suspect that they will also be leading the workshop. Just for fun, I’ve registered to go, and if I get in I will send along a report. A dog in the manger, as it were.

  8. Yes the parallels between low fat diet and man caused climate change is unnerving. Honest science and research eventually won out over the consensus. Mann meet Ancel Keys, striking similarities.

    The low-fat trend all started with a persuasive physiologist in the mid-1900s by the name of Ancel Keys, many nutritionists say. Legend paints him as the kind of man who could convince anyone of anything.

    • Say, citing this consensus medical mistake would be the perfect riposte to the warmist talking point, “Would you ignore the advice of 97% of doctors?” YES, in the case of the anti-fat dogma.

  9. the appropriately named Justin Doom brings us the new big scare:

    13 Feb: Bloomberg: Justin Doom: Worst ‘Megadrought’ in 1,000 Years in U.S. Due to Global Warming
    The U.S. is facing the worst drought in 1,000 years, “driven primarily” by man-made climate change.
    By the end of this century, researchers are predicting years-long dry spells exacerbated by higher temperatures, creating conditions worse than so-called megadroughts that have been linked to the decline of American Indian cultures in the U.S. Southwest, according to an article published Thursday in the journal Science Advances.
    The conclusion is further evidence that human activity is having profound, harmful and long-lasting impacts on the planet, and will continue to threaten the environment even if carbon emissions are significantly curtailed…
    ***“What we really did in this paper was stitch the past together with the future model projections and say, ’OK, we know this warming is happening, we know it’s been dry in the past, how do those two things compare?’” Smerdon (Jason Smerdon, climate scientist at Columbia University in New York, one of the authors of the report) said in an interview…

    • And again at bullcrap broadcasting corporation …

      “The records we have of past mega-droughts are based on tree-ring width estimates, and if you think that through, that’s a little bit encouraging because it means the events weren’t so bad as to kill off all the trees. I am optimistic that we can cope with the threat of mega-drought in the future because it doesn’t mean no water – it just means significantly less water than we’re used to having from the 20th Century,” Dr Ault explained.

      A slightly different variant of doomsaying at least.

  10. “Study: Global warming skeptics know more about climate science”


    But –

    “Liberals were more likely to correctly answer questions like: “What gas do most scientists believe causes temperatures to rise?” The correct answer is carbon dioxide.”

    I can see how some skeptics would not answer that correctly since skeptics (most) seem to know that Water Vapor is the primary Green House Gas, not CO2.

  11. Plastics Weighing as Much as 191 Titanics Clog Oceans–
    From Bloomberg.
    A New Measure of calamity …. The Mass Titanic!!!!
    Of course, if 191 Titanics were plying, say, the pacific and you were drifting on a raft,
    your chances of being rescued are pretty near zero — while all the other oceans in the world would
    remain pristine.

    My reaction is amazement that environmentalism has been so successful that that’s all there is —
    seems like I see that much trash along the roads driving 15 miles to town.

  12. Some corrections for the solar reference page:

    In the section NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center Plots (updated monthly):

    “” has changed to “”

    “” has changed to

    “” has changed to

  13. Bill Maher flub @3:45 (“Germany gets 74 percent of its electricity from renewables”):

    Donald Prothero makes the same mistake in this post (I correct him in comment 12):

    Germany leads the world in having almost 75% of its electricity produced by renewable sources, with one of the highest percentages of usage of wind power in the world, and also significant solar and hydroelectric power as well.

    From the Climate Progress post Prothero linked to:

    On Sunday, Germany’s impressive streak of renewable energy milestones continued, with renewable energy generation surging to a record portion — nearly 75 percent — of the country’s overall electricity demand by midday.

    In the first quarter of 2014, renewable energy sources met a record 27 percent of the country’s electricity demand, thanks to additional installations and favorable weather.

    • There is also an interesting point at the end of this press release “Since 2013, both the JPSS and GOES programs have been included on a list of federal programs that qualify for the GAO’s “high risk” classification. According to the GAO, they were included in the list due to their vulnerabilities to fraud, waste, abuse, and mismanagement, or are most in need of transformation.”

  14. The Governor of Oregon has just resigned. He is accused of a conflict of interest in his carbon dioxide policies due to his fiance taking consulting money from Tom Steyer groups.

    There is greed and corruption in the anti-carbon dioxide movement. And the Governor of Oregon had become the poster child for that.

  15. Scheduled fossil fuel divestment protests at Yale postponed due to negative global warming:

    Yale runs two natural gas co-gen plants: one is 16MW and the other is 10MW. They also run a natural gas fuel cell (256KW, I think). Sounds to me like they kind of depend on fossil fuels to keep the lights on and the buildings heated.

    I guess as political theater it sort of falls flat when you have to move your protest into a heated building because your committed anti fossil fuel activists can’t tolerate naturally cold weather. Bear-skin coats, guys — skin your own bear.

  16. Richard Ilfeld –

    what Bloomberg failed to include in the titanic plastic oceans piece:

    13 Feb: News Ltd: Staff Writers/AP: Research shows 8.8 million tonnes of plastic dumped into world’s oceans each year
    Unlike previous studies which looked at the plastic in the oceans, Jambeck used World Bank statistics on 192 countries’ waste streams to track and estimate plastic pollution from the source…

    all MSM, incl BBC’s “Science in Action” program yesterday, are carrying this study. my fave line was in the UK Independent (and on BBC):

    13 Feb: UK Independent: Steve Connor: Plastic waste in ocean to increase tenfold by 2020
    Jenna Jambeck: “So the cumulative input for 2025 would be nearly 20 times our 2010 estimate – 100 bags of plastic per foot of coastline in the world.”…

    my first response was….what tiny proportion of the costs of just attending all the CAGW meetings over the past couple of decades would it have taken to keep on top of this problem, whether exaggerated or not?

    During United Nations climate talks taking place in Geneva, I asked Christiana Figueres, the UN’s top climate change official, whether there was a chance that some parts of the oversized and cumbersome draft text produced might see some brackets removed or consolidated in negotiations before the talks end Feb. 13.
    “Remove brackets?” Figueres asked with a smile, tapping her watch. “You should know better. It’s only February!”…
    Everything in the UN climate change negotiating process must take place at a specific time and in a specific order, even if it is not always clear…

    indeed, timing is everything:

    13 Feb: Bloomberg: Brian K. Sullivan: It’s About to Get So Cold That You Could Get Frostbite in 30 Minutes
    “By Sunday morning, wind-chill values are really low from North Dakota to the Northeast,” said Bob Oravec, a meteorologist with the U.S. Weather Prediction Center in College Park, Maryland. “Almost across the entire area, the wind chills are below zero.”
    In some cases, they will be well below zero. Cleveland may have a wind chill of minus 27 degrees Fahrenheit (minus 33 Celsius), while Buffalo will feel like minus 28, Oravec said…
    The frigid weather will also follow the Interstate 95 corridor, which serves every major city from Boston to Richmond, Virginia, well into the Deep South…
    The forecast calls for Washington to have a high of 18 on Sunday and a low of 5, according to the National Weather Service. With the wind, temperatures will feel like minus 10.
    The same holds for Philadelphia, where the wind chill may reach about minus 14 on an actual low of 2. In New York City, the low will be 3 degrees and the wind chill may reach minus 15 to minus 20…
    Even with this sort of cold, the chance of sparking a rally in natural gas markets is low, said Stephen Schork, president of the Schork Group Inc., a consulting group in Villanova, Pennsylvania.
    The cold is coming on a weekend and a holiday, which means demand is low to start with, he said…
    ***Frost on oranges, frozen oil and gas wells and real cold in the southern half of the country is what the market needs to spur a rally, he said…
    Average temperatures as much as 8 degrees below normal may reach as far as Florida through Feb. 16…

  18. I’m sorry, but the sheer irony of this made me want to post it.
    So I’ve got some mountain land that I’m looking at, and was looking at rainwater catchment and filtration systems to supply my basic water needs.
    One of the websites that I checked out was where they have (and I quote) this little gem:
    ” A report by Peter H. Gleick estimates that if no action is taken to address unmet basic human needs for water, as many as 135 million people will die from water-related diseases by 2020.”
    Couldn’t resist posting it here.

  19. A bit parochial, but our ‘Leaders’ – David Cameron, of the Tories; ‘Nick’ Clegg, of the Liberal Democrats; and Ed Milliband of Labour – have all agreed to wipe out British Industry by closing coal-fired power stations, unless they fit big, unproven, filters, and storing the CO2 underground.

    No ‘ifs’, no ‘buts’, no nukes. All depending on windmills and solar . . .
    The wind will be required to blow continuously, and they will banish clouds.

    Mind – Ed Milliband has (per the ever correct Wikipedia) does have a n ‘A’ level [School leaving qualification at 18, for the benefit of those outside England and Wales] in Physics. Cameron and Clegg, so it appears, have no scientific education post-16.
    But I expect the Green Blob has told them it’s right to do this.
    I didn’t see anything indicating that the Chinese will also close their coal-fired power stations.
    Or India, or Russia, or Germany . . . .

    So futile, gesture politics, that harm the UK [they can’t all still be taking Brezhnev’s shilling, can they?], but do no discernible good for the planet.

    Auto – deeply depressed by the whole foul jamboree of politics in the UK.

  20. Love seems to be creeping into the activists’ climate change campaign. See below to a link to a short film from Oxfam with thespians headed by Stephen Fry reciting a Shakespeare sonnet and an attempt to persuade people to use Valentines Day “to tell the world what you love that you could lose to climate change”:

    In similar vein, but more to do with death, a talk has been advertised in Totnes, England, for 17th February to be given by Stuart Scott, IESCO Deputy Director for the North American Region and Climate Change with the International Ecological Safety Collaborative Ortganisation (established in China in 2006), on why we must act today to save all our tomorrows, with the title ‘Climate Change – galloping headlong to disaster’. Mr. Scott undertook transition training in Totnes and is the founder of the Transition University in Hawaii as well as establishing the Interfaith Declaration of Climate Change.
    He said: “There is a natural tendency for humans to be in denial about our own mortality, both individually and collectively. That is, of course, exacerbated by fossil fuel and other business interests that want to keep us buying stuff, chained to loans, and just generally increasing the wealth of the wealthy and depleting the stocks of natural resources. Even after we recognise the mortal threat we face, the denial shifts to dejection. That is the part we have to turn into action.And we have to trigger a social tipping point where governments will act on behalf of the well-being of people.”
    I don’t think I can bring myself to go to the meeting.

  21. You might be interested if you can get this BBC programme when it comes out – they just started the ads on TV for it but no start date yet – found the trailer on youtube.

    Climate Change by Numbers its on BBC4 – the BBC is largely pro-AGW so it should be interesting to watch.

  22. So, four term governor John Kitzhaber resigns amid a scandal of influence pedaling and sweet contracts for his fiancé’. Many news agencies conveniently leave out the fact the entire scandal revolves around consulting contracts to develop low carbon energy legislation for Oregon. Something in which she had limited expertise, and frankly, my dear, we did not need.

  23. Dale Vince, owner and ceo of Ecotricity, is investigated in today’s Sunday Telegraph over his possible tax avoidance and his contributions to the Labour party. Ed Milliband, the leader of the Labour party has been attacking tax avoidance recently. Coincidentally, Ed was in charge of Climate dept in the last Labour government when subsidy system that benefits Ecotricity was set up.

  24. Breaking story in NJ:

    Taxpayers in 3 counties could be on hook for millions after solar project fizzles

    “The concept behind the massive solar project sounded simple enough: borrow $88 million to install panels on public buildings in Morris, Somerset and Sussex counties and then sell excess electricity, using the revenues to pay off the debt.

    The concept was called the “Morris model,” held up nationally as an example of how to produce renewable energy through public-private partnerships. It was the second project of its kind and the previous one was hailed as a success.

    But now, nearly four years later, taxpayers could be on the hook for tens of millions of dollars the counties owe bondholders, after work ground to a halt amidst cost overruns and lawsuits.”

    Basically, the plan was great so long as state subsidies were there. Once they went away…

  25. Antony,

    I haven’t seen anything about the SurfaceStations project for quite some time. Mosher and Zeke lately have been vigorously defending adjustments in the BEST reconstruction and saying that UHI is an insignificant factor (which is counter-intuitive to me). Any recent news for the peanut gallery.

    Robert Austin

  26. A test: \textrm{arccosh} \left( \overline{ \int_{}^{} \oint \Re } \right) \sin \left(X \right) \dot{} k

    [Best to use the “Test” page link on the WUWT Home Page for this type of trial and error. .mod]

  27. Check this article which suggests that the number of small tremors in Kansas and Oklahoma related to fracking necessarily increases probability of much larger ones. Since regions have maximum credible events based on a variety of observations, I doubt this argument is valid as stated. Of course, the author is Seth Borenstein…

  28. remember this:

    10 Feb: Nature: Alexandra Witze: Climate geoengineering schemes come under fire
    Influential US group lays out which planet-cooling proposals may work — and which won’t
    “The biggest thing about the report is that the government asked for it,” says Jane Long, former associate director for energy and the environment at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory in Livermore, California, and author of a recent Nature commentary on geoengineering. “That is really important, because it legitimizes the discussion.”…
    “Hopefully this will get us an American research programme,” says Alan Robock, an atmospheric scientist at Rutgers University in New Brunswick, New Jersey.
    The Central Intelligence Agency is a major funder of the report, along with science agencies including the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration and NASA. Marcia McNutt, former director of the US Geological Survey and current editor-in-chief of Science magazine in Washington DC, led the NRC panel…

    seems the want more attention:

    15 Feb: Guardian: Ian Sample: Spy agencies fund climate research in hunt for weather weapon, scientist fears
    US expert Alan Robock raises concern over who would control climate-altering technologies if research is paid for by intelligence agencies
    A senior US scientist has expressed concern that the intelligence services are funding climate change research to learn if new technologies could be used as potential weapons.
    Alan Robock, a climate scientist at Rutgers University in New Jersey, has called on secretive government agencies to be open about their interest in radical work that explores how to alter the world’s climate.
    Robock, who has contributed to reports for the intergovernmental panel on climate change (IPCC), uses computer models to study how stratospheric aerosols could cool the planet in the way massive volcanic eruptions do…
    Last week, the National Academy of Sciences published a two-volume report on different approaches to tackling climate change…
    The $600,000 report was part-funded by the US intelligence services, but Robock said the CIA and other agencies had not fully explained their interest in the work…
    Other funders included Nasa, the US Department of Energy, and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
    The CIA established the Center on Climate Change and National Security in 2009, a decision that drew fierce criticism from some Republicans who viewed it as a distraction from more pressing terrorist concerns. The centre was closed down in 2012, but the agency said it would continue to monitor the humanitarian consequences of climate change and the impact on US economic security, albeit not from a dedicated office…
    Robock said he became suspicious about the intelligence agencies’ involvement in climate change science after receiving a call from two men who claimed to be CIA consultants three years ago. “They said: ‘We are working for the CIA and we’d like to know if some other country was controlling our climate, would we be able to detect it?’ I think they were also thinking in the back of their minds: ‘If we wanted to control somebody else’s climate could they detect it?’”
    He replied that if a country wanted to create a stratospheric cloud large enough to change the climate, it would be visible with satellites and ground-based instruments…
    Asked how he felt about the call, Robock said he was scared. “I’d learned of lots of other things the CIA had done that didn’t follow the rules. I thought that wasn’t how my tax money was spent,” he said. The CIA did not respond to requests for comment over the weekend…
    “I think this research should be out in the open and it has to be international so there won’t be any question that this technology will used for hostile purposes,” Robock said.

  29. Here’s a humorous idea for a WUWT thread:
    Compile a 50/50 list of real and fake alarmist predictions of warming effects and challenge readers to guess which ones are real.
    Inventing the made-up effects could be crowd-sourced to WUWTers initially.

    “Climate Change Is Real!”
    –Won’t it be fun to chant that if the climate turns sharply colder.

    • They forgot that they blamed climate change for INCREASED desertification of the Sahara SOUTHWARDS. There is just one problem with this claim. The Sahel has been GREENING since the droughts of the 1980s! The Sahel is just to the south of the Sahara.


      Think Progress – April 16, 2013
      In Africa, climate change is exacerbating the desertification of the continent. The Sahara Desert, which covers the majority of northern Africa, is spreading southward at a rate of 30 miles per year.

      This spread of desert sands into the semi-arid region of the Sahel is causing problems for the people who live there, as The Ecologist reported last year:


      IPCC – 2007
      …..After having concluded that the effect of changing rainfall-gauge networks on Sahel rainfall time series is small, Dai et al. (2004b) noted that Sahel rainfall in the 1990s has recovered considerably from the severe dry years in the early 1980s …..

      Abstract – 8 January 2015
      Ground- and satellite-based evidence of the biophysical mechanisms behind the greening Sahel

      After a dry period with prolonged droughts in the 1970s and 1980s, recent scientific outcome suggests that the decades of abnormally dry conditions in the Sahel have been reversed by positive anomalies in rainfall. Various remote sensing studies observed a positive trend in vegetation greenness over the last decades which is known as the re-greening of the Sahel…………a trend analysis was applied on long time series (1987–2013) of satellite-based vegetation and rainfall data, as well as on ground-observations of leaf biomass of woody species, herb biomass, and woody species abundance in different ecosystems located in the Sahel zone of Senegal. We found that the positive trend observed in satellite vegetation time series (+36%) is caused by an increment of in situ measured biomass (+34%), which is highly controlled by precipitation (+40%). Whereas herb biomass shows large inter-annual fluctuations rather than a clear trend, leaf biomass of woody species has doubled within 27 years (+103%)………

      Paper – 3 March 2014
      Local Vegetation Trends in the Sahel of Mali and Senegal Using Long Time Series FAPAR Satellite Products and Field Measurement (1982–2010)

      ………..Significant greening trends from 1982 to 2010 are consistently observed in both GEOV1 and GIMMS3g FAPAR datasets. Annual rainfall increased significantly during the observed time period, explaining large parts of FAPAR variations at a regional scale. Locally, GEOV1 data reveals a heterogeneous pattern of vegetation change, which is confirmed by long-term ground data and site visits. The spatial variability in the observed vegetation trends in the Sahel area are mainly caused by varying tree- and land-cover, which are controlled by human impact, soil and drought resilience. A large proportion of the positive trends are caused by the increment in leaf biomass of woody species that has almost doubled since the 1980s due to a tree cover regeneration after a dry-period.

      Paper- 22 August 2014
      The Re-Greening of the Sahel: Natural Cyclicity or Human-Induced Change?

      …..From the 1990s to 2000s, the rainfall increased as shown the rainfall isohyets maps (Figure 4) as well as the rainfall curve of the study area (Figure 5). This has had a positive impact on the
      environment with decreased barren lands in the study area as confirmed by Anyamba and Tucker [8] who found that the period 1994–2003 was marked by a trend towards wetter conditions with
      region-wide above normal NDVI conditions and maxima in 1994 and 1999. Our finding is also in
      keeping with previous regional-scale findings for the same period

  30. Jim Geraghty in NRO, Feb 16:

    The Temptations of Power at the State Level Are Only Bigger at the Federal Level
    Effective Wednesday, former Oregon governor John Kitzhaber is out of office . . . but he’s not out of trouble:
    The Justice Department concluded in an order last week that [Kitzhaber’s fiancée] Hayes, though unpaid, acted as a policy adviser to Kitzhaber with authority over state employees.
    Hayes has maintained she isn’t a public official and that the Oregon Government Ethics Commission has no authority over her.
    The significance of the Justice Department’s order is Hayes could face not only punishment for civil ethics violations but prosecution for official misconduct, the state’s primary public corruption statute. The crime is a misdemeanor punishable by up to a year in jail.
    The legal risks for Hayes and Kitzhaber became even more stark with Friday’s disclosure that the FBI has opened a sweeping investigation.
    Over at Hot Air, Noah Rothman speculates,

    It is a safe bet that Kitzhaber’s implosion has sent the rest of the nation’s Democratic governors, and even a few officeholders in Washington, scrambling to review their affairs. It is the very nature of green energy that its unprofitability ensures that it is only viable in the marketplace if it is subsidized at taxpayer expense. The political class’ favorability toward clean energy and the media’s deference to the project of green technology have created the perfect conditions where corruption can thrive.
    Is Kitzhaber the only politician in America with links to green projects that would not stand up to scrutiny? Don’t bet the house on it. The Democratic Party’s dream of a clean energy future is rapidly evolving into their nightmare.

    In a political landscape full of grifters, con men, narcissists, egomaniacs, power-mad micro-managers, and crooks, why does Kitzhaber stand out?
    How about his perfect example of a Democratic lawmaker reflexively attacking all critics and playing the gender card?

    He claimed, infamously, that Hayes’ critics were unnerved “by strong, successful women in the public arena,” redefining “success” in the process.
    His staff and Hayes’ bodyguards blithely ignored rudimentary public-records requests.

    How about for his ludicrous whining that unfair media coverage somehow created his ethics problem, instead of merely shining a spotlight on it? (Oh, and ask any Oregon Republican how they feel about the press coverage of Kitzhaber.)
    If Kitzhaber’s tale sounds familiar — lawmakers making money hand over fist from special interests, a powerful couple offering two for the price of one, vicious attacks on anyone who dares criticize the official narrative — Maureen Dowd reminded us who is probably still the likely favorite in the 2016 presidential race:

  31. “We’re already seeing the effects of global warming, claims study that used outdoor HEATERS for 23 YEARS to warm mountain meadows”

    “Convergent ecosystem responses to 23-year ambient and manipulated warming link advancing snowmelt and shrub encroachment to transient and long-term climate–soil carbon feedback”

  32. Amateur astronomers have spotted mysterious plumes high in the Martian atmosphere at high latitudes:

    Similar plumes have been spotted before by Hubble at heights up to 100km. But these new plumes were up 250km.

    Unprecedented! => Extreme climate change!

    Obviously these new plumes were created by those pesky little green men, trying to destroy their Martian environment for some evil purpose.

  33. the New York times has a story ” Verbal Warming: Labels . . .” in the Science Times section of Feb 17. Its moderate tone belies the deceptive and misleading contents. Would love to see someone do a complete analysis

  34. From National Park Service website (my bold):

    “A recent survey of climatologists reveals that 97% of those scientists think that global climate change is occurring presently and that human activity is the primary cause.”

    “Let’s be clear. Climate change is happening all around us, and human activities are accelerating it. The evidence is overwhelming, and the theory of global warming is sound. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), which conducted the survey above, consists of thousands of scientists from all over the world who specialize in difference aspects of climate science. A separate study by the National Academy of the Sciences drew the same conclusions.”

    No citations. I assume the NAS reference is to the Anderegg, et al, paper, which was not “by” the NAS. Can someone please point me to the IPCC-conducted survey?


    (BTW, if you click on the “climate change” link at the bottom of the page, you’ll find the phrase appears in 121 articles, with a general message of “bad humans worsening climate.”)

  35. Cold weather comes to the eastern U.S., but it is not a catastrophe. Thank the hard-working miners and drillers whose labor provides heat, light and power. Their detractors demean only themselves.

  36. Today’s E&ENEWS carries an item about the biofuel impact controversy.
    BIOFUELS: RFA’s Dinneen offers blistering critique of Searchinger research, talks future of RFS policy reform
    OnPoint: Tuesday, February 17, 2015
    “Following the release of a controversial paper by the World Resources Institute’s Timothy Searchinger on the land-use and climate change impacts of bioenergy production, the renewable fuels industry is pushing back against the research. During today’s OnPoint, Bob Dinneen, president of the Renewable Fuels Association, gives his take on the efficiency of feedstock production and the impact of biofuels on food costs. He also talks about the ongoing efforts in Congress to reform the renewable fuel standard.”

  37. The dawn of 2015 has proved to be a busy period in the Great Chevron Shakedown case. Having already beaten the Ecuadorian officials who began it and the environmental activists in the United States who supported it, Chevron went after New York attorney Steven Donziger. That unfortunate soul was eventually found liable for RICO violations, but the action hasn’t stopped yet. Now one of the “investors” who backed the cost of the extensive, fraudulent attempt to pick the energy giant’s pockets in exchange for a cut of the proceeds has had to settle in court, abandoning his long time friend Donziger and admitting that he had been “misled” into a fraudulent exercise.

    It has been extremely common for grifters and “activists” to bring nuisance suits against large companies with deep pockets in the hopes that the companies would settle quickly just to avoid a prolonged court battle. Far too often it has worked. It’s just possible that by chasing every last one of the culprits out of the shadows all across the globe, Chevron may be striking a blow here and setting a precedent which will discourage such attempts at extortion in the future.

  38. For the List of 52 Excuses for the Pause in Global Warming, there is one missing that is a hum dinger:

    Global Warming has CAUSED Global Cooling, or has at least caused Colder Winters:

    As a northeast resident, it is depressing to read every excuse on how global warming is causing the sub zero, relentless, year after year, brutal winters we have endured. It’s as if every winter is more brutal than the previous one. Almost a slap in the face to hear these lame explanations (that is, ‘excuses’).

  39. Rajendra Pachauri, the chair of the ‘respected’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, has claimed that his emails, mobile phone and WhatsApp messages have been hacked by unknown cyber criminals who used his computer devices to commit “various criminal activities”. His claims come after a 29 year old female employee at the Energy and Resources Institute, an environmental wonkshop of which Pachauri is Director General, lodged a police complaint against Mr Pachauri claiming she had received “unwanted” physical advances, emails, WhatsApp messages and handwritten notes from the chair of the IPCC.

    An article in India’s Economic Times that reported the claims, has been removed from their website following an injunction from the Delhi high court:

  40. Another Antarctic icebound ship rescue.

    The Australian fishing vessel the Antarctic Cheiftain was rescued Tuesday when the US Coast Guard icebreaker the Polar Star broke through 150 miles (240 km) of ice and towed the damaged vessel free.

    The story here correctly notes the Polar Star (WAGB-10 — commissioned 1976) is almost 40 years old and the only US heavy icebreaker suitable for this job. Her sister ship, the Polar Sea (WAGB-11 — commissioned 1977) has been out of service since 2010 due to complete failure of 5 of her 6 diesel engines. A report submitted in 2013 claimed it was possible to refit and reactivate her, but to my knowledge has not been acted on.

    You want a climate change plan? How about: build more icebreakers, preferably nuclear powered.

  41. Great Lake ice cover approaching very high levels seen during the extreme winter a year ago:
    Lake Ontario has already exceeded last year’s max, Lake Erie is already essentially frozen over, while the other lakes may freeze over within the next couple weeks, if it continue to stay cold and not too windy. (Strong winds, even if very cold, can shift the ice, revealing wide swaths of open winter.)
    More plots here:

  42. This has just come out at a fairly popular blog. This post deals with all the horrors that await us from multiple causes. I copy here only the part dedicated to climate horrors. It is quite entertaining to observe how far gone some people are in their own hallucinations.

    3. The climate of Earth, our home planet, is, to put it as politely as possible, completely fucked. Now, there are quite a few people who think that radically altering the planet’s atmospheric and ocean chemistry and physics by burning just over half the fossilized hydrocarbons that could possibly be dug up using industrial methods means nothing, and that what we are observing is just natural climate variability. These people are morons. I will delete every single one of the comments they submit in response to this post, but in spite of my promise to do so, I assure you that they will still submit them… because they are morons. [Update: Yes indeed they have, QED.]

    What we are looking at is a human-triggered extinction episode that will certainly be beyond anything in human experience, and which may rival the great Permian-Triassic extinction event of 252 million years ago. There is even the possibility of Earth becoming completely sterilized, with an atmosphere as overheated and toxic as that of Venus. That these changes are happening does not require prediction, just observation. The only parameters that remain to be determined are these:

    1. How far will this process run?

    Will there still be a habitat where humans can survive? Humans cannot survive without plenty of fresh water and sources of carbohydrates, proteins and fats, all of which require functioning ecosystems. Humans can survive on almost any kind of diet—even tree bark and insects—but if all vegetation is dead, then so are we. Also, we cannot survive in an environment where the wet bulb temperature (which takes into account our ability to cool ourselves by sweating) exceeds our body temperature: whenever that happens, we die of heat stroke. Lastly, we need air that we can actually breathe: if the atmosphere becomes too low in oxygen (because the vegetation has died out) and too high in carbon dioxide and methane (because the dead vegetation has burned off, the permafrost has melted, and the methane currently trapped in oceanic clathrates has been released) then we all die.

    We already know that the increase in average global temperature has exceeded 1C since pre-industrial times, and, based on the altered atmospheric chemistry, is predicted to eventually exceed 2C. We also know that industrial activity, thanks to the aerosols it puts into the atmosphere, produces an effect known as global dimming. Once it’s gone, the average temperature will jump by at least another 1.1C. This would put us within striking range of 3.5C, and no humans have ever been alive with Earth more than 3.5C above baseline. But, you know, there is a first time for everything. Maybe we can invent some gizmo… Maybe if we all put on air-conditioned sombreros or something… (Design contest, anyone?)

    2. How fast will this process happen?

    The thermal mass of the planet is such that there is a 40-year lag between when atmospheric chemistry is changed and its effects on average temperature are felt. So far we have been shielded from some of the effects by two things: the melting of Arctic and Antarctic ice and permafrost, and the ocean’s ability to absorb heat. Your iced drink remains pleasant until the last ice cube is gone, but then it becomes tepid and distasteful rather quickly. Some scientists say that, on the outside, it will take 5000 years for us to run out of ice cubes, causing the party to end, but then the dynamics of the huge glaciers that supply the ice cubes are not understood all that well, and there have been constant surprises in terms of how quickly they can slough off icebergs, which then drift into warmer waters and melt quickly.

    But the biggest surprise of the last few years has been the rate of arctic methane release. Perhaps you haven’t, but I’ve found it impossible to ignore all the scientists who have been ringing alarm bells on Arctic methane release. What they are calling the clathrate gun—which can release some 50 gigatons of methane in as little as a couple of decades—appears to have been fired in 2007 and now, just a few years later, the trend line in Arctic methane concentrations has become alarming. But we will need to wait for at least another two years to get an authoritative answer. Overall, the methane held in the clathrates is enough to exceed the global warming potential of all fossil fuels burned to date by a factor of between 4 and 40. The upper end of that range does seem to put us quite far towards a Venus-type atmosphere, and the surviving species may be limited to exotic thermophilic bacteria, if that, and certainly will not include any of the species we like to eat, nor any of us.

    Looking at such numbers has caused quite a few researchers to propose the possibility of near-term human extinction. Estimates vary, but, in general, if the clathrate gun has indeed gone off, then most of us shouldn’t be planning to be around beyond mid-century. But the funny thing is (humor is never in poor taste, no matter how dire the situation) that most of us shouldn’t be planning on sticking around beyond mid-century in any case. The current oversized human population is a product of fossil fuel-burning, and once that’s over, human population will crash. This is called a die-off, and it’s something that happens all the time: a population (say, of yeast in a vat of sugary liquid) consumes its food, and then dies off. A few hardy individuals linger on, and if you throw in a lump of sugar, they spring to life, start reproducing and the process takes off again.

    Another funny aspect of near-term human extinction is that it can never be observable, because no scientist will ever be around to observe it, and therefore it is a non-scientific concept. Since it cannot be used to do science, the scientists who throw it around must be aiming for an emotional effect. This is quite uncharacteristic of scientists, who generally pride themselves on being cool-headed and prefer to deal in the observable and the measurable. So, why would scientists go for emotional effect? Clearly, it is because they feel that something must be done. And to feel that something must be done, they must also feel that something can be done. But, if so, what is it?

    Always first on the list is the effort to lobby governments to limit carbon emissions. This has not been a success; as to one of the many reasons why, consider point 2 above: the USA is one of the biggest offenders when it comes to carbon emissions, but the rotting corpse of America’s political system is incapable of any constructive action. It is too busy destroying countries: Iraq, Libya, Syria, Ukraine…

    Second on the list is something called geoengineering. If you don’t know what it is, don’t worry; it’s largely a synonym for mental masturbation. The idea is that you fix things you don’t understand by using technologies that don’t exist. But given many humans’ irrational belief that every problem must have a technological solution, there is always some fool willing to throw money at it. Previous efforts along these lines involved the idea of seeding the oceans with iron to promote plankton growth, or putting bits of tin foil in orbit to reflect some of the sunlight, or painting the Sahara white. These are all fun projects to think about. How about using nuclear weapons to put dust into the atmosphere, to block out some of the sunlight? Or how about nuking a few big volcanos, for the same effect? If that’s politically difficult, how about something politically easy: a limited nuclear exchange? That will darken the skies, bringing on a mini nuclar winter, and also reduce the population, which will cut down on industrial activity. There are enough nuclear weapons to keep the planet cool for as long as it takes us all to die of radiation poisoning. This geoengineering solution, along with all the others, is in line with the popular dictum “If you can’t solve a problem, enlarge it.”

    And so it seems to me that all the talk about near-term human extinction is just so much emotional hand-flapping designed to motivate people to try things that won’t work. Still, I believe the topic is worth pondering, for a simple reason: what if you don’t want to go extinct? We’ve already established that human extinction (whenever it might be said to occur) will never be observable, because no human will be around to observe it. We also know that population die-offs happen all the time, but they don’t always result in extinction. So, who will be most likely to die, and who might actually make it?

    First on the list are the invisible victims of war. By now lots of people have seen photographs of piles of dead Ukrainian soldiers left to rot after another failed attack, or videos of residents of Donetsk expiring on the sidewalk after being hit by a government-lobbed artillery shell or mortar. But we don’t know how many children and women are dying in childbirth because the government has bombed maternity clinics and hospitals: such casualties of war are invisible. Nor will we be shown footage of all of the Ukrainian retirees expiring prematurely because they can no longer afford food, medicine or heat, but we can be sure that many of them won’t be around a year hence. When it comes to war, there are just two viable survival strategies: refuse to take part; and flee. Indeed, the million or so Ukrainians that are now in Russia, or the million or so Syrians who are no longer in Syria, are the smart ones. The Ukrainians who are volunteering to fight are the idiots; the ones who are fleeing to Russia to sit out the war are the smart ones. (However, the Russians, who are volunteering to protect their land and their families from what amounts to an American invasion, are clearly not idiots. They are also winning.) In this sense, war is a Darwinian process, delivering extinction to the foolish.

    Next on the list of extinction episodes to avoid happens in major cities during a heat wave. It’s happened across Europe in 2003, and resulted in 70,000 casualties. In 2010, a heat wave in the Moscow region (which is quite far north) resulted in over 14,000 deaths in Moscow alone. The urban heat island effect, which is caused by sunlight soaked up by pavement and buildings, produces much higher local temperatures, driving them over the threshold for heat stroke. While the fossil fuel economy continues to operate, cities remain survivable because of the availability of air conditioning; once it shuts down, urban heat wave extinction episodes will become widespread. Since 50% of the population lives in cities, half of the human population is at risk of extinction from heat stroke. Therefore, if you don’t want to go extinct, don’t spend your summers in a city.

    The list of places you don’t want to be if you wish to avoid extinction gets rather long. You wouldn’t want to live in California, for example, or in the arid southwestern states, because there won’t be any water there. You wouldn’t want to live along the coasts, because they are likely to be flooded by the rising oceans (they will eventually rise over 100 meters, putting all coastal cities underwater). You wouldn’t want to live in the eastern half of North America, because, paradoxically, a dramatically warmer Arctic region causes the jet stream to meander, producing increasingly fierce winters, which, minus fossil fuels, will cause widespread deaths from exposure. Even now, a bit of extra snow, which is likely to become the new normal, has caused the entire transportation infrastructure of New England (where, luckily, I am not) to roll over and play dead. Nor would you want to live in any of the places where the water source comes from glacial melt, because the glaciers will soon be gone. This includes much of Pakistan, large parts of India, Bangladesh, Thailand, Vietnam and so on. The list of places where you wouldn’t want to be if you don’t want to go extinct for this or that reason gets to be rather long.

    But the entire northern half of Eurasia looks quite nice for the foreseeable future, so if you don’t want to go extinct, you better start teaching your kids Russian.

  43. ***Carbon Brief profile: Leo Hickman is our Director and Editor. He previously worked for 16 years as a journalist, editor and author at the Guardian newspaper. Before joining Carbon Brief, he was WWF-UK’s chief advisor on climate change.

    18 Feb: The Carbon Brief Interview: Lord Deben, part 1
    by ***Leo Hickman
    Lord Deben, or the Rt Hon John Selwyn Gummer, is the current chair of the Committee on Climate Change (CCC). He is also chair of the sustainability consultancy Sancroft International, honorary president of the Global Legislators Organisation (GLOBE International) and a non-executive director of the Catholic Herald newspaper. Gummer was a Conservative MP from 1970-1974 and from 1979-2010. From 1993-1997, he served as the Secretary of State for the Environment.
    CB: As a Conservative peer and former minister, please can you explain the various dynamics and tensions at play within your own party when it comes to tackling climate change? You have the Lawsons and the Ridleys on the one side, and the Barkers and Rudds on the other. Why has it become such a problematic issue for certain sections of your party?
    LD: I’m not sure that it has really in that sort of way. I mean, the truth is that the problem with climate change is that it demands a long-term solution, which is also a consistent solution. We’re talking about cutting our emissions by 80 per cent by 2050…
    This concept of having to deal in the long term is simply very difficult to grasp and, of course, the considerable efforts of those who don’t believe in climate change and to try to undermine the basic science has had its effect. It’s becoming less and less, but it isn’t instinctively something which people on the very extreme right find easy to accept. For most of us, though – for most of the party – it is very clear that we are a party that’s got a name, called the Conservatives. It’s about conserving. It’s about passing onto the next generation something better than we received. And if you are threatened with this existential threat, not one that we’ve ever really seen before, and you know what is happening, and you do have to take the measures…
    It is interesting: it is seven years since we passed the Climate Change Act and for the most part the consensus has continued very strongly indeed…

    from Part 2, link from above:
    CB: What’s your view about the Pope issuing an encyclical on climate change later this year?
    LD: Well, I think it’s one of the most exciting and really important things that has happened, because the churches are the largest group, certainly in the western world, of concerned and committed individuals…
    They want to change the world, they want to affect the world, they care about it. They are in the proper sense the yeast, and you know, the salt has not lost its savour…
    This is not something to be left to politicians, or the like. And it will mean that those who don’t want to have now got to face it. Mr [Tony] Abbott is going to have to say to himself in Australia, ‘I am a Catholic and the Pope has made this very clear.’…
    I mean we’ll be listening to the Cardinal from Korea, we’ll be looking at what the American church will do in the context of Republican denial…
    CB: OK, last question. We can’t really end without talking about your use of Twitter. Your interactions with the, as you describe them, “climate dismissers” can be robust and combative. What is your wider view about taking on the more influential climate sceptic voices?
    LD: Well, all I’m trying to do on Twitter is to keep the discussion in the bounds of sense…

    June 2013: Daily Mail: David Rose: MP paid £400,000 by green firms slams climate change peer… for hypocrisy exposed by the Mail
    Tim Yeo has complained about Lord Deben’s undisclosed green interests
    Mr Yeo has been paid more than £400,000 by three green companies
    Lord Deben is chairman of firm which connects windfarms to National Grid
    A Tory MP has complained about a government global-warming adviser’s undisclosed green interests – despite the fact he himself is paid a fortune by eco-energy and transport firms…
    Tim Yeo, chairman of the Energy and Climate Change select committee, has protested about Lord Deben remaining chairman of Veolia Water UK while also chairing the Committee on Climate Change, an independent body that advises the Government on the impact of climate change…
    Lord Deben, John Selwyn Gummer – who as Agriculture Minister in 1990 tried to persuade his daughter Cordelia to eat a hamburger during the BSE crisis – was required to undergo a ‘confirmation hearing’ before Yeo’s committee last September after being appointed chair of the Climate Change Committee…

  44. Last night I got around to seeing the movie “Kingsman”. To my surprise, Samuel L. Jackson’s villain is a global warming fanatic who’s solution to climate change is to eliminate most of the human race. A number of world politicians are showing secretly signing up for his agenda as long as they themselves are spared, including the POTUS and his Cabinet. In the end, they get their minds blown, Literally.

  45. If you (have to) watch the BBC for news coverage, it is becoming increasingly annoying to receive the new wisdom – that high oil prices are Good, and low oil prices are Bad.

    Over several weeks now they do not miss an opportunity to push this meme.

    Low oil prices mean fewer jobs in the UK oil industry
    Low oil prices mean reduced oil company dividends and that means pension funds get hit
    Low oil prices mean less investment in renewables
    Low oil prices mean cheaper petrol and more driving so our carbon footprint increases

    Blah blah blah.

    I can remember when high oil prices were going to destroy western economies.

    It couldn’t be part of a BBC agenda could it?

    Not with “Planet Oil” coming up. And “Climate by Numbers”

    And an IPCC enviro-trough event on the horizon.

    Surely not……./sarc

  46. Paul Simons, the Times ‘Weather Eye’ columnist. He is a warmist generally but today, influenced by Mike Lockwood’s research at Reading University, says

    “the current drop in solar activity is the fastest rate of decline for 10,000 years and within about 40 years we may be back into Maunder minimum conditions. However that may only affect the North Atlantic region while the rest of the world will continue warming as a result of climate change”

    Fascinating concept. Bit like a baked Alaska pudding?

  47. Lots of global warming doom and gloom from the Sierra Club, with this ominous anti-fracking video.
    Worth watching to see what they are promoting / scare mongering.

    Hydraulic fracturing — or “fracking” — is a natural gas collection method that poses a danger to our environment and our public health. Take action to keep dirty fuels in the ground at

    Fracking 101 (2:30 mins.)

  48. By George, there is a pal reviewed paper demonstrating that global warming really is making it colder. It seems that as it gets warmer, the Jet Stream blows more cold air towards the equator. Soon the Arctic will be a smoldering cauldron surrounded by an doughnut of snow!

    Evidence for a wavier jet stream in response to rapid Arctic warming

  49. This came into my Facebook feed today. Well-known theologian and 9/11 researcher David Ray Griffin has published a book on Climate Change that buys into the warmist creed hook, line and sinker. Just scanning the pages available at Amazon, he quotes extensively from all the usual suspects like Schmidt, Mann, Strong, Gore and McKribben and even includes Chomsky.

    There doesn’t appear to be anything original in his writing and he shows little understanding of the science, preferring to rely on the authority of those he quotes. When writing about 9/11, he was always highly skeptical of official sources and accounts, checked whether they conflicted with other official accounts, and he tried separate the plausible from the implausible and the possible from the impossible. In the present book, he seems to have abandoned this stance for one of blind faith in his authorities.

    Darn it, I suppose I’ll have to read the entire thing now.

    • Tim Groves, reference to Janice Moore

      Darn it, I suppose I’ll have to read the entire thing now.

      Don’t bother.

      Instead, work with Janice Moore. Give her a list of books that SHOULD BE in each reader’s library.
      Don’t spend money buying one that should not be there!
      Worse, don’t waist thyme, money and effort reading something that nobody should bother reading.

  50. 19 Feb: Harvard Crimson: Samuel E. Stone: $800,000 in Grants Awarded to Climate Change Projects
    As part of the Climate Change Solutions Fund’s inaugural round of awarding, seven Harvard affiliates collectively received roughly $800,000 in grants for projects focusing on climate change last week.
    The fund, which University President Drew G. Faust created last April, seeks to support research about “long-term global climate change—as well as immediate threats to the natural environment,” according to a University press release…
    “Harvard has the capacity and responsibility to address the challenge of climate change boldly and with conviction,” the statement said…
    The fund will accept online proposals later this year for its second round of grants. The value of the fund, according to the press release, was $20 million at the time of its creation.

    19 Feb: Harvard Crimson: After Snow Days, College Asks Student Groups To Prioritize School
    As faculty scrambled to rearrange schedules after Harvard canceled three days of classes in as many weeks when historic snowfall hit New England, the Office of Student Life reached out to student groups requesting that they alter their schedules so their members prioritize academics over extracurricular commitments…
    Dean of Freshmen Thomas A. Dingman ’67, for his part, said the number of snow days this early in the semester makes it difficult for students to stay focused on their academics…
    By Noah J. Delwiche and Ivan B. K. Levingston

  51. 17 Feb: RTCC: Sophie Yeo: Catholics across globe to hold 40-day fast for the climate
    Catholics in 45 countries hope to send a climate message through their Lenten chain of fasting
    A chain of one-day fasts will sweep across 45 countries between Ash Wednesday and Easter, beginning in Peru and ending up in Botswana.
    “We think it is very important that Catholics understand climate change and the importance of the UN negotiations in Paris,” said Ciara Shannon, who is coordinating a Hong Kong fast on 23 February.
    The action has been organised by the Global Catholic Climate Movement…
    It has also become a theme for climate activists, since Filipino climate commissioner Yeb Sano initiated a two week fast during the UN’s 2013 climate talks in Lima in protest at the lack of progress.
    Campaigners are also holding a 365-day fasting chain, which began on the 1 December 2014, and will run until the 30 December 2015, when the UN’s climate negotiations kick off in Paris…

    big claim! doubt if Australians in general know this.

    Australia joins Global Catholic Climate Movement

  52. gets funnier with every line:

    18 Feb: Reuters: EU introduces new rules to make cooking greener
    The sale of energy wasting ovens and cooking hobs will be banned across the European Union after the latest set of rules to make household appliances more efficient takes effect from Friday.
    The European Commission said on Wednesday getting rid of inefficient cooking appliances would cut average consumer energy bills by around 50 euros ($57) per year, while the cumulative savings from the rules across the bloc would run into billions.
    The policy, known as ecodesign, chimes with the EU goals of reducing fossil fuel imports and greenhouse gas emissions.

    (LOL) Industry bodies representing European appliance makers, such as Bosch Siemens Haushaltsgeraete [BSHBS.UL] and Philips, were involved in consultations and have welcomed the new rules, which will apply to new ovens and hobs…

    But critics have portrayed ecodesign as another example of Brussels bureaucracy. Last year, rules limiting the power of new vacuum cleaners were whipped up into a media frenzy dubbed Hoovergate…
    ***The Commission said the difference for consumers in terms of performance would be “invisible”…
    “These rules mean that design standards will go up, and low quality Asian imports that cannot stand the heat will have to leave the kitchen,” Stamatis Sivitos, campaigner for the lobby group Coolproducts Campaign, said.

  53. here’s Ciara Shannon, who is coordinating the Hong Kong fast for the Global Catholic Climate Movement:

    CleanBizAsia: Ciara Shannon, Eden Ventures
    Ciara Shannon heads up Eden Ventures advising business on sustainability and climate change strategy, policy and risk management issues. Eden Ventures also does bespoke sustainability leadership training, stakeholder engagement / envisioning and communications. Prior to this, she initiated and ran the Climate Change Business Forum for the Business Environment Council and for her work in motivating business on climate change issues she was named an Outstanding Earth Champion. Hong Kong born, Ciara has worked for more than 12 years on environmental sustainability working with government, business, NGOs and academia, as well as six years on the ‘social’ side of sustainability via working with various development charities.

    should the Pope become a Catholic?

    18 Feb: RTCC: Ed King: Should journalists become climate change campaigners?
    Global warming is a threat, but subject matter and lack of regular climatic events makes covering it a challenge
    That was the provocative title of a debate held in London last week, hosted by Jon Snow, anchor of the UK Channel 4 news, and a purveyor of colourful socks and ties. I say provocative because journalists are not – typically – expected to be campaigners…
    The views from the panel were an intriguing mix. Here’s Tom Chivers, one-time Daily Telegraph hack now working for Buzzfeed:
    “The word campaigning is a tricky one. This is a complex and difficult subject. You yourself are not an expert but you’re taking the words of experts and in a complex subject… and full of uncertainty. And with climate change you’re talking about something which has the added problems of an existential threat to humanity.”…
    Tom Clarke, science editor at Channel 4 news and one time entomologist: “It is the greatest threat facing humanity – I think you could look at it that way – it’s a big story. Yet because it hasn’t changed much in the past 10 years, there’s not much new to say about it. That’s one of the challenges I face as a news reporter.”…
    Guardian columnist Zoe Williams: “Professional neutrality is pandering to the status quo. If you let that stand for journalism you’re making a much bigger ideological mistake. …

    This craziness hit the frontpage of Hacker News today.
    “Almost a quarter of a million windmills worldwide will need to be replaced by 2030. The rotor blades are made of valuable composite materials that are difficult to recover at the end of their energy generating life. New generation rotor blades made of glass or carbon fibre composite material have average lifespans of between 10 and 25 years. Recycling of glass fibre composite is possible though complex. Recycling of the more highly valued carbon fibre composite is currently impossible. In many EU countries landfill of carbon composites is now prohibited. Thus, many rotor blades at the end of their wind turbine life are currently shredded and incinerated. At current growth rates, by 2034, there will be about 225,000 tonnes of rotor blade composite material produced annually, worldwide.”

    So… the prohibition on landfill is presumably because carbon fibres can be a health risk. Inhalation can damage the lungs, and carbon nanotubes may be carcinogenic.

    The solution? Build playground equipment out of it!

  55. As you know here at WUWT, the APS is reviewing their 2007 Statement on Climate. They have included 3 well known skeptics as part of their 6 person expert group. On Jan. 8th they held a workshop in NYC where each of the 6 experts had 30 mins to present their evidence. It is a fascinating read and the presentations are hyperlinked from the index which makes it easy to navigate the 567 pages.

  56. David Archibald’s remarkable prediction for the climate in Hanover NH was made in 2011.
    He used solar data to predict that temperatures would drop about 3 C in 2015.

    He may have been optimistic.
    January 2015
    Average high temperature: 15.2°F (normal: 28°F)
    Average low temperature: 3.9°F (normal: 10°F)
    Average temperature: 9.55°F (normal: 19°F)

    This means the remainder of the year will have to average above normal temperatures to bring the yearly average up to Archibald’s prediction.

    Compare January 2014
    Average high temperature: 27.9°F (normal: 28°F)
    Average low temperature: 10.5°F (normal: 10°F)
    Average temperature: 19.2°F (normal: 19°F)

    • now the February 2015 data is in:
      Past weather Hanover – february 2015
      Average high temperature: 8.2°F (normal: 33°F)
      Average low temperature: 0.8°F (normal: 13°F)
      Average temperature: 4.5°F (normal: 23°F)

  57. Whoa!

    China’s Meteorological Bureau is blaming Ruble currency policy change (devaluation) on affecting their meteorological model and forecast accuracy (inaccuracy).

    What evil could ensue if the Climate Jihadist at IPCC, AAAS, AGU, EPA and White House turn to Currency Change to advance their Anthropogenic Global Warming War.

    Ha ha


    The above article is about anti-vaccinators, but it might as well be about climate alarmists. The myth in the climate case is “Humans are destroying the climate”.

    Four points in the article:
    1. Arguing the facts doesn’t help – in fact, it makes the situation worse.
    2. Repeating the myth inadvertently popularizes it.
    3. Affirmation works – but we rarely use it. When someone has their facts wrong, our impulse is generally not to tell them we think they’re great. We’re more likely to go on the attack.
    4. We consistently underestimate the power of narrative. (have to read the article to understand this, unfortunately they reference Lewandowsky, who is right, but just got the myth ass-backwards on climate).

    So, the short-form is we should tell the climate alarmists how much we love that they care about the planet, and then create a narrative about how a cute little unicorn named NaturalVariability likes to have fun with the planet. She/He/It is so cute! Sometimes she/he/it makes it snow! Sometimes she/it/it makes hurricanes! But most of the time, she/he/it just makes really boring weather.

  59. Long ago, I signed up to get an “Obama” bumper sticker – so I could cut and re-arrange the letters. Since then, I have been receiving their various requests for $3 – I get from one to six per day. I keep signing the petitions with “Roger Calero,” the foreign-born Marxist who was on all 50 state ballots in 2008 (proving that it is possible that appearance on a state ballot is NOT evidence of ever being vetted as a natural-born citizen.

    Here is the latest fund-raiser pitch, noting how the warmists know everything and the “deniers” fail to appreciate science. The letter is supposedly from a bona fide political hack, Frishberg, with NO science background beyond what he should have paid attention to in high school (you can google him)…


    It’s tough out there for climate change deniers.

    One by one, literally every argument and excuse they’ve been using for years is being proven false.

    They’re still grasping at myths and conspiracy theories, but deniers are on the run.

    We’re winning this, but we can’t stop now. Chip in $5 or more to stand up for science and help fund this work.

    In reality, the debate on the basics is over.

    Not only do 97 percent of climate scientists agree that climate change is real and man-made, but new reports are showing climate and extreme weather impacts are affecting us right now.

    Droughts, floods, wildfires, and storms are hitting communities from California to the East Coast, and we’re already spending hundreds of billions on climate-related disaster relief — no one is denying that.

    Instead, what you hear from climate change deniers are mostly excuses for not taking action. Some have hidden behind foreign countries, saying America can’t or shouldn’t lead on climate until someone else goes first.

    Let’s set aside for a minute that this isn’t actually how we solve global problems. The fact is, President Obama is leading internationally through agreements with China and India to cut carbon pollution and expand the use of clean energy. (So there goes that denier talking point…)

    Another thing you might hear from a denier is that we simply can’t get serious about cutting carbon pollution without destroying the economy. That’s just false. For example, the climate and public health benefits from President Obama’s Clean Power Plan outweigh the costs by at least six times.

    Maybe deniers doubt we have the will and ingenuity to take such a huge problem on. Well, the American people are proving them wrong: Since 2009, we’ve increased solar power ten-fold and tripled wind power. Hundreds of thousands of Americans work in clean energy today.

    The arguments from deniers are getting more and more ludicrous.

    We have the facts on our side — and we have to drive that message home. Because as long as deniers and polluters are blocking progress, we’re not doing all we can to combat climate change.

    OFA supporters are committed to taking them to task — will you chip in today?



    Ivan Frishberg
    Senior Climate Advisor
    Organizing for Action”

  60. Consens, Schmonsens:

    “In one short paragraph, the new report from the nation’s top nutrition panel reverses decades of warnings about dietary cholesterol. Long one of the arch-villains of the American diet, cholesterol need no longer be considered a menace to the public health, the group said, as the Post previously reported.”

  61. Republicans To Investigate Climate Data Tampering By NASA

    Are government climate agencies tampering with climate data to show warming? Some Republicans think so. California Republican Rep. Dana Rohrabacher says to expect congressional hearings on climate data tampering.

    Rohrabacher serves as the vice chairman of the House Science, Space and Technology Committee, which has jurisdiction over NASA and other agencies that monitor the Earth’s climate.

    Rohrabacher has long been critical of the theory of man-made global warming. Lately, the California Republican has criticizing NASA and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration for allegedly tampering with temperature data to create an artificial warming trend. Such data is then used to justify regulations aimed at curbing fossil fuel use and other industrial activities.

    Rohrabacher isn’t the only one to call for hearings on the science behind global warming. Oklahoma Republican Sen. Jim Inhofe has also promised to hold hearings on global warming data.

    “We’re going to have a committee hearing on the science,” said Inhofe, who chairs the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee. “People are going to hear the other side of the story.”

    For years, those skeptical of man-made global warming have argued that government agencies are altering raw temperature data to create a warming trend. Allegations of tampering have increased as satellite temperature readings show much less warming than land and ocean-based weather stations show.

  62. 14 Feb: UK Spectator: Roger Lewis: They sought paradise in a Scottish field — and found hunger, boredom and mosquitoes
    A review of The Utopia Experiment by Dylan Evans reminds us that designs for living always end in tears, or worse
    Dylan Evans, the author of this book, was one of those oddballs who rather looked forward to the apocalypse, because it promised ‘challenging times ahead’. If, in the not too distant future, famines and droughts more or less wipe us out, that will be our own fault for allowing population levels to reach an unsustainable nine billion — the predicted figure for 2050. How much better the planet will be with a select handful living in their villages of yurts, log cabins, teepees and straw-bale huts, the children gambolling happily ‘amidst the bracken and the trees’. The air will be cleaner. Wildlife ‘will make a comeback’. Neighbours will help each other out. People will be fitter as a result of their manual labour…
    He sold his house, gave up his academic career and moved to a field near Inverness. He looked at an adjacent waterfall and thought it could ‘generate electricity’. He gazed at an acre of scrubland and believed he could ‘keep a few pigs and chickens’. He spotted a deer and, though he had no butchery or tanning training, imagined turning its hide into shoes and gloves.
    Fair play to Evans: by the time he came to write this book he realised he was delusional…
    It soon became apparent that ‘the whole experiment had been a huge mistake’. Jittery, with a permanently wide-eyed expression and wanting only to kill himself, Evans was eventually detained under the Mental Health Act in a maximum security psychiatric hospital.
    Here the students of the mind explained to him that his project had been bonkers from the beginning.
    ***He fretted unduly about global warming and ‘the looming energy crisis’, he was convinced that deforestation would result in soil erosion, and that with no trees he’d be unable to build canoes and go fishing once the supermarkets had vanished… Evans, the doctors concluded, was already craving the abyss and in the throes of panic-attacks and a breakdown. Bored sick in utopia, Evans had been bored to distraction before, when he was an academic, seeing no ‘passion or joy’ in his pampered and safely salaried public-sector existence…

  63. Hi Anthony,

    Perhaps you could consider posing the question to WUWT viewers:

    What are your Top 5 reasons for being a climate skeptic?


    In your view, what are the Top 5 greatest weaknesses of climate alarmism?

    [Post responses in Comments.]

    I for one would be very interested to hear from others!



  64. I just stumbled across an April, 2001 paper on neutrinos and beta-decay of tritium:

    The author measured decay over a year and a half (fall 1980 to spring of 1982) and reported a deviation from the expected decay curve.

    As an aside, he says that Tesla speculated in a 1932 New York Times article that hard-to-detect particles could cause decay.

    (This might be interesting given your previous discussion of decay:

  65. Hi again Anthony,

    Did you and your viewers see the hit piece in National Geographic:

    Why Do Reasonable People Doubt Science?

    In a under-handed and convoluted manner, the author, using nearly every logical fallacy in the book, makes out that “climate deniers” deny science, and are on par with Jack D. Ripper, and conspiracy theorists of every spot and stripe, including those who deny the moon landing (the evidence of which is that someone made a movie in which the moon landing is questioned).

    What a jackass. At this point, even my parakeet won’t accept National Geographic.


  66. Question:

    Why are some of my comments put through immediately, others sent to moderation, and a couple disappeared into the ether immediately on pressing “Post Comment”?

    I really don’t mind; my question is merely out of idle curiosity … I guess our brains seek to understand by seeing patterns, and I have been unable to see any pattern.

    I am inquiring here because I don’t know where else to ask and I figured this was the least intrusive place.



  67. – Antarctic sea ice soars, as Arctic coverage diminishes

    Sea ice coverage in the Antarctic continues to increase, according to data released on Thursday by the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The ocean’s sea ice levels were 44.6% higher than the 1981-2010 average, breaking a prevous record set in 2008 by 220,000 square miles. The growth came in a month NOAA says was the second warmest January on record since 1880, 0.77C above the 20th century average.

  68. – Harvard embattled as students, faculty and alumni join forces for divestment

    ‘The lawsuit, filed on by seven graduate and undergraduate students last fall, argues Harvard’s continued holdings in the oil, gas, coal, and related sectors is a “mismanagement of charitable funds” controlled by the board of trustees in the form of the endowment and a direct violation of its obligations to the future of the university’s financial health as well as the planet’s well-being.’


    I’m not sure how often this occurs, but know it’s rare enough that I’ve never noticed it before. I was looking at the NESDIS U.S. snow cover map and was surprised to see ice cover as far south as the North Carolina coast:, as well as in the Chesapeake, Delaware, New York and Cape Cod Bays, and Long Island Sound. I checked the MODIS satellite images from the past couple days (e.g., and confirmed sea ice in all of these areas.

  70. 23 Feb: Joannenova: Category Five storms aren’t what they used to be
    The facts on Cyclone Marcia: the top sustained wind speed was 156 km and the strongest gust 208 km/hr…
    The minimum pressure recorded after landfall was 975Hpa. BOM and the media reported a “Cat-5″ cyclone with winds of 295 km/hr. To qualify as a Cat 5, windspeeds need be over 280km/hr. The UN GDACS alerts page estimated the cyclone as a Cat 3…
    The 295 km/hr wind speed was repeated on media all over the world, but how was it measured? Not with any anemometer apparently — it was modeled. If the BOM is describing a Cat 2 or 3 as a “Cat 5″, that’s a pretty serious allegation. Is the weather bureau “homogenising” wind speeds between stations?…ETC

  71. 23 Feb: ABC Australia: AFP:: IPCC head Rajendra Pachauri to miss meeting over sexual harassment case
    A TOP UNITED NATIONS climate change official has pulled out of a key meeting in Kenya next week as Indian police investigate a sexual harassment complaint against him, officials have said.
    Rajendra Pachauri, chairman of the Nobel Prize-winning Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), withdrew due to “issues demanding his attention”, the UN body said in a statement late Saturday…
    The IPCC said Pachauri had informed them “that he will be unable to chair the plenary session of the IPCC in Nairobi next week because of issues demanding his attention in India”…
    Another Delhi police official said on Sunday that Pachauri will “most likely appeal for anticipatory bail tomorrow at a lower court”, after the Delhi High Court last week granted him “interim protection” from any arrest until Monday.
    “He needs to be in Delhi to seek bail,” the police official said, speaking on condition of anonymity as he was not authorised to speak to media.
    Pachauri’s office did not immediately respond to calls for comment…
    The IPCC won the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize, along with former US vice president Al Gore, for galvanising international action against climate change.
    But its image was then dented by several hitches that were found in one of its major reports, providing ammunition for critics who say the IPCC is flawed or biased.
    A prediction in the report that global warming would melt away the Himalayan glaciers that provide water to a billion people in Asia by 2035 has been dismissed by glaciologists as preposterous…

  72. Paul Homewood has a fascinating post at /

    He describes the work of several Icelandic meterologists who take issue with GHCN and GISS adjustments to the Icelandic temperature. Well supported case that the keepers of the flame cook the books. (I should have invoked James Taranto’s “Metaphor Alert” ahead of the prior sentence.) We’ll never read about this in the MSM so perhaps WUWT will expose this to its broader audience.

  73. A couple of years ago I assumed the adjustments to GISS, BEST etc. were as dodgy as the Hockey Stick. But as I’ve followed various posts and comments on WUWT, Climate Etc. and Climate Audit I’ve come to the conclusion that they are in the main justifiable. The idea that these adjustments are a silver bullet that will kill climate alarmism is ‘clear, simple and wrong.’ The proposed congressional hearings on the subject will be at best a waste of time. I’ve written a blog post with more details here:

  74. I have spent several months revising my blog on the contribution of anthropogenic emissions to the accumulation of CO2 in the atmosphere. http://www.retired This is a signficant assumption that is input to IPPC models. I think I have Established confidense limits on these contributions. My blog gets little traffic so I get few comments. I would like “peer reviews” and possibly motivate others to reproduce or improve on my results. They are welcome to use it in a scientific paper if they wish to submit it for journal publication. Could you cross post it on your blog?

  75. Tip for anyone having trouble getting pages to render (renders as blank white page). If you are using a blocker (I use Ghostery) allow Typekit by Adobe. Took me a while to figure out why after I viewed one specific article, the entire site rendered plain white after that. (Note: if ALL blocking is removed, that article launched some 63 different trackers, beacons, widgets, etc causing the pages to load painfully slow as each of these places were “pinged” for cookie exchange, etc).

  76. IPCC Chairman Rajendra Pachauri Has Resigned

    The chairman of the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Rajendra Pachauri, resigned on Tuesday, following allegations of sexual harassment from a female employee at his research institute in Delhi.

    About time too. He was due to go in 2017 anyway.


    Policing the Online Climate Conversation

    ‘The Climate Feedback Project is the brainchild of Emmanuel M. Vincent, a post-doctoral research fellow in climate and oceanography at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. The project harnesses the power of a browser plug-in known as, which allows users to highlight and critique select bits of well, really anything that appears online. These annotations then appear to all users in a panel directly to the right of the text being analyzed.’

    ‘seeks to enlist a posse of climate experts to use that tool to annotate and critique articles dealing specifically with climate change. At the moment the team is comprised of about a dozen young post-docs in climate science and related fields, along with a smattering of more pedigreed scientists. ‘

    ‘ It has so far visited its wisdom on just three articles, though more are planned. Articles also receive a “credibility score” based on the aggregated annotations of the reviewers.

    Lomborg’s op-ed, which channels the reasoning of the author’s Copenhagen Consensus Center, an international development think tank, was the most recent target. He earned somewhere between a “low” and a “very low” credibility rating.’

    The Empire Strikes Back

  78. An interesting statement in Chairman Grabby Hands’ resignation letter:

    “For me the protection of Planet Earth, the surviv al of all species and sustainability of our ecosystems is more than a mission. It is my religion and my dharma.”

  79. the BBC has excelled itself with this alarmist drivel. I can only guess it was used to help try and cover up Patchy’s resignation:

    “Commenting on the study, Prof Rowan Sutton, climate scientist at the National Centre for Atmospheric Science, University of Reading, said climate models suggest an increase in such events.

    “This study identifies a record breaking high sea level event that occurred along part of the US east coast in 2009-10.”

    Give me a break, while NOAA shows nothing unusual other that this very temporary spike has occurred several times before (both up and down) in recent years.:

  80. here’s a new paper u can believe in (sarc) –

    23 Feb: CarbonBrief: Roz Pidcock: Surface warming ‘hiatus’ could stick around another five years, say scientists
    Don’t be surprised if the slower pace of warming we’re seeing at the Earth’s surface lasts for another five years, scientists say.
    A new paper out today puts the chances of the so-called “hiatus” staying until the end of the decade at about 15 per cent, or one in six.
    But the heat hasn’t gone away…
    Since 2000, the temperature at the Earth’s surface hasn’t warmed as quickly as it has in previous decades, despite greenhouse gas emissions rising faster than they were before.
    A growing body of evidence is homing in on the Pacific Ocean as the main culprit for why we’re seeing “unexpectedly modest” warming, as the Nature Climate Change paper puts it…
    But what are the chances of natural variability being strong enough to offset some, or even all of the warming expected from greenhouse gases?
    The new paper by Dr Chris Roberts, an ocean and climate specialist at the Met Office Hadley Centre, and colleagues at the University of Exeter sheds some new light on this question…
    There’s a good chance we’ll see an accelerated pace of surface warming as soon as the current surface warming slowdown comes to an end, the new paper says…
    Climate models suggest we could see Arctic warming intensify, leading to “increased climate stress on a region that is already particularly vulnerable to climate change”, the paper says…
    Roberts, C. D. et al. (2015) Quantifying the likelihood of a continued hiatus in global warming. Nature Climate Change. DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2531

  81. A quick scan of, Google News, and and I find no mention of the fact that IPCC Chairman Rajendra Pachauri has stepped down after the 70 year old was accused of sexual harassment of a 29 year old woman and at least one other woman. It is being covered by the British press however as Reuters, BBC, and The Guardian have stories on the web. No mention of the story on the NBC, CBS, or ABC websites. Interesting hunh?

    I did this yesterday and today. It seems all the major news organizations in America and Canada were “scooped” by the UK press. When was the last time mainstream media failed to cover a sex scandal at a major international organization?

  82. I would like to make a point about the new “nested” comments system which puts replies to comments directly underneath the original.

    In recent weeks I have found it almost impossible to find sensible comments because threads are being hijacked by either trolls or narrow (often off-topic) comments which are then responded to – seemingly – ad nauseum. It is the very same reason that I rarely follow the comments at Judith Curry’s otherwise excellent site and I am beginning to get a bit fed up here at WUWT as well. Coupled with the (what seem to me) targetted attack comments appearing as soon as any post is published, it is making real discussion almost impossible to follow.

    I understand that it used to be a bit tedious to respond in a discussion stream, but making people think about what it was in a previous post they were referring to (and maybe even quote it) was actually good discipline. I had no trouble following what was going on and I am certainly not the sharpest tool in the shed when it comes to climate physics. At the very least, could you include a more visual system of nesting so that I know where new threads start and can skip over the trolls (and their responders): the tabbed nesting is pretty useless after the fifth or sixth response.



  83. Please don’t let the Soon and Pielke stories distract us from Pachauri. Here is something worth posting, we need to keep this thing on the boil.

    Economic Times India – 25 February, 2015
    Lawyers, activists demand RK Pachauri’s resignation from TERI
    NEW DELHI: Prominent lawyers and civil society activists today demanded the resignation of R K Pachauri from TERI and questioned why he has not been suspended from the position….

    “The question that we wish to raise with you is that why have you not considered it appropriate to suspend R K Pachauri from his position as Director General of the institution pending the enquiry,” the letter said.

    Jaising and others said that no “fair” inquiry can be held while Pachauri is still the DG of the organisation and given his seniority, all members of the Internal Complaints Committee (ICC) would be junior to him thus “exaggerating an already existing imbalance of power”……

    Pachauri goes on long leave from TERI but still wields great power over employees
    Research institution’s governing board must consider whether current arrangements are suited for dealing with spate of complaints.

  84. I have difficulty understanding internet freedom and regulation issues, and would benefit from a prolonged, near-daily discussion of new FCC “net neutrality” rules.

    This appears to be the essence of the newest measures:

    “Hoping that the third time would be the charm, the FCC, led by Chairman Tom Wheeler, proposed yet another set of rules last May. Initially, Wheeler intended to more or less re-adopt the 2010 rules, with minor changes intended to address the problems identified in court.[3] President Barack Obama upped the ante in November, however, urging the FCC to take the extreme step of “reclassifying” ISPs as common carriers under Title II of the 1934 Communications Act. This would turn Internet access providers into public utilities subject to comprehensive regulation of their activities with potential consequences far beyond net neutrality itself. Devised for the static world of monopoly telephone service, Title II regulation could be devastating to today’s innovative and competitive Internet. Yet, acceding to President Obama’s wishes, Wheeler lent his support to the Title II scheme, scheduling a February 26 vote to adopt the new rules.”

    It would be nice to be further informed and educated by WUWT and the commenters, too.

  85. interesting comment from BBC journalist…

    Piece is about flying drones over Paris

    “The police cannot afford to ignore these overflights however. They are probably the work of drone enthusiasts giving the authorities the run-around, but not certainly. It could also be an organised group – eco-warriors or jihadists, for example – testing out how the security forces respond to drones.”

    So are eco-warriors now the same as Jihadists??? Big leap for the BBC, or did this journalist not get the memo that eco-warriors are saving the world??

  86. I recently finished reading the Monckton et al paper ‘Why Models Run Hot’. Although the model itself could be quite useful, I think the way in which it is applied lacks justification, while the claimed conclusions cannot be supported.
    Specifically, Figure 6 (which purports to show that the simple model more closes matches observations than any IPCC projection) is fundamentally flawed. Among other problems, there is no justification given for the graphed rates of observed warming. In any case, observed temperatures include the net effect of all climatic processes, not just the response to anthropogenic CO2, which is all that the authors have modelled. So how can the two possibly be directly comparable? Finally, even if it is true that the simple model closely matches observations, unless the net total of non-anthropogenic forcings is zero this can only be accidental.
    In the conclusions, the paper claims that the model confirms that GCMs run hot, although it is actually the authors’ parameter selection that produces this result. The model itself is neutral.

    I’ve posted a more detailed review on my blog:

    Oh, and before I get called a warmist troll, please read this:

  87. 23 Feb: CarbonBrief: Robert McSweeney: Uncertainty behind climate projections could be cut in half by 2030, study shows
    More certainty about the climate’s sensitivity to emissions means a better assessment of our chances of keeping global temperature rise below the two-degree limit, the researchers say…
    In its 2013 report, the IPCC estimates TCR is likely to lie between 1.0 and 2.5 degrees Celsius. The new research, published in Nature Geoscience, suggests scientists will be able to reduce the uncertainty around these estimates by about 50 per cent by 2030…
    Co-author Prof Piers Forster, director of research at the University of Leeds, says he’s looking forward to getting past his frustrations with uncertainty in climate projections…
    Mhyre, G. et al. (2015) Declining uncertainty in transient climate response as CO2 forcing dominates future climate change, Nature Geoscience, doi:10.1038/ngeo2371

  88. ***Big Royals, Big Media, Big Business & Big Oil demand Bigger “climate” targets!

    25 Feb: RTCC: Ed King: UK warns Brussels against “watering down” EU climate targets
    Secretary of State Ed Davey writes to Commission, says credibility of Brussels leadership on climate change is at stake
    The European Commission’s latest set of proposals for a UN climate deal could “severely undermine” efforts to cut greenhouse gas emissions, UK climate and energy chief Ed Davey has warned. He said the UK strongly objected to plans – released on Wednesday – that would see naturally occurring carbon sinks like forests and wetlands used to meet the EU’s emissions reduction target of 40% on 1990 levels by 2030…
    “Implying that the land-use sector is included has the potential to severely undermine ambitions, as land is a sink and could impact ambition by 1-2%,” he wrote.“This is not insignificant and the inclusion or not of land within the -40% was very clear’y not agreed in the October [2014] Council.”…
    A perception the EU is trying to wriggle out of its climate commitments could impact alliances with other countries in the run-up to Paris… In a statement sent to RTCC, Davey said he would push for land use to be added “on top of a 40% target” where it could not be used to help other sectors avoid decarbonisation…
    European officials released the ‘Road to Paris’, outlining the bloc’s proposed contributions for the UN pact, on Wednesday…
    In addition to land use and the 40% target, concerns have been raised over the Commission’s claim that domestic EU commitments cannot be increased ahead of Paris…
    ***Sandrine Dixson-Decleve, Director of the Prince of Wales’s Corporate Leaders Group, which includes Unilever, ***Sky, Shell and 3M as members, said the prospect of faltering EU ambition would concern the business community.“Moving to include emissions from forestry and land use change in the EU’s target sends the signal to other industrial sectors that they are being let off the hook – just when greater effort is needed,” she said.“This is bad news for our business leaders who have invested up front in low-carbon solutions and who believe that a robust target is needed to deliver wider change.” …

  89. 25 Feb: European Commission: Climate Action: EU sets out vision for Paris agreement alongside Energy Union strategy
    The Communication, “The Paris Protocol – a blueprint for tackling global climate change beyond 2020”, is part of a package unveiled by the European Commission as part of the EU’s Energy Union strategy. As well as securing Europe’s energy supply, ensuring affordable and competitive energy and an integrated energy system, the strategy also aims to tackle climate change through the transition to a low-carbon, climate-friendly economy…

  90. 25 Feb: Bloomberg: Top U.S. Solar Makers Plan Venture to Own Low-Risk Power Plants
    byChristopher MartinEhren Goossens
    A decision by the two largest U.S. solar manufacturers to form a joint venture to own and operate their power plants offers the companies more long-term cash and a low-risk opportunity for investors.
    First Solar Inc. and SunPower Corp. are jumping on the yieldco train, an increasingly popular business model that lets renewable-energy companies generate money over the long term by keeping their power plants instead of selling them.
    The move is a significant shift for the companies, which have previously sold most of their projects to power producers. The venture will be backed by decades-long contracts to sell electricity and may be worth as much as $2.8 billion…
    “It’s a way to further monetize the projects they were already developing,” he (Shayle Kann, analyst. GTM Research in Boston) said…
    Under this model, energy developers such as SunEdison Inc. and TransAlta Corp. have created separate units, the yieldcos, to own and operate power plants…
    Six energy companies have formed yieldcos through initial public offerings in North America since mid-2013. The growing use of the model is a sign the clean-power industry is maturing, said Angelo Zino at S&P Capital IQ.
    Yieldcos’ power plants come with decades-long contracts to sell electricity. Those deals provide both stability and visibility, making the companies low-risk investments and reducing their borrowing costs…
    “This is a great way for investors to support solar without taking on the risk that manufacturers and developers carry,” Zino said…

  91. Figured if I searched for various ties to big oil, I’d find something on Democratic Arizona Congressman Raul Grijalva who is behind the Witch Hunt against Climate Skeptics…

    Right away found that he invested in Royal Dutch Shell and other energy companies in 2013…

    Plus, I found that he has a conflict of interest when he opposes the Keystone Pipeline. Like Democrat Tom Steyer, his wife has invested in a competing pipeline. Not just a pipeline, but a ‘TAR SANDS PIPELINE’. See Enbridge Energy Partners. Snort!
    “These are all the top Democrats that Tucson produces. We are proud when Raul Grijalva leads the charge to stop the Canadian oil pipeline, but why must he make money off of this also? It turns out he has his own conflicts of interest by profiting off of his actions when his wife bought stock in the competing oil pipeline company.”

    State Department agrees to 800,000 barrels per day
    “Barring litigation, or action by the State Department, Enbridge will achieve what has eluded TransCanada. And it will have done so with scant attention from the media and without the public debate generated by campaigns against the Keystone XL.

    Enbridge will be transporting the same tar sands described by former NASA climate scientist James Hansen as one of the “dirtiest most carbon-intensive fuels on the planet.” Mining and burning Alberta’s tar-sands oil alone, University of Saint Thomas (Minnesota) engineering professor John Abraham warned in Scientific American, will result in a global temperature increase that’s equivalent to “half of what we’ve already seen.”

    “It’s a complicated story,” an environmental lawyer said of Enbridge’s pipeline, “so it’s not getting much media coverage.” Also lacking media attention is Enbridge’s role in the largest inland oil spill in U.S. history, the result of a ruptured pipe in 2010.”

    With All Eyes on Keystone, Another Tar Sands Pipeline Just Crossed the Border
    “The Keystone XL pipeline may be in political limbo, but that hasn’t stopped another Canadian company from quietly pressing ahead on a pipeline project that will ramp up the volume of tar sands oil transported through the U.S. What’s more, the company, Enbridge, is making those changes without a permit, and environmental groups say it is flouting the law.

    Calgary, Alberta-based Enbridge is the same company that spilled more than 1 million gallons of thick, sticky tar sands crude into the Kalamazoo River in Michigan in 2010. The spill was the largest of its kind in the U.S. and took four years to clean up.

    Enbridge applied for a State Department permit two years ago for its latest project: a bid to increase the capacity of its “Alberta Clipper” pipeline from 450,000 to 800,000 barrels of tar sands crude per day. The Clipper crosses the border from Canada into the U.S. in North Dakota, so a presidential permit from the department would be required by law.”

    Keystone critic decried conflict of interest as wife backed competitor
    “The wife of a leading House Democrat owned stock in a top competitor to the company behind the Keystone XL pipeline while he raised red flags about potential conflicts of interest in the government’s review of the project, documents show.

    Rep. Raul Grijalva (D., Ariz.) was very concerned about the potential financial benefits of approving the pipeline for the federal contractor that conducted an environmental review of the project last year.”…
    “However, Grijalva may have faced his own financial conflict even as he warned of the potentially compromised positions of those supporting the case for the pipeline’s construction.

    According to disclosure forms filed last year, Grijalva’s wife bought between $1,000 and $15,000 in stock in a major Canadian oil pipeline company just months before the congressman penned his letter to Obama.

    The company, Enbridge Energy Partners, is Canada’s largest transporter of crude oil and is a direct competitor to TransCanada.

    Enbridge is expected to benefit as Keystone continues to languish in bureaucratic limbo awaiting a go-ahead from the Obama administration for its southern leg, which would carry Canadian “oil sands” crude to the U.S. Gulf Coast.”

  92. 25 Feb: Forbes: James Taylor: Record Cold And Snow Destroy Global Warming Claims
    Yet another bitterly cold, snowy winter is destroying alarmist global warming claims, proving once again that over-the-top global warming predictions are proving no more scientifically credible than snake oil.
    This morning, stunning photos show New England lobster boats frozen in port, looking like they are stranded deep within the Arctic Circle. The boats have been frozen in place for weeks, which would be remarkable enough if this were the middle of January. However, the calendar is about to turn to March…
    Connecticut is experiencing its coldest February in recorded history. So is Michigan. So is Toronto. Cleveland and Chicago are experiencing their second coldest February in recorded history. Frigid and record cold temperatures are being set from Key West to International Falls. At the same time, blizzard after blizzard is burying much of the nation with record winter snow totals, with winter snowfall records beings set from Boston to Denver…
    Global warming activists are in full-throttle damage control, desperately claiming global warming causes record snow and cold…
    National Geographic published an article titled, “Blizzard of Nor’easters No Surprise, Thanks to Climate Change.”…READ ALL

  93. Thought you might find this paper of interest. Notice that the authors mention the hiatus in
    global temps.:

    With the extra-ordinary intensity of 170 kts, supertyphoon Haiyan devastated
    the Philippines in November 2013. This intensity is among the highest ever
    observed for tropical cyclones (TCs) globally, 35 kts well above the
    threshold (135kts) of the existing highest category of 5. Though there is
    speculation to associate global warming with such intensity, existing
    research indicate that we have been in a warming hiatus period, with the
    hiatus attributed to the La Niña-like multi-decadal phenomenon. It is thus
    intriguing to understand why Haiyan can occur during hiatus. It is suggested
    that as the western Pacific manifestation of the La Niña-like phenomenon is
    to pile up warm subsurface water to the west, the western North Pacific
    experienced evident subsurface warming and created a very favorable ocean
    pre-condition for Haiyan. Together with its fast traveling speed, the
    air-sea flux supply was 158% as compared to normal intensification.

  94. From an email:
    CO2 heat pump water heaters have the potential for large energy savings using an environmentally friendly refrigerant, and also have the capability to produce both water and space heating needs.

    So now, in order to make sales, CO2 is “environmentally friendly”?? It is not until you get into the slides that you realize they are comparing it to standard refrigerants. it is “friendly” as long as you don’t have a failure and flood your house with CO2…
    Have to admit they did not say “friendly” to oxygen-breathing life forms.

    • A standard heat pump contains about 4-6 lbs. of refrigerant. Unless this co2 heat pump contains considerably more you would not even notice it. I would not hesitate to unload a 5lb. co2 fire extinguisher in my house just to cool down beer.

  95. Please write Anthony Watts and tell him about the subsidence of the east coast.

    I found one article that shows some very interesting charts, maps and studies proving this.…subsidence…east_coast…/02bfe510c22441de97000...
    by S Spasojevic – ‎2008 – ‎Cited by 49 – ‎Related articles
    [1] The dynamic subsidence of the United States east coast is addressed using the … subsidence of the east coast since the end of Eocene, although the exact.

    Done dear Brother. Signed : MAX

  96. @Anthony,

    My Foxfire browser will not display your home page. It loads but then displays a blank screen. I use Safari and it loads and displays ok. Not an inconvenience for me, but somebody should know.

    Mac OSX 10.10.1 Yosemite
    iMac 21.5 inch mid 2010
    Firefox 32.0 Yahoo edition 1.25

    [Noted. .mod]

  97. From the front page of The Times (London) 24th Feb 2015 –

    “Met Office to strike

    Met Office staff will strike for the first time in living memory this week, prompting fears that the accuracy of forecasts would be put at risk while they set up picket lines”

    “fears… accuracy” You couldn’t make it up!


    The “Pause” in Global Warming Is Finally Explained

    ‘Let’s be clear: The planet is still getting hotter. The so-called pause, or hiatus, in global warming means the rate of temperature rise has slowed. The average global temperature is still going up, but in the past 10 to 15 years it hasn’t been going up as quickly as it was in the decades before.’

    And a quote about the Mann:

    ‘Separate work by Mann, presented in a Scientific American article he wrote last April, also indicates that the pause will not last long. Mann calculated that if the world continues to burn fossil fuels at the current rate, global warming would rise to two degrees Celsius by 2036 (compared with preindustrial levels), crossing a threshold that would harm human civilization. And even if the pause persists for longer than expected, the world would cross the line in 2046. The article includes a monumental graph showing all the details. Mann also published the data sources and formula he used, on Scientific American’s Web site, so anyone could replicate his calculations.’

    Gosh, I am convinced, aren’t you?


    Democrats Target Climate-Deniers-for-Hire

    ‘By itself, the revelation isn’t likely to slow Soon’s lucrative romp through GOP talking points. When the Boston Globe reported in 2013 that the same companies had contributed more than a million dollars to Soon’s climate research, Republicans continued to cite his work and his double-barrelled affiliation with the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics. Which is why two Democrats are launching investigations into the climate-change denial machine.’

    The Warmunista Gremlins are hard at it…

  100. hoping Anthony will make this a thread, as Australian CAGW sceptics have become visible in the MSM of late. Jennifer Marohasy re BOM/TC Marcia categorisation, and now:

    28 Feb: Joannenova: Australian BOM under fire – questions about “adjusted” temperatures exploding around the world
    A hard hitting article today from Graham Lloyd in The Australian. Finally the scientific debacle of climate records is being hung out like dirty laundry…
    David Stockwell, Australian Research Council grant recipient and adjunct researcher at Central Queensland University, raised the Bradman analogy in his submission to a newly formed independent panel that will oversee the operation of the Bureau of Meteorology’s national temperature dataset.
    Stockwell was highlighting public concerns at the BoM’s use of homogenisation techniques to adjust historical temperature records to remove anomalies and produce a national dataset called ACORN-SAT (Australian Climate Observations Reference Network — Surface Air Temperature). The panel, or technical advisory forum, which will hold its first discussions with BoM staff on Monday, was formed in December after a series of questions were raised publicly about the treatment of historic temperature records that has resulted in temperature trends at some Australian sites being changed from long-term cooling to warming…
    In a separate article this weekend, also by Graham Lloyd, the headline points out that a lot of warming in Australia is created by adding warmer and dropping cooler stations from long term averaged records…
    This is a very long feature, with interviews of Judith Curry and Richard Tol…

  101. Why isn’t anyone blogging about the new NASA CO2 satellite data? The mainstream press has been very silent about this. I suspect there is some kind of inconvenient truth there refuting CAGW.

    What I note is the following:
    1. Canada’s and Siberia’s boreal (covered in snow at this) is unable to photosynthesize CO2 away, so we see more CO2 there.
    2. China is doing something bad, coal?
    3. Africa is doing something bad, biomass burning?

  102. a good Prince:

    26 Feb: RTCC: Ed King: Prince Charles mocks climate sceptics in Royal Society speech
    Prince Charles has used a speech at the Royal Society in London to dismiss suggestions global warming is a hoax, warning of severe consequences if governments fail to take action.
    “The gravity and immediacy of the threat it poses to us and our children and grandchildren is… accepted by constituencies that can scarcely be accused of being part of some half-baked conspiracy dreamt up by extreme environmentalists intent on undermining capitalism,” he said.
    “These constituencies include the UN, the World Bank; The Pentagon and the UK Ministry of Defence, the CIA, NSA. … and, I’m happy to say, nurses and doctors.”
    Failure to agree a global climate change deal at the UN later this year could lead to a “death certificate” for the planet, the heir to the British throne said…
    A keen environmentalist who has frequently spoken about global warming – the Prince used his address to call on scientists and politicians to offer a message not just of alarm, but hope.“Actions which are good for the planet are also good for human health: taking a more active approach to transport by walking and cycling and adopting healthy diets reduce greenhouse gas emissions, but also reduce rates of obesity, heart disease, cancer and more – saving lives and money,” he said.“Reductions in air pollution also result – with separate and additional benefits to human health. A healthy planet and healthy people are two sides of the same coin.”The Prince is expected to discuss climate change with US president Barack Obama when he travels to the States on an official visit next month.

    some Princes, like some billionaires, are more lovable – or politically correct – than others, it would seem.

  103. a ranting, rambling stunt, according to The Guardian’s Woolf:

    27 Feb: Guardian: Nicky Woolf: Republican Senate environment chief uses snowball as prop in climate rant
    Senator James Inhofe, who has famously claimed global warming is a hoax, wields snowball on Senate floor to in stunt against climate change evidence
    The snowball stunt was part of a rambling speech to America’s most august deliberative body in which, among other points, Inhofe took aim at evidence by scientists that 2014 was the warmest year on record due to climate change.
    (According to detailed research Nasa and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, two of the top bodies of government scientists, it was.)…
    “I think it’s lovely that Senator Inhofe enjoys the winter weather so much,” said Gavin Schmidt, a climate scientist and director of Nasa’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies. “I’m a winter sports fan myself. But there’s a big difference between people playing with the snow, and global climate change.”
    Schmidt told the Guardian that, despite Senator Inhofe’s views, 2014 had indisputably been the warmest year on record, and January 2015 had been one of the warmest Januaries on record.
    “Europe was toasty warm. Alaska was toasty warm. Australia was toasty warm. All these things cancel out the fact that it happens to be cold in Washington DC this week,” he said.

  104. The ‘hacked’ account of Pachauri. It’s a sticky situation.

    February 27, 2015
    Rajendra Pachauri is trying to avoid the probe, say Police
    Police on Thursday opposed R K Pachauri’s request for anticipatory bail in court citing they needed to take him into their custody to interrogate him. Police said Pachauri was not cooperating in the investigation….

    “You are rejecting my fervent offer to keep and nurture my heart! :(here I am sitting and chairing an IPCC meeting and surreptitiously sending you messages. I hope that tells you of my feelings for you!)”…

    Many more apparent ‘leaked’ quotes in the link below.

    “Sexual Harassment for Dummies” by R. K. Pachauri
    ……“You are rejecting my fervent offer to keep and nurture my heart! :( here I am sitting and chairing an IPCC meeting and surreptitiously sending you messages. I hope that tells you of my feelings for you ! *.*”………………

  105. Anthony, please do a piece on Michael Mann’s latest write-up in the Huffington Post.

    He plays the semantics game (no pause, no hiatus, but it is a “speed bump”). And he claims to have coined the acronym AMO in 2000 when I was studying it as a meteorology student back in the 1990s! Read his claim:

    “We focused on the Northern Hemisphere and the role played by two climate oscillations known as the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation or “AMO” (a term I coined back in 2000, as recounted in my book The Hockey Stick and the Climate Wars)”

    And then Wikipedia:

    “The Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) was identified by Schlesinger and Ramankutty in 1994.[2]”

    He has amazing powers of self-delusion.

    • I see Bob Tisdale covered the same post when it showed up in RealClimate- but I still believe he is playing loose with saying he first “coined” AMO when he did not.

  106. There is a story on the blaze blaming the pause on the Atlantic and Pacific multi decadal oscillations. Would make sense to sheeple or a non climatologist like myself. Please have a go at it old boy.

  107. Dear Mr. Watts:


    The main burden of the letter seems to be that anyone getting any money from any source remotely associated with the Koch brosthers must be totally corrupt and shojuld, therefore, be immediately and publically ostrazied. You may want to consider writing something comparing this position to that ennunciated in the United States Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works Minority Staff Report

    The Chain of Environmental Command: How a Club of Billionaires and Their Foundations Control the Environmental Movement and Obama’s EPA

    You can find it here:

  108. Looks like Google will now decide what is “truth” and “facts”. First the crazies at Wikipedia and now Google will tell us what to believe.

  109. Now it’s ocean cooling killing the corals:
    “A new study has found that La Niña-like conditions in the Pacific Ocean off the coast of Panamá were closely associated with an abrupt shutdown in coral reef growth that lasted 2,500 years. The study suggests that future changes in climate similar to those in the study could cause coral reefs to collapse in the future.”–+ScienceDaily%29

  110. American Meteorological Society’s input re: congressional investigation of climate researchers


  111. Major breaking news:

    Remembering that Google’s chairman recently attacked climate skeptics (saying “the facts of climate change are not in question,” et cetera), Google is about to take their support for the CAGW movement to whole new level:

    Google plans to rank websites based on what Google pretends are “facts,” rather than links, outright admitting that they intend to effectively hide pages with other info:

    THE internet is stuffed with garbage. Anti-vaccination websites make the front page of Google, and fact-free “news” stories spread like wildfire. Google has devised a fix – rank websites according to their truthfulness.

    Google’s search engine currently uses the number of incoming links to a web page as a proxy for quality, determining where it appears in search results. So pages that many other sites link to are ranked higher. This system has brought us the search engine as we know it today, but the downside is that websites full of misinformation can rise up the rankings, if enough people link to them.

    A Google research team is adapting that model to measure the trustworthiness of a page, rather than its reputation across the web. Instead of counting incoming links, the system – which is not yet live – counts the number of incorrect facts within a page.

    The software works by tapping into the Knowledge Vault, the vast store of facts that Google has pulled off the internet. Facts the web unanimously agrees on are considered a reasonable proxy for truth. Web pages that contain contradictory information are bumped down the rankings.

    As a reminder of the context this is in, for disagreement with what kind of so-called “facts” would be considered doubleplusungood, see

    (It matters for far more than climate topics, numerous other political matters as well).

    This change would make google itself unreliable, albeit an effective activist method if implemented without most people learning of the change and appreciating what it really means.

  112. Can we get Michael E. Mann on a Title IX violation ?

    This is like asking if Al Capone can be undone by a Tax code violation.


    Ha ha

  113. keep in mind there are about a dozen movies based on Michael Crichton’s books, but NOT his expose of the CAGW scam, “State of Fear”. why not?

    on the other hand, good billionaires Jeff Skoll & Pierre Omidyar have provided the funding for an exciting new documentary “Merchants of Doubt” featuring the “charismatic” Naomi Oreskes & James Hansen.
    fortunately for them, the truly charismatic Marc Morano is also featured (tho smearing him is the purpose). in fact, was the March release date for this docu part of the reason for the WITCHHUNT!

    btw Skoll funded another great documentary:

    TED Talk: Film producer Jeff Skoll (An Inconvenient Truth) talks about his film company, Participant Productions, and the people who’ve inspired him to do good.

    1 Mar: Newsweek: Greg Evans: Exposing the Doubt-Mongers Trying to Convince You Climate Change Isn’t Real
    In Merchants of Doubt, their 2010 book that vivisects bad science and industrial cynicism, science historians Naomi Oreskes and Erik M. Conway decried the uneven battle for the popular imagination fought, on one side, by scientists ill-equipped for high-volume cable-TV tussles and, on the other, by the “well-financed contrarians” bent on dismantling whatever lab results, peer-reviewed theories and settled science might lead to even the most benign corporate regulations.
    The authors unraveled the deny-and-obfuscate tactics concocted in the 1950s by Mad Men and Big Tobacco to cloud understanding of what even the proto-mainstream media was beginning to grasp…
    Joining the fray is filmmaker Robert Kenner, whose surprisingly rollicking screen adaptation of Merchants of Doubt opens March 6 in New York and Los Angeles…
    ***He (Kenner) was prepared, he said, for more of the anti-science vitriol documented in his film. “It’s pretty amazing, this anger out there.… I’m going to be attacked. I just hope it only takes the form of written words.”…
    Newsweek’s Greg Evans: When I read Merchants of Doubt, I didn’t think, Wow, great cinematic potential. What did you see there?…
    KENNER: I didn’t think it was a movie, but it led me into an arena….
    KENNER: I really get offended when people on the left say, “Oh, these people (CAGW SCEPTICS) are so stupid.” They’re not stupid… Marc Morano [climate change skeptic and frequent Fox News interviewee] said, “Our job is simple. All we have to do is stop action.” I think he’s very funny, he’s very smart. And I wish he was backing other things…
    NEWSWEEK’S GREG EVANS: What are the differences between the left’s use of science and the right’s use of science?
    KENNER: There is some bad science all around…But I think because regulation has fallen into disfavor, [science skepticism] has become much more of a calling card for certain corporations and certain conservative or libertarian forces at the moment. But there are incredibly good, smart people who merely have different economic ideas than I might have, and different solutions. They’re ready to recognize the problem of climate change and want to debate the solutions. That’s where the debate should be today…
    NEWSWEEK’S GREG EVANS: So you’re optimistic that we’re moving from a debate over the existence of climate change and toward a debate over solutions?
    KENNER: There is no debate about the existence! The media has been partially responsible for implying there’s a debate on climate change. There are great debates to be had on solutions…
    NEWSWEEK’S GREG EVANS: How did you make a film about global warming entertaining?
    KENNER: First of all, I don’t think it is about global warming. I think it’s about people who create doubt. Their next big payday just happens to be climate change…
    NEWSWEEK’S GREG EVANS: What do you want people to come away with?
    KENNER: And I would hope that newspapers stop presenting deniers as scientific experts. I think the news networks should be embarrassed to do that…What images will we be looking at years from now, wondering, What were we thinking?
    Senator Jim Inhofe saying, “Look, it’s snowing—global warming is not happening.” These guys are not going to look great to their grandchildren.


    COMMENT BY GREG LADEN: I think we are seeing the last of this, frankly. Mainstream media is now starting to call what they formerly referred to as “skeptics” what they really are, denialists. Major fossil fuel companies and the institutions that represent them are even getting on board, recognizing that climate change is for real and important. In Canada, recently, a lawsuit against an anti-climate science denialist was won by one of the victimized scientists. With Willie Soon Gate we are now seeing, every day, more and more evidence of crappy research sold as “deliverables” to Big Fossil and in some cases testimony before Congress as well.

    COMMENT BY JACK WOLF: These deniers are nuts. Their security clearances should be looked at.

    • I think someone should give serious consideration to a movie version of The Hockey Stick Illusion. Gary Sinise would be perfect as Ross McKitrick. Someone should pitch it to him.

  114. there are about a dozen movies based on Michael Crichton’s books, but NOT his expose of the CAGW scam, “State of Fear”. why not?

    on the other hand, good billionaires Jeff Skoll & Pierre Omidyar have provided the funding for an exciting new documentary “Merchants of Doubt” featuring the “charismatic” Naomi Oreskes & James Hansen.
    fortunately for them, the truly charismatic Marc Morano is also featured (tho smearing him is the purpose).

    btw Skoll funded another great documentary:

    TED Talk: Film producer Jeff Skoll (An Inconvenient Truth) talks about his film company, Participant Productions, and the people who’ve inspired him to do good.

    was the March release of this docu partly behind the timing of the WITCHHUNT?
    note Greg Laden comment at bottom:

    1 Mar: Newsweek: Greg Evans: Exposing the Doubt-Mongers Trying to Convince You Climate Change Isn’t Real
    Joining the fray is filmmaker Robert Kenner, whose surprisingly rollicking screen adaptation of Merchants of Doubt opens March 6 in New York and Los Angeles…
    ***He (Kenner) was prepared, he said, for more of the anti-science vitriol documented in his film. “It’s pretty amazing, this anger out there.… I’m going to be attacked. I just hope it only takes the form of written words.”…
    Newsweek’s Greg Evans: When I read Merchants of Doubt, I didn’t think, Wow, great cinematic potential. What did you see there?…
    KENNER: I didn’t think it was a movie, but it led me into an arena….
    KENNER: I really get offended when people on the left say, “Oh, these people (CAGW SCEPTICS) are so stupid.” They’re not stupid… Marc Morano [climate change skeptic and frequent Fox News interviewee] said, “Our job is simple. All we have to do is stop action.” I think he’s very funny, he’s very smart. And I wish he was backing other things…
    NEWSWEEK’S GREG EVANS: So you’re optimistic that we’re moving from a debate over the existence of climate change and toward a debate over solutions?
    KENNER: There is no debate about the existence! The media has been partially responsible for implying there’s a debate on climate change. There are great debates to be had on solutions…
    NEWSWEEK’S GREG EVANS: How did you make a film about global warming entertaining?
    KENNER: First of all, I don’t think it is about global warming. I think it’s about people who create doubt. Their next big payday just happens to be climate change…
    NEWSWEEK’S GREG EVANS: What do you want people to come away with?
    KENNER: And I would hope that newspapers stop presenting deniers as scientific experts. I think the news networks should be embarrassed to do that…What images will we be looking at years from now, wondering, What were we thinking?
    Senator Jim Inhofe saying, “Look, it’s snowing—global warming is not happening.” These guys are not going to look great to their grandchildren.


    COMMENT BY GREG LADEN: I think we are seeing the last of this, frankly. Mainstream media is now starting to call what they formerly referred to as “skeptics” what they really are, denialists. Major fossil fuel companies and the institutions that represent them are even getting on board, recognizing that climate change is for real and important. In Canada, recently, a lawsuit against an anti-climate science denialist was won by one of the victimized scientists. With Willie Soon Gate we are now seeing, every day, more and more evidence of crappy research sold as “deliverables” to Big Fossil and in some cases testimony before Congress as well.

    COMMENT BY JACK WOLF: These deniers are nuts. Their security clearances should be looked at.

  115. 27 Feb: ABC Australia: 4 religious leaders explain why the coal industry is immoral
    by: Raja Jayaraman is Vice Chair of the Hindu Council of Australia. Jonathan Keren-Black is a rabbi at the Leo Baeck Center for Progressive Judaism and Founder of the Jewish Ecological Coalition. Thea Ormerod is President of the Australian Religious Response to Climate Change. Stephen Pickard is Executive Director of the Australian Center for Christianity and Culture at Charles Sturt University.

    MOMENTUM SEEMS TO be building for a global deal at the United Nations Climate Change Conference in Paris this December. With this sense of optimism comes a keen awareness that the use of fossil fuels must be phased out globally as rapidly as possible. Indeed, the idea that greenhouse gas emissions should be reduced to zero by 2050 is gaining wider acceptance…BLAH BLAH

    This weekend I was watching The Weather Channel to catch the local radar and witnessed TWC trying to answer Sen. Inhofe’s snowball speech. After showing a clip of the Senator questioning NASA’s integrity, Kait Parker and Greg Postel came on to refute his speech. It was obvious that the TWC staff were ticked off at his revealing how NASA played fast and loose with the WARMEST YEAR EVER press release, but the OCMs refrained from name calling, but they did drag out the usual straw men. They failed to address charges that NASA and NOAA press releases buried the error statistics in the sub-footnotes and instead kept insisting that the world is growing warmer, even when it isn’t. They insisted that weather is not climate (well, yeah) and that the warmth/cold isn’t uniform. But they skipped over the global temperature trend of the last 17 years.

  117. How do you instantly begin using electricity where over 50% of the supply comes from renewable and greenhouse gas-free sources? Apparently, in California at least, all you need to do is turn on the light switch:

    “On average, approximately half of the electricity PG&E delivers to its customers comes from a combination of renewable and greenhouse gas-free resources.”
    21% nuclear, 11% large hydro, 19% renewable

  118. “[UK] National Grid seeks back-up power plants to keep lights on next winter”

    “However, Britain’s spare capacity margin – the “safety buffer” between peak demand and maximum supply – is forecast to fall to as low as 2pc in winter 2015-16, half the level seen this winter, as more old power plants close. ”

    Sheesh, 2%! We got away with it in UK this winter, no prolonged cold and snow like you guys over on the sinister side of the pond. 2% is essentially no margin at all. Slightest blip and industry shut downs start.

  119. New paper in the Cryosphere.

    Talked about here:

    Lov that opening salvo:
    “Climate models can be good tools for predicting future sea ice levels — unless, of course, they are completely wrong.” Whoa ! LOL Applause from the peanut gallery.

    The research paper is about the Southern Ocean sea ice extent and how it been increasing.

    It’s by a Chinese research team.

    Mickey Mann Mann will surely get on a local State College TV station to explain the “discrepancy”.

    “Of course the this research paper is wrong. Look who wrote it: Chinese. They obviously used the wrong measuring stick. Look! Here is mine!” Manny then get up from the chair, unzips his trousers and starts twirling this Pee Pee for the camera.

    Ha ha


    I have seen this article percolating for a few days, distributed by Global Warming alarmists as the “Smoking Gun”. To which I have two observations:

    1) The abstract states that this is the first time a study has been run to verify the direct connection between CO2 and Climate. If this is true then the science is even less settled than I thought!

    2) The study at hand uses clear sky observations to correlate the increase in CO2 with an increase in temperature. The “clear sky” is the operative word that the AGW folks seem to have missed. It is impossible to get a real world CO2 forcing while ignoring the largest contributor to global climate after the sun: Clouds.

  121. Watched the BBCs “climate change by numbers”. Did what it said on the tin: a paean to the power of statistical analysis and mathematical modelling. Focus was entirely on data since 1881, so need to worry viewers with what might have triggered warmer and colder periods in pre-industrial times, let alone the evidence of climate change in recent geological era. It was basically the same old same old and ended with the usual dangerous storms ‘n floods photo album.

    Showed a number of flash but fuzzy graphics. I got stuck on the one that showed sea surface temperatures as recorded 1881 to around 2000, including a spike around 1941 attributed to no one wanting to go on deck to put the bucket over the side in some non-pacific parts of the ocean, with the result that fewer readings were taken, which was then overlaid with a curve showing the same data after treatment, with 1930s readings all jerked upwards, long before the cause of the spike came into play. Curious.

    • Yes I noticed that sleight of hand with the sea surface temperature spike and felt like throwing something at the TV. The programme in general was full of half truths, unsubstantiated claims, misleading statements and just plain wrong stuff.

      Especially annoying was the equation showing the temperature effect of CO2 in the atmosphere. How the mathematics genius could fail to note and comment upon the logarithmic element of the equation, and therefore the diminishing effect of increasing CO2, was beyond belief.

      And surely Arrhenius’ “4 degree C for a doubling of CO2″ proposition has long since been debunked?

      No surprise at the level of propaganda in this programme given that the executive producer was Jonathan Renouf, of “Climate Wars” infamy.

    • Questin Vole & Tonybr, my lovely wife had already threatened to switch it off because (for some strange reason) I kept shouting very loudly at the TV. It was typical BBC ‘AGW party-line’ propaganda – and I watched nearly all of it until I finally gave up and nodded off in the chair.

      You can watch it on BBC iPlayer here:

      Thanks to Michael Spurrier (February 14, 2015 @ 12:20 pm) for originally flagging this up, and Richard (March 2, 2015 @ 1:50 am) for confirming the programme was on. I defy any of our WUWT community who watch this programme not to get angry with their TV.

    • It is true. If you look at the first OCO-2 map (NASA CO2 satellite), you can see that the rainforests (with lots of bugs) are generatings tons of CO2. Also, a later map from OC0-2, in the winter, shows much CO2 in the boreal forests, because they are covered with snow and unable to photosynthesize the CO2 expelled from the bugs (termites in this case).

  122. Global Warming Causes Fish to Change Sex

    Scientists warn that fish are changing sex due to warmer climate. Numbers of male fish were higher when the water temperatures rose to levels predicted for the year 2100 (so only 85 years to wait to see if it is true). Inbred fish were more vulnerable, highlighting the risk to endangered species with small, isolated populations.

    The study by Exeter University (home of the Met Office) and chemical giant AstraZeneca (so no conflict of interest there then) was published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (who should know better).

  123. Hunting Beach CA. Snow Day on the Beach March 2nd 2015
    “Are you going to believe the models or your own damn lying eyes?”

  124. I know strange things happen on the webz every minute of every day.
    Every now and then you stumble on some small, subtle nuance that just catches your eye.
    This evening, I got into a “discussion” with a couple of workmates who are true believers in AGW.
    I mentioned Antarctic Ice setting new records…they both denied it. Knowing that even NASA agreed this was happening, I came home and got online to send them a few links.
    Opened up Chrome, and in the address/search bar, I typed in Antarctic Sea Ice.
    When the search results were displayed, the very first article was on shrinking ARCTIC ice.

    I grabbed the screenshot, just don’t know how to post pics here. Guess they have to be hosted elsewhere.

  125. people like to post the March 2000 UK Independent quote from Dr. Viner:

    UK Independent: Charles Onians: Snowfalls are now just a thing of the past
    According to Dr David Viner, a senior research scientist at the climatic research unit (CRU) of the University of East Anglia,within a few years winter snowfall will become “a very rare and exciting event”.
    “Children just aren’t going to know what snow is,” he said…

    surely the MSM would want to confront Dr. Viner with the amazing pics of Boston in DM below & ask him what went wrong with his prediction!

    4 March: Daily Mail: Ashley Collman: Keep digging until you see spring: People of Boston pictured from the air as they toil to get their city back from under more than eight feet of snow
    Boston has received some 8 1/2 feet of the snow in the past few weeks, and is just a few inches shy of their snowiest winter yet – a record that was set 20 years ago.
    That record could be broken as soon as Wednesday evening, when yet another storm front is expected to hit the city…

    to help the MSM find him, Dr David Viner has been the principal climate resilience advisor at the giant Mott MacDonald Consultancy since 2012. and what have they been up to recently?

    26 Feb: Mott MacDonald joins with Khudairi Group to deliver Iraqi projects
    Mott MacDonald has joined up with Khudairi Group to deliver oil and gas projects in Iraq. The move combines the consultancy’s full range of engineering and procurement technical support services with Khudairi Group’s procurement, inspection, expediting and construction management services.
    Khudairi Group is a leading provider of solutions to the oil and gas and construction industries in Iraq…
    The consultancy also supported increased production from the Rumaillah oilfield – the second biggest field in the world…

    never mind. on Mott’s About Us – Sustainability Approach page (link from above), they claim they have pledged to reduce their 16,0000 employees carbon footprints by 5% year on year, so they are doing their bit to save the planet from CAGW.

    About Mott MacDonald: Sustainability Approach: Carbon as a metric of business success
    For us carbon reduction is synonymous with business success. We pledged in 2008 to cut our carbon emissions per employee by 5% year on year because we want to play our part in tackling climate change…
    Since 2008 we have embraced the Carbon Disclosure Project to provide external visibility of our performance which we report annually as part of our corporate responsibility report.

  126. Dec 2014: WaterPowerMagazine: Making hydropower resilient to climate change
    Dr David Viner from Mott MacDonald says that the hydropower industry cannot ignore climate change…
    Dr David Viner is the principal climate resilience advisor at Mott MacDonald.
    The result is that institutional investors, increasingly aware of the risks posed by climate change, are requiring risk assessments to be undertaken before committing to finance and planning…

    Dr. Viner’s LinkedIn not keen to name Mott.

    LinkedIn: David Viner
    ***Exceptionally Experienced International Climate Change Expert: Science, Impacts, Resilience, Adaptation and Mitigation
    Current: World Leading Infrastructure Consultancy
    Principal Adviser working for an global company. Responsible for Strategic Business Development, Project Director, Stakeholder Management and Strategy Development.
    My Climate Change Programme at the British Council was described by the Foreign Office as a “National Asset”…
    Specialties: All aspects of the Climate Change and Development, working at the highest international level in global roles since 1991.

  127. Free American Chemical Society sponsored webinar (probably biased)

    “Bringing CO2 Monitoring to You: Communicating Atmospheric Chemistry”
    Thursday, March 12, 2015 @ 2pm ET

    Global climate change presents one of the most urgent environmental crises in recorded history. Yet, as recently as 2009, more than half of the US population doubted mankind’s role in rising temperatures. Join Alexis Shusterman as she discusses how to better communicate climate science with a general audience and gives us a glimpse into the atmospheric science happening at UC Berkeley today.

    • littlepeaks,

      I tried to register. But as soon as I began questioning AGW, I could no longer comment. Did you have the same interference? You do know, I’m sure, that sites can read what’s being typed in real time. I suspect that’s what is happening. Hope I’m wrong.

      • dbstealey

        I have never tried to comment on these webinars. The link I supplied was only for registration (I think). I attend many ACS webinars, but not the ones on climate.

      • Thanx, littlepeaks. I’m just naturally suspicious when websites stop me from commenting as soon as I express skepticism.

        Anyone else have that problem? Or am I the only one who can’t sign up?

  128. for attention of Susan Crockford: a poor attempt (lengthy) to debunk Susan’s data:

    4 March: CarbonBrief: Roz Pidcock: Polar bears and climate change: What does the science say?
    Just recently, Peter Hitchens said in the Mail on Sunday polar bears are “doing extremely well right now” and that claims otherwise are “just hot air”.
    Carbon Brief has dug through the literature and spoken to polar bear experts. While little is known about some remote polar bear populations, it’s clear there’s no scientific basis for such optimism. As temperatures rise, polar bears face a bleak future ahead, scientists tell us.
    The crux of Hitchens’ argument is that polar bear numbers are rising around the world, not falling. He quotes biologist Dr Susan Crockford…
    Update: This article was updated at 16:50 on the 4th March to include the most recent polar bear subpopulation map from the IUCD/PBSG and further explanation

  129. 4 March: LA Weekly: Alan Scherstuhl: Merchants of Doubt Shows How Corporate Lies Infect Our Minds, From Tobacco to Climate Change
    The Amazing Randi insists that the public wants to be fooled, that it’s easier and more comforting for us not to see unromantic truths — you can see him proclaiming this, a little sadly, in Justin Weinstein and Tyler Measom’s documentary, An Honest Liar, which plays like a companion piece to Robert Kenner’s sly and enraging Merchants of Doubt. Randi, now north of 80, dedicated a lifetime to exposing frauds, deceivers and liars, only to see such scoundrels triumph again not long after their exposure. Now, Merchants argues, those frauds have co-opted the spirit of Randi — committing their deceptions (and jeopardizing our world) as they themselves adopt the mantle of principled skepticism…
    The film, based on the book by Naomi Oreskes and Erik Conway, lays bare the way that moneyed interests sell doubt to keep us from believing in things that actually are true — and damaging for business…
    Kenner finds a magnificent antihero in Marc Morano, a cheery, chatty prevaricator who has made a mint by muddying water. His job is to promote skepticism of a truth that even Skeptic magazine believes in, and since Morano’s cocksure, and good at yelling on TV, he steamrolls over climate scientists on cable despite his lack of expertise. In interviews, he’s disarmingly guileless, happy to brag about all the times he’s posted online the email addresses of climate scientists, some of whom turn up to read aloud from the death threats they get.
    The film and Morano agree on one thing: All that the deniers of climate change have to do to succeed is reduce the country’s certainty. They’ve been wildly successful, as Kenner demonstrates — remember back in 2008, when Mitt Romney, John McCain and Newt Gingrich all stated publicly that carbon emissions are the cause of global warming? Today, what office-seeking Republican would dare?…

    at Village Voice the article is titled: “Strong New Docs on Hoaxers and Debunkers Reveal a Country Eager to Be Fooled”

    writer’s profile at VV: Alan Scherstuhl is film editor at The Village Voice. He also covers books, music, and other matters for the Voice, in addition to writing Studies in Crap, his ongoing humor column about bizarre books and ephemera found at junkshops.

    weather forecast for day before the premiere in LA & NYC (nationwide US 13 March) of “Merchants of Doubt” – the Al Gore Effect:

    4 March: Accuweather: Oklahoma City to Boston: Snow, Ice to Snarl Travel for 1,500-Mile Corridor Into Thursday
    A new storm will spread a swath of snow and sleet spanning more than 1,500 miles from
    northern Texas and Oklahoma to southeastern New York state and Massachusetts into Thursday.
    Daily activities will be affected for close to 100 million people.
    Major travel disruptions are in store, ranging from snow-clogged roads to many flight delays and cancellations. The flight disruptions will likely extend well beyond areas directly affected by the storm as crews and aircraft are displaced.
    The atmosphere is gearing up for a rare event. The new winter storm will occur during a press of cold air invading the Central and Eastern states in the wake a storm that produced snow and ice Tuesday night and rain Wednesday…
    While snowfall will be light in northern Texas, Oklahoma and Kansas, the snow will fall heavily at times from the middle part of the Mississippi Valley to the Ohio Valley, central Appalachians and mid-Atlantic coast…
    A large part of Kentucky and West Virginia will receive 6 inches of snow with locally higher amounts possible. This same 6-inch swath will also reach eastward across southern Pennsylvania and into New Jersey…

  130. Unlike the alarmists, our heroes are not insubstantial paper men, origami figures fashioned by nothing more than lies and propaganda. Our ones have been tested in a red-hot furnace of hate, scorn and betrayal and survived it on nothing more than their own individual brand of courage. We can count ourselves lucky to have people of such calibre positioned anywhere over that line called climate scepticism.


  131. Anthony, if you’d like, I can write up a smallish post on this tonight.

    From Iceland: the the volcanic vent eruption in Holuhraun, the one fed by the Bárðarbunga volcano ended suddenly Feb 27th. It had been weakening gradually over the last couple of months. There’s still some seismic activity and gas venting will be going on for some time.

    From :
    The volcanic eruption in Holuhraun has come to an END. For the first time in six months, no glow was seen in a flight 27 February.

    The lava field is now 85 km². The average thickness is at least 10 – 14 m (max 40 m) and the volume is about 1.4 km³.
    Seismic activity in Bárðarbunga continues to diminish distinctly.

    The maximum subsidence of the caldera is at least 61 m. The rate has been 5 cm/day recently, compared to tens of centimeters earlier. The volume of the subsidence is 1.7 – 1.8 km³.

  132. The BBC followed up Monday’s “Climate Change by Numbers” programme with “Climate Chance – A Horizon Guide” (Horizon being a long running science programme). It was clearly presented as a round-up of archive material from programmes from as long ago as the early seventies with the aim of showing how CO2-driven climate change became the issue it is today. It included Jones P on Climategate and Monckton C and some other short clips representing continuing scepticism. But it goes without saying that it’s general conclusion was (surprise, surprise) that the science is settled. There was, of course, nothing about 19 years without the predicted warming, or the recent expansion of Antarctic ice, or the decline in hurricanes on the U.S. eastern littoral compared to the prognoses of more warming, more glacier calving and more, worse weather.

  133. since SOS Clinton was involved in discussions with other countries relating to climate change is it possible there are emails on her server that nobody has seen?
    is there a way to legally get any emails dealing with climate change from her?
    would be interesting to see the plans and scheming that may have happened.

  134. A bit old (from Feb 11), but I am shocked that the EPA would even consider biomass as a suitable replacement for fossil fuel, given the destruction of carbon sinks (and the environment) that biomass entails.
    The recent NASA OCO-2 satellite image clearly shows a large CO2 source in sub-saharan Africa, bigger than China (coal) even, from biomass burning.

  135. Australian MSM outraged that Govt’s Intergenerational Report says CAGW could be beneficial:

    5 March: SMH: Lisa Cox: Cut from a chapter to three pages: Intergenerational Report accused of ignoring climate change
    VIDEO Caption: Eyebrow raiser: could climate change be good?
    Climate change – which Labor gave a chapter, 74 mentions and described as the greatest threat to Australia’s environment in its 2010 report – receives three-and-a-half pages in the 2015 document…
    The opposition, the Greens and environment groups have leapt on what they see as a massive near-omission from a report meant to highlight the problems that will affect Australia’s development and economic growth.
    Greens leader Christine Milne, who is calling for the report to be rewritten by the independent parliamentary budget office, said on Thursday the government had “destroyed all credibility in the Intergenerational Report process by ignoring global warming”…
    ***The Australian Conservation Foundation said the report “pays lip service to the environment but it paints a future where Australia remains stuck with a fossil fuel-driven economy”…

    Guardian quoted John Connor of the Climate Institute as saying: “It contains no projections of policy outcomes, no projections of the costs of climate impacts, and no recognition of the need to achieve a net zero emissions economy by mid-century.”

    yet here is The Guardian today claiming that, according to a Greenpeace investigation, Europe is ignoring the CAGW activists & going about its fossil-fuelled business as usual! ***and China’s rhetoric is rhetoric:

    5 March: Guardian: Industry lobbyists weakened Europe’s air pollution rules, say Greenpeace
    Governments, including the UK, are allowing energy industry representatives to help draw up Europe’s air quality limits resulting in proposed standards on coal plant emissions that are weaker than China’s, claim the campaign group
    by Arthur Neslen and Rob Evans
    It found that out of 352 members of the technical working group, 183 are either employed by the companies that are being regulated, or by lobby groups that represent those companies.
    “Toxic emissions are killing thousands of people across Europe every year, but rather than clamp down on polluters, politicians are allowing them to prioritise profit over public health. People in the UK could now end up paying with their health for our government’s sell-out to the coal lobby on a vital issue like air quality,” said Lawrence Carter, a campaigner for Greenpeace.
    Documents released to the group under the freedom of information act show that the companies helped to formulate Britain’s position, which was adopted and submitted to the European negotiations two years ago.
    Five out of the UK’s nine-strong delegation in Brussels work for companies that are responsible for large-scale emissions, including coal power plant operators RWE, EDF and E.ON. The remaining members of the British delegation are civil servants…
    A UK government spokesman told the Guardian: “It is absolutely right that the working group includes representatives from industry as they are well positioned to advise on these very technical and complex matters. It is also right that UK civil servants represent stakeholder interests, including industry, in Europe.”…
    In its report published on Thursday, Greenpeace accuses the delegations from Britain, Poland, Czech Republic, Greece, Germany, France and Spain of being the driving force behind the weakening of proposed controls.
    “Several of these countries are among the largest sources of coal-fired power plant pollution in Europe, causing significant health impacts and costs on their citizens and on the citizens of neighbouring countries,” the campaigners said…
    ***EU source: “China had quite ambitious plans but putting them into reality is another story.”…
    Industry groups say that the top 20 energy utilities have already lost €500bn since 2008 because of EU clean energy targets.
    “Looking at the potentially high number of power plants which we will still have to close and the very limited scope for investing in this area, I think it is logical that industry should have expressed a strong interest in keeping their ability to supply much-needed balancing power alive,” said Hans ten Berge, the secretary-general of Eurelectric, which represents Europe’s electricity companies…


    Global Warming or Climate Chaos: What’s in a Name?

    ‘This winter has set record lows in many states, a fact the editor of our conservative local newspaper, and others of his ilk, must be relishing. “There’s no global warming,” I can imagine him crowing. “It’s all a liberal hoax.” Such distorted logic reveals either an appalling ignorance of the meaning of “average,” or a cynical attempt to intentionally mislead.’


    a Gleick production:

    Flooding Google: Google’s New Headquarters and the Threat of Sea-Level Rise

    This may be a good idea for more reasons than he thinks. The map below, taken from Pacific Institute research, shows the current and future vulnerability of Google’s Mountain View headquarters to sea-level rise from human-induced climate change. Their property at the south end of San Francisco Bay is extremely vulnerable to projected sea-level rise. Indeed, forecasts over the next several decades show Google’s property to be smack in the area vulnerable to flooding with a 1.4 meter sea-level rise. Even smaller increases will boost the risk of flooding during storm events and high tides. New York recently learned a hard lesson when Hurricane Sandy struck at high tide, made worse by an increase in sea-level of 20 centimeters (nearly 8 inches) over the past several decades. Lloyd’s of London (pdf) estimated that this rise in sea level contributed to an increase in billions of dollars of damages from storm surges.


    Carbon Shock: How Global Warming Is Changing the Cost of Everything

    ‘There are two types of climate change deniers. The first, motivated by commercial or ideological reasons, is a mentality that ignores scientific evidence about global warming and the role of human behavior in creating it.

    The second is unintentional; the result of simply not wanting to think about such an “inconvenient truth.” This kind of denial is cousin to the conscious practice of deliberately taking periodic news fasts in order to avoid emotional stress. These folks do not deny the truth about global warming but they’re not truly engaged in the debate. They’re doing their best, thank you, when this means recycling their solid waste and limiting the number of vehicles the family drives.’

    Only two types?

    • This is a good bit:

      The activity and efforts about which you inquire, and Koch’s involvement, if any, in them, are at the core of the fundamental liberties protected by the First Amendment to the United States Constitution. To the extent that your letter touches on matters that implicate the First Amendment, I am sure you recognize Koch’s right to participate in the debate of important public policy issues and its right of free association. …

      In reviewing your letter, I did not see any explanation or justification for an official Senate Committee inquiry into activities protected by the First Amendment. Under the circumstances, we decline to participate in this endeavor and object to your apparent efforts to infringe upon and potentially stifle fundamental First Amendment activities.

      Looks like another kicking for the McCarthyites!

  139. This is an interesting read

    5 Times We Tried to Save the Environment but Made Things Worse

    The best-laid plans of scientists and environmentalists can often go awry—but sometimes they backfire spectacularly. The following cautionary tales are a reminder of just how the road to ecological hell can be paved with good-intentioned conservation methods.

    It explains how gardeners may be destroying Monarch butterflies by feeding them, how the government introduced kudzu to the south, why killing 40,000 elephants did not help stop desertification. With a track record like that, how can anyone doubt that CO2 thing?

  140. Important notice concerning WordPress.

    If you create an account/blog with WordPress then be advised that the email account that you enter will be effectively be highjacked by WP. You will have to log into your WordPress blog account if you wish to comment on any other WP blog such as WUWT. WordPress will not allow you to delete an account with them. They now hold your email account/address and any other associated email accounts hostage.

    I would strongly suggest that anyone deciding to open a WordPress account/blog to create a new and dedicated email address/account for WordPress as they will maintain a permanent grip on that account.

    I haven’t parsed the full implications of WP jacking my long term email address (I’ve had for many years) but I may be able to use it to my advantage if this most inconvenient issue is related to some form of WP security. However it should be clearly be noted to anyone opening an account with WordPress. Needless to say I am not happy with WP at the moment.

    • If you want to blog, it is well worth the modest cost to get a hosting account (such as with BlueHost) and run WordPress from there.

      There are no free lunches, despite socialist agitation to the contrary.

  141. I find that the truth of climate change is winning the battles,but losing the war. No matter what statistics I relate, people will not denude their ignorance. The articles here are informative but we need a way of getting through to the masses.

    In the form of topographic map show temperatures at sites next to a map of the adjusted data. With vertical offsets and color for temperature, we can show raw and adjusted side by side and people can see the difference in the topographic maps for the two. Just like terrain, we can show temperature. I would like to see for one site the topo map of raw temperature next to the topo map of the adjusted temperature. It may be a powerful presentation that will convince more people that modeled climate change is a fabricated problem.

    I have spent my time in the metaphysical site, definitions of truth, concepts of reality and forms of order and so have not developed the use of tools to do this, but I think that it would be a powerful tool…it is hard to hide a changing slope when you have to see it and walk it. I think this would very strongly help the cause of climate truth…some pictures are really worth more than a thousand words.

    There are two articles that are an interesting aside…”Increasing the Velocity of Knowledge” Structure Magazine July 2013, and “Increasing the Velocity of Knowledge–Accelerated”, November 2014. Pictures and visual representation can be powerful.

  142. something more to worry about!

    4 March: National Geographic: Jason Bittel: Yaks May Be Climbing Higher Due to Climate Change
    A lack of snow on the Tibetan Plateau may be pushing thirsty yak females into steeper habitat.
    “Many people who are interested in climate change focus on how species will be redistributed in space and in time, where they’ll go, but very few have studied potential mechanisms for change,” said Joel Berger, lead author of the study and a senior scientist for the Wildlife Conservation Society…
    It’s still unclear why only the females seem to live the high life. However, it’s possible that at one time males were also more likely to be found on steep slopes, but that they’ve somehow returned to their historic behavior more quickly…
    This research could also lead scientists to new insights for other endangered species, Berger noted.
    After all, if male and female yaks respond differently to environmental stressors, then other animals might, too.

  143. ***VICE Media announced that Alyssa Mastromonaco, who formerly worked in the Obama administration, would come on board as the company’s Chief Operating Officer in January 2015 – (Wikipedia Vice Magazine)

    7 March: Vice News: Laura Dattaro: Meet the ‘Merchants of Doubt’ Who Sow Confusion about Tobacco Smoke and Climate Change
    Two weeks ago, an investigation by Greenpeace revealed that the fossil fuel industry had for years paid a scientist frequently called upon by Republicans and conservative pundits to deny climate change. The scientist, Willie Soon, had received more than $1.2 million from oil and gas companies in the last decade…
    ***Gabe Elsner, executive director of the Energy and Policy Institute: …”And now we’re seeing the same infrastructure promote messages of doubt on climate policy and climate regulations that the Obama administration is putting forward.”…
    “The public hasn’t really caught up with where the science is,” Elsner told VICE News. “And that is a direct result of campaigns by fossil fuel interests to obscure the science.”…

    Vice is outraged that Dr. Soon got $1.2m over ten years (& ignores nearly 40% went to The Smithsonian) yet Vice got $250m funding last year from Technology Crossover Ventures last year, whose Venture Partner, Erik Blachard, is Executive Chairman at Terrapass, Inc., a leading provider of high quality carbon offsets, who is on the U.S. National Council of the World Wildlife Fund & the EcoAmerica Board. no doubt none of this would affect Vice’s coverage of CAGW!

    wondering how this turned out on the day of the documentary’s premiere in NYC?

    6 March: NYT: New York Today: Sandwiched by Snowstorms
    By Andy Newman and Tatiana Schlossberg
    Good morning on this freezing Friday.
    Think of this week as a snow sandwich, with New York in the middle.
    It began with a snowstorm and ended with a snowstorm. (There was even a little snowstorm in the middle.)…
    The high will be just 22 degrees. Normal for today would be 46…

  144. some backup for previous TCV comment re Vice:

    Technology Crossover Ventures
    Vice Lands 2nd Investment, to Fuel Expansion
    Vice Media, the rabble-rouser of the news and entertainment business, has landed a pair of investments totaling $500 million to fuel the expansion of its media empire.
    The media group, which is based in Brooklyn and is known for its trendy vibe and commando-style news reports, has closed a $250 million investment from Technology Crossover Ventures, the Silicon Valley venture capital company that has invested in Facebook and Netflix. The financing follows a $250 million investment from A&E Networks, the television group owned by Hearst and Disney that is home to the A&E, History and Lifetime cable networks…
    The deals come after a summer of courtship between Vice and parade of media giants, including Rupert Murdoch’s 21st Century Fox, Time Warner and Disney…
    Last year, Fox bought a 5 percent stake in Vice for $70 million…
    Shane Smith, Vice’s chief executive, has been outspoken about his quest to expand further into traditional television…
    TCV’s Team page: (Partner Erik Blachford: Blachard currently serves as the Executive Chairman of TerraPass, a leading retailer of carbon offsets, consumer energy efficiency products, and green gifts as well as Chairman of Butterfield & Robinson, a world leader in top quality active travel)

    2013: Greenbiz: Disney to up the ante on carbon offsets
    Disney’s preference is to fund new projects rather than purchasing older offsets and to work with long-time NGO partners such as Conservation International, The Nature Conservancy, the Conservation Fund and World Wildlife Fund, with 80 to 90 percent of its credits acquired through these relationships…

    Murdoch’s Sky Broadcasting is part of the Prince of Wales’s Corporate Leaders Group on Climate Change, responsible for the 2007 Bali Communique, which called for a comprehensive, legally binding United Nations framework to tackle climate change.

    following is easy to find online:

    April Fool’s Day 2014: Vice News: Shane Smith: How Much Climate-Change Denial Can the Market Bear?
    I generally like Forbes. The people there provide a good platform for high-quality content, and they have written many nice things about us.
    I was therefore surprised to read this piece of garbage by John Tamny, which Forbes published this weekend. In response to my recently-aired story about Greenland’s melting glaciers, Tamny calls me a global-warming “alarmist” and asks if I will be seeking refuge from rising sea levels in Dallas, Texas…
    The world is being called to action on climate change, and Forbes is denying that it is even happening. Why? Apparently because, according to Tamny, Warren Buffett said so.

  145. good luck, EU…see second article below!

    7 March: EU eyes joint efforts over global warming
    By Martin Banks in Brussels(China Daily)
    The European Union’s commissioner for climate action and energy has said “climate diplomacy” will be at the heart of Europe’s relationship with China throughout 2015.
    In an exclusive interview ahead of the ongoing two sessions, Miguel Arias Canete also said the EU was “ready to work” with China to tackle global warming…
    Canete thought it may still be difficult weaning China off coal, its biggest source of energy. “There is no question that phasing out coal, the most polluting of fossil fuels, will be a challenge for China, as it is for all countries.”
    The EU, he argued, has also faced the challenge of phasing out coal, a fuel that used to “coat our cities in layers of pollution”…
    China’s CO2 emissions are more than four times India’s total but Beijing made a pledge, as part of the Copenhagen voluntary commitments in 2009, to reduce its carbon intensity by 40-45 percent by 2020, compared to 2005…
    “Now that the US and China have followed suit, together we have provisional pledges covering 50 percent of the world’s emissions,” Canete said.
    He added: “We should build on this progress and all countries should now work on their formal submissions to send to the UN as early as possible.”

    7 March: Guardian: Robin McKie: Climate summit’s pledges on carbon cuts ‘won’t avert global disaster’
    Government targets leave emission levels too high to prevent a big temperature rise, warns team of experts led by economist Nicholas Stern
    The group, based at the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change at the London School of Economics, concludes that action planned by countries – in particular the European Union, the US and China – will still leave the world emitting 10bn tonnes of carbon a year in excess of levels needed to prevent global warming from having devastating consequences…
    “Intended national contributions will not be consistent with the international goal of limiting the rise in global mean surface temperature to no more than 2C,” states the report, whose publication follows Saturday’s climate action march in London which organisers say was attended by 20,000 people…
    The group worked out how much carbon the EU, US and China – if they keep their promises – would then be putting into the atmosphere by 2030 and concluded that they would, in total, be emitting 21-22bn tonnes a year. By contrast, the rest of the world – which includes growing economies such as Brazil and India – are likely to be emitting around 34bn tonnes, according to figures supplied by the International Energy Agency. In total, this gives a likely carbon emissions output of 55-56bn tonnes a year by 2030.
    However, the maximum emissions target that has a reasonable chance of curtailing temperatures at 2C has been calculated as having a median value of about 36bn tonnes. In short, the world will still be emitting far too much carbon – an excess of some 20bn tonnes a year – to give the planet a reasonable chance of holding back the heat to a manageable level…
    Investment should be increased in innovation aimed at improving renewable clean energy generation…

  146. Guardian above: “organisers say (protest) was attended by 20,000 people”.
    no aerial photos at DM, max about 20 people pictured. CAGW crowd as celebrity-obsessed as usual:

    8 March: Daily Mail: Press Association: 5,000 join climate change protest
    More than 5,000 protesters gathered outside Parliament in London calling on the Government to take tougher action on climate change.
    Crowds of environmental activists cheered as a host of speakers including Vivienne Westwood and Caroline Lucas attacked the Government and accused it of not taking action.
    Renowned fashion designer Westwood, speaking via video link, said: “As you march my models will be walking down the catwalk…
    “The press and the TV do not reflect public opinion, the internet does.
    “You’re not alone, people know what’s going on.
    “We must keep up the fight against climate change, the clock is ticking.”
    She was joined by Green Party MP Caroline Lucas.
    The Brighton Pavilion MP told the crowd: “Thank you so much for being here. We are here and we are powerful.
    “We are saying no to climate change and no to fossil firms…
    They were led by a man with green leaves attached to his head, who was riding a bicycle with large wings bearing the slogan: “Look after your mum.”
    Others chanted “power to the people, power to the polar bear” as they marched towards Parliament…

    no aerial pics at Guardian. maximum 20 people pictured:

    8 March: Guardian: Karl Mathiesen: Time to Act: climate change protesters march in London
    Caroline Lucas among speakers and Naomi Klein records video message for event, which is part of a series in cities around the world
    The Campaign Against Climate Change, who organised the march, said “well over 20,000” people attended. The number of attendees was buoyed by the bright sunshine of early spring. Last September 40,000 people took to London’s streets as part of the biggest demonstration on climate change action in history…
    “This is much smaller in terms of its aims and objectives [than the global day of action in 2014]. But I think it’s also just the beginning. By the time we get to Paris then we have to have far bigger numbers than we had last year in September.”…

  147. BBC doesn’t seem to have any article on the protest as yet. nervous about the numbers perhaps?

    more numbers they should be nervous about….read all:

    7 March: UK Telegraph: Chistopher Booker: BBC’s climate change stance in brazen defiance of the law
    When it comes to climate change, the BBC’s coverage is quite deliberately one-sided, argues Christopher Booker
    Next January will see the 10th anniversary of one of the most curious episodes in the history of the BBC. At a “secret seminar”, many of its most senior executives met with a roomful of invited outsiders to agree on a new policy that was in flagrant breach of its Charter. They agreed that, when it came to climate change, the BBC’s coverage should now be quite deliberately one-sided, in direct contravention of its statutory obligation that “controversial subjects” must be “treated with due accuracy and impartiality”. Anything that contradicted the party line, from climate science to wind farms, could be ignored…
    Last week, as the wave of propaganda mounts in advance of that bid to get a new global climate treaty agreed next December, the BBC was at it again, in a 75-minute documentary called Climate Change By Numbers…
    As usual, supported by an array of gimmicky graphics, irrelevant anecdotes and film clips from all over the world, what these presenters omitted to say was even more important than what they did…
    The fact is that they know they have a legal obligation to be impartial. They know that they are breaking the law. But they also know they can get away with it, because no one in authority will ever call them to account for doing so.

    don’t know if this url will come up with the images for the past 24 hours of the “climate change” london protest. if not, do a search
    climate change protest london, click “images” & use search tools to bring up images for the past 24 hours. top line, few people dressed as polar bears, plus a single woman. no pic has more than half a dozen people.

    about 9 lines down in the pics, an aerial pic from “6 hours ago” of a massive crowd…except when u click on it, it is the Hong Kong Umbrella Revolution protest.

  148. To the Reviewer:

    I put in the comment earlier today the location of two articles but those articles have on them my email address at the bottom, so do not, do not, post them…this idea is that visual representation in 3D is faster and more detailed. So for your personal use, look at them or not, (I should have put the links).

    The controversy over global warming exists because the proponents are hiding the data and code…if it is warming or cooling we need to know and we cannot with secret data adjustments and code.

    AGAIN, PLEASE DO NOT POST THE ARTICLES, but yes, we do need to see the raw and adjusted data side by side and we need an open discussion of the analysis and adjustments.

    Thank you

  149. “merchants of doubt” gang claim climate deniers are like the pro-tobacco lobby?

    here’s the best that can be found online of the Time To Act Climate Change protest in London. 1min 5secs of raw footage from Russia Today. watch the “polar bear” light up at 20 secs, & another protester light up at 1min (centre screen, brown jacket) at the end of the “dance sequence”:

    “historic” in the title of the vid should be “hysterical”:

    Youtube: UK: See protesters break into DANCE in ***historic climate demo

  150. HuffPo’s exaggerated report linked below is so far from the reality of this poorly-attended event:

    UK: ‘Anarchists’ scuffle with police in climate demo
    ‘Anarchists’ scuffled with police in Central London on Saturday, with the group waving the red and black bisected flag associated in activist circles with Anarcho-syndicalism…

    the “rabbits” in the description are the “polar bears”:

    UK: Police MANHANDLE costumed climate change protesters at London demo
    Scuffles between climate change activists and police broke out in Central London on Saturday, with a number of protesters dressed as rabbits manhandled by police..

    15,000, 5,000? more like a couple of hundred.
    HuffPo has pic of the organisers’ rabbit placards which aren’t in the video above.

    all HuffPo pics/tweets are ridiculous. no pics online show large numbers of people BBC seems to be staying away from this story altogether:

    7 March: HuffPo: PA/Paul Vale: People’s Climate March In London Draws Huge Crowd, Including Russell Brand
    More than 15,000 protesters gathered in London on Saturday for a climate change march, which is to end with a rally outside Parliament. Activist Russell Brand is scheduled to deliver speeches near Westminster…
    TWEET: Max Wakefield: The rabbits are coming
    PHOTO CAPTION: More than 5,000 gather for Saturday’s march through London…
    On Friday, US Vice President Joe Biden mocked members of Congress that denied climate change, saying it’s “like denying gravity.”
    Speaking to VICE founder Shane Smith in an interview for HBO, Biden said: “It gets to the point where you can’t look anyone in the eye seriously and say, well, it’s nothing having to do with manmade.” On members of Congress who deny climate change, Biden said, “It’s almost like denying gravity now… the willing suspension of disbelief can only be sustained for so long.”…

  151. have no idea why, when i posted these two youtubes, i am seeing something entirely different posted in the comment. hope they go through properly this time, tho they can be found by searching the title

    UK: ‘Anarchists’ scuffle with police in climate demo

    UK: Police MANHANDLE costumed climate change protesters at London demo

    • I was going to post this but I see you beat me to it. Here is an interesting bit.

      In Florida, officials ban term ‘climate change’
      …….Kristina Trotta, another former DEP employee who worked in Miami, said her supervisor told her not to use the terms “climate change” and “global warming” in a 2014 staff meeting. “We were told that we were not allowed to discuss anything that was not a true fact,” she said.

      This unwritten policy went into effect after Gov. Rick Scott took office in 2011 and appointed Herschel Vinyard Jr. as the DEP’s director, according to former DEP employees. Gov. Scott, who won a second term in November, has repeatedly said he is not convinced that climate change is caused by human activity, despite scientific evidence to the contrary.

      Vinyard has since resigned. Neither he nor his successor, Scott Steverson, would comment for this article.

  152. State of Florida Goes Soviet

    Apparently, fearing monetary losses, The State Of Florida Government, greater that the USA, bans words, “Climate Change” and such.

    Now really!

    Well ! if Humans are really guilty for climate change THEN the resolution, solution, is to kill ALL HUMANS.

    Simple and correct logic.

    Will Obama Kill Himself … NO.

    Will Bon Ki Moon Kill Himself … NO.

    Will the Governor of Florida Kill Himself … NO.

    Ah Ha. Will Obama order the killing of … Americans? Hoy Hoy.

    Obama the Supreme Soviet.

    Lots of fun coming in the months up to the next Presidential election for sure. Ha Ha.

  153. “The state of Florida is the region most susceptible to the effects of global warming in this country, according to scientists. Sea-level rise alone threatens 30 percent of the state’s beaches over the next 85 years.
    But you would not know that by talking to officials at the Florida Department of Environmental Protection, the state agency on the front lines of studying and planning for these changes.
    DEP officials have been ordered not to use the term “climate change” or “global warming” in any official communications, emails, or reports, according to former DEP employees, consultants, volunteers and records obtained by the Florida Center for Investigative Reporting.
    The policy goes beyond semantics and has affected reports, educational efforts and public policy in a department that has about 3,200 employees and $1.4 billion budget.
    “We were told not to use the terms ‘climate change,’ ‘global warming’ or ‘sustainability,’ ” said Christopher Byrd, an attorney with the DEP’s Office of General Counsel in Tallahassee from 2008 to 2013. “That message was communicated to me and my colleagues by our superiors in the Office of General Counsel.”

  154. I can’t find it now but someone said scientists never say the science is settled. Well this one does.

    Assuming he is a scientist. He refused to debate on the grounds that I didn’t have a degree in Climate science.

  155. re FCIR Report, Florida. Guardian wrote much the same last July:

    July 2014: Guardian: Robin McKie: Miami, the great world city, is drowning while the powers that be look away…
    The problem is the city is run by climate change deniers
    “Climate change is no longer viewed as a future threat round here,” says atmosphere expert Professor Ben Kirtman, of the University of Miami. “It is something that we are having to deal with today.”…

    ***”There has been a rise of about 10 inches in sea levels since the 19th century – brought about by humanity’s heating of the planet through its industrial practices – and that is now bringing chaos to Miami Beach by regularly flooding places like Alton Road,” says Harold Wanless, a geology professor at the University of Miami. “And it is going to get worse. By the end of this century we could easily have a rise of six feet, possibly 10 feet. Nothing much will survive that. Most of the land here is less than 10 feet above sea level.”…

    Miami and its surroundings are facing a calamity worthy of the Old Testament. It is an astonishing story. Despite its vast wealth, the city might soon be consumed by the waves, for even if all emissions of carbon dioxide were halted tomorrow…
    Most of Florida’s senior politicians – in particular, Senator Marco Rubio, former governor Jeb Bush and current governor Rick Scott, all Republican climate-change deniers – have refused to act or respond to warnings of people like Wanless or Harlem or to give media interviews to explain their stance…
    “The thing about Miami is that when it goes, it will all be gone,” says (Mayor of South Miami) Stoddard…
    The problem stems from the top, Kirtman said, from the absolute insistence of influential climate change deniers that global warming is not happening…

    FCIR get part of their funding from the Society of Environmental Journalists, which has found a new Swiss sugar daddy billionaire recently. whilst the following specifically mentions LA Times & High Country News D.C being the recipients of Wyss’s money, apparently there are hopes more Wyss financial support will be on the way:

    20 Feb: Inside Philanthropy: Tate Williams: Green Journalism Gets a Raise from a Top Environmental Donor
    The Society of Environmental Journalists is a favorite among green funders wanting to kick up some exposure for their issues, but usually gives relatively small amounts. The Wyss Foundation just took things up a notch with $400,000 to significantly expand a grantmaking program…
    It’s been around since 1990, and has drawn notable names in philanthropy as backers, including Keith Campbell, Ford Foundation, Bullitt, Park Foundation, Ted Turner, Grantham, Surdna, Heinz, etc. And a bunch of smaller donors too. Now the Swiss billionaire Hansjorg Wyss has stepped into the ring with a recent $385,000 for an expansion of SEJ’s grantmaking program…
    The grant will support two full-time reporting positions—one for the L.A. Times and another for a High Country News D.C. bureau—and two new rounds of microgrants for $5,000 worth of pavement-pounding at a time.
    One interesting thing about the Wyss grant is that other support for SEJ has been mostly smaller. It tends to thrive on smaller donations well below six figures. After all, in the grand scheme of things, it’s not a huge organization. But maybe that’s about to change. There are a lot of rich people worried about the environment, and journalism is one of the best ways to prime ordinary Americans to support big policy changes, as well as to put politicians’ feet to the fire…
    And, in fact, we’ll be interested to see if the Wyss gift is a prelude to bigger things. The guy’s worth $6 billion after all, and he’s a big-time environmental funder…
    But what exactly does it mean for the end product? Conservatives have complained about SEJ for inserting bias into the news…

  156. The Swiss have pulled back the Climate Curtain (quoting from 09 March Wall Street Journal paper edition):
    Voters Reject Initiative To Impose Carbon Tax
    Swiss voters Sunday overwhelmingly rejected an initiative that would have replaced the country’s value-added-tax system with a carbon tax.

    Roughly 92% of voters opposed the initiative, which would have encouraged Swiss households to use renewable energy sources that would have been tax exempt, according to preliminary results from 13 of the country’s 26 cantons. – Neil MacLucas
    [end quote]
    The frosting on this cake would be after the votes are tallied from all 26 cantons, and the count becomes 97%.

  157. some background on Wyss:

    Wikipedia: Hansjorg Wyss
    Wyss is actively involved in landscape protection by buying up the mineral rights from the mining companies. In 1998, he established the Wyss Foundation, which establishes and sponsors informal partnerships between non-governmental organisations and the United States administration to place large swathes of land under government protection. On account of these efforts, almost 4,400,000 acres (18,000 km2) of land have been declared national park districts.
    Wyss serves on the boards of The Wilderness Society, the Southern Utah Wilderness Alliance, Rails-to-Trails, and the Grand Canyon Trust…
    On 29 January 2015, it was reported that John Podesta is the driving force inside the White House to block 12 million acres of land in Alaska’s Arctic National Wildlife Refuge from oil drilling, and who founded the Center for American Progress (CAP), had been hired by Wyss in 2013 as a “consultant”…
    Podesta worked at Wyss’s HJW Foundation in 2013 and joined the White House in January 2014…
    A Nation article in 2013 accused Podesta’s CAP (Center for American Progress) of being “among the most secretive of all think tanks concerning its donors.” In early January 2015, CAP gave a list of its donors to a Washington Post reporter, Greg Sargent, but any references to Wyss were omitted; the list reported three “anonymous” donors. 2013 tax documents from the HJW Foundation and the Wyss Foundation show that Wyss contributed $1.5 million to CAP that year alone.

    just so u know:

    26 Feb: High Country News DC: Gretchen King: D.C. correspondent to expand HCN’s reach
    At a time when many newsrooms are reducing staff, High Country News is growing –– by hiring a special Washington, D.C., correspondent. Starting in early March, Elizabeth Shogren will take on the task of covering how major Western issues play out on the national stage…
    Shogren worked as an environment correspondent with NPR for 10 years, covering climate change, the drilling boom, endangered species and pollution. Before that, she served as a national correspondent for the Los Angeles Times Washington Bureau…
    Funding for this position was made possible partly by a grant from the Wyss Foundation, through the Society of Environmental Journalists and the Fund for Environmental Journalism…

  158. the other position being created with the Wyss funding. CAGW sceptics need not apply.

    17 Feb: Poynter: L.A. Times National Energy and Environment Writer
    The Los Angeles Times is looking for an accomplished writer to explore energy and environment in the West…
    This reporter should have a strong familiarity with public lands policy, environmental regulation, energy development and water resource allocation, as well as with the complicated politics and economics that drive decision-making on these often-combative issues. The successful candidate will be able to dig deeply and write memorably on topics that are often dismissed as important but arcane…
    This is a job for an energetic reporter who wants to lead the pack in breaking important news, but who also has the resourcefulness to pursue investigations and ***the style to craft profiles and narratives that will help shape the public debate***…
    This position is funded with a grant from the Society of Environmental Journalists’ Fund for Environmental Journalism, and will most likely be based in Denver…

  159. guess the snowy winter in the US has been lasting longer that the CAGW crowd expected, cos this story, which surfaced in January, is being re-run on AOL, NPR & elsewhere:

    8 March: NPR: Michaeleen Doucleff: Why China’s Pollution Could Be Behind Our Cold, Snowy Winters
    It’s March. It’s freezing. And there’s half a foot of snow on the ground. When is this winter going to end?
    Many scientists think that climate change might be one cause of this year’s “snowpocalypse” in Boston and bitter cold snaps in New York and Washington.
    But physicists at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory have been looking into another culprit: air pollution in China and India…
    “Over the past 30 years or so, man-made emission centers have shifted from traditional industrialized countries to fast, developing countries in Asia,” physicist Jonathan Jiang writes in an email…
    ***The animation from NASA shows how pollution from Asia and other continents mixes and moves around the world. (It’s a simulation made with satellite data from September 2006 to April 2007.)…
    So what does a bunch of extra pollution from Asia do to clouds over the Pacific? It makes them bigger and heavier with more precipitation, Jiang and his colleagues reported last year…
    Jiang isn’t sure yet how much the bigger storms in the Pacific are to blame for cold, wet winters on the East Coast and drought in the West. His research team is working on models and computer simulations right now to look at such questions. “We have not reached a final conclusion yet,” he writes…

    same simulation above as below:

    30 Jan: MotherJones: James West: How China’s Filthy Air Is Screwing With Our Weather
    Toxic smog billowing from China’s coal-fired power plants is making snowstorms in the US worse.
    Mashable reported that all of New York City’s top 10 snowfalls have occurred in the past 15 years. Scientists can trace the cause to the enormous amount of energy we’re pumping into the oceans. Kevin Trenberth, a senior scientist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research, told Wired this week that “the oceans are warmer, and the air above them is more moist”—giving storms more energy to unleash more precipitation. In short, the blizzard dubbed Juno was being fueled in part by the ocean’s excess of climate change-related heat…
    Over the past few years, a team at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory and the California Institute of Technology has found that aerosols—or airborne particles—emitted from the cities fueling Asia’s booming economies are making storm activity stronger in the Northwest Pacific Ocean. These storms wreak havoc on the polar jet stream, a major driver of North America’s weather. The result: US winters with heavier snowfall and more intense cold periods…
    ***The NASA animation above shows how these aerosol emissions moved around the world, from September 1, 2006, to April 10, 2007. I’ve included two versions of it…

    NYT did it in Feb:

    China’s Air Pollution Brings Snowfall to Sierra Nevada – The ……/chinas-air-pollution-brings-snowfall-to-sierra-neva...
    Feb 17, 2012

    while LA Times had similar in Jan, without the simulation:

    ‘Snowiest decade’ in a half century? Not exactly, scientists say
    “If you wanted to say that there’s no global warming, then, yeah, look at December, January and February,” said Kevin Trenberth, a distinguished senior scientist in the climate analysis section of the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo. “But as soon as you look at March, April, May and June, you have a very different picture.”…
    Wolter said there may be an added complication to the reasons behind spring snow decline.
    At a workshop he attended last week, the impact of air pollution, particularly from China, was brought up. He said the question of whether the effect of pollution filtering the sun’s rays is a factor in snow decline is unresolved. His research found that the links sometimes drawn between climate change and extreme events are “feeble.”
    “There’s still a lot of things to be studied,” he said.
    Trenberth doesn’t disagree…

  160. truly amazing pics:

    10 March: Daily Mail: Ben Ashford: EXCLUSIVE: If you thought your winter was tough, try living on Plum Island, where record snowfall has left basements flooded with sewage, people forced out of their homes – and wild coyotes roaming the streets
    Low-lying Massachusetts island has been battered by record snowfalls which have caused havoc for its residents
    Sewerage system has been overwhelmed, people have had to leave their homes and worst of all coyotes are foraging in packs
    One resident’s washing machine was flooded with raw sewage as the sewers backed up while others have gone weeks without running water
    Record snowfall has left snowbanks as high as houses and even when it begins to melt, it will be a slow process, officials say
    With planes skidding off runways, snowdrifts as tall as houses and subzero temperatures for weeks on end, the US has suffered one of the most brutal winters on record.
    Thousands of flights have been cancelled, highways and railways have been paralyzed by the cold and swaths of the northeast resemble a vast frozen tundra.
    But if you thought your winter was bad spare a thought for the people of Plum Island, a tiny barrier island off the coast of Massachusetts buried under nearly 10ft of snow.
    Its shivering residents have faced a daily battle to dig their homes free from mountains of ice while raw waste has spilled back into their homes because the sewers are frozen…
    The only road off the island is so exposed that drivers have had to form long convoys before being escorted across in ‘whiteout’ conditions by the National Guard…

  161. 5 March: Washington Times: Jennifer Harper: Inevitable: Al Gore lands on presidential radar following Hillary Clinton’s political woes
    Just call it Goretopia: While Hillary Rodham Clinton addresses multiple political challenges, the press continues to spiral off into speculation. Who is the Democratic standard bearer should she decide against running for president?
    In the last 24 hours, Al Gore has made the list. Now 66, the former vice president remains stubbornly active in global warming issues; he is, in fact, going to Iowa — but not for campaign reasons. He’s teaching a climate “leadership” workshop in Cedar Rapids. All that aside, there is momentum building here as Mrs. Clinton’s complications increase. More succinct are these headlines: “With Hillary imploding, could Al Gore ride to the rescue?” (HotAir); “As Hillary Clinton wallows in scandal, desperate eyes turn to — Al Gore?” (; Rush Limbaugh even warned his listeners that Mr. Gore could now be “the Democratic savior of 2016.”Yes, well. Mr. Gore has done many things since he left the White House. He’s been the climate alarmist for better or worse, a now and then media mogul, and lately, a music producer. He became a vegan. He’s been out of office longer than Jeb Bush, though he has remained in the public eye, authoring a new book and making multiple, cause-driven appearances.
    ***Yes, the hashtag #RunAlRun has now appeared on Twitter…
    “What if Hillary bows out?” asks Politico correspondent Bill Scher…
    Democratic consultant Chris Lapetina says the party is in a panic — “terrified of the idea of a Hillary-less race — and the vicious primary that might result.”
    “Lapetina believes pressure would build for a few really big names to enter, such as Al Gore,” Mr. Scher observes…

    “big name” Al…say it won’t be so.

  162. So, the most recent XKCD What-If:
    Made the claim that shallow ground water is a decentish proxy for average temperature in an area. I thought that was kind of neat, and was curious if it might avoid various time of day measurement issues.
    Searched for a study, and found:
    “In the Minneapolis/St. Paul metropolitan area, the full development of an agricultural area to a fully urban area is expected to result in a 2.9 °C mean annual ground surface temperature increase (Table 4), and consequently a 2.9 °C increase in the mean annual temperature of shallow groundwater.”

    “If the surface temperature rises very slowly over many years, the ground and the groundwater will rise at the same rate. Baker and Baker (2002) observed that over a 37 year period the subsurface temperatures in the top eleven meters rose at the same rate. In Baker and Baker’s (2002) observation, the temperature rise was attributed to climate change and not urbanization; however, urbanization of a large area underlain by an aquifer is usually also gradual, and a gradual temperature rise of the groundwater, especially if it is flowing, can be expected.”

    So the groundwater was a measure of urban heat island effect.
    Anyway. I thought it was kind of interesting so figured I’d pass it on.

    • nemmo

      So the groundwater was a measure of urban heat island effect.
      Anyway. I thought it was kind of interesting so figured I’d pass it on.

      The 10 meter soil temperature is considered a constant – even as far north as Ontario and wintertime Alberta – when burying a pipeline underground in dry soil. There ground below 9 meters never gets cold, never gets hot when air temperature changes in the sunlight.

      A bit different for permafrost, where the ground is frozen and the air temperature goes up and down, thus thawing the first 1- 2 meters. The deep freeze layer in permafrost conditions means the deep conditions never get hot enough to melt.

  163. t***his is obviously an attempt to stir up controversy as publicity for the documentary “Merchants of Smear”, but must be noted:

    9 March: Environment & Energy Publishing (E&E): ADVOCACY: ‘Merchants of Doubt’ emails spark fiery debate about strategies of climate skeptics
    by Evan Lehmann, Climatewire
    Before the release this Friday of the documentary “Merchants of Doubt,” S. Fred Singer sought the advice of nearly 30 climate skeptics about their chances of halting the movie and whether he should sue Naomi Oreskes, who co-authored the book on which it’s based.
    “Has she finally gone too far?” asked Singer.
    The discussion is outlined in a chain of emails initiated last fall by the 90-year-old physicist, who is featured in the film for his work questioning the amount of influence people have on rising temperatures. His request reached a mix of academics and others who have been mostly antagonistic toward mainstream climate findings. ClimateWire obtained the emails from a source who received them as a forwarded message…
    The wider discussion is viewed by some as a window into the network of skeptical scientists, bloggers and conservative think tank scholars who often raise objections to mainstream climate science. The tactics discussed — like lawsuits and grievances — reflect previous efforts to constrain critics of Singer and others through legal attacks, or the threat of them, several people involved with the movie say…
    “I think there’s a pattern,” Kenner said of Singer’s letter in an interview. “It’s to come after and try to silence critics and to intimidate. And when [Singer] implies litigation is very expensive, I think it’s an attempt to be intimidating.”
    On the other hand, it might be going too far to suggest that Singer’s goal is to stifle his critics if he feels he’s been slandered, said Andrew Hoffman, a professor at the University of Michigan who studies the behavior of climate skeptics.
    Singer says he believes the movie refers to him as a “liar for hire,” though he hasn’t seen it. That’s false, he said, noting that he believes genuinely that humans have little effect on climate change…
    But does the movie say that?
    No, said Kenner, who provided a transcript of the scene with Singer to ClimateWire.
    **He and others say it appears to be a phrase created by a media outlet that reviewed the film.
    Besides, lying isn’t a common tool of skeptical scientists, Oreskes said. These contrarians are generally successful, and trusted by some, in one field or another.
    “This isn’t about lying,” Oreskes said. “This is something much more terrible, in a way. Much more devious. A kind of what we call doubtmongering.”…
    In his October emails, Singer reaches out to some of the most recognizable opponents of mainstream climate science and policies, including Willie Soon, Patrick Michaels, Anthony Watts, Steven Milloy, Joe Bastardi and Joe Bast.
    An English climate change denier, Christopher Monckton, viscount of Brenchley, responded to Singer’s request for advice by saying he would “draft the complaint” for a lawsuit, but Singer never followed up…

    ***The pre-release controversy around the movie provides more than just a glimpse into the stormy messaging strategies on climate change. It also promotes the film. But does it help convey the facts?

    Hoffman, of the University of Michigan, says tit-for-tats between mainstream and contrarian researchers tend to raise the profile of skeptical scientists, despite their relatively small number. He pointed to the recent inquiries undertaken by Democratic members of Congress, who want the identity of donors who help fund skeptical academics, as an advantage for those who challenge climate science.
    “Frankly, this degradation benefits the skeptics,” Hoffman said.

    **why don’t they declare it was Eric Alterman at The Nation who coined the “Liars for Hire” term?

    15 Oct 2014: The Nation: Eric Alterman: A New Documentary Profiles Liars for Hire
    The New York Film Festival, now in its fifty-second year, is unusual in that it combines big-money extravaganzas like Gone Girl and Birdman with small, worthy films whose publicity budgets would barely cover the cost of Ben Affleck’s body waxings…
    A new documentary shown twice at the festival, and scheduled to be released in March, got my attention. Merchants of Doubt is directed by Robert Kenner and based on the 2010 book by Naomi Oreskes and Erik Conway, two esteemed historians of science…
    The pioneers in the field are not only the liars for hire employed by the tobacco industry for so many decades, but also Cold War scientists like Robert Jastrow, Fred Seitz and William Nierenberg, who initially founded the George C. Marshall Institute to promote Ronald Reagan’s Star Wars boondoggle and then switched gears to lie about climate change—a task in which they’ve been joined by scientist/snake-oil salesman Fred Singer, who also cares more about opposing all forms of corporate regulation than he does about truth…

    some of the confusion began with Ron Arnold’s guest post at WUWT:

    20 Oct 2014: WUWT: Slimed by Naomi Oreskes – In Defense of Dr. Fred Singer
    Guest opinion by Ron Arnold
    The Oreskes documentary calling Dr. Fred Singer a “Liar for Hire” is a repeat of a nearly identical attack on him twenty years ago…
    Comment: John Whitman: From the main post by Ron Arnold and its links, I cannot find a recent video or a transcript or a document by Naomi Oreskes where she actually has (recently) called Singer a ‘Liar for Hire’.
    Can someone point me to where Oreskes recently said that?
    Comment: Matthew R. Marler: John Whitman, I see what you mean. The phrase seems to be due to the reviewer of the documentary film which is called “Merchants of Doubt”, not due to Oreskes…

  164. Received an email from Verizon FIOS: They are dropping the Weather Channel.

    “Verizon’s agreements to carry The Weather Channel and Weather Scan have expired, and have not been renewed. In today’s environment, customers are increasingly accessing weather information not only from their TV but from a variety of online sources and apps. Verizon is therefore pleased to launch the new AccuWeather Network, which will be available on FiOS® TV on channel 119/619 (HD) and on our free FiOS Mobile App starting March 10, 2015. Verizon will also provide the FiOS TV WeatherBug “widget” application, which features hyper-local weather, on FiOS TV channel 49. WeatherBug can also be launched by pressing the “widget” button on the FiOS TV remote.”

  165. A sad day for science

    Postmodernism now pervading physics:

    “This year, debates in physics circles took a worrying turn. Faced with difficulties in applying fundamental theories to the observed Universe, some researchers called for a change in how theoretical physics is done. They began to argue — explicitly — that if a theory is sufficiently elegant and explanatory, it need not be tested experimentally, breaking with centuries of philosophical tradition of defining scientific knowledge as empirical.”

    For Carroll, it is the concept of falsifiability, which was central to Karl Popper’s famous philosophy of science, that is too limited for the playing fields we now find ourselves working on.

    Ellis & Silk: “In our view, the issue boils down to clarifying one question: What potential observational or experimental evidence is there that would persuade you that the theory is wrong and lead you to abandoning it? If there is none, it is not a scientific theory.” – and this position is being criticized.

    This is being reflected in problems showing up in research, as discussed here

    Last year researchers at one biotech firm, Amgen, found they could reproduce just six of 53 “landmark” studies in cancer research. Earlier, a group at Bayer, a drug company, managed to repeat just a quarter of 67 similarly important papers. A leading computer scientist frets that three-quarters of papers in his subfield are bunk. In 2000-10 roughly 80,000 patients took part in clinical trials based on research that was later retracted because of mistakes or improprieties.

    Not just climate science – science as a whole is becoming indistinguishable from religion.

  166. This is about China, but it sure sounds familiar…

    “But they continue to do it because prediction sells. It’s hard to get media outlets to give you op-ed space or air time if you just say “things are complicated and we don’t really know what’s going to happen.” Making a bold prediction gets noticed and it has little downside (especially if you hedge, as Shambaugh did, without giving a deadline on it). Gordon Chang, perhaps the most extreme example, has set several firm deadlines on his CCP collapse theory that have turned out utterly wrong. And yet, he still enjoys “China expert” status along with regular columns and TV appearances.”


  167. Hic!

    Beer Companies Join Call for Action on Climate Change
    BOSTON, March 10, 2015 /3BL Media/ – New Belgium Brewery, Guinness, Smuttynose Brewing Company and Deschutes Brewery join dozens of brewers in announcing today they’ve signed the Climate Declaration, a business call to action that urges policymakers to seize the economic opportunity of tackling climate change. The 24 brewery signatories range from local microbreweries to major international brands, and are headquartered all across America, from Oregon to Wyoming to Maine.

    Climate change makes natural disaster more brutal! Yeah right.

    Climate change blamed for causing ‘brutal’ conditions in humanitarian disasters by Cornwall-based charity ShelterBox – as politicians are accused of procrastinating

  168. ***meant to point out Scientific American is also carrying Lehmann’s Fred Singer “emails” piece, under the arrangement E&E has with them:

    March 2014: NiemanLab: Caroline O’Donovan: E&E Publishing is spending a lot of money on reporting most people won’t ever see
    Seventy-five journalists and subscription prices that can stretch past $100,000: The energy and environment publisher has built a big content engine for a small community of subscribers.
    There’s a private company based in Washington that employs around 75 journalists. It has reporters in ten cities worldwide, including Houston, Dallas, L.A., San Francisco, Denver, St. Louis, Minneapolis, New York City, and Atlanta. It was founded in 1998 and has been growing steadily ever since. Annual subscriptions cost between $2,000 and $150,000, and subscribers include both Greenpeace and the Heritage Foundation. Somewhere around 70 new stories are published by this organization everyday. It has an in-house television studio, where new digital video content is filmed daily, and it recently expanded its staff…

    ***E&E used to have a content partnership with The New York Times, but that ended a few years ago. Today, some of their content (mostly ClimateWire) is republished by Scientific American and, occasionally, Accuweather. But with an annual subscription price in the thousands of dollars, it’s obvious that what E&E’s reporters are producing is not meant for the average consumer.

    “Our client base is the usual suspects for people who are dealing with these kind of policy issues,” says Braun. “Law firms, federal agencies, state agencies, governors, Congress, the World Bank, major corporations, particularly energy companies, industrial manufacturers, environmental groups. We have a very large university audience, a very large think tank and foundation audience.”…

    April 2008: Columbia Journalism Review: Curtis Brainard: E&E News Launches ClimateWire
    (Kevin) Braun and his business partner, Michael Witt, founded E&E Publishing in 1998 with seven employees, and have steadily built the company ever since. But the swiftest growth has occurred during the last six months, according to Braun, during which time E&E has climbed from a staff of thirty-five to fifty. Still, the outlet is not very well known among general, mass-market audiences. It has around 40,000 “regular readers,” most of whom come from the slightly less than 2,000 institutional subscribers that comprise local, state, and national governments, embassies, major corporations, universities, think tanks, law firms, consultants, lobbyists, and environmental groups…
    “I was on my way to being a journalism professor when I left The Wall Street Journal,” said veteran journalist John Fialka, whom Braun hired to run ClimateWire after he left his former employer in January…
    “It’s a fairly elite audience,” he told me. “They know the issue. You can write in more detail for them, and they appear to be hungry for that.”…

    whilst hefty subscription fees from CAGW “insiders” allegedly pay for this outlet, it is obviously ery vwell-connected in DC.

    • Pat – Good find. So.

      E&E gets government money. All government money (excepting the energy industry subscriptions – which have to be seen as defensive in nature = know what your enemy is receiving) either directly, or through universities and thank thanks (er, think tanks) embassies and governor offices and lobbyists ..

      “Our client base is the usual suspects for people who are dealing with these kind of policy issues,” says Braun. “Law firms, federal agencies, state agencies, governors, Congress, the World Bank, major corporations, particularly energy companies, industrial manufacturers, environmental groups. We have a very large university audience, a very large think tank and foundation audience.”…

  169. 10 March: Think Progress: Joe Romm: Rate Of Climate Change To Soar By 2020s, With Arctic Warming 1°F Per Decade
    New ***research (LINK) from a major national lab projects that the rate of climate change, which has risen sharply in recent decades, will soar by the 2020s…
    The Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) study, “Near-term acceleration in the rate of temperature change,” finds that by 2020, human-caused warming will move the Earth’s climate system “into a regime in terms of multi-decadal rates of change that are unprecedented for at least the past 1,000 years.”…
    The new study makes clear that the only “pause” there has been was in the long-expected acceleration of warming. That is, while the rate of global warming has been roughly constant for the last few decades, it should have started to speed up (see chart below). But multiple studies, include this latest one, say that we should expect a speed up very soon…

    (***FROM THE RESEARCH AT THE LINK PROVIDED: In this study, interdisciplinary scientist Steve Smith and colleagues at the Department of Energy’s Pacific Northwest National Laboratory examined historical and projected changes over decades rather than centuries to determine the temperature trends that will be felt by humans alive today…
    To examine rates of change, Smith and colleagues at the Joint Global Change Research Institute, a collaboration between PNNL and the University of Maryland in College Park, turned to the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project. The CMIP combines simulations from over two-dozen climate models from around the world to compare model results.
    All the CMIP models used the same data for past and future greenhouse gas concentrations, pollutant emissions, and changes to how land is used, which can emit or take in greenhouse gases. The more models in agreement, the more confidence in the results…
    Taken together, the shorter time period simulations were similar to the reconstructions over a longer time period, suggesting the models reflected reality well…
    Still, the researchers can’t say exactly what impact faster rising temperatures will have on the Earth and its inhabitants.
    “In these climate model simulations, the world is just now starting to enter into a new place, where rates of temperature change are consistently larger than historical values over 40-year time spans,” said Smith. “We need to better understand what the effects of this will be and how to prepare for them.”
    This work was supported by the Department of Energy Office of Science)

  170. read all:

    10 March: Examiner: Thomas Richard: Governor Scott says Florida did not ban the phrase ‘climate change’
    The Miami Herald published a story Sunday that Gov. Rick Scott had banned the use of phrases like global warming and climate change, based on statements by former employees. The only problem: it’s not true. At least according to Gov. Rick Scott…
    ***A search of the DEP’s website revealed hundreds of instances of the phrases “climate change” and “global warming,” and the accusations were made by former employees of DEP that were fired or laid off. Based on the reporting by the Florida Center for Investigative Reporting, which bills itself as a non-partisan investigative agency, the accusations appeared to be an orchestrated attempt by ex-employees to disgrace a sitting governor.
    The day after the Miami Herald article was published, “State Democrats emailed a fundraising pitch to supporters Monday noting Scott’s climate-change position. The email was titled, ‘Is he serious?'”…
    The Sunday Herald story was picked up and circulated widely by other newspapers, who reported the story verbatim, creating a bit of a firestorm for the Scott administration. On Monday, he set the record straight. He also told reporters of his administration’s ongoing environmental achievements…

    ***have the MSM now done their own searches & realised this is a non-story?
    AP’s piece is the best out of a bad bunch, but not by much:

    10 March: ABC (US): AP: Jason Dearen: Group Wants Probe of Whether Fla. Banned Climate-Change Talk
    Now, an environmental group is asking for a state investigation to get to the bottom of it.
    Florida members of the group Forecast the Facts filed a complaint on Tuesday with the Department of Environmental Protection’s inspector-general, asking for the investigative arm of the agency to find the truth…
    “Well, first off, that’s not true,” Scott told reporters in Tallahassee on Tuesday. “At our Department of Environmental Protection, there’s lots of conversation about this issue. From my standpoint, like every issue, my goal is: Instead of talking about it, let’s do something about it.”…
    ***While there was no written policy banning the terms, Byrd said supervisors made it clear verbally…
    ***Forecast the Facts Campaign Director Brant Olson said an investigation is needed to know who’s telling the truth: Was there a ban on using the terms or not?…
    ***Evidence suggests there hasn’t been a total blackout of the terms in state literature, but they can be hard to find…
    ***Jim Harper, a former DEP contractor who says a report he worked on had a reference to climate change expunged, is now the president of the South Florida chapter of the climate advocacy organization ***…
    Harper said there was no hard ban at DEP, but workplace culture discouraged using terms that didn’t fall in line with the administration’s biases…
    Jerry Phillips, a former DEP lawyer who now works for the ***Florida Public Employees for Environmental Responsibility, says reports of unofficial bans on language jibed with the agency’s culture even before Scott took office.
    Still, Phillips said, it is getting worse for employees, and he worries that DEP scientists are under pressure to release inaccurate information…

    10 March: Guardian: Tom McCarthy: Florida denies official ban on ‘climate change’ and ‘global warming’
    But former government employees and others continue to insist that state’s environmental protection department would not allow terms to be used
    But the president of the south Florida Audubon society has insisted to the Guardian that the agency charged with setting Florida’s environmental policy had indeed banned those phrases, and that the ban ***probably came “from the top.”…

    10 March: WaPo: Chris Mooney: Florida officials’ ‘ban’ of the term climate change is straight out of the Bush playbook
    No wonder, then, that this story blew up in the media — with Scott administration officials denying the story’s accuracy to the Post’s Terence McCoy. Still, it seems clear from the original report that, at minimum, a number of agency employees ***perceived ***that they weren’t supposed to talk about climate change or global warming…

    10 March: Vox: Florida isn’t the only state trying to shut down discussion of climate change
    Updated by Brad Plumer
    On Monday, Republican Governor Rick Scott denied any such policy was in place. But state employees and outside scientists insist there’s heavy pressure not to talk about the topic…


    • OldUnixHead

      Hey, anyone know what has happened / is happening to the JAXA sea ice server? It’s been giving me server timeouts for several days now (since ~5 Mar). And the JAXA ice-extent graphic link on the sea ice page seems to be failing, too.

      JAXA has not updated today, but I don’t remember any problem from yesterday. I download Cryosphere, not JAXA so I have not tried tracking any problems there though.

      Arctic sea ice area (Cryosphere) is tracking 2014 very, very closely however. Not quite at the average date for Arctic sea ice maximum yet, so I think it will bounce around at this level for a little while.

  171. a fun read:

    10 March: Acton Institute: Bruce Edward Walker: Religious Left Preps ‘Grassroots’ Strategy for Pope Francis’ Environmental Encyclical
    If I were to publicly announce a Bible study meeting at the local public library, one can imagine the hue and cry from secularists fretting about a looming right-wing theocratic takeover of America. Change the subject to Pope Francis’ upcoming encyclical on climate change, however, and all you hear are crickets chirping from the separation of church and state crowd…
    The fact remains that no one – outside the Vatican at least – yet knows what Pope Francis will say about climate change in his upcoming encyclical. But that hasn’t stopped the Citizens Climate Lobby, a national astro-turfing outfit with local “grassroots” chapters throughout the United States, including one in your writer’s own backyard in Mt. Pleasant, Michigan. Last weekend, CCL local chapters gathered to listen to national broadcast presentations by Lonnie Ellis, associate director of the Catholic Climate Covenant, and Naomi Oreskes, author of Merchants of Doubt, the book upon which the recently released film documentary is based. The CCL chapter in my hometown congregated in the local public library annex to listen to the podcast recorded earlier that afternoon…
    Taking the Bait
    Since the editor of my local paper (wherein, it should be divulged, I author a weekly conservative column) is in the tank for climate-change alarmism, an opinion piece ostensibly written by the local CCL organizer in the Morning Sun advertised the event on its editorial page…(EXCERPTS)…
    Readers will forgive me for taking Ms. Koper’s bait and attending the event incognito. It’s not every day one reads of the Church’s call for environmental stewardship in the secular press…
    There I was, however, being lectured by Ellis that Pope Francis’ as yet unreleased encyclical would be a boon for environmentalists and the religious left. “People don’t know what an encyclical is but they’re excited about this one,” he said. “The debate on climate change is so ripe,” he continued, and the encyclical may just be the “tool to raise moral issues for the future.”
    Reminding attendees that Pope Francis has an “approval rating politicians would kill for,” Ellis says the pontiff’s message will be “potentially a game-changer”—as was every development reported during the meeting from Oreskes’ “game-changing” claim for the film adaptation of her book to Ms. Koper’s assertion her CCL local’s upcoming efforts also will be “game-changing.” …
    Amplify ‘Grassroots’ Moral Messaging
    Ellis perceives tremendous marketing and messaging opportunities deriving from Pope Francis’ encyclical and his visit to the United States later this year…
    The CCL local meeting I attended wrapped up by addressing how they should engage “deniers” in the local press. At this point I nearly broke cover to challenge such a crass, insensitive accusation, and one lobbed by a local clergyman to boot in violation of the organization’s second core belief “in respect for all viewpoints, even for those who would oppose us.” Perhaps I took his comment too seriously, as I’m one of the skeptics who weighs-in occasionally on the matter. The good pastor was reminded that “millions of dollars” funded the “opposition,” but no mention was made of the fact that CCL’s parent organization is “one of the highest income nonprofits.” Nor was mention made of the millions of dollars donated to anti-fossil fuel (re: climate-change) groups by Nathaniel Simons’ Sea Change outfit each year – usually between $45 million and $55 million, up to 40 percent of those donations derive from anonymous offshore accounts or that Simons is invested heavily in renewable energy schemes.
    One thing is for certain: The publication of Pope Francis’ encyclical on climate change – expected in the weeks ahead and to be followed by an address at the United Nations this fall – will open the floodgates of carefully orchestrated letters and opinion pieces from “grassroots” organizations that will claim the moral high ground based on whatever Francis writes. Any opposition will be denigrated as immoral and better funded than the climate-change activists, which is patently untrue. This means the lowly grassroots CCL and likeminded church and environmental groups will be rebutting and trolling my newspaper columns well into the foreseeable future…

    (RE WEBSITE ABOVE: The Acton Institute for the Study of Religion and Liberty is named after the great English historian, Lord John Acton (1834-1902). He is best known for his famous remark: “Power tends to corrupt, and absolute power corrupts absolutely.” )

  172. Claim

    10 / 11? March 2014
    Friction means Antarctic glaciers more sensitive to climate change than we thought
    …………Research by Caltech scientists now suggests that estimates of future rates of melt for the West Antarctic Ice Sheet—and, by extension, of future sea-level rise—have been too conservative. In a new study, published online on March 9 in the Journal of Glaciology, a team led by Victor Tsai, an assistant professor of geophysics, found that properly accounting for Coulomb friction—a type of friction generated by solid surfaces sliding against one another—in computer models significantly increases estimates of how sensitive the ice sheet is to temperature perturbations driven by climate change.

    Read more at:….

  173. I found this on the Gobi Desert, China, when responding to someone upstream about the Sahara. It was accepted for publication in January. It’s worse than we thought!

    Abstract – 21 January 2015
    Contraction of the Gobi Desert, 2000–2012
    Deserts are critical environments because they cover 41% of the world’s land surface and are home to 2 billion residents. As highly dynamic biomes desert expansion and contraction is influenced by climate and anthropogenic factors with variability being a key part of the desertification debate across dryland regions. Evaluating a major world desert, the Gobi in East Asia, with high resolution satellite data and the meteorologically-derived Aridity Index from 2000 to 2012 identified a recent contraction of the Gobi. The fluctuation in area, primarily driven by precipitation, is at odds with numerous reports of human-induced desertification in Mongolia and China. There are striking parallels between the vagueness in defining the Gobi and the imprecision and controversy surrounding the Sahara desert’s southern boundary in the 1980s and 1990s. Improved boundary definition has implications fGobi; desert boundary; expansion and contraction; Aridity Index; NDVI; Mongolia; China or understanding desert “greening” and “browning”, human action and land use, ecological productivity and changing climate parameters in the region. The Gobi’s average area of 2.3 million km2 in the 21st century places it behind only the Sahara and Arabian deserts in size.

    [Paper] Contraction of the Gobi Desert, 2000–2012
    …….Our finding that the Gobi contracted from 2000 to 2012 due to increased moisture availability
    challenges much of the literature on desertification in the region and the widespread acceptance that
    desertification there is due primarily to human impacts
    [7,28,57], an understanding that has informed
    much policy in the Gobi, particularly in Chinese grasslands [58]. Government programmes in the Gobi
    have often been implemented with limited consideration of potential environmental constraints, an
    example being the late 20th century in-migration of millions of farmers to the Gobi despite limited water
    resources, a process resulting in noted degradation [59]. ….


    How much “sea level rise” could be due to the sea floor expanding to the point where it rises above the surface as a new land mass?

    “The one-mile long cone-shaped island began forming last month”…Tonga’s lands and natural resources ministry said last month the island was half a mile wide and just under a mile long. It is believed to be about 820 feet high”.

  175. 11 March 2015 – 2:38 pm

    [ Climate Change: Our Intelligence Depends On It. ]
    ~ Which is why greedy morons (Hello, Al Gore!) want to “stop” it. ~

    BBC Two iWonder for
    “Human Universe” Episode 1 of 5: Apeman – Spaceman

    BBC Two documentary series “Human Universe”

    “Human Universe” Episodes

    “Human Universe” (2014)


  176. The rare sub-Human sub-species JihatistAnthropocenea presumptiveproposus are laying another egg at the German owned Scientific American, trumpeting 1492 as the beginning of the Anthropocene Eon.

    Har Har. Chinese merchants were exploring the Americans in 1421 and the Vikings had swank villas in NewFoundland a thousand years before that. Ha Ha.

    What will JihatistAnthropocenea presumptiveproposus do next!

    Back in the day we had a nursery rhyme about old boy Columbus:

    In 1492 Columbus sailed the ocean blue.
    Sailed so fa[r]st he skinned he’s ars,
    and schmidt all over he’s crew.

    Ha ha. ;-)

  177. A recent book by Michael Shermer adds to the literature about the apparent decline, though certainly not elimination, of global violence in recent history (“global mellowing”?). What is missing from these discussions is the striking correspondence with the rise in atmospheric carbon dioxide. Is there a connection – or not? If carbon-based life forms, like us, have better access to their essential element does it make them happier – and less likely to harm their own kind? Does CO2, directly or indirectly,serve as a socio-political fire extinguisher? Was 350 ppm the “tipping point” toward a relatively kinder, gentler(carbonated) era? With all the attributes (mostly negative) variously ascribed to CO2, this subject would seem ripe for debate.

  178. So, what’s the deal with the arctic ice extent? Has it hit a record-low maximum? Many people were fooled last year, so maybe they will be fooled again. Indeed, looks like it might be going up a bit today. Beginning of a trend?

    Also, the arctic sea ice area doesn’t look as bad, so something weird about extent this year.


  179. Its the sun, stupid: Scientists: Orbital Variations Main Cause of Climate Change

    On a related note: Kochs Say No to Democrats’ Probe Into Climate Research Funding

    Last month, three Democratic senators sent 100 letters to an assortment of fossil-fuel companies and organizations seeking information on whether they have backed research into global warming and other environmental topics.

    The investigation was triggered by documents obtained and released by Greenpeace that revealed Wei-Hock Soon, a scientist at the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, received $1.2 million from the fossil-fuel industry over the last decade without disclosing any conflict of interest in his scientific papers.

  180. no amount of free PR from the CAGW-infested-invested MSM could prevent the inevitable:

    11 March: Heartland: Jim Lakely: Merchants of Doubt a Huge Flop at the Box Office
    The invaluable site for movie buffs who are also interested in the box-office business of film is BoxOfficeMojo. That site reports that “Merchants of Doubt” has earned $23,300 in the four theaters in which it opened on Friday. So that means … “Merchants of Doubt” had the 314th best opening weekend ever for a documentary film in the United States! What an achievement!…
    The market has spoken … again. The public just ain’t buying what the climate alarmists are selling – even at what is going to be an enormous loss for the producers. of “Merchants of Doubt.”

    Box Office Mojo: Domestic Total as of Mar. 8, 2015: $20,300

  181. Cynical, I may be, but there has been wide press circulation that it has been ‘decided’ (by a paper in Nature) that the Anthropocene era (when man actually started to impact Earth) started in 1610.

    Now, purely coincidentally, of course, look at this:

    What a coincidence!

  182. Co2 rise from 1610 – The Age of Man

    BBC – 11 March 2015
    Anthropocene: New dates proposed for the ‘Age of Man’
    The Anthropocene – a new geological time period that marks the “Age of man” – began in 1610, a study suggests.

    …..”It provides an exact marker of the Anthropocene at 1610, the lowest point of CO2 in the ice-core record at that time.”…..

    The paper abstract

    12 January 2015 Published online 11 March 2015
    Defining the Anthropocene
    Time is divided by geologists according to marked shifts in Earth’s state. Recent global environmental changes suggest that Earth may have entered a new human-dominated geological epoch, the Anthropocene. Here we review the historical genesis of the idea and assess anthropogenic signatures in the geological record against the formal requirements for the recognition of a new epoch. The evidence suggests that of the various proposed dates two do appear to conform to the criteria to mark the beginning of the Anthropocene: 1610 and 1964. The formal establishment of an Anthropocene Epoch would mark a fundamental change in the relationship between humans and the Earth system.

    Figures of various hockey sticks from the above paper!

  183. struggling to find the right words!

    2 pages: 12 March: Forbes: Jeff McMahon: Forget Global Warming And Climate Change, Call It ‘Climate Disruption’
    “Positive mental attitude is a really wonderful way to deal with change,” research meteorologist Doug Sisterson (Argonne National Laboratory) told about 200 people at the University of Chicago’s International House Tuesday night. “We’ve learned that we want to be optimists and have a positive mental attitude, and the way we deal with that is by thinking ‘Not all change is bad.’ Well, talking about climate change, it’s not good. So maybe it’s wrong to portray climate change with a positive mental attitude.
    “Maybe we should start talking about climate disruption, because the things I’m talking about would seem to be highly disruptive.”…
    Sisterson is not the first to propose adopting the term climate disruption. John Holdren, the senior advisor to President Obama on science and technology issues, proposed the term global climate disruption in 2007, in 2010 and again last year….
    Tuesday night, Sisterson said it’s hard to talk to people about global warming when the effects of a warmer planetary average may include colder colds.
    “We’ve been talking about global warming, but as you can see on a global scale increased greenhouse gases lead to a warmer planet on average, but it really doesn’t tell the whole picture. Because it’s complicated. In fact, temperature itself is probably not the biggest thing that we’re going to have to worry about about global warming,” he said…
    A Google search of Argonne’s website,, finds six references to climate disruption compared to 1,930 mentions of climate change. Worldwide, Google finds 236,000 references to climate disruption and 107 million references to climate change…
    According to Google Trends, climate change only recently caught up with global warming as the preferred term in searches worldwide. NASA and other public agencies may have helped tip the scales by preferring climate change in official reports…
    Sisterson has worked with 5,000 climate scientists who have used the Department of Energy’s Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Climate Research Facility, which he manages. He is also something of a climate-science evangelist. He has appeared on a TEDx Talk, in a video, and he co-authored a book with molecular scientist Seth B. Darling called “How to Change Minds About Our Changing Climate,” which he said provides scientific evidence to debunk the 15 most common arguments made by climate deniers…

  184. Gandel goes in for plenty of character assassination, naturally:

    11 March: Fortune: Stephen Gandel: Top hedge fund manager: Global warming isn’t a danger
    In a recent paper, hedge fund manager Cliff Asness claims that the earth’s temperatures are not rising as fast as many think. The scientific community disagrees.
    Cliff Asness, who runs AQR, one of the largest hedge fund firms in the world, e-mailed out a research paper on Tuesday to reporters and others making his arguments on climate change. The paper is labeled “very preliminary,” and Asness asked that it not be directly quoted.
    The paper focuses on a chart of the Earth’s surface temperatures going back to 1880. Asness, who wrote the paper along with his co-worker Aaron Brown, does not deny that global temperatures are rising. But he says temperatures are rising at much slower rate than many suggest. What’s more, Asness and Brown say, based on the current pace of global warming, it will take another 500 years before the changes become a real problem…
    Asness is bound to win some fans with his argument.
    ***Florida, for instance, reportedly banned workers in its Department of Environmental Protection from using the terms “climate change,” “global warming,” and “sustainability.”
    But many scientists say there is little question that the Earth is warming and that it is a serious problem. “I’m not sure about the idea of beating people about the head and shoulders, but within less than a year, you will look like complete fools (if you buy this crap),” e-mailed Columbia University environmental science professor James Hansen, who took a look at the Asness and Brown paper at Fortune’s request.
    Asness’ AQR manages about $100 billion…
    In an e-mail response to Fortune, Asness declined to comment on why he decided to take on climate change again now. “In all honesty I’m just a curious guy and think this was an important point,” he wrote…
    Asness declined to say if his beliefs on global warming have affected the way he invests. Some advocates have suggested that large funds should factor in the likely outcome of global warming when choosing their investments.
    In the paper, Asness and Brown say that, at least so far, temperatures have risen much more slowly than scientists have predicted, and that we are still far away from the point at which rising temperatures would cause a problem. Asness admits that temperatures may rise more quickly in the future, but he argues that the data doesn’t show it. Asness asserts that if the next 135 years deliver similar temperature changes from what we saw in the past 135 years, we should be fine.
    Gavin Schmidt, who is the director of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, says the paper that Asness and Brown put out is “not science, it’s just wishful thinking.” Schmidt says looking at temperatures in a vacuum, as Asness and Brown are doing, is misleading…He says that’s a much better method of predicting future temperatures, rather than just taking a chart of past temperatures and drawing a future trend line, as Asness and Brown have done.
    “It’s not a happy thought, but this kind of folksey chartism is not going to cut it,” says Schmidt.

    ***Gandel obviously hasn’t noted FCIR are walking back those allegations about a “ban”. it looks more like there was overkill on the use of the words prior to Scott!

    11 March: Miami Herald: Gov. Rick Scott’s ban on climate change term extended to other state agencies
    By Tristram Korten, Florida Center for Investigative Reporting
    FCIR conducted a year-by-year keyword analysis of PDF files on DEP’s public website — which included reports, agendas, correspondence and other communications. The analysis shows a steep decline in the use of the term “climate change” after Scott took office.
    In 2010, Gov. Charlie Crist’s final year in office, DEP’s website hosted 20 documents that contained a total of 209 references to “climate change.” The next year, Scott’s first in office, the numbers declined to 15 documents and 123 total references.
    That decline has continued through Scott’s tenure as governor. Last year, there were 16 documents with a total of 34 references to “climate change…

  185. ***McCarthy throws the developing world under the bus! State Dept denies:

    11 March: RTCC: US denies U-turn after EPA chief calls for ‘legally binding’ Paris deal
    State Department swiftly quashes suggestion Washington could support a binding UN climate treaty later this year
    Gina McCarthy – a senior official directly appointed by the president – made the remark during a talk at the Washington DC based Council on Foreign Relations.
    “We need a legally binding agreement,” she said, after outlining the scale of US clean energy cooperation between the US, China and India and talking about her hopes for the Paris summit this December where a UN climate deal is set to be agreed.
    The comment is significant because US diplomats have historically opposed any kind of climate pact like the 1997 Kyoto Protocol that would see the country face legal sanctions…
    Any new treaty requires the approval of the US Senate, which is highly unlikely given the current dominance of Republicans.
    In a statement emailed to RTCC a State official stressed the US had not changed its position…
    “The US has made clear that it is interested in the hybrid approach put forward by New Zealand, in which elements of accountability would be legally binding but country commitments would not be.” …
    Later McCarthy told ClimateWire’s Lisa Friedman she had made the comment “casually” and did not mean to imply anything…
    While hostility to any US commitment is growing among Republican lawmakers, McCarthy said she believed the wider public were supportive of efforts to decarbonise.
    “Attitudes in America are changing – people accept the science and they are demanding action,” she said.
    McCarthy said new a clean power plant plan – which would see coal gradually phased out and cut climate-changing emissions 26% by 2020 compared with 2005 levels – “will be” delivered by the summer.
    “Successful economies invest in where the world is going… they don’t invest in where it has been,” she said…
    Embassy air monitors in emerging economies, which shine a light on otherwise hidden levels of particulate pollution in cities like Beijing were a “textbook display of soft diplomacy” she said.
    ***Poverty could not be an excuse to allow future investments in polluting fuels, she added, arguing there was a “moral obligation” to protect future generations from climate impacts.
    The EPA chief said she had spoken to officials from the Vatican ahead of an expected statement from the Pope on the environment later this year – who agreed that clean energy opportunities offered hope to “millions of poor” around the world.
    “We can no longer accept the false premise that pollution is part of the growing pains of growth. If that’s the case, then that growth is not built to last,” she said…

  186. 9 March: Spiked: Nigel Farage: ‘I’m taking on the establishment, and they hate me for it’
    Farage on consensus, conformism and the virtue of dissent
    by Brendan O’Neill
    Consensus, and the breaking of it, and the blowback you get as a consequence, comes up again and again in our chat. And there’s no doubt that Farage is off-message, sometimes gloriously so, on a lot of what passes for mainstream, unquestioned political thought in modern Britain. Take climate change. What politician these days would admit to laughing about the polar bears? Farage would. ‘My boys, who were spoonfed climate change all through school, used to think it was hilarious when I ranted at the Six O’Clock News about that bloody iceberg and that bloody polar bear HA HA HA HA HA HA HA.’
    He declares himself ‘agnostic on climate change’. ‘I haven’t got a clue whether climate change is being driven by carbon-dioxide emissions.’ But he does think that shutting down industry in response to climate change, and shutting down debate about climate change, are very bad ideas indeed. ‘We are a nation that produces 1.8 per cent of global carbon dioxide, so I do not get closing down our aluminium smelters, most of our steel production, and now our refining industry, and all that production being moved to India, and therefore the steel-based products made in India then having to be shipped back to Britain! This to me makes no sense at all.’
    The politics of environmentalism is utterly hostile to progress, he says. ‘If Natalie Bennett won the election, we’d all be living in caves’, he says with a chortle. ‘[This politics] is very regressive. There is nothing progressive in terms of the evolution of society or living standards in what these people stand for. And the whole thing is based on a fallacy: that our fossil fuels are going to run out and therefore we have to adapt the way we live. Actually, the shale-gas [revolution] has shown over the past decade that we are finding more and more of this stuff.’ As for the idea that we should stop digging for coal or shale or uranium and instead turn to renewable energy — ‘I think wind energy is the biggest collective economic insanity I’ve seen in my entire life. I’ve never seen anything more stupid, more illogical, or more irrational.’…
    Here, Farage is kicking against one of the key planks of 21st-century consensus politics: the idea of planetary vulnerability and human hubris. And he gets massive flak for it. ‘[Climate change] is like a religion’, he says. ‘And you’re demonised if you question it. Ostracised completely. Johnny Ball. Think Of A Number. Brilliant man. He compares the amount of CO2 we produce in the whole atmosphere to a ping-pong ball in the Albert Hall, and he is completely ostracised for years. We’re almost back to Galileo. Whether it’s Galileo or Darwin, you challenge consensus, whether it’s in science, whether it’s in politics, and you are demonised for doing it.’ He remembers, in 2006, being on a Sunday morning TV show and being branded a ‘DENIER! DENIER!’ (his emphasis) after he raised issues with climate-change orthodoxy. ‘I thought I was attending the Salem witch trials. Quite extraordinary.’…

    Delingpole covers it:

    11 March: Breitbart: James Delingpole: The real reason why the media hates Nigel Farage

  187. 12 March: RTCC: Ed King: Cardinal hints at main themes in Pope’s climate change encyclical
    Leader of Catholic church will offer leaders hope, says official, and address causes of poverty and environmental degradation
    The Pope will seek to bring the “warmth of hope” to the wider debates on climate change and development, he (Cardinal Peter Turkson, head of the Pontifical Council for Justice and Peace) said, while steering a path away from the “Herods” and “omens of destruction and death.” ..
    Turkson, who was speaking at a conference in Ireland, added the next 10 months were “crucial” to determine the stability of the environment.We’ve picked out some of his key comments below – you can read the full address here…
    “In an aeroplane interview while returning from Korea last August, the Holy Father said that one of the challenges he faces in his encyclical on ecology is how to address the scientific debate about climate change and its origins.
    “Is it the outcome of cyclical processes of nature, of human activities (anthropogenic), or perhaps both? What is not contested is that our planet is getting warmer…
    In the words of Thomas Stocker, the co-chair of the IPCC Working Group I: “Our assessment finds that the atmosphere and oceans have warmed, the amount of snow and ice has diminished, sea level has risen and the concentration of carbon dioxide has increased to a level unprecedented in at least the last 800,000 years.”
    Challenging sceptics
    “Yet even the compelling consensus of over 800 scientists of the IPCC will have its critics and its challengers. For Pope Francis, however, this is not the point. For the Christian, to care for God’s ongoing work of creation is a duty, irrespective of the causes of climate change…
    “As we confront the threat of environmental catastrophe on a global scale, I am confident that a shaft of light will break through the heavy clouds and bring us what Pope Francis describes as the warmth of hope!”

  188. The latest offering from the smear/witch-hunt team.

    An organisation called insideclimate, that claims to be non-partisan, has written a piece labelling anyone who happens to have received an email from Fred Singer as a “climate denialist”, including Anthony, Judith Curry (“relatively new to the denialist camp”) and Roger Pielke Sr.

  189. Hi, you promoted this site, and it has really lived up to what you said. Can it be added to your linked blogroll?

  190. 13 March 2015 – 12:37 pm

    ~ Greatest threat ever has magically stopped,
    straight-faced IEA says. ~

    (13 March 2015)

    — For comparison purposes, what China was
    actually doing, and not doing, in 2014 —

    (03 June 2014)


    • But I was told CO2 was the major driver of climate, and 2014 was the hottest year ever. How can this be if CO2 emissions flatlined? ;-)

  191. “There really wasn’t much of anything in the way of a scientific rationale, everyone gradually began to bet hot and heavy on the roulette wheel’s red 14, which was Carbon being the root of all global warming evil that would destroy the world and could only be avoided by deconstructing democratic capitalism. Increasingly, that bet looks to have been a scientifically indefensible one, but they’re by now totally locked into it.”


  192. March 14th, Guardian.

    America is entering a new phase of “peak water”, the point at which freshwater is being consumed faster than it is replenished. Already, 40 state water managers expect water shortages to occur in their states over the next 10 years.

    author: Matt Cartwright.

  193. Not sure if it is just me, but your front page suddenly lost all formatting; browsing using IE11 from UK.


  194. Co2 emissions stalled in 2014.

    Think Progress – March 13, 2015
    Record First: Global CO2 Emissions Went Flat In 2014 While The Economy Grew
    Energy-related carbon dioxide emissions flatlined globally in 2014, while the world economy grew. The International Energy Agency reports that this marks “the first time in 40 years in which there was a halt or reduction in emissions of the greenhouse gas that was not tied to an economic downturn.”

    Guardian – 13 March 2015
    Global emissions stall in 2014 following slowdown in China’s economy

    BBC – 13 March 2014
    Global CO2 emissions ‘stalled’ in 2014
    …The growth in global carbon emissions stalled last year, according to data from the International Energy Agency.

    It marks the first time in 40 years that annual CO2 emissions growth has remained stable, in the absence of a major economic crisis, the agency said….

  195. Uh Oh.

    Boffins, unqualified Chief Exec and CEO pins a letter from the 60,000 plus (not me I quit) members of the American Earth and space sciences Union, formerly the American Geophysical Union, regarding Sen. Ted Cruz suggestion to Administrator of NASA Bolton that NASA should focus on Space Exploration rather wasting so much effort and resources on “Earth Science”, i.e. Climate Science Creationism.

    I agree with Sen. Cruz

    I do not agree with the Creationism Boffins of the Æ[G]U.

    Disestablishment of the current NASA would be a good thing.

    Establishment of a Department of Sciences (DoA, DoE, DHHS, DoC, DoI) would have synergistic benefits, and less overhead and bureaucratic staff.

  196. Uh Oh

    Arctic Sea Ice Creationism Boffins to be baffled and befuddled yet again. Read the numbers from NSIDC (Serreze should read his own numbers, when he’s not [trimmed]):
    Date sea ice area extent x10^6 kilometers flag filename
    2015 3 10 14.301 0
    2015 3 11 14.33 0
    2015 3 12 14.334 0
    2015 3 13 14.398 0.015


  197. Anthony. You probably know about this already but…you’re famous!

    Watts edits the blog Watts Up With That, which questions climate science and presents, “the untold story of the climate debate from the climate skeptic side.” Watts studied electrical engineering and meteorology at Purdue University but never graduated. He then served as an on-air meteorologist for 25 years. He’s a frequent speaker at anti-climate action events hosted by the Heartland Institute. “I believe that our [man-made] contribution [to climate change] may be far less than has been postulated,” he told a California newspaper in 2007. “Our measurement network has been compromised—not intentionally, but accidentally and through carelessness.”

    [But, what was the source you quoted? The link to this “description” of our host? .mod]

  198. NASA’s Magnetic Field Mission Looking For Green Energy

    “In addition to learning more about the magnetic field of the Earth, and the ubiquitous but hard to understand “magnetic reconnection,” NASA’s new MMS mission is also looking for ways to harness the power of magnetism, and produce clean energy.”

    “Magnetic reconnection” is a made-up mathematical abstraction that contradicts [basic] Maxwell-equation-based E&M known for well over a century.

    Exploding double layers in plasma is a better explanation, based on real, observable phenomena.

  199. 15 March: SMH: Peter Hannam: Hotter, harder times forecast for the farm as climate changes food production
    Australia’s agricultural sector faces profound challenges from climate change over coming decades forcing the migration of some crops and the use of new varieties of others, a new report by the University of Melbourne researchers.
    A warming, largely drying climate for a range of foods from almonds to zuchinis has been identified by the The Appetite for Change study, finding few likely winners.
    “Food production in Australia will need to adapt to the inevitable impacts of climate change,” said Richard Eckard, an associate professor. “But there are limits to the temperatures and extreme weather events that farmers will be able to adapt to.”…
    For farm animals, the main impact may be caused by heatwaves, which are anticipated to become more intense, more frequent and last longer. According to the latest research by the CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology, the number of extreme heat versus extreme cool daily records since 2001 is running three-to-one for maximums and five-to-one for minimums.
    “In a heat event, they all suffer heat stress,” said Professor Eckard, who is also director of the Primary Industries Climate Challenges Centre, a joint venture between Melbourne University and the Victorian government…
    Whereas rising carbon dioxide levels assists plant growth – the so-called fertilisation effect – the benefits are curtailed if there is insufficient water, phosphorous, nitrogen and other nutrients. Wheat, for instance, may increase in quantity but have lower levels of protein.
    “You get nothing for nothing in nature,” Professor Eckard said…
    Banana plantations are concentrated in north-east Queensland, leaving them exposed to cyclone strikes, such as from Cyclone Yasi in 2011. Cyclones may become less frequent but more intense, according to climate studies…
    Despite farming generating some $48 billion in 2012-13 and already exposed to Australia’s famously fickle climate, the Abbott government’s green paper on agricultural competition published in December omitted any mention of climate change.
    “The federal government’s really behind the eight-ball on this because they are playing politics,” Professor Eckard said…
    ***The Appetite for Change report’s release marks the launch of Earth Hour, in which millions of people in 160 nations are expected to switch off their lights for 60 minutes. This year’s event kicks off at 8.30 pm, AEDT, of Sunday, March 28…
    Foods affected include:…blah blah blah

    LinkedIn: Richard Eckard
    Associate Professor and Director at The University of Melbourne
    He sits on science advisory panels for the Australian, New Zealand and UK governments on climate change research in agriculture and leads research programs in enteric methane, nitrous oxide and whole farm systems modelling of mitigation and adaptation strategies.
    Richard has published over 90 scientific publications, holds a number of national and international science leadership roles, being a keynote speaker at numerous industry and international science conferences over the past few years.
    The University of Natal
    PhD, Agriculture 1979 – 1982


    15 March: Michael Kelly: Why my own Royal Society is wrong on climate change: A devastating critique of world’s leading scientific organisation by one of its Fellows
    The Royal Society’s motto is ‘Nullius in verba’ or don’t take another’s word
    It is the world’s first scientific organisation in the world
    Prof Michael Kelly fears that on climate change, it is ignoring the science
    He accuses the organisation of becoming dogmatic about climate change
    Five years ago, I was one of 43 Fellows of the Royal Society – the first and arguably still the most prestigious scientific organisation in the world – who wrote to our then-president about its approach to climate change. We warned that the Society was in danger of violating its founding principle, summed up in its famous motto ‘Nullius in verba’ – or ‘Don’t take another’s word for it; check it out for yourself’…
    Those who fail to provide balance are not giving advice, but lobbying. It is with the deepest regret that I must now state that this is the role which has been adopted by the Royal Society. And when scientists abandon neutral inquiry for lobbying, they jeopardise their purpose and integrity.

  201. Numbers Here:

    Amongst the numbers:

    Royalties $10,930,486 21.9%

    Royalties $660,735 1.8%

    Now THAT IS an impressive jump!

    For The Facts: Royalties: “A royalty (sometimes, running royalties, or private sector taxes) is a usage-based payment made by one party (the “licensee”) to another (the “licensor”) for the right to ongoing use of an asset, sometimes an intellectual property (IP). ” From

    So Despot McEntee presumptive “CEO” sold me away years ago.

    Bad Girl

    Spank Spank

    PS McEntee will use “Spank Spank” to ‘Spank Her Bitch Up’ a la ‘the Prodigy’.


  202. the show must go on, make sure u keep a close watch on your retirement/pension funds & let them know how u feel about the CAGW scam:

    13 March: RTCC: Megan Darby: UN to tackle finance question in disaster risk deal
    Negotiators are flocking to Sendai, Japan to strike a global deal to help prevent death and damage from earthquakes, storms, flooding and other natural disasters.
    ***With the UN estimating 87% of natural disasters are climate-related, the deal could help countries adapt to the hazards of climate change.
    But while there is broad agreement on priorities for the framework, Margareta Wahlstrom, disaster risk reduction (DRR) chief at the UN, said in a statement the issue of financing any deal was as yet unresolved.
    “What is left for member states and countries now,” she said, “is to find a common formula for the terms of international cooperation on financing, on how to formulate a common global commitment.”…
    The deal, due to be finalised on 18 March, is the first of three major UN decisions this year. Sustainable development goals are to be agreed in New York in September, followed by a climate accord in December.UN secretary-general Ban Ki-moon emphasised the links between these processes in an op-ed (LINK) this week…
    Countries will not be required to commit finance under the DRR deal, which is voluntary.That leaves practitioners eying up other sources of funds, such as the UN-backed Green Climate Fund and private financial institutions.Ban highlighted opportunities for banks, insurers and pension funds to get involved. At a climate summit he hosted in New York last year, such institutions pledged to mobilise US$200 billion by the end of 2015.“A decade ago, when the last such gathering was held, the private sector was scarcely represented,” Ban said.“This time, companies and entrepreneurs will be there in full force to explore a range of valuable opportunities.”…
    The draft text includes elements borrowed from the climate negotiations, including (in square brackets, meaning it has yet to be agreed) the contentious phrase “common but differentiated responsibility”…
    Tom Mitchell, head of climate at the Overseas Development Institute, told RTCC the introduction of such politically charged terminology had increased uncertainty over the DRR deal…

    16 March: Ban Ki-Moon: Strategy for disaster risk
    Hundreds of business executives, aware of the dramatic costs — and potential benefits — at stake, are now preparing to attend a UN conference on disaster-risk reduction in Sendai, Japan…
    The Tohoku region of Japan, where the meeting will take place, is a vivid reminder of how a disaster’s economic impact reverberates far beyond its epicenter. Devastated four years ago by the Great East Japan Earthquake and tsunami, Japan’s automobile production was cut by nearly half…
    At the Climate Summit that I convened last September at the UN in New York, financial institutions, commercial and national banks, insurance companies, and pension funds vowed to mobilize more than $200 billion by the end of this year for action to address climate change.
    They envisioned a host of new initiatives, including issuing so-called green bonds and shifting assets to clean-energy portfolios. In a particularly important move, the insurance industry, representing $30 trillion in assets and investments, committed to creating a Climate Risk Investment Framework for industry-wide adoption by the end of the year…
    It is time to stop addressing development and humanitarian emergencies separately. Disaster-risk reduction lies at the nexus of development assistance, which seeks to advance better living conditions, and humanitarian aid, which begins after a disaster hits.

  203. One Quarter of a Billion views coming to WUWT soon. Congratulations Anthony, WUWT, and contributors.

    It’s the quality that is most impressive; content, contributors, comments, and certainly viewers/lurkers.

  204. Yahoo News on the EPA’s take on chemtrails/contrails: “The EPA does note one potentially harmful effect of contrails: “Contrail cloudiness might contribute to human-induced climate change. Climate change may have important impacts on public health and environmental protection.” That will depend on flight traffic and routes in coming decades as well as other weather changes tied to global warming.”

    In the comments, the chemtrail believers are adamant, fervent and numerous. Sheesh.


    You Can’t “Believe” in Climate Change

    It’s not a religion. It’s a scientific fact.

    ‘The phrase, “believe in climate change” returns almost a quarter-million Google results. As McCarthy said, science is neither a faith nor a religion, yet the term belief pervades media and politics. Why do advocates so consistently play along with the climate-change-denier narrative?’

    Maybe because, if it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck…..

  206. NatGeo reports models blame O2 depletion in some oceans in the future on AGW. Could happen!

    Many scientists already suspect global warming is partly to blame for this transformation. Deutsch and others, however, think oxygen declines so far have been driven by complicated natural factors. Ocean conditions vary so much normally that they might be experiencing an unusual period of depletion—one that could moderate soon.
    But Deutsch called that “a very, very thin silver lining.”
    “Right now in the ocean, there is incredibly strong internal variability and a very tiny climate trend on top of it,” he says. “But my sense from all the model simulations we’ve done is that we’re on the verge of having that trend emerge from the noise.”

  207. 14 March: UK Telegraph Emily Gosden: One in ten Green Deal companies ‘struck off’ for breaking the rules
    Fresh blow to Government’s flagship energy efficiency scheme as it emerges hundreds of companies have had to be barred from installation work
    More than a tenth of companies implementing the Government’s flagship energy efficiency scheme have been banned after breaking its code of practice, ministers have admitted, raising fears thousands of homeowners may be being ripped off by dodgy tradesmen…
    The latest £70 million tranche of funding from the Green Deal Home Improvement Fund giveaway is up for grabs from Monday 16 March, with homeowners able to claim up to £5,600 each for work including solid wall insulation, double glazing or a new boiler.
    But new figures reveal that more than 350 of the companies registered to carry out assessments or installation work for the scheme have had to be stripped of their certification after breaking its code of practice, which is designed to ensure they are properly qualified and deal with complaints correctly…
    The Department of Energy and Climate Change (DECC) has now admitted that 43 Green Deal assessor organisations – about 10 per cent of all those registered – and 324 installers, or 12 per cent of those registered, “have had their authorisations as a Green Deal participant removed for non-compliance issues against the Green Deal Code of Practice”. …
    Gillian Guy, chief executive of Citizens Advice: “Green Deal firms struck off for letting consumers down need to be stopped from being re-certified, as should phoenix companies attempting to get recertified under a different name.” …
    The consumer charity warned last year that scammers were cold calling households, purporting to be from the Green Deal scheme.
    Trading Standards watchdogs around the UK have reported dozens of similar complaints…

  208. 16 March: BBC: Roger Harrabin: Oxford’s postponed divestment decision faces protest
    Former students occupied an Oxford building on Monday to protest the university’s failure to decide about divesting funds from fossil fuels.
    Campaigners expected an announcement from the university, following discussion of a divestment proposal put forward by students.
    But an Oxford spokesperson said time was needed to consider “serious issues” involved in the investment change…
    Joining the occupation was John Clements, Oxford’s director of finance from 1995 to 2004. He said: “We are bitterly disappointed about the university’s failure to come to a decision. Oxford should be leading the move away from investment in all world-destroying fossil fuel companies to more sustainable forms of energy.”…
    Oxford postponed its decision until May.
    ‘Hear the voices’
    The British Medical Association, the World Council of Churches and the Rockefeller Brothers have all agreed to divest and members of the London Assembly have urged the Mayor Boris Johnson to withdraw investments in coal, oil and gas.
    This is said to be the fastest-growing divestment movement the world has seen.
    Oxford is the second richest university in the UK after Cambridge. Its endowment is worth around £3.8bn…
    Two years ago the university accepted funds from Shell for a new Earth Sciences laboratory and the firm also funds research doctorates in geochemistry. BP spends millions supporting university research…
    Daniel Fischel, emeritus professor at the University of Chicago Law School told BBC News: “Every bit of economic evidence suggests that fossil fuel divestment is a bad idea. The costs are substantial and stand to have real financial impacts on the returns generated by endowment funds.”
    Jeremy Leggett, a solar entrepreneur and Oxford alumnus said: “I don’t think universities should be training young people to craft a viable civilisation with one hand, and bankrolling its sabotage with the other.”

    16 March: Democracy Now: As U.N. Backs Fossil Fuel Divestment, Bill McKibben on Vanuatu, Oxford Vote, California Water Crisis
    This comes as University of Oxford alumni, donors and students are watching a vote set for today on whether the school will divest its endowment from the top 200 companies involved in exploring or extracting fossil fuels…
    McKibben: And the people in Vanuatu know exactly what the culprit is. You know, in one of the most beautiful demonstrations of the climate change era, last summer Vanuatu and 10 other Pacific Islands’ Pacific Warriors, 350’s Pacific Warriors, built indigenous traditional canoes and took them off to Newcastle in Australia, the largest coal port in the world, and used them to blockade the great coal ships in an effort to demonstrate exactly what Cyclone Pam also demonstrated—the incredible vulnerability of so many of the poorest people in the world to the rising temperatures that we’re inflicting on our one Earth…
    In many of these nations, coral reefs provide the best defense against a raging ocean. And that defense is breaking down everywhere. Add to that the fact that we keep seeing these super typhoons, super cyclones. You know, warm air holds more water vapor than cold. It allows, in arid areas, for more evaporation, and hence more drought…
    AMY GOODMAN: As we speak, Oxford University in Britain is set to vote on a measure to divest from coal. The decision could come during our show. Meanwhile, the U.N. body responsible for global climate change negotiations is backing the fast-growing campaign persuading investors to sell off their fossil fuel assets. Nick Nuttall, the spokesperson for the U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change, the UNFCCC, said, quote, “We support divestment as it sends a signal to companies, especially coal companies, that the age of ‘burn what you like, when you like’ cannot continue.” …
    BILL McKIBBEN: You know, I remain slightly in shock about the whole thing. Three years ago, it was a few of us. You know, I wrote the first big piece about this for Rolling Stone magazine. At this point, this idea, this divestment idea, now encompasses great universities, from Stanford to Sydney to Stockholm. It encompasses religious denominations—United Church of Christ, the World Council of Churches. There are cities, like Oslo and Seattle; the Rockefeller family, the first family of fossil fuel. Today, Oxford is taking a vote. In a couple of weeks, people are descending on Harvard—you know, all kinds of people, Al Gore, yes, but also a two-time Reagan appointee to the SEC, also Desmond Tutu, all Harvard alumni of one kind or another—demanding that the university sell its shares. So, this has become one of the many faces of the fossil fuel movement, the fossil fuel resistance. And it’s very much hand in hand with those Vanuatuans standing up to the biggest coal mines in the world in Australia. Those coal mines can’t be developed without the kind of financial lifeline that we’re trying to cut off when we do things like divestment…
    ***AMY GOODMAN: George Monbiot just tweeted, “I’ve pledged to hand back my degree if Oxford University does not divest from #fossilfuels. Please make the right decision.” …
    BILL McKIBBEN: Yes, George Monbiot is going to hand back his Oxford degree. And almost as powerfully, Natalie Portman has demanded that Harvard divest. So, it’s everywhere now, Amy…

  209. deceptive as always, BBC’s Harrabin writes “John Clements, Oxford’s director of finance from 1995 to 2004″ has joined the occupation at Oxford Uni. Harrabin knows full well Clements’ current position:

    LinkedIn: John Clements
    Finance Officer at People & Planet, Oxford
    December 2006 – Present
    Director of Finance
    University Of Oxford
    October 1995 – June 2004

    “climate grieving” at the website! Students campaigning to end world poverty, defend human rights & protect the environment
    Fund Fossil Free
    All over the UK we are winning, can you help us keep up the pressure?
    This year, slowly but surely the power of the student divestment movement is growing. Students at universities and colleges are taking on the giants, the fossil fuel industry, who are no longer laughing, they are fighting us.

    MSM loves them of course:

    Oxford accused of ‘dithering’ on fossil divestment | News ……divestment/2019119.article
    14 hours ago – Andrew Taylor, Fossil Free campaign manager at the student campaign organisation People and Planet, said

    Oxford University should lead the way and divest from fossil fuels
    The Guardian-12 Mar 2015
    The idea of fossil fuel divestment, seemingly a radical pipedream just a few … We’ve also had support from People and Planet

    UPDATE: Anti-fossil fuel protesters leave after taking over Oxford …
    The Oxford Times-6 hours ago

    from Wikipedia: People & Planet
    Type: Company Limited by Guarantee and Charity registered in England & Wales and Scotland.
    People & Planet is funded primarily from governmental grants, trusts and foundations, and an increasingly successful social enterprise training FE and school students…
    ***Notable People: The environmental campaigner and journalist George Monbiot is patron of People & Planet

  210. Frome the Chicken Little Department at WaPo by Chris Mooney:

    The melting of Antarctica was already really bad. It just got worse.

    Check out the update:

    Update: This article was updated to correct the size of the Totten Glacier. According to Greenbaum (but contrary to this press release), its floating portion (or ice shelf) is 90 miles by 22 miles in size.

    He doesn’t say how high.
    The original press release says:

    “It’s only one glacier, but it’s changing now and it is significant for sea levels globally,” said study co-author Professor Martin Siegert, Co-Director of the Grantham Institute at Imperial College London. “The 3.5 metre rise may take several centuries to complete, but now the process has started it is likely irreversible. This is another example of how human-induced climate change could be triggering major changes with knock-on impacts that will be felt globally.”

    Will it take them several centuries how to use Common conversion factors for water, ice & sea-level?

    Melting ~95 cubic miles of grounded ice (= 362 Gt = 395 km3) into ~87 cubic miles of fresh water and adding it to the oceans would raise globally averaged sea-level by 1 mm.

    • I was sent the following link, which reports stuff from the Potsdam Institute of Climate something or other, with various sketches of exponential sea level rise due to warming around Antarctica.

      I leave it to the experts to mull over and decide if they have any legs on their theories. To help matters there were some quotes from one James Hansen when interviewed in Australia (and possibly elsewhere.

      Best of luck to those who can understand it!

  211. Steve C – a little bit about the Boundaries rubbish:

    Stockholm Resilience Centre
    About Stockholm Resilience Centre
    The centre is a joint initiative between Stockholm University and the Beijer International Institute of Ecological Economics at The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. The centre is funded by the Foundation for Strategic Environmental Research, ***Mistra.
    How did the research on the planetary boundaries come about?
    Discussions about the planetary boundaries started in 2008 at a workshop convened by Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm Environment Institute and the Tallberg Foundation…
    “There are now so many of us, using so many resources that we are threatening the Earth’s capacity to regulate itself,” says co-author Professor Will Steffen of the Australian National University, one of the science strategy leaders of the Planetary Boundaries research initiative…

    ***from THE SWEDISH FOUNDATION FOR STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH supports research of strategic importance for a good living environment and sustainable development.
    Asset Management:
    Mistra was formed in 1994 and started with assets of SEK 2.5 billion. These funds were derived from the previous ‘wage-earner funds‘. At year-end 2011, the assets amounted to SEK 2.7bn. Since the start, Mistra has disbursed SEK 3.1bn for various initiatives.
    Since April 2007, the whole of Mistra´s assets under management have been placed according to sustainability criteria, to reflect Mistra´s remit of helping to solve environmental problems and working for sustainable development. This must be done with reasonable consideration of the requirements in Mistra´s Statutes of a good return and limited risk… Planetary Boundaries: Guiding human development on a changing planet.
    The Australian National University, Canberra ACT 2601, Australia…CSIRO (Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization), St Lucia QLD 4067, Australia… Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)…etc etc
    Acknowledgements: The planetary boundaries research at the Stockholm Resilience Centre is made possible through a core grant from MISTRA (Swedish Foundation for Strategic Environmental Research). S.E.C. is supported by the Swedish Research Council, R.B. is supported by a Branco Weiss Fellowship, C.F. is supported by the Family Erling Persson Academy Programme on Global Economic Dynamics and the Biosphere, I.F. is supported by the Stordalen Foundation (Norway), and S.R.C. and V.R. are supported by the U.S. National Science Foundation .

  212. AW, there doesn’t seem to be comments for “Science Lessons for Secretary of State John F. Kerry” thread ??

  213. From

    “Arriving earlier than expected, a CME hit Earth’s magnetic field on March 17th at approximately 04:30 UT. The impact sparked a G1-class geomagnetic storm, which could intensify in the hours ahead.”

    The lights flickered across Ontario, Canada last night at about the same time.

  214. “The Structure of Climate Change Revolutions: It’s the Sun”
    (With a bow to T.S. Kuhn)

    “[The Clean Power Plan looks like] the last gasp of a dying scientific paradigm, one fated to join the museum of oddities of science, such as phlogiston, the idea that bleeding a patient is the road to health, and the rejection of plate tectonics theory.”
    . . . .
    “Bleeding industrial civilization to death in the name of CO2 is scientific quackery, worthy of Steve Martin’s Theodoric of York, Medieval Barber.”,_Medieval_Barber

  215. “The Structure of Climate Change Revolutions: It’s the Sun”
    (With a bow to T.S. Kuhn)

    “[EPA’s Clean Power Plan looks like] the last gasp of a dying scientific paradigm, one fated to join the museum of oddities of science, such as phlogiston, the idea that bleeding a patient is the road to health, and the rejection of plate tectonics theory.”
    . . . .
    “Bleeding industrial civilization to death in the name of CO2 is scientific quackery, worthy of Steve Martin’s Theodoric of York, Medieval Barber.”,_Medieval_Barber

    • Also “Science Lessons for Secretary of State John F. Kerry”, on my PC some elements of the sidebar are covering parts of the post itself.
      (I run Windows 7 pro with firefox.)

  216. How market forces are winning the climate change battle.

    The is the title of a CBC article. Using my phone I was unable to copy the address so if interested do a search. The author calls himself a journalist, bit of a stretch. Implies solar is winning the climate change war.

  217. KBVS reports 54F since 10 Mar 11:15 pm PDT

    Weather Conditions for:
    Burlington/Mount Vernon, Skagit Regional Airport, WA (KBVS)
    Elev: 144 ft; Latitude: 48.47083; Longitude: -122.42083

    How long is it going to take the National Weather Service to correct the incorrect temperatures being reported by its broken thermometer in the KBVS weather observations? What effect will these errors eventually have on the reported temperatures after they have or have not been adjusted by NWS and NASA?

  218. 18 March: Q&A with Chris Field: The link between climate change and disaster risk reduction
    by Denise Young & Johannes Mengel
    ***Q. In your talk just now here at the Sendai conference you put a lot of emphasis on the fact that we can actually observe climate change now – rather than something we just expect to happen in the future. Is that something people aren’t sufficiently aware of, or not discussing enough?
    A. Yes. I think its a major new result, and it is important for getting people to focus on the value of near term actions. What we need in the near term is to take the issue seriously. We need to look at the science, look at the costs and benefits of deploying a wide range of alternative energy solutions and adaptation solutions in the context of sustainable development. What we’re really talking about on solving the climate problem is slightly tweaking the development agenda to produce the best outcomes for people everywhere.
    One of the really important conclusions from the IPCC report is that no matter what climate target we adopt, the world is headed for zero emissions of carbon dioxide and other heat trapping gases…
    – Chris Field is the founding director of the Carnegie Institution’s Department of Global Ecology and Melvin and Joan Lane Professor for Interdisciplinary Environmental Studies at Stanford University. He is co-chair of Working Group II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which led the effort on the IPCC Special Report on “Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation” (2012) and Working Group II contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (2014). Field’s research has been recognized with several American and international awards, including the Max Planck Research Award and the Roger Revelle Medal, and with election to learned societies, including the US National Academy of Sciences (2001).


    27 Feb: US State Dept: Nomination of Dr. Chris Field as Chair of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)

    more from Sendai – World Bank looking for more money!

    17 March: Devex: Manolo de Vos: At Sendai, meaningful steps toward mainstreaming disaster risk reduction
    “There is very strong consensus here that unless we really put disaster risk and resilience at the heart of how we think about and carry out development, we are simply not going to achieve the goals that we want for ourselves as an international community,” Rachel Kyte, vice president and special envoy for climate change at the World Bank, told Devex in an exclusive interview…
    “There is an emerging conversation around humanitarian relief, development assistance and the new emerging climate finance architecture — the three sources of international spending on disaster risk reduction,” Kyte explained to Devex. Each of these financing streams is governed by different rules and structures, a situation which the global development community is realizing might be too difficult for a vulnerable country to navigate, she noted.
    More than international financing for disaster risk reduction, Kyte highlighted that crucial questions about the sort of economic policies, fiscal tools and insurance mechanisms that countries need to spur resilience are being addressed.
    “How can local governments get access to funds to build their resilience? How can you make sure that women, smallholders and small-business owners have access to microinsurance and insurance?” she asked. “Those are some of the questions that are being answered.”…
    But for all her optimism, the World Bank’s special envoy admitted that the road to better disaster risk reduction is still long.
    Citing upcoming negotiations on a post-2015 development agenda, financing for development and climate change, Kyte noted that articulating all of these policies and priorities into a coherent and integrated vision for the future is bound to be a “complicated choreography.”…
    Meanwhile, in the context of cash-strapped development budgets, careful stewardship of domestic resources will be required in all countries. Development assistance and climate financing will also have to be used in a smart “catalytic” way, according to Kyte…
    “What has just happened to the people of Vanuatu must spur us forward,” Kyte said. “Every one of these storms is wiping out a large part of the growth capacity and development strides that many countries have earned in the last few years, and if that doesn’t spur negotiators forward, then I don’t know what will.”…
    (about the writer: Manola De Vos is a development analyst for Devex. Based in Manila, she contributes to the Development Insider and Money Matters newsletters. Prior to joining Devex, Manola worked in conflict analysis and political affairs for the United Nations, International Crisis Group and the European Union)

  219. From comments at

    This will be of benefit to mankind….

    Rising waters, Natural(quasi-man-created) disasters, cataclysmic ELE events are needed for the following reasons:

    1. Earth is getting overcrowded. A little thinning of the population by politically correct means is necessary. The Earth is in dire need to be cleansed of the atrocities of mankind.

    2. Will invoke Darwin’s law of survival of the fittest, promoting selective humans to repopulate the earth responsibly….

    3. Will kill off most of the retards, brain-dead asshats and incredibly stupid people, like the dinosaur. AFAIK, most of Florida was populated by such people. So long, Orange state!

  220. On ZeroHedge, there is some predictions that cyclone Pam will be the initiation or result of strong el nino conditions.

    “The Australian Government Meteorological Office blew my mind surprised me with this comment (Link):
    As a result of severe tropical cyclone Pam in the southern hemisphere, and tropical storm Bavi (category 1 tropical cyclone on the Australian scale) in the northern hemisphere, a strong reversal of the trade winds occurred in the equatorial Pacific just west of the Date Line. This is likely to initiate a downwelling Kelvin Wave and subsequent warming in the ocean sub-surface and potentially surface.

    What does that mean? It means that there is, all of a sudden, a very high probability that an El Nino is right around the corner.
    Consider this chart released today by the Aussies. Note the average of the forecast models goes into the orange (El Nino territory) in April.”

  221. Today’s EEnews carries an interview with a representative of coal-fueled electric co-operatives:
    Climate: Coal-fueled electric co-ops push back on EPA Power Plan
    Aired: Wednesday, March 18, 2015
    What impact will U.S. EPA’s Clean Power Plan have on the country’s coal-dependent electric cooperatives? During today’s OnPoint, Kirk Johnson, senior vice president for government relations at the National Rural Electric Cooperative Association, discusses his organization’s opposition to the rule, citing reliability and affordability concerns.

    By Tossing Empty Red Bull Can Into the Street

    Joey McGreeley, an awkward teenager, singlehandedly pushed the Earth into irreversible climate change by tossing a used Red Bull can into the street. The unwitting young man had finished his final gulp of the energy drink, but was too lazy to walk half a block, and dispose of the empty can in a recycling bin.

    At that moment, Joey brought forth the much-feared global tipping point. The gawky, pimply faced kid provided that crucial piece of trash that set into motion a cataclysmic shift in the planet’s weather system from which we will never recover…[snip. Fair use requires that we don’t post the entire article. Read it all at the link below. ~mod.]

  223. From today’s Guardian!
    Man jailed for trying to set up child sex abuse from south pole
    Simon Rouen told two undercover police officers he wanted to sexually abuse an eight-year-old girl in email exchange

  224. 18 March: CarbonBrief: Sophie Yeo: Why is a disaster risk reduction treaty important for climate change?
    In Japan today, representatives from 186 governments signed a new UN treaty on disaster risk reduction.
    It is the first in a triad of 2015 agreements that will determine how the world deals with development in the face of climate change, inequality and rising urbanisation. This is likely to include the UN’s new Sustainable Development Goals in September, followed by a new climate change agreement in December…
    Since this agreement was signed in 2005, disasters have killed more than 700,000 people, and made 23 million homeless, and caused total economic losses of more than $1.3 trillion, the new treaty points out.
    Not all disasters relate to climate change, though. For instance, some are attributable to, say, earthquakes and volcanic activity. However, a new UN report calculates that 87% of disasters are caused by hazards of the air and oceans, including cyclones, floods, heat waves and storm surges…
    The new UN deal acknowledges that disasters will only get worse as temperatures rise… Within these overarching goals, a number of more specific targets are outlined:
    1.Substantially reduce global disaster mortality by 2030, aiming to lower average per 100,000 global mortality between 2020-2030 compared to 2005-2015
    2.Substantially reduce the number of affected people globally by 2030, aiming to lower the average global figure per 100,000 between 2020-2030 compared to 2005-2015
    3.Reduce direct disaster economic loss in relation to global gross domestic product (GDP) by 2030…etc

    ***Indeed, the new disaster risk deal is intentionally vague about how to tackle climate change as an underlying contributor to disasters – a politically toxic subject, as two decades of fraught UN climate negotiations have demonstrated.
    While the deal stresses the need for coherence with the UN’s climate talks, it is also careful not to step on its toes. So, how can a deal that stops short of talking about curbing climate change effectively talk about reducing risk?…

    Tom Mitchell, head of climate change at the Overseas Development Institute, tells Carbon Brief that he would have liked to see “clearer recognition” of the role of greenhouse gases in driving disaster risk…
    A crucial sticking point is that this depends on governments choosing to implement them. The deal is voluntary, and unlike the UN climate negotiations has not prompted ten billion dollars of cash. Nor is it likely to do so, as quantified financial demands are absent from the final document…

    PDF: 25 pages: 18 March: Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-2030

  225. 18 March: CarbonBrief: Simon Evans/Sophie Yeo: Budget 2015: Key climate and energy announcements
    The government will spend £20 million on seismic surveys in untapped regions of the North sea “to catalyse exploration”. Today’s tax breaks add to those announced last year. The House of Commons library has a detailed explainer on North sea oil taxes available here.
    Friends of the Earth say Osborne had already given tax breaks worth £3 billion in previous budgets. The g