Tips & Notes


Cleaned 04/27/15

1. Be sure to check the front page of WUWT first, we often get duplicate tips here of stories already posted, sometimes days later.

2. Please remember this is not a discussion thread. Tips, notes, and links only please.

3. To put links in comments. simply copy the entire link URL and paste it into the comment. No need for code.

906 thoughts on “Tips & Notes

  1. Anthony
    Why is Cryosphere Today not updating for the last two weeks? Are they preparing us for a surprise adjustment? WUWT. I sent an email last week that hasn’t been answered. Maybe they will answer you.

  2. Is the Global Sea Ice Area Anomaly on holiday? It does not seem to have moved from 0.306 for an extended period. Cheers

    [Yes, the Cryosphere (Univ of Illinois) has not updated its databases nor plots since 11 April. Others (JAXA (Japan) have been down for several months now.) DMI, NANSEN, NSIDC plots are up-to-date. We do not know any reason for the outage. .mod]

  3. So, an intermittent ( only works when the sun shines ) renewable is now making up less than 1 percent of the electricity market today but could be the world’s biggest single source by 2050.

    This means that a backup system of, guess what?, fossil fuels is needed for cloudy days. There is also a big problem with “could be the world’s biggest.” It means that they are making a guess, either educated or wild: or put another way, they just don’t know.

    Fossil Fuels Just Lost the Race Against Renewables

  4. not sure we should be “fighting” climate change, but subscription required to read the following:

    27 April: UK Times: Matt Ridley: Africa needs to be rich—rather than green
    Cheap, coal-fired energy will help the developing world to become healthier, happier and afford to fight climate change.

    according to Carbon Brief:

    Africa needs to be rich-rather than green
    In today’s Times, Matt Ridley, the columnist with declared coal mining interests in Northumberland, argues that allowing sub saharan Africa to profit freely from cheap coal should be a higher moral priority than transitioning to more sustainable, low carbon energy. He says, “those who advocate no support for coal are effectively saying that the adoption of renewable energy is more important than alleviating African poverty.” Matt Ridley, The Times

  5. 27 April: CarbonBrief: Robert McSweeney: Hydrofluorocarbon emissions up 54% with air conditioning on the rise
    But while these machines cool our buildings and cars, they could be having an increasing warming effect on the planet, a new study says…
    And as temperatures and incomes rise during this century, air conditioning use is set to grow rapidly in warm countries around the world, a second study finds…
    The researchers found the largest increases in emissions of HFC-32 and HFC-125, which are increasingly used in air conditioning units, they say.
    In developed countries, emissions rose by 63% and 44% for the two gases, respectively. The same two HFCs have increased by 166% and 100% in developing countries over the same period, Lunt says:
    “Our results show the largest growth in emissions over the last few years is for the two HFCs which are primarily used in air conditioning units, coinciding with the boom in Chinese sales.”
    The most abundant HFC, which makes the biggest contribution to global warmingof all HFCs is HFC-134a. Emissions of this gas rose by 29% in developing countries, which could be a result of rising demand for air conditioning in cars, the researchers say…
    Making projections for Mexico specifically, the study suggests over 70% of households will have air conditioning by the end of the century under a moderate emissions scenario (RCP4.5), compared to 13% now.
    Other developing countries, such as India, China and Nigeria are likely to follow a similar pattern, the researchers say…
    And as the world gets warmer and demand for air conditioning increases, the push to produce more affordable units could mean cheaper, leakier machines and even higher emissions, Lunt warns.
    Lunt, M.F. et al. (2015) Reconciling reported and unreported HFC emissions with atmospheric observations, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, doi/10.1073/pnas.1420247112
    Davis, L.W. and Gertler, P.J. (2015) Contribution of air conditioner adoption to future energy use under global warming, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, doi/10.1073/pnas.1423558112

    let’s call the whole CAGW scam off.

  6. “Leif Svalgaard – Active Region Count: (updated weekly)”

    Do you have any influence over the currency of these charts? They are stuck in 2014.

  7. Why I am a Protestant …
    From the article:
    “I don’t think faith leaders should be scientists,” said Ban, in reply to a question. “What I want is their moral authority.”
    In other words, “Shaddup and play yer role.” BTW, Father Benito Vines, call the Vatican. You shouldn’t be a scientist.

  8. Is there anything that the Magic Molecule(tm) can’t do? Now it is causing a Wet Drought.
    “Wet Drought

    “The drought in California is one of both heat and dryness, as a persistent ridge of high pressure that parked itself over the western U.S. over the past two winters blocked much-needed storms and drove up temperatures to spring and summer levels.

    “Oregon and Washington, on the other hand, are stuck in a seemingly oxymoronic wet drought. The storms that were prevented from hitting California did provide rains to the Pacific Northwest, with winter precipitation in Oregon only about 30 percent below average, not even in the bottom 10 years historically, said Philip Mote, director of the Oregon Climate Service.”

  9. ***Bloomberg still pushes the CAGW rhetoric in the face of reality, and (see Disclosure at bottom) in the face of its own hypocrisy:

    28 April: Bloomberg: Jesse Riseborough: Biggest Coal Exporter Says Climate Change Won’t Strand Assets
    Glencore Plc, the top exporter of coal used in power stations, expects efforts to curb climate change by keeping its fossil-fuel reserves in the ground to fail in the face of world energy demand.
    Shareholders won’t be “prevented from realizing the full value of Glencore’s fossil fuel assets,” Ivan Glasenberg, 58, Glencore’s billionaire chief executive officer, said Tuesday.
    ***His comments are a snub to a growing campaign that wants investors to shun fossil fuels that cause climate change…
    Coal supplies the world with about 30 percent of its main energy needs and more than 40 percent of its electricity, according to the World Coal Association. Global coal output reached a record 7.8 billion metric tons in 2013.
    “Some of our stakeholders are concerned about the future of our fossil fuel reserves; in particular that they may become stranded assets,” Glasenberg said in Glencore’s sustainability report on Tuesday. “We do not believe that the global energy reality will economically support carbon measures that would prevent us from fully utilizing our fossil fuel reserves.”…
    Glencore owns 4.3 billion tons of reserves of coal used for energy and to make steel in Australia, South Africa and Colombia. It produced 146 million tons last year…
    ***Two-thirds of the world’s fossil-fuel reserves must remain unburnt to hold temperature increases below dangerous levels, according to researchers at University College London….
    Disclosure: Peter Grauer, the chairman of Bloomberg LP, the parent of Bloomberg News, is a senior independent non-executive director of Glencore.

  10. has a substantial readership and their bloggers

    Phil Plait, Ps. P. [Pseudo Scientist]


    Eric Holthaus, a former meteorologist

    both preach the histrionic screed according to climate alarmism. has recently taken to circling the wagons and banning anyone who questions their revealed truths.

    I suggest that Plait and Holthaus articles be featured and dissected.

    This would drive the dogma spewing Plait, in particular, nuts.

  11. 28 April: PR Newswire: Project Insight – Power Generation Construction Projects in the Middle East and Africa
    Construction activity in the Middle East and Africa is growing at a rapid pace, underpinned by public and private investment in infrastructure developments, particularly in power generation. This report details the investment in large-scale power generation projects in the region. The analysis centers on the projects tracked by Timetric’s Construction Intelligence Center (CIC). The projects are at various stages of development, from announced to execution, and are in the 10 categories: biomass, coal, gas, geothermal, hydroelectric, nuclear, ocean, oil, solar and wind. The total value of the region’s power generation projects tracked by the CIC stood at US$717 billion in 21 countries as of January 2015, with these projects adding a planned power generation capacity of over 378 GW. The average power yield across all the 508 projects analyzed is 0.53 MW per US$ million…
    ***Download the full report:—power-generation-construction-projects-in-the-middle-east-and-africa-300073516.html

  12. any nod to “renewables” is mere CAGW rhetoric, obviously:

    28 April: Investopoedia: Vanessa Page: Fundamentals Of How China Makes Its Money
    Like most countries looking to develop their economies, China’s first step was to build up its heavy industry. Today, China is the world leader in manufacturing and produces almost half of the world’s steel.
    China’s mining industry extracts coal (3.7 billion tons in 2014), iron ore (345 million tons in 2014), salt (70 million tons in 2012), oil (210 million tons in 2014), gas (1.3 billion cubic meters in 2014), and more gold than South Africa. Because of China’s dependence on coal, the country is moving towards more renewable resources and plans to increase its natural gas use in the coming years. China also has multiple oil reserves, as well as natural gas deposits that have yet to be fully explored.
    The country is also a good candidate for hydroelectricity production, and in 2012, the Three Gorges Dam was completed and is now a major producer of electricity for the southern cities of China (including Shanghai)…
    With China already considered a large polluter and emitter of greenhouse gases, the ***expected increase in coal usage is troubling to some…
    With a service industry of less than 50% and over 20% of its workforce still employed in the farming industry, the country has huge room to grow.

  13. Anthony,
    The ghoulish Newsweek piece about the Nepal earthquake makes me nauseous.
    I beg you to stop directly linking to such pieces. You have a wide reach and by giving them clicks you provide the enemies of reason with prestige and advertising revenue. This will only encourage their disgusting behaviour.

    I know you are a busy man – but if you could run such links through an archiving site and publish an indirect link it would be a great boon. It will also provide a copy held by a 3rd party to verify any changes made to the clickbait garbage.
    Is a quick and easy site I would recommend using (it may take a moment to scrape the page, but the url it will appear at is available immediately). Webcite and waybackmachine are more cumbersome. Others I have looked into sadly do provide the original page with page impressions when the archive link is clicked.

    I hope you consider this.

  14. Anthony, been having issues with the WordPress ads recently. There are a number of ads that have sound on by default, and some that jump-scroll the page to show the advert automatically. I know you do not have control over the ads but you must have some pull with WordPress to let them know those practices are unacceptable.

    If they think those two things are ok, may be time to find a different host!

    I’m assuming these issues are not limited to me. I visit the page every day and have only had this happen today.

  15. 29 April: WaPo Capital Weather Gang: Jason Samenow: “Historically harsh” winter weather slowed U.S. economic growth substantially
    The Department of Commerce reported today that the gross domestic product (GDP) increased at just a 0.2 percent annual rate in the first quarter of 2015 compared 2.2 percent during the final quarter of 2014.
    “The weather impact was evident in weakness in consumer spending,” Reuters reported. “Growth in consumer spending, which accounts for more than two-thirds of U.S. economic activity, slowed to a 1.9 percent rate. That was the slowest in a year and followed a brisk 4.4 percent pace in the fourth quarter.”…
    Much of the highly populated northeastern U.S. had one of its top three coldest first quarters of the year in records dating back to 1895. And Boston experienced its snowiest winter on record, with over 110 inches…
    Interestingly, the White House CEA has observed a trend towards more severe winters over the last 10 years – with weather shaving away an increasing fraction of the GDP. In 2014, the severe winter slashed the GDP by 1.4 percent, the Wall Street Journal reported…

    28 April: Star-Telegram: Monica S. Nagy: Tuesday sets DFW record for lowest high temperature
    OK, that was really cool.
    On Tuesday, the series of weather events continued with a bracingly chilly day. The high temperature at Dallas/Fort Worth Airport reached only 59, and that came in the evening after the sun came out from behind the clouds.
    That set a record for the lowest high temperature for April 28. The previous mark was 61 in 1932…

    Read more here:

  16. NOTE, in particular: ***The final report also removes demands for a phase-out of fossil fuels that appeared in an earlier draft published by the New York Times.

    QUESTION: did CAGW SCEPTICS bring about this change in the document???

    29 April: CarbonBrief: Sophie Yeo: Vatican spells out vision for zero-carbon world
    This was the essence of a declaration (LINK) signed by the attendees of a one-day meeting hosted yesterday by the Holy See…
    Today, these institutions released theirown report (LINK), designed to accompany the declaration and to support a forthcoming encyclical on climate change authored by Pope Francis.
    The report is entitled “Climate change and the common good: a statement of the problem and the demand for transformative solutions”. It was prepared by a selection of high-profile scientists and economists, including Jeffrey Sachs of Columbia University and Hans Joachim Schellnhuber of the Potsdam Institute…
    Zero emissions
    The Pontifical academies join the growing call from campaigners, politicians and scientists alike for emissions to be reduced to zero.
    ***However, the report is unclear on whether carbon emissions should be reduced to “near-zero” or “net-zero” by around 2070, demanding both at different points in the text.The difference is an important one…
    Reducing emissions to nearzero by around 2070 means that the total volume of emissions would have to be cut dramatically, without the help of negative emissions technology. This cuts the fossil fuel industry far less slack, as it means demand for the products is also reduced to near zero.
    While the academies’ text appears to conflate the two, the options are not at all interchangeable…
    Renewable energy
    However, there are hints in the report that the academies are backing the near-zero option.
    The clue is in the authors’ vision of the future energy supply. They call for a shift towards “zero-carbon and low carbon sources and technologies” – a demand echoed by the declaration…
    ***The final report also removes demands for a phase-out of fossil fuels that appeared in an earlier draft published by the New York Times…
    ***The second version removes the idea that continued extraction of coal, oil and gas is impossible in a sustainable future, replacing it instead with the less prescriptive warning on the dangers of ‘business-as-usual’ extraction, but without a calling for a phase-out…

    pdf. 10 pages: 29 April: Climate Change and the Common Good: The Pontifical Academy of Sciences and the Pontifical Academy of Social Sciences

    earlier 12-page version:

    pdf. 12 pages: April 2015: Climate Change and The Common Good: A Statement Of The Problem
    And The Demand For Transformative Solutions

    [Thank you! .mod]

  17. 30 April: ABC: Brian Owler: AMA says climate change is a serious threat to Australians’ health
    (Associate Professor Brian Owler is president of the Australian Medical Association and a Sydney neurosurgeon)
    As the predicted effects of climate change become reality, we need to deal with the massive changes to Australians’ health that will result
    CLIMATE CHANGE IS a significant worldwide threat to human health that requires urgent action. There is overwhelming evidence that the global climate is warming and human factors have contributed to the warming. It is happening gradually, but there is no doubt that it is warming. The AMA supports that evidence.
    As the world continues to warm, there will be significant and sometimes devastating impacts of climate change — particularly for human health.
    Today, along with the president of the highly respected Australian Academy of Science, Professor Andrew Holmes, I launched the Academy’s much-anticipated report — Climate change challenges to health: Risks and opportunities (pdf)…
    Both the AMA and the Academy of Science hope it will be a catalyst for the Federal Government to show leadership in reducing greenhouse gas emissions ahead of the United Nations Climate Change Conference in Paris later this year…
    Policies and institutions must be in place now to ensure that Australia can adapt to the health consequences of climate change — these phenomena are inevitable.
    As the climate warms, and we experience more extreme weather events, we will see the spread of diseases, disrupted supplies of food and water, and threats to livelihoods and security.
    The health effects of climate change include increased frequency of extreme weather events such as heat waves, flooding and storms. In Australia, we are already experiencing weather extremes with prolonged drought and bushfires in some areas, and severe storms and floods in others. Not only can these cause illness and death, but there are significant social impacts as well.
    Climate change will dramatically alter the patterns and rate of spread of diseases, rainfall distribution, availability of drinking water, and drought. International research shows that the incidence of conditions such as malaria, diarrhoea, and cardio-respiratory problems is likely to rise.
    The Academy of Science recommends that Australia establish a National Centre of Disease Control to provide a national and coordinated approach to Australia’s response to climate change…

    30 April: Australian Academy of Science: Climate change will affect vulnerable people’s health most: Academy
    The elderly, the sick, the very young and disadvantaged Australians are most likely to suffer health problems as the climate changes, according to a new report released today by the Australian Academy of Science.
    Climate Change Challenges to Health: Risks and Opportunities has been endorsed by the Australian Medical Association…
    The report and its 22 detailed recommendations are based on discussions between world experts and 60 early- and mid-career researchers at a Think Tank convened by the Academy with support from the Theo Murphy (Australia) Fund in Brisbane last year.

    from the AAS site, u can find this:

    2014 Theo Murphy High Flyers Think Tank: Climate change challenges to health
    23-25 July 2014, Royal on the Park Hotel, Brisbane
    (see Steering committee and Invited Experts + Breakout Groups etc etc)

  18. There is an election coming up here in the UK next week. Next Thursday, a week today.

    Climate Change has not been an issue in the debate. It is only mentioned by the Guardian and the BBC and then the question is why is it not mentioned by the main parties. It’s barely mentioned by the Greens, even.

    Could we have an article from someone who knows about UK politics that explains how the UK has avoided the issue? I believe it’s because all parties across the spectrum agree with the Greens (except UKIP who are silent on the issue as they will have to fold if they want to join a Tory coalition).

    Maybe WUWT could ask for a guest post from Graham Stringer or Peter Lilley or Nigel Lawson… or just Andrew Montford (Bishop Hill) or Paul Staines (Guido Fawkes).

    It would help the readers to know how climate change is unquestioned by all political wings in Europe (at least the UK).

  19. I admit to being somewhat of a masochist, if not an outright ‘D’ier’ Yes, I am enrolled that MOOC class trying to explain ‘the science of d’ial’ I am not certain as to why the opposition feel the need to put us in our place, but so it is. I will pose that question in the Discussion Forum. I have made several observations about – well, shall we call them ‘Alarmists’? Personally, I have had no contact or discussion with Scientologists, but I imagine there are some striking similarities. Perhaps brainwashing is too strong a word, but it is remarkable as to the similarity of responses and reactions when beliefs are challenged. They all seem to have stock answers to questions and comments, even if the ‘answers’ have little to do with the comments. I will give our readership some progress reports as we discover just how anti-social (and of course, anti-science) we really are. Here is to CO2, may it have a long and useful life.

  20. On another point, I am married to very Catholic Colombian woman. We had a conversation last night about global warming, and the Pope. She indicated that the priests here in Colombia are very much against much of the ideology he is trying to promote. They are very conservative about Church doctrine. It seems to me that the Pope is playing with fire with his promotion of global warming. Catholics are as skeptical as anyone else. This encyclical could very well backfire on him, and on the Alarmists.

  21. Another Arctic ‘climate change’ measuring ice thickness research fiasco!

    Polar skiers missing on the Arctic Ice
    “Yesterday Polar adventurers, Marc Cornelissen and Philip de Roo, went missing while doing science research work on the Arctic ice.

    On March 29 they arrived in Resolute Bay in preparation for their ice survey project…”

    “…When the plane arrived, the pilot was unable to land due to the open-water-ice conditions. The dog was found alive next to a sled and a big hole in the ice. No sign of Marc and Philip.

    Soon this news came to us, a search and rescue action was coordinated by the Royal Canadian Mounted Police (RCMP). Due to the white-out weather conditions, a standby helicopter could not leave Resolute. Another search plane left Resolute; on board 4 spotters trained to search on the ice from the air.

    After an extended search flight, the plane spotted again the dog still in the same position. Also two sleds were found. One on the ice, partly unpacked. The other in the open water.

    The plane returned with no more news of Marc and Philip than that the sleds were found and that the open-water-ice conditions are too dangerous for either a helicopter or a plane to land.

    Upon return of the latest search flight, the RCMP after consulting Canadian authorities, decided to start a recovery operation. Marc and Philip are still missing. END

    Route plan
    Marc and Philip had already covered 400 km in their survey to examen the thickness of the ice to determine the impact of climate change.”

    I’d wonder about polar bears, except for the dog.

  22. New research by Timothy Hall:

    The Frequency and Duration of US Hurricane Droughts†
    Accepted manuscript online: 6 April 2015Full publication history
    DOI: 10.1002/2015GL063652View/save citation
    As of the end of the 2014 hurricane season, the US has experienced no major hurricane landfall since Hurricane Wilma in 2005, a drought that currently stands at nine years. Here, we use a stochastic tropical-cyclone model to calculate the mean waiting time for multi-year landfall droughts. We estimate that the mean time to wait for a nine-year drought is 177 years. We also find that the average probability of ending the drought with a major landfall in the next year is 0.39, and is independent of the drought duration, as one would expect for a Bernoulli process.

    A Category 3 storm or greater has not made landfall along the U.S. coastline since Category 5 Hurricane Wilma hit south Florida in October 2005.

    “The longest period with no major hurricanes before this was eight years in the 1860s,” said lead author Timothy Hall, a climatologist at the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies.

    With hurricane data limited, the study published in Geophysical Research Letters analyzed a 63,000-year statistical model based on modern-era hurricane activity, finding a nine-year drought happens once every 177 years.

    “We conclude from that, that the nine years drought is largely dumb luck,” he said.

    • What I find amusing is that when there is a spate of US land-falling hurricanes it’s global warming’s fault. When there is a lull in such land-falling storms it’s just ‘dumb luck’. Heh heh.

  23. This new free-access paper from the Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland uses a 160-year tidal gauge series from 26 stations in the Baltic Sea to show that the (global) sea level is completely governed by multi-decadal oscillations of the lunar cycle -superimposed on a unchanging and slow (1.2 mm/yr) sea level rise during that long period. The upside of studying the Baltic is that the daily tidal difference is very low in this region, which gives data with low noise. The final correlation coefficient with the lunar influence was 0.997, so not much room for AGW there. No wonder they (according to the Danish weekly ‘Weekendavisen’) were turned down by Nature, Nature Geoscience, Nature Climate, and the Nature-affiliated Earth Science Reviews.

    Jens Morten Hansen, Troels Aagaard, and Antoon Kuijpers (2015) Sea-Level Forcing by Synchronization of 56- and 74-Year Oscillations with the Moon’s Nodal Tide on the Northwest European Shelf (Eastern North Sea to Central Baltic Sea). Journal of Coastal Research In-Press.

    They end the paper on this note:

    “If our theory is correct and no unprecedented sea-level
    changing mechanism occurs during the ongoing nodal cycle,
    then the region’s ongoing sea-level rise (quasi-oscillatory rise
    since 1971) would be expected to culminate around 2011 and
    thereafter be falling. At the earliest, this prognosis can be
    empirically documented when the ongoing lunar nodal period
    is complete in 2020–21, i.e. within the next 6–7 years.”

  24. 29 April: The Hill: Timothy Cama: House panel passes bill to delay, weaken EPA climate rule
    The House Energy and Commerce Committee voted Wednesday to delay the Obama administration’s landmark climate rule for power plants and let states opt out of complying with it…
    The panel voted 28-23 to send the bill to the full House for a vote…
    Whitfield called the regulation “a federal takeover of the electric generating and distribution system, which has never occurred before.”
    Under the bill, the rule would not be able to take effect until all court challenges to it have been exhausted…
    Rep. Gene Green (D-Texas) said he has problems with the EPA’s rule, but he could not support the GOP’s bill.
    “I prefer that we sit down and craft a bill that addresses the many challenges we face, not only domestically, but as a world leader,” Green said…

    can find no NYT, WaPo, Guardian, BBC or other MSM coverage, apart from this Bloomberg piece which conerns itself mostly with Democrat & Environmental groups’ outrage!

    30 April: Bloomberg: Andrew Childers: House Committee Moves Bill Allowing States to Opt Out of Clean Power Plan Compliance
    The bill would allow states to defer compliance with the Clean Power Plan (RIN 2060-AR33) until after legal challenges to the rule are exhausted. The bill would also allow state governors to opt out of compliance with the rule if doing so would increase electricity rates or jeopardize reliability…
    Whitfield said his bill is necessary because the EPA typically provides states with three years to develop compliance plans for other Clean Air Act regulations, but states would only have 13 months to develop strategies to comply with the Clean Power Plan.
    “We’re not even trying to repeal this regulation,” Whitfield said. “We’re simply saying it’s so outside the bounds of expectations that we should allow the courts to render a decision before states are put in this position.”
    Allowing states to decide for themselves when to comply with Clean Air Act requirements would set a dangerous precedent that could cripple efforts to reduce air pollution, 88 environmental groups said in an April 28 letter (LINK)…
    Democratic Amendments Defeated ..etc

  25. NOTE: ***Over 95pc of coal reserves in the US, Russia, and the Middle East would be stranded. LOL.

    illustrated by the usual chimney/black smoke night-time pic.

    29 April: Ambrose Evans-Pritchard: G20: fossil fuel fears could hammer global financial system
    Top energy watchdog says two thirds of all assets booked by coal, oil and gas companies may be worthless under the ‘two degree’ climate deal
    World leaders are increasingly concerned that a $6 trillion wave of investment into the nexus of oil, gas, and coal since 2007 is based on false assumptions, leaving companies with an overhang of debt and “stranded assets” that cannot easily be burned under CO2 emission limits.
    The G20 has asked the Financial Stability Board in Basel to convene a public-private inquiry into the fall-out faced by the financial sector as climate rules become much stricter…
    Diplomatic sources have told The Telegraph that the investigation is being pushed by France and is modelled on a review launched by the Bank of England last year…
    The International Energy Agency warns that two thirds of all declared energy reserves become fictional if there is a binding deal limit to C02 levels to 450 particles per million by the year 2100. This amounts to a nominal $28 trillion of stranded assets over the next two decades, according to a study by Kepler Cheuvreux. ..
    ***Over 95pc of coal reserves in the US, Russia, and the Middle East would be stranded. ..
    Rachel Kyte, the World Bank’s vice-president for climate change, said the G20 inquiry aims to find out how much damage a “burst carbon bubble” could do to institutional investors…

    ***climate change a “national security threat”!

    30 April: RTCC: Ed King: US State dept labels climate change “strategic priority”
    Tackling global warming ranks alongside terrorism, promoting economic growth and building open and democratic societies
    Climate change will be one of four foreign policy priorities for the US up to the end of the decade, secretary of state John Kerry announced on Tuesday.
    Unveiling the Quadrennial Diplomacy and Development Review, a key policy document that directs State Department thinking, Kerry said climate and clean energy lay at the heart of future planning…
    ***Branding climate change a “national security threat”, the QDDR recommends countries that have a key role in curbing greenhouse gas emissions and those with influence are targeted by diplomats…
    The review’s launch comes at a ***frenzied time for international climate diplomacy, months before a global climate pact to limit warming is set to be signed off in Paris…
    Last week France foreign minister Laurent Fabius linked migration and conflict to rising temperatures, suggesting it could “stoke conflict over the control of vital and scare resources.”
    On Tuesday the Vatican’s science academy issued a statement urging the world’s 1.2 billion Catholics to play a “decisive role” in mobilising public opinion behind a low carbon future.

  26. dumb and dumber.
    how is it the MSM is able to continue with the “CLIMATE CHANGE DENIER” meme, without feeling embarrassed?

    is there no body anywhere willing to challenge such a ridiculous term, given there’s no-one on earth who denies Climate Change, and quite a few CAGW sceptics even agree with GW or AGW?

    1 May: Brisbane Times: Natalie Bochenski: Climate change deniers sign up to UQ course tackling climate change deniers
    PHOTO CAPTION: John Cook from UQ’s Global Change Institute interviewing Sir David Attenborough for a segment in their ‘Making Sense of Climate Change Denial’ course. Photo: Supplied
    Co-ordinator and climate communication research fellow John Cook said they were thrilled with the enrolment numbers, which included students from 152 countries.
    Mr Cook said organisers were not surprised that a few dozen climate change deniers had enrolled and were trying to discredit the course from the inside.
    “It is ironic and somewhat precursive, because we’re explaining the techniques of denial, and then when our course is being attacked or I’m being questioned, all those same techniques are on display,” he said.
    “It’s happening in the forums of the course right now, we’re seeing a small minority of the students who reject the science posting their arguments against it.”
    Mr Cook said the bulk of students were enjoying the first week of course material.
    ***”We have a really powerful video of climate scientists talking about the persistent harassment they receive, the emails, the complaints to their universities, freedom of information requests for their personal details,” he said.
    “Just sharing those experiences was quite eye-opening for a number of students.”…

  27. another inconvenient CAGW story that NYT, WaPo, Guardian, Fairfax, ABC don’t seem to be in a rush to publish!

    is Australia in or out? conflicting stories.

    30 April: Reuters: US and Japan miss deadline on cash for UN green climate fund
    By Alister Doyle and Megan Rowling
    The United States and Japan will miss a U.N. deadline on Thursday to firm up promises to provide billions of dollars for a new U.N. fund intended to help developing nations tackle global warming, the fund said.
    The Green Climate Fund (GCF), which wants to decide on a first set of projects to aid developing nations before a Paris U.N. climate summit in December, said donors had signed deals of almost $4 billion, 42 percent of a total promised in late 2014
    The signed deals, which lay out a firm timetable for when promised money will be paid, are below the minimum level set by donors, of 50 percent of the total by April 30, to start full operations by the GCF…
    Top donors the United States, which promised $3 billion, and Japan, on $1.5 billion, were not among nations that have signed deals, according to a GCF overview. Cheikhrouhou (Hela Cheikhrouhou, executive director of the Fund) said no new deals were expected later on Thursday…
    It has not ruled out funding fossil fuels, if they help towards cleaner energy use.
    The Fund raised $9.35 billion at a pledging conference in November but new cash promised since then, including by Australia, has raised the pledged total to $10.2 billion…
    Separately, Cheikhrouhou told Reuters that the fund was “an essential ingredient of a successful agreement” in Paris…
    ***Cheikhrouhou said emerging economies needed to invest about $2.5 trillion a year in sectors such as energy, transport, agriculture and industry and an extra $450 billion to ensure they were green.

    30 April: RTCC: Ed King: US, Japan and Canada miss Green Climate Fund donation deadline
    Officials say Paris climate deal depends on effective GCF, but without cash warn they cannot invest in developing countries
    The head of the UN’s flagship Green bank has warned it cannot start work as planned because leading backers including the US, Canada and Australia have not delivered funds.An April 30 deadline for governments to send contributions passed with the Green Climate Fund (GCF) several hundred million short of a US$4.7 billion target…
    This means it will have to delay plans to back green energy projects in developing countries ahead of this year’s UN climate summit in Paris…
    The analysis published today by the GCF reveals the US is overdue on $1.5bn, Japan $750m and Canada $130m…
    Janet Redman from the Institute of Policy Studies called for the US government to speed up its delivery, accusing lawmakers on Capitol Hill of favouring fossil fuels over green energy…
    Wind, solar and energy efficiency projects are likely to dominate the fund’s early investments, but no decision has been taken on ruling out fossil fuel projects, to the anger of Green NGOs…

  28. Sad end for Marc Cornellisen and Philip de Roo who are now presumed drowned. Their last post on the Coldfacts site is tragically ironic.
    “We heard that the winter was unusual cold, but nevertheless the amount of open water is rather unusual too. It shows that ice conditions and temperatures don’t always necessarily correlate. An explanation can be that strong northerly winds have been pushing the floating ice causing it to crack and open up”.

    [true – It appears they are either in deep trouble (bears? sea ice, fall or submergence into water? climbing accident?) or have perished. .mod]

    • I bought the book on Amazon for Kindle. It looks like an interesting read, but it is still behind a couple of other books I need to read here soon.

  29. u have to admire the precision:

    1 May: CTV: AP: Seth Borenstein: Global warming to push 1 in 13 species to extinction: study
    It won’t quite be as bad in North America, where only 1 in 20 species will be killed off because of climate change or Europe where the extinction rate is nearly as small. But in South America, that forecasted heat-caused extinction rate soars to 23 percent, the worst for any continent, according to a new study published Thursday in the journal Science…
    University of Connecticut ecologist Mark Urban compiled and analyzed 131 peer-reviewed studies on species that used various types of computer simulations and found a general average extinction rate for the globe: 7.9 percent. That’s an average for all species, all regions, taking into consideration various assumptions about future emission trends of man-made greenhouse gases. The extinction rate calculation doesn’t mean all of those species will be gone; some will just be on an irreversible decline, dwindling toward oblivion, he said…
    Urban’s figures are probably underestimating the real rate of species loss a little, said scientists not affiliated with the research. That’s because Urban only looks at temperature, not other factors like fire or interaction with other animals, and more studies have been done in North America and Europe, where rates are lower, said outside biologists Stuart Pimm of Duke University and Terry Root of Stanford University…
    A separate study in the same journal looked at 23 million years of marine fossils to determine which water animals have the biggest extinction risk and where. Marine mammals, such as whales, dolphins and seals, have the highest risk. The Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, western Indian Ocean and Pacific Ocean between Australia and Japan are hotspots for potential extinction, especially those caused by human factors, the study said.

  30. Thanks for the chance to discuss the UK election. Seems no-one was that interested. Sorry.
    BTW. Your copyright notice seems out of date.

    Copyright Notice
    Material on this website is copyright © 2006-2014,

  31. There is an interesting article on the blog “Strategy Page” dealing with the use of the internet to influence public opinion. Although it does not mention “global warming”, it describes the methodology. The term “viral marketing” is introduced. It describes paid individuals that rebut any information not approved by their employers. The URL is

  32. Earth Day 2015 came and went. Didn’t see any press about turnouts. No news reports of large crowds anywhere. Did I miss something, did it really dud out that badly this year? That in itself should be commented upon.

  33. I see Tesla has a new home battery out for power at home:

    I hope you guys are going to do a post about it. When I first saw the proposed size of the battery in question, I started laughing. It costs out in a range of $3,500 – 7,000 depending upon the size (10kWh or 20kWh). The article I’ve linked to says that given the probable efficiency of the 10kWh battery (92%, which I think is a high estimate), you might get as much as three hours of power on it. And it doesn’t even come with an AC/DC converter! You’d have to get that somewhere else. I think this is a big scam. Elon Musk needs to do something else legitimate and really profitable so he can invest in something that actually works like the electric power we all use now.

  34. 2 May: Daily Mail: Steve Doughty: Church of England Bishop provokes anger by saying the biggest moral issue affecting the world is…CLIMATE CHANGE
    Rev Nicholas Holtam says climate change is world’s most urgent problem
    Championing of global warming provoked protests from Church members
    Critics say the CofE’s moral compass ‘has gone awry’ in light of comments
    Andrea Minichiello Williams, a member of the CofE’s general synod, said issues such as extremism, divorce and persecution should not be overlooked.
    ‘No one in this country understands what the Church is saying any more,’ she said. ‘The bishops don’t talk about Christianity.
    ‘They sound like the secular world speaking.’
    Ruth Lea, an Anglican churchgoer and economist for the Arbuthnot Banking Group, said the sell-off was pointless. ‘It is a political gesture of trivial environmental impact,’ she added.
    ‘The CofE’s moral compass has gone awry. Have they noticed what is happening in the Middle East, in Syria, or over migration in the Mediterranean?.
    ***’The idea that climate change is the most pressing moral issue is just bizarre.’…
    It was his second pronouncement on climate change within a day. Earlier, in response to a Vatican paper on the subject, he said that ‘the world’s poor suffer the most severe consequences of climate change, a problem to which they contribute little.’
    He added: ‘Our fossil fuel use is equivalent to releasing the energy of 400,000 Hiroshimas into the atmosphere every day. It is simply not credible that we can introduce an externality of that scale into the atmospheric and oceanic systems that make life on earth possible without seeing serious consequences.’

    nothing to do with religion, of course:

    1 May: Daily Mail: PA: Church in fossil fuels exodus
    Tom Joy, director of investments at the Church Commissioners, said the church wants to be “at the forefront of institutional investors seeking to address the challenge of energy transition”…

  35. LOL. doing the “moral” thing, sort of, fractionally speaking:

    1 May: BBC: Church of England to sell fossil fuel investments
    It will sell investments worth £12m in firms where more than 10% of revenue comes from extracting thermal coal or the production of oil from tar sands.
    The Church said it had a “moral responsibility” to act on environmental issues to protect the poor, who were the most vulnerable to climate change.
    The Church manages three investment funds worth about £8bn…
    This is but a ***fraction of its total investment portfolio and some are already calling for the church to go further by divesting from all fossil fuels. But the church takes the view that engaging with fossil fuel companies is productive for other forms of energy, such as oil and gas, which may be needed as the world moves towards a low-carbon economy…
    The Church of England does not ***directly invest in tobacco, pornography or payday lenders.
    Two years ago, it emerged that the Church had indirectly invested in Wonga (Payday Loans) – which the Archbishop of Canterbury, Justin Welby, admitted to being “embarrassed and irritated” about. It has since ended that investment.

    following illustrated by a scary chimney black smoke pic:

    1 May: UK Independent: Hazel Sheffield: Church of England pulls out of fossil fuels, but where does it invest its cash?
    That’s right – the church is a business, and business is not all that bad. It takes £1 billion a year, most of it in collection from worshippers. Over £160 million comes from the Church Commissioners who manage assets of £6.1 billion, achieving a staggering 15.7 per cent return in 2013, according to the last data available.
    Two years ago the Church came under fire because one of its investment portfolios included the payday lender Wonga. It’s cleaned up its act, promising no ***direct investment in tobacco, military supplies, guns, gambling, alcohol, pornography and human cloning.
    So where do those 15.7 per cent returns come from?..
    The stock market and other investments account for most of the Church’s investments. It picks big companies like Shell, BP, Vodaphone and GlaxoSmithKline, as well as investing in UK government bonds…etc

  36. 1 May: Guardian: Adam Vaughan: Church of England ends investments in heavily polluting fossil fuels
    Move by church’s £9bn fund to divest £12m from tar sands oil and thermal coal reflects more interventionist stance and sets lead for other institutional investors
    Bill McKibben, a prominent environmentalist who has previously chastised the CoE for dragging its feet and not heeding calls by the Anglican archbishop emeritus Desmond Tutu that organisations divest, applauded the new policy.
    “This is the first great turnaround in the divestment fight, an institution which initially refused to move and then, in good Christian fashion, saw the light. “Much credit to the CoE – they’re studying the signs of the times, as the good book says, and starting to show their concern for the poorest and most vulnerable parts of humanity and of creation,” he said…


    30 April: WaPo: Chris Mooney: Pope Francis has given the climate movement just what it needed — faith
    This week — and it still feels strange to write this — the major climate change news story came out of the Vatican…
    All of this is enough to make environmentalists, members of a traditionally secular movement, nearly rhapsodic. After a history of being rather too technocratic and wonky, there seems to be a growing realization in green circles about the importance of an alliance with the world of faith.
    This has been a long time coming…
    Books have been written about it, and one of its major spokespeople — Katharine Hayhoe, an evangelical climate scientist at Texas Tech University — was named one of Time magazine’s 100 most influential people last year.
    And then there’s the 2014 biblical epic film “Noah,” whose director, Darren Aronofsky, called its subject the “first environmentalist.” It grossed more than $300 million worldwide with a message about the relationship between faith and saving the planet…
    Despite all that, having Francis on board takes it all to a much higher level (pun intended). The reason, as David Roberts of Vox has written, is that it makes the climate debate moral, not scientific or technocratic. And when issues are moralized, people feel before they think and refuse to compromise. It may not be what we strictly call “rational,” but it is politically powerful…
    Obama II on climate change, though, has often adopted a moral framing, making sure to talk about “our children,” our “grandchildren” and “future generations.”…
    Why have environmentalists (and their scientific allies) been so focused on talking about policies like cap-and-trade, on tracking emissions targets and parts per million, rather than moralizing the issue?
    Here, I think we need to turn to the research of social scientist Jonathan Haidt of New York University, famed for his insights about the different moral triggers and motivations of liberals and conservatives…
    The moral emotion that is probably most relevant to the environment is what Haidt would call the “care/harm” foundation, and what many of us would simply call compassion or empathy. Recent research suggests that this emotion drives people toward environmental causes. There seems to be a deep connection between caring about other humans and then extending that to nature…
    Another part of the moral message, as Yale Divinity School professor Teresa Berger told me recently, may involve “the pope condemning sins of exploiting the Earth.”…
    They know this is the most powerful chance in a long time to make people care, and to create political will.

  38. back in the real world, not a hint of religion:

    30 April: Reuters: Barbara Lewis: EU carbon talks next week could clinch reform deal
    (Additional reporting by Susanna Twidale in London, editing by David Evans)
    European Union talks next week could clinch a deal to shake up the world’s biggest carbon market after a change of position by the Czech Republic removed a major obstacle to an early start for reforms.
    The EU Emissions Trading System (ETS) is meant to be central to efforts to cut carbon emissions, but a huge surplus of carbon allowances caused by recession means they are not worth enough to drive a switch from highly-polluting coal to greener fuels.
    Negotiations between the European Commission, the European Parliament and member states on Tuesday will aim to agree the legal text on when to launch a Market Stability Reserve (MSR) to hold some of the surplus permits in reserve.
    Diplomats said it was possible the talks could deliver a final deal, although another round was scheduled for May 26…
    After the Czech Republic changed position, member states agreed on a start date of Jan. 1, 2019, according to a text of Wednesday’s deal seen by Reuters, while the European Parliament had said the MSR should already be operating by Dec. 31, 2018…
    “It’s all on the table. The major parts of the deal are struck,” Marcus Ferdinand, an analyst at Thomson Reuters Point Carbon, said…
    On Thursday, prices hit a two-month high of 7.64 euros ($8.53…

    1 May: HuffPo: President Obama Must Confront His Own Climate Denial
    by Kassie Siegel, Director, Center for Biological Diversity’s Climate Law Institute
    Even as President Obama rightly deplores global warming’s threats to human well-being and our planet’s web of life, his administration is opening up more public lands for dirty fossil fuel production and weakening international efforts to cut planet-warming pollution.
    President Obama pushed every country going to this year’s Paris climate talks to propose a greenhouse gas reduction goal. But then the president himself announced a weak national plan that scientists say just won’t reduce our pollution enough to help prevent catastrophic warming.
    Under the Obama national plan, America would still be spewing at least 5 billion metric tons of greenhouse gas pollution a year by 2025 — far more than entire continent of Africa emits now. And to make matters worse, the plan is just a goal, not the enforceable commitment that we need…
    Hundreds of thousands of acres of federal land have been leased for coal mining. Onshore oil production on public and tribal lands has increased more than 80 percent since 2008, according to Interior Secretary Sally Jewell. Ninety percent of new wells on federal land are now fracked.
    The administration even allocated 810,000 acres of U.S. public land for oil shale and tar sands leasing in the Colorado River Basin — a grave blow to the climate, since these are among the dirtiest, most carbon-intensive fuels on earth.
    Our oceans are also fair game. Secretary Jewell recently pledged to open “vast areas” of the ocean to oil drilling. She has put Arctic drilling back on the table, backed oil exploration along the Atlantic coast, and is opening up tens of millions of acres in the Gulf of Mexico for new drilling and offshore fracking…

  39. 27 April: EcoSystemMarketPlace: Kay Sater: New Credit Card Aims To Spur Individual Carbon Offset Purchases
    Would you like some carbon offsets with those fries?
    It may seem like a silly question, but if Sustain:Green has its way, some of the money generated from the purchases made by its customers – even French fries – will find its way into the voluntary carbon markets…
    Sustain:Green CEO Arthur Newman previously worked on Wall Street and focused on the cap-and-trade market in the United States and the use of carbon offsets to offset carbon footprints as a former partner for Carbon Capital Advisors. He cites this experience working with large organizations in the carbon market as inspiration for the development of the credit card…
    He notes that offsets have not been marketed to consumers in a successful manner.
    “Some airlines offered offsets after you purchased a plane ticket, but we feel that in a price sensitive purchasing transaction like airline tickets, this the wrong time to be asking a consumer to spend more money,” he said.
    Additionally, the ability to purchase offsets from different companies based on different verification standards can be confusing to those not well-versed in the nuances of carbon offsets. Questions about transparency and what was being purchased may have also stymied the market…
    While offsets aren’t free for Sustain:Green, they have gone as far as they can to make purchasing offsets free for its customers. “The difference with the Sustain:Green card is that we are giving these offsets away for free as a reward,” Newman said “People are not charged additionally for them, and there is no annual fee for having the card. Additionally, the rewards are automatically tied to spending.”
    To do this, the card, which is financially backed by Commerce Bank, offers what works out to be the equivalent of 2.7% cash back on purchases, not including the 5,000 pounds that users receive upon the first purchase. But instead of consumers receiving cash back to purchase individual offsets, the money will be used by Sustain:Green to purchase offsets through the American Carbon Registry (ACR). ACR is a nonprofit enterprise of Winrock International focused on developing carbon offset standards and methodologies, and also serving as a clearing house to register, verify, and oversee offsets projects, and issue offsets from projects…
    As more consumers sign up for and start using the card, Sustain:Green will “fill up a ‘bucket’ of money to provide seed funding to get projects going.” Once the bucket is full enough, Winrock International and ACR will suggest projects for Sustain:Green to invest in. Cardholders will also be allowed to suggest projects that will be vetted by ACR, and then all the information will be put up on the Sustain:Green website and cardholders will be able to vote for projects they want to fund.
    The card has the other added environmental benefit of being biodegradable…
    The new card is marketed as biodegradable, but compostable may be a better term. “It takes about six months to biodegrade, and just has to come into contact with soil bacteria, all you have to do is cut it up and bury in the dirt,” he (Newman) said…
    Sustain:Green partnered with Mata no Peito, a coalition initiative to support organizations and communities to protect and replant forests throughout Brazil. Mata no Peito is funded through the retirement of Nike carbon offsets, the originators of the project…


    The announcement of its two domestic-scale lithium batteries, rated at 7kWh and 10kWh of energy storage was widely trailed.

    But what no one expected was the price – which came in at a half to a quarter of market expectations: “Tesla’s selling price to installers is $3,500 for 10kWh and $3,000 for 7kWh. (Price excludes inverter and installation.) Deliveries begin in late Summer.”

    And according to energy analyst Arnie Gundersen of Fairewinds Energy Education, that equates to a life-cycle cost of about $0,02 per kWh stored and released, or a little over 1p in UK money.

    And that is transformational. With grid power prices typically 14p / kWh in the UK, or $0.12 in the US, it’s just a fraction of the cost of buying power in – for the first making it economic for small scale generators to ‘save and re-use’ their power surpluses.

  41. Freeman Dyson is interviewed about his new book on NPR (gasp !)

    From the transcript:

    “On his global warming skepticism

    What I would like to emphasize is that human actions have very large effects on the ecology, which have nothing to do with the climate. Carbon dioxide is what we’re producing in big quantities and putting into the atmosphere. This happens to be a very good fertilizer for all kinds of vegetation, good for wildlife, good for agricultural production, so it has many benefits. And this is something you have together with the climate effects, which are much less certain, so it’s a question of drawing a balance. I’m just saying I don’t understand it and neither does anybody else. I’m skeptical because I don’t think the science is at all clear, and unfortunately a lot of the experts really believe they understand it, and maybe have the wrong answer.

    Of course [the weather] concerns me, but of course, we don’t know much about the causes of those things. We don’t even know for sure whether it is more variable than it used to be. I mean the worst disasters were the Ice Ages, and nobody really understands for sure the causes of Ice Ages, so I’m not saying the climate disasters aren’t real, I’m merely saying we don’t know how to prevent them.

    On his recommendations for change

    I would say one of the first things we should try to do is to get rid of poverty, human poverty. When people are poor, they can’t take care of nature around them. They just have to survive as best they can, so that some of the poorest people are actually the most destructive. So I would say if you can deal with poverty, that’s something very positive, which we should be doing. Also preservation of habitat, of wildlife, all sorts of problems we have to deal with, of which climate is one, and I would say climate is not the most urgent….”

  42. Story on R Pahauri, formerly of the IPCC, form Rueters on Feb 27.

    “Indian police are investigating the complaint by the researcher, who has accused Pachauri of harassing her since 2013 via email, Whatsapp and text messaging. Her lawyers say Pachauri persisted despite her requests that he stop.

    His lawyers have said his computer and mobile phone were hacked and that vested interests were maligning him because of his outspoken stand on global warming.”

    Its those darn denialists! The same defense that Weiner guy in New York tried when he was caught sexting. Your only defense when you use devices that record to communicate is “I was hacked”. I remember a classic quote from Ray Malivasi, Rams football coach back in the late 70s and early 80s. A reporter asked him about a past quote of his, and Malavasi denied ever saying it. The reporter told him “Ray, we have you on tape saying that”. And Malavasi replied angrily “I don’t care what it says on the tape, I DIDN’T SAY IT!” Poor Ray didn’t have evil global warming denialists to blame for the tape.

  43. 29 April: Brookings Institute: The future of arms control, Internet governance, and geoengineering
    On May 4 through May 6, the Project on International Order and Strategy at Brookings and the Global Public Policy Institute (GPPi) of Berlin will formally release three “Global Governance Futures 2025” research papers. Written by the 2015 Global Governance Futures (GGF) fellows, the 2015 papers focus on issues of global arms control, geo-engineering, and Internet governance.
    Managed by the Global Public Policy Institute and supported by the Robert Bosch Stiftung, the Global Governance Futures program brings together young professionals from Germany, China, Japan, India and the United States each year to look ahead to future policy issues and propose recommendations for addressing a variety of global challenges. The fellows met four times over the course of 2014 and 2015 in working sessions a series of four sessions, entitled Global Governance Futures—Robert Bosch Foundation Multilateral Dialogues held around the globe…
    Read this year’s GGF research papers:…
    Human Intervention in the Earth’s Climate: The Governance of Geoengineering in 2025+ (LINK)
    By Masahiko Haraguchi, Rongkun Liu, Jaseep Randhawa, Susanne Salz, Stefan Schäfer, Mudit Sharma, Susan Shifflett and Ying Yuan (Members of the GGF working group on geoengineering governance)…

    read all, for speakers, panelists, etc:

    Global Public Policy Institute: Global Governance Futures 2025: The Future of Geoengineering Governance
    The report focuses on the geoengineering technique of solar radiation management (SRM), which aims to reflect sunlight away from the earth. Although SRM is still in its infancy and may take decades to research, develop and deploy, it is precisely this early stage of development that offers a critical window of opportunity for developing collaborative and inclusive approaches to effective global governance of SRM.
    In a public event on 5 May 2015, the GGF fellows of the Geoengineering Governance Working Group will present their new report at the Brookings Institution in Washington, DC, and discuss their results with three experts: David Goldston, Nathan Hultman and Simon Nicholson.
    Where: Brookings (Stein Room) Washington DC.
    ***The presentation will be held under the Chatham House Rule.

  44. For Facebook posts, resize graphics to about 3.5″ x 2.5″ to be able to see the complete image. (The file size also has a limit, not sure what it is.) The “Silencing Skeptics” image doesn’t display right.

  45. The Space and Science Research Corporation

    Thursday, April 30, 2015 Press Release 2-2015
    9:00 AM EDT

    New Cold Climate to Devastate
    Global Agriculture within Ten Years

    The Space and Science Research Corporation (SSRC) announces today that the predicted new cold climate will soon begin to end the historic era of growth in US and global agricultural output that began after the end of World War II. Specifically, as a result of recent events on the Sun and changes in the Earth’s climate, the SSRC again warns that record crop yields and volume in the US and Canadian corn, wheat, and soybean belts are about to end. The SSRC expects the first substantial damage could be observed at any time but certainly within the next ten years.

  46. Ex-US Rep. Inglis gets JFK courage award for climate stance
    BOSTON (AP) — Former U.S. Rep. Bob Inglis received the John F. Kennedy Profile in Courage Award on Sunday for reversing his position on climate change despite the predictable political fallout that helped cost the South Carolina Republican his seat in Congress.
    Kennedy’s grandson, Jack Schlossberg, presented the award to Inglis on Sunday at the JFK Library in Boston.

    Presumably the Nobel Prize wasn’t available.

  47. ***seven Australian Goverrnment(?) at the altar of the UN!!!

    4 May: Guardian: Oliver Milman: UN climate chief says the science is clear: there is no space for new coal
    Christiana Figueres says Australia needs a national consensus to achieve maximum effort in fight to avoid dangerous climate change
    The UN climate chief, Christiana Figueres, has said there was “no space” for new coal developments and stressed the benefits of ambitious renewable energy targets after a meeting with representatives from ***seven Australian governments…
    The meeting was attended by the environment ministers of the Labor-run states and territories – Victoria, South Australia, Queensland and the ACT. The federal government, Tasmanian and New South Wales governments were represented at “senior official level”, and Western Australia and the Northern Territory were absent…
    “States and territories are a lot closer to citizens than the federal government and perhaps they are reflecting more the concerns about climate change and the opportunities that are there.”…
    Figueres would not comment directly on the lengthy political impasse over the federal renewable energy target (RET) but said: “In general, the higher the renewable energy target, it does attract investment. If there’s anything that’s growing in recent years in Australia, it’s renewable energy investment. It’s a positive factor to have an ambitious renewable energy target.”…

    comedy gold from Figueres & the Guardian.

    reality bites:

    4 May: SMH: Peter Hannam/Tom Arup: Brown coal extends rebound, pushing up power sector emissions: Pitt & Sherry
    Brown coal’s share of the main national electricity grid has surged to its highest level since September 2012, increasing the sector’s greenhouse gas emissions, energy consultants Pitt & Sherry say.
    The fresh data came as climate change ministers from around the country met in Adelaide on Monday to discuss how state governments might co-operate on emissions.
    Coal-fired power plants accounted for just under 75 per cent of the supply to the National Electricity Market (NEM) in April, and brown coal – with its higher emissions – accounted for almost 24 percentage points of that total…
    The meeting was also addressed by the head of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, Christiana Figueres, who is visiting Australia.
    The communique said Ms Figueres told the meeting “Australia needs to work fundamentally as a national to tackle climate change.”..
    She also stressed the science was clear and there was no space for new coal or unmitigated coal because of its high carbon content…–sherry-20150504-1mchww.html

  48. “A new era has entered” says Mr. Winter…er Winther:

    4 May: BBC: David Shukman: Climate drives ‘new era’ in Arctic Ocean
    Changes in the Arctic Ocean are so profound that the region is entering what amounts to “a new era”, according to Norwegian scientists.
    A switch from a permanent cover of thick ice to a new state where thinner ice vanishes in the summer will have far-reaching implications, they say.
    The Norwegian Polar Institute has been mounting an expedition to the Arctic Ocean during the year’s coldest months.
    Scientists have to brave extreme temperatures and total darkness…
    (Director of the institute, Jan-Gunnar Winther): “A new era has entered, we are going from old ice to young ice, thinner ice and the climate models used today have not captured this new regime or ice situation.
    “So knowing how it is today can improve climate models which again improve the projection for global climate change.”…
    Another threat is from polar bears, and one approached the ship while we were on board.
    In the darkness of the polar winter, Dr Jennifer King was in a small group working under the Lance’s floodlights when a bear guard suddenly spotted one of the animals emerging into the light.
    “It was 25m away, standing up on ridge looking at us, looking like a majestic king of the Arctic – it was very beautiful but the heart stops.”
    The bear was scared away with flare guns…
    The expedition, known as the Norwegian Young Sea ICE cruise, can be followed at

  49. unsurprisingly, nothing population control and addressing climate change can’t fix. lol.

    4 May: WaPo: Horribly bleak study sees ‘empty landscape’ as large herbivores vanish at startling rate
    By Fred Barbash and Justin Wm. Moyer
    “Growing human populations, unsustainable hunting, high densities of livestock, and habitat loss have devastating consequences for large, long-live, slow-breeding, and, therefore, vulnerable herbivore species,” reads “Collapse of the world’s largest herbivores” in “Science Advances,” a publication of the American Association for the Advancement of Science…
    “The main threats … are hunting, competition with livestock and land-use change such as habitat loss, human encroachment, cultivation and deforestation,” the researchers found, noting that “extensive overhunting for meat across much of the developing world is likely the most important factor.”…
    ***The solution to these many problems? Oh, nothing big: lowering human birth rates, improving opportunities for young women, eating less meat, ending poaching, better managing protected areas and addressing climate change…
    “The world’s wealthier populations will need to provide the resources essential for ensuring the preservation of our global natural heritage of large herbivores. A sense of justice and development is essential to ensure that local populations can benefit fairly from large herbivore protection and thereby have a vested interest in it.”

  50. Here is an interesting post on the problem of determining the extent of sea ice this time of year. Apparently last year, GPS transmitters were showing them walking on water, clearly indicating that the algorithms that determine ice extent have a problem with melt water sitting on ice. This has been noted many times in the past but it is interesting given that Cryosphere has not been updating and posters have been wondering if they are working on their algorithm. It will be interesting to see if they are. It seems the current algorithms underestimate the amount of ice this time of year. I wonder what happened to the “bump” we used to see twice per year in the graphs when they change the algorithm?

    Wayne Delbeke

  51. “Nanoflares” superheat sun’s corona
    “New research by NASA, Rice Univ. and the Univ. of Glasgow details the first solid evidence of why the sun’s atmosphere is 300 times hotter than its 10,340 F surface.

    The answer, according to Rice astrophysicist Stephen Bradshaw and his colleagues, involves intermittent “nanoflares,” bursts of hot plasma in the corona that have a billion times less energy than regular flares but still reach temperatures of 18 million degrees Fahrenheit.

    Despite being tiny by solar standards, each nanoflare “packs the wallop of a 10-megaton hydrogen bomb,” said principal investigator Jim Klimchuk, a solar scientist at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center in Maryland. “Millions of them are going off every second across the sun, and collectively they heat the corona.””

  52. I have been since January on permanent moderation – no indication why. But lately this has advanced to “enhanced moderation”. My posts go straight to spam. Can this be fixed? Does it go on indefinitely?

    [noted. .mod]

  53. Hey, Anthony, just a heads up. I am a chemical engineering student at the University of Adelaide. Loading your page takes a few seconds wherever I am in Adelaide…..except at the University of Adelaide, when trying to access your site from any of the North Terrace campus computers I easily wait up to 10-15 minutes before the site has loaded, individual posts take another 10-15 minutes to load. Yours is the only website this has and is happening with so far.

  54. Remember this guy?

    This Man Plans to Spend a Year Living in a Giant Ball on an Iceberg

    For Italian explorer Alex Bellini, the next big feat is living for a year inside an orb that resembles a giant hamster ball, on top of a drifting iceberg.
    Bellini’s pod will be decked out with solar panels, wifi, a foldable bed and a stationary excercise bicycle. The biggest challenges may be the extended periods of solitude he will face—but he plans to open his home to bloggers, writers and environmentalists to accompany him for short stints.

  55. such a promising headline! but, as with all things CAGW, not quite what it seems:

    4 May: The Conversation: A call for greater diversity of thought in environmental studies courses
    by Matthew Nesbit, Associate Professor of Communication at Northeastern University
    Disclosure: Matthew Nisbet’s research on climate change politics and communication has been funded by the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation, Nathan Cummings Foundation, and MacArthur Foundation. He has worked with a diversity of environmental organizations and groups including the Breakthrough Institute which is mentioned in this column.
    Motivated by her experience, in the recent study, Ho and Eric Kennedy (a doctoral student at Arizona State University) analyzed 22 syllabi from introductory environmental studies courses taught at top-ranked North American research universities and liberal arts colleges. They recorded course descriptions, objectives, activities, and readings according to specific themes, topics, and perspectives.
    Of the 22 syllabi assessed, less than half explicitly mentioned the importance of critical thinking or exposing students to competing perspectives. Only 10 made any reference to the fact that even among those advocating for action to address a problem like climate change, there are competing narratives about the major societal challenges, the possible technological solutions, and the political strategies needed…
    ***To more formally assess the diversity of perspectives offered about climate change, Kennedy and Ho applied a typology that I developed in a 2014 paper categorizing key differences among three distinct groups of public intellectuals arguing for action on the issue (see table, below)…
    ***Kennedy and Ho are clear that they are not recommending that environmental studies courses “teach false or manufactured controversies (ie, climate change denial) nor abdicate a responsibility to study and articulate concerns about environmental impacts.”
    Instead, their analysis underscores why environmental studies courses should explicitly “acknowledge the existence of diverse perspectives on environmental issues, and balance perspectives and discourses with critical counterpoints.” This should include teaching about “the use and misuse of science in political debates not only in the context of climate denial, but also as it applies to evaluating possible strategies or energy options.”

    i couldn’t read the third goup in Nisbet’s graph til i clicked on his link “2014 paper”. however, Gore, Sachs & Stern are in his second group described as “Smart Growth Reformers”! so wasn’t suprised when i discovered the names in group 3:

    The third group, Ecomodernists, argue for embracing the power of human ingenuity and creativity to manage the risks of climate change…
    Examples of contemporary public intellectuals writing in this tradition include U.S. entrepreneur and author Stewart Brand, Kings College London (UK) scientist Mike Hulme, University of Colorado-Boulder (U.S.) political scientist Roger Pielke Jr, Oxford University (UK) anthropologist Steve Rayner, Breakthrough Institute (U.S.) cofounders Ted Nordhaus and Michael Shellenberger, and The New York Times’ (U.S.) environmental writer ***Andrew Revkin.

    The good Bish (Adrew Montford) and ***Andrew Revkin pop up in the comments, with Montford being duly insulted, of course.

  56. what a woman:

    5 May: Womensagenda: Meet the woman leading the charge on solving climate change
    By Lucia Osborne-Crowley
    A large Sydney audience will tonight hear from the woman leading the charge on solving one of the world’s most pressing issues – climate change.
    Decorated diplomat, speaker, climate change expert and executive secretary of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, Christiana Figueres will speak about the problems the global community faces in relation to climate change and the role women can play in the solution.
    Figueres, as the UN’s climate chief, has been given the task of creating a new agreement on how the international community can combat the onset of global warming, and she will direct the construction of a new global treaty ahead of the UN’s Framework Convention on Climate Change meeting in Paris in December.
    Solving climate change is no mean feat – but if anyone has the expertise, knowledge and skills to make it happen, it is Christiana Figueres…
    A Costa Rican native, she then moved to Washington D.C and studied for a Certification in Organisational Development at Georgetown University.
    She entered the climate science space in 1994, when she was appointed Director of the Technical Secretariat of the Renewable Energy in the Americas, and soon after was appointed the executive director of the Centre for Sustainable Development in the Americas in 1995…
    In between these various roles requiring her to come up with innovative solutions to pressing global problems, Figueres has also found the time to lecture at some of the world’s top universities, including Yale, Georgetown and John Hopkins…
    Figueres is making a special visit to Australia to talk climate change solutions, and she is speaking at a publicforum on the issue at the Sydney Theatre Company on the evening of Tuesday, May 5.
    The event is co-hosted by women’s climate change activist group 1 Million Women and global climate change organisation The two organisations will discuss with Figueres the key innovations needed to push forward tangible solutions to climate change.
    “Bringing together the nations of the world to agree a global climate change treaty is one of the most demanding and defining roles ever undertaken,” said CEO, Blair Palese…
    1 Million Women CEO Natalie Isaacs, said that Australians leaders can learn valuable lessons from a forward-thinkingclimate change expert like Figueres and that Australia can use these lessons to take its rightful place as a world leader on this issue…

    [[“born” into powerful circles, then “appointed” to more powerful positions, eh? .mod]

  57. ***Hansen says fossil fuel prices have to be priced high enough to make them “honest”.
    try some honesty yourself Mr. Hansen:

    5 May: SMH: Peter Hannam: Paris 2015: Two degrees warming a ‘prescription for disaster’ says top climate scientist James Hansen
    The aim to limit global warming to two degrees of pre-industrial levels is “crazy” and “a prescription for disaster”, according to a long-time NASA climate scientist.
    The paleo-climate record shows sea-levels were six to eight metres higher than current levels when global temperatures were less than two degrees warmer than they are now, Professor James Hansen, formerly head of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies and now at Columbia University in New York, said.
    “It’s crazy to think that 2 degrees celsius is a safe limit,” Professor Hansen told RN Breakfast on ABC Radio on Tuesday, adding that this would lock in several metres of sea-level rise by the middle of the century…
    “The consequences are almost unthinkable. It would mean that all coastal cities would become dysfunctional,” he told ABC Radio…
    ***Professor Hansen said fossil fuel prices had to be priced high enough to make them “honest”.
    Nuclear energy will need to play a big role in creating “carbon-free electricity” because non-hydro renewable energy – which now accounts for just 3 per cent of total supplies – would not be able to be ramped up fast enough, he said…

    AUDIO: 5 May: ABC Breakfast: Two degrees of global warming is not ‘safe’: Hansen
    Overnight, more than 40 national nuclear societies from around the world have signed a Nuclear for Climate declaration.
    Meeting at the 2015 International Congress on Advances in Nuclear Power Plants in Nice, France, the declaration commits the nuclear societies to limiting global warming to two degrees by 2050…
    But top US climate scientist James Hansen says the goal is a ‘nonsense’, and the world is on the wrong track thinking that two degrees of warming is ‘safe’.

  58. Katherine Hayhoe will be at UBC’s Chan Centre for the Performing Arts, May 7.

    The rise of an evangelical climate-change warrior: In Vancouver Thursday
    Hayhoe will be at Vancouver’s Chan Centre on Thursday at 7 p.m., speaking with the Suzuki Foundation and others.

    Earthkeeping: A Climate for Change with Dr. Katharine Hayhoe

  59. simply making a “statement” is enough to change 400 million lives out of 1.2 billion Catholics, according to 33 percent of 1,049 in a poll of English & Welsh Catholics, carried out by YouGov pollsters for the Catholic Agency For Overseas Development ?
    only 800 million more to get on board:

    6 May: Independent: A third of Catholics would go green if Pope Francis makes statement on climate change
    A third of Catholics say they will make their lifestyle greener if Pope Francis makes an official statement on climate change, ahead of a significant publication from the Vatican on the environment.
    A poll of 1,049 Catholics in England and Wales found more than seven out 10 (72 per cent) were concerned that the world’s poorest people were being hit by climate change and more than three-quarters (76 per cent) said they felt a moral obligation to help them.
    Four-fifths (80 per cent) of those quizzed in the YouGov survey for aid agency Cafod said that as Catholics they felt a duty to care for God’s creation, the Earth…

  60. ***just what the world needs – another CENTRAL BANK:

    5 May: WSJ: Gabriele Steinhauser: EU Agrees to Overhaul Carbon-Trading System
    Bloc to create market-stability reserve in effort to stabilize price of emitting carbon dioxide
    National EU governments and the European Parliament agreed to create a “market stability reserve” from 2019, which will act as a kind of ***central bank that can remove superfluous allowances from the carbon market. Analyst estimate that there is currently an excess of around 2 billion allowances, each permitting the emission of 1 ton of CO2. Crucially, the deal mandates that 900 allowances that were temporarily removed from the market last year will go straight into the reserve, avoiding a sudden supply shock in 2020.
    Environmental and renewable-energy groups welcomed Tuesday’s deal, but said, even with the reserve, prices were unlikely to rise far enough to trigger large-scale investment in low-carbon technologies. Energy research firm Platts has said that even if prices double to reach €15 per ton of CO2, it would likely not suffice to move energy generation from coal to gas on a large scale, one of the quickest ways to reduce emissions in the EU.
    More sophisticated technologies, such as electricity generation from renewable sources such as solar or wind or carbon-capture storage, would require much higher carbon prices…

  61. I did a quick search of the IPCC “Technical Summary” for the string ‘uncertain’ (to catch ‘uncertain’ and ‘uncertainty’ &c. There are 161 occurrences. Some are benign, as in “Uncertainty intervals are not necessarily symmetric about the corresponding best estimate.”. Some less so, as in “Uncertainties in currently available surface fluxes prevent the flux products from being reliably used to identify trends in the regional or global distribution of evaporation or precipitation over the oceans on the time scale of the observed salinity changes since the 1950s.”

    I can’t evaluate how or if the statements of uncertainly affect the IPCC’s conclusions.

  62. UK Greenpeace anti-fracking advert banned for claiming experts’ support

    A Greenpeace advert opposing fracking has been banned for claiming experts agreed that the process would not cut energy bills. The national press ad said: “Fracking threatens our climate, our countryside and our water. Yet experts agree – it won’t cut our energy bills.”
    The Labour peer Lord Lipsey, who said he understood there was a range of views on the subject, complained that the ad was misleading for claiming experts were in agreement.
    Greenpeace said the claim was made in the context of a public debate on Government policy, and cited quotes from David Cameron, who has repeatedly backed fracking and claimed that it could bring down energy bills. The organization provided quotes from 22 people, groups or organizations supporting the view that fracking would not reduce energy prices.
    The Advertising Standards Authority said: “While we acknowledged that Greenpeace had provided quotes from 22 people, groups or organizations demonstrating support for the view that fracking would not reduce energy prices, we understood that there was a significant division of … opinion on the issue. We considered the claim was absolute in nature and therefore implied the statement was accepted among informed opinion, which we understood was not the case.”

  63. Figueres tells Australia what they must do, then tells Australia to do its homework, then tells Australia nobody can tell it what to do, and ABC laps it up!

    6 May: ABC: Jake Sturmer: Australia must reduce reliance on coal, says UN’s top climate change negotiator Christiana Figueres
    Australia must move away from its reliance on coal, says the United Nations’ top climate negotiator Christiana Figueres.
    The executive secretary of the UN’s Framework Convention on Climate Change spoke to delegates at the Australian Emissions Reduction Summit in Melbourne on Wednesday…
    In her first major interview since her arrival, Ms Figueres told the ABC that Australia had no option other than to gradually step back from coal.
    “As we look into the future – not overnight – but over time there does need to be an economic diversification view that is not going to rely fully on coal,” she said.
    ***”I think Australia will have to look at a gradual transition and a broader resource base for its exports, mainly because the demand for coal is already decreasing and will continue to decrease.”…
    ‘Nobody can tell you how to do it’
    “It is not easy to bring down the emissions in Australia because of the natural resource base that is here.
    “[That’s] the extraordinary coal reserves that are in Australia that have been the backbone of the prosperity and growth of Australia.”…
    “You represent a huge potential to lead the world into a very healthy economic diversification path,” she said.
    ***”You haven’t figured out yet how to do it, but, my friends, that is your homework.”
    And she stopped short of recommending set targets for Australia.
    “That is not a question that I can answer for you.
    “That is a question that Australia, jointly in collaboration across sectors, across political parties, across states, across territories … has to come up with.
    “Nobody can tell you what to do.”

  64. reminder:

    2010: WUWT: When you don’t like the poll numbers, make up your own poll
    Stanford and Woods Institute didn’t like the recent polls like these:
    Pew poll: 2 of 3 Americans think Congressional action on climate change is not a priority
    Gallup: Americans’ Global Warming Concerns Continue to Drop
    Pew Poll: global warming dead last, down from last year
    So with public money from the National Science Foundation, they conducted their own poll, and issued a press release:
    “Large majority of Americans still believe in global warming, Stanford poll finds”…
    The survey was conducted by Woods Institute Senior Fellow Jon Krosnick, a professor of communication and of political science at Stanford, with funding from the National Science Foundation…

    mind games:

    6 May: LA Times: Patt Morrison: Stanford’s Jon Krosnick: On climate change, most Americans want action
    Another presidential election, another chance for Republican candidates to step out of the denial zone and deal with climate change. That would put them on the same side as a large majority of Americans, if you ask Jon A. Krosnick. He’s a Stanford University professor who directs the Political Psychology Research Group there, and his two decades of asking Americans about climate change has turned up consistent support for action to rein in global warming…
    Q. In what way is climate change different?
    Krosnick: It’s weird in this regard: About 90% of the passionate are on what you might call the green side. They believe it’s happening, it’s caused by humans, it’s a serious problem, and government should do something about it. That’s unusual in that it allows candidates to win votes by talking about it. Democrats and Republicans will gain votes among independent voters if they take a green position…
    Many Americans, including people in Washington, do not realize how one-sided the public is on this…
    So we’ve started looking at states and haven’t found a single state where a majority of residents are skeptical, but legislators think they are. West Virginia, Oklahoma, Texas — even in those states, large majorities are expressing green points of view…
    Q. What influences people’s thinking?
    Krosnick: In one experiment, we had [control group] participants simply report their opinions on global warming. Others reported after watching a video interview with [Stanford climate scientist Stephen Schneider]. A third group reported its opinions after watching that video and a video of another Stanford professor, from the Hoover Institution, making a counter-argument that more greenhouse gases are good for the planet.
    Compared to the control group, we found that watching Schneider did increase the number of people who said the planet was warming, and so on. When the skeptic [video] followed Schneider, pretty much all the impact of Schneider was eliminated…
    We’ve [also] found the more people have been exposed to Fox News stories in general, the more likely they are to be skeptical about climate change…READ ALL

    [Interesting. Thank you. .mod]

  65. ***give us your money or we’ll take it by force.

    6 May: Guardian: Simon Bowers: Climate change must be tackled by the markets, say City grandees
    David Blood and Howard Covington separately warn fund managers they are sleepwalking into a future where climate change leaves fossil fuels unburnable
    The former Goldman Sachs partner (David Blood) left his role at the bank 12 years ago to team up with former US vice-president and climate change campaigner Al Gore, establishing Generation Investment Management. Now a business responsible for funds of $12bn (£8bn), it is focused on investments that are positioned in anticipation of a dramatic transformation in the energy industry…
    “We are convinced that the transition from a high-carbon to low-carbon economy will be the most significant process in modern economic history – matching the industrial revolution in scale, and the technological revolution in pace,” Blood and Gore explain in their strategy statement for Generation, whose clients include the Environment Agency and the Church of England’s commissioners in the UK, and Calstrs, one of America’s largest pension funds.
    “We believe investors are increasingly aware of the materiality of this transition for business, and we think financial markets have a significant opportunity to chart the way forward.”…
    Like Blood, Covington warns of a dystopian future in the absence of preventative action now. He has said: “Climate arithmetic shows that we may be very hungry in a few decades’ time … [it] could take us way beyond adaptation into the realm of crumbling disorder.” …
    Specifically, he is looking for an opportunity to test the legal duties of fund trustees in the courts.
    ***That way he hopes to establish in law that those responsible for diverse long-term funds are in fact obliged, in the interests of future beneficiaries, to address the risks to long-term returns presented by climate change…
    But not everyone in the City is listening to increasingly vocal advocates such as Blood and Covington…
    Among them is Terry Smith, one of the City’s most successful and outspoken figures, whose latest venture, the Fundsmith investment management business, was founded in 2010.
    Two years ago Smith declared on his personal blog he would stop airing his scepticism of what he calls “the quasi-religious belief that there is manmade global warming”.
    Explaining his decision to remain silent, he said: “I have come in for some vituperative comment and action from ‘warmists’ … The media on climate change is so biased it would be laughable if it weren’t for the fact that the subject and the waste of scarce resources on cons which pose as solutions are quite serious.”
    Asked if his views had changed since scientists from the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change published its most detailed report on global warming last year, a spokesman said: “He doesn’t have anything further to say regarding climate change.” The blogpost announcing his pledge of silence, and others airing his views on climate change, have not been taken down.

  66. BBC: US Hurricane ‘drought’ since 2006

    The United States has not been struck by a major hurricane since 2005, marking the longest gap since records began and a situation described by some as a hurricane ‘drought’.

    The 2005 Atlantic hurricane season was the most active on record, with 15 tropical storms developing into hurricanes, seven of which became major hurricanes, including Hurricanes Katrina and Wilma, which caused billions of dollars of destruction.

    A major hurricane is one which is classed as category 3, 4 or 5 on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Although a hurricane of this scale hasn’t made landfall in the last nine years, there have still been some very damaging storms, such as Hurricane Sandy in 2012 (category 1), Hurricane Irene in 2011 (category 1) and Hurricane Ike in 2013 (category 2).

    BBC Weather’s Tomasz Schafernaker takes a look at the current hurricane ‘drought’ and the potential for it to continue into this year’s hurricane season.

    His only explanation for why is “it could be sheer luck”.
    Funny how good weather is “sheer luck”, but bad weather is always down to “climate change”

  67. 6 May: Guardian: Oliver Milman: French ambassador urges Australia to join climate change battle
    Mary Bruce Warlick, principal deputy assistant secretary of state for the US government’s bureau of energy resources, used the Melbourne summit to call for a global phase-out of fossil-fuel subsidies…
    “The US has been driving efforts to phase out fossil-fuel subsidies, which the International Energy Agency estimated at $548bn in 2013.
    “Clean energy is one of the greatest economic opportunities of all time. We are working with other countries to stop global financial institutions financing dirty power stations.”
    Warlick said an estimated $17 trillion would be invested globally in clean energy between now and 2035.

  68. Under “Notable and Quotable in today’s online WSJ is a quote from John Steinbeck’s “East of Eden” about California rainfall. “I have spoken of the rich years when the rainfall was plentiful. But there were dry years too, and they put a terror on the valley. The water came in a thirty-year cycle …” It is pretty interesting in today’s context.

  69. bizarro piece at HuffPo:

    6 May: HuffPo: Fast and Furious to a Warming Planet
    What the Fast and the Furious team can teach us about the struggle to stop climate change.
    Written by Phillip Ellis, Press Secretary for Earthjustice
    For me, spring brings an overwhelming desire to wear flip-flops and a deepening resentment of weather that just won’t warm fast enough…
    In a time when the fossil fuel industry spent nearly a billion dollars, that’s with a capital B, to influence the 2014 election, we are confronted on a daily basis with a Fast and Furious gang tasked with thwarting any practical and bi-partisan effort to solve, or even acknowledge, climate change…
    ***In the world of climate change advocacy, or in this case climate denial, we keep finding new and inventive ways to essentially say 97.1 percent of all scientists agree that climate change is caused by human activity. More organizations join our call for action every day like the upcoming encyclical expected from Pope Francis and the Catholic Church…
    In my best Dom grunt, we’re all up because we are all moving Fast and Furious towards an inescapable rescue. For now, it appears that climate deniers have the same escape plan as Dom — drive us off a cliff and hope we, or at least they, survive.

    all this faith in the Pope’s encyclical on a scientific matter by the CAGW crowd seems somewhat odd, given the following!

    31 April: Independent: Michael Day: Exorcists warn Vatican over ‘beautiful young vampires’ and satanic yoga
    The proliferation of “beautiful young vampires” in TV series and Hollywood films including True Blood and the Twilight movies is encouraging young people to dabble with occult forces, a leading authority on demonic possession has warned a Vatican-backed exorcism course.
    “There are those who try to turn people into vampires and make them drink other people’s blood, or encourage them to have special sexual relations to obtain special powers,” said Professor Giuseppe Ferrari at the meeting in Rome, which heard that the number of such possessions is rising globally. “These groups are attracted by the so-called beautiful young vampires that we’ve seen so much of in recent years.”
    Professor Ferrari, who heads an Italian occult watchdog, The Group on Research and Socio-Religious Information, said exorcisms should only be conducted by properly trained priests.
    ***Although the Vatican regards genuine demonic possession as rare, with many suspected cases proving to be people with mental illnesses, Pope Francis has urged dioceses to ensure that they follow Catholic law and have at least one trained exorcist each…
    Swiss exorcist Father Cesare Truqui told The Independent that this week’s course, attended by exorcists, priests and lay people, was vital in order to raise awareness and hone priests’ skills in fighting evil…
    Father Cesare is a protégé of Father Gabriele Amorth, the Vatican’s chief exorcist for 25 years, who claims to have dealt with 70,000 cases of demonic possession. Father Amorth said that sex abuse scandals in the Roman Catholic Church were proof that “the Devil is at work inside the Vatican”. He took a similarly dim view of fantasy novels and yoga. Practising the latter, he once warned, was “satanic; it leads to evil just like reading Harry Potter.”
    Gay rights and IVF fertility treatment were listed as signs of existential evil in society by Monsignor Luigi Negri, the Archbishop of Ferrara-Comacchio.
    Professor Giuseppe Ferrari gave delegates at the Vatican-backed course a checklist for improve the effectiveness of exorcisms…etc

  70. 6 May: National Review Online: Sierra Club Caught in Anti-Coal Fakery
    by Jillian Kay Melchior
    A petition to close down a coal plant from the green group listed some supporters who say they hadn’t signed on.
    “I’ve been doing some research, and I don’t know that we ever got that letter,” said Asheville Glass Center’s Alex Greenwood. “I was certainly not informed of it, and everyone I asked has never seen anything like it. If we had gotten it, we would have signed it.”…
    A fifth owner, who asked to remain anonymous, says she had thought she was signing a private petition. The Sierra Club didn’t tell her it planned to list her business’s name as a supporter, she says, and would have been wary about turning off would-be customers by associating her business with a political cause…
    Among the seven business owners who deny signing the letter, one tells National Review the Sierra Club had asked her whether she supported renewable energy over coal, and whether she would be interested in learning more. Next thing she knew, she says, she was listed in the local paper demanding that Duke shut down a coal plant.
    “It was like poking a bear without knowing that you’re poking a bear,” she says…
    Another of those business owners, who also asked not to be named, says the Sierra Club had played dirty…
    Cronin, the Asheville Citizen-Times reporter, says that when he confronted the Sierra Club with the allegations, they refused to provide him proof that all of the small businesses listed had actually given consent.
    “These are nonprofits that are funded by individuals and grants,” Cronin says. “They have an ethical obligation to adhere to their own industry’s professional standards. Nonprofit experts I interviewed said the Sierra Club did not adhere to those ethical standards.”…
    The Sierra Club provided National Review with some of its e-mail correspondence with Charity Navigator, in which it admits having e-mail records available for only 38 of the signatory businesses…

  71. Australian Govt to stop funding the CAGW-infested The Conversation website:

    6 May: SMH: Matthew Knott: Government funding for The Conversation website to be axed: Christopher Pyne
    Education Minister Christopher Pyne has flagged that the Abbott government will axe funding for The Conversation website in next week’s budget…
    After providing $1.5 million to launch the site, Labor gave the website an extra $2 million over two years in the 2013 budget. The website was also given tax deductibility status.
    “The Conversation was initiated by the previous Labor government,” Mr Pyne said on Sky News on Tuesday. “It had a shelf-life of three years at which time The Conversation is meant to be self-sustaining.
    “They were given $3.5 million – in that time they’ve expanded to Africa, the United States and the UK and I expect that they are in a position where they will be self-sustaining otherwise they wouldn’t be able to expand overseas in the way they have.”…
    Mr Jaspan said that he had not been aware of Mr Pyne’s comments and would investigate the matter…
    According to its website, The Conversation also receives funding and support from many universities, the CSIRO, the Commonwealth Bank and medical research institutes.
    The site will launch in Africa on Thursday.

  72. Greenpeace India makes a joke
    The Indian government has taken a series of actions that have led to Greenpeace India declaring they will be forced to close down in a month. Greenpeace has protested and demanded that the Indian government justifiy why 340 people should lose their jobs. This joke will not be lost on the hundreds of thousands of people who have lost their jobs directly as a consequence of the activities, hysterical propaganda and lies of Greenpeace.

  73. The socially-constructed skeptical global warming cunctation that misled real climate scientists.
    By Stephen Lewadownski. :)

    * * * * * * *
    Climate change denial in public discourse may encourage climate scientists to over-emphasise scientific uncertainty and is also affecting how they themselves speak – and perhaps even think – about their own research, a new study from the University of Bristol, UK argues.

    Professor Stephan Lewandowsky from Bristol’s School of Experimental Psycho[babble] and the Cabot Institute, and colleagues from Harvard University and three institutions [over-emphasis on appeals to prestige and authority] in Australia show how the language used by people who oppose the scientific consensus on climate change has seeped into scientists’ discussion of the alleged recent ‘hiatus’ or ‘pause’ in global warming, and has thereby unwittingly reinforced a misleading message.

    The idea that ‘global warming has stopped’ has been promoted in contrarian blogs and media articles for many years, and ultimately the idea of a ‘pause’ or ‘hiatus’ has become ensconced in the scientific literature, including in the latest assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

    Multiple lines of evidence [not one of ’em worth a mention, evidently] indicate that global warming continues unabated, which implies that talk of a ‘pause’ or ‘hiatus’ is misleading.
    [etcetera, ad nauseum]
    * * * * * * *

  74. Genie Scott has been a champion in keeping creationism/intelligent design out of science classrooms. She lost her way.

    In this video she implies that Climate Change must be proven because evolution is proven. Or even worse because a small group of religious fundamentalists use dishonest tactics in order to support their belief in the unsupported claims of Genesis, skeptics of Climate science conclusions are equivalent? The context, , for both groups are completely different making the comparisons are pathetically wrong and disingenuous, might as well compare the sun to an orange because they are both are round and have an orange color.

    This level of ill-logic, anti-science, just plain stupid dishonest propaganda is shameful. Shame on Genie Scott. I know this is an old video but still remains an exemplar example of how low climate change advocates will go, how people lose their integrity in this filed and how the “denier” tactic which is still in force today had it’s roots.

  75. The American Chemical Society will be hosting a free webinar today at 2PM Eastern entitled “Science, Skepticism, and Knowledge: Three Tools for the Practicing Chemist”. “Any good chemist (or any other scientist, for that matter) needs three things: a good definition of what science is (and what science isn’t), a well-developed sense of skepticism, and an awareness of the boundary between the known and the unknown.”
    See for more info, and registration information.

  76. Yet, in Norway they actually do have green electricity due to their hydro plants.
    But ironically to promote electric cars they still needed lots of perks like using bus lanes.
    Thus they’ve been blocking up public transport.

    And so green car perks are to be cut back, according to the Telegraph.

    • Buckingham, bad news, not uncommon,

      (Used to be common to reject funded “Chair” positions for the study of Objectivism, but last I heard that had changed to the point where the limit was a shortage of qualified teachers.

      One possible cause was that Ayn Rand had name recognition as a novelist, and universities became so unjudgemental that they wanted study of her just on popularity.

      Hopefully things will change somewhat for climate skeptics as universities feel pressure to get balance.)

    • Actually Nik, that is not a Guardian issue, every newspaper and poll said the same thing, unless you can point to one that forecast this surprise? Even the foreign owned right wing rags said it was completely unpredictable.

  77. I hope you can post the statement by Dr. Bill Gray that Joe Bastardi has on his site. It explains the failure of climate models in a way I find both succinct and yet technical, with a focus on the “tropospheric hot spot.” I feel it should be spread far and wide.

    Joe Bastardi’s site is pay-to-view, and my site will only spread the statement to around fifty people.

  78. KEENE, New Hampshire — At a country club here in the southern part of this crucial, early voting state, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie broke from some of his potential 2016 Republican presidential rivals, saying he believes in climate change and that humans have something to do with it.

    “I think global warming is real. I don’t think that’s deniable. And I do think human activity contributes to it,” said Christie, …

  79. Mr Watts

    Your site is in danger of becoming a victim of complete and utter hypocrisy.

    You cannot lambast others for harasssing opinions they dissent from whilst operating a site whose blogging mechanism includes clear political censorship based on contributions the past 10 days. I am clearly not banned as I posted very successfully on ‘how to embrace sustainable technologies as a fiscal conservative’ (which would be very much to your site’s taste), however today your site bans me from pointing out your analytical inaccuracies as to why the Libdems got wiped out in the election in my country, not yours. I may be in a better position to know the truth than a Californian reliant on reading the partisan UK press and receiving propaganda from interested UK parties.

    You are just as bad as climate zealots if you can’t tolerate annoying little people like me pointing out to you that you don’t know what you are talking about where UK politics is concerned.

    That’s what Free Speech means: tolerating those who dissent from your opinion expressing them freely without censorship.

    Your site no longer practices it and it would do well to rectify that deficit as soon as possible.

  80. To hear the high-falutin’ nonsense / hot air of Jeremy Rifkin (and others) listen to CBC’s “Ideas” program ( Rifkin doesn’t miss a catastrophe, and he is so strong in his pronouncements. Listen to the list of organizations and governments that he advises and pity them for they have no way to fight off the wall of BS that he hurls out. Where does he get his “facts”? At the moment he is talking about the way that the electrical vehicle will be printed out using 3-D printers, only one of his pie-in-the-sky ideas. I think he listens to the information that is floating around on the internet and picks the most dramatic bits and broadcasts them as real events.
    Ian M

  81. It is time that WUWT followers knew about an Australian invention that is currently in full commercial production. This is their latest announcement.

    RedFlow Limited
    ACN 130 227 271
    Redflow Limited
    27 Counihan Road, Seventeen Mile Rocks, Brisbane, QLD 4073 Australia
    T : +61 7 3376 0008

    8 May 2015

    Redflow presently delivers one of the world’s only currently available commercial modular flow batteries. Alongside Lithium-ion and Lead-Acid based batteries, the Redflow ZBM (Zinc Bromide Module) represents a genuine ’third way’ in the energy storage realm, delivering distinct technical and application advantages for our customers relative to these traditional battery technologies.

    The Redflow ZBM DC battery module and our grid-scale LSB (Large Scale Battery) storage systems are in commercial production today via our North American manufacturer, Flextronics. Redflow is on course to make significant commercial sales during this calendar year, using funds from our recent over-subscribed capital raising.

    Redflow’s strategy includes constructing and deploying large-scale demonstration systems for key international markets, and bringing additional staff and technical resources on board in key operational areas, as we move into the volume delivery phase of our operations. In our major current market segments, including Telco/Data Centre 48V DC deployments, remote area DC and AC micro-grid systems and grid-scale energy storage, generation and delivery, Redflow’s battery systems are already well integrated witha variety of key energy system and inverters.

    The technology advantages of flow batteries are also highly applicable to the emerging home energy storage market. In response to recently increased interest in Redflow batteries for use in this sector,Redflow is currently developing a set of ‘turn-key’ exemplar solutions that demonstrate the advantages of our flow battery technology in conjunction with selected major brands of DC/AC battery
    inverter products.

    It is important to note that Redflow’s ZBM batteries are available now, and that they offer substantial technical and environmental advantages over Lithium-ion and Lead-Acid battery chemistries, especially when paired with renewable energy sources, to deliver energy time-shifting and grid-demand-levelling applications through distributed generation.

    Redflow’s 48V DC modules are also easily and rapidly integrated into Telco and off-grid DC based micro-grid applications.

    A key differentiator of Redflow’s ZBM is its capability to operate as a daily full-discharge, full-power workhorse that thrives upon being fully cycled each day, allowing customers to work the battery hard every day of its life without stress or strain. The maintenance- free lifetime energy throughput of a flow
    battery is insensitive to variations in daily cycle depth.

    In contrast, conventional Lithium-ion and Lead-Acid batteries are highly sensitive to discharge depth. Their overall lifetime is a complex function of the depth of discharge that is engaged by the energy application. A large proportion of their battery capacity must be reserved simply to ensure an adequate operating lifetime. Further, these traditional cell types are temperature sensitive, requiring complex thermal control mechanisms and risking damage due to overheating or thermal runaway should the control mechanisms fail or the environmental conditions become unexpectedly worse.

    In contrast, Redflow’s ZBM flow battery offers unique technical and robustness advantages, including;- Redflow ZBMs can operate in harsh environmental conditions, including running in ambient temperatures up to 50 degrees C without external cooling systems.

    Redflow ZBMs are intrinsically safe, as their internal chemistry is naturally fire

    -Redflow ZBMs are ‘smart’ batteries that self-protect when required. They cannot be over-charged.
    -Redflow ZBMs can be charged and disconnected for extended periods, maintaining a 100 per cent state of charge indefinitely, ready for later use.

    -Redflow ZBM can also be fully discharged and disconnected f
    or storage purposes with no battery condition damage or degradation. By contrast, long-term storage of traditional batteries without an ongoing energy “trickle charge” input will render them into a ‘brick’.

    -The internal modular construction of the Redflow ZBM, based on a separation of electrode, electrolyte and control systems and constructed without rare-earth metals, produces a battery that can be recycled cost effectively and in an environmentally friendly manner.

    The Redflow ZBM is also capable of in-field renewal to full operating capacity in the future via an electrode ‘stack swap’.

    The Redflow LSB assembles and integrates up to 60 Redflow ZBM batteries into an intrinsically safe, high availability, grid-scale energy storage and delivery system with a capacity of up to 660 kWh per energy delivery cycle. Any number of LSBs can be deployed together in order to scale energy storage
    and delivery to any required grid-scale requirement.

    Redflow is well positioned to supply many commercial opportunities that can leverage the technical and environmental advantages unique to flow batteries.

    Redflow batteries are especially well suited to most stationary energy delivery applications that currently use Lithium-ion or Lead-Acid based battery storage systems, especially where environmental or application conditions are difficult.

    The more demanding the stationary energy storage application, the better the
    Redflow ZBM performs.

    Redflow is confident of our ability to leverage the unique advantages of our advanced flow battery technology to meet demand from the rapidly expanding
    energy storage market and that our products will be a valuable part of the energy supply chain.

    For further information :
    Stuart Smith, CEO
    Tel : +61-7-3376 0008

    [Well, if it is an obvious advertisement, then it is obviously not spam, eh? .mod]

  82. Maine senator unveils unprecedented federal distributed energy bill

    Distributed energy resources (DERs) are the focus of energy industry and policy debates across the country, but up to this point virtually all the action has taken place at the state level. Because state regulatory commissions typically govern the utilities in their jurisdiction, the battles over the interconnection, siting, and value of DERs have played out almost exclusively in the states. The federal government has had precious little to do with the issue.

    But that may be about to change if Sen. Angus King (I-ME) has his way. The senator, who caucuses with Democrats, plans to unveil the Free Market Energy Act of 2015 on Wednesday. An amendment to the Public Utilities Regulatory Policy Act (PURPA) of 1978, the bill could dramatically alter market structures and regulations for DERs nationwide.

    The goal of the legislation, King told Utility Dive in an interview, is to codify a right of interconnection for DERs and guide states toward a policy framework to better assess their full value and encourage their proliferation.

    PURPA works just fine. I see a trojan horse here. There will be a lot of energy bills submitted this week and this needs to be watched carefully.

    • Here is a recent PURPA case:

      FERC Protects a QF’s PURPA Right to Sell Net Output

      On January 22, 2015, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) issued an order reaffirming a qualifying facility’s (QF) right to sell all of its net output to a utility under the Public Utility Regulatory Policies Act of 1978 (PURPA). In an order partially granting a complaint filed by PáTu Wind Farm, LLC (PáTu) against Portland General Electric Company (Portland General) regarding PáTu’s rights under Section 210 of PURPA, FERC determined that Portland General had an obligation to purchase and compensate PáTu – a QF with variable output – for its entire net output, and could not use transmission scheduling requirements as a basis to avoid this obligation.1 This order could prove significant for QFs and utilities alike as FERC decided the dispute largely based on the more generally applicable mandatory purchase requirements under PURPA, rather than the transmission scheduling dispute that was the primary focus of the parties’ briefs.

      PáTu’s Focus on Dynamic Scheduling PáTu sells power to Portland General pursuant to a Public Utility Commission of Oregon (Oregon Commission) standard PURPA contract for off-system, intermittent-resource QFs of less than 10 MW. PáTu relies on Bonneville Power Administration’s (BPA) transmission system to deliver its power to Portland General’s system at its Troutdale substation. BPA offered PáTu dynamic scheduling service, which would allow for scheduling and delivery of PáTu’s precise, instantaneous output to Portland General, while avoiding paying for BPA’s Generator Imbalance Service, Wind Regulating Reserves, Wind Following Reserves, and Wind Imbalance Service. However, PáTu alleged that Portland General would not accept PáTu’s deliveries via dynamic scheduling. PáTu alleged that Portland General also refused to accept 15-minute scheduling as an alternative to dynamic scheduling. Instead, PáTu alleged that Portland General would only agree to accept delivery of power by PáTu in hourly, prescheduled MW-hour blocks. According to PáTu, Portland General decided that when PáTu’s delivered power varied from its hourly schedule, Portland General, in the case of over-generation, would not compensate PáTu for any excess power delivered, and in the case of under-generation, would pay market index rates (rather than PáTu’s contract rate) for electricity provided by BPA to fill in hourly blocks. PáTu alleged these decisions by Portland General were driven by commercial considerations of Portland General’s merchant function and not its transmission function.

      • Here is the good senator’s involvement with wind and offshore banking:

        King Wind Project Cited by Congressional Investigation

        ” Angus King Is a Nice Guy” ~‏ Even Though He Legally Stole Your Hard Earned Money And Some Of Your Homes

        On February 25, 2004, Angus King was appointed to the board of W.P Stewart & Co. Ltd., a Bermuda-based investment company. Not much is known about Angus’s time at this mysterious Bermudian investment cartel which caters to the world’s super-rich. Aside from the pink sand, that’s one of the advantages of home-basing in Bermuda. What we do know is that by January 5, 2009, W.P. Stewart’s value had declined so badly that the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) delisted it. On June 3, 2010, the company announced that it was parting ways with King as part of a reorganization that favored a “more stream-lined corporate structure going forward” than the structure that King and his fellow board members had provided. Since then, the firm has been able to post much better results in its performance summary.


        NOTE: His son is a VP at a very large wind concern:

        Angus S. King, III | The Trust for Public Land

        The Trust for Public Land
        Angus S. King III is Vice President for Mergers and Acquisitions at First Wind in Portland, Maine, an independent North American wind energy company focused …

  83. Revkin discloses WWF connection and includes a denial that CAGW was responsible:

    9 May: NYT Dot Earth: Andrew C. Revkin: Scientists Praise Contributions of Two Dutch Explorers Who Perished on Arctic Ice
    Ten days ago, the grinding slow-motion rivers of floating sea ice flowing around Canada’s Arctic archipelago claimed the lives of Marc Cornelissen and Philip de Roo, seasoned Dutch polar trekkers combining an adventurous spirit with environmental activism and citizen science.
    After several recovery efforts were aborted due to foul weather and unstable ice, one body (as yet unidentified) was retrieved on Friday, Canadian police said…
    Cornelissen’s efforts were largely funded by WWF (known as the World Wildlife Fund in the United States) but he had worked over the past decade with scientists from the European Space Agency and the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Cold Regions Research and Engineering Laboratory as well as several universities.
    The two-man expedition (with a loaned husky as a polar bear watchdog) was called the “Last Ice Survey” because the maze of passages between that part of Canada and northwest Greenland is projected to remain mostly ice covered even when much of the Arctic Ocean becomes open water in late summer in coming decades. (As I’ve noted, scientists have wisely been proposing that special conservation plans be developed in that region for polar bears and other wildlife dependent on sea ice.)…
    In contrast to some media reports implying that the conditions creating dangerous ice in the area were related to global warming, Haas (Christian Haas, the Canada Research Chair for Arctic Sea Ice Geophysics at York University) added this:
    “The accident has nothing to do with climate warming or the last ice. The ice in this region of approximately 100 kilometers in diameter is always thinner than the surrounding regions, and small areas of open water are common year-round. In fact, our own airborne ice thickness surveys just north of this region have shown that the ice is (still?) very thick, ranging from over two meters for first-year ice to over three meters for multi-year ice. The events have changed nothing to the fact that this region will most likely be the last ice area.” Main&contentCollection=arctic&action=Click&pgtype=Blogs&region=Body

  84. despite being way down in google’s al-gore-ithms results, it’s good to see the Maurice Newman story has gone global, mostly carrying the least-negative (relatively speaking) report from AFP:

    8 May: Japan Times: AFP-JIJI: Australia PM advisor says climate change a U.N.-led ruse to create new world order
    Newman, a former chairman of the Australian Broadcasting Corp., is a known climate change skeptic but he went further Friday by accusing the U.N. of being involved in a scam…
    Newman said “hopefully, like India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi, Tony Abbott isn’t listening” to the U.N…

    9 May: The News, Pakistan: AFP: Australian PM’s adviser says climate change a UN-led ruse

    9 May: Tehran Times: AFP: Australia PM advisor says climate change a U.N.-led ruse to create new world order

    PressDisplay: 9 May: Gulf News: AFP: Australian PM’s adviser says climate change is UN ruse to form authoritarian world order

    everyone at RT is a CAGW advocate, so they intersperse their article with tweets such as:
    16% of Earth’s species at risk of extinction due to climate change – report
    UK experts fear climate change could usher in disease-carrying mosquitoes

    8 May: Russia Today: Climate change is UN-led hoax to create ‘new world order’ – Australian PM’s adviser
    A well-known climate change skeptic, Newman has made similar provocative comments in the past, calling the notion a “myth” and a “delusion.”…

  85. 9 May: UK Telegraph: Christopher Booker: The BBC on global warming is beyond a joke
    Green activists, aided by the state broadcaster, are whipping up support for a new climate treaty
    The BBC’s relentless efforts to promote the need for that treaty to ***“decarbonise” the world’s economies they so desperately want to see agreed in December are getting way beyond a joke. On Monday’s Today programme, for instance, they yet again wheeled on that joke figure Lord Stern to tell us that renewable energy now enjoys “very little subsidy or none at all” (don’t tell the owners of offshore wind farms, who imagine they are getting subsidies of more than 200 per cent)…
    An hour later, we had the BBC’s science editor, David Shukman, telling us how he had gone up to the Arctic (presumably with the aid of fossil fuels), to join a bunch of Norwegian scientists (also presumably there with the aid of fossil fuels), who were discovering that the ice had got thinner than ever, and that this was causing irreparable damage to the “biodiversity” of the poor little creatures which live under that vanishing ice.
    Not a shred of scientific evidence was offered to support this scare story, let alone the latest data from the US National Snow and Ice Data Center, which show that the thickness of multi-year ice across the Arctic has been making a dramatic recovery from its low point seven years ago (for details see Paul Homewood’s Notalotofpeopleknowthat blog)…

    here’s another one sure to annoy Booker & a lot of other people:

    BBC World Service “In The Balance” program yesterday was all about how to get improved growth in the UK economy.

    at the end, it was announced the program would not be aired for 2 weeks, but would return with “HOW CAN WE DECARBONISE THE WORLD ECONOMY?”:

    (yesterday’s program)
    10 May: BBC In The Balance: UK Election: What’s Up for Business Now?
    What does David Cameron’s return as Prime Minister of Britain mean economically and for business in the UK?…
    And we look at the longer-term economic implications of this historic election with a panel that reflects its global implications: the eminent Harvard-based economist professor Ken Rogoff, Societe Generale’s Michala Marcussen, John Mills of JML, a UK-based consumer products company, and Sir Martin Sorrell, leading British businessman and CEO of WPP.

  86. Thermo-Nuclear Carrier, Earth Crushing Event, The Storm That Heralds the Human Killing Carnage of Global Human Warming The Anthropocene MegaKiller — Tropical Storm Ana was downgraded to a depression.

    How utterly revolting that the Planet Crusher Storm of the Anthropocene Eon of Earth History “peters out” to so small a little “peter”.

    Ha ha ha ja ja ja ja

    PS Title IX can not be claimed against “Acts of God”!

  87. remind me again how the world is moving away from fossil fuels!

    8 May: Bloomberg: Heesu Lee: Saudis Splurge in Asia to Win Loyal Oil Customers for Decades
    Saudi Arabia is spending generously now on Asian refiners to lock in its position as the region’s biggest supplier of oil for decades to come.
    The Saudi national oil company is part of a group that’s building a processing plant in China and it teamed with Asia’s biggest refiner on another in Fujian province. Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi traveled to Beijing last month, highlighting the importance of the world’s second-biggest crude consumer to his country’s future. He also visited a South Korean refinery in which his country has a majority interest.
    Pressure is rising on Saudi Arabia to hold on to market share in Asia as competitors including Iraq, Mexico and Russia make inroads…
    Daily consumption of 31.2 million barrels in Asia this year will take the region’s demand above that in the Americas at 31.1 million barrels, according to the Paris-based International Energy Agency. Asia will account for two-thirds of the growth in global oil demand in 2015, the IEA says…
    In Vietnam, a 400,000 barrel-a-day plant will be jointly constructed by Aramco and PTT Pcl in Binh Dinh province, according to the Thai company’s 2014 annual report…
    Aramco’s refining strategy isn’t limited to Asia. The company owns half of Motiva Enterprises LLC, which operates three plants in Texas and Louisiana with total refining capacity of about 1.1 million barrels a day…
    Potential investments also include Indonesia. Pertamina Persero PT will join Aramco for a study to upgrade the Cilacap refinery this year…

    when Bloomberg isn’t warning us “Coal Seen as New Tobacco Sparking Investor Backlash”, they are gushing over cigar-smoking Jean-Yves, whose carbon footprint is rather large, it would seem:

    7 May: Bloomberg: Franz Wild: The Dealmaker Who Helped a U.S. Hedge Fund Score Congo Oil Prize
    Africa’s last shadow master trades favors to make profits for everyone — including himself
    For a businessman who doesn’t spend much time at his burgundy mansion in Morocco’s ancient city of Marrakesh, Jean-Yves Ollivier throws quite a dinner party.
    Three servants in black tuxedos silently file past in the soft light, keeping the nine French art dealers, lawyers and charity workers topped up with a fruity blend of cabernet sauvignon and merlot. The guests dine on roast rosemary lamb, Mediterranean vegetables and potato dauphinoise, on crimson plates from Istanbul. Silver bowls brim with red roses and two elephant tusks form an arch by a dining room wall. The chatter ranges from quips on French politics to exclamations at the crunchiness of the pomegranate seeds in the mousse…
    ***PHOTO CAPTION: Jean-Yves Ollivier lights a cigar at his residence in Marrakesh, Morocco, on Monday, Dec. 1, 2014…
    After dinner, the guests pass under pointed archways and domed ceilings and step across a zebra skin for ***Cuban cigars, mint tea and pralines in the lounge. Ollivier picks out a ***Hoyo de Monterrey. It’s short and thick, his favorite kind…
    Ollivier doesn’t spend much time at the Marrakesh house, or at any one of his other residences around the world: in Paris, Zurich, Brazzaville in the Republic of Congo and on the 15th story of Marilyn Monroe’s old building on Sutton Place in Manhattan’s midtown. His favorite is at South Africa’s Kruger safari park. He says he spends more time in the air than in any one place…
    ***PHOTO CAPTION: Jean-Yves Ollivier pauses while smoking a cigar during an interview at his Marrakesh house…

  88. says:

    May 10, 2015 at 4:48 pm

    [Note to Moderators / Anthony] I think the test page should be split – it’s already monstrous and takes a long time to load.

    [Noted. Thank you. Any other ideas for improvements? Put them in the Tips page, and repeat this comment there. .mod]

    If Anthony or someone gives me edit rights to the test page, I’d be happy to prune it every month or so, saving good points in the main text.

    Um. It is easy to prune things or is it easier to create a replacement page?


  89. We who enjoy the beauty and fascination gained by studying sea-ice owe a lot to the researchers who put their lives on the line, facing very real dangers out on that ice. Marc Cornelissen and Philip de Roo deserve some mention, as they lost their lives out on the ice last month. All the media has done is callously use their deaths to hype a political agenda, with headlines along the line of “Did Global Warming Kill Reseachers?” The deserve more respect.

  90. Another attempt to brow beat us with a fear documentary crocumentary.

    AFRAID OF THE DARK may very well be the bleakest film ever made
    because it literally forces the viewer to contemplate an unthinkable future in logical progression.
    Never before has a “THE END” credit resonated with such poignancy and irony.
    A chilling “Film Provocateur” – Abandon all hope all ye who enter here.

  91. Solar plasma impacts clouds vai Kelvin-Helmholtz waves in magnetopause
    Breaking waves” perturb Earth’s magnetic field

    The underlying physical process that creates striking “breaking wave” cloud patterns in our atmosphere also frequently opens the gates to high-energy solar wind plasma that perturbs Earth’s magnetic field, or magnetosphere, which protects us from cosmic radiation. The discovery was made by two Univ. of New Hampshire space physicists, who published their findings in Nature Communications. . . .”Our paper shows that the waves, which are created by what’s known as the Kelvin-Helmholtz instability, happens much more frequently than previously thought,” says coauthor Joachim “Jimmy” Raeder of the UNH Space Science Center within the Institute for the Study of Earth, Oceans, and Space. “And this is significant because whenever the edge of Earth’s magnetosphere, the magnetopause, gets rattled it will create waves that propagate everywhere in the magnetosphere, which in turn can energize or de-energize the particles in the radiation belts.” . . .Previously, people thought Kelvin-Helmholtz waves at the magnetopause would be rare, but we found it happens all the time.”

    The effect of Kelvin-Helmholtz instability waves (named for 19th century scientists Lord William Thomson Kelvin and Hermann von Helmholtz) can commonly be seen in cloud patterns, on the surface of oceans or lakes, or even a backyard pool.

  92. Recent news report on Florida flooding due to sea level rise from melting ice and glaciers.

    Florida coast: Sea rise threatens St. Augustine, but no statewide plan at

    Is there any rebuttal to this news story?

    [Actual sea level rise is approximately 1.2 mm per year, and is not accelerating (is not increasing.) About the thickness of a dime. In a century, if the old trend continues, perhaps 18 inches. Which will not even “flood” the Everglades.

  93. 12 May: ABC: Bureau of Meteorology officially declares a major El Nino; predicts drier, hotter conditions
    by Jake Sturmer and Caitlyn Gribbin
    The Bureau of Meteorology has officially declared a major El Nino event, which is likely to lead to prolonged drier, hotter conditions across much of eastern Australia…
    The Bureau said it had a “near miss” with declaring an event last year, with some indications showing sea surface temperatures were at El Nino levels.
    But these signs did not all occur at once.

    no-one at ABC appears to want to own the following!

    12 May: ABC: Wild weather set to hit Victoria, with blizzards, snow and hail forecast
    Attributed to ABC/AAP at bottom of page
    Victoria is bracing for wild winds across the state, blizzards in alpine areas and possible flooding in Melbourne.
    The Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) has issued a severe weather warning for damaging winds and blizzards for people in the West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts…
    Snow has been forecast to fall below 600 metres, over much of the Dandenong Ranges, the Yarra Ranges and hills around Melbourne…
    Recent rain has brought the eastern portion of the catchment to near-saturation point – and up to 50 millimetres of rain could fall in parts of the Melbourne area by Wednesday night.
    Minor flooding is expected from late Tuesday.
    Mr Dickson said the cold weather would persist until the weekend…
    Victoria’s alpine areas already received snowfalls last week, almost a month before the season is due to open, with Falls Creek and Mt Hotham reporting around 10-15cm for the week..

  94. Sea Level Rise is accelerating, says new study
    We have a new reanalysis from University of Tasmania – Watson et al – that claims to have found accelerating sea level rise. It does it by adjusting downwards the sea level rise from 1993 to 1999.
    “The rate of global mean sea-level (GMSL) rise has been suggested to be lower for the past decade compared with the preceding decade as a result of natural variability1, with an average rate of rise since 1993 of +3.2 ± 0.4 mm yr−1 (refs 2, 3). However, satellite-based GMSL estimates do not include an allowance for potential instrumental drifts (bias drift4, 5). Here, we report improved bias drift estimates for individual altimeter missions from a refined estimation approach that incorporates new Global Positioning System (GPS) estimates of vertical land movement (VLM). In contrast to previous results (for example, refs 6, 7), we identify significant non-zero systematic drifts that are satellite-specific, most notably affecting the first 6 years of the GMSL record. Applying the bias drift corrections has two implications. First, the GMSL rate (1993 to mid-2014) is systematically reduced to between +2.6 ± 0.4 mm yr−1 and +2.9 ± 0.4 mm yr−1, depending on the choice of VLM applied. These rates are in closer agreement with the rate derived from the sum of the observed contributions2, GMSL estimated from a comprehensive network of tide gauges with GPS-based VLM applied (updated from ref. 8) and reprocessed ERS-2/Envisat altimetry9. Second, in contrast to the previously reported slowing in the rate during the past two decades1, our corrected GMSL data set indicates an acceleration in sea-level rise (independent of the VLM used), which is of opposite sign to previous estimates and comparable to the accelerated loss of ice from Greenland and to recent projections2, 10, and larger than the twentieth-century acceleration2, 8, 10.”

  95. Record Antarctic sea ice is forcing scientists to consider relocating research bases as they struggle to cope.
    Satellite observations show a new daily record being set for ­Antarctic sea ice every day for the past two weeks. Annual records have also been broken every year for the past three years.
    Rob Wooding, general manager of the Australian Antarctic Division’s Operations Branch, said expanding sea ice was now causing serious problems.
    Last year, fuel supplies were flown to Australia’s Mawson base by helicopter because the harbour had failed to clear. Dr Wooding said the situation was “unsustainable”.
    He said it was possible for the Aurora Australis icebreaker to break through a certain amount of sea ice to enter the harbour, and the planned capability of a replacement icebreaker would increase the ability to do this.
    But conditions experienced last year of thick sea ice, with snow cover, extending out 40 to 50km could not regularly be navigated by any Antarctic resupply vessel………….

    Professor Tony Worby, chief executive of the Climate and Ecosystems Co-operative Research Centre, said expanding Antarctic sea ice had not been ­expected initially with climate change, but was now better understood.

    Professor Worby, master of the understatement, comes to a better understanding.

  96. New Antarctic Ice Core samples 800K to 1.0M year old ice from the Alan Hills area near McMurdo.

    The ages can’t quite be nailed down perfectly (as some of the dates are contradictory) but it shows the typical ice age cycles expected for the time-period and the CO2 estimates are pretty typical to the period before 800K – ranging from 221 ppm to 277 ppm.

    So, although the warmists will try to spin this as a drawdown in CO2 between 1.0 Million years and 800,000 years deepened the ice ages cycles, the data tells the complete opposite and there was NO drawdown in CO2 at the time – just the low levels of the last 3.0 million years.

  97. Well, Bill Nye is at it again.
    He’s trying to rally the children to save the world this time, having given up on the adults as too reasonable. I can assure him that people are NOT streaming out of Miami. Of course, every time there is a King tide and the streets of Miami Beach get wet it’s trumpeted as AGW sea level rise. *sigh*

  98. Students seek to revoke WA state senator’s degree for not believing in climate change, even though he does

    The bar which must be met when dealing with college campus activists: Publishing legislation which says that climate change is real and human activity may contribute to it isn’t sufficient anymore.

  99. ***Nothing herein shall constitute or be considered to be a limitation upon or waiver of the privileges and immunities of The World Bank, all of which are specifically reserved.

    PDF: 180 pages: World Bank: Decarbonizing Development
    Three Steps to a Zero-Carbon Future
    by Marianne Fay, Stephane Hallegatte, Adrien Vogt-Schilb, Julie Rozenberg, Ulf Narloch & Tom Kerr
    ***Nothing herein shall constitute or be considered to be a limitation upon or waiver of the privileges and immunities of The World Bank, all of which are specifically reserved.

  100. followup to Dennis Kuzara link re WWU:

    11 May: Bellingham Herald: Ralph Schwartz: WWU president responds to climate-conscious students who would strip GOP Sen. Ericksen’s degree
    In a statement to The Bellingham Herald sent late Friday, May 8 (after this blogger’s weekend had begun), WWU President Bruce Shepard effectively tried to pre-empt any attempt by the student group, led by Chiara D’Angelo, Evelyn Kennedy and Emily Krieger, to ask the administration to strip Ericksen’s 1995 master’s degree in political science and environmental policy. The students’ rationale, outlined in an undated letter to Shepard; LeaAnn Martin, dean of the College of Humanities and Social Sciences; and the WWU board of trustees, was that Ericksen’s actions in the state Legislature, particularly in the arena of climate change, “stand against the ideals of Western Washington University students and threaten future generations.”
    Ericksen is opposed to Gov. Jay Inslee’s low-carbon fuel standard and, along with other Senate Republicans, introduced legislation this year to serve as an alternative to Inslee’s carbon cap-and-trade proposal for the state. Ericksen and Co.’s package includes encouraging nuclear energy and offering more flexibility to electric utilities that must meet alternative energy targets.
    While Ericksen has said human beings “may” be contributing to climate change, he has cited fringe science that tries to refute the scientific consensus that global temperatures are getting warmer, and the burning of fossil fuels is the cause…
    Here’s Shepard’s statement in full:
    “We appreciate the good work of Senator Doug Ericksen on behalf of Western Washington University. Senator Ericksen, a Western alumnus, has proven to be a friend to Western and a strong advocate. It is a special obligation of a university community to provide a venue for civil and thoughtful discussion about the important issues that confront us and to do so in an atmosphere of respect for different viewpoints. The strength of our democracy is that all citizens, including students and leaders like Senator Ericksen, have the freedom of expression to take positions with diverse viewpoints. Consequently, any notion that we might seek to penalize a graduate for the positions they express shows a disturbing misunderstanding of the intellectual freedoms any university worthy of the name must stand for. And, protect.”…

  101. some of the CAGW crowd are alarmed at this year’s Australian Budget!

    13 May: Crikey: Giles Parkinson: Budget losers: climate agencies up in smoke
    Like true conservatives, the Coalition’s leadership team thinks the best
    environmental strategy is to defund every climate science body but boost
    spending for a bunch of people to pick up litter.
    Just a few months ago, the newly constituted and Republican-dominated US
    Senate was asked to vote on a motion that “human activity significantly
    contributes to climate change”.
    They voted against it…
    In Australia’s ruling Coalition, that view is noisily shared by Prime
    Minister Tony Abbott’s closest advisers, such as Maurice “it’s all a UN
    plot” Newman and Dick “I’m not a climate sceptic, I just don’t accept the
    science” Warburton, and of course some rogue members of Parliament such as
    Barnaby “it’s cold down here” Joyce…
    The budget papers confirm that spending for the $10 billion Clean Energy
    Finance Corporation and the Climate Change Authority will be halted in
    fiscal 2016/17. Perversely, the CCA gains an extra year, presumably to
    conduct the nth review of the renewable energy target that the Coalition
    promised just a month ago it wouldn’t do. That uncertainty will continue to
    undermine investment in large-scale renewables in Australia.
    The Australian Renewable Energy Agency — which funds emerging technologies
    such as wave energy, solar and storage, and off-grid systems — will also be
    absorbed back into the department and defunded.
    Climate research is cut again, with the National Climate Change Adaptation
    Research Facility added to the list of climate and clean energy agencies to
    be wound up in 2017…
    The Green Army gets a $179 million kick along to pick up litter and do other
    worthy things that a conservative regards as environmental. That is $73
    million less than had been planned, so that the government can spend an
    extra $100 million on the reef and “boosting water quality”…
    The National Climate Change Adaptation Research Facility is added to the
    list of climate and clean energy agencies to be wound up in 2017
    The biggest gripe of environmental groups was the retention of the fuel tax
    credit scheme, which they say amounts to a $7 billion per year federal
    government subsidy for diesel consumption…
    “Even Abbott Government climate contrarian poster-boy Bjorn Lomborg has
    called to end fossil fuel handouts,” said Environment Victoria’s Mark
    Newly elected Greens leader Richard Di Natale described the 2015 budget as a
    “visionless, small-minded document”…
    John Connor, the CEO of the Climate Institute, went further…

  102. Richard has upset 1Million (minus?)

    11 May: ABC PM: Richard Branson backs away from Great Barrier Reef comments
    ASHLEY HALL: The billionaire businessman Richard Branson is backing away from his call for the United Nations’ World Heritage body to list the Great Barrier Reef as in danger.
    In a blog post on the Virgin website late last week, Sir Richard wrote the reef was under “severe threat”, and should have its status downgraded to protect it from being turned into an industrial dumping ground.
    He’d lent his name to a campaign by the advocacy group 1MillionWomen.
    But in the face of a storm of criticism, Sir Richard has now gone quiet. He says he was unaware of the Australian Government’s efforts to protect the reef…
    SHARNIE KIM: 1MillionWomen’s director is Natalie Isaacs.
    NATALIE ISAACS: The oceans are dear to his heart and so is the Great Barrier Reef so we thought that it’d be fantastic if he could help us get profile by wearing one our t-shirts and making a blog about it…
    The Environment Minister Greg Hunt says he’ll speak to Sir Richard tonight and highlight what he calls the “incorrect claims being made by green groups”…

  103. Following up on the post from Lawrence May 12, 2015 at 8:57 am

    The Daily Telegraph is in on the act here

    El Nino could give Britain a cold, wet summer

    The development of a “substantial” El Nino could lead to a damp summer with temperatures well below average, and weather chaos around the world. Britain may be in for a wet and cool summer thanks to the forecast of a “substantial” El Nino weather phenomenon in the Pacific.

    The last I heard on this forum was that the jury was still out.

  104. Emails show UCLA, CPUC deal making

    Peevey said grants would be ‘satisfactory to our joint purposes’

    Former California Public Utilities Commission President Michael Peevey filed a public notice disclosing an email he received from UCLA regarding grants for greenhouse gas research.

    What he didn’t disclose was his own reply, which indicates ongoing behind-the-scenes maneuvering involving Peevey, Commissioner Michel Florio and university faculty.

    The San Diego Union-Tribune obtained Peevey’s response from the University of California Los Angeles under the California Public Records Act.

    At stake was $25 million in grants for greenhouse gas research, money Peevey secured from utility companies under the settlement agreement for shutdown costs at the failed San Onofre nuclear power plant north of Oceanside.

    Peevey first broached the idea at a secret meeting in Warsaw, Poland, in March 2013 and continued his backchannel push for the research funds until they became part of the $4.7 billion settlement deal approved by the commission in November.

    Peevey, who accepted a seat on the UCLA Luskin Center for Innovation advisory board at the same time he was negotiating the greenhouse gas grants, has not responded to questions about his backchannel communications with utilities and others since he left the commission.

  105. Had to post this one.
    Yoram Bauman, “the world’s first and only stand-up economist”, performs regularly at colleges and corporate events, sharing the stage with everyone from Robin Williams to Paul Krugman. He has appeared in TIME Magazine and on PBS and NPR, and is the co-author of the Cartoon Introduction to Climate Change and the two-volume Cartoon Introduction to Economics, which is now available in Chinese, German, Italian, etc. Speaking of foreign languages, he is also the organizer of the humor session at the annual meeting of the American Economic Association.
    Yoram lives in Seattle, where he founded Non-Profit Comedy, a series of benefit shows that raised almost $100,000 for local non-profits. He has a BA in mathematics from Reed College and a PhD in economics from the University of Washington. His goals in life are to spread joy to the world through economics comedy; to reform economics education; and to implement carbon pricing.
    His website is

    I have not visited it, my ulcer is acting up as it is.

  106. well worth a read, tho CAGW makes a dubious appearance at the end:

    3 pages: 13 May: Forbes: Erin Carlyle: Beyond California: The Worst Droughts In American History
    To identify the Worst Droughts In U.S. History—a task that is harder than it might sound–Forbes consulted America’s top climate scientists. We discovered that comparing droughts is tricky. For one, there is no clear consensus on the exact definition of the word “drought.” Nor is there an agreed-upon way to calculate a drought’s duration…
    “Everybody’s drought is going to be the worst one in their region,” says Daniel Cayan, a researcher at the University of California, San Diego. “It’s kind of like a drought beauty contest.”…
    But none of the droughts of the 20th century come close to droughts of past centuries…
    In fact, the record shows that droughts as severe as the Great Plains drought of the 1950s took place in North America several times each century over the last 300 to 400 years. As recently as 500 years ago, North America experienced droughts of much greater duration and severity than any seen in the 20th century…
    But two factors have changed significantly since the state’s worst drought in 1977. First, California’s 39 billion population is now 73% greater than it was in 1977. Second, the current drought is likely exacerbated by a warming climate. “The California drought has been called a global warming drought, because it’s being made worse by the warmer temperatures we have now than we did 50 years ago,” says Cook ( Ed Cook, director of the Tree-Ring Laboratory at Columbia University’s Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory in Palisades, N.Y) …

  107. The debate is (probably) over, the science is (probably) settled…

    ‘New study shows Antarctic ice shelf is thinning from above and below’
    “A decade-long scientific debate about what’s causing the thinning of one of Antarctica’s largest ice shelves is settled this week (Wednesday 13 May) with the publication of an international study in the journal The Cryosphere.
    The Larsen C Ice Shelf — whose neighbours Larsen A and B, collapsed in 1995 and 2002 — is thinning from both its surface and beneath. For years scientists have been unable to determine whether it is warming air temperatures or warmer ocean currents that were causing the Antarctic Peninsula’s floating ice shelves to lose volume and become more vulnerable to collapse. This new study takes an important step forward in assessing Antarctica’s likely contribution to future sea-level rise.
    The research team combined satellite data and eight radar surveys captured during a 15-year period from 1998–2012. They found that Larsen C Ice Shelf lost an average of 4 metres of ice, and had lowered by an average of one metre at the surface.
    Lead author, Dr Paul Holland from British Antarctic Survey (BAS), says:
    “What’s exciting about this study is we now know that two different processes are causing Larsen C to thin and become less stable. Air is being lost from the top layer of snow (called the firn), which is becoming more compacted — probably because of increased melting by a warmer atmosphere. We know also that Larsen C is losing ice, probably from warmer ocean currents or changing ice flow.
    “If this vast ice shelf — which is over two and a half times the size of Wales and 10 times bigger than Larsen B — was to collapse, it would allow the tributary glaciers behind it to flow faster into the sea. This would then contribute to sea-level rise.”
    The Antarctic Peninsula is one of the fastest warming regions on Earth, with a temperature rise of 2.5°C over the last 50 years.
    The team, who continue to monitor the ice shelf closely, predict that a collapse could occur within a century, although maybe sooner and with little warning. A crack is forming in the ice which could cause it to retreat back further than previously observed. The ice shelf appears also to be detaching from a small island called Bawden Ice Rise at its northern edge.
    Professor David Vaughan, glaciologist and Director of Science at BAS, says:
    “When Larsen A and B were lost, the glaciers behind them accelerated and they are now contributing a significant fraction of the sea-level rise from the whole of Antarctica. Larsen C is bigger and if it were to be lost in the next few decades then it would actually add to the projections of sea-level rise by 2100.
    “We expect that sea-level rise around the world will be something in excess of 50 cm higher by 2100 than it is at present and that will cause problems for coastal and low-lying cities. Understanding and counting up these small contributions from Larsen C and all the glaciers around the world is very important if we are to project, with confidence, the rate of sea-level rise into the future.”
    The study was carried out by scientists from British Antarctic Survey, the United States Geological Survey, University of Colorado, University of Kansas and Scripps Institution of Oceanography. It was funded by the Natural Environment Research Council in the UK, National Science Foundation in the US and a range of international funding bodies around the world.

  108. it’s all over folks, the UN has surrendered to ***reality, posted this on the Vatican thread because if the Pope has postponed the Encyclical, it might be because no binding deal whatsoever is now expected, and developing countries have been assured they can continue with fossil fuels, and go for growth:

    13 May: Reuters: Alister Doyle: New climate deal seen aiding GDP, lacking sanctions: U.N. chief
    A U.N. deal to combat global warming due in December will seek to lift world economic growth and be based more on encouragement than threats of punishment for non-compliance, the U.N.’s climate chief said on Wednesday…
    The looser formula is a sharp shift from the U.N.’s 1997 Kyoto Protocol, which originally bound about 40 rich nations to cut greenhouse gas emissions and foresaw sanctions that were never imposed even when Japan, Russia and Canada dropped out.
    ***Figueres dismissed fears by many developing nations, which have no binding targets under Kyoto and fear that a Paris accord due to enter into force from 2020 could force them to cut fossil fuel use, undermining economic growth.
    ***”The bottom line (is that) this is an agreement and a path that is protective of growth and development rather than threatening to growth and development,” Figueres told an online news conference.
    The deal would be “enabling and facilitating” rather than a “punitive-type” agreement, she said. The deal’s main thrust would be to decouple greenhouse gas emissions from gross domestic product growth…

  109. Anthony,

    This is with regards to the JAXA graphs of Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

    I emailed IARC about the graphs and their reply is below.

    It looks like the graphs will no longer be available.



    IARC’s partnership with JAXA has ended, and the IJIS Sea Ice Monitor has been taken down due to the end of the project’s funding. However, a very similar sea ice monitor exists at the following website:

    Hope this helps!

    On Sat, May 9, 2015 at 8:56 AM, wrote:


    I noticed that the sea ice extent graphs are no longer loading (e.g., and Did the links change or are the graphs no longer available?


  110. Let’s discuss media:

    Insight – U.S. media CEOs are top paid even in year when stock prices lagged

    Investors in some top U.S. media companies have had a rough ride as their shares have lagged the rest of the market. You just wouldn’t know it if you looked at the bank accounts of their top executives.

    The CEOs of 11 major media companies were given median compensation of $32.9 million for 2014, much higher than any other industry group in the Standard & Poor’s 500 index, according to regulatory filings posted in the first four months of this year and analyzed by executive pay consulting firm Farient Advisors for Reuters. Food & staples retailers came in a distant second at $24.5 million.

    It is set to be the seventh successive year media industry executives come out on top – figures before 2008 are not comparable because of the way pensions and stock options are disclosed.

    In many of the years, media company stocks were outperforming the broader market as revenue and earnings surged. Last year, though, the median total return of the 11 companies was 10.76 percent against 13.69 percent for the S&P 500 as a whole.

    The weakness reflects more challenging times in much of the business, with advertising growth stuttering and the increasing amounts of video delivered and viewed over the Internet upsetting a cozy business model for program makers and the traditional pay-TV distributers, such as cable companies.

    Many companies justify big awards by stressing difficulty retaining top talent in a competitive market.

    But some compensation experts say there is another explanation – a number of the major media companies are controlled by top executives and their families, which means boards don’t have to worry much about objections from other shareholders. CEOs at companies with less family influence benefit anyway because boards tend to benchmark pay against their major rivals.

    Robert McCormick, chief policy officer of proxy adviser Glass Lewis & Co, said the controlling shareholders “can pay whatever they want,” and disregard views of other shareholders.

    For example, Sumner Redstone, 91, controls about 80 percent of the voting shares in CBS (CBS.N) and Viacom (VIAB.O) through a holding company.

    So far this year, the CEOs of Discovery Communications Inc (DISCA.O), CBS, Walt Disney Co (DIS.N) and Viacom accounted for the first, third, fourth and fifth spots among the five highest-paid CEOs across the S&P 500. The only non-media CEO in that group was Steven Mollenkopf of telecom technology company Qualcomm Inc (QCOM.O), who was second.

    Often in the media industry, “the pay is not reflecting the performance,” said Michael McCauley, senior officer for the Florida State Board of Administration, which manages pension assets for Florida state and other local authority employees, and holds shares in all four of these media companies…


    ABC News chief anchor George Stephanopoulos has given $75,000 to the Clinton Foundation in recent years, charitable contributions that he did not publicly disclose while reporting on the Clintons or their nonprofit organization, the On Media blog has learned.

    In 2012, 2013 and 2014, Stephanopoulos made $25,000 donations to the 501 nonprofit founded by former President Bill Clinton, the foundation’s records show. Stephanopoulos never disclosed this information to viewers, even when interviewing author Peter Schweizer last month about his book “Clinton Cash,” which alleges that donations to the foundation may have influenced some of Hillary Clinton’s actions as secretary of state.

    In a statement to the On Media blog on Thursday, Stephanopoulos apologized and said that he should have disclosed the donations to ABC News and its viewers.


    ————————— More here——————

    Has Climate Change Impacted Your Family? – NewsBusters…/networks-ask-obama-has-climate-cha…
    Apr 8, 2015 – GEORGE STEPHANOPOULOS: You know something well, all about the consequences of climate change, melting ice, more frequent …
    O’Malley: Global Warming Is The Most Important “Natural …
    Apr 1, 2015 – Former Maryland governor and presidential hopeful Martin O’Malley told ABC’s George Stephanopoulos Sunday global warming is the most …
    Extreme Weather More Frequent with Global Warming ……/extreme-weather-more-freque...
    Climate Central
    Feb 16, 2014 – Climate Central Chief Climatologist Dr. Heidi Cullen explains in a panel discussion on ABC’s This Week with George Stephanopoulos how …


    Three or four well known Hotheads with instruments of torture in their hands bending over the well known Star Trek character Data tied down in a chair. The caption is, of course,

    Eugene WR Gallun


    So, it has come to this – Forecast the Facts is petitioning the MSM to no longer use the word skeptic, but instead use ‘denier’.

  113. here is the address to Forecast the Facts petition:

  114. OK, Im on a roll. I did a wayback look at the petition site. very interesting stuff. the first snapshot available is Feb 19 and shows 23,415 signers and then a couple snapshots later into April showed the same number of signers.
    28,171 signers are shown now. Well now its 28.172, because I signed it with the name and email of Youare Sofull Ofshit. and it accepted it.

  115. 14 May: CarbonBrief: Sophie Yeo: Countries fail to set shipping climate target
    Countries rejected the opportunity to place a global emissions reduction target on the shipping industry at a meeting of the International Maritime Organisation in London this week….

    14 May: Guardian: Adam Vaughan: Boris Johnson rejects London motion on fossil fuel divestment
    Mayor dismisses call to divest £4.8bn pension fund from oil, coal and gas saying UK needs fracking to avoid relying on energy imports…

  116. Scaremongers and warmistas at work again???
    The following is paywalled, of course, and available at a discount price of just $ 39.95

    The evolving instability of the remnant Larsen B Ice Shelf and its tributary glaciers
    by Ala Khazendar, Christopher P. Borstad, 1, Bernd Scheuchl, Eric Rignot, Helene Seroussi

    Following the 2002 disintegration of the northern and central parts of the Larsen B Ice Shelf, the tributary glaciers of the southern surviving part initially appeared relatively unchanged and hence assumed to be buttressed sufficiently by the remnant ice shelf. Here, we modify this perception with observations from IceBridge altimetry and InSAR-inferred ice flow speeds. Our analyses show that the surfaces of Leppard and Flask glaciers directly upstream from their grounding lines lowered by 15 to 20 m in the period 2002–2011. The thinning appears to be dynamic as the flow of both glaciers and the remnant ice shelf accelerated in the same period. Flask Glacier started accelerating even before the 2002 disintegration, increasing its flow speed by ∼55% between 1997 and 2012. Starbuck Glacier meanwhile did not change much. We hypothesize that the different evolutions of the three glaciers are related to their dissimilar bed topographies and degrees of grounding. We apply numerical modeling and data assimilation that show these changes to be accompanied by a reduction in the buttressing afforded by the remnant ice shelf, a weakening of the shear zones between its flow units and an increase in its fracture. The fast flowing northwestern part of the remnant ice shelf exhibits increasing fragmentation, while the stagnant southeastern part seems to be prone to the formation of large rifts, some of which we show have delimited successive calving events. A large rift only 12 km downstream from the grounding line is currently traversing the stagnant part of the ice shelf, defining the likely front of the next large calving event. We propose that the flow acceleration, ice front retreat and enhanced fracture of the remnant Larsen B Ice Shelf presage its approaching demise.

    Antarctica; Larsen Ice Shelf; ice-shelf instability; laser altimetry; InSAR ice flow speeds; numerical ice modeling

    Corresponding author. Tel.: +1 818 393 1581.
    Present address: Department of Arctic Geophysics, The University Centre in Svalbard, Longyearbyen, Norway.

  117. web guys – time to update

    Material on this website is copyright © 2006-2014, by Anthony Watts, and may not be stored or archived separately, rebroadcast, or republished without written permission.


  118. Seattle Times business columnist Jon Talton has a poll in his column today regarding the current kerfuffle over Shell drilling rigs being serviced at Port of Seattle facilities. Curiously, the poll is only open to the CAGW faithful, with reminders of the 97%, IPCC says so, etc. Deniers are thanked for the page view and asked to move along. Really useful information from that poll, I suppose.

  119. @ Willis Eschenbach

    Hi Willis,

    I have been looking at this document from the FAO: Climate Change and Long-Term Fluctuations of Commercial Catches – The Possibility of Forecasting ( )


    Summary page 10:

    A phenomenon of close correlation between the main climatic index dT and geophysical index (-LOD) still remains an intricate puzzle of geophysics. Another challenging puzzle is the observable 6-year lag between the detrended run of dT and -LOD. Taking into account this lag, the LOD observations can be used as a predictor of the future climatic trends. Even without a mechanism for a causal relationship between the detrended climatic (dT) and geophysical (LOD) indices, the phenomenon of their close similarity for the last 140 years makes LOD a convenient tool to predict the global temperature anomaly (dT) for at least 6 years ahead.

    Lambeck and Cazenave (1976) pointed out a high probability of an increasing global temperature trend in the 1970s and 1980s. Their prediction was correct.

    Spectral density analysis of the LOD time series for 1850-1998 revealed clear, regular fluctuations with an approximate 60-year period length (see below). The multidecadal maxima of LOD took place in the early 1870s and mid-1930s, and the next maximum is likely to fall early in 2000. Based on this
    multidecadal periodicity of LOD, and the fact that LOD runs ahead of dT by 6 years, a gradually descending dT may be expected around 2005.

    Although the interdependences between dT, ACI and -LOD may be complex, the empirical geophysical index (LOD) may still serve as a general predictor of future climate changes. This gives an opportunity to forecast climate change and, therefore, stock and catches of commercial species, which are related to climate.


    Maybe you could you take a look at this correlation between LOD and dT? It’s the strangest paper I have found and it has intrigued me for years now.

    Kind regards,

  120. Washington Post had an article, “How To Teach Climate Change to a Conservative”. I suggested the author visit WUWT, and read about the ’22 Inconvenient Climate Change Truths’, and got into a “discussion” with one ‘ cls1 ‘.

    You’ll know it’s me as I used my pseudo-nym ” Max ” Join in; it was a interesting discussion!

  121. “Green Amber is #2 on Booker’s list:

    16 May: UK Telegraph: Christopher Booker: Three issues on which we need more sense from Tories
    Green Amber is set to turn out our lights
    Those who hoped that putting a Conservative minister in charge of the Department of Energy and Climate Change (Decc) would trigger a rethink of an energy policy that can only lead to our lights going out were in for a rude shock.
    The new Energy Secretary, Amber Rudd, is just as lost in the bubble of Green make-believe as her predecessor, Ed Davey. The most important challenge facing us, she says, is to limit “global warming to under 2 degrees C”; and she adds that there isn’t a cigarette paper “between me and Labour on our commitment to getting a deal in Paris” (she means the global climate treaty that isn’t going to happen next December).
    Ms Rudd also gave the game away by claiming to be a “Thatcherite”, because of Margaret Thatcher’s conversion to a belief in the global warming scare in 1988. She seems unaware of Baroness Thatcher’s recantation of her earlier views (see my 2010 article “Was Margaret Thatcher the first climate sceptic?”)…
    We must close fossil-fuel power stations; end all use of gas for cooking and heating; and we must double our reliance on electricity, by going flat-out for grotesquely subsidised solar, offshore wind and nuclear. These will only keep the lights on when the wind is blowing, the sun is shining and we can find some foreigners to build us even one nuclear power station that works.
    Eventually the penny will drop that we are stuck with an energy policy so insanely unworkable that it can only lead to the breakdown of Britain’s economy…

  122. In the Sunday Times (UK) today there is an article on a new OCO satellite to be launched in a couple of years time with the objective of spying on the CO2 emissions by country, or even City.

    The article contained this on the existing OCO2 satellite:

    Crisp’s team has spent the past year gathering data from the prototype satellite (OCO2) and plans to publish it this autumn, shortly before a UN conference in Paris where policy makers will try to draw up a global treaty to cut greenhouse gas emissions.

    Can they not be forced to publish sooner under the freedom of information act? Surely, the data should be made available now to US taxpayers, not stored up to bolster the Paris jamboree.

  123. Here’s a CNN ‘OMG we’re all gonna die’ hit piece on the immient ‘collapse’ of the Larsen B ice shelf (by 2020 no less)

    Replete with photoshopped smokestacks, smog in China (as if it a result of CO2), flooding in Bangladesh, etc, etc,

    Phrases like ‘highest temperatures in recorded history’, ‘highest levels of CO2 in 600,000 years’, and on and on.

  124. Despite predictions of runaway ecological destruction, beginning in the 1970s, Americans began to consume less and tread more lightly on the planet. Over the past several decades, through technological innovation, Americans now grow more food on less acres, eat more sources of meat that are less land-intrusive, and used water more efficiently so that water use is lower than in 1970. The result: lands that were once used for farms and logging operations are now returning as forests and grasslands, along with wildlife, such as the return of humpback whales off the shores of New York City. As Jesse Ausubel elucidates in a new essay for Breakthrough Journal, as humans depend less on nature for the well-being, the more nature they have returned.

  125. Eye catching photo on front page of today’s Grauniad of kayaks participating in a demonstration against Shell exploring for oil in the Arctic. Wonder how many of them were made of oil derivatives?

  126. 14 May: Wind crash link to altitude, lighting
    The US National Transportation Safety Board said low-altitude flying and a non-functioning nacelle light are the probable causes of a collision in April 2014 between a small plane and a wind turbine in South Dakota that killed four people.
    The pilot and three passengers died when a single-engine Piper flying at night crashed into the blades of a turbine at NextEra Energy Resource’s 40.5MW South Dakota wind farm…
    The investigation revealed that the pilot was familiar with the area and with the wind farm. The light on the turbine that was struck was not operational at the time of the accident, and the outage was not documented in a notice to airmen…
    The turbine was the fifth in a string of turbines oriented east to west, then the string continued south and southwest with an additional 13 towers.
    “If the pilot observed the lights from the surrounding wind turbines, it is possible that he perceived a break in the light string between the wind turbines as an obstacle-free zone,” said the NTSB…

    worth reading all:

    17 May: BangorDailyNews: Paula Moore: Wind power isn’t making the big impact its champions claim
    The Maine Renewable Energy Association recently released information from a white paper to clarify the 2013 benefits of wind power in Maine and predict future benefits in 2020. Unfortunately, the association’s press release touted at least one simplistic conclusion: Wind power theoretically offset the CO2 emissions from 94,000 vehicles in 2013. If only wind power could offset vehicle emissions.
    To state the obvious, wind power never will offset emissions from vehicles, though that would be helpful because much of the CO2 in Maine — and the U.S. — is produced by vehicles.
    The point of wind power is to offset emissions from traditional power plants. How much CO2 did Maine wind power offset from power plants in 2013? Not much. ISO New England, the entity responsible for managing electricity across the six New England states, reported CO2 emissions from power generators in 2013 were 40,901,000 tons.
    By comparison, as estimated in the Maine Renewable Energy Association white paper, Maine wind power generated 27.8 percent of its nameplate capacity to offset an estimated 490,000 tons of CO2. That’s about a 1 percent offset. No wonder the Maine Renewable Energy Association chose to use a theoretical analogy instead of the real but puny 1 percent figure…
    (Paula Moore is a retired assistant professor in the University of Maine School of Education)

  127. 14 May: Platts: Jeff Ryser: Warming weather in California exposes vulnerabilities of wind power
    Is it the first signs of a serious problem for wind power generation?
    Data shows a significant drop-off of wind power sales in California due to warm weather, which caused a drop in wind velocities. Is it possible that wind farms that so many believe will help mitigate the warming of a changing climate will instead be impaired by that very same warming?
    The initial numbers that have emerged are striking.
    First, analysts have estimated that wind speeds in the first half of the first quarter in California were off by as much as 20%, or more, from normal averages…
    Now, the first quarter sales of wholesale wind power that owners of wind farms are required to report to the US Federal Energy Regulatory Commission are in, and the numbers are stark…
    Wholesale power sales from wind generators in California in the first quarter of this year fell an eye-opening 32.7% compared to sales in the first quarter of 2014…READ ALL

  128. IMF wants a 5.3 Trillion tax to pay for the subsidy that fossil fuel producers get for the free ride for their pollution’s effects. No mention of the pollution caused by non fossil fuel sources of energy.

  129. The World Bank and the IMF want to hijack ninety trillion dollars and divert it into the ‘battle’ against climate change. (the estimate they refer to is the conclusion of the Felipe Calderon / World Resources Institute report)

    Mobilizing the Billions and Trillions for Climate Finance

    “Over the next 15 years, the global economy will require an estimated $89 trillion in infrastructure investments across cities, energy, and land-use systems, and $4.1 trillion in incremental investment for the low-carbon transition to keep within the internationally agreed limit of a 2 degree Celsius temperature rise.”

  130. for the last five years or so, to get to your site I’ve typed into google wattsup and you’ve been top hit. Often the first 5 or 6 have been fiiled with wattsupwiththat stories. Today, you’re not on the first two pages! It’s all Whats app. Now considering that the spelling is completely different, what’s all that about then?

  131. Michael – at your World Bank link:

    ***Investors, particularly long-term investors like pension funds, which were represented at the meetings, have been increasing pressure on companies to shift toward cleaner investments and avoid high-emitting assets that could become stranded in an economy evolving away from fossil fuels.***

    ***The magnitude of the finance challenges ahead and the discussions made clear the need to build on one another’s work and set targets, said World Bank Group Vice President and Special Envoy for Climate Change Rachel Kyte. “One thing that came through very clear is that you have to know where you’re going. You have to have clear goals and targets at the national level,” Kyte said. Shifting the world to a cleaner trajectory will require nothing short of economic transformation.***

    ANYONE WANTING TO PROTECT THEIR RETIREMENT FUNDS, NEEDS TO CONTACT THEIR FUND MANAGERS, WRITE TO THE MSM, ETC TO INSIST THEY ARE NOT CLAMOURING FOR “pressure on companies to shift toward cleaner investments and avoid high-emitting assets that could become stranded in an economy evolving away from fossil fuels”.

    as for World Bank’s Rachel Kyte’s – “Shifting the world to a cleaner trajectory will require nothing short of economic transformation” – who does she think she is? Christiana Figueres? u have no mandate, Rachel.

  132. “Climate champion”?

    18 May: AFP: Climate champion Al Gore voices hope for Paris talks
    “The world is fortunate that France is hosting this important conference in December. They’ve spared no effort to make it a success,” Nobel Prize-winner Gore said in a meeting with French President Francois Hollande.
    “In the last century an American poet could have been writing about the string of conferences on climate when he wrote the words ‘after the last no comes the yes’,” Gore added, referring to Wallace Stevens.
    “And on that yes the future of the world depends. This conference is the one where the world will say yes to an agreement to reduce global warming.”…
    Also on Monday, French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius warned that the international community “does not have the right to fail” at the upcoming climate talks.
    “We must resolutely engage because there is no other solution, for the simple reason that there is no alternative planet,” Fabius said in Berlin.

    how does any other business get a look-in?

    18 May: Bloomberg: Germany, France Seek Curb on Fossil Fuel Pollution This Century
    by Stefan NicolaBrian Parkin
    About 35 ministers gathered in Berlin will discuss financial aid to poor countries grappling with climate change, national emissions reductions and how a Paris deal could look, Hendricks said.
    Chancellor Angela Merkel will speak at the meeting Tuesday…
    On Wednesday and Thursday, business leaders gather in Paris to discuss their response to the environment. In New York this week, energy ministers from some 40 nations are gathering to discuss ways to spur cleaner forms of energy…

    18 May: RTCC: Megan Darby: Will the Paris business summit mobilise support for climate action?
    With just over six months to go until diplomats thrash out a deal, the French capital this week hosts the Business and Climate Summit.
    President Francois Hollande will be there in person on Wednesday to talk up the “Paris climate alliance” – a broad coalition to tackle climate change.
    “We want businesses to make a commitment, invest, innovate and prepare – with us, with the states, with the non-governmental organizations, with societies – tomorrow’s economy,” he says.
    The line-up includes big hitters known for their leadership on sustainability issues… and some fossil fuel giants better known for playing down the climate threat…
    Sandrine Dixson-Decleve, director of the Prince of Wales Corporate Leaders Group, says: “I am quite taken aback at the amount of momentum we have seen since September. There are so many initiatives.”
    Companies like Unilever are spearheading a drive to end deforestation, for example, while Apple has promised to go 100% renewable…
    ***“In many ways the game is up with coal,” says Topping (Nigel Topping, chief of the We Mean Business coalition). “What is a constructive role for a coal company in the [low carbon] transition? It might be difficult.”
    ***Greg Barker, UK prime minister David Cameron’s former climate envoy and newly appointed trustee at the Climate Group, agrees: “Unabated coal is the enemy.”…
    Yet speakers at the event include Tony Hayward, formerly of BP and now at mining giant Glencore Xstrata. His company dismisses concerns its coal assets will be stranded by climate action …

  133. accelerate the indoctrination:

    18 May: Project Syndicate: Educating for Sustainable Development
    by Irina Bokova, Director-General of UNESCO and Christiana Figueres, Executive Secretary of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC).
    PARIS – This year marks a turning point for the world, with the international community adopting a new global development strategy in September and negotiating a universal deal to combat climate change in December. To succeed, policymakers must recognize that today’s global imperatives – to eradicate poverty and improve wellbeing, while restoring the Earth’s balance – form a single agenda, and that the most effective means of achieving it is education…
    Likewise, Article 6 of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) stipulates that education, training, and public awareness on climate change must be pursued.
    But, with negotiations on these global agreements far from complete, it is vital that policymakers’ emphasis on education continues to be reinforced. To this end, the world’s education ministers must take the opportunity offered by this month’s World Education Forum in Incheon, South Korea, to highlight the role that education can and should play in advancing sustainable development…
    Together, UNESCO and the UNFCCC are not only promoting climate-change education in schools; they are also giving teachers the tools and knowledge they need to provide that education through online courses. Already, more than 14 million students and 1.2 million teachers in 58 countries have been engaged in such learning, and 550 business schools have signed on to the Principles for Responsible Management Education, developed by the UN Global Compact.
    This progress, though important, is just the beginning. What is needed now is a global movement, with every student in every country learning about sustainable development from well-trained teachers, equipped with the appropriate curricula and resources…
    And, with effective educational programs that instill in future generations the importance of restoring Earth’s balance and delivering a prosperous future for the many, rather than the few, we can stay on that path…

  134. Anthony,

    Just a question, do you need to update this to 2015?

    I have no clue…..Jack

    Copyright Notice

    Material on this website is copyright © 2006-2014, by Anthony Watts, and may not be stored or archived separately, rebroadcast, or republished without written permission.

  135. Earthly Energy Budgets
    In my opinion the blogger for thesite below, a physicist, is a not a little wacko but smart. In the linked piece he includes an energy budget for the earth by NASA that comes out even. (I have despaired of juggling the ins and outs of all the others.) The graphic appeared in a NASA weather instruction booklet for grades 9-12.
    It is at :

    It is the only energy budget I can read and understand. Does it make sense or is it hopelessly simplistic and naïve. It’s also a few years old.
    What do you think?

  136. a bill mckibben stunt gone wrong, so ABC australia omits to name the organisers, but check out the photo:

    20 May: ABC: Protester left hanging from Melbourne building after abseiling fall
    A protester has been has left been hanging from the Commonwealth Bank offices in Melbourne’s CBD after he fell while abseiling.
    The protest group, who are opposed the bank’s investment in the coal industry, assembled at the Bourke Street building just after 10:00am

    TWEET: Wow protest gone wrong commbank 385 Bourke st melb, no harness one fell this one clinging waiting for police rescue

    Police said a woman, who was also abseiling, had to be helped to safety.
    One witness tweeting from the scene said the man in trouble did not appear to be wearing a safety harness.
    The pair are being interviewed to find out what happened.
    Paramedics treated one person for minor injuries.


    20 May: Sky News: Reef protest to target Adelaide bank
    Environmental activists will target the Commonwealth Bank in Adelaide as part of national campaign to convince the bank to rule out funding coal projects that could damage the Great Barrier Reef.
    The group known as says dozens of bank customers will close their accounts or lodge a formal complaint with the bank as part of the action on Wednesday …

  137. *** throws the protestor under the bus…those commenting are not amused.

    20 May: Herald Sun: Abseiling protester hurt after falling from Melbourne CBD building
    by Jon Kaila and Wes Hosking
    He was taken to The Alfred hospital in a stable condition suffering from an ankle injury.
    A woman also abseiling was escorted by police from the scene
    The abseilers were targeting the Commonwealth Bank as activists call on the organisation to rule out funding for coal mining in Queensland’s Galilee Basin.
    *** Australia spokeswoman Krista Collard, whose group is organising the protests around Australia this week, said the injured protester was associated with a different group that had joined the “Raise the Heat” demonstration…
    He and the woman were trying to unveil a message in support of their cause when the drama unfolded.
    “It’s my understanding they were trying to roll out a banner,’’ Ms Collard said.
    Charlie Wood, also at the event, said the injured protester was a member of the group Direct Action Melbourne, which was made up of concerned individuals.
    “He was just a concerned citizen participating in this peaceful action,’’ she said…
    About 60 people were part of the protest, with around 30 still occupying upstairs offices of the Commonwealth Bank building.
    “They intend to stay here for the duration of the day to send a message to the bank,’’ Ms Wood said.
    Police said they would be speaking to the pair, but no one has been charged with any offence so far

    ***About Australia
    Krista Collard. Originally from America, Krista is’s Media and Communications Coordinator based in Sydney.

    the very same Krista:

    LinkedIn: Krista Collard
    Pacific Northwest Press Secretary, The Sierra Club
    Previous: California Labor Federation, Sierra Club, We Are Ohio
    Exprience: Field Organizer, Ohio Democratic Party 2010, Managed staff of 25 paid canvassers

  138. Although the headline in this story is how bankers are trusted more than pollsters in the UK, what strikes me is that journalists are trusted as little as politicians now:

    It seems like journalist bias is now being recognized by the general public – providing an explanation for why the “message” on CAGW is not accepted. In risk communication (a field I know a little about) the critical factor is trust in the messenger – it is clear that it is not going to fly to let journalists put your message out these days!

  139. Obama: “Climate change deniers endanger national security”

    President Barack Obama at the U.S. Coast Guard Academy graduation in New London, Conn., Wednesday, May 20, 2015, in his commencement address.

    He says increasingly the military has to deal with the impact of global warming. He says it’s a serious threat to national security and will impact how the military defends the United States.

    He says refusing to act is “a dereliction of duty” and undermines the readiness of U.S. forces.


    WASHINGTON — President Barack Obama is framing the challenges of climate change as a matter of national security that threatens to aggravate poverty and political instability around the globe and jeopardize the readiness of U.S. forces.

    “Make no mistake, it will impact how our military defends our country,” the president says in excerpts of a commencement address prepared for delivery Wednesday at the U.S. Coast Guard Academy in New London, Connecticut. “And so we need to act and we need to act now.”

  141. Rewriting/deleting history

    original deleted from sierra club but heres the same story yet to be deleted from desmog

    Paul Beckwith
    Arctic Sea Ice to Vanish in 2013

    “For the record—I do not think that any sea ice will survive this summer. An event unprecedented in human history is today, this very moment, transpiring in the Arctic Ocean.”

  142. another non-skeptical piece:

    This wind turbine has no blades — and that’s why it’s better
    Grist-3 hours ago

    however, a skeptical piece perhaps more suitable to WUWT, tho it’s not anti-wind power:

    15 May: KCET: You Should Probably Be Skeptical About This Bladeless Wind Turbine
    In theory, there’s no reason why a design like Vortex Bladeless’s couldn’t turn wind energy into electrical power…
    But the history of renewable energy is littered with ideas that sounded too good to be true, some of which would need to violate the laws of physics to work as advertised.
    Vortex Bladeless probably wouldn’t need to violate any laws of physics to make its product successful. But the company is up against some very tricky engineering issues that may well make its turbines fail to compete in the real world…

  143. I read in brief news that last winter’s snow pack was quite low in southern BC and in WA. is an old article.

    And rainfall has been low recently.

    (Southwest BC and NW WA do have dry summers, but this year seems much earlier.
    While forecasts are supposedly for a dry summer, I hope things will balance out as they often do with weather.)

    Forest fires are a concern, early in central BC, governors and premiers are crying alarm. (A silver lining to that is that some people will be more careful with campfires and such, which are a major cause of fires, though malicious people may be attracted to the notion.)
    I’m told that Shad fish showed up in the Fraser River, perhaps due to warmer water. (Normally they aren’t seen in rivers north of the Columbia, though they forage in the ocean further north.)

  144. The usual suspects are trying to take advantage of low precipitation to push their alarmist claims, and dragging governors and premiers with them.

    But only a few years ago in WUWT someone showed a photograph of the amount of snow in mountains in west coastal states.

    Perhaps an adhoc metric is the date of closing and opening of the North Cascades Highway, which goes from approximately Burlington WA on I-5 over the Cascades to the Methow Valley area.


    It’s always closed in winter, primarily due to avalanche risk I gather – but 35 feet of snow in March last year is impressive. (I speculate there will be some variation from how aggressive WA’s highways department is in any year, perhaps they’ll work harder to keep it open for a while if snow comes early. Taking a month to get it open each spring sounds impressive but it may be that they use equipment on hand that keeps the highway open from the west to the power dams.)

    1972 would be the year it was finished.

    Note that it did not close in 1977, in the depth of Global Cooling.

    (Cayuse and Chinook are of much less value than the North Cascades Highway, as they are between the major highways through Snoqualmie Pass and White Pass.)

  145. B.C. farmland rush on for carbon offsets:

    Very strange, in a province that has an abundance of trees on land that isn’t farmable because it is steep.

    The crop cycle is on the trees they are planting, trembling aspen, is less than the hundred years they’ve promised to not harvest for. So when the trembling aspen die they’ll emit CO2 while decomposing. Clever, real clever.

    (In that country, aspen is popularly called “poplar”. (The category is “populous”, which includes trembling aspen and cottonwood (which usually only grows near waterways).)

    Planting and harvesting will be easier on former farmland (well, I suppose that is “tree farming”).

    While some farmland is marginal, it can be good summer grazing land for animals. That’s done in the Caribou south of Quesnel and in the Peace River area. Depends on price of the land, I suppose. UK outfit planting trees on farmland in Caribou to get carbon credits

  146. 20 May: CNN: John D. Sutter: 12 must-reads on climate change — as submitted by you
    “Climate change is the canvas on which the history of the 21st century will be painted.”
    That’s Mark Lynas, writing in “Six Degrees: Our Future on a Hotter Planet.”
    It’s a true if disturbing prediction…
    I recently asked readers of my “2 degrees” newsletter (sign up here) to suggest “must-read” books on climate change — and Lynas’ important work of nonfiction was among your top recommendations…
    We’ll tackle “Six Degrees” first, since it’s a great primer. I’ll post an interview with Lynas on Thursday, and then we’ll read his book together over the course of the month.
    He’s graciously agreed to take your questions in a few weeks…
    1. “Six Degrees,” by Mark Lynas…
    2. “This Changes Everything,” by Naomi Klein…
    3. “The Last Hours of Ancient Sunlight,” by Thom Hartmann …

  147. 19 May: Reuters: Caroline Copley: Coal row takes shine off Germany’s green image before G7 summit
    Energiewende policy hamstrung by coal row
    Germany’s clean energy drive earned it a reputation as a green leader but a domestic row over coal has highlighted the challenge of balancing economic and environmental demands and threatens its ability to lead by example…
    Its brown coal addiction meant CO2 emissions actually rose slightly in 2012 and 2013 and Germany still emits more CO2 per capita than the European Union average.
    “If Merkel and Gabriel aren’t able to repair the market, reduce the share of coal and therefore emissions, the credibility for other nations to be convinced to go for stronger climate targets will be very low,” said Claudia Kemfert, energy economist at the DIW in Berlin…
    The latest row over coal again underscores the dilemma of whether to stick to climate commitments while safeguarding the energy supply and protecting industry…

    20 May: Business Green: Jessica Shankleman: Weakened coal pollution rules will cost UK millions, green groups claim
    Greenpeace and EEB aim to show financial impact of planned industrial emissions rules, which they say have been weakened by industry lobbying
    European Commission plans to water down pollution laws for coal power plants could cost the UK more than £500m each year in healthcare and sick days, new analysis by environmental groups has found.
    A report unveiled today by Greenpeace and the European Environmental Bureau (EEB) shows how proposals under the so-called “Seville process” which plans to update air quality limits for large industrial plants, including lignite coal power plants, look set to be weaker than the highest standards adopted around the world.
    The report says the new rules could lead to 71,000 premature deaths over the next decade in the UK alone…
    Greenpeace and EEB say that the latest proposals are so weak that they would allow Europe’s coal plants to emit more fumes than those in China…
    Greenpeace has previously expressed concerns that the new standards have been heavily influenced by industry lobbying. It found that out of 352 members of the technical working group that is formulating new limits on air pollution across Europe, 183 are either employed by the companies that are being regulated, or by lobby groups that represent those companies…

  148. Anthony,
    I’m currently enrolled in the University of Queensland’s How to Deal with Climate Change Denial. You’re welcome to have a look through my login. Email me if you want to have a squiz.


  149. This article appeared a week ago along with all the hand wringing in the Seattle area due to the arrival of Shell’s drilling rigs. It discusses the limitations of the current USCG heavy and medium ice breakers based in Seattle, particularly if there is a major spill in the Arctic. The Polar Sea continues to deteriorate while tied up at the dock. (It came close to being scrapped a few years ago.) The estimate mentioned of $100M just to get another 7-10 years of service is probably unrealistic by the time they find the money just to dry dock it for a survey. Even if they decide to do a major overhaul (new engines, etc), by the time Polar Sea is back in service, Polar Star will have used up its life extension. If Polar Sea is in poorer shape than they hope, and Polar Star ages faster than they hope, then the US will be in a real jam. “Hope” is not a plan.

  150. 20 May: NYT: Obama Recasts Climate Change as a Peril With Far-Reaching
    President Obama used a commencement address on Wednesday at the Coast Guard
    Academy to cast his push for urgent action to combat climate change as a
    national security imperative, saying that the warming of the planet poses an
    “immediate risk” to the United States…
    “I am here today to say that climate change constitutes a serious threat to
    global security, an immediate risk to our national security, and, make no
    mistake, it will impact how our military defends our country,” Mr. Obama
    told about 4,200 people on an athletic field overlooking the water here,
    including about 200 graduates in crisp white dress uniforms. “And so we need
    to act, and we need to act now.”…
    “I know there are still some folks back in Washington who refuse to admit
    that climate change is real, and on a day like today, it’s hard to get too
    worried about it,” Mr. Obama said on a sunny day ***cooled by a chilly sea
    breeze. “The science is indisputable,” he said. “The planet is getting
    The president argued that climate change had set off dangerous domino
    effects around the world, prompting a severe drought in Nigeria that was
    exploited by the terrorist group Boko Haram, and drought, crop failures and
    high food prices that “helped fuel the early unrest in Syria” before it
    descended into civil war.
    He told the graduates that their generation would have to invent, build and
    pioneer the energy-efficient technologies that would be needed to reverse
    the damaging effects of climate change. He said the Pentagon regarded the
    planet’s warming as a “threat multiplier.”…
    In a report issued on Wednesday, the White House said climate change would
    act as “an accelerant of instability around the world,” prompting water
    scarcity and food shortages that could escalate tensions and lead to

    Herald’s politics aren’t mine, but at least they see the humour:

    21 May: Boston Herald Editorial: O’s climate gambit
    Large parts of the Middle East are in flames. Ramadi is lost to ISIS. Russia
    has gobbled up parts of the Ukraine. And the Chinese are building islands in
    the Pacific to which they can lay claim – that is when they’re not outright
    stealing U.S. intellectual property.
    But President Obama yesterday put his finger on what is really wrong with
    the state of the new world order:
    “I’m here today to say that climate change constitutes a serious threat to
    global security, an immediate threat to our national security,” Obama told
    cadets at the U.S. Coast Guard Academy in Connecticut.
    “It will impact how our military defends our country. We need to act and we
    need to act now,” he added. “Denying it or refusing to deal with it
    endangers our national security. It undermines the readiness of our forces.”
    It is as if the writers at “Saturday Night Live” had suddenly taken over the
    speech writing chores at the White House…
    Is this rhetorical flight of fancy meant merely to divert attention from his
    administration’s many policy failures? Or does the president really believe
    this stuff? The latter is an even scarier possibility than the former.

  151. ***U.S. officials say the new economic strategy complements Washington’s vision for the region?

    16 April: WSJ: Saeed Shah: China Readies $46 Billion for Pakistan Trade
    The largest part of the project would provide electricity to energy-starved
    Pakistan, based mostly on building ***new coal-fired power plants. The country
    is beset by hours of daily scheduled power cuts because of a lack of supply,
    shutting down industry and making life miserable in homes-a major reason for
    the election in 2013 of Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif, who promised to solve
    the electricity crisis.
    The plans envisage adding 10,400 megawatts of electricity at a cost of $15.5
    billion by 2018. If those projects deliver, plugging the electricity
    deficit, Mr. Sharif would be able to go into the 2018 election saying he has
    lived up to his pledge.
    After 2018, adding a further 6,600 megawatts is outlined-at a cost of an
    additional $18.3 billion-that in cumulative total would double Pakistan’s
    current electricity output…
    ***Despite the more-muscular Chinese ambitions, U.S. officials say the new
    economic strategy complements Washington’s vision for the region.
    “We think there’s a great amount of potential complementarity between a
    China-Pakistan infrastructure corridor and the interests we’ve talked about
    in South and Central Asia for some time,” said a State Department
    In the energy sector, the U.S. program is adding some 1,500 megawatts of
    generating capacity…

    20 May: Euractiv: Turkey to double coal capacity in four years
    Turkey is planning to double its coal power capacity in four years, the
    third largest investment in the polluting fossil fuel in the world, health
    campaigners have warned…
    EU member state Poland is planning the tenth largest investment in coal in
    the world…

    from the same website:

    19 May: Euractiv: Balkan coal rush risks lasting damage, campaigners warn
    Balkan countries and Ukraine are making “substantial investments” in
    polluting coal power stations to sell cheap electricity to the European
    Union, as the bloc searches for new suppliers to reduce its dependence on
    Russian gas…
    Bosnia and Herzegovina, Macedonia, Kosovo, Montenegro, Serbia and Ukraine
    are planning to build a total of 14.82 GW of new coal power capacity, much
    of which would be additional to existing capacity, according to a Change
    Partnership study commissioned by NGO CEE Bankwatch…

  152. 19 May: UK Telegraph: Andrew Critchlow: Shell CEO: ‘carbon bubble’
    campaigners ‘ignore reality’
    Royal Dutch Shell bombarded by climate change criticism at annual general
    Ben van Beurden, chief executive of Royal Dutch Shell has given a robust
    defence of the fossil fuel industry saying that “carbon bubble” critics
    “ignore reality”.
    The head of the UK’s largest oil company told shareholders that the world
    faces an energy crisis unless investment into producing fossil fuels is
    maintained. This is because of there is likely to be a dramatic increase in
    demand as three billion people emerging from poverty over the next few
    “We will need sustained and substantial (oil) investment to support economic
    growth,” Mr van Beurden told shareholders gathered in The Hague,
    Proponents of the “carbon bubble” theory believe that the share prices of
    energy companies could crash if the world turns its back on fossil fuels.
    Activists have argued that pension funds and major institutions should
    divest from fossil fuel companies such as Shell.
    However, the argument ignores the dramatic increase in total energy demand
    that will be required over the next 25 years. According to the International
    Energy Agency (IEA) global energy demand will increase by 40pc through to
    At the same time global oil demand is expected to hit 111m bpd of crude as
    growing economies in Asia require increasing amounts of fuel. Based on the
    IEA’s projections, a 20pc increase in overall emissions by 2040 will result
    in an average temperature increase of 3.6°C.
    ***Despite concerns over global warming, a binding agreement to limit emissions
    may be difficult to achieve at UN climate change talks to be held in Paris
    in December. Proposals may face opposition from developing nations such as
    India who are fearful that curbs on fossil fuel burning will limit the
    potential of their economies…

  153. ***Shani/Greenpeace’s rationalisation of this deception is sooo CAGW:

    21 May: UK Daily Mail: Belinda Grant Geary: Greenpeace slammed for using photo of storm-ravaged Philippines coral in new ad claiming government is putting Great Barrier Reef under threat
    The campaign was released leading up to a UNESCO vote about whether the Great Barrier Reef is in danger
    Greg Hunt said Greenpeace’s campaign is ‘dishonest and deceptive’
    Greenpeace said it never claimed the image was taken in Australia
    The offending image was taken after a typhoon ravaged the Phillipines
    The controversial campaign, which is posted on Australian bus shelters, features two very contrasting images of a coral reef.
    On the left is a picture of bright, vibrant and thriving coral, while the image on the right features a pile of damaged, bone-white coral with a warning: ‘Don’t let them turn this, into this.’
    Upon completing further research, it was discovered the image of the damaged reef was taken at Apo Island’s marine sanctuary in The Philippines, which was severely damaged by two typhoons in the past four years…
    The Federal Minister for Environment, Greg Hunt, said Greenpeace has been ‘caught out’ by its own website in a ‘deceptive campaign to have the Great Barrier Reef listed in danger.’
    ‘It is another example of how Greenpeace and a number of the green groups are using the Great Barrier Reef in a dishonest campaign domestically and internationally.’…
    ***Shani Tager, reef campaigner for Greenpeace, told Daily Mail Australia that the government’s claims were completely unfounded.
    ‘The advertising you are referring to was intended to show visually what we want to have, with the healthy reef, and what we are trying to avoid, with the damaged reef…
    ‘The intention of the campaign was to visually depict what is at stake for the future of the Great Barrier Reef. We never said they were two pictures of Australia.’
    Mr Tager said images are an important tool to show the public ‘what is at stake in the future.’
    ‘It is so easy to get stuck in the details of complex policy issues, but at the end of the day, it all comes back to if we want a healthy reef or one that has been devastated. The pictures portray that.’

    21 May: Rockhampton Morning Bulletin: QLD Senator takes on Greenpeace over false advertising
    GREENPEACE is under fire from Senator Matt Canavan after it was allegedly caught substituting a photograph of a typhoon-damaged reef in the Philippines in an advertisement about the Great Barrier Reef.
    Mr Canavan, a Rockhampton-based senator, said environmental organisations should be held to the same advertising standards as any other business.
    “If a public company did that sort of thing, they could be charged with false advertising,” he said…
    “Greenpeace and other anti-mining activists are campaigning against job-creating mine and port projects by falsely suggesting those projects will destroy the Great Barrier Reef…
    Mr Canavan said environmental lobbyists continued to collect millions of dollars in tax-deductible funding to employ advertising agencies, lobbyists and demonstrators to try to sabotage resource development projects.”This is the sort of activity that should be examined by the current House of Representatives inquiry into tax-deductible eco-charity donations and the extent to which they are used in supporting communities genuinely taking practical action to improve the environment,” he said…

    tellingly, CAGW-infested ABC, Fairfax Media and Guardian Australia have not reported the above!

  154. delusiional Gore, spruiking for Blood & Gore’s Generation Foundation, the advocacy initiative of Generation Investment Management!

    “carbon bubble” now well & truly co-opted to mean the opposite of what it really means with: “Drawing on the increasingly influential ‘carbon bubble’ hypothesis”.

    and, religious-speak: “Morally, we think divesting is a good idea”.

    20 May: BusinessGreen: James Murray: Al Gore slams ‘mass delusion’ fuelling global carbon bubble
    Former US Vice President warns valuations for carbon reserves are ‘even more absurd’ than thinking that proceeded sub-prime mortgage crash
    The former US vice president and Nobel Prize winner warned the global fossil fuel industry was risking a crash even larger than the 2008 subprime mortgage crisis unless urgent action is taken by investors to secure a better understanding of carbon-related risks…
    “We have used the phrase sub-prime carbon assets as a conscious reference to sub-prime mortgages,” he said. “Because there is a certain unreality to the assumption that the proven reserves on the books of these companies – $7tr in public multinationals, another $14tr owned by sovereigns – are all going to be burned. They are not.”…
    ***Drawing on the increasingly influential ‘carbon bubble’ hypothesis, Gore argued fossil fuel companies were wrong to dismiss warnings about stranded assets by predicting governments will fail to deliver stronger emissions regulations…
    “Whether [or not] there are governmental policies put in place to limit emissions, there are multiple pathways to stranding: the downward cost curve for renewables is another [pathway], the pressure from investors, the pressure from students at universities like Oxford, there are many reasons,” he said…
    “During the sub-prime mortgage crisis there was a mass delusion that in the US 7.5 million mortgages given to people who didn’t make down-payments and couldn’t make monthly payments were going to be good risks,” he said. “It was absurd. But it is even more absurd to base the value of equities in companies that have these proven reserves on the assumption the stated book value is accurate – it’s not. When does it collapse? We have no idea. Will it collapse? Yes, it will. When that realisation takes hold the mass delusion will be punctured and the assets will be stranded.”…
    ***Gore was speaking to journalists ahead of the launch today of a new whitepaper on sustainable investment practices from Generation Foundation, the advocacy initiative of Generation Investment Management, which Gore set up alongside former Goldman Sachs executive David Blood.
    The paper, entitled Allocating Capital for Long-Term Returns, argues all investors should assess carbon risks and price carbon in all capital decisions; use sustainability analysis to enhance investment frameworks; and acknowledge that considering sustainability factors in investment decisions is an essential part of fiduciary duty…
    ***He added that investors needed to recognise “the transition to a low carbon economy will be the most significant change in economic history”, and as such numerous risks and opportunities will emerge over the next five to 15 years that sustainable investors will be best placed to navigate…
    ***”Morally, we think divesting is a good idea,” said Gore…

  155. telling the truth about China for a change, RTCC? what ever happened to all your talk of an Obama/Chinas historic climate deal?

    21 May: RTCC: Alex Pashley: What China’s investment binge in Latin America means for the climate
    The Asian giant is funnelling cash into mega-projects, but not clean energy, as Amazon railways and canals take shape
    Chinese Premier Li Keqiang will tour Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Peru over the next week with a bevy of billion-dollar deals ready to be inked…
    The world’s top emitter of greenhouse gases has sent $119 billion since 2005 around the continent to finance mines, dams and city transport systems.
    And the proposed 5,300-km railroad, ferrying soy and iron ore imports from Argentina and Brazil to Peru’s Pacific ports and bypassing the Panama Canal, will make up some of the reported $50 billion to be signed in the three-day Brazilian visit alone.
    A Nicaraguan canal and Mexican high speed railway are too in the works…
    But amid China’s big-hitting, what does the slew of pipeline projects mean for the environment? …
    Chinese investment in those sectors risked locking the continent into a high carbon-intensive future, wrote Guy Edwards at Brown University’s Climate Development Lab.“This may be entrenching high carbon developments in Latin America and pulling the region in an unsustainable direction,” Edwards said.Latin America is favouring exports with a large carbon footprint, than looking to reduce that through clean energy generation, as the world seeks to finalise a global climate pact cutting carbon…

  156. Hollande hopes for a “miracle” – religion creeps into the CAGW language again:

    21 May: Guardian: Fiona Harvey: François Hollande calls for ***’miracle’ climate agreement at Paris talks
    François Hollande, president of France, has called for a “miracle” to happen later this year at a crunch climate change conference in Paris, saying this would be needed for a compromise to be reached on the future of limiting greenhouse gases that would involve both developed and developing countries…
    “We must have a consensus. If within our own country, that’s difficult, imagine what it’s like with 196 countries. A miracle!” He added he was confident it could be achieved…
    But there were clear signs that a compromise will be hard to reach…
    Outside the conference, protestors called for businesses to be banned from the COP in Paris this December, calling oil companies in particular “part of the problem, not the solution”…
    Christiana Figueres, the UN’s climate chief, who is coordinating the Paris conference, said that businesses should not be demonised. “It is not a question of demonising [companies],” she said. “In my book, this is not about confrontation. Quite to the contrary. This is about collaboration. If you’re thinking about confrontation, forget it! Because we’re not going to get there.”
    ***But she also said: “We must be clear – there is no space for any new coal.”
    She said: “The science is clear – global emissions need to swiftly peak as a prelude to a deep de-carbonisation of the global economy by the second half of the century. Many businesses know this and are planning for that future. It is time for the rest to come on board.”

  157. CAGW-infested AFR in Australia (not even opening this):

    Saudi Arabia eyes phasing out fossil fuels for renewables
    The Australian Financial Review-7 hours ago
    Saudi Arabia, the world’s largest crude exporter, could phase out the use of fossil fuels by the middle of this century, Ali al-Naimi, the kingdom’s …


    21 May: WSJ: Summer Said: Saudi Oil Minister Says World Can’t Abandon Fossil Fuels
    Ali al-Naimi says it doesn’t make economic sense to switch to investing in solar energy in the short term
    Saudi Arabian Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi said on Thursday that he sees a great future for solar power but that the world can’t abandon fossil fuels in the short term
    Mr. Naimi, speaking on a panel in Paris, addressed questions about whether the world’s oil-and-gas companies should move on to other forms of energy in the face of climate change linked to human carbon emissions. He said it wouldn’t make economic sense to make a dramatic move now.
    “You say decarbonize. Are you willing to have me go back home and shut all the oil wells? Can you afford that today?” Mr. Naimi said at the Business and Climate Summit in Paris, broadcast by Bloomberg. “What will happen to the [oil] price if today I remove 10 million barrels per day of the market.”
    Mr. Naimi is among a growing number of top oil-industry figures to argue that fossil fuels are still needed to meet energy demands from both the developed world and emerging markets…
    The kingdom has invested in renewable energy like solar, though with limited success.
    For now, many parts of the world, notably Asia and Africa, can’t develop solar energy and are still heavily dependent on fossil fuels, Mr. Naimi said…

  158. 20 May: Forbes: Michael Lynch: IEA And World Bank Say Throw Money At Renewables
    The world was stunned today to hear the news that the IEA and the World Bank say not enough money is being spent on renewables, and that their solution is to spend more. Okay, that’s triply wrong: it’s not news, we’re spending too much, and nobody on the planet will be shocked to hear that the solution is to spend more. It’s rather reminiscent of US generals in Vietnam who found they were not winning the war, so they argued for sending more troops.
    The same day, we were informed that Six Flags is planning a large solar installation—which would require cutting down 19,000 trees. This raises a good point about another kind of support, namely political support, which is waning as a blind push for renewables leaves citizens cold, whether its wind farms off Cape Cod, solar plants in New Jersey, or biomass plants almost anywhere. It turns out that renewables also have intangible costs, which supporters gleefully ignore because they consider renewables to be righteous…
    Thus, Greenpeace waves off concerns about bird and bat kills by saying, “A common argument against wind farms is that they kill birds and bats. However, if environmental impact assesments [sic] are conducted and migratory and local bird population patterns are assesed [sic] before construction, this is avoided completely.”Indeed, all too many cleantech advocates appear willing to follow another Vietnam-era prescription, and destroy the economy in order to save it…
    More investment will not solve this problem: more solar panels on rooftops will not lower the costs appreciably, innovation will. And the possibility that a later generation solar cell will obsolete all of the panels now being installed, rather as LED lights are taking over from compact fluorescents, means that ***most of the subsidies being paid out now will have been wasted.

    ***ain’t that the truth.

  159. Surprisingly balanced piece in BBC “Science & Environment” pages by J Amos reporting a Bristol University study that nearly doubles ice loss in a coastal stretch SW of the Antarctic Peninsula – it actually quotes caveats from other academics!

  160. Dr. Craig McLean is head of NOAA’s research branch. Almost ALL of the budget increases NOAA asked for in research this upcoming fiscal year were earmarked for climate research. Fortunately, Congress doesn’t see eye-to-eye on this and is shifting mo’ money to weather research. This prompted Dr. McLean to say this in a recent email to the troops:
    ‘We saw the House budget bill this week which is also promoting weather, but is not as good for climate, reminding us that we need to do even more to convey the notion that science investments across all timescales bring improved understanding and accuracy to community resilience and economic security, regardless of whether we call it “weather” or “climate.”‘

    Kinda sounds like a shell game to me. :)

  161. a near-monolithic MSM?

    “an unprecedented mix” of CAGW pushers!

    21 May: Guardian: Mark Sweeney: Global news organisations agree to share climate change content
    The Guardian, El Pais, Le Monde and China Daily are among 25 publishers aiming to raise awareness in the runup to the next UN summit
    More than two dozen publishers from around the world – from the Sydney Morning Herald to India Today and the Seattle Times – have agreed to scrap licensing fees for climate change content so that members of the alliance can freely republish articles…
    The initiative, called the Climate Publishers Network, aims to create a global pool of content to provide a resource for publishers to widen coverage ahead of the UN climate change summit in Paris in December.
    The goal is to expand the network beyond its founding partners, brought together with help from the Global Editors Network, until the initiative disbands on the last day of the COP 21 summit on 11 December…
    ***Publishers that are members of the network can cherry-pick the articles they want and, if necessary, can have them translated for use on their own websites.
    Guardian director of digital strategy Wolfgang Blau said that the 25 founding partners represented an ***unprecedented mix of political leanings and geographical spread to have pulled together for such a content-sharing initiative.
    “It is unprecedented that such a diverse and large group of news organisations from all continents decides to collaborate in this way,” he said. “Climate change is the biggest challenge humanity is currently facing and requires new ways of collaborating across geographic as well as political boundaries.”…

    22 May: Accuweather Brian Lada: Late-Season Freeze to Threaten Northeast Friday Night
    It might feel more like late October rather than late May in the Northeast on Friday night as temperatures dip well below normal.
    Frost will threaten gardens across the region on Friday night as chilly air moves in from Canada.
    The coldest air will focus across the interior Northeast with some locations bottoming out in the 20s.
    Homeowners who have already planted their annual flowers and vegetation should take the proper precautions to protect their plants from the potentially damaging cold.
    If left out unprotected, the frost or freeze could damage or even kill vegetation that is sensitive to the cold weather…
    This potential for a freeze is occurring later than normal across the Northeast.
    In a typical year, many areas outside of the White, Green and Adirondack Mountains experience their last freeze of the season by the middle of May…

  162. CAGW’s bottom line. in plain sight. former head of HSBC’s climate change unit doing the lecturing!!!

    22 May: RTCC: Alex Pashley: Climate change threat demands reform to financial system – UNEP
    Stress tests’ for international finance from rising climate impacts, as UN report calls for banking cultural shift
    “Blowback” from climate change could wreck the financial system unless regulators rewire it to ditch fossil fuels.
    So says Nick Robins, former head of HSBC’s climate change unit and author of a UNEP report published today, which urges sweeping reforms to shift multi-trillion flows of international finance to insulate countries from global warming…
    If they are serious, that means a sharp correction in the value of unburnable fossil fuels, with ‘stranded assets’ set to rock the world economy.
    Central bankers must pull levers now to soften the destabilising transition to low-carbon alternatives, recommended the ‘Coming Financial Climate’ report by the Inquiry into the Design of a Sustainable Financial System.
    “The financial system hasn’t been doing its job as it should be,” Robins, told RTCC, “new tools are required to design it for a new era.”
    Robins cites examples from central banks in Bangladesh, Brazil to the UK that are re-writing regulations in recognition of climate impacts…
    They range from placing ‘green financing’ on balance sheets, binding banks to set up strategies for ‘environmental risk management’, and monitoring climate risks in the insurance sector…
    “It’s something new over the last two or three years, but what’s interesting is the voices arguing for it are coming out of the financial system. If you want long-term sustainable investment, you need to look at the climate,” Robins said.
    The flows of capital to avert climate calamity are enormous, moreover.Sustainable development needs reach $17 trillion, though they are just a fraction of global financial assets valued in 2012 at $218 trillion, according to the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP)…
    Mobilising finance for low-carbon, resource efficient assets like solar or wind power was key.
    Those investments for low-carbon generation need to be as much as $1.1 trillion a year between 2010 and 2029, the IPCC estimates…
    ***One would be getting pension funds and companies to disclose portfolios bearing carbon-intensive assets in the pursuit of transparency.
    Bodies like the Climate Disclosure Standards Board and Sustainability Accounting Standards Board are helping, developing new frameworks for sustainability and climate accounting and disclosure…
    Convincing central banks they had a mandate for meddling in climate regulation was another.
    Robins said the Bank of England was reviewing climate risks related to its insurance industry…
    “It’s quite reasonable for a regulator to be dealing with this, due to the spill over or environmental blowback on the financial system,” Robins said…

    22 May: UNEP: On Climate Finance Day: New UN Report Lays Out Financial Reforms Needed to Harness Multi-Trillion Investments towards Insulating Countries, Communities from Climate Shocks and Build Market Resilience
    ‘The Coming Financial Climate’ report by the UN Environment Programme (UNEP) identifies measures that cover risk, capital mobilization, transparency and a shift in the financial culture to make climate security an integral part of a sustainable financial system.
    Nairobi – Paris, 22 May 2015 – Harnessing the global financial system to deliver climate security, reduce the risks of high carbon assets, and scale up capital for the low carbon transition is possible, but will only happen with a comprehensive, system-wide approach to financing – including the $37 trillion of energy infrastructure – in the next two decades.
    Drawing from an array of policy innovations, some of which are already taking place at the country level, ‘The Coming Financial Climate’, a new report by the UN Environment Programme (UNEP), identifies measures that can make climate security an integral part of a sustainable financial system…
    ***Tackling climate change requires economic transformation and a re-channeling of private finance…
    Christiana Figueres, Executive Secretary of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), said, “The pathway to combating climate change, restoring the balance of planet Earth and unlocking opportunity for billions of people is clear – a peaking of global emissions in the next ten years, followed by a deep de-carbonization of the global economy.”
    “In order to achieve this, and support the aspirations for growth and poverty eradication of developing countries, the globe’s financial systems need to better price pollution and invest in real wealth. It is happening but nowhere near the scale required. Paris 2015 can be a trigger that starts directing the trillions of dollars required away from high carbon, high risk investments and infrastructure towards the low carbon, Green Economy that is everyone’s future,” she said…
    ***In Brazil, for example, integrating environmental and social factors into risk management is increasingly viewed as a way of strengthening the resilience of the financial system…
    ***The report is available at:

  163. if UNEP thinks Brazil is on board, they might have written their report too soon!
    Guardian dreams of Obama being a saviour again:

    22 May: Guardian: Jonathan Watts: Brazil’s ditching of climate change targets may not signal policy shift
    Dilma Rousseff’s reneging on a plan to limit CO2 emissions had many fearing the worst but June’s summit with the US may simply mean a delayed announcement
    First it was there. Then it was gone. The long-awaited announcement of Brazil’s new climate target came and went with a sleight of hand that caused an uproar among environmentalists this week.
    But rather than signalling a shift in policy, as some had feared, the sudden appearance and disappearance of the country’s CO2 reduction goals appears to have more to do with diplomatic mistakes, realpolitik priorities and the greater importance of the US than China, the Guardian has learned…
    On the website of the Climate Observatory , a coalition of more than 20 NGOs, Sirkis (former chair, Joint Committee on Climate Change of the National Congress) argues these actions will hurt Brazil’s global standing.
    “Climate change is one of the few major areas where Rousseff still has the power to make a difference,” he wrote. “But she is idiosyncratically hostile to clean energy.”…
    Rousseff, who sat on the board of state oil company Petrobras during her time as energy minister, has made development of pre-salt oil and gas fields the key to the nation’s future development. By comparison, alternative energies such as wind and solar power have seemed far less of a government priority…
    ???But sources have told the Guardian there is another explanation why the target was removed from the statement: Rousseff wants it to be announced at a summit with US president Barack Obama in June…
    ***Rousseff’s overriding priority is economic growth, and her government – which includes climate sceptic Aldo Rebelo as science minister and agribusiness advocate Katia Abreu as agriculture minister – says it is still in the process of deciding its targets.
    ???More likely, it seems, is that Rousseff has reasoned, ‘why announce a new climate policy to curry favour with China today, when it can be used to schmooze the United States tomorrow?’

  164. 21 May: Business Green: James Murray: Green departments face early spending cuts, as Osborne demands Whitehall savings
    The move is likely to have significant implications for unprotected Whitehall departments, which include all the departments with environmental remits: the Department of Energy and Climate Change (DECC), the Department of Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra), Department of Business, Innovation and Skills (BIS), the Department for Transport (DfT), and the Department of Communities and Local Government (DCLG)…
    The precise scale and timing of spending cuts for ‘green’ departments is yet to be determined, but low carbon business sources urged ministers to protect innovation and infrastructure funding and resist the temptation to curb spending on established policies such as electricity market reform and carbon capture and storage demonstration funding.
    One source, speaking on condition of anonymity, argued there was limited room for steep spending cuts at DECC, although they predicted there were some areas that may be targeted for job cuts under any new spending settlement. “If you look at DECC’s budget the big pieces of the puzzle are nuclear waste and the Levy Control Framework and there is not much you can do about that spending,” they said. “If you are talking about cuts unfortunately it is likely to be talking about staffing costs.”
    DECC faced some of the smallest spending cuts of any non-protected department following the last election. However, there have already been reports suggesting the department could face steeper cuts this time around. One industry source said the scheduled culmination of the Paris Summit later this year may allow the department to trim the size of its diplomatic team from next year, but added that further cuts would be difficult to identify…
    There are also concerns about the potential impact of further spending cuts on Defra, which has faced some of the deepest cuts of any department since 2010…
    Nick Molho of the Aldersgate Group of green firms said there were concerns further steep cuts to spending at the department could have an adverse impact on its work with businesses. “Defra had to rationalise its operations a lot over the last parliament,” he said. “It has a huge brief taking in flooding, climate adaptation, waste, food, and the Environment Agency, and any further cuts could be very damaging. You need a minimum number of boots on the ground to deliver its programme.”…
    Matthew Spencer of think tank Green Alliance said the new ministerial teams at DECC and Defra may have to push back against Treasury demands for steep cuts…

    22 May: Guardian: Tom Levitt: Business leaders prepare for limited UN climate deal in Paris
    Private sector could help close the expected shortfall in emissions reductions necessary to stop 2C of global warming warming, suggests Unilever CEO Paul Polman at climate and business summit in Paris…
    However, business leaders did not expect the necessary emissions reductions or their policy requests to be finalised in December.
    “We have to be pragmatic,” French oil group Total CEO Patrick Pouyanne told the Guardian. “If we take the sum of commitments made by countries then I am afraid we will not be on the 2C trajectory. There will be a gap…
    A failure to bring enough emission cut commitments to put the world on track for avoiding global warming of more than 2C is likely to frustrate the majority of businesses, says the Carbon Disclosure Project (CDP), with more than 30 companies including Ford Motor Company, Unilever, Nissan and H&M having already pledged to set long-term, ***science-based climate targets…
    French companies were represented in large numbers at this week’s summit, with Renault saying it would be “totally stupid” not to have the right regulations, framework and price signals in place after the UN talks…
    Private sector could help meet targets
    While some have doubted the sincerity of energy-intensive businesses in particular in tackling climate change, Unilever CEO Paul Polman suggests the private sector could help close the shortfall in emission commitments made by governments…

  165. poor old Al – doesn’t have the pulling power he thought he had, it seems:

    23 May: Daily Mail: AFP: ‘Live Earth’ global climate change concerts delayed
    Organisers of Live Earth, a set of global concerts backed by Al Gore aimed at pushing for urgent action on climate change, announced a delay Friday, weeks before the scheduled date.
    Live Earth had intended shows on each inhabited continent for June 18 featuring more than 100 artists to raise pressure for a strong agreement at a UN-led climate conference in Paris at the end of the year.
    Representatives, however, said that no events would take place that day, and instead a ***free concert would be held near the Eiffel Tower in Paris sometime in the autumn…
    ”We are excited to announce that this shift in timing allows us to host a ***free, public concert,” it said in a statement.
    Live Earth representatives said that they still planned events around the world but did not specify whether they would be full-fledged concerts…
    Live Earth was initially intended to consist of concerts on June 18 in Australia, Brazil, China, South Africa and the United States, as well as Paris.
    But despite an active social media presence, organisers had yet to reveal any ticket arrangements or artists other than “Happy” creator Pharrell Williams, who was involved in the planning…
    Live Earth promised that it would still put on a major event later this year, backed by Paris Mayor Anne Hidalgo, which would feature “countless artists.”
    “We will host an event which transcends social and cultural barriers, matches the scale of the challenge we face and enables us to maximise our impact on the issue,” the statement said.
    Gore, the former US vice president turned champion of action against climate change, had announced the June 18 concerts alongside Pharrell Williams at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, in January.
    “The purpose is to have a billion voices with one message to demand climate action now,” Gore said at the time.
    Williams had promised “some interesting surprises coming up” in the lineup.
    “We are literally going to have humanity harmonised all at once,” he said…
    The US Live Earth concert had been expected at the MetLife stadium in New Jersey of the New York Giants football team, whose former venue hosted the 2007 edition…

  166. In this morning’s Orange County Register editorial section:
    [begin excerpts]
    Climate zealots blinded by confirmation bias
    May 22, 2015
    Updated 1:38 p.m.
    BY JOSEPH PERKINS / Staff columnist
    President Obama delivered the commencement address this week at the Coast Guard Academy, in New London, Conn. He told the graduating cadets that they faced a challenge before them that, “perhaps more than any other, would shape their entire careers.”

    Was it to protect the homeland from what the president aptly characterized as “the grave threat of terrorism”?

    Was it to “interdict undocumented migrants at sea,” which has been part of the Coast Guard’s history since its inception?

    Was it to meet the threat posed by the “rise of adaptive Transnational Organized Crime networks,” as part of the Coast Guard’s Western Hemisphere Strategy laid out last September?

    No. No. No.
    [end excerpt]

  167. on 7 May, Barrons reported “Many investors are growing bullish on the prospects of investing in solar energy, but note that one stock drove half the gains this year in the market’s biggest solar exchange-traded fund”…and that “Guggenheim Solar ETF has its heftiest position in a company that many investors doubt and are betting against”.
    that company was Hanergy. on 21 May, Nasdaq reported “MAC Solar, the index provider for Guggenheim Solar ( TAN), will drop Hanergy from its index, effective on the close of the date Hanergy resumes trading”. will the investors get burned?

    22 May: Business Insider: David Scutt: After Hanergy Thin Solar’s shares got smoked there’s speculation it has defaulted on its debts
    Earlier this week markets watched in awe as shares in Hong Kong-listed Hanergy Thin Solar plummeted nearly 50% in minutes.
    The decline, thought to have cost company chairman and majority owner Li Hejung, around $US15 billion in paper wealth, occurred on the day of the companies annual general meeting, which Li failed to attend, and on the back of absolutely no news from or relating to the company…
    According to the Caixin online newspaper Hanergy Holding Group, Hanergy Thin Solar’s parent company, used shares in the entity to take out bank loans which, according to sources close to the company, it has since failed to repay…
    Midway through Friday’s session shares in Hanergy Thin Solar remain suspended…

    21 May: Forbes: Michael Lynch: Hanergy Solar Collapse: Looks Like A Tale Of Irrational Exuberance
    Chinese thin-film solar panel maker Hanergy was a high-flying stock this year, with its price soaring six-fold to a valuation of $37 billion despite what should have been numerous warning signs, including the brand being built on the CEO’s charisma, the often-careless promotion of Cleantech for its green character, and wishful thinking about a too-expensive technology. Sounds all too familiar.
    Think Solyndra or Israeli electric car company Better Place. Both were much ballyhooed by Cleantech proponents, raised lots of money (from the government in the first instance), and seemed much more focused on technical accomplishments than economics. Hanergy claims it was chosen by MIT’s Technology Review as the only Chinese company on the list of 50 smartest companies, but it doesn’t seem to have passed muster on the business end.
    Go to Hanergy’s website and the numbers provided primarily involve the stock value and the potential efficiency of its gallium arsenide thin-film solar cells. For a backroom startup, that wouldn’t be surprising but a company worth $37 billion should have some financial info, in my estimation. A brief survey of the Internet finds lots of stories about the company spending money—on acquisitions and store openings—but not so many on income. The company claims to have 60 “flagship” stores, yet now we hear that nearly all its revenue was from sales to its parent company, which sounds like the kind of financial manipulation another high-flying stock, ***Enron, engaged in…
    There’s a huge difference between government support and commercial success, which Cleantech entrepreneurs often blur and which advocates carelessly ignore…
    One has to wonder how many other Cleantech companies might suffer from the fallout of this implosion.

  168. Global warming doco involving Victoria University secures US TV deal
    “A documentary about global warming, jointly made by Victoria University of Wellington, has just secured a major television broadcast deal in the United States.

    The small screen debut of the documentary, called Thin Ice, is set to cause a stir.

    Despite the seemingly-overwhelming evidence of climate change, the debate rages on.”

  169. The famous “Neuroskeptic,” a sort of neuroscience analog of you or Steve McIntyre, has a video up on statistical manipulation. It’s a nice “how-to” on p-hacking, framed around Dante’s nine-layers of Hell:

    ===|==============/ Keith DeHavelle

  170. Foundations plan to pay news media to cover radical UN agenda

    EXCLUSIVE: The United Nations Foundation created by billionaire Ted Turner, along with a branch of media giant Thomson Reuters, is starting to train a squadron of journalists and subsidize media content in 33 countries—including the U.S. and Britain–in a planned $6 million effort to popularize the bulky and sweeping U.N.-sponsored Sustainable Development Goals, prior to a global U.N. summit this September. where U.N. organizers hope they will be endorsed by world leaders.

    The unprecedented media push is formally intended to start on May 25 but is already underway. It is intended to help breathe some new life into a sprawling U.N. effort–supported by, among others, the Obama administration–to create a global social and environmental agenda for the next 15 years.

    It is taking place in parallel with an equally strong but unrelated media cheerleading push by supporters of strong climate change action to help set in stone a new global greenhouse gas emissions treaty at a Paris summit in December.

  171. Article in UK ‘Daily Telegraph’, May 23 2015:


    Activists are targeting children through a new range of “cli-fi” – climate fiction – novels that seek to highlight the dangers of global warming.
    David Thorpe, the author of the book Stormteller, said that children were more open-minded than adults and claimed writers could “infect” their minds with “seriously subversive viral ideas”.
    He was speaking at the Hay Festival along side “cli-fi” authors George Marshall and Saci Lloyd.
    “I like writing for children because their minds are still forming,” said Mr Thorpe whose novel is set in a coastal Wales ravaged by climate change and rising sea levels.
    “They are asking all sorts of questions about how the world is working.
    “Their minds haven’t been tainted by ideological bias, they are still open-minded about it. You can try to be serious subversive and try to infect their minds with these viral ideas that they can explore on their own to make it exciting.
    “When I was that age I loved having my mind boggled.” Saci Lloyd, author of the children’s book The Carbon Diaries, said it was important to write engaging stories for children that kept climate change as an underlying theme, rather than as an obvious topic.
    Her book chronicles a year in the life of Laura, a 16-year-old student in London, as the UK imposes carbon rationing in the wake of weather-related disasters.
    George Marshall, founder of the Climate Outreach Information Network and author of Don’t Even Think About It: Why Our Brains Are Wired To Ignore Climate Change, also argued that it is important to appeal to people on an emotional level because they were bored by the science.
    “We need to get climate change out of the rational side of our brain and into the emotional part because that is where attitudes are formed,” he said.
    However, Mr Thorpe added that too many recent novels had shown a dystopian future and warned it was important to offer children a message of hope. “If we make them think the future is terrible, what are we doing to them?” he asked.”

  172. Interesting article on the Bullitt building in Seattle. Supposedly the “greenest” building in the world. Operating long enough to have data on how it works. Sounds like extensive use of geothermal. And the obligatory extensive roof of solar panels, even in Seattle, that is one thing the builders/operators would do differently next time. No parking for cars (yes for bicycles), but having commuted to Seattle from outside the moat (Lk Washington) for many years, I’d rather not fight the traffic or pay the outrageous parking rates.

  173. Warrick posted a link re NZ/British, pre-Paris, CAGW docu “Thin Ice” coming to US TV screens in July (featuring Phil Jones, Stefan Rahmstorf, etc.).

    Californian not-for-profit bunch of globe-trotters, some with UN connections, has more:

    Green Planet Films: THIN ICE: The Inside Story of Climate Science
    74 minutes, Extras: 57 minutes
    The global launch of Thin Ice on Earth Day 2013 was a huge success. With the generous support of students, teachers, academics, scientists, and the public, Thin Ice was screened in over 200 locations around the world on that day. An additional 19,000 online viewings were made. People watched the film in at least 120 countries, on all seven continents – from Antarctica and Mongolia to Libya and Peru, Thin Ice reached around the world…
    SCIENTISTS FEATURED…Myles Allen, Phil Jones, Stefan Rahmstorf, ETC
    SPECIAL FEATURES: Additional Videos
    VIDEO 18 MINS: Above is a recording of Simon Lamb’s TEDx talk hosted by Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand in March 2014. Simon argues that the importance of a scientific approach to the world is that we can use it to make useful predictions about the future – no other world view can do the same. This confers an enormous advantage to humanity, and Simon believes that we are all instinctively scientists. The scientific understanding of climate change is an example of how science can be used to predict our future climate, given the rate at which we burn fossil fuels.

    About Green Planet Films Org:
    Founded in 2003, Green Planet Films is a Mill Valley, California-based non-profit distributor created to promote environmental education through the artistic power of film…
    In 2011, Green Planet Films launched a companion site called Green Planet Stream to attract international viewership, and also to expand our reach to public libraries…our belief in the power of film to generate positive change in the world is the common vision of Green Planet Films and its partners.
    Board & Team:
    Treasurer: Lisa Mosendz
    Lisa is a Fund Accountant at SolarCity, (also was Fund Associate Sungevity – LinkedIn) and lends her expertise to Green Planet Films…
    Secretary: Christopher Mraz
    From Turlock, California, Christopher Mraz is a wine aficionado and owner of Threshold Wine Company, importing and distributing wine from places like Argentina, Uruguay, and France. He is passionate about seeing the world and spent his younger years backpacking through Latin America and living in Cali, Colombia…
    Recently married in 2013, Christopher and his wife Serena spent the summer roadtripping through Spain and France for their honeymoon where they relished the food, wine, and friendly hospitality of the Ribera de Duero and La Rioja wine countries…
    Advisor: Matt Scullin
    Matt was formerly the President of Green Planet Films, and now an advisor to us. Matt is Vice President-Portfolio Manager at U.S. Bank…
    Advisor Climate Change & Media: Dr. Robert Kay
    He has worked substantially for Multi-lateral organisations such as UNEP, UNDP, UNFCCC as well as for development banks such as Asian Development Bank and the World Bank…
    He has led projects across Europe, Asia-Pacific, Middle-East, South America, and Africa.
    Dr Kay is frequently invited to give keynote presentations at conferences around the world…
    Dr Kay is on the list of experts for UNFCCC and has also been involved as an expert reviewer for the IPCC since its inception…
    Communications & Content Editing: Neila Columbo
    Following graduate studies in Barcelona, Spain, Neila was a journalist in Paris for the foundation of filmmaker and UNEP Ambassador Yann Arthus Bertrand…

  174. Heat is Piling Up in the Depths of the Indian Ocean

    Climate Central

    Scientists have zeroed in on the tropical Pacific as a major player in taking up that heat. But while it might have held that heat for a bit, new research shows that the Pacific has passed the potato to the Indian Ocean, which has seen an unprecedented rise in heat content over the past decade.

    The new work builds on a series of papers that have tracked the causes for what’s been dubbed the global warming slowdown, a period over the past 15 years that has seen surface temperatures rise slower than they did the previous decade. Shifts in Pacific tradewinds have helped sequester heat from the surface to the top 2,300 feet of the ocean. But unlike Vegas, what happens in the Pacific doesn’t stay in the Pacific.

    Since 2003, upper ocean heat content has actually been slowly decreasing in the Pacific.

    “When I first saw from the data that Pacific temperature was going down, I was very curious and puzzled,” Sang-Ki Lee, a scientist at the Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies, said.

    Lee, who led the new research published in Nature Geoscience, looked at records going back to 1950 and noticed that the Indian Ocean heat uptake “was pretty much flat” until 2003. Suddenly, heat began to build there, but it wasn’t coming from above.

    By running ocean circulation models, he found that the heat stashed in the Pacific had hitched a ride on the ocean conveyor belt and danced its way through the Indonesian archipelago, ending up in the Indian Ocean. The Indonesian shuffle means that the Indian Ocean is now home to 70 percent of all heat taken up by global oceans during the past decade.

    “This is a really important study as it resolves how Pacific Ocean variability has led to the warming slowdown without storing excess ocean heat locally,” Matthew England, a professor at the University of New South Wales, said. “This resolves a long-standing debate about how the Pacific has led to a warming slowdown when total heat content in that basin has not changed significantly.”

  175. I’m sure I’m not the first to post this:

    “NEW DELHI: The research analyst who had levelled serious charges of sexual harassment against RK Pachauri has been been vindicated. An internal inquiry by The Energy and Resources Institute (Teri) into charges of sexual harassment at the workplace against Rajendra K Pachauri has indicted the 74-year-old scientist, sources familiar with the matter have told ET. ”

    “RK Pachauri case: Teri internal probe backs complainant”

  176. Texas 2010-14 climate change, desertification, Katharine Hayhoe, drought. 2015 lots of rain. Excessive rain events are climate change. Five years from now we will look back and see that the rainfall averaged out like it always does. Texas had weather and a 100 year cooling trend. Meh.

  177. read it all & weep…truly incredible how MSM just laps it up:

    25 May: Tampa Tribune: Keith Morelli: Experts tie hurricane changes to climate change
    Climate change may be triggering an evolution in hurricanes, with some researchers predicting the violent storms could move farther north, out of the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico, where they have threatened coastlines for centuries.
    Hurricane season in the Atlantic Ocean begins Monday, and forecasters are predicting a relatively quiet season. They say three hurricanes are expected over the next six months, and only one will turn into a major hurricane.
    Florida hasn’t been hit by a hurricane in a decade, and researchers are increasingly pointing to climate change as a potential factor.
    There is a consensus among atmospheric researchers studying the connection between global warming and hurricanes that centuries- old patterns may be shifting, said Kerry Emanuel, professor of atmospheric science at Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
    “There are a few things we agree on,” he said, “and a few things we don’t know much about.”…

  178. more inintended consequences!

    22 March: LA Times: Kenneth Harney: Leased solar panels can complicate — or kill — a home sale
    Say you get pitched by one of the growing number of companies offering solar panels at no upfront cost that they claim will save you lots of money on electricity bills. Sounds like a slam-dunk. So you sign on.
    Then a few years later you decide to sell the house. You assume that the presence of solar panels can only be a marketing plus, maybe even get you a higher price. Everybody goes for green, right?
    But that’s when it gets weird. Some would-be buyers balk when they learn that they’ll need to qualify on credit to take over your solar lease payments for the next 15 to 17 years. Others say they like the house but won’t sign a contract unless you buy out the remaining lease payment stream — $15,000 or $20,000 or more — because they’re worried that the solar equipment will become obsolete or won’t save as much on electricity bills as advertised.
    Issues like these are popping up increasingly in California and other states and are interfering in sales and closings, according to real estate industry experts…
    Lynn Farris, a realty agent with Windermere Hulsey & Associates in Vacaville, Calif., says disputes arising over solar panel leases are “becoming an increasing problem” for sellers and buyers, and because of the rising popularity of solar, “it’s going to get worse.”
    She has seen sales fall apart when the parties couldn’t agree on how to handle the substantial payments owed on long-term leases — in one case it was nearly $30,000 — or because buyers thought the leases “were really bad deals.” Out of four leased panel agreements she has analyzed, “only one was any good,” she said…
    The biggest player in the field, SolarCity — backed by deep-pocket venture capital and chaired by Tesla Motors and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk — says it now has 190,000 customers in 16 states. Jonathan Bass, vice president of communications, says working out smooth transfers of leased systems from sellers to buyers — or buyouts of systems — is a priority…
    Be aware of the potential complexities that can occur when you lease, rather than buy, solar panels.
    If you opt for a lease, understand your long-term obligations, and talk to your current utility company about the savings claimed…

    White House goes BIG on solar!

    9 May: GreenTechMedia: Eric Wesoff: White House Finally Goes Solar; Obama Preaches Efficiency and Jobs at Wal-Mart
    It’s official: There is a 6.3-kilowatt American-made solar system on the White House roof.
    Obama announced commitments from hundreds of public and private companies and organizations including Home Depot, Ikea, Yahoo, Google, Lennar Homes and Goldman Sachs to push solar energy and energy efficiency. The commitments amount to 850 megawatts of solar power, according to a press release…
    ***“We’re thrilled to see the president taking so much leadership around solar deployment,” said Erica Mackie, CEO and co-founder of GRID Alternatives, who participated in today’s presidential announcement in Mountain View. “We will continue to work with the administration to ensure that our most economically vulnerable and underserved communities are included in our nation’s transition to clean energy.”…

    ***Grid Alternatives has a deal with Yingli (China) for its leased solar panels &, according to their Who We Are page on their website: “In 2008, GRID Alternatives was selected by the California Public Utilities Commission to serve as the statewide program manager for its $162 million Single-family Affordable Solar Homes (SASH) incentive program”.

  179. don’t let facts get in the way:

    25 May: Swissinfo: John Heilprin: Climate, extreme weather top concerns at global weather congress
    Weather experts from around the world began convening in Geneva on Monday for a congress where Swiss Interior Minister Alain Berset emphasized the need to reduce .e impact of natural disasters and climate change.
    Organizers of the congress, held by the World Meteorological Organization once every four years, say it will focus on how to strengthen weather and climate services to meet the needs of a growing global population and to cope with climate variability and change, extreme weather and related shocks on all socio-economic sectors…
    ***“As the global thermostat continues to rise, meteorological services are more essential than ever,” UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon said. He urged attendees to prepare compelling videos about the dangers of an overheated planet ahead of the Paris conference “so that all understand the stakes involved.”
    Michel Jarraud, the WMO’s secretary-general, says the congress that runs through June 12 must build greater international cooperation and investment in weather and climate observations and services. They are essential, he says to boosting resilience to weather and climate, promoting sustainable development and helping humanity cope with the changing climate…–extreme-weather-top-concerns-at-global-weather-congress/41450128

    26 May: GMA: AFP: UN chief seeks ‘global action’ on climate change this year
    “This year governments will make major decisions on sustainable development and climate change. 2015 must be a time for global action,” he (Ban Ki-Moon) added…
    WMO head Michel Jarraud said the congress must buttress cooperation and investment in weather and climate observations and services.
    “So far in 2015, as in preceding years, weather-related disasters have destroyed or disrupted millions of lives and livelihoods,” Jarraud said.
    “The great majority of natural disasters are related to weather, climate and water,” he said.
    “WMO already has an important role to play and this will become increasingly important in the future,” said Jarraud, who is stepping down next year after three terms, and whose successor will be chosen at this congress.
    “We have more than a responsibility. We have a ***moral duty to take action to limit climate change. If we don’t do it, we will be judged by our children and our grandchildren.”…

  180. plenty of lecturing between the excerpts below:

    26 May: Straits Times: David Fogarty: Asean’s quest for power: At what price? Region’s choice of fossil or renewable energy will affect climate-change fight
    To most of its South-east Asian neighbours, Singapore’s electricity grid is the stuff of dreams. Reliable power to every home and abundant supply to industries that keep the economy growing and provide plenty of jobs. Blackouts on any scale are almost unheard of.
    Not so in many other parts of the region. One in five of Southeast Asia’s 600 million people does not have access to electricity. Chronic power shortages and blackouts blight some of the region’s most populous nations, stifling economic growth…
    South-east Asia needs power, and lots of it, very quickly…
    But the UN and others say a huge roll-out of coal power could lock in decades of rising carbon dioxide pollution – CO2 is the main greenhouse gas blamed for climate change – while huge hydro dams, such as those planned for the Mekong river basin, disrupt farming and fishing and risk wiping out many species…
    “Over the next two decades, 65 per cent of the (global) growth in energy consumption is going to come from South-east Asia,” Ms Christiana Figueres, head of the UN Climate Change Secretariat, told The Straits Times in a recent interview.
    The Paris-based International Energy Agency (IEA) says power generation is set to nearly triple in South-east Asia between 2011 and 2035, with fossil fuels providing most of the energy. It says if current energy policies remain, the region’s carbon emissions will double to 2.3 billion tonnes, making it among the world’s top greenhouse-gas emitters.
    What the region decides on energy policy now will set the tone for the global fight against climate change, Ms Figueres said…
    Ms Athena Ballesteros, Director, Finance Centre, of the Washington-based World Resources Institute, told The Straits Times that investments in coal-fired power stations do not make sense when you add up the long-term environmental and health costs…
    That means energy investments to feed megacities need careful planning. But that can be a tough message for a leader like Indonesian President Joko Widodo, who faces an urgent mission to, literally, deliver power to the people. Mr Joko has announced a 35,000MW power plant programme – more than half of which will be coal fired – by 2019…
    He said only 16 per cent of Indonesians had secure access to electricity…
    Coal remains king for power generation and, based on current plans, it will account for almost 60 per cent of the increase in the region’s power supply to 2040, Dr Fatih Birol, the IEA’s Chief Economist and Director of Global Energy Economics, told The Straits Times in an e-mail interview…

  181. My long time correspondent, author of More Guns, Less Crime, Dr. John R. Lott, Jr. is well experienced with corruption of his Wikipedia article by (supporters of) Steven Levitt and Stephen Dubner of Freakonomics. Lott might be contacted through his Blogspot account or website. I am a sustaining contributor to The Wikimedia Foundation.

  182. It’s John Cook vs. Ross McKitrick, on the subject of the 97% consensus.

    Manufacturing doubt about climate consensus (By John Cook of Skeptical Science)

    Claim that 97% of scientists support climate alarm cannot be supported (By Ross McKitrick)
    This study design may simply be a circular argument

  183. I think someone, with better skills than I have, should closely examine the Vulture Culture of these climate activists who just wait around for that one catastrophe that they can jump on and blame on CAGW to get headlines and press time. People dying from tornados, or floods, or extreme heat, and even earthquakes, etc. Purely weather related or unrelated fatalities that they blindly and crudely and insensitively use to push their agw agenda. Their morbid exploitation of other peoples misfortunes begs some serious psychological study ala Lewandowski. Seriously, someone needs to call them on this.

  184. The only reference to bird cookers and bird choppers is: “The Service has stated that it will also consider whether to expand the industry group to wind energy generation.”
    U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service to Consider Expanding Incidental Take Authorization Under Migratory Bird Treaty Act
    By: Benjamin Z. Rubin, Brooke M. Wahlberg
    This week, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (Service) published a notice in the Federal Register identifying its intent to prepare an environmental impact statement analyzing various approaches for regulating incidental take of the 1,027 bird species in the United States currently protected by the Migratory Bird Treaty Act (MBTA).
    The notice states that if a permit program is implemented, it will focus on a limited number of specific industries and activities, and the program will likely include mitigation requirements for bird mortality that cannot be avoided through the incorporation of technology or best practices. The industries specifically identified in the notice include the oil and gas industry, the electrical industry, and the communications industry. The Service has stated that it will also consider whether to expand the industry group to wind energy generation.

  185. 27 May: TechCrunch: Bryan Birsic: Goldman Sachs Is Our Best Bet Against Climate Change
    Although it may not be the obvious hero, usually more Vampire Squid than White Knight, Goldman Sachs and its cohorts could be responsible for transitioning the renewables sector from a fragmented and esoteric industry to one of mainstream dominance…
    In comparison, the U.S. Department of Energy’s goal to increase solar energy output from 1 percent to 10 percent by 2025 is modest, and yet would dramatically grow the renewables industry.
    Behind this growth are Goldman Sachs, Citi, JPMorgan and the rest of the institutional investment industry, moving increasing volumes of capital into this market as it matures and sheds risk…
    ***Large amounts of capital are needed to advance renewable energy from fringe to dominance, which only the financial industry can deploy…
    ***Today’s products are just the tip of the iceberg. Solutions emerging include more ways to repackage debt such as renewable-backed securitized products or energy mezzanine financing, and financing constructs that generate revenue based on projected savings, such as social impact bonds…
    As Michael Eckhart, Managing Director and Global Head of Finance and Sustainability at Citi said in an interview with Clean Energy Finance Forum, “I think we are 40 years into a 100-year transition to a clean finance economy. The momentum is going in our favor and we are succeeding.”…
    Carlos Herrera: SO TIRED of these advertorials. Seriously, they are just way too biased.

    from LinkedIn: Bryan Birsic
    Co-founder & CEO Wunder
    Wunder makes it dead simple for any accredited investor to invest in solar. We source solar projects from our national network of top-tier installer partners, run those projects through a rigorous diligence process, and bring the very best to a growing network of institutional and individual accredited investors…
    Associate Consultant: Bain & Company
    Co-founder/Operational Co-lead of Bain’s Green Team, Bain & Company’s first climate impact, energy efficiency, LEED construction group.

  186. technocracy rising:

    26 May: The Week Mag: James Poulos: Silicon Valley could save the world from climate change. But we don’t want them to
    Silicon Valley could save the planet. All they need to do is combine their entrepreneurial brilliance with an enormous infusion of cash, and, more importantly, have our society grant them the cultural permission to lead us to a green future…
    Why not trust our technologists to actually tackle the difficulties our scientists warn us about? Why do we put our faith in government not even to compel us to do great things, but to stop us from doing little things that add up, such as emit carbon?…
    Why don’t we turn Washington into the biggest venture capitalist in the world, and hand Silicon Valley a blank check marked “climate”? Because it makes them masters of the universe. Yes, it’s all about our fear again…
    Unless we get over that resentful queasiness about the new ruling techno-class we’re winding up with anyway, we’ll just keep choking on climate.

    when the CAGW story changes almost daily, what would they be saving us from?

    26 May: RTCC: Tim Radford: Tropical storms get fiercer with climate change – study
    Typhoons and hurricanes are getting less frequent with human-caused global warming but more intense, study confirms
    Tropical storms are becoming more violent and less frequent as global temperatures rise, US and Korean researchers have found.The conclusion is not new: other teams have already proposed that carbon dioxide from burning fossil fuels could drive tropical cyclones to higher latitudes and that the most destructive hurricanes could happen increasingly often…
    Nam-Young Kang, who directs South Korea’s National Typhoon Center, and James Eisner, a geographer at Florida State University, set about a study of weather data and hurricane, cyclone and typhoon records between 1984 and 2012 to see if they could identify a pattern of change…
    They report in Nature Climate Change that they found what they were looking for: a pattern…

  187. WUWT has already featured this publication: “Connecting on Climate” A Guide to Effective Climate Change Communication.” From “Center for Research on Environmental Decisions.” That had said a paper copy could be ordered.

    I ordered a paper copy for free. It is interesting to see how these guys advocate opinion-changing.

  188. Bloomberg had an article today – easy to find online:

    Solar as Fastest Growing U.S. Power Source Rivals Shale Boom
    Move over shale. The sun is now the fastest growing source of U.S. electricity.
    Solar power capacity in the U.S. has jumped 20-fold since 2008 as companies including ***Apple Inc. use it to reduce their carbon footprint…

    PICS: 27 May: Engadget: Richard Lawler: Fire breaks out at Apple facility in Arizona
    An Apple building in Arizona is on fire, and a live stream from local news station ABC 15 shows crews on site, as well as a burning roof full of scorched solar panels. Based on the location, it appears to be the facility Apple purchased from sapphire maker GT Advanced, with an eye towards turning it into a command center for the company’s worldwide data networks…
    According to the Superstition Fire and Medical District (yes, it’s real) right now it appears that solar panels caught fire on the roof…

    27 May: BusinessInsider: Matt Weinberger: A huge Apple building in Mesa, Arizona was just on fire
    The fire was limited to solar panels above the building, and never actually got inside, according to that report. As many as 50 people had to be evacuated, but nobody was hurt. 100 firefighters are on the scene, according to a tweet by ABC15 anchor Justin Pazera…
    The solar panels on the building were part of a deal Apple had with the local community to provide power to 14,000 local homes…

  189. 8 May: WNYT: Solar panels pose challenge in Latham fire
    When a fire erupted Friday in the attic of a medical building on Route 9, and firefighters needed to ventilate the roof, there was solar paneling that got in the way.
    When flames began shooting through the roof of this small medical building Friday morning, the dentist, the chiropractor, and their patients inside were unaware of the danger. It was a passing motorist who stopped, ran inside, and got everyone out.
    “Upon arrival the first units found fire on the roof in the vicinity of the solar panels. It extended from the roof into the attic which was put out by the crews,” explained Thomas Bergin, Colonie Incident Commander.
    The fire itself was small, but the fire fight became a big deal because for the first time Colonie firefighters, who needed access to the roof, found solar panels blocking the way…
    “We should know before we get there that there is, there are panels,” noted Sr. Invest. Joe Bisognano of the Colonie Fire Department.
    Bisognano says more and more commercial and residential buildings in the town are going green, and standard procedure is for firefighters to know ahead of time what they’re likely to encounter when they get to a fire scene…
    In Burlington County, New Jersey, a giant food warehouse caught fire in September 2013. There were 7,000 solar panels that were installed on the roof that were cited by fire officials for causing access problem.
    “The problem we have with this fire is the whole roof has solar panels on it so we can’t get on it because they’re energized,” explained Chief Ron Holt of the Delanco Fire Department back when that fire happened.
    In other words, when firefighters are up on the roof worrying about raging flames and thick smoke, they might also need to worry about stepping on an energized solar panel…
    In other parts of the country, there’s been talk about leaving large sections solar rooftops free of solar panels in case of fire.
    Some municipalities are considering legislation that would require emblems on buildings, notifying firefighters that solar panels are present.

  190. Hi there, I just wondered if any of you guys would be interested in one our Universitie’s free online courses, about monitoring climate changes from outer-space. I’ve taken courses with them before and it is a great way of seeing how the land lies with the interested parties. I’m not sure what their approach is, whether they are warmists, luke warm or not But at least you guys would be able to keep them on their toes, maybe?:)

    The course is here
    It’s for six weeks, starting on the 8th June and involves 3 hour lessons that you can take at your own pace. (I assume you are able to access them outside of the UK)

    There is a list of educators on the welcome page, does anyone know any of them?
    No, our lovely Roy Spencer is not one of the educators)
    Here is a copy of the educator list:

    1) Martin Wooster (Lead Educator) Martin Wooster is Professor of Earth Observation Science in the Dept. of Geography, King’s College London
    2) Alan O’Neill Professor of Meteorology at the University of Reading
    3) Andrew Shepherd Director of the UK Centre for Polar Observation and Modelling and Principal Scientific Advisor to the European Space Agency’s CryoSat satellite mission.
    4) Emily Shuckburgh Climate scientist and Head of the Open Oceans research group at the British Antarctic Survey
    5) Mathias Disney I’m a scientist, interested in vegetation, carbon and climate. I use satellite observations, 3D models and measurements to try and understand these processes.

    Sophie :)

    • Oh dear University’s not universitie’s, sorry, I never spell checked it, as I wrote in in notepad (there may be others) back to school for me. :)

  191. Just a reminder that President Obama will be at the National Hurricane Center tomorrow to be briefed on the seasonal hurricane forecast and then he will give ANOTHER climate speech. I am sure the whole event will be carefully staged by the White House and there will be no real briefing. If there were, he might hear from NHC’s Science and Operations Officer Dr. Chris Landsea, who had this to say about hurricanes and global warming:
    So I’m sure Landseae will be relegated to the background and the POTUS will once again blather on about how “Carbon pollution will cause storms to be stronger.” Just you watch.

  192. In 2013, USA Today, among many major news outlets to focus on the issue, published a special report on how global warming was exacerbating the supposedly historic drought in Texas and that “likely do more damage in the future.” Well, that drought is amazingly now officially over less than two years later.

    This, in a remotely logical world, would leave only two options: 1) Global Warming has been fixed; or 2) The report was a piece of garbage using a natural cycle to promote a political agenda. I asked the reporter via Twitter if she intended on retracting the piece now that the supposedly global warming-caused drought is over so incredibly quickly, but shockingly I got no response.

  193. I read this site on my iPad. As of today I see ads between topics on the home page, and the same ad appears in the middle of an article that I click to read, the problem is these ads run automatically without my clicking on them. I have seen something about tacos 15 times already and am sick of it. I have to wait before an option to skip appears and closes the ad.

    Is this working as intended? I have given up other sites for this reason and would like to know if I have to add WUWT to the list.

  194. I hate to say I told you so… but look who is defending the Roman Catholic Church’s reputation with Science…


    Actually I just loved saying that!

    I saw this coming A MILE away. I also said that when the Church takes a more considered opinion on climate science, particularly in relation to population control, poverty, and the Club of Rome, the left will attack the Church again, as usual. The encyclical was delayed due to Heartland et al.

    Thanks to Heartland and Anthony and Springer, Delingpole and Morano, and Monckton for getting in front of this.

  195. I have been invited to become a “Climate Reality Leader”. Al Gore wants me !! I think this is in conjunction with Ben & Jerry’s ice cream. Al has obviously been stopping by B&J a lot lately.

    “You will be empowered to communicate the reality of the climate”. Somehow, I suspect facts and reality won’t be very welcome.

    Dear Mary,

    You know how grave a threat the climate crisis is — not just today, but also to the future of human civilization on this planet we will pass on to our children and grandchildren.

    You know that it’s up to us to protect a climate balance that supports and nurtures a healthy and prosperous future for the generations that will follow us.

    The good news is that we can — but only if we take urgent action. That’s why I’m writing to invite you to join me in Toronto, Canada from July 9-10 to train as a Climate Reality Leader.

    Climate Reality Leaders are an extraordinary group of citizens who are committed to solving the climate crisis, now and forever.

    Join the Climate Reality Leadership Corps and learn about the science of the climate crisis and its solutions. You will also learn cutting-edge communications and organizing techniques from experts in the field.

    By becoming a Climate Reality Leader, you will be empowered to communicate the reality of the climate crisis, inspire your local community and help to confront the greatest challenge humanity has ever faced.

    Time to apply is running out.

    With so much on the line for our planet and with your chance to help solve the challenge of our time right in front of you, I’ve got just one question:

    What’s holding you back?

    Join me in Toronto and become a Climate Reality Leader. Together, we can solve the climate crisis.



    Al Gore
    Founder and Chairman
    The Climate Reality Project

  196. Interesting whirlpool video illustrating a characteristic of fluid dynamics that can effect ocean currents and, especially, storms in weather.

    • There’s an island in the Thousand Islands area of the St. Lawrence river called “Whirpool Island”. It makes for interesting SCUBA diving; rather like diving in a washing machine.

  197. Decades of Atlantic cooling on the way
    Global climate on verge of multi-decadal change

    Source: University of Southampton
    Summary: The global climate is on the verge of broad-scale change that could last for a number of decades a new study implies. The change to the new set of climatic conditions is associated with a cooling of the Atlantic, and is likely to bring drier summers in Britain and Ireland, accelerated sea-level rise along the northeast coast of the United States, and drought in the developing countries of the Sahel region.

    The new study, by scientists from the University of Southampton and National Oceanography Centre (NOC), implies that the global climate is on the verge of broad-scale change that could last for a number of decades.
    The change to the new set of climatic conditions is associated with a cooling of the Atlantic, and is likely to bring drier summers in Britain and Ireland, accelerated sea-level rise along the northeast coast of the United States, and drought in the developing countries of the Sahel region. This new climatic phase could be half a degree cooler.

    The study, published in Nature, proves that ocean circulation is the link between weather and decadal scale climatic change. It is based on observational evidence of the link between ocean circulation and the decadal variability of sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean.
    Lead author Dr Gerard McCarthy, from the NOC, said: “Sea-surface temperatures in the Atlantic vary between warm and cold over time-scales of many decades. These variations have been shown to influence temperature, rainfall, drought and even the frequency of hurricanes in many regions of the world. This decadal variability, called the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO), is a notable feature of the Atlantic Ocean and the climate of the regions it influences.”
    These climatic phases, referred to as positive or negative AMO’s, are the result of the movement of heat northwards by a system of ocean currents. This movement of heat changes the temperature of the sea surface, which has a profound impact on climate on timescales of 20-30 years. The strength of these currents is determined by the same atmospheric conditions that control the position of the jet stream. Negative AMO’s occur when the currents are weaker and so less heat is carried northwards towards Europe from the tropics.

    The strength of ocean currents has been measured by a network of sensors, called the RAPID array, which have been collecting data on the flow rate of the Atlantic meridonal overturning circulation (AMOC) for a decade. Dr David Smeed, from the NOC and lead scientist of the RAPID project, adds: “The observations of AMOC from the RAPID array, over the past ten years, show that it is declining. As a result, we expect the AMO is moving to a negative phase, which will result in cooler surface waters. This is consistent with observations of temperature in the North Atlantic.”
    Since the RAPID array has only been collecting data for last ten years, a longer data set was needed to prove the link between ocean circulation and slow climate variations. Therefore this study instead used 100 years of sea level data, maintained by the National Oceanography Center’s permanent service for mean sea level. Models of ocean currents based on this data were used to predict how much heat would be transported around the ocean, and the impact this would have on the sea surface temperature in key locations.
    Co-author Dr Ivan Haigh, lecturer in coastal oceanography at the University of Southampton, said: “By reconstructing ocean circulation over the last 100 years from tide gauges that measure sea level at the coast, we have been able to show, for the first time, observational evidence of the link between ocean circulation and the AMO.”

    Journal Reference:
    Gerard D. McCarthy, Ivan D. Haigh, Joël J.-M. Hirschi, Jeremy P. Grist, David A. Smeed. Ocean impact on decadal Atlantic climate variability revealed by sea-level observations. Nature, 2015; 521 (7553): 508 DOI: 10.1038/nature14491

  198. “With the paper out, it was time to make some noise. I called a friend of a friend who works in scientific PR. She walked me through some of the dirty tricks for grabbing headlines. It was eerie to hear the other side of something I experience every day.”

    “The key is to exploit journalists’ incredible laziness. If you lay out the information just right, you can shape the story that emerges in the media almost like you were writing those stories yourself. In fact, that’s literally what you’re doing, since many reporters just copied and pasted our text.”

    “When reporters contacted me at all, they asked perfunctory questions. “Why do you think chocolate accelerates weight loss? Do you have any advice for our readers?” Almost no one asked how many subjects we tested, and no one reported that number. Not a single reporter seems to have contacted an outside researcher. None are quoted.”

  199. ???

    27 May: UK Daily Mail: Jonathan O’Callaghan: Up to 99% of Everest’s glaciers could be gone by 2100: Global warming could devastate the Himalayas, scientists warn
    The research was carried out by scientists from Nepal, the Netherlands and France.
    They studied weather patterns in the atmosphere and then created a model of conditions on Everest to determine the future impact of rising temperatures on its glaciers.
    ‘The worst-case scenario shows a 99 per cent loss in glacial mass… but even if we start to slow down emissions somewhat, we may still see a 70 per cent reduction,’ said Dr Joseph Shea of the International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development (ICIMOD), Kathmandu, who led the study…
    Dr Shea was part of a team that published a major study last year using satellite imagery to show how Nepal’s glaciers had already shrunk by nearly a quarter between 1977 and 2010.
    But the latest study, published Wednesday in international scientific journal The Cryosphere, shows the region getting much worse by 2100…
    ‘Once we had tested our model and got the weather patterns right, we increased temperatures according to different emission scenarios for a look at future scenarios,’ Dr Shea said…

  200. plenty of backing for the Everest glaciers’ scary report Centre:

    ICIMOD (International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development) Members, Sponsors & Funding Partners
    Non-regional strategic partners and regular supporters includes:
    Norway, Germany etc … UNEP, etc
    Co-financing project partners includes:
    Elsevier Foundation, Ford Foundation, USAID, The World Bank UNEP, WWF. etc

    the following received MSM coverage last year (“women more vulnerable to CAGW blah blah) & suggests ICIMOD doesn’t confine itself to glaciers:

    Aug 2014: International Institute for Sustainable Development: ICIMOD Reports on Women’s Adaptation to Climate Change in Nepal
    In addition, the report makes several recommendations for gender-sensitive adaptive practices, including: enhance women’s engagement in local-level climate change planning and implementation processes; ƒƒstrengthen local-level women’s organizations and networks; ƒƒseparate or create specific funds and resources for women…increase investment in adequate and skilled local-level service providers (quality and quantity); ƒƒenhance the capacity of national and local-level institutions for gender equality; ƒƒinclude or provide for gender experts within national and local-level climate change-related institutions; ƒƒconduct awareness raising; ƒƒand strengthen and develop male gender champions…
    The report was launched on 14 August 2014, at a seminar in Arendal, Norway, celebrating the 25th anniversary of GRID-Arendal, a UN Environment Programme (UNEP) collaborating center, and Arendalsuka (Arendal Week), which brings together Norwegian political, business and community leaders each year…

    also found online:

    Nepal: ICIMOD pilots first Forest Carbon Trust Fund in Nepal – Helps communities benefit from forest conservation and sustainable use
    Financed by the Norwegian Agency for Development Cooperation (Norad) under the Climate and Forest Initiative…

  201. “More eggs, please. Cholesterol is OK now”

    From The Times come this article by Matt Ridley on the paradigm shift away from the failed old low-fat advice.

    What is most interesting is the wholesale denial of the facts by the medical establishment that parallels the current warming scam.

    (Normally the times is paywalled – but the article is in the link above)

    A taster is here…

    This U-turn on dietary advice is long overdue. All kinds of damage have been done to people’s lives and livelihoods
    If you are reading this before breakfast, please consider having an egg. Any day now, the US government will officially accept the advice to drop cholesterol from its list of “nutrients of concern” altogether. It wants also to “de-emphasise” saturated fat, given “the lack of evidence connecting it with cardiovascular disease”.

    This is a mighty U-turn, albeit hedged about in caveats, and long overdue. The evidence has been building for years that eating cholesterol does not cause high blood cholesterol. A 2013 review by the American Heart Association and the American College of Cardiology found “no appreciable relationship between consumption of dietary cholesterol and serum [blood] cholesterol”.

    Cholesterol is not some vile poison but an essential ingredient of life, which makes animal cell membranes flexible and is the raw material for making hormones, like testosterone and oestrogen. Your liver manufactures most of the cholesterol found in your blood from scratch, and adjusts for what you ingest, which is why diet does not determine blood cholesterol levels. Lowering blood cholesterol by changing diet is all but impossible.

  202. 28 May: SavannahNow: David Koenig: Exxon shareholders to vote on climate change, fracking
    DALLAS — Exxon Mobil shareholders overwhelmingly rejected several environmental resolutions including proposals to put a climate-change expert on the board and set goals for greenhouse-gas emissions.
    At the oil giant’s annual meeting Wednesday in Dallas, CEO Rex Tillerson gave a stay-the-course outlook for the company, which has seen profits decline recently with lower prices for crude oil…
    Shareholders rejected a proposal by an organization of Catholic priests in Milwaukee to put a climate-change expert on the board. The Exxon board opposed the resolution, saying several board members have engineering and scientific backgrounds and can handle climate issues, and it gained only 21 percent support…
    Others proposed that Exxon Mobil set goals for reducing greenhouse gas emissions from its products, such as gasoline, but that got only 9.6 percent support. Vermont state treasurer Beth Pearce said institutional investors are growing more concerned about the topic, and Exxon management’s strategy for diversifying its production beyond oil and gas has been “wholly inadequate.”
    A measure calling for a report on the impact of the company’s hydraulic-fracturing practices drew 24.9 percent support…
    On climate change, Tillerson said that models predicting the effects of global warming aren’t very good and that it would be very hard for the world to meet aggressive emission-reduction targets. He said technology can help deal with rising sea levels or changing weather patterns “that may or may not be induced by climate change.”
    “Mankind has this enormous capacity to deal with adversity,” Tillerson said. “I know that is an unsatisfactory answer to a lot of people.”…
    Tillerson repeated his long-held view that renewable energy is not economical yet, adding, “We choose not to lose money on purpose.” Shareholders in the hall broke into applause…

  203. CAGW crowd assemble in Barcelona this week.
    watch Tubiana say it’s not ideological.
    also Ed King stating business wants a price on carbon. forget consensus, France threatens to write the text!

    VIDEO: 12 mins: 27 May: RTCC: France ready to step in if climate talks stall, says Tubiana
    Chief French climate diplomat says hosts of COP21 will take lead if countries fail to deliver new text by August
    by Ed King in Barcelona
    France will produce its own text for a global climate change agreement if countries taking part in UN negotiations fail to cut the current 90-page document down to size.The host of this year’s UN summit, where an emissions cutting pact between nearly 200 countries is set to be finalised, wants a shorter document by the end of the summer.“We have to get a simpler text by June or the latest by the end of August to work with it,” France’s top climate diplomat Laurence Tubiana told RTCC, speaking at the Carbon Expo event in Barcelona.
    “If this does not proceed from the normal process of course that will rely on the presidency of the COP in the summer to produce a new document.”…
    Tubiana said France wants the main elements of the deal ready by October to ensure there were “no surprises” that could stymie the process.The last time the UN attempted to secure a global climate solution ended in farce just under six years ago at a summit in Copenhagen…
    Decisions this UN forum need to be decided by consensus…
    Tubiana admitted the demand for an early resolution to the negotiating text added a level of pressure on countries that could slow talks further, but insisted it was essential work sped up…
    France will ensure that plans to help countries adapt to future climate extremes are an integral part of any deal, Tubiana stressed…

    26 May: World Bank: Carbon Pricing Is Expanding: Initiatives Now Valued at Nearly $50 Billion
    “An effective carbon price is an essential, if insufficient, part of a policy package that can lower emissions and drive the economy toward a low-carbon, resilient future,” said World Bank Group Vice President and Special Envoy for Climate Change Rachel Kyte. “It makes pollution more expensive, incentivizes efficiency and clean production, and helps business leaders and investors understand the long-term direction of travel(?).”…
    Leaders are no longer asking whether they should price carbon but are instead looking to the World Bank Group and others for technical advice as they determine how to put carbon pricing into operation….
    At Climate Week Paris May 18-21 and then at Carbon Expo in Barcelona, business leaders headlined panels on carbon pricing and called for wider use of robust, effective carbon pricing mechanisms. They described carbon pricing as a key piece of the policy package necessary to drive more sustainable choices…
    The value of ETS’s globally rose from $32 billion a year ago to $34 billion today, despite the repeal of Australia’s Carbon Pricing Mechanism last July, according to Carbon Pricing Watch…
    The full State and Trends of Carbon Pricing report, to be released ahead of the international climate talks later this year, will delve into greater detail and analysis of the impacts of carbon pricing initiatives and advantages for international cooperation.

  204. Are top polluters funding Paris climate summit?

    Pierre-Henri Guignard, who is responsible for organising the event, identified 20 firms in the first batch of sponsors.

    They include French energy companies Engie and EDF, BNP Paribas bank, Renault Nissan, Air France, insurance giant Axa, luxury goods maker LVMH as well as Ikea of Sweden and Italian insurance company Generali.

    The conference “will be financed by French champions of pollution,” Oxfam France complained.

  205. From ASCE SmartBrief this morning:
    “Obama administration puts EPA’s water rule into place
    “President Barack Obama’s administration has put into place the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s and Army Corps of Engineers’ Waters of the United States rule that is designed to protect small streams and tributaries across the country. The rule defines the scope of the Clean Water Act and could have a huge effect on development and agriculture. Some groups, including the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, say that they will take the issue to court, and Sen. David Vitter, R-La., calls the rule “yet another example of the EPA’s collusion with far-left environmental groups to promote a policy that would hurt small businesses and substantially harm the American economy.” Reuters (5/27), The New York Times (tiered subscription model) (5/27), Politico (5/27), The Hill (5/26)

    The last of the five links provides criticism of the “WOTUS” regulation:
    “In a letter to EPA Administrator Gina McCarthy, Sen. David Vitter (R-La.) criticizes the agency for using taxpayer dollars to mount a lobbying campaign for the Waters of the United States rule it proposed last year.”
    ““The fact that the EPA certified that the WOTUS rule will not harm small entities, while at the same time devoting itself to political advocacy on behalf of the White House, demonstrates that the EPA places a higher priority on the president’s environmental agenda than it does on protecting the interests of America’s small businesses, as required by law,” Vitter wrote.”

  206. Unprofessionalism at NOAA/NHC alert…

    WTPZ41 KNHC 281453

    900 AM MDT THU MAY 28 2015

    Deep convection associated with the tropical cyclone has continued
    to expand this morning with a large area of cloud top temperatures
    colder than -70 degrees Celsius. The convection has also become
    better organized with an increase in banding and a developing
    central dense overcast. Dvorak data T-numbers from both SAB and
    TAFB were T2.5, which support upgrading the depression to a 35-kt
    tropical storm.

    The initial motion estimate is 295/12. Andres is located to the
    south and southwest of a mid-level ridge that extends from
    south-central Mexico west-southwestward over the eastern Pacific.
    This ridge is expected to be the main steering influence during the
    next several days, and should cause Andres to move
    west-northwestward to northwestward. After 48 hours, track guidance
    spread increases, with the GFDL, HWRF, and ECMWF models taking
    Andres on a more northerly track, while the GFS and GFS ensemble
    maintain a northwesterly motion. The NHC track forecast remains
    near the multi-model consensus for now.

    Warm water and low shear during the next 2-3 days should allow for
    steady strengthening. In fact, the SHIPS RI index indicates a 60%
    chance of at least a 30-kt increase during the next 24 hours. The
    updated NHC forecast calls for a faster rate of intensification over
    the next 36 h than the previous one. In 2 to 3 days, the cyclone
    will be approaching slightly cooler waters which should induce
    weakening by the end of the forecast period.


    INIT 28/1500Z 11.6N 111.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
    12H 29/0000Z 12.3N 112.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
    24H 29/1200Z 13.0N 113.3W 60 KT 70 MPH
    36H 30/0000Z 13.8N 114.0W 70 KT 80 MPH
    48H 30/1200Z 14.8N 114.6W 80 KT 90 MPH
    72H 31/1200Z 16.7N 115.6W 80 KT 90 MPH
    96H 01/1200Z 18.0N 117.0W 65 KT 75 MPH
    120H 02/1200Z 19.0N 118.0W 50 KT 60 MPH

    Forecaster Brown and Barack Obama (PRESIDENT)

  207. Well, Obama visited the National Hurricane Center and gave his climate speech
    He again touted how global warming will probably make storms stronger (he did not mention that the same studies show they will probably be fewer) and said that while GW didn’t create Hurricane Sandy that it “probably made it worse.” I doubt anyone at NHC told him that, but even if they told him the opposite he would still churn out the CAGW line.
    It seems that Rep. Carlos Cubela (the only Republican Congressman still buying the CAGW line) was there to talk to any TV camera in sight. I think he appeared in all four local TV stations coverage of the visit.
    On a personal note, as I was commuting home last night, northbound on I-95 about 4:20 PM, the Presidential motorcade was passing southbound. All traffic was blocked off with dozens of motorcycles whizzing about blocking exits. When the main bulk of the procession passed by, about a dozen large limos and heavy vehicles, I rolled down my car window and gave them a digital salute. I’m sure no one saw me, but it made me feel good.

  208. 29 May: Nation Pakistan: AFP/Reuters: Climate change worsens disasters: Obama
    MIAMI – US President Barack Obama warned Thursday that climate change was making natural disasters worse, as he toured the National Hurricane Center ahead of the annual storm season.
    “The best climate scientists in the world are telling us that extreme weather events like hurricanes are likely to become more powerful,” Obama said on a visit to the facility in Florida, restating his case for action to tackle manmade changes to the environment. “When you combine stronger storms with rising seas, that’s a recipe for more devastating floods.” “Climate change didn’t cause Hurricane Sandy, but it might have made it stronger,” he added, speaking about the storm which devastated parts of New York in 2012.
    “The fact that the sea level in New York Harbor is about a foot higher than a century ago certainly made the storm surge worse.” Obama’s comments came as Texas struggles against some of the worst flooding in years…
    Moreover, Responding to climate change in the next 15 years is the world’s “mega development project”, given the need to invest trillions of dollars in infrastructure, creating jobs and economic stability, the United Nations’ top climate change official said on Tuesday. “It makes fundamental economic sense” for countries to push forward on tackling climate change because of the benefits it will bring in terms of food, water and energy, as well as employment,” Christiana Figueres told a carbon market conference in Barcelona.
    This, together with the speed at which businesses are acting on climate change and efforts to put a price on carbon, mean “a decarbonised world is now irreversible, irrefutable,” the head of the U.N. climate change secretariat told the conference. “We are going to do it, because frankly we don’t have any other option,” she said…
    Decarbonisation refers to shifting from fossil fuels to renewable energy sources, and improving energy efficiency, in order to cut planet-warming emissions to a net zero. Rachel Kyte, the World Bank’s special envoy for climate change, said to decarbonise economies, “we will need to begin with extraordinary ambition at the end of this year” in Paris where countries are due to agree a new global deal to tackle climate change. Experts say the national plans countries are now compiling for that deal are unlikely to add up to the reductions in greenhouse gas emissions needed to keep global warming to an internationally agreed limit of 2 degrees Celsius. Market mechanisms, such as carbon taxes and emissions trading schemes, would be key in mobilising a global response on a big-enough scale, Kyte said…
    The U.N.’s Figueres said constructing a new international framework to curb global warming was going to be more complex than earlier thought. “We are currently in an era of transition – a construction site if you will,” she said. “By definition, transitions and construction sites are messy and that is a good thing, because everybody is trying to figure out how…they move forward.”

  209. Just a follow-up about the President’s visit to the National Hurricane Center yesterday. People who also were there for President Bush’s visits said the restrictions this time were 10x stricter. I found this extract from Dr. Rick Knabb’s email to his staff after the visit interesting :
    Hi everyone,

    I understand the disappointment that many of you have experienced by not having the opportunity to meet or even see the President during his visit today. Please know that I did everything I could in my attempts to give more of you those opportunities. I asked for staff being able to listen in on the closed briefing in the media room, for a chance to line up in a hallway to greet him in between the tour and the briefing, for more staff being allowed in operations, etc., but I was not successful. While they could not provide me with full explanations, we need to trust that the White House staff and Secret Service did what they are in the best position to determine was the way it should go. This event is an annual briefing given to the President right before the start of every hurricane season, and the White House was in charge of nearly every detail. In any case, not many people can say they work at an office visited by the President, but all of you can.

    I notice how the briefing was closed and not even NHC staff could listen in. It’s not like any sensitive or secret material was discussed. They just talked about the seasonal forecast and what new technologies NHC is using to monitor hurricanes. That’s all public knowledge. So much for the “Most Transparent Administration In History.”

  210. Right now on C-SPAN2 a program on “SCIENCE DENIAL” Truly disgusting. NASA communications spokesperson and Penn State professor among others. Science seems AWOL. Alas!


    Texas flood’s climate change irony: Column

    ‘From devastating droughts to flash floods, it seems that Texas can’t get a break from extreme weather associated with climate change. Emerging recently from a multiyear record-breaking drought, with reservoirs at near record lows, now the state is suffering from flooding and record precipitation. We are entering a new normal. Texas is definitely being messed with.’

    ‘Texas now generates twice as much wind power as any other U.S. state. Now that’s leadership. Other states should catch up.’

    – I am certain that ‘wind power’ will help alleviate flash floods…

  212. Hello Anthony—

    I have a copy of a local free weekly neighborhood paper, The Mesa Paper , which recently published an article titled: “At 133° Fahrenheit, It was the hottest lighthouse on earth”, authored by Wendel Hans.

    The one page tabloid size article relates, briefly, facts about a local lighthouse on June 16, 1859.

    If you would be interested in reading and/or possibly re-publishing the article please send (to my email address) a snail mail address so that I may send it to you.

    F. Ross
    (I have tried digitizing the article using OCR but without much success. Lots and lots of errors)

  213. 27 May: Medium: James Spann: The Age Of Disinformation
    I have been a professional meteorologist for 36 years. Since my debut on television in 1979, I have been an eyewitness to the many changes in technology, society, and how we communicate. I am one who embraces change, and celebrates the higher quality of life we enjoy now thanks to this progress…
    No doubt national news media outlets are out of control when it comes to weather coverage, and their idiotic claims find their way to us on a daily basis.
    The Houston flooding is a great example. We are being told this is “unprecedented”… Houston is “under water”… and it is due to manmade global warming…
    But, no, this was not “unprecedented”. Flooding from Tropical Storm Allison in 2001 was more widespread, and flood waters were deeper. There is no comparison. In fact, many circulated this image in recent days, claiming it is “Houston underwater” from the flooding of May 25–26, 2015. The truth is that this image was captured in June 2001 during flooding from Allison…
    Flood events in 2009, 2006, 1998, 1994, 1989, 1983, and 1979 brought higher water levels to most of Houston, and there were many very serious flood events before the 1970s…
    Everyone knows the climate is changing; it always has, and always will. I do not know of a single “climate denier”. I am still waiting to meet one.
    The debate involves the anthropogenic impact, and this is not why I am writing this piece. Let’s just say the Houston flood this week is weather, and not climate, and leave it at that.
    View profile at

  214. as a non-conservative, non-religious CAGW sceptic (same as many of my sceptical friends), i find this so utterly manipulative (the graphic is insane), i can’t be bothered to excerpt it:

    29 May: WaPo: Chris Mooney: New study reaffirms the link between conservative religious faith and climate change doubt
    I’m writing on this again now because after posting about Rosenau’s work, I learned about a new academic study that seems highly consistent with his research, even as it also casts new light on the environmental side of things.
    “I think looking at that graphic, it very much resonates with our own work,” explains David Konisky of Georgetown, co-author of the new paper.
    The study, which Konisky authored with Matthew Arbuckle of the University of Cincinnati, draws on a vast dataset from the 2010 installment of the Cooperative Congressional Election Study, which not only asks people about their religious views, affiliations, and habits, but also samples a huge group of Americans — some 55,000 of them…

    as for the following, it’s simply unbelievable:

    29 May; CarbonBrief: Robert McSweeney: Warming oceans could mean typhoons are 14% stronger by 2100, study says
    In the new study,published in Science Advances, researchers assessed how climate change could affect the maximum wind speed of typhoons…
    Mei, W. et al. (2015) Northwestern Pacific typhoon intensity controlled by changes in ocean temperatures, Science Advances, doi:10.1126/sciadv.1500014

  215. 29 May: Financial Times: Climate change blamed as thousands die in Indian heat
    Victor Mallet in New Delhi
    Temperatures often rise sharply in May before the onset of torrential monsoon rains but scientists say average temperatures are only likely to rise in the years ahead as a result of global warming…
    Ramanan Laxminarayan, vice-president for research and policy at the Public Health Foundation of India, said such extreme weather events were early signs of climate change…
    In India’s vast cities, the crisis is worsened by the “heat island” effect…

  216. Madness:

    “By optimizing as many routines as possible without losing user friendliness, Notepad++ is trying to reduce the world carbon dioxide emissions. When using less CPU power, the PC can throttle down and reduce power consumption, resulting in a greener environment.”

  217. The expanding & contracting advertisements that hit every post recently are very annoying and actually take away from the content when they scroll the text as you are reading it.

  218. John Cook was a cartoonist before he became a global warming pundit. That should tell you something. He is not a climatologist, Cooks title of “Climate Communications Fellow for the Global change Institute at the University of Queensland” is honorary, they had to give him a title because his website became a cornerstone for climate hysterics’ propaganda and was even reference by NASA.

    How embarrassing would it be to discover one of the biggest pundits in the media who started the 97% mantra was a cartoonist by profession? Cook states his skepticism is inspired by his christian faith. He is an evangelical, which are regarded universally as the human beings most detached from any known reality.
    Cook told the editorial board of the where he is a major contibutor, that “it is vital that we demonstrate to the public a growing scientific consensus in support of AGW.” He then laid out a proposed study by him and his team of “citizen scientists” to accomplish this.

    Skeptical Science was created and maintained by John Cook, the Climate Communication Fellow for the Global Change Institute at the University of Queensland. He originally obtained a Bachelor of Science at the University of Queensland, achieving First Class Honours with a major in physics.
    He co-authored the 2011 book Climate Change Denial: Heads in the Sand with Haydn Washington, and the 2013 college textbook Climate Change Science: A Modern Synthesis with Tom Farmer. He also lead-authored the paper Quantifying the Consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature, which was tweeted by President Obama and was awarded the best paper published in Environmental Research Letters in 2013. In 2014, he won an award for Best Australian Science Writing, published by the University of New South Wales.
    He is currently completing a PhD in cognitive psychology, researching how people think about climate change. He is also developing a MOOC (Massive Online Open Course), Making Sense of Climate Science Denial, to be released in April 2015.
    There is no funding to maintain Skeptical Science other than Paypal donations – it’s run at personal expense. John Cook has no affiliations with any organisations or political groups. Skeptical Science is strictly a labour of love. The design was created by John’s wife.

    Sample of great science from his site:
    Our climate has accumulated
    Hiroshima atomic bombs
    of heat since 1998

  219. “By Krishna N. Das

    JHARIA, India (Reuters) – Prime Minister Narendra Modi is determined to move more than 100,000 people living near coalfields in eastern India to new homes, making it easier to douse underground fires that have burned for a century and mine huge reserves of premium coal.”

    “Reviving output from India’s nationalised coal sector has been one of Modi’s most tangible achievements during his first year in office, …”

  220. The Royal Institution wraps up some of your “favourites” in like 60 seconds:

    The talk is really is about de-extinction of the mammoth, but the biologist giving the talk starts out by explaining where she gets her mammoth pieces from; in this case Canadian permafrost. She also says her focus is climate change.

    She shows Mann’s hockey stick, literally calling it that on her slide, and explains that the graph continues to “sky rocket” as suggested by the hockey stick graph. That is preceded by a quick reminder how global warming is killing of species with a polar bear slide, shift in weather patterns drying out bodies of water, and on it goes… watch a brief section from 3 to 6 minute mark:

    Beth Shapiro is the name.

  221. “Elon Musk’s growing empire is fueled by $4.9 billion in government subsidies”

    “Tesla Motors Inc., SolarCity Corp. and Space Exploration Technologies Corp., known as SpaceX, together have benefited from an estimated $4.9 billion in government support, according to data compiled by The Times. The figure underscores a common theme running through his emerging empire: a public-private financing model underpinning long-shot start-ups.”


    “The figure compiled by The Times comprises a variety of government incentives, including grants, tax breaks, factory construction, discounted loans and environmental credits that Tesla can sell. It also includes tax credits and rebates to buyers of solar panels and electric cars.”

  222. In continuation of Why is it so hard to convince a Warmist? WUWT should have a contest for the best, strongest, most effective short arguments that will cause doubt in the mind of an undecided or a warmist. The articles would have to be calm and rational and address one or two topics at a time. Idea is to create a database of the strongest, most convincing and most rational articles that people can use to debate with warmists and the undecided crowd of onlookers. Do not need to immediately convert but need to get a foot in the door and create doubt such that they go investigate further or are open to further arguments. This is much like an intervention to pull someone out of a cult.

    My two submission are:

    None of this is new but we all have to work at bringing people back to their senses one at a time.

    • Agreed. I will second that request. I like to have well written, referenced, non-political, current articles that I can link to that address a specific topic…like sea level or temperature adjustment or coral reefs or extreme weather, etc.

      Also, I prefer those articles to not have origin in political sites like Heritage Foundation or the like because, of course, they have been “debunked”, LOL.

  223. 31 May: UK Independent: Ian Johnston: Climate change: Major energy companies write to UN to request help in setting up carbon pricing scheme
    A carbon pricing scheme would involve a fee being charged to emit the greenhouse gas and the proceeds would ***probably go to companies that reduce them
    BP, Royal Dutch Shell, Total, Statoil, Eni and the BG Group asked Christiana Figueres, executive secretary of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, to help them hold “direct dialogue with the UN and willing governments” about developing a scheme to charge those who produce carbon emissions…
    The companies’ chief executives revealed the move in a letter to the Financial Times, which said: “We owe it to future generations to seek realistic, workable solutions to the challenge of providing more energy while tackling climate change.”
    A carbon pricing scheme would involve a fee being charged to emit the greenhouse gas and the proceeds would probably go to companies that reduce them, such as renewable energy firms…
    The move by the six energy firms comes ahead of a major global summit on climate change in Paris in November and December, when most of the world’s countries are expected to sign up to a new agreement on how to deal with the problem.
    ***This could include setting a date by which the use of fossil fuels will stop.
    Two major US energy firms, ExxonMobil and Chevron, have already ruled out joining the European energy firms to come up with a joint global warming strategy, the FT reported.
    Rex Tillerson, Exxon’s chairman, told shareholders: “We’re not going to be disingenuous about it. We’re not going to ***fake it. We’re going to express solutions and policy ideas that we think have merit.”

  224. the MSM ignored Carbon Expo 2015 in Barcelona, but the gang have now moved on to Bonn:

    31 May: Global Post: Reuters: Alister Doyle: Bonn U.N. talks seek to trim unwieldy climate change plan
    OSLO (Reuters) – Governments will try on Monday to streamline an 89-page draft text of a U.N. deal to fight climate change due to be agreed in Paris in December, hoping to avoid the acrimony of the last failed attempt.
    The 190-nation talks among senior officials in Bonn, from June 1-11, will try to narrow down vastly differing options, ranging from promises to slash greenhouse gas emissions to zero by 2050 to vague pledges to curb rising emissions.
    The talks are to prepare for a conference in Paris in six months’ time to agree a global deal to curb climate change that a U.N. panel blames for a rise in temperatures and more severe droughts, floods and rising sea levels.
    Time is starting to run short to distil the draft, which has 4,232 lines of text and hundreds of brackets, into a meaningful document…
    “Instead of the blaming game that was Copenhagen, what is being built here is much more of an alliance, a broad collaboration among countries to get a deal together,” she (Christiana Figueres) told Reuters…
    One problem is how to make the deal legally binding…
    “I don’t think we’ll be down to a few pages by the end of Bonn,” said Mark Kenber, head of The Climate Group, an independent organization that works with business and governments.
    “These negotiators are schooled in the art of not giving anything away unless they have to,” he said…

    ***note how Shankleman puts “science” in quotation marks:

    20 May: GreenBiz: Jessica Shankleman: Paris climate politics: Let the corporate lobbying begin
    Documents seen by BusinessGreen reveal how the European Chemical Industry Council (Cefic) demanded references relating to the ***”science” behind the need for a 2° Celsius temperature target were stripped out of the guideline messages prepared for speakers at the event. The group also attempted to add a number of caveats on industrial competitiveness and carbon pricing mechanisms to the briefing documents.
    The summit, at the UNESCO headquarters in Paris, aims to show politicians that many businesses strongly support global action on climate change and want to see an ambitious international deal finalized at the upcoming U.N. Climate Summit thatalso will be hosted in Paris in December.
    The event is being sponsored by a number of industry groups, including Cefic, and will feature a wide range of high-profile speakers, such as Tony Hayward, the former BP chief executive who now leads Glencore Xstrata; Philippe Marchessaux, chief executive of BNP Paribas Investment Partners; and Georges Plassat, chief executive of the supermarket giant Carrefour…
    One industry insider with knowledge of the proceedings accused Cefic of seeking to undermine the meeting’s level of ambition…
    The source added that while they understand the need for consensus building, there is a risk those businesses that want a truly ambitious climate agreement could see their position watered down. “I understand that in order to move everyone forward you have bring these groups on board but at the same time, when do you draw a line in the sand and say five or six months out from what we hope to be a global defining agreement, when do you just start excluding these groups and say, ‘No, you can’t be involved because we don’t feel that your contribution is going to be constructive’?”…
    But Mark Kenber, chief executive of The Climate Group, a supporting partner of Climate Week in Paris, defended the decision to bring together a wide range of industry groups for the Paris meeting.
    “This is something that involves businesses of all sectors and all countries, so I don’t think it’s right for them to exclude this business or that business,” he told BusinessGreen. “The point is to show that there is this unstoppable momentum…
    (A spokesman for Cefic) explained Cefic’s reasoning behind some of the attempted alterations.
    On removing the reference to the ***”science” of a 2° C target, he said the target is an objective set by governments, which is ***guided by science, and that Cefic never has commented on the target itself. He also insisted that industrial competitiveness is “essential” for all businesses and “must be discussed during any discussions on climate change.” …

  225. My morning read starts with Al Jazeera… solar plane forced to land by weather problems.
    Bad weather between Japan and Hawaii has forced the solar-powered aircraft Solar Impulse 2 to abort its flight and return to Nagoya.

    The plane set off from China on Saturday but had been in a holding pattern off Japan’s east coast while flight controllers analysed weather data along its planned route to Hawaii.

    “Unfortunately the current weather window to reach Hawaii has closed,” the team said in a statement.

    “The cold front is too dangerous to cross, so we have decided to land in Nagoya airfield, and wait for better weather conditions in order to continue.”

  226. some wild claims!

    31 May: UK Telegraph: Emily Gosden: Wind industry makes last-ditch effort to save subsidies
    Government plans to curtail onshore wind subsidy scheme will see millions of pounds of investments written off and “massively damage” investor confidence, ScottishPower claims
    Government plans to curtail onshore wind farm subsidies will raise energy bills, “massively damage” investor confidence and could see hundreds of millions of pounds of investments written off, energy giant ScottishPower has claimed…
    The wind industry on Sunday stepped up last-ditch lobbying to try to save the subsidies, insisting onshore wind was the ***cheapest green energy option and ***popular with the public…
    “Onshore wind is clearly still the most cost effective large scale way of deploying renewable technology in the UK. Economically, you would therefore question, why in God’s name would you want to bring that to a premature halt?
    “Our calculations are that if you prematurely bring onshore wind to a halt you will end up costing consumers £2bn to £3bn. You will end up having to deploy offshore wind or other more expensive technologies,” he said…READ ALL

  227. 1 June: CarbonBrief: Sophie Yeo: Expert views: Countries meet in Bonn to restart negotiations on UN climate deal
    Diplomats are gathering in Bonn, Germany, to negotiate the UN’s 2015 climate deal – the package that will determine what chance the world has of limiting global warming to below 2C over the coming decades.
    Negotiations opened today with a 90-page text on the table…
    (For the benefit of confused journalists in a press conference today, UN climate chief Christiana Figueres described the difference between the “Paris agreement” and the “Paris decision”. The agreement should be considered as a formal, structured text, she said, while the decision is the “instruction manual” that explains how to use it.)
    But it may not be an easy task… There are still two UN sessions before the final showdown in Paris, and diplomats may be unwilling to abandon their proposals so soon…

  228. surely it’s Seth who is “stuck on strange”:

    29 May: AP: Seth Borenstein: This has been a month of extreme weather around the world
    Even for a world getting used to wild weather, May seems stuck on strange…
    When climate scientists look at what caused extreme events -***a complex and time-consuming process that hasn’t been done yet – heat waves are the ones most definitely connected to global warming, (University of Georgia meteorology professor Marshall ) Shepherd says…
    Katharine Hayhoe, a climate scientist at Texas Tech University, likens what’s happening to a stewpot: Natural climate fluctuations such as El Nino go into it. So do jet stream meanderings, random chance, May being a transition month, and local variability. Then throw in the direct and indirect effects of climate change.
    “We know that the stew has an extra ingredient,” Hayhoe says, referring to climate change. “That ingredient is very strong. Sometimes you add one teaspoon of the wrong ingredient and boy, it can take your head off.”

  229. it can’t get any clearer than this!

    2 June: Platts: World Gas Conference 2015: Shell CEO fears coal’s growth in energy mix at expense of gas
    Shell CEO Ben van Beurden is set to warn a major conference Tuesday that the energy industry must guard against the development of a coal/renewables-based energy mix at the expense of natural gas.
    Speaking at the opening day of the World Gas Conference in Paris, van Beurden is expected to say that a failure to properly price carbon dioxide emissions is allowing coal to maintain or grow its share in the energy mix alongside renewables, at the expense of cleaner-burning gas.
    A coal/renewables mix can already be seen in European countries such as Germany and could spread to Japan, he argues, according to a section of the speech released earlier Tuesday.
    “Key gas and LNG markets have … failed to create carbon pricing systems that lead to a switch from coal to gas in power generation,” the prepared speech says.
    “In Europe, gas-fired power-plants have been mothballed or decommissioned over the last few years … from a short-term financial perspective, coal-fired power has been cheaper than gas.”…
    On Monday, six oil and gas majors made a joint call for world leaders to introduce effective carbon pricing systems…

    killing coal has always been the plan. and to hell with the millions/billions who rely on it for cheap, efficient energy.

  230. Theres a high of 65C being forecast in Saudi Arabia. That would be a new world record. Urban heat island effect?

  231. Muslim world reacts to Obama’s latest speech: Climate change is their number one security threat!

    Its a spoof but well worth an almost Friday funny

  232. Looks like another “walk back” article in the normally apocalyptic new scientist. “Small atoll islands may grow, not sink, as sea levels rise”. Even though they overstated sea levels rise by 30% and of course never mentioning error bars or the lack of long term data it seems they’ve been reading Willis’ articles about coral reef health.

    • Mike you beat me to it! I was going to post this link.

      There seems to be no low to the “Ethics IQ” of politicians (especially, but not limited to, Democrats.)
      Maybe Senator Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI) should be prosecuted under RICO for violating his oath of office to support and defend the constitution – including free speech under the first article of the bill of rights…..

  233. ***publicly-funded, of course. to save the world. multiple links:

    2 June: Carbon Brief: Simon Evans: Analysis: Climate change ‘Apollo Programme’ raises both hope and questions
    If only clean energy was less costly than coal, oil or gas, then global energy use could rapidly become zero-carbon and fossil fuels would be left underground.
    To get there, the world needs a major ***publicly-funded research initiative, on a similar scale to the 1960s US Apollo programme, which, in today’s money, cost around $15 billion a year over the course of a decade…
    That’s the idea behind the Global Apollo Programme to Combat Climate Change, launched today by the London School of Economics. Heavyweight supporters include: Sir David Attenborough; Sir David King, UK special representative on climate change and former UK chief scientist; Lord Martin Rees, Astronomer Royal and former president of the Royal Society; Lord John Browne, former head of BP; and Lord Gus O’Donnell, former head of the UK civil service…
    The story is the front page splash for The Independent, under the headline “Radical plan to put coal out of business”. The Financial Times says “$150 billion need to save the world from climate change”. The Guardian and BBC News also have the story.
    Cheaper than coal
    The deceptively simple goal of the initiative is to make clean energy cheaper than coal in sunny parts of the world by 2020, and worldwide by 2025…
    Speaking at a press event, Sir David Attenborough said:
    “Reading this report gave me huge excitement – and I’ll tell you why. I’ve been involved in the problem of the despoliation of the natural world for a long time. Nearly all the reports you get are gloom and doom. Prophets of doom who say ‘don’t do this, don’t do that, stop fracking, stop burning carbon’. The exciting thing about this report is it is a positive report that says ‘do this, improve this, it can be done’. That is the excitement I get from reading this, that at last, somebody is saying here is a way in which we can do things.”…

  234. pardon me. now the greening of the Sahel means Govts at the Paris meeting must recognise “the gravity” of CAGW!!!!!! the ultimate psyop:

    2 June: Daily Mail: Jennifer Newton: Climate change is HELPING Africa because greenhouse gases are bringing rain to areas that have suffered drought for decades, says new study
    Global warming has actually triggered a return of rain in the Sahel
    Researchers say human activity has caused the rain to return to region
    Area was previously drought-stricken leading to famine, killing 100,000
    Crisis prompted Live Aid concerts which took place exactly 30 years ago
    Climate change means rain is returning to previously drought-stricken areas of Africa exactly 30 years since Live Aid raised £150million to help starving people there, a new study has revealed…
    But now research by scientists at the National Centre for Atmospheric Science at the University of Reading, has shown how increased greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, which have caused climate change, have triggered a return of crucial seasonal rains to the Sahel region…
    Professor Rowan Sutton, who led the research published in the journal Nature Climate Change, said: ‘Scientists often study how greenhouse gas levels in the future will influence the climate.
    ‘These findings show how even the greenhouse gases already emitted by humans, while only a fraction of those projected for the future, have nevertheless affected rainfall on a continental scale…
    But despite the beneficial impact of global warming on Africa, the scientists have warned that the long term impacts will be very differenct as greenhouse gases continue to accumulate in the atmosphere…
    Professor Sutton added: ‘These positive short-term impacts were accidental. No-one was trying to bring them about.
    ‘Nevertheless, such major changes show that by continuing to emit greenhouse gases, we are seriously upsetting a natural system that we don’t even fully understand, and this system is our home…
    ‘Our new study shows that our activities are not just causing problems for future generations. They are causing major changes now.
    ‘Continuing on the current path of greenhouse gas emissions will lead to more serious and widespread impacts.
    ‘I trust the governments meeting later this year in Paris will appreciate the gravity of this message.’…

    The Times & Reuters are also covering this. no doubt the rest of the MSM is busily typing up versions.

    1 June: Reuters: Alister Doyle: Climate change boosts rain in Africa’s Sahel region: study
    BONN, Germany (Reuters) – Rising greenhouse gases have boosted rainfall in the Sahel region of Africa, easing droughts that killed 100,000 people in the 1970s and 1980s, in a ***rare positive effect of climate change, a study said on Monday…
    It said a continued rise in greenhouse gas emissions was likely to help more rainfall in the region in future…
    “And it was a surprise that the increase in greenhouse gases appears to have been the dominant factor,” he (Rowan Sutton) told Reuters…
    Sutton cautioned that the change in rainfall was only local and that many parts of Africa face mounting problems from warming, ranging from desertification and floods to rising sea levels.
    “It would be naïve to conclude that this is a good thing for Africa,” he said. “And in future, there are other effects – the rise in temperatures can be detrimental to crops.”…
    Separately, the Stockholm Resilience Centre says a greening of the Sahel is also caused by changes in farming…

  235. in the rightwing conservative Spectator:

    1 June: Spectator Blog: Ben Goldsmith: David Cameron must now lead a green Conservative government
    (Ben Goldsmith is the founder of green investment business WHEB and Chairman of the Conservative Environment Network)
    Those on the left tend to think that British Conservatism is a derivative of US Republicanism. But environmental policy shows that it’s a far more pragmatic mix. The latest Conservative manifesto encompasses George W Bush’s marine conservation ambition and Obama’s selective interventions to raise the pace of clean technology innovation. This partly reflects the fact that the environment is still a largely non-partisan issue in British politics, but also that Cameron has protected discreet space for Conservative modernisers to bring forward new green ideas. As one of them I’m pleased with the progress we’ve been able to make. The manifesto commits our party to making ‘almost every car a zero emissions vehicle by 2050′, it reconfirms support for the Climate Change Act and promises to set up a ‘blue belt’ of massive international marine reserves.
    Cameron has explicitly rejected the climate denial of many of his conservative counterparts in the US, Australia and Canada. He has not accepted their lazy assumption that tackling big environmental challenges requires big government. Indeed, when Tony Abbott and Stephen Harper invited Cameron to join an alliance of like-minded nations to limit climate action, he not only rejected their advances but went on to side with Obama against Abbott to get climate change onto the G20 agenda last December…
    As we saw in the election Cameron is always at his best when he expresses moral conviction, and it’s in channelling his conservation ethic, to leave the world a better place than he found it, that he can counter the widespread view that the Conservative Party has given up on the environment. If he emerges at the end of this year with a decent international climate deal, UK electricity decarbonisation still on track and the beginnings of a plan to recover the health of the country’s natural environment, he can not only claim to have made the world a safer and more beautiful place, but he may also have shaped the course of modern Conservatism.

    Wikipedia: Ben Goldsmith
    Benjamin James “Ben” Goldsmith (born 28 October 1980) is an English financier and environmentalist. The son of financier James Goldsmith and Lady Annabel Goldsmith he is one of the founders and managers of the sustainability-focused investment firm WHEB Group. He has used his personal wealth to support both philanthropic and political projects in the area of the environment and sustainability.
    He had a high profile marriage to Rothschild heiress’s Kate Emma Rothschild which ended in 2012…
    WHEB manages approximately €500 million across private equity, quoted equities and renewable energy infrastructure…
    Goldsmith is understood to chair the Advisory Board of the JMG Foundation, named for his late father, which supports environmental advocacy campaigns…
    In 2004, Goldsmith gave 20,000.00 Pounds to the UK Green Party and again prior to the 2010 General Election in which Caroline Lucas became Britain’s first elected Green Member of Parliament….

  236. following is not attributed…but it has to be a lunatic who wrote this surely!!!

    ***even a US$235/tonne carbon price is not enough. when will the public understand how utterly insane the CAGW plan is?

    1 June: Financial Times: The compelling case for global carbon pricing
    To wean the world off use of fossil fuels they must become less cheap
    Carbon must have a higher price tag if the risk of catastrophic global warming is to be contained. On this question environmentalists and economists agree — joined, perhaps, by an increasing number of industrialists…
    The case is clearest for coal, which is both very cheap and extremely dirty. Burning it emits a kilo of carbon dioxide for every kilowatt hour of electricity generated — about 20 times more than wind, solar or geothermal energy. It is also easy to transport and store, and abundantly available. For these reasons coal still provides almost one-third of the world’s energy needs…
    The most developed market for carbon emissions is in Europe, where they trade at €7 per tonne. This adds barely 1 per cent to the cost of coal-fired electricity. According to Britain’s Committee on Climate Change this will have to rise ***tenfold by 2030 and ***three times again by 2050.
    At such a level, not only coal but gas and oil would be rendered uneconomic…
    Scientists have determined beyond reasonable doubt that there remains too much carboniferous fuel in the earth’s crust to be safely extracted and burnt. The best way to keep it underground is through a rigorously enforced carbon price. But that alone is unlikely to prove sufficient.

  237. 1 June: Financial Times Blog: Nick Butler: The clouds over the French nuclear industry
    “I am convinced that the nuclear industry has a future, that it is a strength of our country.” The fact that Manuel Valls, the prime minister, had to make such a statement in the National Assembly in Paris two weeks ago is a dramatic indication of the depths of the problems the nuclear sector in France is facing.
    A few facts:
    In Finland, the new EPR reactor being built by Areva at Olkiliuoto is nine years behind schedule and and its original budget has doubled. The reactor is now the subject of a bitter legal conflict between Areva and TVO, the Finnish utility.
    In France. the new EPR reactor being built by EDF at Flamanville in Normandy is five years behind schedule and almost €6bn over budget. According to utility EDF the reactor will now be commissioned in 2017 – a date many in the industry still doubt.
    As a result of these problems and the doubts over nuclear safety raised by the accident at Fukushima in Japan, Areva has signed no new nuclear construction deals since 2007…
    On May 7 Areva announced that it was laying off 6,000 of its 45,000 strong workforce, having lost €4.8bn last year…
    The plans to merge Areva’s nuclear design and construction operations with EDF has been promised for months but has been hampered by doubts about the detailed financial terms. Areva is in effect broke and any deal with EDF will have to include some prior write off of debts and some acceptance by the French government of any continuing liabilities – not least in Finland. There are also personal animosities – the two companies have been at daggers drawn for years, and it is hard to see a happy marriage in prospect…
    Meanwhile, the vultures are circling, ready to pick the flesh off the bones…
    At stake in all this is not just the fate of one company and its workforce, but also the future of a major European industry. What happens next will show whether France and Europe as a whole are capable of maintaining a strong industrial base…READ ALL

    never mind. EU is sanctioning Russia & their gas, blowing up or destabilising countries with fossil fuels, and the nuclear industry is on life support, but a MASSIVE CARBON PRICE will solve everything…with wind & solar!!!

  238. full moon in England must be responsible for what i’m reading in the UK MSM today:

    3 June: Stuff NZ: Damian Carrington: Fossil fuel subsidies outstrip global public spending on healthcare
    (This content is published courtesy of the Guardian as part of the Climate Publishers Network and the “Keep it in the Ground” campaign)
    Fossil fuel companies are benefiting from global subsidies of $7.38tn (£3.4tn) a year, equivalent to $10m a minute every day, according to a startling estimate by the International Monetary Fund.
    The IMF calls the finding “shocking” and says the figure is an “extremely robust” estimate of the true cost of fossil fuels. The $7.38tn subsidy estimated for 2015 is greater than the total health spending of all the world’s governments…
    Nicholas Stern, an eminent climate economist at the London School of Economics, said: “This very important analysis shatters the myth that fossil fuels are cheap by showing just how huge their real costs are. There is no justification for these enormous subsidies for fossil fuels, which distort markets and damage economies, particularly in poorer countries.”
    Lord Stern said that even the IMF’s vast subsidy figure was a significant underestimate: “A more complete estimate of the costs due to climate change would show the implicit subsidies for fossil fuels are much bigger even than this report suggests.”
    The IMF, one of the world’s most respected financial institutions, said that ending subsidies for fossil fuels would cut global carbon emissions by 20 per cent…
    Ending the subsidies would also slash the number of premature deaths from outdoor air pollution by 50 per cent – about 1.6 million lives a year.
    Furthermore, the IMF said the resources freed by ending fossil fuel subsidies could be an economic “game-changer” for many countries, by driving economic growth and poverty reduction through greater investment in infrastructure, health and education and also by cutting taxes that restrict growth.
    Another consequence would be that the need for subsidies for renewable energy – a relatively tiny $120bn a year – would also disappear, if fossil fuel prices reflected the full cost of their impacts…
    David Coady, the IMF official in charge of the report, said: “When the [$7.38tn] number came out at first, we thought we had better double check this.”
    But the broad picture of huge global subsidies was “extremely robust”, he said…
    ***The IMF estimate of $7.38tn in fossil fuel subsidies represents 6.5 per cent of global GDP. Just over half the figure is the money governments are forced to spend treating the victims of air pollution and the income lost because of ill health and premature deaths.
    The figure is higher than a 2013 IMF estimate because new data from the World Health Organisation shows the harm caused by air pollution to be much higher than thought.
    Coal is the dirtiest fuel in terms of both local air pollution and climate-warming carbon emissions and is therefore the greatest beneficiary of the subsidies, with just over half the total…
    The biggest single source of air pollution is coal-fired power stations and China, with its large population and heavy reliance on coal power, provides $3.2tn of the annual subsidies…

  239. These guys don’t even check basic facts before they spout their drivel:

    Claim: “A few weeks ago, the ocean washed away a 200-foot stretch of Highway 12 in Kitty Hawk. It wasn’t destroyed by a hurricane or a Nor’easter. It was just another storm.”

    Reality: A Nor’easter took out Hwy 12 last month, just like Nor’easters always do.

  240. I would love to see someone refute the research in the first part of this engaging, convincing article. I love this writer, but believe him to be naively wrong about climate change. Unfortunately, I believe he has a lot of influence, and has made some logical missteps, but I am unable to refute it myself.

  241. Abraham and Nuccitelli have a new paper out.

    Research downplaying impending global warming is overturned (By Nuccitelli)
    A new study finds Monckton et al. (2015) riddled with errors

    Misdiagnosis of Earth climate sensitivity based on energy balance model results (By Abraham and Nuccitelli)

  242. 3 June: Economic Times India: AFP: Angel Merkel under pressure on coal ahead of G7 climate push
    BERLIN: Chancellor Angela Merkel is hoping to send a robust message on climate change from a G7 summit this weekend but may be undermined by Germany’s own heavy dependence on coal.
    Europe’s top economy sees itself as a pioneer among industrialised nations for its ***”energy transformation” pushing the development of renewables while phasing out nuclear power.
    However the ambitious drive, prompted by Japan’s Fukushima nuclear disaster in 2011, has extended its reliance on coal, particularly the country’s own enormous lignite deposits.
    Environmentalists aim to use the G7 huddle starting Sunday at Bavaria’s Elmau Castle to hold Merkel’s feet to the fire over Germany’s dirty and abundant coal-fired plants even as she seeks ambitious climate pledges from the club of rich nations.
    Looking ahead to the summit, Greenpeace launched protests across Germany last weekend under the banner “Climate Chancellor or Coal Chancellor?” demanding that Merkel take a stand on a decisive issue in the climate debate.
    Given its low price and a broken European system of carbon emissions trading, coal remains the primary source of electricity in Germany, accounting for 45 percent of gross production…
    ***The ultimate goal is to eliminate the competitive advantage of cheap coal, forcing the dirtiest plants to close and making renewables more
    But the energy industry has mounted ferocious opposition to the scheme, raising the spectre of tens of thousands of lost jobs…

    the sheer arrogance of the ***noted Stern:

    3 June: Business Green: Will Nichols: Lord Stern: India must tackle ‘worrying’ coal use
    Economist says country should learn from China’s example that unfettered coal-powered growth can cause huge problems.
    The ***noted economist said the country should not follow the example of China in inflicting significant environmental damage in pursuit of economic growth.
    India’s heavy reliance on coal power means it is already the world’s fourth largest source of greenhouse gases after China, the US and EU. And its emissions are expected to triple by 2030 if current levels of economic growth are maintained…
    Stern is today publishing a book calling for greater pressure to be put on world leaders to create “political tipping points” for action on climate change and identifies India as a huge opportunity to drive growth while tackling climate change…
    “There are signs of change, but growth of coal in India is worrying and that should be absolutely at the heart of the discussion [because] India is crucial to this whole ***story.”

  243. 2 pages: 3 June: Reuters: Japan’s emissions target, relying on nuclear, seen as unrealistic
    By Yuka Obayashi and Aaron Sheldrick
    Japan has set an emissions target to be presented to November’s climate summit that critics say is unambitious compared to those of other leading countries and unrealistic because it depends on restoring its nuclear industry in the face of public hostility.
    The government is proposing to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 26 percent by 2030 from a base year of 2013. Prime Minister Shinzo Abe will present this to a G7 meeting in Germany at the weekend where the Paris climate summit is a key agenda item.
    “We have come up with a reduction target that is no less ambitious than what other countries are aiming for,” Abe told a cabinet meeting this week, according to a Cabinet Office official…
    Japan’s target would represent a mere 18 percent cut from 1990 levels.
    Its greenhouse gas emissions in the 2013 base year rose to 1.41 billion metric tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent, just shy of a record set in 2007. That reflects an increase in the use of fossil fuels for power generation after the shutdown of the country’s 43 nuclear reactors following the Fukushima disaster in 2011.
    The target for emission cuts is based on a proposed power generation mix for 2030 that has nuclear energy accounting for 20 to 22 percent, with renewable energy making up 22 to 24 percent and fossil fuels making up the rest.
    Yet stringent safety checks and the need for local authority approval mean the outlook for rebooting the nuclear industry remains uncertain. One reactor is earmarked for reopening in August…
    “The energy mix is based upon restarting nuclear in a substantive way, which looks unlikely in view of public opposition,” said Mutsuyoshi Nishimura, a former climate ambassador for Japan.
    The shutdown of reactors has pushed coal and LNG consumption to record highs and Japan is ramping up construction of coal- and gas-fired plants. Under the government plans, coal will account for 26 percent of power generation in 2030, up from 24 percent before Fukushima.
    Power from renewable sources at 22 to 24 percent would be up from 11 percent before Fukushima and 10.7 percent in fiscal 2013/14.
    “By relying on a ***fantasy nuclear energy mix rather than setting ambitious renewable and energy-efficiency targets, Japan will fail to meet even the low-bar CO2 reduction goals that Abe announced,” environmental group Greenpeace said in a statement.
    A Reuters survey last week showed that companies were also sceptical about the government’s nuclear target.
    Kimiko Hirata, international director at non-profit organisation Kiko Network and a regular at climate change conferences, said industry should be asked to take further action to cut emissions.
    “I would imagine that Abe will face serious pressure at G7 that will force him to reconsider,” she added.

    3 June: Council On Foreign Relations: Stewart M. Patrick: The G7 Summit: An Exclusive Club—But a Global Role
    When President Obama and his fellow Group of Seven (G7) leaders convene this weekend at the Bavarian retreat of Schloss Elmau, they will face two tasks. The most obvious is to formulate common positions on a global agenda so sweeping that it will strain even the lengthiest communique. Their more subtle challenge is to signal that their advanced market democracies remain not only an anchor of order in a turbulent world but also a potential engine to drive global governance reform…
    Meanwhile, the rise of new powers and alternative groupings, such as the Group of Twenty (G20) and the BRICS, has threatened the G7 with irrelevance…
    Supporting Sustainable Development and Combating Climate Change: The Elmau summit offers a chance to build momentum behind three major UN gatherings during the second half of 2015: the Financing for Development summit in Addis Ababa in July, the launch of the Sustainable Development Goals in New York in September, and the twenty-first Conference of Parties to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) in Paris in November and December…
    The G7 nations will also showcase new climate change initiatives, with an eye toward the Paris conference. On May 7, the German government announced the G7 initiative on Climate Risk insurance, which aims to increase the resilience of developing countries against climate-induced (and other natural) disasters. Another promising development was the agreement [PDF] by G7 energy ministers on May 12 that all the G7 countries’ initiatives should support a global climate treaty. Meanwhile, a coalition of 120 business leaders has sent an open letter [PDF] to the G7 finance ministers, urging them to support a long-term global emissions reduction goal in the Paris agreement and submit short- to medium-term national emissions pledges and country-level action plans…

  244. 3 June: Daily Mail: Hannah Parry: Obama to follow Al Gore into campaigning against climate change after he leaves White House
    The US President had invited British naturalist Sir David Attenborough for surprise private meeting
    The veteran documentary maker said Barack Obama was committed to tackling climate change
    Sir David even suggested President may follow example of Al Gore and go into environmentalism after office
    Sir David said he had come away from the meeting feeling that Obama was ‘very much in favour of dealing with climate change’ but got the sense he was ‘wondering what he’s going to do next’…
    Sir David said he had been ‘astonished’ to receive the invitation to Washington, which came about after Obama heard about his award-winning series Rise of Animals: Triumph of Vertebrates that aired in the States last month.
    The half hour meeting was held in the Blue Room of the White House where he and Obama discussed climate change and conservation…
    ***Sir David said: ‘He wanted to make it clear that he was not a philistine in this matter.
    ***’He is on the side of the natural world and that’s what he wanted to be clear.
    ***’And that’s against some very powerful voices that are in the US which are not in favour of the natural world.’ …
    The 89-year-old TV presenter added that the meeting with one of the most powerful men in the world was a ‘great privilege’ but admitted he was still ‘truly baffled’ as to why the President wanted to meet him.
    ‘He invited me to go to Washington. He sent me a ticket. I was astonished, I don’t understand it.’
    He added that Obama told him he was a fan and enjoyed watching his wildlife documentaries.
    Sir David was speaking at the launch of the Global Apollo Programme – a proposed research programme to tackle climate change by reducing the cost of green energy…

    3 June: ReCharge News: Christopher Hopson: Global Apollo asks G7 to help renewables R&D
    World leaders meeting at next week’s G7 summit in Germany are to discuss an ambitious plan by a group of prominent UK scientists, businessmen and civil servants to help slow climate change by making renewables cheaper than coal by 2025…
    Global Apollo hopes to increase spending on renewables R&D from $6bn globally at present to $150bn in the next ten years, to help make clean energy much cheaper than coal.
    The group argues that the research should focus on cutting the cost of renewables – solar in particular… “First most of the growth in world energy demand will be in countries with high solar radiance…
    “Thirdly, renewable energy can never replace base-load fossil-fuel powered electricity unless it can be stored more cheaply. And finally, its integration into the grid requires more sophisticated software management.”
    The report claims there has been a “shocking failure” to spend more on developing new technologies to combat “the greatest material challenge facing humankind”.

  245. something decidedly creepy about this one!

    3 June: UK Independent: Tom Bawden: Pester power: The new weapon in the fight against global warming
    The world’s leading climate economist is urging children and young people to guilt-trip their parents and other adults into doing more to save the world.
    “Today’s young people can and should hold their parents’ generation to account for their present actions. They can elicit an emotional response that can motivate action,” argues Lord Stern, a ***respected London School of Economics professor who wrote a hugely influential review on the financial implications of climate change in 2006.
    “If thinking about the lives of unborn future generations seems too abstract to motivate you to act, try instead looking a young child or grandchild in the eye and asking yourself what sort of future you are leaving for them,” he writes in a new book…
    “Children can teach their parents: I am reminded of the song ‘Teach Your Children Well’ by Crosby, Stills, Nash & Young, which also says ‘Teach your parents well’. Education goes both ways.”
    Tom Burke, chairman of the E3G sustainable development charity, told The Independent: “Young girls have enormous influence on their fathers. In the work I have done I would say that the most influential group of people of all are 12-year-old girls; they have their fathers wrapped around their little fingers.”…
    Cecily Spelling, of the 10:10 climate-change group, is managing a campaign to help schools raise money for solar panels. “The kids get very heavily involved in the fundraising and it really makes them think about the environment – to the point where they have told off head teachers for not turning off the lights in their offices,” she said.
    “Then they go home and tell their parents they don’t need to boil a full kettle of water for one cup of tea. It’s quite inspiring and the parents take notice,” she added…
    Conservation groups are shocked that the government has not appointed a full-time minister for the natural environment.
    Lord Gardiner has been made House of Lords’ spokesman for the Department for the Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) replacing Lord de Mauley, who combined the post with being natural environment minister.
    But Lord Gardiner is already juggling his new post with being deputy chief whip for the Lords. This will mean his nature portfolio will be much smaller than Lord de Mauley’s – with the remainder being shared between other Defra ministers.

  246. Tim Northcott says:

    IT Specialist

    “So if I understand this correctly, the raw weather balloon data doesn’t show increased warming in the upper troposphere because of artificial changes in the data (such as those due to undocumented changes to instruments). Whereas the raw satellite data doesn’t show increased warming in the upper troposphere because new satellites observe the Earth at an earlier time of day than an older one (which works for geostationary satellites but not for polar ones). Both these proxies are flawed and only by adjusting the data do we get to see the real picture. Well, I’m glad that’s settled.”

    Steve replies:

    Steve Sherwood

    Director, Climate Change Research Centre at UNSW Australia
    In reply to Tim Northcott

    “Hi Tim,

    If what you were saying were true then some skepticism would indeed be warranted. But in fact, the raw nighttime radiosonde data show the warming, it is just daytime data that show too little (that is not shown in this paper but was shown in previous work). Early attempts to correct the sonde data actually tended to remove the trends because of a problem known as “greedy regression” of the data onto presumed artefacts. As for satellites, there is no way to get a temperature record without “adjusting” (that is, splicing) the data together, it is only a question of how you do it. The satellites are not absolutely calibrated (or at least not to a useful level of accuracy for this purpose) so the “raw” record would be meaningless.”

    You have to love the reasoning for his corrections that amounted to largely undocumented changes to balloon theater heights, but can you bear it.