Tips & Notes


Cleaned 10/2/15

1. Be sure to check the front page of WUWT first, we often get duplicate tips here of stories already posted, sometimes days later.

2. Please remember this is not a discussion thread. Tips, notes, and links only please.

3. To put links in comments. simply copy the entire link URL and paste it into the comment. No need for code.

879 thoughts on “Tips & Notes

  1. Paris Climate Conference 2015 will become the anti-VW conference.

    I predict that the greens will, in an effort to seek relevance, turn the Paris conference into a mob action media swarm against VW.

    • We need to look at this as an opportunity. What better venue than someone persecuted for this scam. We need to contact VW Team 5, Corporate Group, 2200 Ferdinand Porsche drive, Herndon Va 20171. Give them all information pertaining to fighting this superstition/group thinking. Bringing this to the public’s attention will bring this scam down. Expose it for what it is with their help. This is perfect and what we need.

    • An email from de smog blog. Just for info:

      In just ten days, the global climate negotiations will get underway in Paris.

      With the tragic events that unfolded in Paris last week, the DeSmog team reporting on the climate negotiations from Paris will do so with a heavy heart.

      Our team at DeSmog has attended and reported on seven of these international climate negotiations over the years. This year, we’re fielding a team from the United States, Canada, the UK and Australia.

      We know that the oil and coal lobbyists will also show up in Paris, trying their best to water down and confuse these negotiations as they have in the past. We know that the fossil fuel-funded climate deniers will be there too.

      Will you chip in $10, $20 or $50 right away to to help us hold the oil and coal lobbyists and the climate deniers to account at the Paris climate conference?

      We know, for instance, that long-time climate denier and right-wing spin doctor Marc Morano will debut his new anti-science film in Paris during the talks to spread his dangerous message that climate change is a hoax.

      Morano is part of a larger contingent of climate deniers who will be in Paris, including U.S. Senator James Inhofe, the Competitive Enterprise Institute and CFACT. It’s our mission in Paris to hold them to account, to report on their activities and to ensure that everyone at the Paris negotiations knows what their real motivations are — and where their funding and political donations come from (hint: the fossil fuel industry in large part).

      There are only a few days left to prepare our team for the task ahead. DeSmog relies on its readers and their generous support.

      We cannot do all the things we want to do without you.

      Will you chip in $10, $20 or $50 right away?

      Thanks for your ongoing support,

      Brendan DeMelle
      Executive Director, DeSmog

      * Donations are not tax deductible

  2. hopefully, Paris will fail if India stands firm. 2 of India’s INDC targets:

    – To reduce the emissions intensity of its GDP by 33 to 35 per cent by 2030 from 2005 level…
    – To achieve about 40 per cent cumulative electric power installed capacity from non-fossil fuel based energy resources by 2030 with the help of transfer of technology and low cost international finance including from Green Climate Fund (GCF).

    2 Oct: BBC: Matt McGrath: UN battle looms over finance as nations submit climate plans
    Divisions over money between rich and poor countries re-emerged as nations submitted their plans for tackling climate change to the UN.
    India, the last big emitter to publish its contribution, said it would need $2.5 trillion to meet its targets.
    The Philippines said that without adequate climate compensation, their cuts in emissions wouldn’t happen…
    The plan says that India’s transition will cost $2.5 trillion, a “scary number” according to one observer.
    It is unclear how much of this money will come from India’s own resources and how much from the international community and investment…
    In their written submission, India’s proposed climate actions appear to be contingent on getting much of this money from richer countries: “The successful implementation of INDC is contingent upon an ambitious global agreement including additional means of implementation to be provided by developed country parties.”…
    Developed countries have committed to $100bn funding for developing countries to deal with climate change by 2020, but India’s environment minister suggested the bill was going to a lot bigger than that.
    “I am telling the world that the bill for climate action for the world is not just $100bn, it is in trillions of dollars
    per year,” said Prakash Javadekar.
    “Countries will take up their own responsibility but the world which is historically responsible for carbon emissions, what we are suffering today, the climate change, they must at least walk the talk on $100bn.”…

    on BBC, and in other MSM, there is a reluctance to quantify the planned future coal usage;
    ***AFP includes it though:

    2 Oct: AFP: India vows ambitious green targets but defends coal use
    ***Yet India also vowed to continue expanding its use of coal — it plans to double coal production to one billion tonnes by 2020 — saying it was vital to meet the needs of its burgeoning economy, which grew seven percent last quarter…
    While the new goals would take India’s capacity for renewable energy by 2030 to more than double the 175,000 megawatts currently targeted, coal will “continue to dominate power generation” in the future it said in its UN submission…
    “India’s continued commitment to expand coal power capacity is baffling,” said Pujarini Sen, a senior Greenpeace India campaigner…
    India sits on the world’s fifth-largest coal reserves and already depends on coal-fired plants for more than 60 percent of its power, while the country’s population is set to overtake that of Asian rival China in the next two decades…

    from The Hindu 2 Oct: India to cut emissions intensity
    India has also stated its challenges in terms of human development goals, for which higher energy production and consumption is a must.
    “No country in the world has been able to achieve a Human Development Index of 0.9 or more without an annual energy availability of at least 4 tonnes of oil equivalent (toe) per capita,” it said…

  3. excellent analysis:

    2 Oct: notalotofpeopleknowthat: India’s Climate Plan Will Triple Emissions By 2030
    The following points stand out:
    *No actual CO2 target has been set.
    *Although the talk is of “increase the share of clean energy in its total energy mix by as much as 40%”, when you get down to the small print, as we will shortly, the commitment is only to 40% of capacity, and not generation. As we know, renewables give very poor utilisation, so the amount generated will be much, much less than 40%.
    *Also, this 40% is not of its total energy mix, as reported, but only of electricity mix…ETC
    Commitment is given about reducing carbon intensity of GDP, but nearly half of this has already been achieved since 2005.

    compare to BBC spin:

    2 Oct: BBC: Navin Singh Khadka: India’s ‘ambitious’ pledge to slow emissions rise
    India, the world’s third largest carbon emitter, has pledged to the UN to reduce the rate by which its greenhouse gas emissions increase by up to 35% by 2030, compared with 2005.
    It says it aims to generate 40% of electricity from non-fossil fuel sources, mainly solar and wind…

  4. 2 Oct: ReutersCarbonPulse: Ben Garside: Poorer nations face let-down as INDCs lack carbon market buyers
    Dozens of poorer nations seeking to sell emission reductions to help decarbonise their economies are likely to face disappointment because barely any rich countries are willing to outsource their abatement efforts through buying carbon credits…
    There are at least 70 countries that are seeking to use, or considering using, market-based mechanisms, according to INDC data compiled by Carbon Pulse.
    But the vast majority of those are developing nations looking to sell emission reductions to richer governments, with barely a handful of willing buyer countries and no interest from the major economies of China, the EU and US.
    “The seller countries would be disappointed, and as the INDCs are the result of hard-won national compromises they are not subject to negotiation in Paris,” said Frank Melum, an climate policy analyst at Thomson Reuters Point Carbon…
    The remaining buyer nations are relatively small emitters with limited demand, such as Canada, Japan, New Zealand and Switzerland…
    As a result, the prospect of a burgeoning transnational carbon market or a resurgence of a global crediting mechanism such as the CDM seems slim in the near-term, but a Paris deal could set a course for more trade in future, observers say…


    2 Oct: ClimateChangeNews: Alex Pashley: Hall of shame: Who hasn’t pledged yet to UN climate pact?
    Nearly 50 countries missed the UN deadline for carbon-cutting plans. Whether due to limited means, sloth or belligerence, here are the big ones not playing ball
    In the world of climate diplomacy there are no penalties, just reproachful gazes…

  5. 2 Oct: UK Daily Mail: Hugo Duncan: Is that you or your eco-warrior wife speaking Mark? Carney feels heat after saying ‘climate change could cause new crash’
    He claimed that the environmental issue could trigger a financial crisis
    But critics dismissed his views, with the Financial Times saying Mr Carney’s intervention ‘comes dangerously close to taking sides’.
    The newspaper said his views received ‘derision and praise in equal measure’ with the Governor appearing to be ‘either a far-sighted visionary or a dangerously deluded fool’ depending on your point of view…
    Dr Richard Wellings, of the Institute of Economic Affairs think-tank, said: ‘There is little evidence to support his alarmist views on the impact of climate change. Indeed, Mr Carney should be far more worried about the harmful effect of the green policies designed to prevent global warming.
    ‘Green taxes and regulation are already suffocating economic growth in the West by driving up energy and transport costs, yet by pushing industry to China and India they do little to cut overall emissions.’…

    1 Oct: UK Telegraph: Jeremy Warner: Who put Mark Carney in charge of our climate policy?
    Like it or not, the whole of modernity is based on hydro-carbons. We’ll never convince anyone to leave fossil fuels in the ground
    Like virtually everyone else, central banks failed to see the financial crisis coming. For ordinary mortals, it was excusable; they were entitled to think the authorities had matters under control. For central banks, guardians of the world’s monetary system and supposed keepers of the deep knowledge on banking crises, it was not. ..
    By this week wading into the climate change debate, Mark Carney, Governor of the Bank of England, has signalled that there is almost no area of public discourse that can be considered off limits. What next? The war in Syria? Come to think of it, why not put the Bank of England in charge of everything? …
    There was, however, also something faintly reckless and naive about the Governor’s intervention. It is no exaggeration to say that the whole of modernity is based on hydrocarbons. Without coal, oil and gas, we’d still be in an age of limited life expectancy, subsistence farming and riding to market on horse and cart. However much we might wish it, this dependence is not going to change for a long time to come…
    Thirty years of extraordinarily costly research and development has resulted in a renewables industry that today accounts for a stunning – wait for it – 1 per cent of global energy supply…

  6. Anthony, et al. (ahem, Willis, ahem),

    A new blog post here ( cites a new paper by Soon, Connelly & Connelly here ( with data files provided here (

    When you have time, would you mind doing us the honor of hitting this with a sledgehammer a couple of times and seeing if it breaks? ^_^

    Thanks in advance!


    ‘How Climate Change Is Intensifying Hurricane Joaquin’

    ‘Joaquin’s quickly progressing strength can be tied to unprecedented sea surface temperatures in the hurricane’s vicinity, Michael Mann, director of the Earth System Science Center at Pennsylvania State University, told The Huffington Post.’


    ‘Kevin Trenberth, a senior scientist with the National Center for Atmospheric Research, explained the phenomenon last month while discussing recent flooding in Utah and Arizona.

    “When the right weather system comes along,” he told HuffPost, “that weather system can be thought of as a device for reaching out — quite a ways at times — and grabbing the available moisture and bringing it in and dumping it down.”‘

    and another word or two from our favorite Mann: ‘Mann warned it’s likely we’ll be seeing more hurricanes of Joaquin’s strength.’

  8. I note on the James Hanson thread, that there is still much confusion about how the Ice Ages are formed and regulated. I have been writing the following explanation as a letter to UK politicians, but perhaps it might be good enough to go out as a WUWT article.

    But if you do like it, could you pass it before some of the standard WUWT sages, like rgbatduke or tallbloke first. I would rather than any mistakes or misunderstandings by myself were ironed out first.



    The Reason for Temperature Dataset Deception:

    So why do these so-called ‘scientists’ have to fiddle the data? Answer: – because CO2 does NOT regulate Earth’s temperature (or tamperature).

    Fig 1 shows historic temperature vs historic CO2 concentrations, over the last 450,000 years. The large cycles here are the recent Ice Ages and Interglacials. At the top are the short warm Interglacial periods, and at the bottom are the long and bitterly cold Ice Ages. So you can see we are in an unusually long Interglacial warm period at present, and long overdue for another bitter Ice Age.

    Note that CO2 (red line) follows temperature (blue line) very closely. This is ‘proof’, so we are told, that CO2 is the primary regulator of world temperatures. But it has been proved that CO2 concentrations lag the temperature rise or fall by up to 800 years. So CO2 is a follower of temperature, via ocean outgassing or absorption, rather than the driver.

    Alarmists counter this physical reality by saying that CO2 is a ‘positive feedback’ – it assists the warming and cooling trend. But CO2 is nowhere near strong enough to do that. Note that each time CO2 reaches a maximum, the world temperature reduces. If CO2 was a very strong positive feedback, and therefore the primary regulator for Earth temperature as is claimed, then this huge rise in CO2 concentration would produce a runaway temperature. This is exactly what climate ‘scientists’ and the BBC try to scare us with every day – a ‘tipping-point’ and a ‘runaway greenhouse effect’.

    But increasing CO2 does NOT cause runaway temperatures at all – it causes a rapid worldwide cooling. Maximum CO2 concentrations in fig 1 always result in reducing temperatures.

    And look at the reverse situation. When we reach an Ice Age (bottom of the graph), the greatly reduced CO2 in the atmosphere causes warming, and the Ice Age ends. Again, if CO2 were the primary regulator of temperature this could not and would not happen. Instead, the Earth would simply freeze over when CO2 concentrations became that low, and the influence of CO2 ‘greenhouse warming’ was reduced. (Fig 1 graph shows an 8ºc cooling from 300 to 200 ppm CO2. From 200 down to 100 ppm would be another 10-12ºc of cooling, which is quite enough to produce a snowball Earth.)

    But the Earth does not freeze. When CO2 hits its lowest values and ‘maximum cooling’, the Earth warms up.

    Ergo – CO2 does NOT regulate Earth temperature.

    fig 1.
    Temperature vs CO2 over 450,000 years
    Ice Ages are at the bottom of the graph.

    The Feedbacks in Interglacials:

    It is almost universally agreed that variations in the Earth’s orbit are responsible for the initial change in Earth temperature, that causes an Ice Age or an Interglacial. These orbital variations are known as Milankovitch cycles. And this (supposedly small) initial change in temperature is enhanced by positive CO2 feedbacks to cause warming or cooling. However the other great and much more significant feedback, that is often forgotten about, is albedo – the reflectivity of the Earth.

    So these two feedbacks enhance an initial temperature change made by orbital Milankovitch cycles. And the net result of these two feedbacks is:

    CO2 positive feedback:
    Earth warming = More CO2 = More greenhouse warming == More CO2 = More greenhouse warming.

    Albedo positive feedback:
    Earth warming = Less ice = Less albedo = More warming == Less ice = Less albedo = More warming.

    (Note: a warmer world temperature will increase CO2 concentrations, via ocean outgassing.)

    The problem here is that these are positive feedbacks that can result in runaway warming. This is the very same runaway greenhouse warming that we are regularly told will kill everyone on Earth, unless we give Big Green £billions of our tax money.

    However, this alarmism is unwarranted. In reality, albedo has a natural feedback limit, which is when the ice has all melted. So albedo cannot warm the world any further than an ice-free Earth, and cannot result in a runaway warming effect. But the natural limit for CO2 is 1,000 ppm, which is much higher than the 320 ppm achieved in the Interglacial periods. So CO2 does have the potential to keep on warming the Earth and thereby causing that dreaded ‘runaway greenhouse effect’ that Greens and the BBC try to scare us with.

    But look again at fig 1. Why did the Earth suddenly cool, when CO2 concentrations were so high? The interglacial period has little or no albedo feedback effects, because the ice has all gone. So now the warming feedbacks are solely reliant on the mighty CO2 molecule. And what happens? Well, as soon as CO2 is responsible for the warming, the world cools. Clearly, CO2 is NOT the primary regulator of temperature, otherwise the world would not have cooled.

    Reverse Feedbacks in Ice Ages:

    And we also get these same feedbacks in reverse, when the Ice Ages form:

    CO2 reverse positive feedback:
    Earth cooling = Less CO2 = Less warming == Less CO2 = Less warming.

    Albedo reverse positive feedback:
    Earth cooling = More ice = More albedo = More cooling == More ice = More albedo = More cooling.

    Regards CO2:

    Fig 2 shows that the change in CO2 absorption and warming is very small between the Ice Age (180 ppm) and the Interglacial (320 ppm).

    Age CO2 Insolation
    Interglacial 320 ppm 258 wm2
    Ice Age 180 ppm 254 wm2
    Difference 140 ppm 004 wm2

    Now 4 wm2 is a piss in the ocean. It is claimed that CO2’s 4 wm2 (coupled with water vapour) can cause an 8ºc change in surface temperature. But it does not, because the majority of the Ice Age temperature change is caused by variations in albedo, not CO2. And note that the Milankovitch cycles can vary the insolation by up to 100 wm2, at high latitudes. What is CO2’s 4 wm2, when compared to the Milankovitch 100 wm2 ?

    Regards albedo:

    Fig 3 shows that the albedo change is MUCH more significant than CO2. Insolation at 60N in the summer averages 460 wm2. The normal land albedo is about 10%, giving a 46 wm2 reflection and reduction in surface absorption. But if the land is covered by snow all year round, the albedo can rise up to an average 60% reflection, or a reduction of 276 wm2, depending on how fresh the snow is. That is a 230 wm2 change from the normal ice-free value.

    You see the great difference here.

    CO2 feedback-forcing change, up to +/- 4 wm2 (worldwide)
    Albedo feedback change, up to +/- 230 wm2 (regionally)

    What is going to have the greatest effect on an Ice Age’s ice sheets and glaciers — snow-ice-albedo or CO2? Quite clearly, the primary feedback that enhances the progression of Ice Ages and Interglacials is snow-ice-albedo. While CO2 feedbacks were, and still are, a piss in the ocean.

    Ergo – CO2 does NOT regulate Ice Ages.

    The limits of CO2:

    In the modern industrial-age CO2 has risen from 300 ppm to 400 ppm. As can be seen in fig 2, this rise will give a feedback-forcing change of about 2 wm2. This is another piss in the ocean, and yet it is this urinary dribble that has got the BBC and Met Office into Global Warming frenzy. Quite clearly, 2 wm2 will do absolutely nothing to world temperatures.

    To overcome this inconvenient fact, climate ‘scientists’ claim that this 2 wm2 forcing-feedback will be enhanced by water vapour, to create a more meaningful change in world temperature. Water vapour, so they say, will double the effect caused by CO2. (Yes, the most powerful and abundant greenhouse gas in the atmosphere is actually water vapour.) But the assertion that water vapor assists CO2 is incorrect. In fact, it is more than incorrect, it is arse about face.

    Several climate realists have claimed, with good evidence, that while water vapour may be a positive feedback, the clouds it creates represent an even stronger negative feedback. In other words water vapour plus clouds will combine to resist temperature variations, instead of enhancing them. Warm days are cloudless sunny days, while cloudy days are cooler, because the clouds strongly reflect sunlight (they increase albedo, just like snow and ice). So water vapour plus clouds actually give us a stabilising negative feedback.

    Cloud negative feedback:
    Warming Earth = More clouds = More albedo = Cooler Earth

    Cloud reverse negative feedback:
    Cooling Earth = Less clouds = Less albedo = Warmer Earth

    So water vapour plus clouds will regulate temperature and keep the Earth temperature stable, within tightly set bounds. And if this is so, then everything that the IPCC and climate ‘scientists’ have claimed over the last 30 years, is completely wrong. You and I and the entire media may well have been sold a scientific dummy – a dummy that has proved to be very lucrative to some institutions and organisations.

    This cloud thermostat-regulation theory has been expounded by Willis Eschenbach, amongst others, but completely ignored by the ‘scientific’ community. But the theory is simple, logical, and of serious merit. And the fact that climate ‘scientists’ will not engage in this debate is illuminating. If Eschenbach et al are wrong, they why will the scientific community not engage with these climate realists, and show them why they are wrong? What are they afraid of?

    And remember that we have already seen that the dominant effect for Ice Age temperatures is albedo, not CO2, because the change in albedo has a much greater effect on net surface absorption and warming. (See figs 2 and 3.) And the Earth’s net albedo is as strongly regulated by clouds, as it is by snow and ice. So CO2’s piss in the ocean is irrelevant in world temperature and climate, because the mighty cloud albedo and the mighty snow-ice albedo can always overcome it.

    A CO2 change from 200-500 ppm equals increase of 4 wm2
    A cloud increase of 50% will result in a reduction of 40 wm2

    Or, in the all-important northern latitudes for Ice Age formation:

    A CO2 change from 200-500 ppm equals increase of 4 wm2
    A cloud increase of 50% will result in a reduction of 54 wm2

    Average world insolation 340 wm2. Normal cloud reflection 80 wm2.
    Average NH summer insolation 460 wm2. Normal cloud reflection 108 wm2.

    So when the puny (positive) CO2 feedback tries to change world temperature, it is instantly slapped down by the mighty (negative) cloud feedbacks.

    fig 2.
    The ‘feedback-forcing’ ability of CO2. Note that the effects of CO2 are greatest in the first 100 ppm, and then the graph flattens out. So the effect of rising from 300 ppm to 500 ppm of CO2 is very small. The insolation is given here as about 260 wm2, instead of 340 wm2, because the 80 wm2 reflection of clouds has already been deducted.

    fig 3.
    The albedo-reflection of ice and snow goes up to 85%. So up to 85% of the insolation may be reflected in snowy land masses and ice sheets, versus about 10% for normal landmass and seas. I have assumed a value of 60% albedo, for the Ice Age ice-sheets.

    The True Reason for Global Warming and Ice Ages:

    As can be seen in fig 1, recent Ice Ages have a regular 100,000 year cycle. Such a regular cycle cannot be CO2 driven, which is why it is universally acknowledged that orbital, precessional or solar influences are the prime initiator of Ice Ages and Interglacials. (The Milankovitch cycles.)

    The Earth’s climate is bi-stable. It has two stable modes, one warm the other cold, and it can oscillate between these two. And the stable regimes at either end of this bi-stable Ice Age cycle are regulated by cloud formation or dissipation, which works as a thermostat to stabilise temperature.

    So the climate remains stable, until it receives a massive influence which pushes it towards the other climate regime. And that destabilising influence is the Milankovitch cycles in the Earth’s orbit and axial precession, which are powerful enough to overcome the cloud thermostat and throw the Earth’s temperature into its alternate mode.

    In fig 4 it can be seen that the Milankovitch cycle forcing is up to a whopping 100 wm2 at northerly latitudes, which nearly twenty times the maximum feedback-forcing of CO2. So yes, of course the Milankovitch cycle forcing can overcome the puny CO2 feedback-forcing and the mighty cloud thermostat stabilisation, and send the Earth into its alternate mode.

    How the Ice Ages are caused and regulated:

    Start of an Ice Age:

    Look at fig 4. At about 125,000 years ago the pink temperature line plummets (the start of the last Ice Age). The pink line is temperature, and the blue line is Milankovitch warming or cooling cycle (or changes in sun-strength). What we see here is a reverse positive feedback system. Milankovitch cooling initiates the start of an Ice Age, which is then enhanced and encouraged by reverse albedo feedbacks:

    Reverse positive feedback:
    Milankovitch cooling of 90 wm2 = More ice = More albedo = More cooling == More ice = More albedo = More cooling.

    The sustained Milankovitch cooling of 90 wm2, plus the reverse positive feedback of increasing ice and albedo, initiates the new Ice Age. And since this cooling effect is much greater than the cloud thermostat can cope with, the Ice Age starts and we move swiftly into a new Ice Age. And when albedo begins to approach a maximum value, a full Ice Age almost approaching a snowball Earth, the cloud thermostat can now overcome the albedo feedback and regulate world climate to this new standard temperature.

    End of an Ice Age:

    Look at fig 4 again. At about 15,000 years ago we can see the final upwards rise of the pink temperature line (the end of the last Ice Age). This is the reverse of what we have just seen. This is a positive feedback system, where increased Milankovitch warming results in reduced albedo, and the end of an Ice Age:

    Positive feedback:
    Milankovitch warming of 50 wm2 = Less ice = Less albedo = More warming == Less ice = Less albedo = More warming.

    The sustained Milankovitch warming of 50 wm2, plus the positive feedback of reducing ice and albedo, ends the Ice Age. And since this effect is much greater than the cloud thermostat system can cope with, the Ice Age is ended and we move swiftly into the warm Interglacial period. And when albedo approaches its minimum value with no snow or ice, and can no longer significantly effect world temperature, the cloud thermostat can overcome the albedo feedback and regulate world climate at this new standard temperature.

    This is a bi-stable system of regulation, formed from a titanic battle between positive albedo feedbacks and negative cloud feedbacks. And the ring-master in this titanic climatic battle, that decides which feedback will be dominant, are the orbital and precessional forcings (the Milankovitch Sun-strength).

    But do note that CO2 does not figure in this scenario whatsoever, because it is a piss in the ocean and is easily opposed and overcome by albedo feedbacks and the cloud regulating thermostat. What is CO2’s 3 or 4 wm2 feedback-forcing, when compared with the 230 wm2 from localised albedo feedbacks or the 40-50 wm2 of the cloud feedbacks? It is ice and albedo that initiate Ice Ages and Interglacials, not CO2. And it is clouds that regulate Ice Age and Interglacial periods, not CO2.

    So we can say with some confidence that the world will not get much warmer than it is at present, because ice extent and therefore albedo feedbacks are already at historic lows. And they cannot get much lower, so the world cannot get much warmer. So the shrill cries of a runaway greenhouse effect and searing and deadly high temperatures are misleading and wrong. As we have seen, the main regulator of ‘runaway temperatures’ is albedo, not CO2. But albedo warming has reached its natural limit and cannot warm any further, while the puny efforts of CO2 are easily overcome by cloud regulation.

    So the Earth is NOT going to warm appreciably more than it is now. The Roman and Minoan warming periods were perhaps 1ºc warmer than now, no more. Indeed, with the tampered modern tamperature record, they have even made the Roman and Minoan warming periods cooler than now (because it was embarrassing to have warmer temperatures with less CO2. So we can be quite confident that the maximum albedo forcing of temperature on the world, is about the temperature we have now.

    So the shrill cries of deadly warming that will fry us all are just that – shrill cries from a new religious cult. And like all religious cults, if you don’t join their creed and genuflect to their high priests, you are demonised, mocked, shunned, and metaphorically burned alive over hot coals. (Several prosecutions of climate realists have been attempted in the USA.) But it is even worse than that. Because the Green industry is benefitting financially from these shrill cries, this is a fraud. A fraud that has already netted about $1 trillion or perhaps $2 trillion in fraudulent income for Big Green. Which makes Climate Change the biggest fraud in academic, corporate and world history. And many dumb politicians in the West are looking at this fraud with mouths agape, and not understanding any of it.

    If you tell a lie big enough and keep repeating it, people will eventually come to believe it. But the lie can only be maintained for such time as the State can shield the people from the political, economic (or metrological) consequences of the lie. It thus becomes vitally important for the State to use all of its powers to repress dissent, for the truth is the mortal enemy of the lie, and thus by extension, the truth is the greatest enemy of the State.
    Joseph Goebbels (My brackets.)

    So the very foundations of the Great Climate Swindle was devised and accurately spelt out by Joseph Goebbels. And every politician has fallen for it, because they cannot believe that a fraud could be so large and so extensive, and with so many influential people backing it. But think about it for a minute:

    Backing Climate Change makes you virtuous and popular.
    Opposing Climate Change makes you immoral and a pariah.

    Backing Climate Change makes you rich, with grants galore.
    Opposing Climate Change makes you poor, with no grants at all.

    Backing Climate Change gives you promotion and world travel.
    Opposing Climate Change puts you on the dole and in the gutter.

    Backing Climate Change makes you famous, with a Nobel Prize.
    Opposing Climate Change exposes you to prosecution from alarmist zealots.

    Why do you think that influential people support this Climate Change nee Global Warming bandwagon? They are like lab rats or tame monkeys – if you reward them every time they mention Climate Change positively, they will do exactly what you want. If you say ‘jump’ they will say ‘how high sir’. You wanted trained monkeys, instead of scientists, and now you have got them.


    The climate cycle is bound to change. The Milankovitch cycle is already heading into a cooling phase (although it will warm again later). And in the shorter term the PDO and AMO cycles, are also heading towards their cool phase. And so the direction of any future climate change has to be towards cooling, both in the short (decadal) and long (millennial) term. And then you will look worse than foolish. In fact, alongside Tony Blair, you will become the most hated prime minister in history. The idiot who bankrupted the nation by betting on the biggest fraud ever devised. Now that is a legacy that will be richly deserved.

    The Great Climate Swindle.
    An old 2007 film that is still worth viewing.

    As can be seen in fig 4, the climate appears to be more stable in Ice Age mode than in Interglacial mode, and so our current warm climate is not typical of the Earth climate. The typical climate is 6ºc cooler, with glaciers extending down as far a northern England. The Younger Dryas cooling some 10,000 years ago should have signaled the start of the next Ice Age. But the climate recovered into warm Interglacial, for some unknown reason, and the warm Interglacial continued. Geologically this is very unusual and we should really be heading towards cooler temperatures by now. Look at where the Milankovitch cycle is now, and where it is trending. In normal circumstances the world should already be 3ºc cooler, with polar ice-sheets beginning to extend. Why they are not extending is a much greater mystery than the current fraudulent alarmism about Global Warming. (And this extended warm period started long before CO2 became an issue).

    What to do:

    Simple. Pay someone big-bucks to uncover all the holes in the Global Warming Swindle. Nobody will do this at present, apart from a few hardy and honest climate realists, because to do so is professional and economic suicide. So place Steve McIntyre, Judith Curry, Willis Eschenbach, Jo Nova, Roy Spencer, and Fred Singer et al in charge of a multi-million $ funded research program, with the sole task of discovering all the errors and holes in the Climate Swindle. And they will find errors and frauds a-plenty, I can assure you, because they are not trained monkeys.

    Are you willing to bet the nation and your legacy on a new religious cult, without a second opinion? Are you going to accept scientific advice without a proper and rigorous peer-review, and merely accept the current back-slapping pal-reviews? Do you really think that climate ‘scientists’ are being rigorous in their attempts to cross-check the data and analysis?

    I ask you – do the British courts accept the prosecution’s evidence and arguments, without the defence team being able to speak? Do British courts denigrate and prosecute the defence lawyers, because they may have a different view and may give a different perspective on the case? Is this how British justice works? Is this how British science works?

    Mr Cameron. This is the nation’s future. This is your legacy. Are you willing to bet the farm on a hunch given by pet monkeys, who have been trained and conditioned to give the ‘right’ answer? Or would it be better to give a substantial grant to obtain a valuable second opinion?

    fig 4.
    Changes in insolation (sunlight strength) in northern latitudes, caused by orbital changes of the Earth. (Milankovitch Cycles).
    Blue line = ‘Sun-strength’.
    Rising pink line = Rising temperatures.
    Note the large variation – up to 25% variation in ‘Sun-strength’.

    • I think it’s also apparent that the ice age cycle has the characteristics of a relaxation oscillator, with the strong positive feedback on the warming part, and the cooling being a more gradual decay after the feedback runs out of steam. Now, in relaxation oscillators the increase in current, temperature or whatever is typically so energetic that it will drive itself into a hard limit which cannot be exceeded, at which point the rate of change falls to zero and the positive feedback fails. This suggests that the max temp reached is the limit of the system’s range, and that ‘positive feedbacks’ cannot amplify any small change due to CO2 beyond this point. It is however possible that CO2 is slowing the fall of post-peak temperature, and there is some evidence of that being the case. The point is that even if it were the restart the positive feedback, it could do no more than produce another ice-age-exit situation. Which would be good, not bad.

  9. can’t recall seing this on WUWT. MSM now picking it up:

    1 Oct: Science Daily: Global warming can alter shape of the planet, as melting glaciers erode the land
    Climate change is causing more than just warmer oceans and erratic weather. According to scientists, it also has the capacity to alter the shape of the planet…
    In a five-year study published today in Nature, lead author Michele Koppes, assistant professor in the Department of Geography at the University of British Columbia, compared glaciers in Patagonia and in the Antarctic Peninsula…

  10. Financial Times and The Times join in the mocking of BofE’s Mark Carney (Daily Mail & Telegraph mocking posted in Tips comments above):

    2 Oct: Bishop Hill: The carneyage of Mystic Mark
    It is said that once people (Financial Times) start laughing at you, you are completely finished. I think Mark Carney may have reached that point (LINK plus text in the comments for those who can’t access it)
    COMMENT by son of mulder:
    Mocked in the Times today as well today (behind paywall)
    Starts off “Being the world’s leading expert on climate change is typically a full-time job. So it’s easy to forget that Mark Carney also has a part-time role as governor of the Bank of England, proving himself the man for a forecast immediately overtaken by events.”
    Ends “If he ever sets a target for the ice caps melting, buy a boat.”
    The middle is a list of failed/useless targets.

  11. 29 Sept: Redd-Monitor: Chris Lang: London Carbon Credit Company scammed people out of £1.7 million. Company director Young Erumuse disqualified for 15 years
    Foundation projects
    On its website, Erumuse’s company claimed that,
    “”London Carbon Credit Company is currently in advanced negotiations with the world renowned Clinton Foundation to be sole UK provider of carbon credits produced from the Clinton Climate Initiative’s Carbon Capture and Forestry projects.”
    And in a press release dated 16 October 2011, London Carbon Credit Company announced that the company
    “will soon be able to offer its clients carbon credits from Bill Clinton’s Clinton Climate Initiative, part of the Clinton Foundation”…
    So, on 13 September 2012, REDD-Monitor wrote to the Clinton Climate Initiative to ask them some questions about their relationship (if any) with the London Carbon Credit Company.
    The following day, the Clinton Foundation Fraud Alert page was updated to include the London Carbon Credit Company as one of a list of scams claiming to be associated with the Clinton Foundation…
    (Director of Global Carbon Measurement Program at the Clinton Foundation D. James) Baker did not reply to my question about whether it was possible that the London Carbon Credit Company had bought carbon credits from Clinton Foundation projects.
    He also declined to tell me what precautions the Clinton Foundation takes to ensure that its name, reputation and its projects are not used to legitimise the fraudulent activities of companies like London Carbon Credit Company…
    According to the Insolvency Service, London Carbon Credit Company managed to sell the carbon credits at an average price of £110.70, having bought them for around £3.50…

  12. 1 Oct: UK Mirror: Andrew Penman: The carbon credit conman who sold investors hot air
    Not the slightest flicker of remorse crossed the face of investment conman Young Erumuse when I confronted him.
    It was a short walk from the financial heart of Britain in the City of London, and he stood glowering down at me in his blue three-piece suit.
    At first he denied he was Erumuse, the director of London Carbon Credit Company Ltd…
    One victim was told: “Many savvy investors and corporations alike are adding carbon credits to their portfolios. Please don’t delay the process any longer than necessary as prices for credits are rapidly increasing on a daily basis.”
    The website used a string of logos of official bodies in this field, including the Gold Standard Foundation, Ethical Junction and Verified Carbon Standard.
    Erumuse, 34, did not have permission to use any of their names…
    Official Receiver Paul Titherington warned that anyone cold-called by carbon credit salesmen “is being offered nothing but hot air”.

  13. 30 Sept: Reuters: Germany issues warrants for two in $171 mln CO2 trading fraud probe
    International arrest warrants were issued in late July for Mobeen Iqbal, 32, and Ashraf Muhammad, 35, both of whom are thought to be living in Dubai, the Frankfurt prosecutor’s office said in an emailed statement.
    “The accused are strongly suspected to have been backers and leading members of a gang employing a tax evasion scheme in connection with the trade of CO2 emission rights and to having evaded a total of approximately 136 million euros between August 2009 and April 2010,” the statement said…
    The prosecutors also took to social media website Facebook to seek help from the public in tracking down the two men…
    In April, Frankfurt prosecutors charged two British citizens for suspected tax fraud amounting to 31 million euros in the same carousel trading investigation. Another Briton was arrested by U.S. authorities in Las Vegas in May.
    The investigations broaden the carbon trading scandal that has also affected Deutsche Bank, where prosecutors are investigating 25 staff, including co-Chief Executive Juergen Fitschen and finance chief Stefan Krause, on suspicion of tax evasion, money laundering and obstruction of justice.
    Prosecutors are not preparing to lay any such charges against the bank as investigators have turned their focus to the role of independent traders, a person close to the investigation told Reuters last month.
    The source said any potential charges against the bank would likely be over its negligence in failing to properly screen clients. The probe could conclude by the end of the year with a possible settlement agreement…

  14. Sunday October 4 2015: Climate Change Cracks, Perth expert does the maths on real impact of CO2. A mathematical discovery by Perth based electrical engineer Dr David Evans may change everything about climate change on the eve of the UN climate change conference next month. A former climate modeller for the Governments Australian Greenhouse office with six degrees in applied mathematics.

  15. 3 Oct: UK Telegraph: Christopher Booker: Why that climate deal is already a dead duck
    The binding global treaty Mark Carney, the Pope and others all want simply isn’t going to happen
    Last week a steady drone rising all year finally swelled to a crescendo. Talking up what Mark Carney, the Governor of the Bank of England, described to the City’s leading insurers as the “catastrophic impacts of climate change”, the world’s great and good were piling in on all sides. The Pope was supposed to be at it in his addresses to the UN and the US Congress. Presidents Obama and Hollande were at it, as was David Cameron with his offer of £5.8 million of UK aid money to support the cause. And the Prince of Wales wrote a letter to Britain’s top judges pleading with them to do all they can to bring about what he called “a Magna Carta for the Earth”…READ ON

  16. IPCC models CO2 sensitivity coded wrong – “Yes, CO2 has an effect, but it’s about a fifth or tenth of what the IPCC says it is. CO2 is not driving the climate; it caused less than 20 per cent of the global warming in the last few decades”.

    Dr. Evans

    Dr Evans is an expert in Fourier analysis and digital signal processing, with a PhD, and two Masters degrees from Stanford University in electrical engineering, a Bachelor of Engineering (for which he won the University medal), Bachelor of Science, and Masters in Applied Maths from the University of Sydney.

  17. Kevin Avruck, the Dean of GMU’s School of Conflict Analysis and Resolution emailed me back and said that Shank is an adjunct professor in their school. (Adjunct = part-time).

  18. Some perspective on expert forecasts with implications for climate, from a finance writer here:

    Some quotes:

    ““What you think is much less important than how you think,” says Prof. Tetlock; superforecasters regard their views “as hypotheses to be tested, not treasures to be guarded.”

    Most experts—like most people—“are too quick to make up their minds and too slow to change them,” he says. And experts are paid not just to be right, but to sound right: cocksure even when the evidence is sparse or ambiguous.”

    “Start by zeroing in on the “base rate” — the average historical experience.”

    Seems the AGW establishment started with a wrong “base rate” as in the shaft of the hockey stick rather than the undulations of climate.

    “Finally, as new information comes in, ratchet your expectations up or down.”

    Seems that a lot of the AGW establishment is very reluctant to ratchet expectations in light of the pause.

    I feel better about my capabilities as an amateur forecaster compared to the experts.

  19. The media may want to make a big deal about the heavy rain in N Carolina. (The governor is saying “the most rain for NC for the last 1,000 years”. She knows because she has been there 1,000 years.) The world record (as far as I know) is in Thrall, Texas which got 23.4 inches during 6 hours and eventually 39.7 inches of rain over 36 hours.,_Texas#Thrall_flood

  20. I’ve been checking this 3 year chart of the Great Lakes water temperatures – you need to click on the lake name at the top of the page to see the values for each of the lakes.

    They have numbers for the mean surface and the mean whole volume temperatures for each of the Lakes. The numbers for Oct 2015 are already lower than Oct 2013 for each of the Lakes. And the three eastern Lakes are cooler than 2014. Remember that 2013-2014 was the winter season when the Lakes were 92% ice covered. If I remember correctly, the Lakes were about 90% covered last year. They were clear of ice earlier in 2015 than 2014 by about a month.

    It will be interesting to see how much ice the Lakes will be getting this year. I’m hoping for a 90% coverage since that seems to keep the water levels up.

    You may want to include the multi year map in the GL Ice Page when you have to correct all of the links for the current year. Thanks for the work that you do!

  21. I use a program called PeerBlock to see who is trying to access my computer and every time I come to WUWT I get warning messages about NASA and NOAA and sometimes Dept. of Defense..Just thought I’d let you know !!! Not sure what it means ???

  22. The Nov. Issue of Astronomy Magazine has an interesting column on a postulated second dynamo offset from the first which is hypothesized to cause destructive interference in the normal 11 year sun spot cycle and due to cause a Maunder minimum type event in cycle 26. Would love to see Leif’s comments on the theory and, of course, all of our other solar experts as well that will undoubtedly show up on such a post. The column is called, “Sun’s activity slowing down”.

  23. behind paywall:

    5 Oct: UK Times: Robin Pagnamenta: Britain may have to ‘go Dutch’ to avoid blackouts
    Supplies of electricity this winter are likely to be so tight that Britain could be reliant on imports via an undersea power cable from the Netherlands, industry experts fear.
    This month, National Grid is expected to set out its forecasts for power supplies in its annual winter outlook report. It is set to predict that the UK’s electricity supply margin could be as slender as 1.9 percent or less at times of peak demand during December and January…

  24. read all:

    5 Oct: ClimateChangeNews: Megan Darby: UN releases 20-page negotiating text for climate deal
    Shortened document makes clear which elements will be legally binding and sets out decisions to be made before Paris summit
    At 20 pages, the document (LINK) is less than a quarter the length of the last version, published in July…
    Pulled together by the two co-chairs to the process, Ahmed Djoghlaf and Dan Reifsnyder, the document has no official status. Decisions can only be made by negotiators from the 195 countries involved.
    But it will form the basis of interim talks in Bonn 19-23 October, the last negotiating session before Paris.
    In a separate “scenario note”, the co-chairs said they would put the text up on a screen for negotiators to go through line by line…
    The International Emissions Trading Association was dismayed to see little provision for carbon markets…

    UNFCCC: 20 page document

  25. 5 Oct: Reuters Carbon Pulse: Work on carbon markets held back as diplomats slash UN climate text
    By Stian Reklev and Ben Garside
    Mention of carbon markets was largely left out of the main draft Paris agreement released Monday, though references to building an international carbon market regime made it into a draft decision for negotiators to craft detailed rules on later…
    But it did say countries may “cooperate in the implementation of mitigation activities”, potentially paving the way for international carbon trade…
    In the draft decision portion, it said countries should agree by next year’s UN climate conference rules and guidance for accounting of emission reductions, including allowing use of “internationally transferred mitigation outcomes” to meet national goals “supplemental to domestic action”, a basic principle for international carbon trade…
    Of the nearly 150 INDCs submitted so far, at least 70 countries have said they intend to use or explore the use of market-based mechanisms…
    Such plans may face years of uncertainty if there is no language or provisions for international carbon trading in the Paris agreement, but with the growing number of national and sub-national governments turning to CO2 markets, observers are confident emissions trading will remain a key approach to reducing GHG emissions…
    The text also included provisions that would scale up annual climate finance after 2020, although it was left in brackets whether the Paris deal should contain a reference to the $100 billion by 2020 in finance that parties pledged in Copenhagen…

  26. 30 September 2015 Last updated at 07:39 BST
    Green energy company Home Energy & Lifestyle Management Ltd has been fined a record £200,000 by the Information Commissioner’s Office (ICO) after making more than six million automated calls as part of a marketing campaign offering “free” solar panels.
    The company blamed another firm it hired to make calls and said it was appealing against the ruling.

  27. hmmm! what could there be in this for Germany/EU?

    5 Oct: Climate Change News: Ed King: Germany offers India €2 billion in solar, clean energy funds
    Leaders Modi and Merkel agree renewables finance package and to cooperate on plans for global climate deal in Paris
    According to a joint statement, €1 billion has been offered over five years to help India meet a goal of deploying 100 gigawatts of solar by 2022…
    He added both leaders had discussed plans for a global climate deal to limit warming to below a 2C danger zone, set to be signed off in Paris this December…

  28. 6 Oct: Reuters: India leads Asia’s dash for coal as emissions blow east
    By Krishna N. Das and Tommy Wilkes
    India is opening a mine a month as it races to double coal output by 2020, putting the world’s third-largest polluter at the forefront of a pan-Asian dash to burn more of the dirty fossil fuel that environmentalists fear will upend international efforts to contain global warming…
    China, India and Indonesia now burn 71 percent of the world’s newly mined coal according to the World Coal Association…
    Other Asian nations are increasingly looking to coal to power their economies too, with Pakistan, the Philippines and Vietnam opening new plants, pushing the Asia/Pacific region to 80 percent of new coal plants.
    “Coal is still the most cost competitive power generation fuel, and in the end that’s what matters most for emerging markets,” said Frederic Neumann, Co-Head Of Asian Economic Research at HSBC in Hong Kong…
    Japan’s use has reached a record after shrinking its nuclear industry and it plans to build another 41 new coal-fired units over the next decade…
    Australia’s exports of thermal coal rose 5 percent to 205 million tonnes in the last financial year and are to increase by a further 1 million tonnes this year, driven by increased demand from Japan, South Korea and Taiwan…
    Magadh mine is the biggest of the many New Delhi will open to hit an annual coal target of 1.5 billion tonnes by 2020, raising its production above the United States but less than half the amount China currently burns…
    If India burns as much coal by 2020 as planned, its emissions could as much as double to 5.2 billion tonnes per annum – about a sixth of all the carbon dioxide released into the atmosphere last year – Peters said…
    He said India could replace the United States as the world’s second largest emitter by 2025. “This is something no one would have expected.”

  29. 6 Oct: Saudi Gazette: AFP: India agrees to fast-track German business deals
    Narendra Modi on Monday hailed Germany as a “natural partner” of India after signing deals with Angela Merkel on clean energy and speeding up the European powerhouse’s investment in Asia’s third largest economy…
    Briefly leaving behind a refugee crisis in Europe, Merkel and her ministers signed 18 deals with India’s government, including on renewable energy and fast-tracking approvals for German companies to operate in India.
    “We see Germany as a natural partner in achieving our vision of India’s economic transformation. German strengths and India’s priorities are aligned,” Modi said after meetings lasting three hours with Merkel, who arrived in the capital on Sunday…
    The two countries signed agreements worth two billion euros ($2.25 billion) on German investment in developing India’s clean energy corridors and solar energy industry…
    But India has rejected calls to curb its heavy reliance on coal for power, instead calling on industrialized country to bear the burden of curbing emissions.
    Germany is already India’s most important trading partner in Europe and both Modi and Merkel have said they are keen to increase trade…READ ALL


    A team of top-level atmospheric chemistry boffins from France and Germany say they have identified a new process by which vast amounts of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) are emitted into the atmosphere from the sea – a process which was unknown until now, meaning that existing climate models do not take account of it.

    The effect of VOCs in the air is to cool the climate down, and thus climate models used today predict more warming than can actually be expected. Indeed, global temperatures have actually been stable for more than fifteen years, a circumstance which was not predicted by climate models and which climate science is still struggling to assmilate.

  31. Can I assume that the following was caused by ‘climate change’?

    BBC – 5 October 2015
    Wild mammals ‘have returned’ to Chernobyl
    …..They say a long-term census of mammals in the area has shown that wildlife numbers are likely to be “much higher than they were before the accident”.

    Professor Jim Smith of the University of Portsmouth led the study, published in the journal Current Biology.

    He stressed that this “does not mean that radiation is good for wildlife”. …..

  32. Geez another day and another loon project for a “carbon free future”; guess they have not figured out a not so trivial problem but what do they know.

    Welcome the “Global Apollo Programme to Combat Climate Change”, the Millennial Generation’s NASA Apollo Moon Shot, one shot, To The Future.

    And the kicker as always, “In other words, through a conscious effort, backed by public funds, we can steer the development of the advanced technologies needed to ensure humanity’s safety and wellbeing.”

    Oh Yea. With everyone dead, who needs thing like hospitals or insurance.

    Ha ha

  33. AAAS Atlas of Population and Environment still claims the Himalaya’s will be gone by 2035

    “Mountain ecosystems face a massive test of their robustness from projected climate change. Warming is already melting many glaciers, fundamentally altering hydrology both in the mountain regions and downstream. For instance, glaciers cover 17 percent of the Himalayas and provide two thirds of the flow of the River Ganges. But at their present rate of decline all the glaciers in the middle and eastern Himalayas will have disappeared by 2035. Many mountain valleys are threatened by floods as lakes formed by melting ice are breached ”

  34. trying to stitch up an agreement – no Africans listed as “key leaders”:

    5 Oct: Politico: Sara Stefanini: World leaders sidelined at Paris climate talks
    Summit organizers want them to show up at the start, not the end, to avoid a repeat of the Copenhagen disaster.
    “The French idea is to have heads of state come at the beginning to make statements — they will not negotiate, you won’t have them in closed doors,” an EU source familiar with the preparations said.
    While Paris has yet to send out invitations to the summit, which runs from November 30 to December 11, key leaders from both the developed and developing worlds are expected to show. That includes U.S. President Barack Obama, Chinese Premier Li Keqiang, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, Brazilian President Dilma Rouseff, European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker, German Chancellor Angela Merkel, and of course the host, French President Francois Hollande.
    The point is to keep leaders’ hands clear of the actual text of the agreement, in case it fails to satisfy. But their presence in Paris is required if the 196 countries want to succeed this time, environmental advocates say…
    The outcome of the Danish COP15 in 2009 was derailed at the beginning by a leaked draft of the agreement, and then exacerbated by the final talks among a couple of dozen heads of state…

    following has been picked up by all CAGW-invested websites, especialy those focused on renewables.
    fossil-fuel-rich African countries, exploited by the rest of the world in the past, present & future, are being told they will only be allowed to develop by buying into other countries’ renewables options! nice.

    6 Oct: Business Green: Jocelyn Timperley: Renewables could supply nearly a quarter of Africa’s energy by 2030, says report
    IRENA report says the continent has the potential to quadruple the proportion of its energy supplied by renewables
    The report identifies four modern renewable energy technologies that could play a major role in the continent’s energy mix: hydropower, wind, solar power, and modern biomass systems for cooking.
    The report also highlights how solar and wind projects across Africa are now producing ***record-low electricity prices…
    The report also recommends the active promotion of investment by increasing the availability of local financing and the use of public financing to reduce ***perceived risks to investors…
    Adnan Z. Amin, Director-General of IRENA: “Tapping into renewable energy resources is the only way African nations can fuel economic growth, maximise socio-economic development and enhance energy security with limited environmental impact,” he said in a statement. “The technologies are available, reliable and ***increasingly cost-competitive. The onus is now on Africa’s governments to create conditions to accelerate deployment, paving the way for Africa’s unfettered, sustainable development.”

    ***just some of the contradictory statements in this piece.

  35. 6 Oct: Bloomberg: Greenpeace Says Can Find Cash to Buy Vattenfall Coal Assets
    by Niklas Magnusson, Jesper Starn and Tino Andresen
    Greenpeace is exploring funding options to buy Vattenfall AB’s lignite operations in Germany as it seeks to shut the power plants and prevent others from starting new coal mines.
    The environmental group wants to start discussions with Vattenfall after the Swedish state-owned utility put the assets up for sale, Annika Jacobson, head of Greenpeace in Sweden, said in an e-mailed statement on Tuesday…
    Vattenfall’s plants and mines, with a capacity of more than 8,000 megawatts combined, are worth 2 billion euros ($2.2 billion) to 3 billion euros, according to Rodger Rinke, an analyst at Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg…
    The organization could finance a potential acquisition with donor money, crowd-funding and other sources of financing, he said.
    “Mostly, we would believe it would be our supporters who would be interested in such an acquisition to save the climate,” he said…

  36. ***in the world that has NINE COUNTRIES!

    5 Oct: Guardian: Dana Nuccitelli: The Republican Party stands alone in climate denial
    Amid internal calls for climate action, a study finds that Republicans are the only climate-denying conservative party ***in the world
    A paper published in the journal Politics and Policy by Sondre Batstrand at the University of Bergen in Norway compared the climate positions of conservative political parties around the world. Batstrand examined the platforms or manifestos of the conservative parties from the USA, UK, Norway, Sweden, Spain, Canada, New Zealand, Australia, and Germany. He found that the US Republican Party stands alone in its rejection of the need to tackle climate change and efforts to become the party of climate supervillains…
    So, what’s different about the United States? One factor is the immensely profitable and politically influential fossil fuel industry…
    Australia just replaced its climate-dubious prime minister Tony Abbott with climate realist Malcolm Turnbull, and even Abbott’s government had a climate ‘Direct Action Plan’, albeit an impotent plan…

  37. pathetic:

    6 Oct: Climate Change News: Ed King: BBC apologises for radio show that mocked climate science
    Half-hour programme did not make clear climate sceptics were a “minority voice”, UK broadcaster admits, in “an unfortunate lapse” of editorial policy
    “What’s the point of the Met Office”, aired in August, did not make clear sceptics are a “minority voice, out of step with scientific consensus,” the corporation said in an email to climate scientist Andy Smedley.
    “This was an unfortunate lapse for which we apologise and we would like to assure you we remain committed to covering all aspects of the subject in the most accurate and responsible way possible.”
    Presented by Daily Mail columnist Quentin Letts, the show featured Peter Lilley MP, Graham Stringer MP, forecaster Piers Corbyn and Andy Silvester from the Tax Payers Alliance…
    The BBC said it had carried out an internal review and emphasised that the programme emerged from “an unusual combination of circumstances which we have now rectified”.
    Read the full reply here…PLUS TWEETS
    The broadcaster also added a note to the show’s web page, clarifying that the Met Office’s views on climate change were supported by scientific consensus.

  38. It’s important WUWT address this spin on the IGES scandal, otherwise the MSM will repeat it. The author seems to think the 1st amendment is a defense against breaking federal law.

    Climate-Denying Rep. Wants To Investigate Scientists For Requesting A Probe Of Climate Deniers

    > But Shukla’s right to petition the government in this way is outlined in the First Amendment under “redress of grievances.”


    John Ashe, a former UN ambassador from Antigua and Barbuda who was general assembly president from 2013 to 2014, was accused in a complaint filed in federal court in New York of taking more than $1.3 million in bribes from Chinese businessmen, including developer Ng Lap Seng.

    Manhattan US Attorney Preet Bharara, who announced the arrests of Ashe and the other defendants, said the investigation could result in more charges as authorities examine whether “corruption is business as usual at the United Nations.”


    And if it is, how they can get their cut…

  40. I was checking google for other IGES stories. So far National Review is the most “MSM” to report. Why not FOX?

    Yesterday Science Magazine did a story. Does acknowledge “whether IGES might have violated its nonprofit status with political activity”. Comments closed, many deleted.

    Climate scientist requesting federal investigation feels heat from House Republicans:

  41. another link re the UN officials arrested:

    6 Oct: UK Telegraph: Ruth Sherlock: United Nations officials charged with accepting massive bribes from China businessmen

    had a feeling CAGW could come into the story somehow, tho didn’t find any mention in MSM reports. however:

    6 Oct: FBI: Former UN General Assembly President and Five Others Charged in $1.3 Million Bribery Scheme
    Deputy United Nations Ambassador for the Dominican Republic Also Among Those Charged
    In addition to agreeing to pay for ASHE’s family vacation and basketball court, LORENZO began paying ASHE’s wife, as a “climate change consultant” for NGO-1, in the amount of $2,500 per month…
    In addition to attendance at the conference, CC-3 also sought to “offer [ASHE] a permanent convention venue for the UN meetings on sustainability and climate changes…as well as for the 193 members of the UN to convene…”

  42. ***- Climate, taxes, Sean Penn – LOL:

    7 Oct: Daily Star: AFP: World economic leaders tackle slow growth, climate change
    LIMA: Kick-starting the sluggish global economy and funding the climate-change fight top the agenda this week as finance ministers and central bank chiefs from around the world gather in Peru.
    Setting the stage for the annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank, the IMF cut its 2015 growth forecast for the world economy Tuesday to 3.1 percent, predicting the worst year since the global recession of 2009…
    ***- Climate, taxes, Sean Penn –
    An entire neighborhood of Lima has been closed off with military checkpoints for the occasion, leaving the streets bizarrely empty in the normally traffic-jammed city and creating headaches for commuters.
    The cordon will keep any protesters well away from the movers and shakers who drive the global economy…
    Indeed, inequality is a hot topic in the long list of events and panels scheduled around the meeting, which will get a celebrity boost when actor Sean Penn jets in to discuss his humanitarian work.
    But concrete progress is more likely to come on another major issue: the fight against climate change…
    …Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) is due to publish a report Wednesday on progress toward reaching the global funding target of $100 billion a year to fight the impacts of global warming…

    7 Oct: Reuters: DIARY-Top Economic Events to Oct 19
    WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 7, LIMA, PERU – The IMF holds a conversation on climate change – 1900 GMT. Speakers: IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde and World Bank President Jim Yong Kim. LIMA – The IMF holds a discussion “Energy Pricing-Getting it Right” – 2030 GMT. Speakers: IMF Deputy Managing Director Min Zhu and former Irish President Mary Robinson…
    THURSDAY, OCTOBER 8, LIMA, PERU – World Bank President Jim Yong Kim participates in a discussion titled “Young Entrepreneurs as Drivers of Sustainable Growth” – 1900 GMT…
    LIMA – World Bank President Jim Yong Kim participates in discussion on “Future of Food: A Conversation about Shaping a Climate-Smart Food System” – 2130 GMT…
    FRIDAY, OCTOBER 9 LIMA – G-20 members hold a news conference – 1330 GMT. LIMA – World Bank holds a discussion on “Unleashing Private Investment in Renewable Energy” – 1600 GMT. Speakers:- World Bank President Jim Yong Kim and Norway Foreign Minister Borge Brende…

  43. Washington Post…

    How a hypothesis became dogma

    “The vibrant certainty of scientists claiming to be authorities on these matters is disturbing,” George V. Mann, a biochemist at Vanderbilt’s med school wrote in the New England Journal of Medicine.

    Ambitious scientists and food companies, he said, had “transformed [a] fragile hypothesis into treatment dogma.”

    Indeed, the subsequent forty years of science have proven that, if nothing else, the warning against saturated fats was simplistic.

    I always finds the saturated fat / climate change similarity amazing. People accept dogma as fact and just quit listening

  44. Canadian physicist Arthur B. McDonald has won the Nobel Prize for discoveries about the behaviour of a mysterious solar particle, teased from an experiment buried two kilometres below Sudbury.

    The Queen’s University professor emeritus was honoured for co-discovering that elusive particles known as neutrinos can change their identity — or “oscillate” — as they travel from the sun. It proved that neutrinos must have mass, a finding that upset the Standard Model of particle physics and opened new avenues for research into the fundamental properties of the universe.

    McDonald, 72, shares the prize with Takaaki Kajita, whose Japanese collaboration made the same discovery with slightly different methods.


    A MATHEMATICAL discovery by Perth-based electrical engineer Dr David Evans may change everything about the climate debate, on the eve of the UN climate change conference in Paris next month.

    A former climate modeller for the Government’s Australian Greenhouse Office, with six degrees in applied mathematics, Dr Evans has unpacked the architecture of the basic climate model which underpins all climate science.

    He has found that, while the underlying physics of the model is correct, it had been applied incorrectly.

    He has fixed two errors and the new corrected model finds the climate’s sensitivity to carbon dioxide (CO2) is much lower than was thought.

  46. in the European Parliament in Strasbourg yesterday:

    7 Oct: Reuters: Merkel says attacks on auto industry put jobs at risk
    German Chancellor Angela Merkel said she believed Volkswagen was doing its best to clear up its diesel emissions scandal and urged the green lobby not to condemn the broader auto industry, warning this could put thousands of jobs at risk…
    Responding to a Greens politician in the chamber, she added: “Please don’t use this to condemn the entire auto industry. It puts thousands and thousands of European jobs at risk.”
    (Reporting by Tom Koerkemeier; Writing by Noah Barkin; editing by David Stamp)

    ***Guardian still protecting CAGW image for Turnbull:

    7 Oct: Guardian: Oliver Milman: UN drops plan to help move climate-change affected people
    Australia opposed the plan for a group to assist migration, and it has been left off the draft agreement for UN climate talks in Paris
    A previous draft of the deal to be thrashed out by nations included a “climate change displacement coordination facility” that would provide “organised migration and planned relocation”, as well as compensation, to people fleeing rising sea levels, extreme weather and ruined agriculture.
    However, this reference has been removed in a revised text ahead of the December climate conference negotiations. Australia opposed the facility, although ***Guardian Australia understands the prime minister, Malcolm Turnbull, has shown interest in the issue of displacement…

  47. ???

    6 Oct: Bloomberg: Tom Randall: Solar and Wind Just Passed Another Big Turning Point
    It has never made less sense to build fossil fuel power plants
    Wind power is now the cheapest electricity to produce in both Germany and the U.K., even without government subsidies, according to a new analysis by Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF). It’s the first time that threshold has been crossed by a G7 economy.
    But that’s less interesting than what just happened in the U.S.
    To appreciate what’s going on there, you need to understand the capacity factor…
    For the first time, widespread adoption of renewables is effectively lowering the capacity factor for fossil fuels. That’s because once a solar or wind project is built, the marginal cost of the electricity it produces is pretty much zero—free electricity—while coal and gas plants require more fuel for every new watt produced. If you’re a power company with a choice, you choose the free stuff every time…

    7 Oct: Business Green: Wind power companies set for boom and bust in face of (UK) government cutbacks, industry warns
    (Sorry, this article is not free to view)

  48. 5 Oct: UK telegraph: Bjorn Lomborg: Britain’s commitment to climate aid is immoral
    There are other, far more severe issues to tackle first, from malnutrition to poverty
    The money – £5.8 billion – is to be diverted from the United Kingdom’s overseas aid budget to its International Climate Fund over the next five years…
    There is something profoundly iniquitous about us meeting the world’s poor and hungry, whose kids lack good schools and are dying from easily curable diseases, in neighborhoods without clean water and sanitation – and we then give them a solar panel…

    7 Oct: Reuters Carbon Pulse: Rich nations reach 62% of $100 bln/yr climate finance goal in 2014 -OECD
    Rich nations channelled $62 billion of climate finance to poorer nations in 2014, slightly over half the amount they committed to provide annually from 2020, according to estimates by the OECD and Climate Policy Initiative.
    “There has been significant progress in meeting this goal,” said a joint report by the two organisations, adding that $52 billion was channelled in 2013…
    •Public finance accounted for more than 70% of 2013-14 flows
    •Mobilised private finance made up more than 25%, export credits the remainder
    •Over three-quarters was to support mitigation, one sixth adaptation, a small share targeting both
    It was published ahead of an Oct. 9 (IMF/World Bank) meeting of many of the world’s finance ministers in Lima, where UN climate chief Christiana Figueres expects donor governments to collectively outline their financial contribution plans…
    But Brandon Wu of development NGO ActionAid insisted that the OECD’s calculations were misleading because they included full loan and private investment amounts that benefitted actors in rich nations and not the developing countries.
    “Counting export credits, the full value of loans, and private investments as climate finance does not serve the needs of people affected by climate change. It only serves the needs of rich country governments that are failing to meet their obligations.”…

  49. Richard Black is former BBC Environment Correspondent and now Director of the Energy and Climare Intelligence Unit:

    7 Oct: Climate Change News: Richard Black: There is a point to BBC Editorial Guidelines after all
    BBC apology after complaints about irreverent radio show generated cheering in climate-sceptic circles, but ultimately own goal for backers
    Good news in the post today: a letter from BBC Audience Services ‘fessing up on the appalling Radio Four programme What’s the Point of the Met Office, broadcast on 5 August…
    Parliamentary interviewees were selected from the sparse ranks of climate sceptics and then given an easy ride, mistruths were recited as Gospel, other sceptical voices were given false credibility as they were introduced, and mistakes attributed to the Met Office which it didn’t make. Balance was there none…
    And for the first (and, I hope, the last) time since leaving the BBC I submitted a complaint through the former channels, in addition to asking publicly What’s the Point of the BBC Editorial Guidelines…
    ‘Unfortunate and uncharacteristic’
    Mine wasn’t the only complaint, and this morning’s reply was very welcome…
    Over the last decade or so it’s progressively become more difficult for scientists denying man-made climate change to publish papers in proper climate science journals, simply because a lack of quality in such papers…
    One example is the 2011 paper on the role of clouds published in Remote Sensing journal, which led to the editor’s resignation…

  50. About that 97% consensus …

    Breathalysers could be used to curb alcohol abuse among scientists at US bases in Antarctica following “unpredictable behaviour” caused by excess drinking, including fights and indecent exposure.

    Officials from the National Science Foundation told an audit of healthy and safety at the two US-run bases — McMurdo Station and the South Pole — that drinking has led to “unpredictable behaviour that has led to fights, indecent exposure, and employees arriving to work under the influence”, according to a report in Wired.

    The agency is reportedly considering shipping several breathalysers to the isolated stations, which together house up to about 1,150 people, including scientists and support staff.

    But such a move could potentially pose legal and administrative problems, as Antarctica is not US territory and it is not clear who would conduct the tests and what rights of appeal would be available.

  51. 7 Oct: Climate Change News: Ed King: ExxonMobil boss warns against tougher climate regulations
    The threat of global warming could be addressed, said Tillerson, by using more natural gas, employing carbon capture (CCS) technologies and investing in energy efficiency measures.
    “Government works best when it maintains a level playing field, opens the door to competition and refrains from picking winners and losers,” he said…
    The head of the largest US oil major made a point of mentioning this year’s Paris climate summit in his address to the Oil and Money summit, an annual gathering of hydrocarbon leaders…
    And he urged policymakers away from adopting tougher greenhouse gas cutting measures, suggesting the best policy was a global “revenue neutral” carbon tax…
    Earlier this year the Guardian revealed Exxon was still channelling millions to climate sceptic lawmakers in Congress, despite a 2008 pledge to quit lobbying on this issue…
    But Tillerson dismissed calls for an end to oil and gas use, a potential outcome at this year’s Paris climate summit, calling fossil fuels a “moral and humanitarian imperative”…

    7 Oct: Climate Change News: Ed King: Oil majors to release climate plans on 16 October, says Total chief
    Industry must take offensive with carbon cutting plans to avoid portrayal as “devils”, CEO tells top executives at London conference
    “We cannot ignore the climate change issue… this is why last June we called for a carbon pricing mechanism,” Pouyanne said at the Oil and Money conference in London…
    And he claimed US oil majors Chevron and ExxonMobil, which declined to join the venture earlier this year, had similar views…
    “We are not far from a full agreement… let’s be clear – most of them have engaged for many years in that debate,” he said.
    Green groups are unlikely to be stunned by next week’s announcement, Pouyanne insisting that oil and gas would be a critical part of the global energy mix in the coming decades…
    ***“Gas is cleaner than others… if (we?) do nothing and we let the market decide we will have more and more coal,” he said.

  52. read all…very, very amusing:

    7 Oct: Climate Change News: Alex Pashley: Ex-BP chief: Oil majors must heed Volkswagen scandal
    Lord Browne urges fossil fuel giants to prove their worth, as executives downplay climate risk at major industry event
    Major carbon polluters must show they are positive for humanity or face sharp slides in future market worth, according to BP’s former CEO, Lord Browne…
    “Industries come and go depending on their ability to connect with society,” said the British oil company’s chief executive from 1995-2007.
    Fail to do that and risk losing 30% of your value, he warned. “If you don’t believe me, just look at the track of the stock of Volkswagen recently. It’s exactly that.”…
    But by his 5.30pm speech, the audience – heaving during a panel session on oil opportunities in Iran earlier in the day – had thinned out…
    TWEET Alex Pashley: Room thinning out as panel on climate change starts. Oil execs less keen than they were to hear Iran oil prospects…
    ***In a sign of his unfamiliarity with UN climate talks, (OPEC Chief, Abdulla) El-Badri relied on co-panelist and IEA chief Fatih Birol to explain that countries were submitting carbon-cutting pledges ahead of a Paris deal…
    In conservations on the sidelines, executives poured scorn on the idea the global economy would be rid of fossil fuels by 2100…

  53. 7 Oct: Sun-Herald: AP: Frank Bajak: IMF Chief: We’re cooked if we fail on climate change
    LIMA, Peru — International Monetary Fund chief Christine Lagarde said Wednesday that failure to take urgent action on global warming will condemn humanity to the same fate as the Peruvian poultry that so many delegates to the group’s annual meeting are enjoying this week in a country famed for its cuisine.
    “If we collectively chicken out of this we’ll all turn into chickens and we’ll all be fried, grilled, toasted and roasted,” said Lagarde.
    Her comments came in a panel discussion involving World Bank President Jim Yong Kim, U.N. climate talks executive secretary Christiana Figueres and economist and climate expert Nicholas Stern.
    Lagarde and Kim argued strongly for removing subsidies on fossil fuels that are worth more than $5 trillion a year…

  54. much more CAGW background for John Ashe, UN official charged in $1.3 Million Bribery Scheme in New York this week (links in comments above):

    United Nations General Assembly: About the President of the 68th Session
    Biography of H.E. Mr. John W. Ashe
    John W. Ashe of Antigua and Barbuda was elected President of the General Assembly’s sixty-eighth session on 14 June 2013 while serving in the dual capacity as his country’s Permanent Representative to both the United Nations and the World Trade Organization, positions he held since 2004.
    Guided by a passion for sustainable development, Mr. Ashe has been in the forefront of international efforts to address the adverse effects of climate change and the fight to eradicate poverty. He has served in a leadership capacity on many of the governing bodies of the major UN environmental agreements, including as the first Chairman of the Executive Board of the Clean Development Mechanism of the Kyoto Protocol to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). He also chaired the same Convention’s Subsidiary Body on Implementation (SBI), and, most recently, the Ad Hoc Working Group on Further Commitments for Annex I Parties under the Kyoto Protocol (AWG-KP). “We only have the planet we live on, and if we are to leave it in a reasonable state for the next generation, the quest for a safer, cleaner, and more equitable world is one that should consume us all,” he says, summing up his philosophy…
    He successfully led negotiations that resulted in Chapter X of the Johannesburg Plan of Implementation at the 2002 World Summit for Sustainable Development (Rio+10); and co-chaired the UN Conference on Sustainable Development (Rio+20) in 2012. In 2004 he presided over the thirteenth session of the UN Commission on Sustainable Development, the body responsible for reviewing programmes on the implementation of Agenda 21—a blueprint to rethink economic growth, advance social equity and ensure environmental protection…
    (He) holds a Doctorate in Bioengineering from the University of Pennsylvania (United States).

  55. “A former climate modeller for the Government’s Australian Greenhouse Office, with six degrees in applied mathematics, Dr Evans has unpacked the architecture of the basic climate model which underpins all climate science.

    He has found that, while the underlying physics of the model is correct, it had been applied incorrectly.

    He has fixed two errors and the new corrected model finds the climate’s sensitivity to carbon dioxide (CO2) is much lower than was thought.”

  56. on to Francis Lorenzo:

    7 Oct: DNA India: Reuters: Ex-UN General Assembly head John Ashe, 5 others face US bribery case
    The intermediaries included ***Francis Lorenzo, 48, a deputy U.N. ambassador from the Dominican Republic who prosecutors said Ng paid $20,000 monthly as “honorary president” of one of his organizations, South-South News…
    Prosecutors said those bribes were arranged through Sheri Yan, chief executive officer of a New York-based organization, and Heidi Park, its finance director, who were also arrested. The organization was unnamed, but the ***Global Sustainability Foundation website lists Yan and Park as holding those positions. The foundation did not respond to requests for comment…
    At a hearing late Tuesday, a federal judge set Ashe’s bail at $1 million on condition be placed under house arrest, despite concerns by prosecutors that he posed a flight risk.
    Robert Van Lierop, his lawyer, said Ashe intends to “assert the full range of immunity” to which he is entitled and would fight the charges. Brian Bieber, Lorenzo’s lawyer, said his client “acted in good faith at all times and believed in the integrity of what he was told by those involved…READ ALL

    following. note the participation of Associated Press’s Edith (Edie) M. Lederer, whose CAGW articles i’ve been posting for years:

    1 July: UN: Small Island Developing States Face ‘Unique’ Sustainability Challenges Requiring ‘Special’ Attention to Meet Post-2015 Agenda Goals, High-level Forum Hears
    Panel Discussion II
    In the afternoon, the Forum held a panel discussion, titled “Reaching out to the world: communicating the agenda”.
    …it featured the four panellists.
    They were ***Francis Lorenzo, Ambassador and Honorary President of South-South News, Dominican Republic etc…
    Serving as lead discussants were ***Edie Lederer, Senior Correspondent, Associated Press…
    Mr. LORENZO said more producers, editors, photographers and others in the areas of journalism and communication must be given tools and training to be able to understand the sustainable development goals and communicate them. A New York University professor in television journalism noted the importance of story-telling and bringing human faces to the fore of content…
    Ms. LEDERER said that at the World Economic Forum in January 2014, Bono shouted out “I hated it”, when he was asked about the name “sustainable development goals”. The United Nations should run a worldwide campaign to come up with a new name for those goals. In today’s world, everything was competing for time. Major news organizations were now using much shorter stories than in the past, she pointed out, asking how journalists could write about 17 goals in a 400-word story. The new agenda was a “hard sell” and, instead of focusing on 17 goals, the United Nations should pick out 4, 5 or 6 goals that were critically important…

  57. 7 Oct: WSJ: U.N. Says It Can’t Probe Graft Scandal
    United Nations is reviewing bribery charges against diplomats but hasn’t launched an internal investigation
    By Farnaz Fassihi and Christopher M. Matthews
    The U.N. on Wednesday said that it was “studying the complaints” and would cooperate with U.S. authorities but the organization didn’t have the mandate or power to investigate individuals or entities that weren’t considered staff or part of the official U.N. umbrella, said Stephane Dujarric, a spokesman for the secretary-general.
    Diplomats aren’t legally bound to U.N. ethical codes and follow the laws of their home countries, Mr. Dujarric and other U.N. officials said. The U.N.’s internal watchdog, Office of Internal Oversight Services, can audit and investigate only U.N. staff members, they said…
    The current scandal, where high-ranking diplomats of member states were indicted and arrested on corruption charges, was unprecedented, he added…
    Robert M. Appleton, who headed a now-disbanded special task force created by the U.N. to investigate corruption, said that the notion that the U.N. couldn’t investigate high-level diplomats was a red herring. “The use of U.N. funds is something the U.N. can and should be policing,” Mr. Appleton said. “When they express surprise, like they did yesterday, that itself is somewhat surprising, because they’ve struggled with corruption issues for years.”…
    “The role of the U.N. keeps going backwards,” said Samer Sanbar, a former U.N. official. “There were red flags throughout this scandal, someone should have noticed.”

    7 Oct: Macau Business Daily: Ng’s alleged bribery triggers ex-UN General Assembly president’s arrest
    with Reuters & Bloomberg
    Diplomatic immunity
    Ashe was also charged with failing to report US$1.2 million in income, including the bribes, to the Internal Revenue Service. It’s the only charge which wouldn’t be covered by diplomatic immunity, although he waived that privilege when he applied to be a permanent resident in the U.S. in 2000, according to the complaint.
    After his arrest, Ashe told investigators he had accepted bribes, prosecutor Daniel Richenthal said in court. “Over the course of years he accepted millions of dollars in bribes in various forms, some of which he admitted after he was arrested today,” Richenthal said.
    He may have residual immunity for acts that were done within the scope of his official positions, the U.S. said…
    “If proven, today’s charges will confirm that the cancer of corruption that plagues so many state and local governments infects the United Nations as well,” Bharara said.

  58. Hello Anthony!

    Not sure what if anything you can do with this, or if you can pass it on to someone who can, or if it has already been covered, BUT:

    There is a gentleman at the Sonoma State University by the name of Jamal Munshi. He writes a fair bit about Human CO2 emissions and what he sees actually going on. I don’t know that he calls himself a skeptic but he certainly has Skeptical thoughts about things!

    This link goes to a score of notes and papers he has written

    I came across him while looking for info about ocean ‘acidification.’

  59. another reminder what CAGW sceptics are up against:

    8 Oct: Daily Mail: Ollie Gillman: ‘What do you mean no-one has been to Mars?’ Scores of people believe blockbuster movie The Martian is based on a true story
    But it appears that The Martian, starring Matt Damon, is being taken a little too seriously by some, with scores of people believing the sci-fi flick was based on a true story.
    Tweets from people who watched the Ridley Scott film, which came out on Friday, reveal that a surprisingly large number of people are unaware that humankind has never set foot on Mars…
    A barrage of tweets has shown that perhaps some people were not listening so closely during science class…
    Even US women’s soccer player Kelley O’Hara, a Stanford University graduate, tweeted that she thought The Martian was based on a true story. However, she later tweeted that her earlier post was a joke…

    meanwhile, breaking news in UK:

    8 Oct: BBC: Solar energy firm Mark Group axes 900 jobs
    Staff at Leicester-based Mark Group Ltd, which was founded in 1974, were told the news on Wednesday afternoon.
    Administrator Deloitte has made 939 redundancies, but a further 200 jobs are at risk unless a buyer can be found.
    A statement said Mark Group had sustained heavy losses due to “structural changes in core markets”.
    The firm employs 1,165 people across the UK, with more than 700 based at its headquarters in Beaumont Leys.
    In September, the firm announced it was cutting 670 jobs across the UK as a result of falling demand.
    It said a change in government policy on energy efficiency had resulted in a “significant reduction” in installation work…
    A spokesperson for the Department of Energy and Climate Change said: “All job losses are regrettable and we sympathise with those affected, but commercial decisions are a matter for the company concerned.
    “Our priority is to keep bills as low as possible for hardworking families and businesses…

  60. 8 Oct: Senior planetary scientist Dr Alan Stern said NASA to make ‘amazing’ announcement about Pluto
    ONE of NASA’s principal investigators has let slip the space agency will be making another huge announcement this week regarding Pluto.
    And if Dr Alan Stern’s comments to a packed hall at the University of Alberta in Canada are anything to go by, we might very well be talking about alien life forms.
    According to The Guardian, Mr Stern was showcasing the highest resolution photos of Pluto and its largest moon, Charon, when he made some huge announcements.
    “This world is alive,” he said.
    “It has weather, it has hazes in the atmosphere, active geology.”
    Mr Stern said NASA would be releasing new data and images this Friday (Australian time) that will change everything we know about the solar system.
    “NASA won’t let me tell you what we’re going to tell you on Thursday. It’s amazing,” he said…

    u can’t make this stuff up. MSM loves it.

  61. I maintain several images at WUWT, in particular the ENSO meter in the rightside Nav bar and some images from Cryosphere. WordPress demands static links, the images involved change daily or weekly. So I’ve copied them to a “trash” web server Comcast hosts. They’re shutting that down, supposedly today. Anthony said he was fixing the links to point to new sources on a commercial web server (I expect they won’t mind 10,000 references per day for the ENSO meter!), but I think he’s been more busy or distracted than usual. Don’t be surprised if you see breakage today, I’m sure we’ll get things back in operation soon.

  62. It’s coral bleaching again. They like to blame man’s greenhouse gases but at the same time point out the various multiple other factors that are the major causes of bleaching such as El Nino and pollution. In the Great Barrier Reef coral damage is 10% from bleaching and from that you have to take into account El Nino, pollution, star of thorns starfish, tropical storms etc.

    Is this another case of rinse and repeat? Sheeesh!

    “Coral worldwide threatened by bleaching – NOAA”

    ‘Coral Reef Watch Satellite Monitoring’


    The alexa rank of : #652,184 The IP address of this site is, it servers in the United States. City: Ironsides Org: George Mason University University Computing & Inf ISP: George Mason University Continent Code: NA Postal Code: 22030 the estimated worth: $151,844 .


    I wonder if the university bore all the costs of the website.

  64. 7 Oct: Guardian: Fiona Harvey: Paris climate talks should not put figure on finance, says World Bank vice-president
    Rachel Kyte says governments at the 2009 summit agreed funding for developing countries by ‘picking a $100bn figure out of the air’
    She accused governments at the Copenhagen meeting of making up a symbolic number in the closing days of the talks, just to try to get a last-minute deal.
    “The $100bn was picked out of the air at Copenhagen,” she argued. “If you think about the global economy and the challenge for finance ministers in developed countries, I’m not sure that an abstract number like $100bn is helpful. It is not a meaningful number to a country managing its economy.”…


    Dec 2009: NYT: Hillary Clinton Pledges $100B for Developing Countries
    COPENHAGEN — Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton has promised the United States will help raise $100 billion annually by 2020 to assist poor countries in coping with climate change as long as America’s demands for a global warming pledge are met.
    Clinton’s announcement, made during a packed news conference, represents a major breakthrough in the U.N.-led talks, which had all but ground to a halt last night…
    Clinton did not go into many other details, leaving it unclear precisely what the U.S. share of the $100 billion would be. U.N. climate chief Yvo de Boer said he is “looking keenly forward” to learning what that contribution will be.
    De Boer and others said Clinton’s announcement has helped get the lurching and sputtering train of international climate talks back on track…
    U.S. environmental groups and House Democrats heaped praise on the announcement…
    Andrew Deutz of the Nature Conservancy issued a statement saying that in 15 years of following climate talks, he had never seen the United States commit to this level of long-term financing.
    “This is the type of high-level political offer that we’ve been looking for world leaders to bring to Copenhagen to reach a global deal,” he said…

  65. 8 Oct: ReutersCarbonPulse: Stian Reklev: ETS proponent axed in Japan Cabinet reshuffle
    Prime Minister Shinzo Abe on Wednesday appointed former TV broadcaster Tamayo Marukawa as Japan’s new environment minister, sacking former minister Yoshio Mochizuki only a week after he said Japan might consider setting up an emissions trading scheme.
    Abe shifted 10 of his ministers in a move observers said was designed to breathe life back into the national economy…
    She has no background or experience in energy and environment issues, and over the past eight years she has primarily dealt with social and labour policies.
    “To be honest, I have no idea about her take on climate change and don’t know why she was appointed to the position. I never heard of her in the context of climate policies,” one observer who wished to remain anonymous told Carbon Pulse.
    She takes over from Yoshio Mochizuki, who over the past few months has made headlines with his opposition to plans to build new coal-fired power plants.
    Last week he raised eyebrows when he said emissions trading was a “cost-effective measure that will certainly lead to emission reductions”…
    Such a move would certainly be opposed both within the Cabinet as well as by powerful industry groups, and with Mochizuki’s removal the issue is less likely to reappear anytime soon.

  66. 8 Oct: CBS: AP: California wants renewable energy for half its power by 2030
    Brown tried for an even stronger measure that also would have enforced a 50 percent drop in petroleum use by 2030, but was defeated by oil interests. He called that a short-term setback, and insisted that the world needs to wean itself off fossil fuels as quickly as possible.
    “What has been the source of our prosperity now becomes the source of our ultimate destruction, if we don’t get off it. And that is so difficult,” Brown said at a signing ceremony Wednesday at the hilltop Griffith Observatory, overlooking the haze of downtown Los Angeles…
    “It’s monumental,” said Alex Jackson, an attorney with the Natural Resources Defense Council. “For an economy the size of California to commit to getting half of its power needs from renewable energy resources, I think, is a game-changer.”
    Few question whether the new goal of 50 percent is achievable by 2030, but critics worry that the complex regulations needed to speed the transition from fossil fuels will add unknown costs for consumers and businesses…
    Just how California will meet the new goal isn’t clear…READ ALL

  67. 8 Oct: Climate Change News: Ed King: South East Asia coal use to triple – IEA
    Fossil fuel use in South East Asia could spike 80% by 2040 despite nascent plans to roll out wind, solar and hydro projects in the region, the International Energy Agency has warned.
    Without more policies to encourage energy efficiency and renewables, coal use could triple between 2011 and 2035, accounting for around 30% of global growth.
    Nearly a quarter of the region’s 600 million citizens still lack regular access to electricity, leading the IEA to predict “considerable further growth in demand” for power.
    The share of renewables in the energy mix could also fall as people move to cities and start using grid electricity instead of biomass for cooking and heating.
    Energy related CO2 emissions from the region, which includes Malaysia, Thailand, Cambodia, Myanmar, the Philippines and Indonesia, could double, hitting 2.3 gigatonnes by 2035…

  68. something beautiful in the atmosphere to contemplate:

    8 Oct: Courier Mail: Aurora australis lights up the nights over Tasmania
    Photographer Rob Warren has been out and about taking time-lapse video and photos from Seven Mile Beach of the vivid colours across the night sky.

    8 Oct: Daily Mail: Will Northern Lights hunters get the green light for more gorgeous photographs tonight? Forecasters reveal where the aurora will be brightest

  69. “With the sheer billions of dollars being thrown at the non-problem of global warming, it was always certain that large-scale financial fraud was occurring. What has prevented its exposure for years is the twin evils; it’s being done under the virtuous and therefore unquestionable green cover of saving the planet and the mainstream media that should be investigating it, is a toothless and timorous dog once it comes to anything to do with the environment.”


  70. California is divesting itself of coal.

    I’ll believe it when they stop using coal generated electric power. Coal generates about 50% of US power (don’t know the latest figure). Cut your power usage by 50% and I might take you seriously.

  71. 10-9-15 news brief from American Society of Civil Engineers links to this October 7 National Geographic article on 4 hidden causes of dam failure. Perfect example of never let a crisis go to waste. While most of the article is sensible, it references the need for better weather/climate modeling for prediction purposes – and then references the recent event in South Carolina a a “1,000-year event.”

    “The engineering community is working on this problem, but right now we don’t have good models that tell us how much to adjust our plans based on changing climate,” says France.

    “Designing for so-called 100-year or 500-year floods has been an imperfect process, France notes, in part because our understanding of weather and climate is always improving. “Historic trends haven’t always been the best predictors of what’s possible in the future,” France says. (This week’s South Carolina storm has qualified as a 1,000-year event in some areas, meaning in a given year there is a 1 in 1,000 chance of getting this much rainfall.)”

  72. This just in from ASCE Government Relations eNewsletter:
    “Breaking: Appeals Court Halts WOTUS Rule Nationwide
    “Friday morning a federal appeals court halted a high-profile Obama administration rule defining the scope of the Clean Water Act, marking the latest legal blow to the controversial rule. Judges on the 6th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals in Cincinnati issued an order granting states’ request to stay the Waters of the U.S. rule while the court considers its legality. The order comes in response to challenges by 18 states to the Waters of the U.S. rule from U.S. EPA and the Army Corps of Engineers and puts the rule on hold pending legal review.”
    Link to ruling:

  73. NPR’s Ombudsman has issued a response to criticism that its climate coverage is unaffected by the fact that Michael Oreskes (brother of climate activist Naomi Oreskes) is a Senior Vice-President of News and Editorial Director at NPR.

    No one will be surprised that NPR’s Ombudsman predictably opines that there is no conflict-of-interest.

  74. 9 Oct: Breitbart: Simon Kent: Green Reverse: Denmark Abandons Climate Change Targets, Scraps Electric Car Subsidies
    In an unforeseen attack of common sense, the government is readying to end its generous tax breaks for citizens who buy low-carbon vehicles because of the expense imposed on the public purse…

    best excerpt from the Bloomberg piece posted above by Taphonomic –

    ” Denmark’s move marks its latest shift away from measures that had once put the Scandinavian country at the forefront of innovative policies designed to promote renewable energy. The three-month old government has already said it is abandoning ambitious CO2 emissions targets and dropping plans to become fossil-fuel free by 2050. That policy shift was revealed on Sept. 2, the same day U.S. President Barack Obama made a global appeal for urgent action to fight climate change.”

  75. lol:

    9 Oct: UK Sun: It’s Octobrrrrrrr
    Blizzard to blitz Britain before end of month
    SHIVERING Brits could be facing SNOW in under a fortnight as forecasters predict an October blizzard for only the third time in 70 years…

    9 Oct: UK Express: Nathan Rao: FOUR MONTHS OF HEAVY SNOW: Shock UK long-range weather forecast for THIS winter
    BRITAIN should prepare for the worst winter in half-a-century with advanced weather models now predicting MONTHS of heavy snowfall, forecasters warned tonight.
    If the cycle continues it will open the gates to the fury of a fully-blown Arctic blast rivalling the record winters of 1962/63 and 1946/47…
    Forecasters are now warning people to prepare for the worst this year with experts fearing thousands could die from the cold…
    James Madden, forecaster for Exacta Weather, said the first flakes of snow could arrive in just three weeks.
    He said: “It is likely to turn significantly colder from mid October onwards…

  76. why is this getting October coverage?

    8 Oct: Eureka Alert: Mysterious disease may be tied to climate change, says CU Anschutz researcher
    The kidney ailment has killed 20,000 since 2002
    University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus
    “This could be the first epidemic directly caused by global warming,” said Johnson, professor of medicine at the University of Colorado School of Medicine and a world-renowned expert on the underlying causes of obesity, kidney disease, diabetes and hypertension…
    Theories abound about what may be causing it, including exposure to heavy metals, pesticides and other toxic chemicals. But Johnson believes the actual culprit is chronic recurrent dehydration…
    The study suggests that this epidemic may be gaining momentum now because global warming is increasing the risk of dehydration…
    The study was published in the latest edition of the American Journal of Kidney Diseases. Its co-authors include Carlos Roncal-Jiminez, PhD, Miguel Lanaspa, PhD and Tamara Harra, BS, all from the University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus.

    when it was covered below in August!

    28 Aug 2015: Confectionary News: Sugarcane conditions kill: The deadly epidemic confectioners and soft drink makers ‘can’t walk away from’
    Solidaradad and La Isla Foundation initiated research that was conducted by an international cientific consortium. It found climate change and mono-cropping had made kidney disease a graver problem…
    The study was published in the latest edition of the American Journal of Kidney Diseases (Elsevier). Its co-authors include Carlos Roncal-Jiminez, PhD, Miguel Lanaspa, PhD and Tamara Harra, BS, all from the University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus…

  77. Colorado has it 8 Oct:

    8 Oct: University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus: Mysterious disease may be tied to climate change, researcher says

    previous day, a partly-World Bank-funded study had this:

    7 Oct: Clues Found in Nicaraguan Sugar Cane Worker Kidney Disease Epidemic
    New York, NY – The epidemic of kidney disease among young Central American agricultural workers may be the result heat stress and volume depletion, according to new research published today in the National Kidney Foundation’s American Journal of Kidney Diseases…
    “It’s a public health emergency, but we still don’t fully understand why this is happening,” said Rebecca Laws, PhD, a Postdoctoral Associate at Boston University School of Public Health and lead author on the study…
    “These individuals have the most physically strenuous jobs in a high-heat setting,” said Dr. Laws …
    “At this point we don’t know for certain that heat stress and volume depletion are causal, but we can say that electrolyte supplementation appears to reduce risks of kidney damage in occupations that expose workers to heat stress and volume depletion,” said Dr. Laws…
    The authors note there are some limitations to this study, as they didn’t directly measure heat or exposure to chemicals…
    This research was partially funded by the Comité Nacional de Productores de Azúcar (CNPA) and the World Bank. Funders did not have the opportunity to review or influence the content of the paper prior to publication…

  78. the elephant in the room!

    10 Oct: Economist: Catching up with China
    The prime minister wants India to grow as fast over the next 20 years as China has over the past 20. Does that mean Chinese levels of pollution?
    EVERY so often a country comes along whose economic transformation has a vast impact on the world’s climate system. For the past generation that country has been China. Next it will be India.
    At 1.6 tonnes of carbon per person each year, they are roughly the same as China’s per-head emissions in 1980, when that country dived into economic reforms. Now India’s prime minister, Narendra Modi, wants to emulate China’s sizzling growth. He has set India a target of expanding GDP by 8% a year. If it comes close to meeting that target, emissions will soar, just as China’s have done. Today, Chinese emissions per head are four times those in India.
    Government planners think that, with economic growth of 8-9%, India’s total emissions of carbon dioxide would more than triple by 2030, from 1.7 billion tonnes in 2010 to 5.3 billion tonnes. Per-head emissions would increase to 3.6 tonnes. And that assumes a fair amount of energy savings. If India were to use the same amount of energy per unit of GDP in 2030 as it does now, then emissions would top 6 billion tonnes by 2030. India is on the way to becoming the biggest contributor to increases in greenhouse gases within 15 years…
    As always, India will go its own sweet way. But it could do more to make that way greener.

  79. 8 Oct: Reuters: CORRECTED-France urged to end coal projects in Turkey
    Environmental lobby groups on Wednesday urged French President Francois Hollande to force state-owned utility Engie to stop investing in coal projects in Turkey.
    Engie, in partnership with the Turkish company Mimag-Sanko, plans to build the Ada Yumurtalik 1,320-megawatt coal plant in the south of Turkey.
    Around 35 environmental groups, including WWF France, Greenpeace Turkey and Climate Action Network Europe, said the project threatens citrus fruit production in the area and new coal plants put the livelihoods of 500,000 people at risk…
    Turkey plans to double its coal power capacity over the next four years to help it meet rising energy demand as its economy expands.
    The French state owns 33 percent of Engie and around 84 percent of utility EDF. Both companies are among the sponsors of United Nations climate talks which will be held in Paris from Nov. 30 to Dec. 11…
    Mining company and commodities trader Glencore Plc on Wednesday called on delegates meeting for the global climate summit to adopt a policy that recognises coal as an important energy source,

  80. 9 Oct: Science Mag: Editorial: James L. Turk: A chance to get science right
    (James L. Turk is Distinguished Visiting Professor at Ryerson University, Toronto, Canada; director of the Centre for Free Expression at Ryerson University; and the former executive director of the Canadian Association of University Teachers.)
    The upcoming Canadian election later this month will provide a welcome opportunity to reboot the federal government’s controversial approach to science policy and research. The current Conservative government has been undermining science for the past 9 years, damaging the institutions that make scientific advancement possible and trying to ensure that political and ideological priorities dominate scientific work…
    Beyond the funding agencies, there is a good deal of politically motivated defunding. The federal government’s hostility to climate science ended support for the Canadian Foundation for Climate and Atmospheric Sciences and for the Experimental Lakes Area, the world’s only living natural laboratory for freshwater research…
    Canada needs to reverse this damage to its scientific enterprise. An immediate priority should be establishing a prominent role for science in government by creating a parliamentary science officer and a parliamentary research and science advisory council composed of top scientists that report directly to Parliament. Hopefully, the widespread and visible public concern about the fall of science will lead whichever party is elected on 19 October to move in a very different direction. It will take concerted action to make this happen.

  81. Linda Moulton Howe has an article up on her site titled, “What Has Killed Nearly A Quarter Million Saiga
    Antelopes Since May 2015 in Central Kazakhstan?” It’s at She writes:

    Royal Veterinary College Professor Richard Kock, who has been at the center of the Saiga die-off investigation, wonders if two strains of bacteria found in the dead antelopes were impacted by warmer temperatures that might have changed the bacterias’ toxicity. Dr. Kock emphasized that at least 120,000 adults and calves all died together rapidly in May. He says that number is probably low to the actual total. In another Khazakhstan region 60,000 more all died within four days during the first week of September, a 100% morbidity that he thinks might be unique in the history of ruminant animals.
    Saiga are on the World Wildlife Fund’s critically endangered species list. Professor Kock is concerned that in a warming world bacterial toxicities might keep changing unexpectedly, challenging not only the Saiga, but other Earth life including humans.

    She was on Coast to Coast AM radio a few weeks ago making much of this. (She’s a hyper-warmist.) It seems unlikely to me that AGW has much to do with this. An article on this topic here would be desirable.

  82. the most widely-covered report on this topic:

    10 Oct: Sky News: AFP: Banks pledge $15bn in climate funds
    Development banks including the World Bank have pledged an additional $US15 billion ($A20.66 billion) a year by 2020 to fight climate change.
    Just two months before key UN climate talks in Paris, world leaders are scrambling to reach the magic number of $US100 billion in funding to help vulnerable nations cope with the impact of global warming…
    The World Bank announced on Friday it would increase climate financing from 21 per cent of its total funding to 28 per cent in 2020.
    In dollar terms, that would be an increase from an average of $US10.3 billion a year now to $US16 billion a year in 2020, at current funding levels.
    ‘We are committed to scaling up our support for developing countries to battle climate change,’ World Bank president Jim Yong Kim said in a statement.
    ***’As we move closer to Paris, countries have identified trillions of dollars of climate-related needs. The Bank, with the support of our members, will respond ambitiously to this great challenge.’ …
    ***French finance ministry officials said other development banks including the European Investment Bank, Asian Development Bank and Inter-American Development Bank had made similar pledges for a total of $US15 billion in new funds.–15bn-in-climate-funds.html

    ***that final excerpt kind of gives a false impression that the other banks are each pledging $15 bn, tho it does at least state that figure is the combined total.

    Guardian completely spins it, without even explaining how they get the headline figure of $29 billion. however, the important bits are excerpted:

    10 Oct: Guardian: World Bank pledges extra $29bn to poorer nations for climate change fight
    Jim Yong Kim, president of the World Bank Group, said it could boost funding by a third in response to client demand
    by Dan Collyns in Lima
    ***But Oxfam estimates only $2 billion of the total is going to the countries hardest hit by extreme weather caused by climate change, in the form of adaptation grants.
    The charity’s climate change policy expert Isabel Kreisler said finance ministers should agree at least half of “public funding going towards the $100bn goal should be for adaptation”.
    ***Most of the money is going to green energy investments such as climate-smart transport solutions, renewable energy and enhanced water security…

  83. note how Guardian could use the $29 billion figure, as meaningless as it is here, in the World Bank’s own words!

    9 Oct: World Bank: World Bank Group Pledges One-Third Increase in Climate Financing
    The World Bank Group today announced it will increase climate financing to potentially $29 billion annually with the support of its members…
    The World Bank Group now provides an average of $10.3 billion a year in direct financing for climate action. If current financing levels were maintained, this would mean an increase to $16 billion in 2020.
    In addition, the Bank Group plans to continue current levels of leveraging co-financing for climate-related projects; at current financing levels, that could mean up to another $13 billion a year in 2020. The direct financing and leveraged co-financing together represent an estimated $29 billion…
    The World Bank Group’s climate finance pledge is dependent on client demand and on maintaining current financial capacity…

    10 Oct:TimesLiveSouthAfrica: AFP: Fabien Zamora: Africa being left out of climate aid: development bank
    The head of the African Development Bank says the continent is not getting enough of the billions of dollars in climate change funding, despite being the region that suffers most…
    “Africa today contributes just two percent of all greenhouse gas emissions, but Africa is the one that suffers most from the impact of climate change,” Adesina told AFP on the sidelines of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank annual meetings in Lima, Peru…
    The problem, he said, is the way climate funding is allocated.
    The money, ***both loans and grants, goes to fund two kinds of projects: mitigation and adaptation…
    “What Africa needs is funds for adapting. We have hundred of millions of people who have no way of adapting to climate change,” said Adesina.
    “But unfortunately, on climate finance, today in the world… ***76 percent of financing is dedicated to mitigation.
    “This is an imbalance that needs to be addressed.”…
    But most climate funding “tends to favor Asian countries like India and China,” said Adesina…

  84. 11 Oct: UK Telegraph: Christopher Booker: Judges plan to outlaw climate change ‘denial’
    A semi-secret, international conference of top judges proposed to make illegal any opinion that contradicted climate change
    We might think that a semi-secret, international conference of top judges, held in the highest courtroom in Britain, to propose that it should be made illegal for anyone to question the scientific evidence for man-made global warming, was odd enough to be worthy of front-page coverage…
    But only a series of startling posts by a sharp-eyed Canadian blogger, Donna Laframboise (on Nofrakkingconsensus), have alerted us to what a bizarre event this judicial gathering turned out to be (the organisers even refused to give her the names of those who attended)…
    The fact that it could be seriously proposed in the highest courtroom in the land that the law should now be used to suppress any further debate on what has become one of the most contentious issues in the history of science (greeted with applause from the distinguished legal audience) speaks volumes about the curious psychological state to which the great global warming scare has reduced so many of the prominent figures who today exercise power and influence over the life of our Western societies…

  85. the capital “T” Truth!

    10 Oct: NYT: The Editorial Board: Teaching the Truth about Climate Change
    Misinformation about climate change is distressingly common in the United States — a 2014 Yale study found that 35 percent of Americans believe that global warming is caused mostly by natural phenomena rather than human activity, and 34 percent think there is a lot of disagreement among scientists about whether global warming is even happening. (In fact, an overwhelming majority of scientists agree that climate change is here and that it is caused by humans.) One way to stop the spread of this misinformation is to teach children about climate change.
    The Next Generation Science Standards offer one guide for doing so.
    Developed by a committee of scientists and education experts and honed by teams in 26 states before their release in 2013, the standards set forth a variety of scientific practices and concepts for students from kindergarten through 12th grade to master…
    Children today stand to inherit a climate severely changed by the actions of previous generations. They need to understand how those changes came about, how to mitigate them and how to prevent more damage to the planet. Schools can start by adopting science standards that deal extensively with human-caused climate change and that accurately reflect the scientific consensus.

  86. *** Albedo regulation of Ice Ages, with no CO2 feedbacks ***

    My analysis of Ice Age initiation and propagation is now up on the Warwick Hughes site. A slightly improved version is now ready if you would like to post this article (mainly typo corrections).

    I have been trying to debate this idea on various Warmist sites, to see whether the idea was novel and had merit. But all they did is make some simple excuses, that I easily countered, and then deleted me from their sites. So I am none the wiser as to whether this is of merit or not. All I know is that:

    a. Warmists don’t appear to have considered this theory before.
    b. They cannot easily refute it.
    c. They get very upset by it.


  87. This just in – Front-page Sunday Los Angeles Times article on Arctic warming:
    “What Exxon knew about warming in the Arctic”
    The print article is dated October 11, but is the same as the on-line article dated October 9 at the link. The article reads like an expanded version of one that came out on September 18 by Bill McKibben in the New Yorker. Link here:
    “What Exxon Knew About Climate Change”

    For first-hand look at what the North Pole is doing, look up any of the articles about US Coast Guard Cutter Healy reaching the North Pole on September 7. For example:

  88. 2 pages: 11 Oct: UK Register: Andrew Orlowski: Top boffin Freeman Dyson on climate change, interstellar travel, fusion, and more
    When physics gurus speak, they speak to El Reg
    What has happened in the past 10 years is that the discrepancies between what’s observed and what’s predicted have become much stronger. It’s clear now the models are wrong, but it wasn’t so clear 10 years ago. I can’t say if they’ll always be wrong, but the observations are improving and so the models are becoming more verifiable…
    It’s very sad that in this country political opinion parted. I’m 100 per cent Democrat myself, and I like Obama. But he took the wrong side on this issue, and the Republicans took the right side…READ ALL

  89. Yale-educated, ex-NYT journo, now with New Yorker, thinks FEAR is the answer:

    10 Oct: Irish Times: Lisa Marlowe: Is Paris treaty all that stands between us and mass extinction?
    Author Elizabeth Kolbert says fear, not morality, could impel people to act
    We are now rushing headlong into a sixth mass extinction, but this time the culprit is man, Elizabeth Kolbert writes in her best-selling book, The Sixth Extinction; An Unnatural History, which won a Pulitzer Prize last April.
    ***Kolbert travelled the world, from the Americas to the Great Barrier Reef to Europe, to document vanishing frogs, bats, rhinoceroses, coral…
    Kolbert’s book explains the “dark synergy” between climate change, the acidification of the oceans and “fragmentation” – the fact that “Tundra is crisscrossed by pipelines . . . Ranches and plantations and hydroelectric projects slice through the rainforest”…
    “So far,” Kolbert said, “there is not a clearly documented case of a species driven to extinction by climate change.” But global warming is pushing temperatures to extremes not seen for hundreds of millions of years. Life forms may not be able to adapt. “All the scientific literature predicts that climate change will become a major driver of extinction over this century.”
    Humans are already fleeing the results of climate change, especially in Africa. “The refugee crisis in Europe should be a wake-up call,” Kolbert said. “It’s a vision of what’s to come in a world where life is going to get harder and harder.”…

  90. here’s a Poll you can bank on!! Reuters’ analyst is first off the rank, while Bloomberg comes in as #3:

    9 Oct: ReutersCarbonPulse: Mike Szabo: POLL: Analysts raise EU carbon price estimates, big jump for 2018-2020
    Analysts have increased their estimates for EU carbon prices, modestly raising their forecasts for end-2015 and 2016 compared to the last Carbon Pulse poll while boosting, on average, their expectations for EUAs by at least 9% for the final four years of Phase 3 (2013-2020).
    Front-year EU Allowance futures will end 2015 at €8.60, according to the mean estimate of 11 forecasts submitted by analysts…
    From 2017 onward, most of the analysts were more bullish compared to three months ago…
    The analysts raised their longer-term forecasts by even larger margins; They predicted prices would end 2018 at €13.35 (up 17.1% from the previous forecast), end 2019 at €15.95 (up 24.6%), and end 2020 at €19.05 (up 13.1%)…
    Below are selected comments from the analysts supporting their latest price forecasts:
    #1) Marcus Ferdinand, Thomson Reuters Point Carbon: “We think that increased confidence in the stability of the regulatory set-up will continue to be an underlying supportive factor for EUA prices going forward, and that the role of policy events as major factor for short-term price volatility will significantly decrease.”
    “We expect the market to be stronger influenced by non-political fundamental factors. Towards the end of 2015, we expect EUA prices to be driven by a favourable clean dark spread and utility hedging demand … (And) while the persistent bearishness in the wider energy complex could spill over to carbon on a temporary basis, we think that lower coal prices could actually help the clean dark spread to remain at favourable levels, hence supporting coal burn and corresponding EUA hedging demand.”…
    #3 Jonas Rooze, BNEF (Bloomberg New Energy Finance): “We expect the need for abatement in the form of fuel-switching to drive prices up to €30 by 2020, though dropping gas prices present downside risk to this forecast.”…

  91. After all these years, Alex Bellini is still at it but not really doing anything. WUWT readers will recall that many years ago Alex claimed he was going to put out to sea on an iceberg and remain there until it melted. The idea seems more profitable than the deed which is an endemic fact of life in climate science so it comes as no surprise that Alex is still going to do this – just as soon as he gets a round toit, I suppose.



    Which makes me think of this spoof video:

  92. they’ve thrown in the towel.
    read both. love the correction at the top of the second piece:

    12 Oct: Reuters: Alister Doyle: Enforcing a global climate deal: speak loudly, carry no stick
    Negotiators have several terms for the way they plan to enforce any deal reached at global climate talks in Paris this December. “Peer pressure” and “cooperation” are a couple. “Race to the top” is the American buzzword.
    What you won’t hear mentioned is the word “sanctions”. Or “punishment”.
    For all their efforts to get 200 governments to commit to the toughest possible cuts in greenhouse gas emissions, climate negotiators have all but given up on creating a way to penalize those who fall short.
    The overwhelming view of member states, says Christiana Figueres, head of the U.N. Climate Change Secretariat, is that any agreement “has to be much more collaborative than punitive”, if it is to happen at all.
    “Even if you do have a punitive system, that doesn’t guarantee that it is going to be imposed or would lead to any better action,” Figueres said…

    12 Oct: Reuters: Alister Doyle: Laws help enforce some environmental treaties – but not on climate
    ***(This version of the story corrects paragraph five to say “only recently has the science become good enough” from “the science is not good enough”.)…

    • Check out the area on Google maps and you’ll see what appears to be an oil terminal a couple of miles down the coast connected by road to the rest of the state. Sorry to sound unsympathetic, but if people choose to live on a sand bar when there’s a perfectly good place to live just a few miles away, then that’s their fault. If it was in the UK they would never have obtained planning permission to build there in the first place!

  93. —–Original Message—–

    To: global-warming-realists
    Sent: Mon, Oct 12, 2015 11:28 am
    Subject: [GWR] Noted climate scientist, once a pessimist, now sees reason for hope

    How does this guy get called a climate scientist?
    Google him. Find a bio.
    While his wiki page and bio strangely do not mention his education he is clearly NOT a climate scientist.

    This glorified activist is thoroughly wrong but if he is as climate scientist where is his bio citing his formal education?

    Comment there too………….

    Noted climate scientist, once a pessimist, now sees reason for hope

    Back in 2009 climate scientist Johan Rockstrom had only bad news to report. The Earth’s climate had already reached the tipping point, he declared. He believed that disaster loomed ahead, but he acknowledged that it wasn’t yet a sure thing.
    Climate change was one of nine “planetary boundaries” — ocean acidification, biodiversity loss, chemical pollution and deforestation were some of the others — that Rockstrom posited as markers for humanity’s long-term survival.
    “Our proposed boundaries are rough, first estimates only, surrounded by large uncertainties and knowledge gaps,” he and his team wrote six years ago.
    Now, with a few of those uncertainties now better known, Rockstrom is back with another prediction: We can still win.
    Rockstrom, a noted Stockholm University environmental-science professor and researcher, is buoyed by the large-scale development in recent years of wind and solar energy. Innovation has put these alternative sources of power on the fast track for mass deployment at reasonable cost, he says. He believes the Earth’s climate still can be rewound back from the its free-fall over the precipice, much as the banning of chlorofluorocarbons in 1987 allowed the planet’s ozone layer to repair itself.
    “We have a paradox unique to our era,” he told Britain’s Independent newspaper on Sunday. “On a scientific basis there is more reason to be nervous than ever before. But at the same time there has never before been so much reason for hope.”
    Pulitzer Prize-winning New York Times columnist Thomas L. Friedman, for one, listens when Rockstrom talks. In a recent column, he “highly” recommended Rockstrom and Mattias Klum’s book “Big World, Small Planet,” and insisted that “the next eight years will be critical for the world’s climate and ecosystems.”
    That’s the crux of Rockstrom’s new outlook: his optimism is based on the action he sees happening on the issue — and the hope that the momentum will lead to still greater action ahead.
    “The negatives remain,” Rockstrom told the Independent, referring to problems such as the collapsing ecosystem in the Arctic. He added: “It’s now or never towards tipping the world to a very costly, very devastating future, versus tipping ourselves towards a sustainable future.”
    — Douglas Perry

  94. cherry-picking?

    12 Oct: Daily Mail: Katherine Rushton: BBC ‘ignored public’s views on its future and instead used paid-for-study to represent the views of the population’
    Around 40,000 people responded to questionnaire from the BBC Trust
    Thought that governing body would pass their views onto Government
    Trust decided not to include survey results in official report on BBC future
    Those who took part said they were ‘outraged’ to have their views ignored
    The BBC Trust side-lined the views of the public from its official report on the future of the Corporation – despite lecturing everyone else that the public’s voice should be ‘heard loud and clear’.
    It also skewed the results of a survey, even after telling MPs that any decisions about the future of the broadcaster should be based on ‘evidence’ rather than any preconceptions…
    But instead of the 40,000 members of the public who filled in the questionnaire, the results are from a sample of around 2,900 people chosen by polling agency ICM.
    Last night, people who filled in the survey were outraged that they took the time and effort to set down their views, only to have them dismissed in the Trust’s official report.
    Caroline Levesque Bartlett, who runs a campaign to ban the licence fee, said: ‘I find it really irritating…we are allowed to share our view only once every ten years, and the BBC Trust rigs. What a sham.’ A BBC Trust source admitted that the results of the public questionnaire were not properly included in the official document, and hinted that it may have run out of time to do the analysis it wanted…

  95. 12 Oct: UK Telegraph: Lexi Finnigan: Britain faces longest winter in 50 years after earliest ever arrival of Siberian swan
    The arrival of winter, traditionally heralded by the migration of Siberian swans, has come early as 300 birds flock to Britain
    Temperatures are currently five to 10 degrees below average in parts of western Russia and eastern Europe and are expected to drop to the minus 30s…

    12 Oct: Otago Daily News, New Zealand: ‘Fantastic snow and a fantastic winter’
    ”We’ve just had so much snow – well over 3m, which is on par with the record,” is how Cardrona Alpine Resort general manager Bridget Legnavsky summed up the ski area’s 2015 season on closing day yesterday.
    ”Incredible amounts of snow and really cold – that’s what you need for a good ski season. And it’s not just Cardrona. All resorts have had a good season. It’s great for New Zealand. Fantastic snow and a fantastic winter gets more visitors here.”…

  96. 12 Oct: IceAgeNow: Climate skeptics are “assholes,” says French politician
    “Pour NKM, les climato-sceptiques sont des “connards.” Thus reads the headline in the Figaro, a French newspaper.
    On Monday evening, asked what she thought of climate skeptics, French politician Nathalie Kosciusko-Morizet (NKM) answered thusly:
    “In my mind it’s very clear. I’d say it’s assholes,” she blurted.
    “I would detail that a little bit,” she added. “When we say it’s going to improve tourism, it might be true if the temperature increased by two degrees. But that is not what climate change is. It multiplies “extreme weather events,” that is to say that where there is desert it’ll be even more dry, and where there are problems of a hurricane, it will there be still more,” she insisted.
    “You cannot link an extreme weather event to climate change, but we know that multiplication is linked…

    apparently NKM was referring to Verdier below:

    (google translation)
    7 Oct: Le Monde blog: Philippe Verdier , Mr. France Televisions weather, is it climatosceptique ?
    His voice is immediately recognizable . Philippe Verdier , Mr. France Televisions weather, no longer speaks of the rain and the weather, but the climate. No more reassuring on upcoming weather, the trailer of his book Climate Investigation, published on 1 October in the Ring Publishing, shows clearly conspiratorial tones…
    “We are hostages of a planetary global warming scandal, a war machine designed to keep us in fear. Basically, there are the scientists manipulated, politicized, corruption, sex scandals and policies that serve only their image and their thirst for power, blinded media revved and censor under pressure from their shareholders […] mercantile NGOs and religions in search of new creed. ”
    Ouch! We’ll have to buy anticomplotistes lightning rods …

  97. strange story! oddest thing is how BBC’s McGrath reports it:

    12 Oct: BBC: Matt McGrath: Alaska mulls extra oil drilling to cope with climate change
    Expanding the search for oil is necessary to pay for the damage caused by climate change, the Governor of Alaska has told the BBC.
    The state is suffering significant climate impacts from rising seas forcing the relocation of remote villages.
    Governor Bill Walker says that coping with these changes is hugely expensive…
    He wants to “urgently” drill in the protected lands of the Arctic National Wilderness Refuge to fund them…

  98. re BBC’s apology for Quentin Letts’ “What’s the point of the Met” program:

    12 Oct: Bishop Hill: Has the BBC banned all non-alarmist views?
    Peter Lilley has just issued the following press release.
    The BBC is undermining its reputation for impartiality by apologising for “giving a voice” to two MPs and by putting a ‘health warning’ on the BBC website casting doubt on their credibility – even though the accuracy of what they said is not disputed: says Peter Lilley MP in a letter to the Director General…
    The letter in full:…
    COMMENTS: Alex Cull:
    Here’s a transcript of BBC Radio 4′s Feedback, broadcast on 9th and 11th Oct (h/t Mikky):

    surprised the program is still available…but it does havea NOTE added:

    BBC: The Met Office
    This programme raises questions about the accuracy of previous long-term global warming forecasts by the Met Office and contains comment by MPs who are Trustees of the Global Warming Policy Foundation, which challenges government policies to mitigate anthropogenic global warming. We would like to clarify that the Met Office’s underlying views on climate change are supported by the scientific consensus.
    Quentin Letts begins a new series casting a critical but amicable eye across institutions at the heart of British life, asking the question ‘What’s the Point Of…?

    it is great fun, so listen while u can, if u haven’t already.


    “Elon Musk and Tesla Motors, masterful at mining state and federal tax incentives, may have lucked into a tax loophole. The company’s new $100,000-plus Model X electric SUV qualifies for a $25,000 federal tax deduction.

    That’s on top of a $7,500 federal tax credit and a $2,500 California rebate given to buyers of battery-electric vehicles.

    The right buyer, a small-business owner with a substantial federal tax exposure, could place an order for the new seven-seater and collect up to $35,000 in tax and government rebate benefits.”

  100. Now we should be afraid that climate change will take down the internet!
    Al Jazeera, Oct 12, 2015
    “Flooding the system: Climate change could knock the Internet offline
    With the next extreme weather event just a matter of time, networks remain vulnerable to unpredictable acts of God”
    “Large storms can cause a huge amount of damage, and sea level rise will only make them more dangerous. A rise of a few inches — as we’ve seen in recent decades — is very different than 4 or 5 feet, which is what the current best estimates are for sea level rise by 2100 if we don’t act on climate,” he said.

  101. Pentagon lights are being dimmed for October as part of Energy Action Month:
    Pentagon Lights Dimmed This Month Oct 09, 2015

    The Pentagon’s lights have been dimmed during the month of October “as part of federal efforts to conserve resources for Energy Action Month,” DoD News’ Lisa Ferdinando reported Oct. 7. Her article quoted John Conger, acting assistant secretary of defense for energy, installations and environment, as saying lighting levels in common areas throughout the mammoth building are dimmed to the level used on weekends, in order to reduce the building’s monthly utility bill of about $1.5 million and to motivate the 25,000 people working there to think about their energy use and ways to be more efficient.

    The dimming has been done in conjunction with President Obama’s Executive Order 13693: Planning for Federal Sustainability in the Next Decade, in which federal agencies are adopting more sustainable operations to reduce taxpayer energy costs. “We care about energy at our installations and in the field, because we need energy in order to do our jobs in order to protect the country,” Conger said. “However, one of the dynamics that feeds into that is we also need money to do all those things.

  102. read all:

    14 Oct: Business Standard India: Nitin Sethi: Paris Climate Change Agreement: First draft ignores India’s demands
    But Indian negotiators say many contentious propositions, which breach Indian red lines and run counter to the country’s formal submissions as part of either the LMDC group or the G77+China group, are reflected without brackets, suggesting consensus where it didn’t exist between countries. At the same time, many formal and key proposals from developing countries are missing…
    Countries are to gather at Bonn during October 19-23 to negotiate further on this draft before the final Paris round of talks begin on November 30 for two weeks. Even the bits in the text pointed to by the co-chairs as having consensus of all governments are open to debate and India, along with other countries, is expected to demand changes…
    To coordinate with the G77+China group, as well as the Like Minded Developing Countries, on the draft text for Paris agreement, Indian negotiators would reach Bonn three days ahead of the scheduled negotiations. “We shall talk to other partner countries of our concerns. The five days (of negotiations) could be difficult, unless demands of the 137 developing countries in the G77+China group are addressed,” said an Indian official, adding the the group was the largest block among the 196 countries party to the UNFCCC…

  103. Climate models used to explain formation of Mars valley networks………

    The extensive valley networks on the surface of Mars were probably created by running water billions of years ago, but the source of that water is unknown. Now, a team of Penn State and NASA researchers is using climate models to predict how greenhouse warming could be the source of the water.

  104. UN rules the world! LAGGARDS is the buzzword today.

    13 Oct: Climate Change News: Ed King: UN to quiz Saudi Arabia, Qatar over missing climate plans
    Countries who have not yet released climate plans ahead of December’s UN summit in Paris will be asked to explain why by the office of secretary general Ban Ki-moon…
    That leaves over 40 LAGGARDS holding out, a group including Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Iran, Iraq, Pakistan and Egypt…
    In a press conference at UN headquarters Janos Pasztor, Ban’s climate advisor, said his office had started to contact capitals that had not released an INDC.
    “We will find out what is the problem and what it will take to fix,” he said…
    UN agencies were already providing help to some governments in developing their proposals, he added…

    13 Oct: Climate Change News: Alex Pashley: 6 elections to watch before Paris climate summit
    A shift in public mood at the ballot box can boot out climate LAGGARDS or propel them to power. Here are six on the radar
    1. Canada – 19 October…etc
    2. Poland – 25 October…etc
    3. Argentina – 25 October…etc
    4. Turkey – 1 November…etc
    5. Myanmar – 8 November…etc
    6. Marshall Islands – 16 November
    Foreign minister Tony de Brum has used that as his bully pulpit to campaign for more robust climate action…
    The senator has labelled climate change migration “genocide”…
    But like any politician, he must win re-election to the Nitijela parliament in capital Majuro. Polling data is not readily available…
    But small islands states would lose a giant if de Brum did not win back his seat.

  105. 13 Oct: Reuters Carbon Pulse: Mike Szabo: “Perception is reality”: panellists debate price effects of EU’s MSR
    Below are arguments made by panellists on Tuesday at Bloomberg New Energy Finance’s The Future of Energy Summit in London:
    Benedikt von Butler, a carbon and biomass trader with Swiss trading house Mercuria:
    “Perception is reality … As an industrial, if everyone says prices will go up then I won’t sell now, and as an investor if everyone says prices will go up then I’ll buy now.”…
    Franzjosef Schafhausen – deputy director general, Climate Change Policy at the German Federal Ministry for the Environment:
    ***“There is discussion in Germany over whether emissions trading is enough. If it’s not, then we’ll have to think about an additional instrument … Additional command and control could happen … but energy suppliers are not so much in favour of more mechanisms.”

    13 Oct: Reuters Carbon Pulse: DIALOGUE: Is there a future for international carbon trading?
    Compiled by Ben Garside and Stian Reklev
    New Zealand, South Korea and Switzerland are the only Annex I nations to have made it clear in their INDCs they will contribute demand in an international market, in addition to a limited contribution from Japan through its Joint Crediting Mechanism. The major emitters – China, the EU and the United States – all ruled out using foreign offsets or permits to help meet their targets…
    We asked a number of experts and will post updates as they come in…

  106. 13 Oct: EDF for carbon price floor
    “Most firms today have carbon price scenarios for their investments, and so have we,” said Claude Nahon, EDF’s director of sustainable development.
    “But we must go further,” Nahon told a news conference.
    “Of course we support a proposal by (Energy Minister Segolene) Royal to create a carbon floor in France, or even Europe.”
    France is out to reduce its dependability on nuclear power in favour of renewables and last week Royal floated the idea, as part of an upcoming parliamentary bill, of a carbon floor price to offset imperfections in a European market vying to slash carbon emissions and push firms to adopt cleaner technology.
    In July, legislators passed a bill to increase the target price of carbon to 56 euros ($63.7) a ton from 2020, then ***100 euros a ton in 2030. The current 14.50 euros is due to rise next year to 22 euros.
    For Nahon, “we must at least get up to between 20 and 30 euros a ton … or even go a lot higher than that.”…
    By 2030, EDF says it wants to double its renewables footprint to 50 gigawatt hours from a current 28.
    Both EDF and French competitor Engie have both been criticised by NGOs for their involvement in coal-fired plants…

  107. UNbelievable. don’t miss a word:

    14 Oct: Quadrant, Australia: Tony Thomas: UNlimited Corruption
    The United Nations is dedicated to the notion that men and women of good will can do much to promote peace. Alas, something must have been garbled in translation, as the global body’s legions of grafters and grifters keep their focus on pocketing a piece of the action
    In Beijing,(Maurice) Strong was a regime favorite because his cousin, Anne Louise Strong, had lived with Mao Tse-tung for two years. Then-Premier Chou En-Lai displayed his respect by arranging her 1970 funeral. Maurice Strong is now 86 and has disappeared from view…


    ‘There’s scientific consensus on guns: And the NRA won’t like it ‘

    ‘After the Sandy Hook tragedy, reporters often called me to ask for information on firearms. They wanted to know whether strong gun laws reduced homicide rates (I said they did); and, conversely, whether permissive gun laws lowered crime rates overall (I said they did not). I discovered that in their news articles journalists would write that I said one thing while some other firearms researcher said the opposite. This “he said-she said” reporting annoyed me — because I knew that the scientific evidence was on my side.’

    The ‘scientific evidence’: So that is the new meme…

  109. “Although temperature is a familiar concept to all of us, remarkably it can only be measured accurately at a handful of locations around the globe,” says project leader, Professor Andre Luiten, Director of the University of Adelaide’s Institute for Photonics and Advanced Sensing (IPAS), where the experiments were conducted.

    I wonder if that is part of the consensus???

  110. more on the NYC climate museum…check the “concept sketch”!

    16 May: New Yorker: Carolyn Kormann: The Museum of Unnatural History
    PIC: A concept sketch for New York’s proposed climate-change museum, by the Danish-Icelandic artist Olafur Eliasson.
    At ten o’clock, just as the museum’s doors were opening, a lawyer named Miranda Massie arrived. The Cooper Hewitt is the seventh Manhattan museum that she has visited this year. She’s looking for ideas for her own museum—a museum devoted to climate change. Massie is thinking big, and thinking long-term, as in centuries…
    Massie conceived of the project in 2012, a few weeks after Hurricane Sandy…
    “If we don’t solve the climate crisis, there’s a sense in which the social-justice issues that have animated me are moot,” she said. “I realized that Rome is being sacked by barbarians, and I’m not in Rome.” Massie quit her job as general counsel for New York Lawyers for the Public Interest, assembled a team of advisers, enlisted a small army of pro-bono lawyers, and, in 2014, founded the Climate Museum Launch Project…
    “It can be a very depressing subject,” Dominique Browning, another C.M.L.P. board member and the founder of Moms Clean Air Force, a nationwide environmental group, told me. “The museum could move the conversation from polar bears to people. It’ll be a museum of unnatural history.”…
    But first they need a space, not to mention hundreds of millions of dollars. Massie has already started fund-raising, and she is leaning toward hiring a star architect…

    u can link to ***FJC from the following:

    Climate Museum: Our Team Members
    Advisory Board includes:
    Edward Maibach, Director of the George Mason University Center for Climate Change Communication
    Our fiscal sponsor:

  111. 14 Oct: Reuters Carbon Pulse: London police seize £2.4 mln from jailed carbon scam gang
    The pair, along with an accomplice, Griston’s partner, and Noad’s father – a former banker at Coutts, the Queen’s bank – were jailed for a combined 18 years and nine months for fraud and money laundering offences, with Noad’s mother sentenced to a two-year custodial sentence suspended for two years.
    Awaiting trial for running a land investment scam over which they were arrested in 2010, and with their passports seized and bank accounts frozen, the two men set up Capital Carbon Credits while on bail, the police said, and targeted some of the investors they had previously defrauded.
    They were arrested again in Sep. 2012.
    The gang’s victims included a World War II veteran and a survivor of the Thalidomide drug, who invested his compensation settlement worth hundreds of thousands of pounds…
    The six spent the cash on multi-million pound mansions, luxury cars, expensive jewellery and lavish holidays before they were convicted…

    14 Oct: FinancialTimesAdviser: Emma Ann Hughes: Police seize £2.4m from land and carbon credit fraudsters
    Several million pounds are to be confiscated from six criminals, five of whom are currently jailed, who profited from scams that saw hundreds of elderly investors sold worthless plots of land and valueless carbon credits…
    Matthew Noad, 32, Clive Griston, 54, Harry Neal, 31, Kerry Golesworthy, 50, Linda Noad, 59, and Roger Noad, 62, must repay £2.37m to the scams’ victims or face more time behind bars…
    Many of their victims, in both the land banking and carbon credit frauds, were well into retirement with no prospect of ever being able to recoup the money they had lost…
    An 87-year-old retired teacher, living alone, invested £87,000 with Capital Carbon Credits, telling how she was continually pressurised over the phone into handing over more and more of her savings until there was none left to give…

  112. 14 Oct: ClimateChangeNews: Ed King: BP, Shell, Rio Tinto offer support to Paris climate deal
    Fourteen multinationals including oil majors Shell and BP have signed up to a statement backing a “sensible and effective” global climate agreement…
    A proposed UN deal – set for sign-off in December – should ensure “require periodic renewal of national contributions to progressively strengthen the global effort” and support international carbon markets…
    Other signatories include miners BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto, IT giants HP and Intel, metals trader Alcoa and Siemens, a major clean energy investor…
    The companies – which employ over 1.5 million and have revenues above $1 trillion – say they will mobilise the technology and investment needed to move towards a low carbon economy.
    But they are vague on how strong greenhouse gas slashing targets should be in the near term…
    “These are companies with real skin in the game – either they’re large emitters or their products are,” said Bob Perciasepe, head of the Washington DC-based C2ES think tank that coordinated the statement…

    14 Oct: ClimateChangeNews: Alex Pashley: Ten banks launch sustainable finance manifesto
    Lenders including Societe Generale, Yes Bank and ING back ‘positive impact principles’ to scale up clean energy investments.
    The “Positive Impact Manifesto” (LINK) signed by the likes of French lender Societe Generale, Africa’s Standard Bank and Australian fund Westpac seeks to reverse that…
    “Banks are uniquely positioned between the real economy and capital markets,” said UN environment chief Achim Steiner in a statement…
    For Christopher Bray of UK lender Barclays, the approach held a “lot of promise in terms of new business opportunities”…

  113. The Royal Society: Philosophical Transactions: Uncertainty as knowledge
    Authors: Stephan Lewandowsky, Timothy Ballard, Richard D. Pancost
    Published 12 October 2015. DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2014.0462
    Abstract: This issue of Philosophical Transactions examines the relationship between scientific uncertainty about climate change and knowledge. Uncertainty is an inherent feature of the climate system. Considerable effort has therefore been devoted to understanding how to effectively respond to a changing, yet uncertain climate. Politicians and the public often appeal to uncertainty as an argument to delay mitigative action. We argue that the appropriate response to uncertainty is exactly the opposite: uncertainty provides an impetus to be concerned about climate change, because greater uncertainty increases the risks associated with climate change. We therefore suggest that uncertainty can be a source of actionable knowledge. We survey the papers in this issue, which address the relationship between uncertainty and knowledge from physical, economic and social perspectives. We also summarize the pervasive psychological effects of uncertainty, some of which may militate against a meaningful response to climate change, and we provide pointers to how those difficulties may be ameliorated.

  114. yet another “extraterrestrial” story for the MSM to spin!

    13 Oct: The Atlantic: Ross Anderson: The Most Mysterious Star in Our Galaxy
    Astronomers have spotted a strange mess of objects whirling around a distant star. Scientists who search for extraterrestrial civilizations are scrambling to get a closer look.
    “We’d never seen anything like this star,” says Tabetha Boyajian, a postdoc at Yale. “It was really weird. We thought it might be bad data or movement on the spacecraft, but everything checked out.”…
    Boyajian, the Yale Postdoc who oversees Planet Hunters, recently published a paper describing the star’s bizarre light pattern. Several of the citizen scientists are named as co-authors…
    Jason Wright, an astronomer from Penn State University, is set to publish an alternative interpretation of the light pattern…
    “When [Boyajian] showed me the data, I was fascinated by how crazy it looked,” Wright told me. “Aliens should always be the very last hypothesis you consider, but this looked like something you would expect an alien civilization to build.”
    Boyajian is now working with Wright and Andrew Siemion, the Director of the SETI Research Center at the University of California, Berkeley…

    14 Oct: UK Independent: Lee Williams: Astronomers may have found giant alien ‘megastructures’ orbiting star near the Milky Way
    A star identified by the Kepler Space Telescope may harbour structures which could point to an adanced technological civilisation

  115. New Australian collaborative study shows that as sea level rises, some mangroves will not adapt and be flooded out.
    This is the result of less silt run off which may be ameliorated by building fewer dams.
    Not sure why one could not build dams and let the flood gates vent water from the bottom of the dam to control silting of the dam sending it to the mangroves.
    There is no alarming focus on climate change or CAGW in the Abstract.

  116. Dear All,

    The question of why the models run hot is a good one. Could ’rounding’ be part of the problem? If numbers are divided and integrated enough times, then rounding error accumulates to become significant. Those supercomputers do a huge number of iterations per second, so it would not take too long for errors to creep in to cause a bias. I for one would like to hear about the precautions taken from the CPU-level upwards. But, is the ’rounding’ problem inherent in digital computing? An achilles heel? A natural limit on what can be computed?

    Could any one comment?

    PS; same goes for those CO2 measurements. As I understand it, the measuring instrument depends on an A to D converter, so we are looking at quite a low resolution integer number to start with, then the base readings must include rounding errors, non-linearities and so on.If the subsequent processing involves differentiation and integration, it would not take too many iterations for these errors to cause a bias.

  117. Here we go again. I guess they figure everyone forgets all the previous exaggerated projections that haven’t come close to panning out up to this point. Seriously crazy, unsupported(except by models) stuff here, even if nothing new, really. But “the entire US coast”!?

    Rising sea levels threaten Miami and other coastal cities
    Oct 15th 2015 5:00AM

    We might be saying goodbye to Miami, New Orleans and basically the entire U.S. coast, according to a new study.

    Published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, the study looked at the impact of carbon emissions on coastal cities and calculated when it would be too late to save those cities by cutting emissions.

    These coastal doomsday projections are nothing new. There have been many sea level studies, and scientists generally project the sea level will rise 4 to 6 meters by the year 2100.

    But apparently there’s hope for some cities. Researchers believe that extreme cuts to carbon emissions and a shift to using more renewable energy could stop the trend.

    The lead author of the study told CBS: “We are not talking about a sea level rise happening tomorrow. Instead, we are talking about what could happen if the genie we let out of the bottle continues to grow. We are talking about what could happen if we continue to emit this much carbon into the atmosphere.”

    For more nonsense:

  118. United Nations celebrates 70 years next week in Bonn, with a screening of the unhinged “Climate Fairy” indoctrination…

  119. When reality and ideals part company..'s-the-best-way-to-keep-stewart-island-warm

    A few facts that are missing from the news report:
    1. The almost only settlement is 47 degrees south. Solar power? Wind is abundant though
    2. At the margin New Zealand’s mainland power is — from hydrocarbons (though gas) so putting a cable across is likely to mean adding to the gas fired output.
    3. One of the main industries for the residents is oyster dredging off the bottom of the strait. Just imagine what dredging will do to a cable — or what a cable would do to the main industry

  120. TEN METRE SEA LEVEL RISE! Must reduce CO2 emissions to ZERO!
    Can WUWT please expose Golledge and Naish as charlatans.

    New paper in Nature titled ‘The multi-millennial Antarctic commitment to future sea-level rise’
    “Missing the 2°C target will result in an Antarctic contribution to sea-level rise that could be up to 10 metres above present day,” says Dr Golledge.
    “In order to restrict global warming to 2°C, and prevent the more dangerous consequences of climate change, the United Nations climate change meeting in Paris later this year must agree to reduce global CO2 emissions to zero before the end of the century,” adds Professor Naish.

  121. Schofield writes: “Mr Verdier has been publicly condemned by just about everyone.” really? lol.
    Schofield makes sure it’s known Verdier is “not a climatologist”, gives little detail, doesn’t link to anything more substantial.

    15 Oct: BBC: Inside Europe Blog: Hugh Schofield: French climate change leaves top weatherman out in cold
    There is still more than a month to go until the Paris UN climate conflab, but already you sense its impending presence. Day by day the news in France is being taken over by “big environment”…
    But those two pieces of positive greenery risk being submerged in what is, frankly, a far “sexier” media story: the suspension of state TV’s top weatherman for daring to question the ethics of COP21 and the whole climate change establishment.
    Philippe Verdier is not a climatologist, but he has covered the weather for more than 20 years in various capacities and has attended the climate conferences at Bali, Copenhagen and Cancun…
    You can imagine the tearing-out of hair at the Elysee, as the country’s Mr Weather openly challenged the official pieties on COP21, which Mr Verdier says are doomed to fail.
    But worse, he then wrote an open letter to the president, essentially accusing him of hypocrisy for turning the environment to political ends.

    ???Mr Verdier has been publicly condemned by just about everyone. And he’s been taken off air.

    But he says that just proves his point: that nothing can challenge the official view

    from a comment on Bishophill, it seems Schofield’s piece was also broadcast on BBC radio. however, Alec j who made the comment thought it was “a very balanced piece”. i don’t think so. check the comments for le monde hatchet job on verdier, etc:

    14 Oct: Bishophill: Top French weatherman suspended for forbidden views
    from comments:

  122. mostly spin, little substance:

    15 Oct: UK Independent: Alexandra Sims: French weatherman Philippe Verdier sparks anger over book questioning climate change
    The book’s release comes just before a UN climate change conference is due to be held in Paris
    The book has sparked fierce criticism since its release.
    French newspaper Le Monde said Mr Verdier’s book was full of “errors”, adding: “The models used to predict the average rise in temperatures on the surface of the globe have proved to be rather reliable.”…

    15 Oct: France24: France’s top weatherman says he was placed ‘on leave’ for stance on climate change
    Philippe Verdier, head of the weather service at state broadcaster France Télévisions, has not appeared on screen since Monday amid a growing furore over his book “Climate Investigation”, published earlier this month.
    His employer has said Verdier was “on leave” without divulging further information. But the weatherman has disputed this, saying France Télévisions sent him a letter “asking me not to come in”…
    Though Verdier concedes that global warming is a real phenomenon, he questions claims by climate scientists that temperatures will continue to rise if no action is taken.
    “We are undoubtedly on a plateau in terms of warming and the cyclical variability of the climate doesn’t allow us to foresee if the natural rhythm will tomorrow lead us towards a fall, a stagnation or a rise (in temperature),” he writes in his book…
    Verdier said he did not know how long the suspension from France Télévisions would last, adding that he was “shocked” and “hurt” by the decision and was considering legal action.

  123. just up on The Guardian.
    7 extremely brief AFP paras, alleging the book was “timed to coincide” with COP21 and not, as Verdier claims, inspired by his disgust at the actions of foreign minister Laurent Fabius, who last year summoned France’s weathermen and asked them to mention “climate chaos” in their forecasts, as reported elsewhere:

    16 Oct: Guardian: AFP: French weatherman taken off air after questioning climate change
    France 2 channel’s Philippe Verdier told not to return to work for foreseeable future after writing book which throws doubt on findings of leading scientists
    In the book, Verdier throws doubt on the findings of leading climate scientists and political leaders, saying they have “taken the world hostage”. ***It is timed to coincide with France’s hosting of a major UN climate summit in December.
    France Télévisions said its rules “prevent anyone using their professional status … to push forward their personal opinions.”

    still not a word from ABC or Fairfax or the Murdoch press that I can find.

  124. lengthy…read all:

    15 Oct: Carbon Brief: The Carbon Brief Interview: Dr Gavin Schmidt
    On the so-called slowdown in global warming: “This so-called ‘slowdown’…it’s really not clear that that ever existed.”…
    (The interview was conducted by Roz Pidcock via Skype and videoed by Ros Donald at the Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York on 16 September 2015.)
    CB: So, when is NASA going to call 2015’s temperature? Is it going to be the hottest on record?
    GS: That’s something that our lab puts together, and we do the end of year summary in January, and we’ll wait until January. I mean the indications are that 2015 will be a record year. I did a quick calculation a couple of days ago based on the January-August amount, the anomaly that we have so far. It looks like it’s got about a 90% chance of being the hottest year on record, given the past relationship between the year and that particular period. It doesn’t look like it’s going to cool down any time soon…
    CB: And what do you think about when people say 2015 being the hottest year on record, and indeed 2014, what do you think about when people say that signals the end of the so-called slowdown in surface warming?
    GS: So…this so-called “slowdown”…it’s really not clear that that ever existed. I think you have to think a little bit in terms of the different timescales. If you think about the longest timescales, you know multiple decades, there’s no evidence for a change in the underlying trend. If you look at shorter timescales then, yeah, there’s timescales when it’s going down, timescales when it’s going up, and there’s variation because of things like El Niño, because of things like the Pacific Decadal Oscillation…
    CB: So, is it fair to say, then, that whether or not there’s a “hiatus”, whether or not people think there is one, it depends quite a lot on the definition?
    GS: Well, people have been very loose about what they’ve defined it as, and so, if you’re interested in short-term trends, then you can attribute those, you can dive in and say, why was one year warmer than the other, why were these five years cooler than those five years? …
    CB: Do you think it was a problem then that the IPCC in its last report gave quite a focus on the hiatus, and even used the term “hiatus”, when before that it existed in the media really. Do you think the IPCC was right then to do what they did in the last report?
    GS: So, I think the IPCC might have been better off just talking about the difference between short-term trends and long-term trends, and how the different attribution works for those. The problem with the IPCC trying to keep up with a kind of moving story is that they’re constrained to only be looking at the literature that came out before the report came in…

  125. no cost is too great for CAGW shills like the BBC:

    15 Oct: BBC: £1bn tidal lagoon ‘desperately needed’, Edwina Hart says
    By David Dulin and Paul Martin
    Agreement on the subsidy for the £1bn Swansea tidal lagoon project is “desperately needed”, the Welsh Economy Minister has said.
    Edwina Hart said without “certainty” on subsidy it was difficult for the project to attract investment.
    The UK government said it was too early for the strike price to be agreed as it was carrying out checks on the project.
    The firm behind the scheme has told BBC it would be “catastrophic” if the delayed project collapsed over funding.
    Addressing AMs at a business committee meeting in Swansea, Mrs Hart said: “There is an elephant in the room.
    “The tidal lagoon project, if they can’t get certainty on strike price it’s going to be very difficult for investment…
    Ioan Jenkins, Tidal Lagoon Power (TLP) development director, said the company “have to be confident” the UK government will pay the subsidy they want for power generated by the lagoon, but he would not reveal the figure.
    TLP is asking for a higher subsidy than wind turbines, solar power and nuclear…
    A Department of Energy and Climate Change spokesman said: “Tidal Lagoon Power are seeking a significant amount of financial support from consumers for their proposed project in Swansea Bay and we need to carefully consider whether it is in the best interest of bill payers…

  126. read the comments:

    14 Oct: Financial Times: John Gapper: Germany has to show that its energy is clean
    Country is on a path to achieving the hard task in renewables while flunking the simple one in coal
    Germany’s reliance on lignite and coal as it phases out nuclear power stations undermines one of the project’s main aims — to reduce greenhouse emissions. Instead, despite the surge in renewable energy, these emissions are rising…
    The perversity of the Energiewende is that Germany is on a path to achieving the hard task while flunking what should be the simple one — reducing its coal production. Its increase in carbon emissions despite throwing itself into fighting global warming will be an embarrassment for Angela Merkel, chancellor, at the climate change summit in Paris in December…

  127. 13 Nov: The Atlantic: James Bennet: ‘We Need an Energy Miracle’ (Interview with Bill Gates)
    Bennet: On the limits of wind power and solar photovoltaic cells…
    Gates: …So my view is that the biggest problem for the two lead candidates is that storage looks to be so difficult. It’s kind of ironic: Germany, by installing so much rooftop solar, has it that both their coal plants and their rooftop solar are available in the summer, and the price of power during the day actually goes negative—they pay people to take it. Then at night the only source is the coal, and because the energy companies have to recover their capital costs, they either raise the price because they’re not getting any return for the day, or they slowly go bankrupt…
    Bennet: On the self-defeating claims of some clean-energy enthusiasts:
    Gates: They have this statement that the cost of solar photovoltaic is the same as hydrocarbon’s. And that’s one of those misleadingly meaningless statements. What they mean is that at noon in Arizona, the cost of that kilowatt-hour is the same as a hydrocarbon kilowatt-hour. But it doesn’t come at night, it doesn’t come after the sun hasn’t shone, so the fact that in that one moment you reach parity, so what? The reading public, when they see things like that, they underestimate how hard this thing is. So false solutions like divestment or “Oh, it’s easy to do” hurt our ability to fix the problems. Distinguishing a real solution from a false solution is actually very complicated…
    Bennet: On the dangerous certainty of environmentalists:
    Gates: The heating levels have not tracked the climate models exactly, and the skeptics have had a heyday with that. It’s all within the error-bar range. To me, it’s pretty clear that there’s nothing that relieves this as a big problem. But when people act like we have this great certainty, they somewhat undermine the credibility. There’s a lot of uncertainty in this, but on both the good and the bad side.
    By overclaiming, or even trying to ascribe current things more to climate change than to other effects, environmentalists lend weight to the skeptics…

    companion piece:

    15 Oct: Atlantic: Venkatesh Rao: Why Solving Climate Change Will Be Like Mobilizing for War
    And even then, victory is far from guaranteed.
    In other words, we are contemplating the sorts of austerities associated with wartime economies. For ordinary Americans, austerities might include an end to expansive suburban lifestyles and budget air travel, and an accelerated return to high-density urban living and train travel…
    What (Bill) Gates and others are advocating for is not so much a technological revolution as a technocratic one…
    The proposed climate change war—and no other term is suitable given the scale, complexity, and speed of the task—requires a level of trust in academic and energy-sector public institutions (including international ones) comparable to the trust placed in military institutions during times of war.
    The significant political difference is that climate change offers up no conveniently terrifying dictator, against whom to rally the troops and general population…
    What climate change does offer in place of an evil dictator though, is a powerful appeal to parental instincts…
    I’d also like claims to professional authority on the part of frontline actors to be based on visible accomplishments rather than credentials…

    • I was going to post that second article, but you beat me to it. Good job. VERY scary. Anyone who thinks this issue is merely an exercise in scientific debate, should read that second article in particular. It’s a call to give war powers to the federal government to advance a political ideology, democracy and individual rights be damned. Some of us need to wake up. Those who have been talking about climate alarmism as an attempt to accumulate power in the federal government are obviously correct. The fact that anyone should come out as explicitly as the “Atlantic” author advocates in his piece should be a very big warning to us all. I hope Anthony puts this as a top level post.

    • It’s also named James Powell, author of another 97% survey, and Donald Prothero, a sneering, know-it-all warmist.

  128. Well Tony Heller/Steven Goddard has debunked grant tamino foster on fosters claim that US forest fires have burned the most acreage/fires ever! Only Tony showed that in 1938 that over 232,000 fires and over 33MILION acres burned dwarfs this years totals! Even the Forest service tried to get in on the act. OOOPs
    they didn’t even check their own records.

  129. lol.

    16 Oct: ClimateChangeNews: Ed King: Green Climate Fund directors warn it faces staffing crisis
    Poor pay and remote location in South Korea are driving away potential employees says GCF, as it prepares to sign off on first funding projects
    Its directors say it needs more resources and 72 new full-time staff by 2018 to operate effectively…
    Some posts have been vacant for two years says the GCF, which had a total approved administrative budget for 2015 of $19,566,866. $11.21 million is set aside for salaries and consultants.
    As a result it has employed 62 temporary staff, ballooning its consultancy costs by 185%…

    16 Oct: ReutersCarbonPulse: GCF selects first 8 projects seeking $168m for final approval
    The GCF board will next month decide whether to make its first funding awards of up to $168 million after the secretariat put forward eight mitigation and adaptation projects on Friday, none of which were CDM schemes…
    Also on the board’s agenda is the GCF’s acute staffing shortage, which the fund blames on the lack of willingness of candidates to move to its headquarters in Songdo, South Korea, and unattractive salaries, a separate statement said. The board meets over Nov. 2-5 in Livingstone, Zambia…
    The projects were drawn from 37 shortlisted that are seeking $1.5 billion in total, 29 of those were from public sector bodies…

  130. ***message to the 134 countries: don’t back down. derail Paris.

    16 Oct: ClimateChangeNews: Ed King: Bonn set for fireworks as UN climate talks resume
    Developing countries cry foul ahead of week of negotiations in Germany – claiming finance, loss and damage have been wiped from draft deal
    India’s climate chief could not have been clearer: “I am not happy with the text. We should certainly have a different text for the Paris to become success.”
    In an interview with the Times of India this week, Prakash Javadekar piled into a draft document published by the UN that could form the basis of a global climate change agreement.
    It was disappointing, he wanted changes, India would soon offer new suggestions. If it had been a boxing match the text’s corner would have thrown in the towel after round 1.
    Javadekar’s blast sets the tone for what is sure to be a lively 5-day set of climate negotiations in Bonn next week…
    But it has left many unhappy and not just India…
    Giza Gaspar Martins, head of the least developed countries grouping, also has issues.
    “A proposal on loss and damage by ***134 countries gets ignored in the draft global agreement on climate change,” he said – again on twitter.
    References to a long term carbon cutting goal – deemed a critical component of any agreement by UN climate chief Christiana Figueres – are equally vague…READ ON

  131. who will be held accountable?

    15 Oct: UK Telegraph: Emily Gosden: Factories face switch-off to keep household lights on, National Grid warns
    Rising risk of blackouts means factories may need to be paid to switch off on weekday evenings to keep household lights on
    In a report, the company said there was an “increased likelihood” that it would have to pay large businesses to switch off between 4pm and 8pm during the week.
    Busineses with 130 megawatts of capacity have signed up to take part in the scheme, which is voluntary. They will be paid for taking part, even if they are not actually called upon – as happened last winter…
    Analysis by Ofgem, the energy regulator, suggests that without the emergency interventions, a blackout during a cold snap would be highly likely…
    Ofgem forecasts suggest that by next winter Britain could experience ‘negative margins’ – meaning output from Britain’s power plants would not be enough to meet peak demand – if it is very calm, resulting in low wind turbine output…

    15 Oct: BBC: Richard Anderson: UK power supplies enough for winter, says National Grid
    This means supply is expected to exceed peak demand by 5.1%.
    The Grid may have to secure extra supplies to keep this margin, such as paying plants to remain on standby.
    Without these measures, the margin would be 1.2%. With the additional measures, margins are at their lowest for seven years, and have deteriorated year on year…
    The government has announced new measures to ensure the lights stay on in the future.
    It’s making changes to the Capacity Market, a mechanism which pays owners of power plants a subsidy to guarantee having the plants available from 2018 onwards.
    The changes will increase the “incentives and penalties” on firms which agree to build new power plants, but then fail to do so…
    The GMB union accused the Grid of “complacency” and criticised as “bonkers” its policy of paying power stations to be on standby.
    “That and bringing unused inefficient power production back into operation are the special measures National Grid is being forced to rely on to keep the lights on and the cost is added to consumers’ bills,” said national officer Brian Strutton.;;

  132. 15 Oct: Financial Times: David Cameron calls high-level talks on energy crunch
    by Kiran Stacey and Jim Pickard
    Chris Kimmett,commercial manager at Open Energi, one of those brokers, told the FT: “There must be a more efficient way of running the system than for small firms to run diesel generators, but for now this is what National Grid needs to do.”
    ***Part of the reason for the reduced gap between supply and demand is that thermal energy units, such as coal-fired powerplants, have been shut down withrelatively little capacity built to replace them…

  133. 16 Oct: BusinessGreen: James Murray: The UK solar industry is in crisis, but can a catastrophe yet be averted?
    Job losses are mounting, but there are steps still available to the industry and the government that could avert a full-blown disaster for UK renewables
    Over the past two weeks I have spent four days at the Birmingham NEC, being denied sunshine while listening to various people talk about the grave state of the UK solar industry. At the Energy Hub for the UK Construction Week and Solar Energy UK (full disclosure, BusinessGreen was a media partner and I chaired panel discussions at both events), an understandably subdued atmosphere was in evidence as solar industry executives wrestled with optimism at the sector’s exciting long-term prospects and genuine sadness at the recent job losses and bleak short- to medium-term outlook for the sector…
    There is surprise the predicted surge in new installations ahead of the government’s planned cuts to subsidies has not yet materialised, but for whatever reason (have media reports left customers thinking the subsidies have already gone, or are solar firms too cash-strapped or disheartened to step up marketing activity?) demand has failed to spike significantly and companies are being forced to prepare for a contracting market.
    Consequently, the sense of frustration, betrayal and resentment directed at the government across much of the industry is palpable. This anger is leavened somewhat by a recognition the Department of Energy and Climate Change (DECC) is in a difficult position with the Treasury pulling the strings, an understanding some pretty deep subsidy cuts are necessary and justified, and broad acceptance that greater control over clean energy subsidy spending should have been exerted sooner…

    15 Oct: BusinessGreen: James Murray: Without robust safeguards we risk ending up with a not so Green Investment Bank
    The government has to find a fail-safe way to cement the Green Investment Bank’s low-carbon purpose – and fast
    If the government’s decision to privatise the Green Investment Bank (GIB) was short sighted, the plan to privatise it while removing the legal requirement for it to remain a green-focused institution appears almost blind…
    The risk remains small, but would the government be able to stop a privately owned GIB deciding that efficient coal plants or fracking projects are green enough and deserving of support?…
    The clock is ticking. The GIB needs additional funding next year if it is continue to grow and provide a much-needed source of capital for the UK’s faltering green economy. If ministers are really insistent the bank can borrow only once it is off balance sheet, they need to find a way of getting it off balance sheet, quickly. But in this rush to get the bank into private hands, they also need to provide 100 per cent assurance the GIB will remain green…
    The chancellor no doubt already has some ideas on what to do with the proceeds from the GIB windfall, but there are a lot of industries the GIB was designed to nurture that could really do with the cash right now.


    My apologies but I just can’t resist re-posting this user comment – Mike 64 – for your entertainment:

    ‘The wall is beginning to crumble. Just like big tobacco big oil won’t last under the weight of the lies they profess. For you deniers it’s not too late to change your avatar and adhere to the truth. Become a shinning light and shed you[sic] bizarre philosophy of hate.’

  135. 15 Oct: WaPo: Joby Warrick: U.S. exports its greenhouse-gas emissions — as coal. Profitable coal.
    This is part of a series exploring how the world’s hunger for cheap electricity is complicating efforts to combat climate change
    The Obama administration is seeking to curb the United States’ appetite for the basin’s coal, which scientists say must remain mostly in the ground to prevent a disastrous warming of the planet. Yet each year, nearly half a billion tons of this U.S.-owned fuel are hauled from the region’s vast strip mines and millions of tons are shipped overseas for other countries to burn. Government and industry reports predict a surge in exports of Powder River coal over the next decade, at a time when climate experts are warning of an urgent need to reduce coal burning to prevent global temperatures from soaring.
    Each shipment highlights what critics describe as a hypocrisy underlying U.S. climate policy: While boasting of pollution cuts at home, the United States is facilitating the sale of large quantities of government-owned coal abroad.
    “We’re a fossil-fuel-exporting super­power that goes around lecturing the rest of the world about cutting emissions,” said Paul Bledsoe, who was an adviser on climate during the Clinton administration…
    Coal accounts for 40 percent of the electricity produced globally — and more in China and India…
    Yet, the government continues issuing new leases for Powder River coal, in ever greater quantities. The Interior Department is finalizing leases for 2.5 billion tons of Powder River coal, and agency documents released earlier this year propose making an additional 10 billion tons available for mining — and, potentially exporting — over the next 25 to 30 years…READ ALL–as-coal-profitable-coal/2015/10/08/05711c92-65fc-11e5-bdb6-6861f4521205_story.html

  136. 16 Oct: PR Week: Alex Benady: Are PR agencies happy to work for climate change deniers?
    Given the weight of scientific opinion and the potentially catastrophic effects of global warming, many think that those who deny climate change should be denied a platform for publicity because they endanger the future of mankind.
    The world’s largest PR agency certainly does. Last month, Edelman made it known that it would no longer work with clients that produce coal or deny climate change.
    However, that view is not shared by the majority of UK PR agencies, according to a straw poll carried out by PRWeek this month.
    Just six out of 20 UK agency chiefs questioned said that they would not work with climate change deniers. Only one was brave enough to say that they definitely would. Two said they might and 10 did not reply. One responded with the quip: “What’s climate change?”
    You might conclude that, therefore, this was a bad poll with a poor response and no conclusions can be drawn from it…
    Gavin Devine of MHP Communications was the only agency chief prepared to say publicly that he would work with climate change deniers – although he does not agree with them: “Yes, we would work with people who have questions about climate change science. Not that I personally – nor, I suspect, many people in the agency – would share their views, but it is not morally wrong to take a different position from the mainstream on climate change.”…
    One agency head pointed out that Edelman’s decision concerned not only climate change den-iers, but coal companies too. He suggested that perhaps this was clouding response. “Why single out coal?” he asked. He was concerned about the growth of what might be called ‘eco-fascism’. “Is this going to be the start of a carbon witch-hunt? If so, many perfectly responsible companies and any industry with a large carbon footprint could be denied a voice.”…

  137. Bacterial genes that turn mercury lethal mapped across world

    This is real science, but with one reference to “Global Warming” – apparently, the bacteria in tundra are more likely to be a problem than regular bacteria and, of course, we know why the tundra is melting.

    Other than that, this is a pretty important discovery.

    Full paper

  138. poster name, “me” (not me) left this above from Oct 15:
    The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation without a role for ocean circulation.

    This is highly Worth considering for a story, IMO, as the authors propose in conclusion a reversal of cause-effect between AMO modes and the AMOC. The climate establishment has been forced to this by the observational data that the AMOC has not change while the AMO switched modes.

    Quoting the study authors:

    “Our interpretation of these results is that the AMO is the response of the upper ocean mixed layer to forcing by the atmosphere, projecting mostly on the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), with thermal coupling playing a fundamental role in generating the tropical component of the AMO signal. The NAO is a mode of atmospheric variability, which represents a shift in the westerly jet in the Atlantic basin, along with a change in strength of the subtropical high. The wind and SLP patterns associated with the AMO (Fig. 1A) clearly show the NAO signature: Periods when the North Atlantic is warm occur when the subtropical high is weak and the westerly jet shifts poleward, resulting in weaker westerly winds in the mid-latitudes. The NAO itself is internal to the atmosphere and does not require coupling with the ocean (22, 23). This is demonstrated in Fig. 4A, which shows the NAO in the Community Atmosphere Model version 4 (CAM4) forced with climatological SST (CAM4-sstClim). This pattern has no dependence on time scale, and the power spectra of the mid-latitude surface winds are consistent with white noise (fig. S3) as in previous studies (24).
    However, observations, slab-ocean models, and fully coupled models simulate surface wind changes in the tropics associated with the AMO, which can explain the tropical part of the horseshoe warming pattern (25) (Fig. 1, A, B, and D). These wind changes are absent in the uncoupled CAM4-sstClim model (Fig. 4A), and only when the atmosphere is coupled to the slab-ocean model do the tropical winds show a response to the NAO (Fig. 4B). The spectra of the tropical meridional winds in the slab-ocean model are slightly red, with considerably enhanced variability (fig. S3), which we interpret as arising from thermal coupling between the atmospheric circulation and the mixed-layer ocean, and adding year-to-year persistence to otherwise uncorrelated variability.
    Coherent changes in SST and trade winds in the northern tropical Atlantic due to thermal coupling have been extensively documented and arise from a wind-evaporation–SST feedback (26, 27). Weaker winds in the northern tropics induce weaker evaporation, resulting in warmer SST. The SST change then drives a low-level wind response, which allows the signals to expand equatorward. It has also been suggested that a local positive feedback between atmospheric circulation, SST, and low-level clouds can contribute to the persistence of these climate anomalies (28). Thus, thermal coupling between the mixed-layer ocean and the atmosphere in the northern tropics results in a warming of the North Atlantic Ocean that extends into the tropics as the low-frequency response to the NAO.
    The pattern of the AMO in these unforced simulations is not perfectly correlated with the observed pattern (Table 2). The most likely cause of the difference is model biases in their simulation of the mean climate. Because their resolution is coarse (~1° to 2°), all of these models underestimate the strong SST fronts in the Gulf Stream region, which leads to differences in the patterns and magnitude of variability in that region. It is possible that high-resolution global climate models, which are starting to become available, may simulate more of a role for the ocean circulation than do current-generation models. There are also persistent biases in the simulation of the tropical Atlantic climate in coupled models, which can imprint on the pattern of variability. The fact that the slab-ocean models have a higher correlation with the observed pattern is likely due to the fact that those models have a SST climatology prescribed from observations, whereas coupled-model climatologies exhibits significant SST biases, a problem that perhaps worsens in CMIP5 as compared to CMIP3, as evident in the correlations in Table 2. The inclusion of historical climate forcings in model simulations does not improve the pattern correlation with observations (Table 2).
    It could be argued that the preindustrial simulations underestimate the magnitude of observed multidecadal variability (Fig. 2C). The inclusion of historical climate forcings does enhance multidecadal variability, bringing it into better agreement with observations (Fig. 2C), although it has been shown that several models overestimate the impact of atmospheric aerosols (18). On the other hand, a possible source of persistence that is missing in climate models is cloud feedbacks, particularly in the tropical Atlantic (28). Climate models show a strong sensitivity of low-level marine cloudiness to thermodynamic variations of the mean state (29), whereas observations show that cloudiness covaries much more strongly with low-level winds, and in ways that would amplify the interactions discussed here (30). Proper simulation of these feedbacks may lead to models with enhanced low-frequency variability in the Atlantic basin (31).
    We have shown that simulations of the AMO using fully coupled atmosphere-ocean models, which produce spatial and temporal characteristics consistent with observations, are essentially indistinguishable from those produced by the equivalent slab-ocean model versions, which lack interactive ocean dynamics. Instead, the simplest explanation for the AMO is that it is the low-frequency response to the high-frequency atmospheric “noise” embodied, for example, in the NAO, with thermal coupling extending the signal into the tropics to produce the characteristic horseshoe pattern of warming.The ocean circulation, including surface layer Ekman currents and possibly the AMOC (32, 33), would respond to these changes in atmospheric circulation as demonstrated by McCarthy et al. (34), but a feedback from the ocean circulation on the AMO is not supported by our analysis. Our analysis does not rule out that the ocean circulation may contribute to low-frequency variability in parts of the ocean, such as the subpolar gyre, as suggested in (34). Nor does it rule out the possibility that massive changes in the AMOC suggested in the paleoclimate record had profound consequences for global climate (13). However, the current-generation models analyzed here do not support the idea that ocean circulation drives the AMO.”

  139. A few minutes later, McKibben crossed the street, holding a sign that read, “This pump temporarily closed because ExxonMobil lied about (#Exxonknew) climate.” He took up his post at the Mobil station, next to pump No. 4, and faced the traffic flowing by on South Winooski.

    “This is a weird thing to be doing,” he remarked.

    If McKibben’s goal was to block cars from filling up their tanks, his unobtrusive presence wasn’t quite doing the trick. Fortunately for him, he had assistance from a smattering of reporters, activists and staffers who eagerly snapped photos with their smartphones. McKibben himself wasn’t above taking a selfie.

    “Excuse me,” a gas station attendant who identified herself as Lisa said to McKibben. “Can you move a little bit? If people [want to] get gas, it’s difficult to get gas.”

    “Yeah, that’s why we’re here,” he replied. “Just for a moment.”

  140. SHOCK CLAIM: World is on brink of 50 year ICE AGE and BRITAIN will bear the brunt
    BRITAIN faces DECADES of savage winters driven by freak changes in global ocean conditions and a weakening of the sun.

    The world is on the brink of a 50-year ice age and Britain will bear the brunt

    Crippling blizzards, snowstorms and sub-zero temperatures threaten a yearly dose of Arctic misery for the next FIFTY YEARS at least – and possibly decades more.

    Climate experts warn a rare pattern of water cooling in the north Atlantic will trigger a chain reaction of events leading to a “fully-blown ice age”.

    The say the UK is on alert for a “serious climate situation” with regular winter whiteouts pushing emergency services to the limit.

  141. 17 Oct: UK Telegraph: Christopher Booker: Met Office shown to be wrong by its own data
    In recent years the organisation’s forecasts have become skewed by its obsession with global warming
    Imagine if Michael Fish, our most famous weatherman, had been sacked by the BBC for writing a book accusing the world’s climate scientists of having “manipulated” their data to promote panic over global warming. Something similar made headlines in France last week when its “top TV weatherman”, Philippe Verdier, was taken off air by the state-owned France 2 channel for writing a book claiming that we have all been made “hostages to a planetary scandal over climate change”…
    Before this scandale erupted, I planned to start this column by asking “what on earth is happening to our British weather”?…
    In a series of recent posts on his Notalotofpeopleknowthat blog, Paul Homewood has been meticulously plotting the Met Office’s predictions against its own recorded data. In one, titled “Met Office forecasts contain a warming bias”, he compared all its running three-monthly forecasts for the first nine months of 2015, made on the basis of “observations, several numerical models and expert judgment”, with what actually happened…
    Against its frequent claims that we can expect “a general increase in summer temperatures” thanks to “human influence on climate”, the Met Office’s own data show that, since 2006, summers have on average become cooler…
    As remarkable as anything are the graphs on a guest post by Neil Catto, a former Met Office employee, who, as part of his scientific work, has plotted data from a representative sample of Met Office UK weather stations every day since 1998. On every one of his graphs recording temperature, rainfall and much else, the trend line over 18 years has been astonishingly consistent. Despite fluctuations, the overall trend has been flat. The general pattern of our weather has remained remarkably unchanged…

    17 Oct: UK Daily Mail: Evan Bleier: Dreaming of a white OCTOBER? Early snowstorms hit the Midwest and New England as coldest air mass of the season sweeps across the United States
    Even though winter doesn’t officially start until December 22, freeze watches and warnings and frost advisories have been issued from Missouri to Massachusetts, according to the Weather Channel…
    Temperatures on Saturday night into Sunday are expected to sink to freezing or below in cities around the country like Minneapolis, Chicago, Cincinnati, Buffalo, Hartford and Pittsburgh…

  142. AUDIO 5mins17secs: 16 Oct: BBC: Suspended weatherman speaks
    There’s a meteorological storm blowing across France. Phillipe Verdier is one of the most recognised weathermen on TV — he’s known as Monsieur Météo. But a few days ago he was suspended after he released a book called “Climate Investigation” in which he’s very critical of the government’s approach to tackling global warming. It hasn’t made him popular, coming as it does just before the climate change conference in Paris

    BBC: you’ve been quoted as being someone who denies climate change, but that’s not accuratie is it? you’ve actually said there might be some positives to climate change…
    Verdier: in western europe, france, we have positives from climate change.
    BBC: but what about countries like Australia which is facing terrible drought or other countries that are facing terrible floods. you have already said you are not a scientist but the vast majority of climate scientists agree blah blah…
    what about thousands of refugees that might be heading for France when their countries are either flooded or barren? some people might accuse you of being an opportunist, Paris talks, blah blah. some of the things you have said is that the IPCC has blatantly erased data that is contrary to what it believes…what’s your beef? who are you most annoyed with? the IPCC, the French Govt?
    Verdier: maybe both.
    BBC: you are “Mr. Weather”…your views might misguide people.

  143. 17 Oct: UK Express: Marco Giannangeli: EXCLUSIVE: Senior MP ‘ridiculed’ by BBC for questioning climate change
    THE BBC was yesterday accused of bias in its coverage of climate change after a senior MP was “ridiculed” for attempting to question the extent of global warming.
    Peter Lilley, a long standing member of the energy and climate select committee, has made a formal complaint to director general Lord Hall after discovering that mandarins had issued an apology following claims he made that the effects of climate change were being exaggerated…
    Mr Lilley, who graduated with a degree in natural sciences at Cambridge University, said: “I’m a ‘lukewarmist’, one who thinks that there won’t be much warming as a result of it, and that’s the scientifically proven bit of the theory. Anything going on the alarmist scale is pure speculation.”
    Referring to the Met Office, he added: “The sad thing is that they’ve become committed to a particular pseudo-scientific doctrine and are now unwilling to change that doctrine when the facts refute it.”…
    Mr Lilley was horrified to discover that the BBC later placed “health warnings” on the programme’s website, and issued an apology for “giving voice to climate sceptics” and failing to “make clear that they are a minority, out of step with the scientific consensus.”…
    Speaking to the Sunday Express today, he said: “A colleague of mine alerted me to the fact that they’d slapped disclaimers essentially branding my views invalid.
    “My biggest concern is that the BBC breached the impartiality clause of its charter.
    “I was asked my views on climate change and I expressed them. My opinion should not be banned from the airwaves. And they should not accompany my remarks with a health warning, saying that I’m outside the scientific consensus, which is untrue…
    He added: “This was the first time I had ever been asked to discuss climate change. I strongly suspect it will also be the last time.”
    Last night the BBC insisted it remained “committed to impartial and balanced coverage of climate change which gives due weight to all sides of the debate.”
    However a spokesman added: ‘We accept that in this episode about The Met Office, the comments made about science and climate change would have benefitted from broader representation from the mainstream scientific community, although we did hear from a range of contributors as well as from The Met Office.”…

  144. I’m wondering why, instead of preaching to the choir–non-denominational, to be sure–we don’t set up a mailing list and arrange for each Catholic pastor in the US to receive a copy of a recent treatise on the bad science behind climate change? Perhaps Lord Monckton could assist with a cover letter or general advice? Clearly, we’re not reaching people via the MSM, which have largely betrayed us.

  145. btw here is the “Note” BBC added to the summary of the Letts’ program, about which Peter Lilley compained:

    BBC: What’s the Point of…The Met Office
    This programme raises questions about the accuracy of previous long-term global warming forecasts by the Met Office and contains comment by MPs who are Trustees of the Global Warming Policy Foundation, which challenges government policies to mitigate anthropogenic global warming. We would like to clarify that the Met Office’s underlying views on climate change are supported by the scientific consensus.
    Quentin Letts begins a new series casting a critical but amicable eye across institutions at the heart of British life, asking the question ‘What’s the Point Of…?

    interesting that it’s still available – so take a listen.

  146. finally, UK Times covers Verdier, thanks to Matt Ridley:

    behind paywall:

    18 Oct: UK Times: Matt Ridley: Now here’s the good news on global warming
    Activists may want to shut down debate, but evidence is growing that high CO2 levels boost crops and nourish the oceans
    France’s leading television weather forecaster, Philippe Verdier, was taken off air last week for writing that there are “positive consequences” of climate change. Freeman Dyson, professor emeritus of mathematical physics and astrophysics at the Institute of Advanced Study in Princeton, declared last week that the non-climatic effects of carbon dioxide are “enormously beneficial”. Patrick Moore, a founder of Greenpeace, said in a lecture last week that we should “celebrate carbon dioxide”…

  147. 19 Oct: Deutsche Welle: Developing countries balk at climate change agreement draft in Bonn
    by jar/cmk (AFP, Reuters)
    Developing nations are crying foul over the latest draft of a global climate agreement to be inked in Paris. A rift has opened between developing and developed countries on how to share the task of curbing emissions.
    As UN diplomats convene in the German city of Bonn on Monday, developing nations are complaining that much of the draft text has been gutted since negotiators last met…
    Developing nations have insisted on firm commitments, not just on the total amount to be spent ostensibly to combat climate change, and also where it will come from and what it will be used for…
    Many nations have also expressed disappointment that the goal of “decarbonizing” the global economy – moving away from fossil fuels – has been deleted from the draft now in circulation…
    “Across the board, rich countries are failing to bring the two most important ingredients to the negotiating table – emission cuts and money,” said Brandon Wu of ActionAid.

    19 Oct: Bloomberg: Kim Chapman: UN Climate Deal Stuck at `Low End of Ambition’ as Talks Resume
    Meyer (Alden Meyer, Union of Concerned Scientists) said one gap in the latest text is that it excludes any call for countries to reexamine their goals before the 10-year mark…

  148. why do BBC/Harrabin allow McGlade to make outrageous ***claims?

    19 Oct: BBC: Roger Harrabin: UN scientist Jacquie McGlade raps UK over renewables
    Prof Jacquie McGlade said the UK was shifting away from clean energy ***as the rest of the world rushed towards it.
    She said the cuts in renewables subsidies, coupled with tax breaks for oil and gas, sent a worrying signal to the coming UN climate summit in Paris.
    The UK government says it will meet its targets on carbon emissions in the most cost-effective way…
    Prof McGlade said the UK appeared to have abandoned its leadership on climate change, while 150 other nations were making unprecedented pledges to shift towards clean energy.
    She told BBC News: ***”What I’m seeing worldwide is a move very much towards investment in renewable energy. To counterbalance that you see the withdrawal of subsidies and tax breaks for fossil fuels…
    ***”It’s a very serious signal – a very perverse signal that we do not want to create.”…
    Ministers say they have to force energy bills down. They want new solar and wind projects to be built without subsidy, although the industry says that is impossible at the moment…

    when they know this:

    7 Oct: BBC: Mira Galanova: Spain’s sunshine toll: Row over proposed solar tax
    “We will be the only country in the world charging for the use of the sun,” says Jaume Serrasolses.
    “Strange things are happening in Spain. This is one of them.”
    Mr Serrasolses, the secretary of an association promoting the use of solar energy, SEBA, is referring to the government’s proposal for a tax solely on those who generate their own electricity…
    Although the tolls vary, if you pay an access toll of 0.053 euros per kWh, you could face a backup toll of 0.068 euros per kWh.
    The new tax would extend the average time it would take for solar panels to pay for themselves from eight to 25 years, according to the solar lobby…
    The government is hoping the energy reform will settle a debt of 26bn euros (£22bn; $35bn), which has built up over years as a result of regulating energy costs and prices…
    “Many of these people are going to lose their houses (that they used as collateral to buy solar panels). They are unable to pay back at the bank. They can’t sell the installations, because the government has made them toxic assets,” Mr Holtrop (Piet Holtrop, a Dutch lawyer who is defending over 1,000 of them) says…
    Other countries are carefully watching developments in Spain. The governments in Latvia, the Czech Republic, Italy and Greece seem to be pondering similar cutbacks…

  149. 19 Oct: E&E News: Gayathri Vaidyanathan: Activists say solar can power India, but politics and economics of coal win out
    DHARNAI, India — One year ago, environmentalists hailed this tiny village as the future of clean energy in rural India. Today, it is powered by coal…
    When the former chief minister of Bihar state visited to inaugurate the grid, villagers lined up to protest, chanting, “We want real electricity, not fake electricity!”
    By “real,” they meant power from the central grid, generated mostly using coal. By “fake,” they meant solar.
    Analysts say the story of Dharnai illustrates how difficult it can be to provide reliable, high-quality electricity to the world’s poor without using the central grid…
    Vijay Kumar Das, a line engineer with Dharnai’s electricity committee, compared the village’s solar microgrid experiment to polluted groundwater.
    “If you don’t find bottled water to drink, you have to settle for water from the hand pump,” he said. “Similarly, when we did not have real electricity, we had to make do with solar power.”…
    At present, solar power in Dharnai costs at least three times as much as grid power…

  150. 19 Oct: Daily Mail: Our idiotic leaders, obsessed with being green, have sabotaged Britain’s steel industry, writes DOMINIC LAWSON
    It is true that Chinese exports have pushed down the price of steel, blowing a hole in the business plans of all other steel producers. But the issue is not just about prices, it is also about costs. And successive British governments have quite deliberately driven up the single most significant cost for steel producers, with their giant blast furnaces: energy
    This stems in large part from one of the last decisions made by Tony Blair as prime minister, when in 2007 he signed up this country to obtaining 15 per cent of all its energy from ‘renewable sources’ — wind and solar — by 2020.
    According to the then chief scientific adviser to the government, Sir David King, Blair was supposed to limit our pledge to ‘electricity’, not energy as a whole, but there were ‘very tired people in the meeting … people just took their eye of the ball’. What a shameful admission.
    The result is not just that household bills must be at least 15 per cent supplied by expensive and inefficient wind and solar power (what do we do when it isn’t sunny or blowing a gale?), so must high-intensity users of energy such as steel producers…

  151. full of Fiona spin:

    19 Oct: Guardian: Fiona Harvey: France launches global drive for climate deal
    Diplomats mobilised for unprecedented PR push, with Paris summit seen as last chance to reach agreement
    Additional reporting by Angelique Chrisafis in Paris
    Every one of France’s ambassadors, in embassies and consulates around the globe, has been educated on the demands of climate change, and instructed in how to communicate the messages to the governments they deal with, ahead of the summit, which starts on 30 November.
    Ambassadors have been holding public events, private meetings, talks with their diplomatic counterparts, businesses, NGOs and even schoolchildren…
    Even the Eiffel Tower, further down the riverbank, has been pressed into service, lit up at night with climate slogans…

    17 Oct: Springer: Images of climate change – a pilot study of young people’s perceptions of ICT-based climate visualization
    Research has identified the potentials of Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) for visualizing and communicating climate change to lay audiences and thus addressing these communication challenges. However, little research has focused on how ICT-based visualization affects audiences’ understandings of climate change. Employing a semiotic framework and through a combination of focus group interviews and mindmap exercises, we investigated how Swedish students make sense of climate messages presented through an ICT-based visualisation medium; a dome theatre movie. The paper concludes that visualization in immersive environments works well to concretize aspects of climate change and provide a starting point for reflection, but we argue that the potential to add interactive elements should be further explored, as interaction has the potential to influence meaning-making processes. In addition, audiences’ preconceptions of climate change influence their interpretations of climate messages, which may function as a constraint to climate communication.

    • I could swear the original forecast said the Antarctic Ice Cap was going to increase in volume until the end of this century due to increased snowfall. I don’t have the reference atm- sounds like a Climate Fail article if my memory is accurate.

      • My feeling too.
        I reported this as I don’t understand its place in the mix, particularly since the icecap is increasing in size.

  152. 20 pages no more….read all:

    19 Oct: ClimateChangeNews: Ed King: UN climate text swells as G77 flexes muscles in Bonn
    Developing countries add more than 50 elements to UN’s draft Paris deal, complaining of bias towards richer nations
    Time-pressed talks on a global climate deal faced delays on Monday after the co-chairs guiding the process accepted their proposed draft agreement lacked support from most countries…
    Instead of planned negotiations, the text swelled rapidly on a binge of over 50 so-called “surgical insertions” from countries, most ranging between 1-2 pages.
    Most submissions came from the Africa Group and G77+ China, reflecting their frustration at what they argued was a text tilted in favour of richer nations.
    South African ambassador Nozipho Mxakato-Diseko, representing the 134-strong G77+ China group, said developing country views had been excised from the shorter text…
    Diseko’s stance found allies across the vast negotiating chamber, and a plenary meeting scheduled to last 30 minutes rapidly spiralled beyond two hours.
    “Credit us with a little wisdom,” said Malaysia’s Gurdal Singh. The document was an “injustice” added Amjad Abdulla, chief negotiator for the alliance of small island states (AOSIS)…
    Steve Cornelius, a former UK negotiator now working for WWF-UK, said the language used was some of the strongest since the final hours of the ill-fated Copenhagen summit of 2009…

  153. the madness of the NGOs!

    19 Oct: ClimateChangeNews: Megan Darby: US, EU ‘avoiding fair share’ of climate effort
    Developed world should deepen emissions cuts five times or more by 2030, say civil society groups, plus support poor countries
    The US and EU should make ***five times the greenhouse gas emissions cuts by 2030 promised in their national submissions to a UN deal.
    Japan is doing a tenth of its fair share, while Russia is making zero contribution to the global effort to limit temperature rise to 2C.
    That is the conclusion of a report backed by 18 civil society groups including Oxfam, WWF and Action Aid…

    19 Oct: ClimateChangeNews: Saleemul Huq: Loans or grants for climate finance?
    Confusion reigns over the right format for cash to tackle climate impacts. Resolve this quickly or the UN-backed Green Climate Fund will falter
    The good news is that a ***political commitment of $100 billion per year starting from 2020 has already been pledged by rich countries…
    While these are indeed commendable decisions when it comes to providing funding for adaptation to the LDCs and SIDS the GCF secretariat is said to be offering low interest loans rather than grants…
    Bankers are in the business of giving loans that need to be repaid (even if the interest is low) while the LDCs and SIDS have an expectation that climate change finance from rich countries (who are mainly responsible for historic emissions) is to enable them to adapt to the adverse impacts of human induced climate change (for which they have very to cause) must be provided in the form of grants…READ ALL

  154. Rupert Murdoch’s Business Spectator:

    20 Oct: Business Spectator: Tristan Edis: Farewell fossil fools – Harper and Abbott both dispatched
    As Climate Spectator noted in Harper and Abbott: Two fossils fooling no one, what was plainly obvious was that both Harper and Abbott had confused the interests of the coal mining industry (in Abbott’s case) and tar sands (Harper) with the interests of their respective country as a whole…
    As described in the Guardian’s article: Canada election: how Stephen Harper’s fossil fuel gamble may have backfired Harper and Tony Abbott have followed eerily similar strategies…
    A few months after Abbott and Harper’s June 2014 pro-fossil fuel pow wow, US President Obama and China’s Xi Jinping got together to show who really pulled the strings of world affairs with their joint statement on climate change targets. China has helpfully followed through, bringing its rapid growth in coal consumption to screeching halt…
    And it left both Abbott and Harper looking like yesterday’s men, trying to defend old and dirty industries against technological progress.
    By way of contrast the leader of the Liberals and soon to be Canada’s new Prime Minister, Justin Trudeau has said that he’ll create a national carbon pricing system if he becomes prime minister.
    And while Malcolm Turnbull now talks down the idea of emissions trading as better in theory than practice, it seems unlikely that he would have abandoned his deeply held concerns about climate change.

    neither Business Spectator nor any other MSM has ever acknowledged Christopher Monckton’s prophesy re Tony Abbott and Stephen Harper in September 2014:

    AUDIO: 23 Sept: 2GB: Alan Jones with Christopher Monckton
    (Australia’s top talk show host) Alan Jones talks to the climate change sceptic about his prediction last year of a move against Tony Abbott

  155. Flannery wins Jack Blaney Award for Dialogue….should be Blarney Award?

    16 Oct: The Georgia Straight: Charlie Smith: Tim Flannery speaks out on Canada’s election, the insanity of fracking, and reducing gigatonnes of carbon dioxide
    Tim Flannery, author of Atmosphere of Hope and The Weather Makers, made the comment in a wide-ranging interview with the Georgia Straight at Simon Fraser University’s Harbour Centre campus in Vancouver…
    Flannery, an Australian research scientist, was recently honoured with SFU’s annual ***Jack Blaney Award for Dialogue…
    He also criticized the notion that burning carbon-spewing natural gas is a “bridge to the future”. That’s because the declining cost of solar power and other renewable forms of energy has changed the financial dynamics.
    “It’s no longer cost-effective anywhere to invest in gas for electricity generation,” Flannery stated. “The renewables are so much cheaper.”…
    India is different. India is starting from a much lower base than China. There were fears for many years that they were going on a China-like trajectory of building more and more coal [-fired power plants].
    That is looking much less likely. [Prime Minister Narendra] Modi has signalled a new direction for India. There’s been a beefed-up solar program there. The costs of renewables are now declining very quickly so that even a place like India can have ambitions to have renewables at scale…

  156. Congratulations Willis:

    Matt Ridley in the New York Times Sunday Book Review:

    Q)Which writers — novelists, essayists, critics, journalists, poets — working today do you admire most?

    A) Ian McEwan, Willis Eschenbach, Stewart Brand, Deirdre McCloskey, Ayaan Hirsi Ali, Niall Ferguson, Richard Dawkins, David Quammen, Sam Harris, Bill Bryson. People like this are more than mere writers; they are the generators of new ideas through fine prose, the heirs to Voltaire.

  157. no longer is it “climate change is a civil rights issue” or “climate change denial is akin to racism”.

    ***we’re getting closer to the truth.

    19 Oct: Reuters: Alister Doyle: South Africa likens ***DRAFT climate deal to apartheid
    (Additional reporting by Tatiana Jancarikova; Editing by Janet Lawrence)
    BONN, Germany (Reuters) – South Africa on Monday criticized a draft United Nations accord on fighting climate change as a form of “apartheid” against developing nations…
    “It is just like apartheid,” Nozipho Joyce Mxakato-Diseko, South Africa’s delegate who speaks on behalf of the main grouping of more than 130 developing nations and China, told the meeting.
    “We find ourselves in a position where in essence we are disenfranchised,” she said, saying views of the poor had been ignored…
    Developing countries said the draft, drawn up by two senior diplomats, favored rich nations…
    U.S. delegation leader Trigg Talley said the new text could work as a basis for talks. “This document has many things that most parties cannot agree with,” he said. Rich nations want to ensure that emerging economies will commit to act…
    Christiana Figueres, the U.N.’s climate chief, expressed confidence the talks were on track for a deal at the Nov. 30-Dec. 11 summit in France…
    U.N. Secretary General Ban Ki-moon urged negotiators to drop narrow national interests.
    “There is no time to waste,” he told a news conference in Slovakia. “It has been quite frustrating to see negotiators negotiating only based on their very narrow national perspectives. This is not a national issue, it’s a global issue.”

    just one more step and the truth will out – CAGW itself is a scam.

    [Thank you. .mod]

  158. no “pathway” emerging at all, but rather “I think you can honestly say there is a politically credible pathway to the $100 billion” (says World Bank’s Rachel Kyte, who has a cute Heineken quote as well!)
    read all:

    20 Oct: ClimateChangeNews: Ed King: Pathway to $100bn emerging ahead of Paris climate summit
    Cash demands from developing countries reinserted into text during UN talks in Bonn, as World Bank official hails progress
    The world’s richest countries are back on the hook.
    For a few balmy weeks in October a proposed draft UN deal offered a chance they might not have to fork out billons to help developing countries climate-proof their economies.
    They were disabused of that notion at 4am on Tuesday morning, when a new pumped-up text emerged, the result of a negotiations blow-out on Monday in Bonn, home to a week of UN talks.
    A section detailing what assistance poorer countries will require to invest in green energy and protect communities against climate impacts had swelled from 12 paragraphs to 2.5 pages…
    One new addition to the text under debate in Bonn stipulates that 50% of all funding flows should be for adaptation [page 12, paragraph 6bis].
    This is a red line demand for climate vulnerable countries, said Kowalzig, explaining they “need some confidence that will actually happen.”…
    The overnight inclusion of a global goal for adaptation [page 9, para 1] in the text could also help…
    Amid the maelstrom of Bonn and twitter rage from NGOs banned from private government talks, signs of compromise are emerging…
    “Now the question is how do you ensure that money is flowing where it is needed… are all the channels of finance – like the Heineken advert – getting it to where it is needed?” said “World Bank’s Rachel) Kyte…

  159. read all:

    18 Oct: nofrakkingconsensus: The Preposterous Green Institute and the IPCC
    The man now in charge at the IPCC belongs to a privileged, protected, secretive entity headed by the UN’s former top climate official.

    19 Oct: Climate Depot: Marc Morano: Warmist Prof. Alice Bows-Larkin calls for ‘planned recessions’ to fight ‘global warming’: ‘Economic growth needs to be exchanged’ for ‘planned austerity’ – ‘Whole system change’

  160. 19 Oct: Business Green: Richard Black: UN climate talks: Seeking simplicity in a complex land
    The arguments may sound familiar but Richard Black finds climate talks have matured since he last attended three years ago
    It’s not exactly like re-discovering a schooldays sweetheart on Friends Reunited, but nevertheless my first dive into UN climate convention negotiations after three years generated questions that I guess are similar.
    Will I still recognise the process? What changes might time have wrought? Will the strange attraction that kept us together during the seven or eight years I spent up close and personal with the process while at the BBC have vanished in smoke?…
    How short, how simple?
    Everyone agrees that if a deal is to be concluded at the Paris summit, the text that governments will negotiate there needs to be as short and simple as possible.
    But the shorter and simpler it is, the more it leaves out…
    And it didn’t help that the co-chair leading the negotiations comes from the US, traditionally the bete noire of climate-vulnerable nations and environment campaigners alike…
    And the key unknown, halfway through the first afternoon, is whether they collectively submit 20 or 2,000 added paragraphs…
    Even deployment by South Africa’s lead negotiator Nozipho Mxakato-Diseko of an emotive “apartheid” metaphor to describe the treatment she felt was being meted out to developing countries aroused no scandal…
    The feeling that we’re approaching the end-game is palpable…

  161. 20 Oct: Business Green: Madeleine Cuff: UN expands climate text in bid to placate developing nations
    Fresh draft of the negotiating text, released in the early hours of this morning, revives discarded elements following fractious first day of negotiations in Bonn
    UN officials in Bonn have unveiled a fresh 34-page negotiating text for an international climate change deal…
    Negotiators gathering for the last round of preliminary talks in Bonn, Germany were forced to postpone the official schedule yesterday to allow a number of “surgical insertions” of key commitments from developing nations, notably the G77 plus China and the Africa bloc of nations…
    Writing exclusively for BusinessGreen yesterday, Richard Black, director of the Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit, said that despite the re-expansion of the text, there is still a willingness among countries to recognise that not every special claim needs inclusion and debate…

  162. novel length:

    20 Oct: Climate Central: John Upton: Part 1 of 3: Pulp Fiction: The European Accounting Error That’s Warming the Planet
    As the world tries to shift away from fossil fuels, the energy industry is turning to what seems to be an endless supply of renewable energy: wood. In England and across Europe, wood has become the renewable of choice, with forests — many of them in the U.S. — being razed to help feed surging demand. But as this five-month Climate Central investigation reveals, renewable energy doesn’t necessarily mean clean energy. Burning trees as fuel in power plants is heating the atmosphere more quickly than coal.
    Climate Central reporter John Upton traveled to England and through the U.S. Southeast to investigate both ends of the global trade in wood pellets, interviewing scientists, politicians, policy makers, activists, workers and industry leaders…

  163. 19 Oct: WaPo: Martin Weil: The time has come: The growing season in the D.C. area is officially over
    It was the freezing temperatures in most (if not all ) of the region that did it, the National Weather Service said.
    In an announcement issued Monday afternoon, the local office of the weather service said a freeze “occurred this morning in the majority” of the Washington/Baltimore area…
    Because only a small part of the region has not yet recorded freezing temperatures, the weather service announced that “the growing season for sensitive vegetation is now considered at an end” in the Baltimore/Washington region…
    A record was set for daily low temperature at Baltimore Washington Marshall International Airport.
    The mercury skidded to a low of 29 degrees there, breaking the old October 19th record of 30, which was set in 1976, almost 40 years ago…

    20 Oct: UK Telegraph: Sophie Jamieson: White Christmas predicted as temperatures fall across Britain
    Bookmakers have slashed the odds on a white Christmas in the UK, with freezing weather on the way already
    The Met Office is predicting snow in the Highlands of Scotland on Saturday with the rest of the UK about to turn much colder.
    Temperatures will plunge this weekend with lows of -4C (25F) forecast in the north and 3C (37F) elsewhere…
    In preparation for the cold winter, councils have been ordering in large quantities of salt and grit…

    • Ditto

  164. I’m too lazy, but when is someone going to write a post about the brothers Piers Corbyn, Weather forcaster and vocal “Denier” and Jeremy Corbyn, Leader of the Opposition (UK) ?

  165. Well, it’s back to the future day, and only 3 days till a 10 year major hurricane drought. With nothing brewing in the Atlantic, and PATRICIA expected to hit Mexica as a Cat 1 storm, we are all but certain of reaching 10 years. That is 3652 days.

  166. 22 Oct: Business Standard India: Nitin Sethi: Second Paris climate change agreement draft inflates up
    In the discussions on finance that were held in one spin-off meeting, the key issue of a roadmap for ratcheting up delivery of funds by developed countries remained stuck, as the European Union suggested the matter should be taken up by the ministers and was too difficult to be dealt with at the level of negotiators. It suggested that the negotiators should deal only with ***lesser substantial questions, such as institutional mechanisms for climate finance. Before that, the US reiterated their long-standing position that public funds were expected to be a small portion of the $100 billion that the developed world is required to provide annually starting 2020…
    Several negotiators Business Standard spoke to in the developing world teams confirmed that the spin-off groups were not being productive with all sides bringing back proposals, ideas and insertions that had been crunched down when the co-chairs presented the first draft of the Paris agreement before this round of meeting in Bonn. “At the moment, the text is expanding in all spin-off groups. Developed countries are bringing back ideas that they know are absolutely unacceptable. It’s almost as if they are reacting to the fact that G77+China was able to put back on table their agenda which the co-chairs had wiped clean in the first draft (of the Paris agreement),” said a head of delegation from the G77+China group not willing to be named.
    Outside the spin-off groups, India criticised a report from the OECD, which claimed that more than $60 billion funds had been committed well ahead of the 2020 deadline for the $100 billion. ***Indian negotiators questioned how loans and existing overseas development assistance could be defined as “new and additional funds”. Earlier decisions of the UNFCCC have required that the developed countries provide new and additional funds and not green-wash existing donations or loans and market investments as part of the climate funds…
    ***The US and many developed countries see the deepening low-carbon technology markets due to the new pledges by developing countries as a market opportunity…
    The US special envoy, Todd Stern, on Tuesday, had told the US senate: “No one is in a better position than the US to win big in the multi trillion dollar 21st century market for low carbon energy innovation.”
    An Indian negotiator said as part of this push the US has also asked for long-term low-carbon plans from all countries to provide certainty and signal to their industry…

  167. compare Nitin Sethi’s reporting to Nell’s NPR piece!

    btw what’s with the alcohol analogies? first we had World Bank Rachel Kyte’s Heineken ad reference, now this?
    am surprised the PC brigade haven’t been asked to express outrage over such references causing offense to anti-alcohol States!

    21 Oct: NPR: Nell GreenfieldBoyce: How U.N. Climate Negotiations Are Like Splitting A Bar Tab
    “It’s like all these countries have been at the bar drinking for the afternoon, or for the day, or just showed up recently,” says Andrew Jones, co-director of Climate Interactive, a nonprofit organization based in Washington, D.C. “And some people showed up in the morning, and some people just showed up 10 minutes earlier. And then the bill comes.”
    The U.N. talks aren’t about drinking beer, but rather burning fossil fuels. And although there’s no literal bill, there is a price to pay. Just like with your friends, everyone is supposed to chip in their fair share…
    What countries does Hare (Bill Hare, head of Climate Analytics, Germany) think are like drinking buddies who haven’t put in enough?
    “Canada, Japan, Australia, New Zealand,” he says. “Russia as well, actually, could afford to do a lot more than they’re doing.”
    He thinks China and the European Union have pledged an OK amount.
    “The U.S. is a bit like that guy who always was a bit slow to pay at the bar and then somehow got a few negative messages from their mates,” says Hare, “and then starts to say, ‘OK look, right — now it’s time to catch up a bit, and I’m going to buy a round here and a round there.’”…
    “Some countries are beginning to feel like they’re standing outside a very noisy bar looking for a taxi to get home and some drunken people wander out into the street and get aggressive and push them around,” Hare says…

  168. 21 Oct: ClimateChangeNews: Ed King: Paris climate deal unlikely to need Senate approval, says US envoy
    Todd Stern tells Capitol Hill committee new UN climate deal will be crafted under existing treaties, bypassing requirements for lawmaker approval
    Republicans will be fuming. The rest of the world may breathe a little easier. The US Senate is unlikely to have a veto over a proposed global climate deal…
    Stern was speaking during an interrogation by Senators on Capitol Hill (LINK), a venue with distinctly mixed views on the UN and efforts to crack down on greenhouse gas emissions…
    Due to a row on Capitol Hill only one Republican – the chair Senator Barrasso – asked any hostile questions. The rest were from Democrats broadly sympathetic to climate action…
    Still, climate sceptics are having some success in DC. Billions of dollars promised for the UN-backed Green Climate Fund are already in stasis due to opposition on Capitol Hill…

    US SenateCommittee on Foreign Relations:2015 Paris International Climate Negotiations: Examining the Economic and Environmental Impacts
    Subcommittee on Multilateral International Development, Multilateral Institutions, and International Economic, Energy, and Environmental Policy
    Date: Tuesday, October 20, 2015
    Download Testimony

  169. 21 Oct: ClimateChangeNews: Alex Pashley: Japan bucks trend as G7 quits coal
    Bloc seen phasing out dirty fuel driven by United States, but Japan remains stubborn advocate says report
    The Group of Seven (G7) saw a clear swing away from its reliance on the high-polluting fuel between 2009 and 2014, according to a report by UK-based think tank E3G on Wednesday.
    Though that’s with one exception: Japan.
    As others slim their coal fleets, the Asian member is planning 48 new plants and approving export credits to fund other carbon-intensive ventures in the developing world…
    The US, with a coal fleet twice the size of other G7 members combined, was praised for retiring coal plants and withdrawing support for new ones overseas without carbon-capture technology.
    The Obama administration’s clean power plan places stringent curb on coal station emissions, and backs clean energy investments…
    Developing countries fixed on poverty reduction are ramping up coal power as a cheap source of electricity.
    2,177 were in the planning stages according to a March report by Coal Swarm. With average lifespans of 40 years, that locks in a whole lot more carbon-intensive development that cooks the planet.


    15 Oct: WaPo: Joby Warrick: U.S. exports its greenhouse-gas emissions — as coal. Profitable coal.
    Yet each year, nearly half a billion tons of this U.S.-owned fuel are hauled from the region’s vast strip mines and millions of tons are shipped overseas for other countries to burn. Government and industry reports predict a surge in exports of Powder River coal over the next decade…
    While boasting of pollution cuts at home, the United States is facilitating the sale of large quantities of government-owned coal abroad.
    “We’re a fossil-fuel-exporting super­power that goes around lecturing the rest of the world about cutting emissions,” said Paul Bledsoe, who was an adviser on climate during the Clinton administration…
    Coal accounts for 40 percent of the electricity produced globally — and more in China and India…
    Yet, the government continues issuing new leases for Powder River coal, in ever greater quantities. The Interior Department is finalizing leases for 2.5 billion tons of Powder River coal, and agency documents released earlier this year propose making an additional 10 billion tons available for mining — and, potentially exporting — over the next 25 to 30 years…–as-coal-profitable-coal/2015/10/08/05711c92-65fc-11e5-bdb6-6861f4521205_story.html

  170. read all:

    22 Oct: ReutersCarbonPulse: Mike Szabo:Concerns raised over sustainability of California’s carbon market revenues
    Concerns over the sustainability of California’s cap-and-trade revenues have been raised by companies vying to build trains for the state’s proposed 800-mile high-speed rail network.
    German-headquartered multinational Siemens submitted an expression of interest last month over the $68 billion project to link San Francisco and Los Angeles by bullet train, but in it the company suggested that leveraging long-term financing using California’s carbon market could be difficult due to allowance auction proceeds being a relatively novel and somewhat untested concept…
    “The market feels uncertain on legislative/regulatory questions like duration and how to assess potential procedural inconsistency related to the auctions held. Especially in this early phase of such a promising program, we see it as beneficial to hold off on long-term monetization to avoid underselling (both in regard of volume and pricing) this great funding source for the project.”…
    Siemens’ concerns are echoed by other companies that could compete for the contract, including Kiewit, John Laing Group, OHL Group, Plenery Group and Cintra, according to Reuters.
    California has forecast that carbon revenues will cover around a quarter of the project, but the state is counting on the private sector to stump up as much as $35.5 billion, more than half of the estimated cost of what could turn out to be the most expensive US public works project ever.
    Siemens offered some possibly solutions to the issue, including: READ ON

  171. Science settled? Even Einstein can be proven wrong. And that is what the TU Delft in the Netherlands just did. In 1935, Albert Einstein and two other physicists, Boris Podolsky and Nathan Rosen, described a thought experiment1 that they hoped would demonstrate the absurdity of quantum mechanics. Now the TU Delft has showed that this is wrong:

  172. unbelievable!

    20 Oct: TalkRadioNews: James Cullum: John Kerry: Climate Deniers Should Be Disqualified From High Public Service
    Kerry made the statement at the kickoff of his Climate and Clean Energy Investment Forum
    Climate change deniers do not deserve to serve in high public office, Secretary of State John Kerry said at the kickoff of his Climate and Clean Energy Investment Forum in Washington on Wednesday…
    Kerry also said that Americans favor doing something about climate change.
    “But when I hear a United States senator say, ‘I’m not a scientist so I can’t make a judgment,’ or a candidate for president for that matter, I’m absolutely astounded. I mean, it’s incomprehensible that a grownup who has been to high school and college in the United States of America disqualifies themselves because they’re not a scientist when they’ve learned that the Earth rotates on its axis but they’re not a scientist; where they’ve learned that the sun rises in the east and sets in the west and it does so 24 hours a day; and you can run the list of things that we know science tells us happens, and we accept it every single day.
    “And to suggest that when more than 6,000-plus peer-reviewed studies of the world’s best scientists all lay out that this is happening and mankind is contributing to it, it seems to me that they disqualify themselves fundamentally from high public office with those kinds of statements,” he said.
    Kerry said that the clean energy choices are “staring us in the face.”

  173. for precise wording, see below:

    20 Oct: US Dept of State: Remarks at the Opening Session of the Climate and Clean Energy Investment Forum
    SECRETARY KERRY: …Now, I am well aware that I am speaking to an audience of experts. None of you need to be converted, and none of you, I am sure, probably need to be exhorted, though exhort you I will…
    So it’s becoming even more clear with every record-breaking drought, every record-breaking flood, every hottest month ever announcement, or every year – hottest year that we live through, with every peer-reviewed study that details the catastrophe that climate change could unleash and, frankly, that we’re seeing already in certain places. The canary in the ***gold mine – in the coal mine indicators, which are many in various parts of the world, particularly the Arctic, Antarctic, and in some other places – they all begin to detail the catastrophe that climate change has the potential to unleash…
    Year after year, the science has been screaming at us…The past decade was the hottest on record; the one before that, the second-hottest on record; the one before that, the third-hottest on record. Nineteen of the 20 hottest years in history have occurred in the past two decades.
    Now someone who is younger than 29 years old today – 29 or younger – has not lived through a single month cooler than its 20th century average…
    Google, as cosponsor of this forum, is today announcing its investment in the Lake Turkana wind project in Kenya…
    MS (ANDREA) MITCHELL: — Republican candidates are not only silent on the subject, they are climate deniers. And even candidates who led the way in 2008, the nominee, is now silent on the subject because of Tea Party challenges to himself and to others…
    ***SECRETARY KERRY: But when I hear a United States senator say, “I’m not a scientist so I can’t make a judgment,” or a candidate for president for that matter, I’m absolutely astounded. I mean, it’s incomprehensible that a grownup who has been to high school and college in the United States of America disqualifies themselves because they’re not a scientist when they’ve learned that the Earth rotates on its axis but they’re not a scientist; where they’ve learned that the sun rises in the east and sets in the west and it does so 24 hours a day; and you can run the list of things that we know science tells us happens, and we accept it every single day. And to suggest that when more than 6,000-plus peer-reviewed studies of the world’s best scientists all lay out that this is happening and mankind is contributing to it, it seems to me that they disqualify themselves fundamentally from high public office with those kinds of statements. And I think the American people will decide that this year, because the American people are overwhelmingly in favor of doing something about climate change…

  174. The study coincides with Monday’s start of a week of talks among almost 200 nations in Bonn, the final preparatory session before a U.N. climate summit in Paris in December intended to produce an agreement to limit climate change beyond 2020.

    About 150 nations have so far submitted national plans for fighting climate change as building blocks of a Paris accord. But there is no agreed system to compare each nation’s level of ambition

  175. Secretary’s climate and clean energy investment Forum
    Catalyzing climate solutions
    October 20 – 21, 2015
    Washington, D.C. – Watch Live
    Day 1 – October 20
    U.S. Department of State
    Evening event hosted by Google
    Day 2 – October 21
    McDonough School of Business
    Georgetown University
    Featured Speakers ETC ETC
    Opening Session Moderated by Andrea Mitchell, NBC News Chief Foreign Affairs Correspondent
    *By separate invitation only


    MR (JEREMY) GRANTHAM: And I have less career risk than my colleagues sitting with me and probably any of you, and therefore I’m a good person to try and rouse the rabble. Secretary Kerry said that you didn’t need converting, but I wonder if there’s anyone here who feels he couldn’t be a little more outspoken on this issue, which is existential – it will determine the success of our stable society or not. I wonder if there’s anyone here who couldn’t do a better job and speak out a little more.
    And let me just give credit to the enemy, the obfuscators. They are much better at speaking out. They have people like Richard Lindzen, the infamous professor at MIT who supported tobacco as doing no harm and now supports fossil fuels as being healthy. We have Viscount Ridley and what I call the looney lords in England who – even yesterday, he had a new article in The Telegraph saying that there was no such thing as carbon dioxide, it was good for you. We have the Koch brothers and the Cato Institutes – they do a very good job at obfuscation. They speak out all the time. And we’re not so good; our climate scientists are too nervous protecting the dignity of the science – we have a Jim Hansen here and somebody over there. But in general, they don’t. I have yet to meet a climate scientist who doesn’t think the situation is much worse than is generally understood and that it’s accelerating. We have politicians – one here, thank heavens, Secretary Kerry, and one there – but in general, much more silent than they need to be.
    A quick word on Trudeau: Hallelujah. Canada, who used to be good, was captured by Alberta and the fossil industry, and unexpectedly, the Albertan fossil fuelers were thrown out by liberals and now we have a much greener unexpected prime minister.
    We have the odd mayor of great cities here and there. They’re not actually bad at all, but – a Bloomberg here and someone over there – but not enough. The pension plans – no direct ownership yet of wind or solar. Where are they? We have a CalPERS here and someone over there, but not too many. They’re not pulling their weight. Corporate offices – we have a Unilever here and let me think – yes, one or two.
    If you get it, you have to state it loudly and clearly and often, or we will fail. University presidents – well, not yet, present company excepted – but we have high hopes that someone soon will get it and speak out and set a good example. We have a Pope here and there – well, there’s only one Pope, but – (laughter) – and thank heavens for Pope Francis. That’s career risk. He knew he was going to get hammered and he still did it. We have a Bank of England governor here and there. I mean, what an achievement that was for him to speak out and say what he did about the climate…

  177. 21 Oct: US Dept of State: Commitments at the Secretary’s Climate and Clean Energy Investment Forum
    The State Department is pleased to announce several important commitments made at the Secretary’s Climate and Clean Energy Investment Forum on October 20-21.
    The two-day Forum convened investors, corporations, philanthropies, and policymakers to discuss and promote the impact that climate and clean energy investments can have in the fight against global climate change. It also provided a platform for both the private sector and U.S. Government programs and initiatives to highlight successful efforts to channel investments toward climate solutions.
    Several organizations announced important new investments or commitments to the sector.

  178. only the Chinese news agency, Xinhua, gives Nozipho Mxakato-Diseko some solid coverage. the MSM that constantly claims to be concerned about the poorer nations couldn’t afford her more than a soundbite!

    22 Oct: Global Post: Xinhua: Developing countries urge developed ones to meet obligations in Paris climate agreement
    Nozipho Mxakato-Diseko, the chairperson of the “G77 and China” which represents 134 developing countries, reminded in a statement that under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), the developed countries are obliged to provide finance resources, technology transfer and capacity building to all developing countries to assist them address the challenges of climate change.
    Such obligations also apply in the Paris climate agreement, she said, “This is a legal obligation under the Convention. It is neither ‘aid’ nor ‘charity’, nor is it the same as development assistance.”
    “We find ourselves confronted with a simplistic narrative that suggests that ‘the world has changed since the UNFCCC was adopted in 1992’ due to the dramatic economic development gains of some of our members and hence that it is time to expand the pool of so-called ‘donors’ of climate ‘aid’ and to narrow the list of those eligible to receive this ‘support’ to only the ‘poorest of the poor'”, Mxakato-Diseko said…
    “This narrative serves narrow national interests of developed countries and says little about reality. If the world has really changed so much, we ask why it is that after all these decades all our members remain developing countries with little or no voice in global decision-making processes and institutions?”…
    For them, addressing climate change is not about economic competitiveness or making profits from renewable energies, but a more fundamental issue of human development and environmental protection.
    “The reality is that developing countries require climate financial resources, technology transfer and capacity building both now and far into the future, in some case just to survive – let alone make the transition to the ‘low carbon economy’,” Mxakato-Diseko said.
    However, all too often the developing countries have had to respond to crises without the assistance of developed countries by using their own scarce domestic resources or with voluntary help from fellow developing countries.
    ***”The provision of financial resources, technology transfer and development and capacity building, is central to the Paris Agreement,” said the chairperson…

  179. 21 Oct: MIT to fight climate change, but won’t divest fossil fuels
    The Massachusetts Institute of Technology announced a five-year plan Wednesday to combat climate change but said it won’t divest its $12.4 billion endowment from fossil fuels, despite pressure from students and a campus committee…
    The MIT report warns of “catastrophic outcomes” linked to current energy use, but said the school can help by maintaining ties with fossil fuel companies…

  180. 22 Oct: ClimateChangeNews: Ed King: Life or death: G77 demands climate finance guarantee
    Developing countries are pulling together at interim climate talks in a last push before December’s Paris summit
    “It’s a matter of life or death… and we are dead serious,” ambassador Joyce Mxakato-Diseko, the South African official who chairs the G77, told media in a briefing on Thursday.
    “As a matter of urgency we need finance both now and far into the future. Paris will succeed on whether this is part of the core agreement in Paris.”
    Such is the strength of feeling among developing countries they took the unprecedented step of emailing journalists in Bonn to ask them to report fairly on this issue…
    According to a recent report by the Paris-based OECD, $62.8 billion was mobilised in 2014 from a sources including government funds, multilateral development banks and the private sector…
    The G77 disagrees. “No mandate was given to the OECD,” said Mxakato-Diseko, arguing it had included forms of finance such as development aid that should not have been counted…
    “There are serious and valid concerns over the way that $62 billion figure was arrived at. It accounts for credit guarantees, loans that have to be repaid,” he (Angolan diplomat Giza Gaspar Martins) said…
    It’s a debate that cuts to the heart of these talks. Developing countries want a legally binding target for long term funding to come out of Paris.
    Envoys for developed countries Climate Home has spoken to in Bonn tend to disagree…READ ON

    22 Oct: ClimateChangeNews: Ed King: Green Climate Fund chief confident US will stump up
    US will deliver the US$3 billion promised to help poor countries go green despite Republican opposition, says top official
    The UN’s flagship Green Climate Fund has no plans to scale back initial investment plans, despite US lawmakers blocking a promised US$3 billion contribution.
    “We have signed enough contributions to enable us to start investing, which was important because countries have some urgent investment priorities to undertake,” Hela Cheikhrouhou told media on the sidelines of UN climate talks in Bonn…
    With 136 countries lined up for investments, more funds would be needed in the coming years to ensure the GCF’s scope expanded, said Cheikhrouhou.
    Efforts to draw in more donors would be “accelerating” she added.
    “Whatever the scope and scale, it will be relatively small compared to what is happening in the developing world, which is in the order of the trillions,” she said…READ ON


    22 Oct: UK Express: Leo McKinstry: Blame the green agenda for steel industry’s woes says Leo McKinstry
    THE crisis in the British steel industry deepens
    Britain used to be the world leader in the manufacture of steel. It was a strength that helped to fuel the Industrial Revolution and build the empire. Sadly, it now looks as if this once powerful sector could soon be entering its final days…
    Much of the blame for this decline has been heaped on China…
    But condemnation of China is an inadequate explanation. The more convincing reason lies closer to home in the huge costs that have been piled on our steel industry by the fashionable green agenda. China is far more competitive than Britain in this field partly because her economy is not dragged down by the financial burden that our deluded politicians have chosen to inflict on British manufacturers in the name of fighting climate change…
    Based on political vanity rather than hard evidence, the current obsession with environmentalism has caused far more damage than any actions by the Chinese regime. British industry has been weighed down by a complex array of eco-taxes, including the climate change levy, the EU emissions trading scheme, the carbon price floor and the carbon reduction commitment.
    The Government revels in such measures, not only because they enable ministers to parade their green credentials but also because they bring in £45billion-a-year in revenue. In addition 15 per cent of the energy supplied to manufacturers and households is required to come from so-called “renewable” sources mainly expensive, inefficient wind turbines…
    Even if man-made climate change exists, which is fiercely disputed by many, it will not be affected by anything we do in our country, given the phenomenal expansion of industry in the developing world…
    Devoid of any rationale the environmental agenda amounts to nothing more than a brutal form of punishment by our ruling elite.

    links to the CCC (Lord Deben) report. check out the elite membership of the Committee:

    22 Oct: ReutersCarbonPulse: Ben Garside: UK advisory body sets post-2020 carbon price targets
    The UK should set a carbon price of £42 (€58, $65) in 2015 and £78 in 2030 to keep on track to meet its long term emission goals, the government’s advisory Committee on Climate Change said in a report (LINK) on Thursday…
    The price guidance is well above analyst projections of EU carbon prices of £24 in 2030…

  182. how thoughtful of them!

    22 Oct: Forbes: Lauren Gensler: Coming Soon: More Green And Social Options In Your 401(k)
    On Thursday, U.S. Secretary of Labor Thomas Perez said that the fiduciaries who manage employer-sponsored retirement plans should no longer harbor any prejudices against investments just on the basis that they seek to make an environmental or social impact.
    “Investing in the best interests of a retirement plan and in the growth of a community can go hand in hand,” Perez said at a press conference in New York City, noting that he rejects the notion there is a false choice involved…
    This announcement paves the way for more people, through their workplace 401(k)s as well as pension funds, to invest in things like green bonds and mutual funds that take into account environmental, social and governance factors.
    The government has backtracked on 2008 guidance that discouraged these investments by making them sound unsuitable under fiduciary obligations. Managers of employer retirement plans steered away from investments that touted non-financial returns because they feared running afoul of government guidelines.
    “We’ve been told this has had a chilling effect,” said Perez. “It gave cooties to impact investments.”…
    The new guidance “democratizes” the ability for more people to use their dollars for financial and real world impact, as Matthew Patsky, CEO of Trillium Asset Management, puts it…

  183. I think the most important thing you could do is create a small organized link farm page using only official indisputable sources of data and graphs before any adjustments for use in online social media debates.. So much of the debating tactics of the alarmists involves simply dismissing the source of claims and it’s very difficult to find the source data in official form in many cases and linking to editorials or blogs won’t cut it.
    There needs to be a place with quick access to a graph form an unimpeachable source showing the pause for instance. There are so many variations of the same chart out there even from the same source. We need the rawest one possible sourced as officially as possible on demand when someone says there is no hiatus. So then they have their adjusted NOAA paper and we have the actual raw satellite measurements from NASA. We win the debate.

    The other day I was looking for what percent of c02 was emitted by humans as opposed to other sources and the only official source i could find was 20 years old from the EPA.. Other than that the only thing that comes up is editorials attempting to excuse the fact that humans Emmit such a small amount and they often don’t even give the percentages


  184. 23 Oct: ReutersCarbonPulse: Ben Garside: Swollen UN climate text ups workload for Paris summit
    UN-led negotiations took a step backwards during this week’s UN climate talks in Bonn as draft text for a global pact grew longer during the penultimate formal session before the crunch December Paris summit.
    The UNFCCC secretariat on Friday published the new text, with the main agreement portion swelling to a heavily-bracketed 34 pages, primarily to reflect complaints from developing nations that the previous nine-page version had ignored many of their proposals.
    Calls to reduce aviation and shipping emissions have been included, and there are more provisions to underpin carbon markets and international trade, the absence of which had concerned some market proponents…
    One of those 20 groups was carbon trading lobby IETA, which said the additional text included much of what it had been seeking.
    “(The text) now makes clear that countries can cooperate on markets with proper accounting of transfers, and it sets policy to avoid double-counting of emissions reductions. It also creates a sustainable development crediting mechanism,” said IETA’s Jeff Swartz…
    But environmental groups warned governments that holding back on substantial negotiations threatened the overall deal.
    “Everyone wants to play their cards late, but not everyone can have the ace of spades. This process is too important to be a high-risk poker game. They need to put down their cards, and play together as a team,” said Martin Kaiser of Greenpeace, part of CAN, a coalition of ***950 green groups…
    Upcoming key dates: …READ ON

  185. excellent piece by Graham Lloyd – a MUST-READ:

    24 Oct: Australian: Graham Lloyd: Political potholes on the road to Paris climate change talks
    This week green groups were locked out of talks as negotiators grappled with who would fund and control more than $100 billion a year in climate finance for the developing world.
    From the sidelines, campaigners were calling for ever tougher actions on fossil fuels, pinning their hopes on the expansion of renewable technologies that so far have proved to be hugely expensive or not fit for purpose…
    But the bigger truth is that behind the fervour of urgency projected by climate groups, Australia’s redemption mirrors an equally unexpected retreat to the centre by former climate action leaders in Europe, where coal use is rising to the point that Germany is considered unlikely to meet its voluntary greenhouse gas targets.
    In Britain there is crisis in the solar and wind industries over subsidy cuts, grave concerns about winter electricity supplies because of the intermittency of renewables, and moral crisis over the closure, in part because of prohibitive energy costs from a fixed floor carbon price, of big steelmakers…
    As the Copenhagen Consensus Centre’s Bjorn Lomborg has written, despite the billions of dollars spent globally on wind and solar they still represent only a few per cent of energy production. Even with the trillions of dollars that will be spent in the future, all projections still envisage the majority of electricity supply coming from fossil fuels for many decades to come…
    Some leading climate scientists, such US-based Judith Curry, say the sensitivity of the climate system to carbon dioxide has been overstated, bringing into question just how serious long-term temperature rises will be.
    And there is a growing push to highlight the benefits of rising levels of carbon dioxide for plant growth and human comfort…
    But for many, the dream of a developing world powered by solar with batteries is the modern equivalent of “let them eat cake”.

  186. ***a convenient hurricane…55 pages…and living in “an entirely different world”, admittedly made richer during all the CAGW they tout!

    23 Oct: Financial Times: Pilita Clark: Climate talks fail to break deadlock
    Tense talks aimed at smoothing the way for a new global climate change accord ended on Friday with an emotional appeal from Mexico’s envoy for delegates to stop bickering as his country prepared to be struck by one of the strongest hurricanes on record.
    ***Struggling to hold back tears, Roberto Dondisch Glowinski told a meeting wracked by bitter squabbles that people were being evacuated ahead of the level-five Hurricane Patricia…
    But the negotiations ran overtime on Friday after delegates sparred over a draft text of the accord that ballooned from 20 to ***55 pages, in a jarring reminder of the difficulties lying ahead of the French meeting.
    “This is not where we need to be so close to the Paris conference,” said Australia’s climate envoy, Peter Woolcott…
    Laurence Tubiana, France’s climate ambassador, said she was disappointed the Bonn meeting had ended without any real negotiating taking place. “We have no Plan B”…
    “I’ve seen this movie before,” said Venezuelan envoy, Claudia Salerno, as the talks bogged down in acrimonious procedural debates late on Thursday.
    “I hope this is not going to be a really, really nasty second Copenhagen,” she said…
    But EU envoys slammed what they described as “outdated rhetoric” from developing countries that ignored the fact that the world had changed significantly since the climate talks began in the 1990s.
    ***“We live in an entirely different world,” said Elina Bardram, head of the European Commission’s delegation. “The donor base can be broader.”…

  187. 23 Oct: NYT Dot Earth: Andrew C. Revkin: Climate Talks Imperiled by Rich-Poor Fight Over Hard Targets for Aid
    But a much tougher battle for hard targets — over money — has moved into the foreground and could still do for Paris what the emissions fight did for Copenhagen. As the final preparatory weeklong round of talks in Bonn wound to a close tonight, developing countries stood firm on calls for cash, not another I.O.U…
    It’s tough to see how that stalemate can break, but given the pressure for “success” in Paris (pick your definition), presumably something will be worked out some time on Dec. 12 (the day after the talks are scheduled to end).
    Here are a couple of relevant Twitter comments, starting with a note about Mexico’s lead delegate growing emotional in describing the danger posed by Hurricane Patricia…
    Here’s the best possible interpretation of the outcome, from Christiana Figueres, who leads the U.N. office shepherding the talks…
    Figueres Tweet: We now have balanced & complete Party-owned text. Challenge = bring it down to concise & coherent form…
    All of which brings back to mind my quandary over whether the best soundtrack for the treaty process comes from the Talking Heads (“Same as it ever was….”) or T Bone Burnett (“They just talk, talk, talk, talk, talk, but they don’t say nothing….”).
    Actually, I vote for T Bone…
    (only four comments when posting, but worth noting.)

  188. 23 Oct: WaPo: Ed Rogers: The Insiders: Obama’s road to Paris is paved with pretentious hypocrisy
    The U.N.-sponsored Paris festival lends itself to unrealistic giveaways and meaningless rhetoric — the more self-righteous and pretentious, the better. The meeting won’t produce any particular result, and the day of reckoning where we find out it was all for naught won’t be scientifically determined until many years in the future. It seems well-suited for this president.
    All Obama has to do is go to Paris, give a vapid speech about saving the planet, capitulate to those who would like to see the United States weakened, pretend that others will fulfill their pledges to reduce carbon emissions and then return home to a round of self-congratulations from his own staff and sycophant appointees. To follow up on his brave proposals, all he has to do is sign a couple of executive orders that slap American businesses with some gratuitous, onerous regulations and declare that a noble deed has been done. And, by the way, the White House will have to do whatever it takes to keep any agreement reached in Paris from being voted on in Congress…
    Isn’t it a little ironic that the elite will meet in Paris, of all places, to plan the energy scarcity they want the rest of us to endure? The bar at the Hotel George V seems to be the perfect place to decide that Africa will remain energy-starved and the rest of us will have to pay more for the energy we have.
    The pious media parade has already begun…
    No skeptics will be given the microphone. Only the most zealous among the affluent will be allowed to talk and only the most compliant among the poor will be allowed to beg…
    Thankfully, a few sober Republican senators, including Sen. James Inhofe (R-Okla.), are on the case…


    Arizona State University are proud to announce the “2016 Climate Fiction Short Story Contest”.

    I say post it and get everyone to channel their inner great writer and submit something interesting. I did and it was fun. In my case it was more of “Calvin & Hobbes” mischief than “Mark Twain or Ernest Hemingway” great writing.

    I don’t think mine has a chance of winning because my variation of human caused climate change involves the interglacial ending and in desperation the people of Earth open up Panama to allow the Pacific to circulate into the Atlantic melting the Arctic.

    It works and everyone is saved but I don’t think they like happy endings :)

  190. the MSM – and Bonn – got their “strongest” “most powerful” stories, that is all that matters:

    24 Oct: Reuters: David Alire Garcia: Hurricane Patricia batters Mexico as one of strongest storms ever
    PUERTO VALLARTA, Mexico (Reuters) – Hurricane Patricia, one of the most powerful storms on record, struck Mexico’s Pacific coast on Friday with destructive winds that tore down trees, moved cars and forced thousands of people to flee homes and beachfront resorts.
    Hours after making landfall, the storm weakened but still packed winds of 130 miles per hour (210 km per hour). There were no reported casualties and officials said the damage might not be as catastrophic as feared…
    While still out to sea as a Category 5 hurricane, Patricia blew furious winds of 200 mph (322 kph)…
    Before reaching land, Patricia was the strongest hurricane ever recorded in the Western Hemisphere…
    The strongest storm ever recorded was Cyclone Tip which hit Japan in 1979.
    (Additional reporting by Mexico City Newsroom and Tom Miles in Geneva; Editing by Dave Graham, Kieran Murray and Lisa Shumaker)–one-of-strongest-storms-ever–slams-into-mexico/41737914

  191. 23 Oct: ClimateDepot: Marc Morano: Fighting AGW is a ‘mad obsession’ – New 195-Page White Paper by French Scientists Declare: ‘The battle against global warming is an absurd, costly & pointless crusade’
    The Paris France based Mathematical Calculation Society, SA: ‘There is not a single fact, figure or observation that leads us to conclude that the world‘s climate is in any way =disturbed‘. It is variable, as it has always been, but rather less so now than during certain periods or geological eras.’
    ‘Rising sea levels are a normal phenomenon linked to upthrust buoyancy; they are nothing to do with so-called global warming. As for extreme weather events – they are no more frequent now than they have been in the past.’
    ‘We are fighting for a cause (reducing CO2 emissions) that serves absolutely no purpose, in which we alone believe, and which we can do nothing about. You would probably have to go quite a long way back in human history to find such a mad obsession.’…

    23 Oct: CFact: Craig Rucker: UN climate text adds “An International Tribunal of Climate Justice”
    Negotiators at the UN climate talks in Bonn, Germany resurrected the “International Tribunal of Climate Justice” and inserted it into the text they are preparing for nations to agree to at the big UN summit in Paris in December. The draft text will allow developing nations to sit in judgment over the U.S. and its allies, but not subject those nations to the tribunal’s jurisdiction themselves. From the October 20th UN draft text (full text available at…

  192. Hello Anthony. I’m not sure if this is the proper avenue to comment along this venue. It was a pleasure to meet and talk with you at TIA this afternoon. I hope all went well and you arrived home uneventfully. I would like to hear more about the status of your study (not that I am unfamiliar with it but it was interesting to hear about current developments) and perhaps assist where I can.

    My best,

    Hank Hancock


    ‘Congressional skeptic on global warming demands records from U.S. climate scientists’

    ‘Rep. Lamar Smith (R-Tex.), chairman of the House Committee on Science, Space and Technology and a prominent congressional skeptic on climate change, issued the subpoenas two weeks ago demanding e-mails and records from U.S. scientists who participated in the study, which undercut a popular argument used by critics who reject the scientific consensus that man-made pollution is behind the planet’s recent warming.’

    Note: ‘critics who reject the scientific consensus that man-made pollution is behind the planet’s recent warming.’ – Pollution? I think the WAPO is a bit polluted…

  194. Cyclic comet catastrophies
    Earth is in grave danger of being hit by a catastrophic comet shower triggered by the sun, warn scientists

    The study found that we wrongly thought we were in a ‘safe zone’
    Scientists discovered a correlation between extinction events on Earth to the path our solar system takes through crowded areas of the Milky Way
    The galactic disk of the Milky Way contains dense clumps of dark matter
    Researchers claim the dark matter can throw comets into planet’s path

    2015 Pubs by Michael Rapino

    Disc dark matter in the Galaxy and potential cycles of extraterrestrial impacts, mass extinctions and geological events, Michael R. Rampino

    Giant comets and mass extinctions of life W.M. Napier

    Relationship between key events in Earth’s history revealed Michael P. Gillman and Hilary E. Erenler 2015


    ‘Snow Leopards May Soon Vanish, Thanks In Part To Climate Change’

    the comments are so entertaining:

    Gord James

    Shameful and we are in the queue as well.
    There is no escaping the ravages of climate change as we appear to lack the collective will to stop it

    Like · Reply · 19 · Oct 22, 2015 9:57pm

    James Cornelius · College of the Redwoods

    You speak the truth.

    Like · Reply · 4 · Oct 22, 2015 10:35pm

    Barbara Bowman · Works at Where I Work

    We deserve our own demise as we are 100% responsible for this tragedy. The shame is that we take these other incredible creatures with us.

    Like · Reply · 13 · Oct 23, 2015 4:56am

    Gord James

    Shameful and we are in the queue as well.
    There is no escaping the ravages of climate change as we appear to lack the collective will to stop it

    James Cornelius · College of the Redwoods

    You speak the truth.

    Barbara Bowman · Works at Where I Work

    We deserve our own demise as we are 100% responsible for this tragedy. The shame is that we take these other incredible creatures with us.

    Barry Wolk · Hollywood, Florida

    Barbara Bowman

    You are SO right, Barbara! Us humans don’t inhabit this earth… we Infest it!

    Well, that last comment is certainly correct: We are infested by chicken little alarmists.

  196. 55 pages:

    23 Oct: ClimateChangeNews: Ed King: UN calls for ministers as climate talks head for Paris
    As fraught final round of interim talks ends, diplomats turn to their political masters to land an elusive global deal
    Enter the politicians. Officials working on plans for a global climate change deal say it’s time for ministers and world leaders to get stuck into the meat of UN negotiations.
    After a rotten start, five days of talks between nearly 200 countries in Bonn this week concluded on Friday with the publication of a new draft text for a deal, to be finalised at a Paris summit this December.
    At ***55 pages it’s heavier than the 22 which made up an October 5 version, but contains “everything we need to get a good deal”, according to lead Greenpeace climate policy advisor Martin Kaiser…
    In turn the EU and US want developing countries to recognise there’s now a broader base of potential climate finance providers on offer, including the private sector and emerging economies like China, which recently pledged $3.1 billion.
    ***With trillions needed to drive green investments and prepare for future climate impacts, (EU lead negotiator Elina) Bardram argued all these sources of funds must be accounted for…

  197. 24 Oct: ClimateChangeNews: Alex Pashley: Don’t bet on a Polish EU climate policy revolt – analysts
    Opposition bid to renegotiate bloc’s 2030 package dismissed as ‘posturing’, as voters set to dump government
    The likely winner of Poland’s upcoming legislative elections has vowed to shun EU climate targets threatening the country’s ailing coal industry.
    But the conservative Law and Justice party (PiS) can do little to evade Brussels’ commitment to cut emissions and deploy clean power, analysts said.
    PiS is primed to win power from the Civic Platform (CO), which has been the main governing party since 2008, in Sunday’s election riding a wave of anti-establishment feeling.
    Its candidate Andrzej Duda won the presidency in June with a pro-coal message, and needs lawmakers to enact his agenda…
    “If the opposition wins the elections, the attitude towards EU climate policy gets even worse,” said Severin Fischer at the Zurich-based Center for Security Studies.
    “Of course it is election campaigning. We can’t take it too serious.”…
    Relying on coal for about 85% of its electricity generation, Poland has resisted EU drives towards a low carbon energy transition…READ ALL

  198. BBC’s Matt McGrath: at Paris, 2 things on the agenda: 1, to curb emissions. 2, they want to change the way we do business, farm, produce, consume…change the very nature of progress.

    VIDEO: 1min: BBC: COP21: Why does Paris climate change conference matter?
    BBC environment correspondent Matt McGrath asks what nations want from next month’s climate change conference in Paris – and why it matters.

    23 Oct: Times of India: Vishwa Mohan: Climate negotiators end Bonn mission with expanded draft text, issue of finance remains unresolved
    The questions over nature of contribution from rich nations and debate on the issue of beneficiaries are now left for ministers of different countries to settle during the three-day pre-COP (conference of parties) meeting in Paris during November 8-10…
    “Climate finance will be a sticky issue and I believe this is one of the main reasons for keeping observer organizations out of the negotiations (in Bonn). While the draft text does have many options to keep the core issues under the agreement, the developed countries continue to hope that this will be dealt with ***outside the agreement”, said Arjuna Srinidhi of the Delhi-based think-tank Centre for Science and Environment (CSE)…
    The rich nations have, however, not provided any clear road map as how they would capitalize the GCF from 2020 onwards.
    They, in fact, want to keep the issue of ‘climate finance’ ***outside the agreement, double count ODA as climate finance and account for loans in the same category…

  199. hilarious, take a walk with Harrabin, who notes a sleeping participant & says you can’t blame him, these talks have gone on for years and years…then it’s on to the observers who are “cross” because they’ve been excluded from the sessions…

    VIDEO: 2mins26secs: 23 Oct: BBC: Inside Bonn climate change talks
    The BBC’s Roger Harrabin takes you inside the talks in Bonn.

  200. What happened with Patricia – “the strongest hurricane ever recorded in the western world”?
    Who registered and keeps the data about the growth and fall of this “record” storm that turned out to be 35 mph when it reached land and was observed by other witnesses than the single NOAA plane? Are we talking modelled data here? Why did’nt any tiny fishing boats sink out there? Who else can actually testify that the extereme weather data were correct? I really started wondering when the spokeswoman for WMO started acting as a weather forecast central. Was Patricia actually more of a pre-Paris-stunt?

      • Thx Gil,
        I really hope some WUWT experts will look closely into this case and examine the actual observed facts. It seems like a high wind speed was picked out and then extremely high-lighted as the critical alarm issue, while “forgetting” the other side of the story: Just one of many common and instant offshore build-ups during the hurricane season, i .e. an intense, but relatively small and short-lived weather phenomena that never had the potential to survive the onshore contact.

  201. Project Syndicate ( generates a lot of Sunday newspaper stuffers in foreigh languages, like Spanish. Here is an article by our very own Bill Gates, published (in Spanish) in today’s El Tiempo, Bogota, Colombia. I have to ask myself, is Gates a liar or just a plain moron? Here is the URL of the article in English:

    ‘Who Will Suffer Most from Climate Change?’

    just a sample:

    ‘Now, climate change is set to add a fresh layer of risk to their lives. Rising temperatures in the decades ahead will lead to major disruptions in agriculture, particularly in tropical zones. Crops won’t grow because of too little rain or too much rain. Pests will thrive in the warmer climate and destroy crops.

    Farmers in wealthier countries will experience changes, too. But they have the tools and supports to manage these risks. The world’s poorest farmers show up for work each day for the most part empty-handed. That’s why of all the people who will suffer from climate change, they are likely to suffer the most.

    Poor farmers will feel the sting of these changes at the same time the world needs their help to feed a growing population. By 2050, global food demand is expected to increase by 60%. Declining harvests would strain the global food system, increasing hunger and eroding the tremendous progress the world has made against poverty over the last half-century.’

    So, is he a liar, or just a moron?

  202. Is there any data available for ground based measurements of wind velocites at landfall for Patricia? Seems like all the hype may have been due to estimates from one (or more) passes of the USAF hurricane hunters recon aircraft which differed greatly from NHCs preceeding model-based estimates. Who was wrong? Doesn’t seem like there was a lot of damages for the “strongest ever”?

    • As described in my comment above, and followed up by Gil Dewart, this smells pre-Paris: Singling out and highlighting a very “eye-local” high wind speed observation (but where is the data? And by whom?) while “forgetting” that it was quite a small scale weather phenomenon that consequently would be quickly reduced in power before reaching the coast.


    Renee Karunungan
    Renee is a human rights defender and climate justice campaigner from the Philippines.

    ‘Should Chevron and Shell Pay for Climate Damage?’

    ‘The thousands of people who died because of Haiyan, the lands which are no longer suitable to live in, these are all losses and damages we have incurred because of climate change. And we will continue to experience climate change impacts beyond our capabilities if we do not address climate change today.

    Developing countries lose more and are damaged more. This is why developing countries have been continuously, tirelessly fighting for loss and damage in the climate negotiations. Meanwhile, developed countries like the United States, those who have caused the climate change we know today, have only evaded the topic.’

    And silly old me, I thought that the more developed countries suffered the most damage…

  204. For those in the DC area – free event this Friday.

    Preparing for Paris: What to Expect from the U.N.’s 2015 Climate Change Conference

    October 30, 2015 10:30AM to 5:00PM

    10:30am – 12:00pm
    Panel 1: Developments Since the Last Scientific Assessment of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

    Judith Curry, Georgia Institute of Technology
    Ryan Maue, WeatherBell Analytics
    Roy Spencer, National Aeronautic and Space Administration
    John Nielsen-Gammon, Texas State Climatologist
    Moderator: Robert (Bob) Ryan, Past President, American Meteorological Society

    Conference attendees will receive a free print edition of the new ebook Lukewarming: The New Climate Science That Changes Everything, by Patrick Michaels and Paul Knappenberger, being released in the next several weeks.

  205. Serious talk is starting in the EU. The migrant crisis now officially threatens EU existence with Junker in Brussels calling on the constituent governments.

    The influx looks too large to be handled by repatriation alone. Germany will likely re-establish concentration camps. Then when fighting breaks out and executions begin the value of the euro will collapse falling far below parity with the US dollar. That will cause a run on bonds, followed by stocks and then local bank. Recession time European Style.

    And the politics of Climate Change? Quickly forgotten when German troops engage Hungarian troops on the boarder lands and the new European war starts.

  206. Macquarie University (Sydney, Australia) is presenting a panel session on The Anthropocene
    The usual suspects such as Will Steffen and David Karoly are on the panel, which will claim that human influence (read “CO2”) is so large that it has created a new geological age. They don’t seem to be aware that the warming of the late 20th century, even if it was caused by humans (a notion that is still disputed within the scientific community) was tiny compared with just the global temperature changes that occurred regularly over the last half-million years. And they certainly don’t understand what geological time means.

    The stupidity is mind-boggling. Sorry I’m travelling and can’t write it up for WUWT. Maybe someone else can…..

  207. ***could Reuters be more CAGW-compromised?

    26 Oct: ReutersCarbonPulse: Poland elects eurosceptic party opposing EU emission laws
    Poland’s eurosceptic Law & Justice (PiS) party claimed a decisive victory in the country’s parliamentary elections on Sunday, bringing to power a government with senior figures that have said they would push for an opt-out of EU climate policies.
    Such an opt-out would mean companies in Europe’s third biggest emitter would no longer be regulated in the EU ETS, though analysts have dismissed such a drastic move as renegoting the terms of Poland’s EU membership as political posturing.
    Piotr Naimski, a senior MP from the party said in August that “Poland quitting the ETS “is not impossible”, adding that a failure of a UN climate deal in Paris this December would be in Poland’s interests.
    Earlier this month PiS leader Jaroslaw Kaczynski said the country should have many more power plants to keep pace with rising demand for electricity if Poland’s economy develops quickly.
    “We have to fight for this in the European Union. As to the climate package renegotiation is needed. We should not have agreed to that, it could have been vetoed,” Kaczynski said at a televised briefing in the town of Konin, home to a lignite coal-fuelled power station.
    ***Read a Carbon Pulse briefing on why a combination of changes to EU lawmaking procedures and a new hardline Polish government come to a head raise the prospect of Poland’s EU opt-out.
    ***This could in turn trigger more ambitious climate policies among the remaining 27 nations no longer restrained by a government that has consistently sought to weaken climate action.

  208. 26 Oct: SMH: Meet Alan Finkel, the man tipped to become Australia’s next Chief Scientist
    by Jane Lee & Peter Hannam
    The man reportedly tipped to become Australia’s next Chief Scientist lives in a house entirely powered by renewable energy and believes that everyone will eventually drive an electric car like him…
    In stark contrast to the climate-denialist image that plagued the Abbott government, Dr Finkel, the outgoing chancellor of Monash University, has publicly advocated for nuclear power and electric cars to help reduce Australia’s carbon emissions in the fight against global warming.
    In an essay this year in Cosmos, a magazine he co-founded, Dr Finkel revealed that the electricity in his home was “100 per cent green”, from either wind farm or solar energy sources.
    Electric cars were the “transport technology of the future”, the engineer and entrepreneur wrote in the science magazine…
    ***Mr McKeon said that one notable failure among Dr Finkel’s CV of successes, his time as chief technology officer at Better Place, would one day be viewed more favourably.
    “Better Place will just be shown as a company that was ahead of its time,” he said. “Science is all about risk.”
    Better Place aimed to supply battery-switching services to what was expected to be a mass roll-out of electric vehicles. It filed for bankruptcy in Israel in 2013 after burning through $US850 million (then worth about $885 million) in private funds…

    more on the “Better Place” where Finkel was chief technology officer:

    April 2014: Bolt Blog: The car crash of another green dream
    Electric cars were going to save the world, not least from global warming. But as almost always, green schemes mean red ink…
    “Agassi got virtually every meeting he ever asked for–with world leaders, celebrities, and CEOs of some of the world’s largest companies. The press anointed him the creator of a Next Big Thing. (Fast Company included Agassi on its 2009 Most Creative People in Business list.) Money from investors came fast and in big waves, roughly $900 million, and it seemed like it would never stop flowing. Until, suddenly, it did…
    “Better Place declared bankruptcy. The company and its affiliates in Australia and Denmark had raised almost $1 billion. They had only put around 1,400 or so electric cars on the road by the time the court-ordered liquidation started that spring.
    “This disaster broke over the heads of a couple of Australians. From 2010″…READ ON

  209. This may be important and useful, I to started to read it.

    “mikewaite October 26, 2015 at 2:36 am
    I have just noticed an interesting post on the JoNova site with details of a report by the French Society of Mathematicians which is very scathing about the current IPCC policy recommendations .
    Since the society is involved with modelling their report
    (in English) may be an antidote to some of the opinions expressed by the modeller Dr Bows-Larkin.
    I have only just down loaded it so have not had time to read it in detail (and almost certainly not the competence to judge it) but the pictures look interesting , especially when concerned with adjustments, or corrections, to temperature data.”


    • There seems to be a misunderstanding concerning the nature of the French organization. The SCM SA does not seem to be a professional scientific society but a private company (hence the SA at the end of its name). Although this does not affect the argumentation they provide, it does make a difference for how their arguments should be presented.


    Time to Wake Up: Touched a Nerve

    by one of our favorite pendejos: Sheldon Whitehouse

    ‘That was in 1977. That same year, James F. Black, a top scientific researcher at the Exxon Corporation gave that company’s executives a similar warning: “[T]here is general scientific agreement,” he told Exxon’s Management Committee, “that the most likely manner in which mankind is influencing the global climate is through carbon dioxide release from the burning of fossil fuels.” According to emerging reports, Exxon executives kept that warning a closely guarded company secret for years.’

    Exxon kept ‘climate change’ a secret? I wonder how they managed to do that? On the other hand, it is no secret that Whitehouse is an idiot…

  211. Here’s something I’ve been curious about, but don’t have the expertise to pursue.

    We are all familiar with Jagadish Shukla and his involvement with Mason U, his non-profit profiteering, his nepotism and his political activism. A lot of overlapping incomes, project and work hours. All of which are highly questionable given his supposedly full time commitments to the university.

    It’s got me thinking about David Suzuki. A few years back he separated himself, to some extent, from the David Suzuki foundation in response to the govt of Canada changing or strengthening laws against non-profits politicking.

    He’s been a professor at U of BC. I’m assuming he takes a full salary there. He is also involved with the CBC quite heavily, and I assume gets a good income from them. He is also involved, obviously, to some extent with the David Suzuki foundation. And he flies around all over the place to give talks which he is well compensated for.

    So… how is this possible? If he has 40 to 50, maybe 60 at most, hours a week to apply to these activities, how can he be a professor, a TV personality and a jet setting activist all at the same time? There has got to be some overlap. Or very short hours at the university.

    It might be interesting for someone, with the time and skills necessary, to have a really good look at Suzuki’s financials and various commitments and see if they make sense. We may have another Jagadish-type scandal sitting there being ignored.

  212. Anthony,
    I see WUWT is homing in on 250m views fast (249,138,834 as I type). I hope you will be marking this special event?

  213. read all:

    26 Oct: ReutersCarbonPulse: Stian Reklev: Foreign firms drive trade in Guangdong ETS as low liquidity haunts pilots
    Two foreign companies account for as much as 80% of the volume growth in Guangdong’s carbon market in recent months, a conference heard on Monday, with speakers identifying the main factors holding back liquidity in China’s seven pilot schemes.
    Since July 1, just shy of 5 million allowances have traded in the Guangdong ETS, compared to only 3.2 million in the first 20 months of the scheme, making it the second most liquid of the seven pilots.
    “A couple of international investors have contributed a lot, 80% of the volume increase comes from them,” one source told a conference in Beijing, but could not be named as the event was held under ***Chatham House rules.
    Three foreign firms are currently registered to trade carbon in Guangdong, two of which are BP and Shell. The identity of the third has not been released.
    BP last week signed an agreement with China National Petroleum Corporation to cooperate on carbon trading…

  214. ***new tactic…presume success at Paris.
    includes Poland, yet it’s arguing for something completely different from the rest.
    plus there’s a CAGW NGO touting China’s ETS, without a Reuters’ response that it’s a farce!

    26 Oct: ReutersCarbonPulse: Ben Garside: EU nations raise prospect of reviewing 2030 emission goals after Paris
    Several EU environment ministers on Monday called for a review of the bloc’s 2030 emission goals following a ***successful December UN climate conference, a move that raises the prospect of raising the 40% reduction target or changing plans to give free carbon allowances to industry…
    “Some expressed the wish to deepen the discussion in the light of the ***outcome of the Paris climate conference,” said Luxembourg’s environment minister Carole Dieschbourg…
    Five nations – Finland, France, Lithuania, Poland, and Slovenia – made the calls during a morning segment of the day-long talks…
    France’s Environment Minister Segolene Royal said in an emailed statement that the ETS proposal must take into account the developments of carbon pricing in the rest of the world…
    While Royal’s remark suggests deepening the EU goal, Poland’s comments were more defensive and raised the prospect that more carbon leakage protection be given to EU industries if other nations fail to match the bloc’s efforts…
    For environmental campaigners, the evidence is emerging ahead of Paris that the EU can easily deepen its emission goal and scale back free allocation…
    Yet some EU industries insist that even with the proposed free allocations to 2030, their industries face ruin without expanded carbon leakage support. “Recent research shows that the proposal would cost the industry around €34 billion in direct and indirect carbon costs between 2021 and 2030, wiping out the industry’s already squeezed margins,” said Axel Eggert of EU steel industry lobby Eurofer. “This proposal presents an existential threat to the 330,000 jobs that the industry supports,” he said in a statement.

  215. can’t recall seeing this on WUWT!

    23 Oct: WaPo: Joby Warrick: Congressional skeptic on global warming demands records from U.S. climate scientists
    Chris Mooney contributed to this report
    The head of a congressional committee on science has issued subpoenas to the Obama administration over a recent scientific study refuting claims that global warming had “paused” or slowed over the last decade.
    Rep. Lamar Smith (R-Tex.), chairman of the House Committee on Science, Space and Technology and a prominent congressional skeptic on climate change, issued the subpoenas two weeks ago demanding e-mails and records from U.S. scientists who participated in the study, which undercut a popular argument used by critics who reject the scientific consensus that man-made pollution is behind the planet’s recent warming.
    Smith’s document request to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration ordered the agency to turn over scientific data as well as internal “communications between or among employees” involved in the study…
    “This scandal-ridden administration’s lack of openness is the real problem,” Smith said in a statement released by his office. “Congress cannot do its job when agencies openly defy Congress and refuse to turn over information. When an agency decides to alter the way it has analyzed historical temperature data for the past few decades, it’s crucial to understand on what basis those decisions were made.”…READ ON

  216. Hi Anthony,
    Thanks ever so much for your on-going efforts. I learn from this site every day.

    I have been trying out my fledgling skeptical wings by posting comments to various articles I read elsewhere. Sometimes I have even battled to a draw, but more often, I get involved in conversations where I begin to lose my footing. I am not a scientist, so I have frequently been stymied by responses that I don’t have the scientific tools to rebut.

    It would great to have a place here to ask for others to help me understand if those arguments have merit or not, and if not, how to rebut them. I have tried using the reference pages, but the charts and graphs are daunting if not near impossible for me to interpret without guidance.

    I have posted questions in the comments sections at WUWT, and people have been very kind and patient in helping me. But that is in response to specific articles posted here. I need help in responding to discussions in articles posted elsewhere, that touch on subjects you may not be discussing here at the moment.

    I’m thinking of a sort of arsenal where we skeptic warriors can come to find the exact right tools to deal with the type of assault we face on different fronts (if that’s not stretching an analogy too far!)

    I feel that if I can cause just one person to reconsider their CAGW position, or even to just be open enough to see what the other side has to offer, then I have helped in some small way. If I can do that every day, then maybe it could start to have an exponential effect.


  217. 249,154,399 views … That is the current count as of this comment.

    WUWT will most likely pass the ‘half a billion’ mark prior to the Paris Circus. That’s quite an achievement from the times when WUWT and Anthony Watts were names not to be spoken by the “team” around the time of the release of the ClimateGate emails.

    WUWT is being spoken and read.

  218. 24 Oct: UK Telegraph: Emily Gosden: Cold winter could see power prices double, Ian Marchant warns
    Infinis chairman warns Britain’s tight capacity margin could see ‘very high spot prices that force commercial organisations to effectively ration demand’
    Britain’s “very tight capacity margin” meant there is a “very realistic possibility” of power prices spiking if there is an unusually cold winter, said Ian Marchant, chairman of Infinis Energy…
    National Grid last week confirmed that Britain faced the worst power crunch in a decade this winter as old coal power stations close…
    Marchant: “If we have a normal winter we will be fine, it is if there is a sustained cold spell – that is when the system will get under stress.
    “I am not talking about the lights going out, I’m talking about very high spot prices that force commercial organisations to effectively ration demand.”…

  219. Global Non-linear Effect of Temperature on Economic Production
    Marshall Burke, Sol Hsiang, Ted Miguel
    Our paper, published online Oct 21st 2015 in the journal Nature, seeks to answer two main questions:
    In recent years, how has economic output around the world been affected by changes in temperature and precipitation?
    What do these historical responses imply about the potential future impacts of climate change?
    To answer question 1, we analyzed changes in temperature and changes in economic output (as measured by per capita gross domestic product) for 166 countries for the years 1960-2010. To answer question 2, we combined these historical estimates with projections of future climate change from global climate models, and projections of how countries’ economies might develop absent climate change

    Our findings demonstrate that changes in temperature have substantially shaped economic growth in both rich and poor countries over the last half century, and that future warming is likely to reduce global economic output, relative to a world without climate change.

  220. Just came across this abstract at EntrezPubMed:
    Recenti Prog Med. 2015 Aug;106(8):354-7. doi: 10.1701/1960.21296.
    [Meat consumption reduction policies: benefits for climate change mitigation and health].
    [Article in Italian]
    Michelozzi P, Lapucci E, Farchi S.

    Agricultural food production substantially contributes to green house gas (GHG) emissions worldwide and 80% of the agricultural emissions arise from the livestock sector, in particular from ruminants. Meat consumption is generally above dietary recommendations in many countries, including Italy, and it is increasing in developing countries. Although meat is a source of essential nutrients, it provides large amounts of saturated fat, which is a known risk factor for obesity and for several diseases such as stroke, breast cancer and colon cancer. Dietary changes, with lower intake of red and processed meat, are likely to be beneficial for improving health and for the environment by reducing emissions of GHG. Data on meat consumption in Italy among adults, referred to the last ten years, shows heterogeneity among regions, with the highest consumption in the North-western regions and generally with higher consumption among males. We describe meat consumption distribution worldwide, in Europe and Italy. An assessment of the potential environmental and health co-benefits considering different reduction scenarios of red meat consumption in Italy is provided. Dietary changes can substantially lower GHG and coordinated actions are needed across public health and other sectors to promote healthy, low-emission diets.

    • Yes, he makes some good connections, but misses feedback loops. People improve their lives and use more energy – and that further improves their lives. It would be nice to see a composite of graphs of global population, life expectancy and well-being along with the familiar Keeling curve of CO2 concentration. All would be climbing together. Does the CO2 enhance the others? Of course, correlation does not prove causation, but it makes a good starting point for a much-needed discussion.

  221. BBC Business Report starts with overview of the program, including soundbite from Helena Morrissey, CEO of Newton Investment, “it’s real, it’s happening, climate change is not something that is scientifically disputed now – it’s much more ‘what is the financial impacts on the companies that might be investing in it’?”

    AUDIO: 29mins: 27 Oct: BBC Business Report
    (the full piece on the Guildhall meeting begins at 17 mins in)
    …the countdown to UN climate change talks in Paris continues. We find out whether a good deal for the planet would be a good deal for investors. And we have a report from France on a wind turbine that it’s hoped will reconcile people with wind power – the wind tree.

    MSM is very quiet about the Guildhall meeting which, no doubt, has little representation, if any, from the developing countries who were at Bonn, & probably took place under ***Chatham Rules!

    read all of the following:

    27 Oct: Blue&GreenTomorrow: Christiana Figueres & Adair Turner flag financial risks of climate change ahead of Paris Summit
    Today an unprecedented gathering of some of the world’s leading figures from the finance sector are meeting at the historic Guildhall in the City of London with carbon risk and climate experts to discuss the financial implications of the upcoming COP21 summit in Paris in December.
    Key speakers at the event will be Christiana Figueres, Executive Secretary of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, and Lord Adair Turner, former chair of the FSA and the UK Committee on Climate Change.
    The event will also include a specially recorded video address from HRH The Prince of Wales in which His Royal Highness will say: “Climate change is becoming an increasing source of risk to the finance community…etc”
    Panelists during the event include CEOs, Chairs and senior executives from Bank of America Merrill Lynch, Newton, Carbon Tracker, Overseas Development Institute, ***Chatham House, Sarasin & Partners, Mercer, CCLA, MSCI and Aviva. Also attending will be Lord Mountevans, the incoming Lord Mayor of the City of London.
    The event, organized by the City of London, Ashden Trust, Mark Leonard Trust, and the Carbon Tracker Initiative, and supported by the Local Authority Pension Fund, Aiming for A, IIGCC, Church Investors Group, and ShareAction will see over 300 attendees including many CEOs and leaders from the worlds of finance, business, government, policy, civil society,
    faith, philanthropy, higher education and health…READ ALL

  222. 27 Oct: ReutersCarbonPulse: Ben Garside: Poland’s president vetoes Kyoto 2 ratification
    Polish President Andrzej Duda on Tuesday vetoed the ratification of an extension to the Kyoto Protocol to 2020, a largely symbolic move that is a sign Poland will adopt an even tougher stance against EU climate policy than in recent years.
    He added that he first wants the potential impacts of the treaty’s second phase on the coal-reliant Polish economy to be studied.
    Duda’s eurosceptic Law & Justice (PiS) party is on course for a parliamentary majority after Sunday’s elections on the back of pledges to seek an opt-out of EU climate policies…
    The EU, and a handful of other developed nations including Australia and Norway representing less than 15% of global GHGs, agreed to extend their Kyoto emission targets to build trust with developing nations in negotiations towards a wider global pact due to be signed in December in Paris…

  223. no real detail, but read all:

    28 Oct: Guardian: Damian Carrington: Prince Charles warns financial sector and charities of fossil fuel risk
    Prince of Wales speaks out on the benefits of divesting from oil, coal and gas and investing in renewables on financial and ethical grounds
    The Prince of Wales addressed finance and investment executives in London’s Guildhall, the heart of the financial district, at a meeting opened by the UN’s top climate change official, Christiana Figueres…
    Investors controlling funds of $2.6tn have already committed to divest (LINK) their fossil fuel assets…
    Even Goldman Sachs is telling their clients that the chances of a recovery in the worst polluting sector, the coal industry, looks bleak.”…

    just the basic agenda:

    PDF: 2 pages: Europeans for Divest Invest: Managing Value At Risk For Portfolios From Climate Change
    What Are The Financial Implications Of COP21?
    at The Guildhall, London on Tuesday 27th October 2015

  224. read all:

    27 Oct: ClimateChangeNews: Megan Darby: IMF to factor climate risk into world economic forecasts
    The International Monetary Fund is to start factoring in climate change to its macroeconomic models from next year, Climate Home has learned…
    At a conference in London this week, delegates heard the IMF plans to integrate climate risk considerations more fully, including into macroeconomic assessments.
    High-level guests were speaking under the Chatham House rule, which means the source cannot be identified. The IMF was not able to confirm the account at time of writing.
    On the fringes of another event in London, on the financial implications of climate action, experts told Climate Home such a move would be welcome…
    The precise language (Paris draft) has yet to be agreed, said UN climate chief Christiana Figueres.
    ***“The point is, over the next fifty years, we have to completely transform the global economy to very, very deeply decarbonise our structures.”
    An estimated US$90 trillion will flow into infrastructure over the next 15 years, mostly in the developing world, which she said must be invested sustainably…
    Sarah Butler Sloss, Chair of the Ashden Trust, revealed on Tuesday that Blackrock, which manages over US$4.5 trillion worth of assets, is preparing to set up a climate-friendly fund…
    “There are many countries that have fossil fuels as their main source of foreign currency income,” said clean finance veteran James Cameron.
    ***“We are going to go through a phase of revaluing those assets. Those countries have to be prepared for that. They either have to hedge against that by investing in low carbon abroad or starting to transition at home – or both.”…

    above includes Figueres Tweet: Speaking at @carbonbubble event in London about the financial implications of #COP21

    more tweets:

    Twitter – CarbonTracker @CarbonBubble

  225. the smearing begins in earnest. let’s pretend the entire ***developing world is expressing anger, & then quote all of the usual suspects:

    27 Oct: ClimateChangeNews: Ed King: Polish president vetoes Kyoto Protocol, pending new analysis
    Andrzej Duda says he wants to see impact of treaty’s second phase on economy in decision that sparks anger in ***developing world
    “It’s unwelcome news at a time when we have momentum towards agreeing a long term strategy to do with climate change,” said Giza Gaspar Martins, an Angolan diplomat who represents the world’s Least Developed Countries group at UN talks…
    An EU official said Poland’s move was unlikely to impact its negotiating strategy for the upcoming Paris summit, but said it could affect the EU’s wider low carbon planning…
    Julia Michalak, a Polish climate and energy expert at Demos Europa said the announcement was “posturing” by the incoming administration…
    Liz Gallagher, head of climate diplomacy at the E3G think tank called the move “opportunistic and rash.”…
    Jan Kowalzig at Oxfam International described the move by the newly-elected party as “flexing muscles” before the Paris summit. “Yet is a very unhelpful signal,” he said by email…
    Poland generates over 85% of its electricity from burning coal, and despite receiving funding from the EU to invest in cleaner forms of energy appears reluctant to diversify…

  226. the MSM CAGW enablers…
    how the Guildhall stakeholders must love the MSM and the pathetic little “campaigners” they never fail to publicise:

    Eco protest closes climate change sceptic’s coal mine
    The Times (subscription)-26 Oct 2015
    Campaigners calling themselves “Matt Ridley’s Conscience” said they were seeking to protect the climate by ending mining of the “dirtiest fossil …

    Anti-coal protesters arrested after storming climate change sceptic’s land
    The Guardian – ‎Oct 26, 2015‎
    Nine protesters have been arrested after storming a coalmine on land belonging to Matt Ridley, a prominent climate change sceptic and Conservative member of the House of Lords, causing operations to shut down. The group, called Matt Ridley’s …

    Northumberland coal mine site occupied by climate protestors
    BBC News – ‎Oct 26, 2015‎
    Climate protesters chained themselves to a Northumberland mine. The “Matt Ridley’s Conscience” group occupied Shotton surface mine in Cramlington on Conservative peer Viscount Matt Ridley’s Blagdon Estate. The campaigners blocked the road, locking …

    Viscount Matt Ridley: Protesters storm coalmine on prominent climate change …
    The Independent – ‎Oct 26, 2015‎
    Protesters have stormed a coalmine on the Northumberland family estate of Viscount Matt Ridley, a prominent climate change sceptic and Conservative member of the House of Lords, halting production by chaining themselves to a giant excavator. It is the …

    I Watched Climate Change Activists Shut Down a British Coal Mine
    VICE – ‎10 hours ago‎
    “This coal mine is on the land of climate sceptic Lord Matt Ridley. He says climate change is good for the environment; he says fossil fuels are not a bad thing and funnily enough he owns this land that has an open-cast coal mine on it. His ancestral …

  227. can’t believe I’ve found something to like about the TPP:

    VIDEO/Transcript: 27 Oct: Democracy Now: Joseph Stiglitz: Under TPP, Polluters Could Sue U.S. for Setting Carbon Emissions Limits
    Nobel Prize-winning economist and Columbia University professor Joseph Stiglitz warns about the dangers of the TPP, the Trans-Pacific Partnership. “We know we’re going to need regulations to restrict the emissions of carbon,” Stiglitz said. “But under these provisions, corporations can sue the government, including the American government, by the way, so it’s all the governments in the TPP can be sued for the loss of profits as a result of the regulations that restrict their ability to emit carbon emissions that lead to global warming.”…

  228. 27 Oct: Reuters: Nina Chestney: Climate change deal will not include global carbon price: U.N. climate chief
    A climate change deal to be agreed in Paris in December will not be able to come up with a global carbon price, the United Nations’ climate chief, Christiana Figueres, said on Tuesday.
    Big multinational companies and investors, and most recently oil majors, have called for a global carbon price to help spur investments in low-carbon energy…
    ***When the European Union launched a carbon trading scheme in 2005 there were expectations this would eventually lead to a global carbon scheme by 2020 worth around $2 trillion.
    But the difficulties of bringing together different carbon schemes from countries around the world means the goal of a global carbon price remains elusive.
    “(Many have said) we need a carbon price and (investment) would be so much easier with a carbon price, but life is much more complex than that,” Figueres told a climate investor event in London.
    “I agree it would be more simple … but it’s not quite what we will have,” she said, adding that the world would move towards that in the future…

  229. oh dear!

    27 Oct: Reuters: France warns thorny issues unresolved as climate summit nears
    (Reporting by Emmanuel Jarry; Writing by Bate Felix; editing by John Stonestreet)
    Delegates to a climate summit in December remain divided over fundamental issues including a framework for measuring carbon emissions, the envoy of the host nation said on Tuesday, though she believes a deal to cut global warming will be signed…
    Several thorny issues had yet to be thrashed out, she told Reuters in an interview.
    They included disagreements over what range of carbon emissions to measure, with oil producing nations arguing that the focus should not only be on fossil fuels but also on emissions from agriculture and other sectors, she said.
    There were also still differences over how to measure and verify emissions, and over the issue of state contributions to fund greenhouse gas cuts in developing nations…
    ***”There were nevertheless some advances, although they are difficult to spot,” Tubiana said. “We added some amendments.”…

  230. 28 Oct: Bloomberg: Eric Roston: The Air in There: Offices, and Issues, That Seem to Make Us Stupid
    CO2 in office air slows our thinking, a study finds. But the air is bad partly because we’re getting thriftier in our use of energy.
    It’s tempting to conclude from the climate change debate that all that carbon dioxide in the air is making everybody dumber.
    In fact, all that carbon dioxide in the air is making everybody dumber.
    Workers showed diminished cognitive functioning after spending several hours in office air that had normal levels of CO2 and chemical pollutants and ordinary ventilation, in a study published this week in Environmental Health Perspectives…
    The research was supported in part by a United Technologies gift to Harvard’s T.H. Chan School of Public Health. United Technologies, which makes building systems, wasn’t involved in the experiment itself…
    ***Research for a sequel to the study has already been conducted, and the results are expected within a couple of months. They will show how cost-effective it is to improve office air…
    If only cleaning the air outside were as straightforward.

    • Deal is confirmed:

      Confirming yesterday evening’s WSJ report, IBM (IBM +2.2%) states it’s buying The Weather Company’s B2B, mobile, and cloud-based Web properties, including and Weather Underground, Terms are undisclosed; the WSJ reported of a $2B+ purchase price.
      IBM suggests the value of The Weather Co.’s cloud data platform goes well beyond weather, and will bolster both its Watson Cloud platform and a new Watson IoT unit that will provide A.I.-driven analytics services for data produced by Web-connected embedded devices.
      IBM: “The Weather Company’s cloud-based data platform will allow IBM to collect an even larger variety and higher velocity of global data sets, store them, analyze them and in turn distribute them and empower richer and deeper insights across the Watson platform … The Weather Company’s mobile and web properties handle seven times the volume of the world’s leading search engine, while serving 82 million unique monthly visitors … [The platform] can ingest a wide range of data at massive speed and scale, supporting an incredible volume of queries at very low latency.”
      At the same time, IBM argues weather-related analytics is a major opportunity by itself, given weather’s impact on global GDP. It notes The Weather Co.’s models “analyze data from three billion weather forecast reference points, more than 40 million smartphones, and 50,000 airplane flights per day,” helping it service “more than 5,000 clients in the media, aviation, energy, insurance and government industries.”

  231. Big NY times article, “Greenland is melting away”, dramatic footage, well told story, no information. Go to Greenland in the summer, you will see ice melting. Note in the online graphics, close-up photos clearly show that dirty ice is all over the place, especially in the lakes. Perhaps soot has something to do with melting? Maybe they should measure that too? So the upshot of the story is they will try to confirm satellite water flow data, “record the first comprehensive on-the-ground, empirical data on the flow of a river off the ice sheet”. They do insert a single sentence for balance, “They might even learn, Dr. Smith said, that the water is refreezing within the ice sheet and that sea levels are actually rising more slowly than models project.”.

  232. Anthony, I found and cut this clip back in June. With the increased interest/attention with the House Science request of NOAA info, thought I’d try again to get this out. Anyhow, if of interest…


    Flashback 2012; NOAA’s Karl: Satellite, ocean instrument data should show ‘same kind of a trend’

    Inline image 1

    Interviewed in 2012, NOAA’s Tom Karl says ‘multiple observing systems,’ such as satellites and ocean instruments, should show the ‘same kind of a trend.’ The statement appears to contradict the findings of his Karl et al 2015 paper, ‘Possible artifacts of data biases in the recent global surface warming hiatus’ which adjusts global surface temperatures since 1998 significantly upward, thus no longer showing the ‘same kind of a trend’ as with satellite data.

    TOM KARL: “Michael Faraday probably said it best, ‘I could trust the fact but always question an assertion.’ What’s important for today’s scientist is to be able to separate fact from assertions. And, one way we do that is we have multiple observing systems trying to measure different variables, different essential climate variables across the planet. So we have satellites in the sky. We’ve got some satellites that circle the earth every ninety minutes. Some that remain in a position, geostationary satellites. We have instruments that are on top of the ocean. We have instruments that profile the ocean. They actually are autonomous instruments. They go down and sample down to 2000 meters temperatures and salinity in the ocean… So, different scientific teams take a look at this data. They analyze it in different ways. And, when they do this we compare whether or not we are seeing the same kind of a trend with different scientific teams looking at these observations differently. When people do that and they come up with similar answers, then we have lots of confidence in the fact that what we’re seeing is a fact and not an assertion. Anytime one new finding comes out what scientists like to do, can we repeat that.”

    London, UK

  233. Does the Sun affect Gravity measurement and Length of Day?
    Measurements of Newton’s gravitational constant and the length of day

    We find that these values for G are oscillatory in nature, with a period of P = 5.899±0.062 yr, an amplitude of (1.619±0.103) × 10−14m3 kg−1s−2, and mean-value crossings in 1994 and 1997. . . .The 5.9 year periodic signal in LOD has previously been interpreted as due to fluid core motions and inner-core coupling. We report the G/LOD correlation, whose statistical significance is 0.99764 assuming no difference in phase, without claiming to have any satisfactory explanation for it


  234. no wonder they like it!

    28 Oct: ReutersCarbonPulse: Mike Szabo: Carbon pricing to raise 50% more revenue for governments in 2015 -report
    Carbon pricing schemes are forecast to raise a total $22 billion for governments this year, up from an estimated $15 billion in 2014, according to a report released on Wednesday.
    Around three quarters of that amount, or some $16.5 billion, is being generated in Europe through CO2 allowance sales under the EU ETS and national carbon taxes, for example in the UK and France, said the Climate Markets & Investment Association (CMIA), a London-headquartered trade group.
    A further $5 billion or so is being raised by state and provincial governments in North America such as California, Quebec, and members of RGGI, with the remainder being collected under Japanese carbon taxes, the study said…
    Other countries including China, South Korea and New Zealand have carbon pricing mechanisms, but the programmes don’t currently channel revenue to the government…
    CMIA predicted that carbon revenues could reach into the hundreds of billions of dollars in the long-term, as more governments put a price on greenhouse gas emissions…

    good luck understanding the following:

    28 Oct: ReutersCarbonPulse: Mike Szabo: Kyoto countries shuffle towards compliance as True-up deadline approaches
    The 16 non-compliant countries, which include Australia, Belgium, Japan, Russia, Ukraine and Sweden, have simply to transfer an ample number of AAUs from their holding accounts to their retirement accounts before 2400 UTC on Nov. 18. Failure to do this can result in repercussions ranging from a review by Kyoto’s Compliance Committee to, in severe cases, the suspension of carbon-unit trading under Kyoto, or the AAU shortfall being inflated by 30% and that figure being deducted from a country’s balance during the protocol’s second commitment period (2013-2020)…
    AAUs have been dubbed “hot air” by some green groups because they did not come about as the result of climate policy. The units have emerged as a divisive issue at UN talks, with western nations seeking their cancellation and eastern countries arguing that the credits’ method of creation was irrelevant compared to the fact that they represent genuine reductions…

  235. read all…

    28 Oct: ClimateChangeNews: Ed King: National climate plans could face 2018 review under UN deal
    Fears that emission reductions could drop off the agenda post Paris are driving support behind an early assessment of global carbon cuts
    “We think it is useful to have an early short term goal,” Artur Runge Metzger, head of the EU’s international climate strategy, told Climate Home…
    The drive to ensure this year’s Paris summit is simply the start of greater levels of climate ambition is, unsurprisingly, being led by its French hosts.
    “Billions of people will not change their lives just because a treaty says so,” Laurence Tubiana, France’s chief climate diplomat, told this week’s Chatham House climate conference in London.
    A series of regular reviews – ideally starting before 2020 and occurring every 5 years – could be helpful in changing the “mindset” of governments and drive a new wave of green investments…
    By 2019, the economic and political case for ditching fossil fuels and backing renewables would also be clearer, Tubiana added, suggesting low carbon would be the “new normal”.
    That’s a view supported by Nigel Topping, head of the We Mean Business coalition, which represents the likes of Axa, Deloitte, China Steel and Mars…
    “Business is looking for certainty, and frequent reviews will ensure it does not face policy shocks.”…

  236. unbelievable!

    28 Oct: UK Telegraph: Ambrose Evans-Pritchard: Paris climate deal to ignite a $90 trillion energy revolution
    The old fossil order is on borrowed time as China and even India join the drive for dramatic cuts in CO2 emissions
    …155 countries have submitted plans so far for the COP21 climate summit…
    Taken together, they commit the world to a reduction in fossil fuel demand by 30pc to 40pc over the next 20 years, and this is just the start of a revolutionary shift to net zero emissions by 2080 or thereabouts. “It is unstoppable. No amount of lobbying at this point is going to change the direction,” said Christiana Figueres, the UN’s top climate official.
    Yet the energy industry is still banking on ever-rising demand for its products as if nothing has changed. BP is projecting a 43pc increase in fossil fuel use by 2035, Exxon expects 35pc by 2040, Shell 43pc and Opec is clinging valiantly to 55pc. These are pure fiction…
    The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) may or may not be correct in arguing that we cannot safely burn more than 800bn tonnes of carbon (two-thirds has been used already) if we are to stop global temperatures rising two degrees above pre-industrial levels by 2100. ***I take no view on the science.
    But this is the goal accepted by world leaders…
    There is still a North-South haggle over money – erupting in terse words last week in Bonn – but this dispute has become ritualistic, increasingly hollow in a world where China is now a creditor. It revolves around $100bn of annual funds pledged by the rich countries long ago. “It’s peanuts,” said Mrs Figueres.
    The sums are trivial set against the $90 trillion of new energy investment that the IEA deems necessary by 2030 just to keep the global juggernaut on the road…
    A Carbon Tracker forum in the City this week was packed with bankers and fund managers itching to find a way into the biggest investment boom of all time, which is what the Paris accord promises to ignite…

  237. reportedly?

    27 Oct: ClimateChangeNews: Alex Pashley: US and Japan strike deal to cut coal finance
    Obama administration reportedly gets Japan on board to phase out controversial coal export credits
    “They have struck a deal between the US and Japan. It’s a big deal. But they have to get other countries on board. The EU is getting there, but it’s Australia and South Korea that are holding back,” a person familiar with the talks told ClimateWire…
    At issue are cash guarantees for polluting projects in the developing world. These jeopardise efforts to tackle climate change, by making it cheaper to roll out dirty power plants…
    Maria Athena Ronquillo-Ballesteros, director of the World Resources Institute’s Sustainable Finance Program, said a US-Japan deal could have broad implications for investment…

    changing the rules:

    27 Oct: BusinessGreen: Jessica Shankleman: UK aims to relax emissions rules for steel factories in bid to help crisis-hit industry
    Department for Business says it hopes to give steel industry more time to meet Industrial Emissions Directive rules
    The government announced this afternoon that it has successfully lobbied the European Commission to allow it to relax emissions rules for the steel industry, in an effort to curb costs for the crisis-hit sector.
    The Department for Business, Innovation and Skills (BIS) said today it was planning to change the way it implements the Industrial Emission Directive (IED) from January 2016, in order to allow a number of steel plants to be granted a four a half year exemption to meeting stricter pollution standards…
    The government said it was also looking to relax the rules around an IED requirement for industry to use the best available technology in order to reduce emissions.
    “In cases, where the costs would be disproportionate to the benefits, the government can provide derogations at its discretion, based on the evidence submitted,” BIS said in a statement, adding that the Environment Agency was close to finalising a permit for Tata in this regard and National Resources Wales has agreed derogations for the company’s Port Talbot steel works…

  238. Its the hottest ever predicted by models, except perhaps in 1914 and 1940,
    human induced climate change is setting records.
    And a lot is caused by the El Nino.
    The models have spoken.
    Not peer reviewed though, but what the heck, everyone knows weather forecasting isn’t peer reviewed, so why should human induced climate change be any different.
    Everyone knows how the models work anyway.
    Read all about it.–and-global-warming-is-likely-to-blame-20151029-gklklt.html

  239. Here are some updated links to fix the broken links on the Sea-Ice Reference Page:





    Here are direct links to images on cryosphere today:

    [Thank you! .mod]

  240. Models say cod fish endangered by global warming.

    New study: Warming waters a major factor in the collapse of New England cod
    Findings show how warming complicates fisheries management
    New England cod collapse linked to warming waters
    Rapid warming in the Gulf of Maine helps explain why New England’s cod stocks are on the verge of collapse despite cuts to fishery activity

    But meanwhile… Maybe they have migrated.

    Cod recovery ‘quite spectacular,’ but George Rose calls for caution
    Scientist says too early to resume fishery, but says planning should get underway
    This Week: The Cod Came Back
    Northern cod population is finally recovering

  241. Hi Anthony,
    Just an fyi.
    WUWT is the slowest site of my regular daily tour of my favorite sites.
    I visit some sites I know will be kinda slow, but yours is so bad that I can’t wait to leave.
    It is not my computer nor my high-speed internet connection.
    Like I said, just an fyi.


    Hillary joins calls for federal probe of Exxon climate change research

    She was asked whether Exxon should be subject to an investigation at a New Hampshire campaign stop by Jordan Cichon, a volunteer for 350 Action, a climate activist group that published a video of her comments.
    “Yes, yes they should,” she said of a potential Justice Department investigation. “There’s a lot of evidence [Exxon] misled people.”

    popcorn time

  243. From the Wall Street Journal

    “The EPA Deserves a Stay”

    Oct. 29, 2015 7:14 p.m. ET

    President Obama’s palace revolution on climate won’t come off peaceably after all, as 26 states and dozens of business groups this week filed suits against his takeover of the carbon economy. For all Mr. Obama’s eco-abuses, the legal reckoning now at hand is the most important.

    On Aug. 3 the Environmental Protection Agency finalized the so-called Clean Power Plan, or CPP, which orders states to reorganize their energy systems from power plants to electric outlets. But the EPA waited no fewer than 81 days until Oct. 23 to publish the rule in the Federal Register, a delay that matters in administrative law because publication formally opens the plan to judicial review. The average lag for the EPA this year on all other major rules is 27 days.

    The EPA is stalling for time because the Obama crowd knows that states must rush to start the slow, capital-intensive and irrevocable transition away from fossil fuels over the next year or so to meet their 2020 “interim” targets. Even if the CPP is repealed by the next Administration, or junked by the courts, they’re hoping to intimidate the states and dictate the U.S. energy mix for a generation.

    So the 26 Attorneys General and business lobbies are asking the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals for a stay that would enjoin the CPP while the judiciary considers the legal merits. This would be unusual. Conventional regulatory litigation spools out over the years, with judges tending to defer to rule-makers.

    But the EPA has invited more scrutiny by deliberately exploiting this deference. Its thinking is that if the energy reality on the ground shifts while the courts move at the snail’s pace, then losses are irrelevant. For instance, the Supreme Court overturned a mercury-emissions regulation earlier this year, albeit when it was too late. When the EPA published the rule in 2011, the low-ball prediction was that coal use would fall by less than 1%. Instead it plunged by 12% in 2012 alone and continued to drop.

    Thus EPA Administrator Gina McCarthy could brag on Bill Maher’s show that however the Court ruled, “Most of [the utilities] are already in compliance, investments have been made, and we’ll catch up. We’re still going to get at the toxic pollution from these facilities.” So much for the rule of law.

    The Clean Power plaintiffs can demonstrate immediate and permanent injury. The EPA’s own models show utilities will shed 233 coal-fired power plants in 2016 alone, or 20% of the grid’s remaining coal generation. Some marginal generators like rural electric nonprofit cooperatives may go under.

    The plaintiffs are also likely to prevail on the legal merits, both statutory and constitutional. The 2,000-page CPP is conjured from a couple hundred words in a subsection of a 38-year-old statute about “best systems of emissions reduction.” Traditionally this has meant technology that can be installed on a given site, like scrubbers.

    Now the EPA is rewriting the definition to direct states to regulate “outside the fence line” of power plants well beyond the best tech. They must not only decommission sources of carbon energy, but they must also run the green gamut from mandating a new fleet of wind and solar, building new transmission lines, creating more efficiency subsidy programs for consumers and much else. On a rewrite so grandiose, the EPA has earned a stay and deserves no administrative deference…”

  244. 29 Oct: ClimateChangeNews: Alex Pashley: Carbon c-Reddit: UN climate chief takes on internet
    Christiana Figueres participates in Ask Me Anything on online forum as focus on Paris summit builds
    On climate refugees in a new accord
    Figueres: If we do not do our job properly, we will have painful situations of forced migration. Perhaps to a scale we cannot even imagine. That is precisely why it is so urgent that we agree on a path to reduce global emissions within the boundaries of science…
    On the 2C temperature goal
    Figueres: I have been pellucidly clear that the agreement in Paris is not going to reach a 2 degree limit on temperature rise as though that were something we can take off a magical shelf and put on the table…
    On barring civil society groups at UN events
    Figueres: The role of civil society in continuing to encourage ambition expressed in both environmental integrity and social fairness is critical to all our negotiations. At the same time, the UNFCCC is an intergovernmental treaty body designed for the purpose of governments reaching common ground with each other. Over the past 5 years, we have consistently increased the transparency of the intergovernmental process by providing constant and timely information about the proceedings on our website and by encouraging frequent and open stocktaking plenaries. We have also not only allowed but frankly even supported actions on the part of civil society representatives as long as they stay within the agreed rules of
    conduct…PLUS MORE

  245. 27 Oct: ScienceDaily: Upcoming UN Climate Summit can’t overlook China’s support of global coal power
    Source: Princeton University
    should create guidelines and incentives for developing nations to cooperate with one another on lower-carbon energy projects, according to a new report. Failure to do so could contribute to an unchecked expansion of coal energy in developing counties, which has already accelerated in recent years with the help of Chinese firms going global…
    The paper, which includes the first tally of Chinese involvement in power plants around the world, includes co-authors Michael Oppenheimer, the Albert G. Milbank Professor of Geosciences and International Affairs at Princeton; Zhenliang Liao, an associate professor of environmental science and engineering at Tongji University; and Steven Davis, an assistant professor of earth system science at UC-Irvine…
    The researchers found that of the total power capacities in Asian countries other than China that have involvement from Chinese firms, 68 percent in operation, 77 percent under construction and 76 percent in planning burn coal…
    Efforts to encourage countries to support low-carbon development is complicated by the fact that there are no universally accepted standards for climate finance, Hannam said. Even the Green Climate Fund may permit financing for coal power…
    The issues the authors discuss have already been broached in diplomatic circles, said Oppenheimer, who will be attending the Paris conference in part to promote the ideas laid out in the perspective piece…

  246. 28 Oct: Nature: XiaoZhi Lim: How to make the most of carbon dioxide
    Researchers hope to show that using the gas as a raw material could make an impact on climate change.
    On 29 September, the XPRIZE Foundation based in Culver City, California, announced a 4½-year competition that will award US$20 million to the research team that can come up with the best way to turn carbon dioxide from a liability into an asset…

  247. 2 pages: 27 Oct: BarronsEmergingMarketsDailyBlog: Dimitra DeFotis: Alternative Energy Stocks: Time to Hunt for Bargains?
    As much pain as investors in the oil patch have felt in recent years, it has been even worse for those in alternative energy.
    Over the past eight years, the Energy Select Sector SPDR exchange-traded fund (ticker: XLE) is down 15%. But compare that with the Guggenheim Solar ETF (TAN), whose constituent companies have managed to destroy a whopping 88% of shareholder value over that period, or the PowerShares WilderHill Clean Energy Portfolio (PBW), down 82%…

    29 Oct: Scotsman: ANDREW WHITAKER: Scots ‘could import electricity’ unless SNP changes plan
    The SNP has heavily promoted renewable energy such as wind farms and has set a target of relying on such forms of power to generate the bulk of Scotland’s electricity by 2020.
    However, the Institution of Civil Engineers (ICE) in Scotland has cast doubt on the SNP’s plan and said the government had to move beyond an “at times irrational and ill-informed ­discourse” on energy to a more evidence-led approach.
    A previewed report from ICE, which has 8,000 members in Scotland, warned of an energy supply crisis that could see Scotland forced to rely on imported electricity to meet the nation’s power needs…
    The body said Scotland was facing an energy provision “gap” due to the loss of half of the country’s electricity-generating capacity during the next decade, as it cited the closure of power stations at Longannet, Hunterston and Torness. Ministers should set out a “clear vision” on how they would ensure there is a “resilient supply” of electricity to fill such a gap, it said…
    Conservative ­energy spokesman Murdo ­Fraser, welcoming the ICE report, said: “This is a significant intervention from a well-respected expert industry group – and the SNP will have to listen.
    “The SNP should swallow its pride, forget about impressing its new socialist members, and bring forward a balanced energy policy.”

  248. 29 October 2015

    Russian President Believes Global Warming ‘Is A Fraud To Restrain Developing Nations’

    President Putin believes that “there is no global warming, that this is a fraud to restrain the industrial development of several countries including Russia. That is why this subject is not topical for the majority of the Russian mass media and society in general.”

    While Western media have examined the role of rising temperatures and drought in this year’s record wildfires in North America, Russian media continue to pay little attention to an issue that animates so much of the world. Russia’s official view appears to have changed little since 2003, when Putin told an international climate conference that warmer temperatures would mean Russians spend less on fur coats while agricultural specialists say our grain production will increase, and thank God for that.

    The president believes that “there is no global warming, that this is a fraud to restrain the industrial development of several countries including Russia,” says Stanislav Belkovsky, a political analyst and critic of Putin. “That is why this subject is not topical for the majority of the Russian mass media and society in general.”

    “It is difficult to spend editorial resources on things that are now a low priority in the midst of the economic crisis,” says Galina Timchenko, former editor-in-chief of the successful news site Timchenko now runs Meduza, a popular site that covers Russian news but devotes little space to climate issues. “Unfortunately climate change is not very interesting to the public,” she says.

    Putin’s scepticism dates from the early 2000s, when his staff “did very, very extensive work trying to understand all sides of the climate debate”, said Andrey Illarionov, Putin’s senior economic adviser at the time and now a senior fellow at the Cato Institute in Washington. “We found that, while climate change does exist, it is cyclical, and the anthropogenic role is very limited,” he said. “It became clear that the climate is a complicated system and that, so far, the evidence presented for the need to ‘fight’ global warming was rather unfounded.”

    That opinion endures. During a trip to the Arctic in 2010, Putin acknowledged that “the climate is changing”, but restated his doubt that human activity was the cause. His trip was to inspect the retreat of the polar ice cap, something that promises to make the Arctic ocean and northern Siberia more accessible to exploration and production of the oil that Russia, the world’s leading producer, depends on for export earnings.

    Russian school teaching also appears to lag behind the rapidly expanding science on climate change.
    Randomly sampled geography textbooks make no mention of human impact on the climate, and one college-level text states that climate changes are caused mainly by solar activity, the movement of the planet’s crust and volcanoes. “I see what they have abroad on the problem of climate change,” says Asya Korolkova, 15, who studies high school biology in Moscow. “People there talk about it a lot; you can feel it’s a serious problem. We don’t have that here.”

    There is no sign of public pressure on authorities to do more, let alone of Putin relaxing Russia’s hard line ahead of the Paris talks. “This subject has failed to become a priority,” says Konstantin Simonov, the founder of a non-governmental oil and gas research fund who often appears on Russian media.

  249. 30 October 2015

    Russian President Believes Global Warming ‘Is A Fr@ud To Restrain Developing Nations’

    President Putin believes that “there is no global warming, that this is a fr@ud to restrain the industrial development of several countries including Russia. That is why this subject is not topical for the majority of the Russian mass media and society in general.”

    While Western media have examined the role of rising temperatures and drought in this year’s record wildfires in North America, Russian media continue to pay little attention to an issue that animates so much of the world. Russia’s official view appears to have changed little since 2003, when Putin told an international climate conference that warmer temperatures would mean Russians spend less on fur coats while agricultural specialists say our grain production will increase, and thank God for that.

    The president believes that “there is no global warming, that this is a fr@ud to restrain the industrial development of several countries including Russia,” says Stanislav Belkovsky, a political analyst and critic of Putin. “That is why this subject is not topical for the majority of the Russian mass media and society in general.”

    “It is difficult to spend editorial resources on things that are now a low priority in the midst of the economic crisis,” says Galina Timchenko, former editor-in-chief of the successful news site Timchenko now runs Meduza, a popular site that covers Russian news but devotes little space to climate issues. “Unfortunately climate change is not very interesting to the public,” she says.

    Putin’s scepticism dates from the early 2000s, when his staff “did very, very extensive work trying to understand all sides of the climate debate”, said Andrey Illarionov, Putin’s senior economic adviser at the time and now a senior fellow at the Cato Institute in Washington. “We found that, while climate change does exist, it is cyclical, and the anthropogenic role is very limited,” he said. “It became clear that the climate is a complicated system and that, so far, the evidence presented for the need to ‘fight’ global warming was rather unfounded.”

    That opinion endures. During a trip to the Arctic in 2010, Putin acknowledged that “the climate is changing”, but restated his doubt that human activity was the cause. His trip was to inspect the retreat of the polar ice cap, something that promises to make the Arctic ocean and northern Siberia more accessible to exploration and production of the oil that Russia, the world’s leading producer, depends on for export earnings.

    Russian school teaching also appears to lag behind the rapidly expanding science on climate change. Randomly sampled geography textbooks make no mention of human impact on the climate, and one college-level text states that climate changes are caused mainly by solar activity, the movement of the planet’s crust and volcanoes. “I see what they have abroad on the problem of climate change,” says Asya Korolkova, 15, who studies high school biology in Moscow. “People there talk about it a lot; you can feel it’s a serious problem. We don’t have that here.”

    There is no sign of public pressure on authorities to do more, let alone of Putin relaxing Russia’s hard line ahead of the Paris talks. “This subject has failed to become a priority,” says Konstantin Simonov, the founder of a non-governmental oil and gas research fund who often appears on Russian media.



    A Chilean desert is ablaze in purple, bright pink and white, courtesy of wild flowers that bloomed following deadly floods in the South American country.

    The floods in March killed as many as 28 people and sparked widespread mudslides. But within weeks, the normally barren landscape of the Atacama desert was transformed into a carpet of flowers.

    “The Atacama region was punished, but also blessed by the phenomenon of a flourishing desert, something that happens only after the rains, this time brought about by El Niño and climate change,” Daniel Diaz, National Tourism Service director in Atacama, told EFE, the Spanish news service.

  251. Crowdfunding site Indiegogo

    The Pandemonium in Paris campaign will direct funding to a “counter-conference” attended by allied libertarian organisations, including the Cato Institute, the Committee for a Constructive Tomorrow and the Competitive Enterprise Institute.

    The Guardian has an Article on it.
    Indiegogo criticised for helping climate deniers crowdfund money

  252. NASA finds mass gains of Antarctic Ice Sheet greater than losses

    by Staff Writers Greenbelt MD (SPX) Oct 31, 2015

    A new NASA study says that an increase in Antarctic snow accumulation that began 10,000 years ago is currently adding enough ice to the continent to outweigh the increased losses from its thinning glaciers.

    The research challenges the conclusions of other studies, including the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) 2013 report, which says that Antarctica is overall losing land ice.

    According to the new analysis of satellite data, the Antarctic ice sheet showed a net gain of 112 billion tons of ice a year from 1992 to 2001. That net gain slowed to 82 billion tons of ice per year between 2003 and 2008. Cont…..

  253. links to UNFCCC PDFs from “brief overview” to Compilation of INDCs as communicated by 1st October 2015 (19540 kB) …

    30 Oct: CarbonBrief: Simon Evans: UN report: Climate pledges fall short of cheapest route to 2C limit
    Today’s synthesis report, from the UN’s climate body (UNFCCC), aggregates the 146 Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDCs) that had been received by 1 October…

  254. Reuters ties itself up in knots criticising an Australian “rort” under the new Govt, while still demonising the former Prime Minister!

    30 Oct: ReutersCarbonPulse: Stian Reklev: Concerns grow that Australia will rely on cheap CERs to meet emissions targets
    The recent Australian rush to buy millions of cheap, soon-to-be-cancelled CP1 CERs has fuelled concerns that the government plans to use them to cover any shortcomings of its Direct Action Plan, even though using international units goes against its long-standing policy…
    As part of the deal, the CERs will be transferred to the government, but Environment Minister Greg Hunt’s office has so far not responded to questions about whether the units will be used for Kyoto compliance or cancelled…
    Australia will easily meet its KP1 target, but if they surrender 40 million newly bought CP1 CERs next month, a corresponding number of other units can be carried over to the next Kyoto period, making the 2020 target easier to achieve…
    The Liberal government has for years been against using international units to meet their emissions target, with former Prime Minister Tony Abbott famously saying it would be sending money to “dodgy carbon farms in Equatorial Guinea and Kazakhstan”.
    Policies appear to be changing under new PM Malcolm Turnbull, as the Australian Financial Review reported in Sep. that the government may allow CER purchases from next year and on Friday the Sydney Morning Herald wrote that Australia has launched a bid to co-chair the Green Climate Fund, a body despised by Abbott…

  255. video sponsored by Ben & Jerry’s. learn that most of the money in solar & wind power comes as savings to the customer.

    VIDEO: 2mins20secs: 30 Oct: Guardian: The scary truth behind the climate change conspiracy
    Could those who theorize that climate change is a conspiracy actually have it right? The Guardian teamed up with CollegeHumor to bring you the real and frightening truth behind the conspiracy led by Al Gore, and its plans to use climate change fears to gain profit, power and world domination. Happy Halloween!

  256. Jenkins on NOAA’s massaged data:

    VIDEO: 2mins59secs: 30 Oct: WSJ: Opinion Journal: Rigging Climate-Change Data?
    Business World Columnist Holman Jenkins Jr. on the House investigation into the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association’s climate data.

    Guardian video sponsored by Ben & Jerry’s.
    hear that most of the money in solar & wind power comes as savings to the customer.

    VIDEO: 2mins20secs: 30 Oct: Guardian: The scary truth behind the climate change conspiracy
    Could those who theorize that climate change is a conspiracy actually have it right? The Guardian teamed up with CollegeHumor to bring you the real and frightening truth behind the conspiracy led by Al Gore, and its plans to use climate change fears to gain profit, power and world domination. Happy Halloween!

  257. The Saudi plan to destroy the fracking industry, and regain its lost market share

    In mid-2014 Saudi Arabia developed a plan to destroy the fracking industry and regain its lost market share. The exact details of the plan have never been acknowledged publicly but were revealed to your editor privately by a trusted source operating at the pinnacle of the global energy industry.

    The Saudi plan involved a linear optimisation programme designed to calculate a price at which frackers would be destroyed. But the Saudi fiscal situation would not be impaired more than necessary to get the job done.

    A $30 per barrel price would surely destroy frackers but would also destroy the Saudi budget. An $80 per barrel price would be comfortable from a Saudi budget perspective but would give too much breathing room to the frackers.

    What was the optimal price to accomplish both goals?

    Such optimization programmes involve many assumptions and are not an exact science. Yet they do produce useful answers to complex problems and are much more reliable than mere guesswork or gut feel. It turned out that the optimal solution for the Saudi problem was $60 per barrel.

    A price in the range of $50-60 per barrel would suit the Saudis just fine. That is a price range that will eliminate frackers over time, but would not strain Saudi finances unduly.

    What makes Saudi Arabia unique among energy producers is that they can dictate the market price to some extent. Saudi Arabia has the world’s largest oil reserves and the world’s lowest average production costs. Saudi Arabia can make money on its oil production at prices as low as $10 per barrel. This does not mean that the Saudis want a $10 per barrel price. It just means they have enormous flexibility when it comes to setting the price wherever they want.

    If the Saudis want a higher price, they pump less. If they want a lower price, they pump more. It’s that simple. No other producer can do this without depleting reserves or going broke. There are many other factors at play in the oil market. Just because Saudi Arabia had a target price of $50-60 per barrel does not mean they could stick the landing at that exact price.

    Why Wall Street analysts got it wrong

    Having market intelligence on the target price helps us to approach the problem rationally and avoid the emotional biases of other analysts and investors. For example, the price of oil hit the Saudi target price of $60 per barrel by the end of 2014. But it kept going down. The price hit $45 per barrel in January 2015 and $40 per barrel by this past summer. That was due to normal market overshooting and momentum trading. It was also due to the fact that desperate frackers actually increased production to meet the interest payments on their debt even though they were in the process of going broke.

    The Saudis knew this was a temporary overshoot. The frackers could not get financing to drill new wells. Also, over-pumping the existing wells would just make them disappear faster. As soon as the price of oil crashed, another human bias began to creep into Wall Street analysis. The same prominent voices that earlier said oil would stay high were now saying it would keep dropping. Some well-known analysts were calling for $30 per barrel oil; one analyst even set his target at $15 per barrel.

    These low-ball figures were just as much off base as the earlier expectations of $130 per barrel oil. In fact, the Saudis had things mostly under control.

    Using market intelligence, we could see that when oil hit the $60 per barrel level (as it did in early May), it would soon head down again. When oil got too low (as it did in late August at $38 per barrel), it would soon head up.

    This analytical frame based on intelligence sources has proved to be a highly accurate short-term predictive tool. Absent a geopolitical shock in the Persian Gulf, oil is not going to $100 per barrel, and it’s not going to $30 per barrel. It will remain in a range of $50-60 per barrel (with occasional overshoots for technical reasons) until 2017. That is how long it will take to destroy the frackers. After that, the Saudis can gradually increase the price without having to worry about lost market share.

    Winners and losers

    This story has been bad news for frackers and even worse news for leveraged commodities traders such as Glencore. Are there any winners? The answer is yes, but it takes some detachment from the herd to see who they are.

    The oil industry is permeated in gloom right now because of oversupply and weak demand. Small producers are going out of business and a wave of energy-related bond defaults is about to wash over the fixed-income markets.

    The Big Question: Who wins in this scenario?

    The answer is that the major global oil producers win. They have the diversification, financial strength and hedging ability to weather the storm. The majors can bide their time and pick up oil assets for pennies on the dollar once the frackers file for bankruptcy. They also have close relations with the Saudis (through Saudi Aramco, the state-owned energy company of Saudi Arabia). This means that they are insiders when it comes to strategies such as the plan to destroy the frackers.

    Because of human biases and crowd behaviour, the stock prices of the major oil companies have been beaten down along with the price of oil and the stock prices of smaller players. But the oil majors are in a league of their own and are positioning themselves to benefit from the rebound of prices in late 2016 and early 2017.

  258. not backing down:

    31 Oct: Times of India: Vishwa Mohan: BASIC countries appeal to rich nations to do more to combat climate change
    NEW DELHI: A day after a UN report flagged inadequacy of countries’ action plans to check global warming, four big developing countries – India, China, Brazil and South Africa – on Saturday urged the rich nations to revisit their emission cut targets and increase it adequately to keep the average global temperature rise below 2 degree Celsius by 2100.
    These four countries made this appeal as part the BASIC – a group of Brazil, South Africa, India and China – which met in Beijing and issued a joint statement, asking the rich industrialized nations to scale up their both pre-2020 and post-2020 carbon emission cut targets.
    These countries also urged their developed counterparts to “honour their obligations to provide new, additional, predictable and adequate financial resources to developing countries in a measurable, reportable and verifiable manner”…
    India was represented by its environment minister Prakash Javadekar in the BASIC meet where all the four countries also reaffirmed their commitments to remain united under ‘G77 plus China’ group and worked to strengthen the voice of 134 developing countries during the Paris climate summit (COP21) and get an “equitable, ambitious, comprehensive, balanced and durable” global agreement…
    The BASIC statement too emphasized it, saying “differentiation between developed and developing countries should be reflected in each element of the agreement”…
    They said the public financial resources, distinct from overseas development assistance (ODA), should be the main source and funds from the private sectors can be complementary…

    31 Oct: Livemint: PTI: BASIC nations seek assistance from developed countries to combat climate change
    Environment minister Prakash Javadekar and negotiators from Brazil, South Africa and China—the other BASIC countries—issued a joint statement on Saturday at the conclusion of the 21st BASIC Ministerial Meeting on Climate Change in Beijing…
    On the heels of the observation by UN, the BASIC environment ministers said, “Developed countries must provide financial resources, technology development and transfer and capacity-building support to developing countries for their ambitious mitigation and adaptation actions under the Paris agreement.”

  259. dbstealey –
    the “environmentalists” happy to see the wind turbines shut down sound a bit conflicted.
    from your link, it seems they’d be happy with much stronger turbines:

    The major issue was “repowering,” which refers to reducing the number of turbines by replacing older one with much stronger ones. The strategy led to about a 35 percent decrease in bird deaths between 2006 and 2010, according to Lynes…

  260. the smugness of Hasan is ridiculous, given he’s using John Cook and James Lawrence Powell’s consensus claims to back up his position:

    31 Oct: Aljazeera: Reality Check: A climate change conspiracy?
    Mehdi Hasan calls out those who say man-made climate change is a hoax.
    In this week’s Reality Check, Mehdi Hasan calls out the climate change deniers and points to the damage caused by pretending the issue doesn’t exist…
    (includes Powell’s claim 99.9% of the climate scientists agree on the science?)

    details of the Powell claim at WUWT:

    July 2014: WUWT: E. Calvin Beisner: Climate Consensus? Nonsense!

  261. Anthony and mods!! You just got a FABULOUS shout out on John Stossels’ program!! This episode is on “Truth or Scare” and the issue of natural resource depletion such as running out of food, water, etc., was being discussed. One of the guests asked “how do we decide who to believe?” The commentator expert on these subjects discussed that for a second (recommending mainly research, reading), and then said basically “if there’s one thing I’d read when it came to climate change anyhow, would be” :-D He went on a little saying it was an excellent site with good scientific info etc. It was great hearing you get that sort of mention on a major syndicated program!

    Anyhow, I thought you all would like to know – maybe you can find a clip of it later…

    My best to all of you, keep up the great work,
    Rational Db8

    • It occurred to me I should probably have noted that Stossel’s program is on Fox News Channel for any who are unfamiliar with it – and note also that WUWT was the ONLY specific source suggested (and not just “only for climate change” but ONLY period). :0)

  262. of course, read all…

    31 Oct: UK Telegraph: Christopher Booker: Why the Paris climate treaty will be the flop of the year
    The chief obstacle to such an agreement is exactly the same as it was at Kyoto in 1997
    At the end of this month 40,000 politicians, officials, green activists, lobbyists and journalists from 195 nations will converge outside Paris – at Europe’s largest airport reserved only for private jets – for a conference that they hope will change the world.
    Their declared aim is to agree a treaty committing everyone to such a massive cut in their emissions of greenhouse gases that this might somehow prevent the earth’s temperatures rising more than 2 degrees C higher than they were when the climate began naturally warming again two centuries ago…
    And what about that Green Climate Fund, supposed by 2020 to be dishing out $100 billion every year to help developing countries to “adapt to climate change”? Firm pledges received so far total just $700 million, leaving $99.3 billion still to go.
    The only real question that will remain after the failure of this bid for a binding treaty in Paris is how much longer it can be before the most expensive and foolish scare story in history finally falls apart.

  263. Rational Db8:

    can’t yet find the Stossel video, but it would have been this segment, I presume:

    Fox: Stossel: Halloween – Truth or Scare
    “SCARCE” RESOURCES: The world is running out of oil, food and water! So claim the environmental left and clueless politicians. James Taylor of the Heartland Institute explains how, thanks to the genius of human innovation, we will have oil, food and water for years to come.


    Climate Change in the Eyes of El Nino?

    ‘This year’s El Niño can already lay claim to spawning Mexico’s record-breaking Hurricane Patricia or contributing to one of the worst ever outbreaks of peatland and forest fires in Indonesia, but it might only be just getting started. ‘

    quote: ‘record-breaking Hurricane Patricia…’ oh, it is just the Huff Post, after all. What can you expect?

    • Philippe Verdier has been fired as weatherman in France for his views on climate change. Artcle links to a statement by Verdier. He reads aloud the letter having opened it first – but then the link breaks down – will try again later.

  265. South Australian electricity grid has a major outage when an inter state powerline failed.
    Note that this line delivers coal fired electricity to SA from Victoria. SA is wrestling with the notion
    that it could easily embrace nuclear base load generation as it has the uranium, the land and the stable tectonics to store the waste.
    This would make sense if it wants long term contracts to build ships and submarines for self defence.
    Which means jobs.