Tag Archives: Tropical cyclone

Let’s hope this forecast for Hurricane Sandy is wrong

This model run (ECMWF) has Hurricane Sandy making a near bulls-eye on the Outer Banks of North Carolina with some impact on Norfolk, Washington, and Baltimore. It has some (but not all) of the components of the devastating 1954 Hurricane … Continue reading

About these ads
Posted in hurricanes | Tagged , , | 62 Comments

Dueling papers on Tropical Cyclone Frequency

Who to believe? One paper/press release says TC’s are occurring more frequently, another says they aren’t. I tend to believe the latter, because there seems to be more supporting data from other sources for it, such as Dr. Ryan Maue’s … Continue reading

Posted in hurricanes, Weather | Tagged , , | 49 Comments

Dr. Ryan Maue releases new hurricane frequency data showing a negative trend in the last 30 years

Meteorologist Dr. Ryan Maue has released the latest hurricane frequency data updated through September 2012 showing a continuation of depressed global major hurricane numbers. He announced on Twitter today: Still going down, global major hurricane numbers during last 12-months: 15 … Continue reading

Posted in hurricanes, Weather | Tagged , , , , , | 53 Comments

Discovery News Category 6 hurricanes – ‘batshit stupid’

Hurricane expert Dr. Ryan Maue pulls no punches when it comes to putting John Abraham of the Climate Science Rapid Response Team in his place: Here’s what Abraham has to say at Discovery News: 

Posted in Alarmism | Tagged , , , , , | 98 Comments

NASA’s Astronomy Picture of the Day double blunder

Gee, the AGW meme seems to permeate everything these days. Here’s a place where I least expected it to show up, the venerable Astronomy Picture of the Day, one of the oldest running daily features on the Internet. The first … Continue reading

Posted in hurricanes, Weather | Tagged , , , | 58 Comments

Texas A&M says freshwater hurricanes grow stronger

From Texas A&M University , a claim that fresh water intensifies hurricanes. At first blush, the concept seems wonky to me, as I don’t think there’s much difference between the heat content potential of fresh -vs- saltwater. Though, it might … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , | 66 Comments

WUWT gets results

Readers may recall yesterday that I posted this story : As hurricane season starts, the FSU hurricane season forecast is the odd man out citing “active”. This was from the FSU press release at Eurekalert here which headlines “Hurricane season … Continue reading

Posted in hurricanes | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 58 Comments

* As hurricane season starts, the FSU hurricane season forecast is the odd man out citing “active”

*UPDATE: FSU has made a change, the press agent writes to me with this update: The lead researcher on the hurricane forecast has requested a change to the headline to make it clearer, and I have made that change to … Continue reading

Posted in Forecasting, hurricanes | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 35 Comments

FEMA loses the global warming plot on hurricanes

From the we’ve been telling you so department, comes this honest briefing to the White House: (CNSNews.com) – Federal Emergency Management Agency Director Craig Fugate said the frequency of tornadoes and hurricanes is cyclical, and he doesn’t know if global … Continue reading

Posted in hurricanes | Tagged , , , , , | 29 Comments

Hurricane drought days at an all time high – Katrina Karma ?

Ever since Al Gore used hurricane Katrina as a false example of AGW driven severe weather, there has been a drought of major landfalling U.S. Hurricanes, which can only be a good thing. This year I hope Mr. Gore makes … Continue reading

Posted in hurricanes, Weather | Tagged , , , | 34 Comments

Klotzbach and Gray 2012 forecast – cooler Atlantic – fewer hurricanes

EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST OF ATLANTIC SEASONAL HURRICANE ACTIVITY AND LANDFALL STRIKE PROBABILITY FOR 2012 We anticipate that the 2012 Atlantic basin hurricane season will have reduced activity compared with the 1981-2010 climatology. The tropical Atlantic has anomalously cooled over the … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Forecasting, hurricanes, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , , | 37 Comments

Global Economic Damages from Tropical Cyclones – Sins of Omission

Guest post by Indur M. Goklany A few days ago I saw a report about a paper in Nature Climate Change on future economic damages from tropical cyclones (or hurricanes, as we Americans call them) by Robert Mendelsohn, Kerry Emanuel … Continue reading

Posted in hurricanes | Tagged , , , , , , , | 20 Comments

Don’t sell your coat!

This guest post is well worth a read – Anthony Guest post by Harold Ambler What follows is an excerpt from my new book Don’t Sell Your Coat, available here: I want to examine the moral component of meteorological journalism. As … Continue reading

Posted in Book Review | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 83 Comments

CSU’s Klotzbach and Gray Suspend December Hurricane Forecast

UPDATE:  note to readers, Gray and Klotzbach are only discontinuing December forecasts for the season ahead due to limited predictive skill — for the time being.  A main reason is the well-known “Spring barrier” in El Nino Southern Oscillation forecasts … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , | 69 Comments

“Very wet rain events” from tropical cyclones linked to earthquakes

From the University of Miami Rosenstiel School of Marine & Atmospheric Science , an interesting groundbreaking paper, ahem…but, wait for it, we’ll soon hear “Climate disruption causes more hurricanes and those cause more earthquakes” from the Rommists and McKibbenites. Research … Continue reading

Posted in Earthquakes, hurricanes | Tagged , , , , , , , | 101 Comments

Hurricane Kenneth forms southwest of Baja

Late season Hurricane Kenneth forms in the eastern Pacific Click image above to animate the most current loop The hurricane season in the eastern Pacific isn’t over and Hurricane Kenneth serves as a reminder that the season ends November 30. … Continue reading

Posted in hurricanes | Tagged , , , , , , , | 49 Comments

More shootdown of the “severe weather is increasing” hype

From World Climate Report: No Change in Storminess As we enter the winter season, we all realize that if a large snow storm forms anywhere on the planet, someone will immediately appear and claim we are witnessing the effect of … Continue reading

Posted in Climate_change | Tagged , | 26 Comments

Getting GRLed

Dr. Roger Pielke Jr. recently submitted this paper to Geophysical Research Letters (GRL): A homogeneous database of global landfalling tropical cyclones Jessica Weinkle* and Roger Pielke, Jr. Center for Science and Technology Policy Research, University of Colorado, 1333 Grandview Ave, … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 260 Comments