Tag Archives: Tropical cyclone

Klotzbach and Gray 2012 forecast – cooler Atlantic – fewer hurricanes

Posted on April 23, 2012 by

EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST OF ATLANTIC SEASONAL HURRICANE ACTIVITY AND LANDFALL STRIKE PROBABILITY FOR 2012 We anticipate that the 2012 Atlantic basin hurricane season will have reduced activity compared with the 1981-2010 climatology. The tropical Atlantic has anomalously cooled over the … Continue reading →

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Posted in ENSO, Forecasting, hurricanes, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , , | 37 Comments

Global Economic Damages from Tropical Cyclones – Sins of Omission

Posted on February 3, 2012 by

Guest post by Indur M. Goklany A few days ago I saw a report about a paper in Nature Climate Change on future economic damages from tropical cyclones (or hurricanes, as we Americans call them) by Robert Mendelsohn, Kerry Emanuel … Continue reading →

Posted in hurricanes | Tagged , , , , , , , | 20 Comments

Don’t sell your coat!

Posted on December 16, 2011 by

This guest post is well worth a read – Anthony Guest post by Harold Ambler What follows is an excerpt from my new book Don’t Sell Your Coat, available here: I want to examine the moral component of meteorological journalism. As … Continue reading →

Posted in Book Review | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 83 Comments

CSU’s Klotzbach and Gray Suspend December Hurricane Forecast

Posted on December 13, 2011 by

UPDATE:  note to readers, Gray and Klotzbach are only discontinuing December forecasts for the season ahead due to limited predictive skill — for the time being.  A main reason is the well-known “Spring barrier” in El Nino Southern Oscillation forecasts … Continue reading →

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , | 69 Comments

“Very wet rain events” from tropical cyclones linked to earthquakes

Posted on December 8, 2011 by

From the University of Miami Rosenstiel School of Marine & Atmospheric Science , an interesting groundbreaking paper, ahem…but, wait for it, we’ll soon hear “Climate disruption causes more hurricanes and those cause more earthquakes” from the Rommists and McKibbenites. Research … Continue reading →

Posted in Earthquakes, hurricanes | Tagged , , , , , , , | 101 Comments

Hurricane Kenneth forms southwest of Baja

Posted on November 21, 2011 by

Late season Hurricane Kenneth forms in the eastern Pacific Click image above to animate the most current loop The hurricane season in the eastern Pacific isn’t over and Hurricane Kenneth serves as a reminder that the season ends November 30. … Continue reading →

Posted in hurricanes | Tagged , , , , , , , | 49 Comments

More shootdown of the “severe weather is increasing” hype

Posted on October 18, 2011 by

From World Climate Report: No Change in Storminess As we enter the winter season, we all realize that if a large snow storm forms anywhere on the planet, someone will immediately appear and claim we are witnessing the effect of … Continue reading →

Posted in Climate_change | Tagged , | 26 Comments

Getting GRLed

Posted on September 27, 2011 by

Dr. Roger Pielke Jr. recently submitted this paper to Geophysical Research Letters (GRL): A homogeneous database of global landfalling tropical cyclones Jessica Weinkle* and Roger Pielke, Jr. Center for Science and Technology Policy Research, University of Colorado, 1333 Grandview Ave, … Continue reading →

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 260 Comments

Hurricane Katia now category 4 3 2  1

Posted on September 5, 2011 by

Katia, after dropping into tropical storm speeds has regained hurricane strength and has rapidly grown to a Category 4 hurricane. Fortunately, it appears it will miss the USA east coast. Here’s the latest tracks and bulletins: Track:

Posted in hurricanes, Weather | Tagged , , , | 38 Comments

Hurricane Irene not packing much of a “punch” so far

Posted on August 27, 2011 by

One of the great things about Internet, technology, and personal weather stations today is that I can sit comfortably in my home in California and watch the storm progress on the other coast. This map from Weather Underground suggests that … Continue reading →

Posted in hurricanes, Weather | Tagged , , , , | 125 Comments

Why I don’t subscribe to Scientific American any more

Posted on August 24, 2011 by

It is because of beyond stupid fear mongering like this: Are Category 6 Hurricanes coming soon? Really? Lest people think this is some sort of “new” fear, I’ll remind them of this from 1969, well before CO2 was bogusly posited … Continue reading →

Posted in hurricanes, Ridiculae | Tagged , , , | 97 Comments

Climate Craziness of the Week: Mike Smith on “This Week’s Stupidest Global Warming Story”

Posted on July 3, 2011 by

By Mike Smith of Meteorological Musings This story from London’s Daily Mail is so bad, the reporter won’t even put his or her name on it. In the story, we learn the Joplin tornado was caused by global warming.  We learn … Continue reading →

Posted in Climate Craziness of the Week | Tagged , , , , | 102 Comments

Global hurricane activity at historical record lows: new paper

Posted on June 26, 2011 by

During the past 6-years since Hurricane Katrina, global tropical cyclone frequency and energy have decreased dramatically, and are currently at near-historical record lows.  According to a new peer-reviewed research paper accepted to be published, only 69 tropical storms were observed … Continue reading →

Posted in hurricanes, Weather | Tagged , , | 77 Comments

Hurricane season starts today

Posted on June 1, 2011 by

From NASA Goddard- Atlantic hurricane season sticks to the calendar: System 93L NOTE: I’ve posted the most current image below, the system has already crossed the Florida peninsula and is now in the Gulf of Mexico – Anthony Hurricane season … Continue reading →

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , | 30 Comments

NOAA hurricane outlook indicates an above-normal Atlantic season

Posted on May 19, 2011 by

Looks pretty much the same as Mann’s hurricane season predictions The Atlantic basin is expected to see an above-normal hurricane season this year, according to the seasonal outlook issued by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center – a division of the National Weather … Continue reading →

Posted in Forecasting, hurricanes | Tagged , , , | 33 Comments

Joe Bastardi’s hurricane season

Posted on May 18, 2011 by

The Hurricane Season ( a rehash of what I have had so far) By Joe Bastardi, WeatherBell I see Dr Mann has a forecast out for 16 storms plus or minus 4, NOAA is out with theirs tomorrow. It is … Continue reading →

Posted in Forecasting | Tagged | 37 Comments

Mann’s hurricane season predictions

Posted on May 18, 2011 by

Hockey team science wonk Dr. Michael Mann has released his hurricane predictions, just in time to pre-empt NOAA’s planned release of their forecast ,Thursday, May 19, 2011 – 11:30 a.m. ET. ESSC Scientists make prediction for 2011 North Atlantic Hurricane … Continue reading →

Posted in Forecasting, hurricanes, Satire | Tagged , , | 86 Comments

The approach of Cyclone Yasi as told by the data

Posted on February 1, 2011 by

In our previous post, we highlighted the BoM weather station on Willis Island, and wondered what would happen to it and to the staff who worked there. Fortunately the staff has been evacuated prior to Yasi hitting the island. They … Continue reading →

Posted in hurricanes, measurement, Weather | Tagged , , | 95 Comments

Australia braces for Cyclone Yasi as it hits Category 5

Posted on February 1, 2011 by

UPDATE: Live The last radar image from Willis Island added below. The last radar image is truly striking. Also, see below for the differences between the Australia hurricane scale and the familiar Saffir-Simpson scale used in the USA. They are … Continue reading →

Posted in hurricanes, Weather | Tagged , , , | 160 Comments

Snowzilla and the Yeti Yasi

Posted on February 1, 2011 by

We have Snowzilla in the USA… …and Yasi in Oz. Crikey! Look at the size of this thing a day ago: Jo Nova has a size comparison for the present. To give you some idea of just how expansive Yasi … Continue reading →

Posted in hurricanes, Weather | Tagged , , | 84 Comments