New El Niño causal pattern discovered

From the University of Hawaii ‑ SOEST: Climate researchers discover new rhythm for El Niño El Niño wreaks havoc across the globe, shifting weather patterns that spawn droughts in some regions and floods in others. The impacts of this tropical Pacific climate phenomenon are well known and documented. A mystery, however, has remained despite decades…

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On Guemas et al (2013) “Retrospective prediction of the global warming slowdown in the past decade”

I received a number of emails about the newly published Guemas et al (2013) paper titled “Retrospective prediction of the global warming slowdown in the past decade”. It’s paywalled. The abstract is here. It reads: Despite a sustained production of anthropogenic greenhouse gases, the Earth’s mean near-surface temperature paused its rise during the 2000–2010 period1.…

NASA on the sun: ‘…tiny variations can have a significant effect on terrestrial climate.”

Researchers have considered the possibility that the sun plays a role in global warming. From NASA GSFC:  Solar Variability and Terrestrial Climate In the galactic scheme of things, the Sun is a remarkably constant star.  While some stars exhibit dramatic pulsations, wildly yo-yoing in size and brightness, and sometimes even exploding, the luminosity of our…

La Nada, El Niño, or Three-Peat La Niña for 2012/13 ENSO Season?

Readers may have noticed the WUWT ENSO meter is in the neutral zone. Bob Tisdale asks where it will head next. Guest post by Bob Tisdale Last year about this time, the El Niño-Southern Oscillations (ENSO) models from around the globe predicted ENSO-neutral to El Niño conditions for the 2011/12 ENSO season. But the two…