Tag Archives: Met Office

Met Office Confirms St Jude’s Day Storm Was Not Unusual

By Paul Homewood The Met Office have now issued their comprehensive report on the St Jude’s Day storm, that hit southern England in October. Readers will recall idiotic headlines at the time, describing it as “The Storm of the Century”, … Continue reading

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Posted in Alarmism, extreme weather | Tagged , , , , , , , | 37 Comments

New paper: climate models short on ‘physics required for realistic simulation of the Earth system’

I’m pleased to have had a chance to to review this new paper just published in the Journal of Climate: An Evaluation of Decadal Probability Forecasts from State-of-the-Art Climate Models Suckling, Emma B., Leonard A. Smith, 2013: An Evaluation of … Continue reading

Posted in Modeling | Tagged , , , , , , , | 46 Comments

The 4hiroshimas app – propaganda of the worst kind

The kidz at Skeptical Science (SkS) have made fools of themselves again, creating an app that is not only morally wrong, but the clearest case of science propaganda disguised as climate information I’ve ever seen. First, one wonders what the … Continue reading

Posted in Climate ugliness, Opinion | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | 115 Comments

Ooops – Met Office decadal model forecast for 2004-2014 falls flat

‘The Pause’ claims another victim. Source: http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:2004/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:2004/trend:2004 Paul Matthews writes: The skillful predictions of climate science Smith et al (2007): 0.3°C in 10 years In 2007, a team of climate scientists from the UK Met Office led by Doug Smith wrote a … Continue reading

Posted in Climate FAIL, Forecasting, MetOffice, Modeling | Tagged , , , , , , , | 51 Comments

Cowtan and Way – The Magician’s ‘Red Scarf Trick’ with Linear Trend Lines

Guest Post by Kip Hansen There are a lot of good, in-depth technical discussions of Cowtan and Way 2013, Coverage bias in the HadCRUT4 temperature series and its impact on recent temperature trends. This is not one of them. In … Continue reading

Posted in Cowtan & Way, Curious things, Presentations | Tagged , , , , , , , | 79 Comments

An impartial look at global warming…

Guest essay by M.S.Hodgart (Visiting Reader Surrey Space Centre University of Surrey) The figure presented here is a new graph of the story of global warming – and cooling. The graph makes no predictions and should be used only to … Continue reading

Posted in Climate data | Tagged , , , , , , , | 147 Comments

The state of climate science: ‘fluxed up’

Science not settled, still in a state of flux – IPCC AR5 in disarray. It is looking like my single word quote in Rolling Stone “stillborn”, will be accurate. The title is my twist on what Dr. Judith Curry said … Continue reading

Posted in IPCC, IPCC AR5 leak | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 79 Comments

Britain’s Warm, But Unremarkable Summer

Guest essay by Paul Homewood For those of us living in the UK, the glorious summer has been much in the news. We seem to have spent half of it listening to the BBC telling us about temperature records that … Continue reading

Posted in Climate data, Climate News | Tagged , , , , , , , | 62 Comments

RSS Flat For 200 Months (Now Includes July Data)

[NOTE: RSS is a satellite temperature data set much like the UAH dataset from Dr. Roy Spencer and John Christy - Anthony] Image Credit: WoodForTrees.org Guest Post By Werner Brozek, Edited By Just The Facts The graphic above shows 3 … Continue reading

Posted in Climate data, measurement, Sea Surface Temperature, Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 200 Comments

The Met Office hides the decline, starring ‘Doctor No’

I’ve come to think of Richard Betts as “Dr. No” mainly because he seems to say no to any possibility that the Met Office might not be giving out accurate forecasts to the public. I’ve had a few Twitter exchanges … Continue reading

Posted in MetOffice | Tagged , , , , , , , | 53 Comments

Global Warming = Climate Change

Guest Essay by Ed Hoskins This short essay questions the actions to combat Global Warming / Climate Change from three points of view: The Temperature Context Man-made CO2 emissions 1965 -2012. The Significance and Influence of Carbon Dioxide CO2 The … Continue reading

Posted in Climate_change, Global warming | Tagged , , , , , , , | 84 Comments

How Good Are Met Office Predictions? (Now Includes at Least May Data)

Image Credit: WoodForTrees.org Guest Post By Werner Brozek, Edited By Just The Facts “We are now using the system to predict changes out to 2014. By the end of this period, the global average temperature is expected to have risen … Continue reading

Posted in Climate data, measurement, Sea Surface Temperature, Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 40 Comments

Newsbytes: Science Is About Evidence, Not Consensus

From the GWPF and Dr. Benny Peiser Met Office Gets A Roasting Over ‘Wet Summers’ Forecast Science does not respect consensus. There was once widespread agreement about phlogiston (a nonexistent element said to be a crucial part of combustion), eugenics, … Continue reading

Posted in Newsbytes | Tagged , , , | 52 Comments

UK press commission rules on “The Great Green Con”

It seems reporter David Rose has been cleared of any press ethics issues related to his publication of “The Great Green Con” in the UK Mail on Sunday. It seems his article upset (as the Press Commission described) “an environmentalist … Continue reading

Posted in media | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | 88 Comments

A data review to supplement the UK Met Office ‘Disappointing Weather Meeting’

A graphical review of 14.5 years disappointing UK weather Guest essay by Neil Catto A meeting today (18th March 2013) took place at the UK Met Office HQ in Exeter. See the report here: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/news/releases/archive/2013/meeting-unusual-seasons It was arranged to include … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , | 105 Comments

An Open Letter To Ed Davey

By Paul Homewood Ed Davey, the UK Secretary of State for Energy, has made a speech attacking the press for reporting the views of climate sceptics, saying “But some sections of the press are giving an uncritical campaigning platform to … Continue reading

Posted in Climate ugliness | Tagged , , , , , , , | 98 Comments

Coldest Spring In England Since 1891

By Paul Homewood Originally, it was thought to be the coldest spring since 1962. Winter? Teesdale in County Durham blanketed in snow on May 23 in what is likely to be Britain’s coldest spring since 1962 http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2333312/UK-weather-Spring-coldest-50-years-average-temperature-just-6C.html According to the … Continue reading

Posted in records, Weather | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 98 Comments

The Met Office responds to Doug Keenan’s statistical significance issue

Bishop Hill reports that Doug Keenan’s article about statistical significance in the temperature records seems to have had a response from the Met Office. WUWT readers may recall our story here: Uh oh, the Met Office has set the cat … Continue reading

Posted in Climate News | Tagged , , , , , , , | 133 Comments

Met Office Hadley Centre and Climatic Research Unit HadCRUT4 and CRUTEM4 Temperature Data Sets Adjusted/Corrected/Updated… Can You Guess The Impact?

Image Credit: Met Office Hadley Centre By Just The Facts, Werner Brozek and Walter Dnes The Met Office Hadley Centre and the Climatic Research Unit at the University of East Anglia, have adjusted/corrected/updated their HadCRUT4 & CRUTEM4 data sets, the … Continue reading

Posted in Climate data, MetOffice, Temperature | Tagged , , , , | 99 Comments

Temperature change in perspective

Guest post by Ed Hoskins The UK Met Office long term Central England Temperature record[1] has kept a continuous and consistent data set since the 1660s. It appears to be reliable and to have maintained its quality. It has not … Continue reading

Posted in Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , , | 49 Comments

Newsbytes: The Met office blunders again – warm bias in forecasting

From The GWPF and Dr. Benny Peiser Met Office Apologises For Wrong Forecast – And Makes Another One  Warm Bias: The Met Office’s Disastrous Track Record Met Office apologises for warning of ‘dry spell’ before wettest April on record. –The … Continue reading

Posted in Forecasting, MetOffice | Tagged , | 66 Comments

Trend To Colder Winters Continues in UK

Guest post by Paul Homewood http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/anomacts Figures released by the  Met Office show the UK mean temperature for the 2012/13 winter finishing at 3.31C. This is below the long term 1981-2010 average of 3.83C.

Posted in AMO | Tagged , , | 206 Comments

Newsbytes: Climate Scientists Turn Skeptical As Climate Predictions Fail

 From The GWPF by Dr. Benny Peiser British Government Abandons Climate Change Education For Young Children The Mail on Sunday today presents irrefutable evidence that official predictions of global climate warming have been catastrophically flawed.The graph on this page blows … Continue reading

Posted in Newsbytes | Tagged , , , , | 103 Comments

It has come down to this – climate science has become a stick fight

I have to chuckle at the battle going on with stick graphs this weekend. Choose your weapon, flat or vertical blade, real data, or proxy data with an arbitrary extension added by the special effects department. First, Christoper Booker’s flat … Continue reading

Posted in Humor, Satire | Tagged , , , , | 89 Comments

Another climate billboard

Of course we all know about that other ill-fated unabomber billboard last year that went over like a lead radiosonde balloon, but I like this one by CFACT (minus the date controversy of course). Drive by this! Science tells us … Continue reading

Posted in Climate News | Tagged , , , | 104 Comments

The Winter Of 1947

“Climate disruption” before the current lunacy of “CO2 caused extreme weather” era By Paul Homewood The Great Freeze of 1963 was the coldest winter in the UK for over 200 years. However, the winter of 1947, while not as cold, … Continue reading

Posted in snowfall, Weather | Tagged , , | 93 Comments

Global Warming To Bring Colder/Warmer Winters

By Paul Homewood It seems that every time we get some snow, another “scientist” is wheeled out to explain that, no matter how cold it gets, it is all down to global warming. In the last week or so, we … Continue reading

Posted in Global warming, snowfall, Temperature, Weather | Tagged , , , , , , , | 117 Comments

A New Kind Of Rain

By Paul Homewood Verity Jones, over at Digging in the Clay, reminds me of an interview with Lord Smith, the politician formerly known as Chris Smith, in the Sunday Telegraph. According to Smith, a former Environment Secretary and now head … Continue reading

Posted in Rainfall | Tagged , , , | 99 Comments

Japan’s ‘Cool Hand Luke’ moment for surface temperature

At NASA’s Climate 365, there is an interesting story posted with this statement and a graph: Some say scientists can’t agree on Earth’s temperature changes Each year, four international science institutions compile temperature data from thousands of stations around the … Continue reading

Posted in Climate data, NASA GISS, NCDC, NOAA | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 122 Comments

Matt Ridley: A Lukewarmer’s Ten Tests

What it would take to persuade me that current climate policy makes sense Guest post by Matt Ridley I have written about climate change and energy policy for more than 25 years. I have come to the conclusion that current … Continue reading

Posted in The Skeptic's Case | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 310 Comments

Expert predicts ‘Monsoon Britain’

Guest post by Paul Homewood h/t Robuk A study, by Professor Stuart Lane of Durham University back in 2008, appears to have been remarkably percipient. Written just after the extremely wet summer of 2007, the study suggests that, far from … Continue reading

Posted in Climate_change, Forecasting | Tagged , , , , , , , | 83 Comments

Newsbytes – Global Warming Downgraded, James Lovelock Recants

A doubly whammy this week as Gaia author Lovelock rails against windfarms and environmentalists, and climate sensitivity has been scaled back. From Dr. Benny Peiser at The GWPF: Global warming is likely to be less extreme than claimed, researchers said … Continue reading

Posted in Newsbytes | Tagged , , , , , , , | 127 Comments

Finally, a climate forecast model that works?

Note: Short term predictions are relatively easy, it remains to be seen if this holds up over the long term. I have my doubts. – Anthony Guest post by Frank Lemke The Global Warming Prediction Project is an impartial, transparent, … Continue reading

Posted in Forecasting, Modeling | Tagged , , , , , , , | 207 Comments

Newsbytes – New Met Office Botch

From Dr. Benny Peiser at The GWPF Climate Scientists Get The Stratosphere Wrong How did the Met Office get their data so wrong? Well there’s the rub. You see, the methodology used to develop the Met Office SSU product was … Continue reading

Posted in MetOffice | Tagged , , , , , , , | 27 Comments

Has the Met Office committed fraud?

Guest post by Christopher Monckton of Brenchley The truth is out. No amount of hand-wringing or numerical prestidigitation on the part of the usual suspects can any longer conceal from the world the fact that global warming has been statistically … Continue reading

Posted in Alarmism, MetOffice, Opinion | Tagged , | 348 Comments