Tag Archives: La Nina

New study claims low solar activity caused “the pause” in global temperature – but AGW will return!

This is on a tip from Dr. Leif Svalgaard, WUWT’s resident solar expert. It was just published in the journal Atmospheric and Climate Sciences, and is open access. I found this study’s conclusion a bit amusing, because there are numerous … Continue reading

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Posted in Climate News, ENSO, Hiatus in Global Warming, Peer review, Science, Solar | Tagged , , | 180 Comments

Why The Global Warming ‘Pause’ Hasn’t Gone Away

From the GWPF By Dr David Whitehouse This new paper does not affect the fact that the temperature databases, with their own allowances for data-free regions, show no warming for 16-years, or at the very least no warming for about … Continue reading

Posted in Hiatus in Global Warming | Tagged , , , , , , , | 67 Comments

Another paper blames ENSO for global warming pause, calling it ‘… a major control knob governing Earth’s temperature.’

UPDATE: Chris de Freitas responds to comments with an addendum below – Anthony Readers may recall the recent paper that blamed “the pause” in global temperature on ENSO changes in the Pacific Ocean. Recent global-warming hiatus tied to equatorial Pacific … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Global warming | Tagged , , , , , | 211 Comments

‘Mind blowing paper’ blames ENSO for Global Warming Hiatus

Note: Dr. Judith Curry also has an essay on this important paper. She writes: My mind has been blown by a new paper just published in Nature. Just when I least expected it, after a busy day when I took … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO | Tagged , , , | 395 Comments

Schellnhuber thinks he can forecast El Niño a year in advance

From the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) where breakthroughs happen even before they have a proven track record. It appears he was able to predict one event last year in 2012 from the method run in 2011, but … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Forecasting | Tagged , , , , , , , | 40 Comments

Claim: Humans play role in Australia’s “angry” hot summer

From the University of Melbourne, where being angry about “weather is not climate” isn’t just a science, it’s a way of life: Human influences through global warming are likely to have played a role in Australia’s recent “angry” hot summer, … Continue reading

Posted in heat wave, Modeling, Weather | Tagged , , , , , , , | 142 Comments

To NCDC: We Haven’t Seen an El Nino since 2009/10, What Do You Expect?

This desperate sounding tweet came in a few minutes ago and will be sure to get the peccatogenesists all stirred up with laughable claims of “poisoned weather” etc. June 11 U.S. Drought Monitor Update: moderate to exceptional #drought covers 44.1% of … Continue reading

Posted in Drought, ENSO | Tagged , , , , , , , | 46 Comments

Global Warming theory has failed all tests, so alarmists return to the ‘97% consensus’ hoax

 Guest essay by Joseph D’Aleo, CCM, Weatherbell Analytics National Academies of Science defines a scientific theory as “a well-substantiated explanation of the natural world that can incorporate facts, laws, inferences, and tested hypotheses.” Dr Richard Feynman, Cornell Physicist in a … Continue reading

Posted in 97% consensus, Global warming | Tagged , , , , , , , | 145 Comments

Updates to and ENSO Observations from the WUWT Ocean Reference Page

Image Credit: Monterey Marine Meteorology Division – HYbrid Coordinate Ocean Model (HYCOM) By WUWT regular “Just The Facts” In making several updates to the WUWT Ocean Reference Page I observed something in the Sea Surface Temperature animation above, that I’ve … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Oceans, Reference Pages, Salinity, Sea level, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , | 59 Comments

A Different Perspective of the Equatorial Pacific and ENSO Events

by Bob Tisdale It’s difficult to express how enormous El Niño and La Niña events are. Often, when discussing them, I’ll display a map of the tropical Pacific (see example here) and write something to the effect of, the equatorial … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Ocean Heat Content, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , , | 32 Comments

On Guemas et al (2013) “Retrospective prediction of the global warming slowdown in the past decade”

I received a number of emails about the newly published Guemas et al (2013) paper titled “Retrospective prediction of the global warming slowdown in the past decade”. It’s paywalled. The abstract is here. It reads: Despite a sustained production of … Continue reading

Posted in Ocean Heat Content | Tagged , , , , , , , | 207 Comments

NOAA’s Ever-Changing Definition of La Niña Years

UPDATE: I’ve added two illustrations to the end of the post. At the request of blogger “Kurt in Switzerland”, I plotted a comparison of the new and old versions of the Oceanic NINO Index data and posted it in a … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, NCDC, NOAA | Tagged , , , , , , , | 36 Comments

New video from Bob Tisdale explains The Impact of Manmade Global Warming on a Blizzard Called Nemo and on Hurricane Sandy

Guest post by Bob Tisdale The following video is an examination and discussion of the sea surface temperature data associated with the recent blizzard called Nemo, and with hurricane Sandy. There’s nothing unusual about those temperatures, and there’s no evidence … Continue reading

Posted in Climate News | Tagged , , , , , , , | 29 Comments

Emergent Climate Phenomena

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach In a recent post, I described how the El Nino/La Nina alteration operates as a giant pump. Whenever the Pacific Ocean gets too warm across its surface, the Nino/Nina pump kicks in and removes the … Continue reading

Posted in Emergence | Tagged , , , , , , , | 151 Comments

New ebook: The Manmade Global Warming Challenge

Guest post by Bob Tisdale INTRODUCTION Many bloggers are very active in the climate change debate around the globe. In advance of an expected intensification of that debate this year, I’ve written a new essay about the natural warming of … Continue reading

Posted in Book Review, Global warming | Tagged , , , , , , , | 23 Comments

The Tao of El Nino

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I was wandering through the graphics section of the TAO buoy data this evening. I noted that they have an outstanding animation of the most recent sixty months of tropical sea temperatures and surface heights. … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO | Tagged , , , , | 64 Comments

NOAA SOTC Claim that 2012 Was Warmest La Nina Year is Wrong

NOAA’s Definition and Data Contradict Their Claim That 2012 Was The Warmest La Niña Year Guest post by Bob Tisdale In the 2012 State of the Climate Report, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) stated (my boldface): 2012 ranked as … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Government idiocy, NCDC, NOAA | Tagged , , , , , , , | 18 Comments

ENSO 2013 – Boy or Girl?

We’re Expecting: Will it be a Boy, a Girl, or ENSO-Neutral in 2013? by Bob Tisdale There was lots of interest in the short-lived El Niño conditions in 2012. Recently, they very quickly transformed into the present weak La Niña conditions. … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO | Tagged , , , , | 77 Comments

Why El Niño and not the AMO?

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach On another thread, a poster got me thinking about the common practice of using the El Nino 3.4 Index to remove some of the variability from the historical global average surface temperature record. The theory, … Continue reading

Posted in AMO, ENSO | Tagged , , , , , , , | 154 Comments

Quote of the week – Hansen concedes the age of flatness

Dr. James Hansen and Reto Ruedy of NASA GISS have written a paper (non peer reviewed) with a remarkable admission in it. It is titled Global Temperature Update Through 2012. Here is the money quote, which pretty much ends the caterwauling … Continue reading

Posted in James Hansen, NASA GISS | Tagged , , , , , , , | 215 Comments

Warming Rate in the US Slowed during the Recent Warming Period

The Contiguous U.S. Surface Air Temperature Data Through 2012 – Is the Recent Warming Trend Unusual? Guest post by Bob Tisdale There’s going to be a press conference today with James Hansen of GISS and Tom Karl of NOAA. According to … Continue reading

Posted in Climate data | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 49 Comments

Drought, Hurricanes and Heat Waves – 2012 in Perspective

Guest post by Bob Tisdale Drought, Hurricanes and Heat Waves – Climate Change and Global Warming in the United States – 2012 in Perspective In this video, we’ll examine the exceptional and historic nature of the recent drought in the … Continue reading

Posted in Drought, Global warming, heat wave, hurricanes | Tagged , , , , , , | 12 Comments

NOAA Mixing Their Niños

Guest post by Paul Homewood In their attempts to disguise the fact that 2012 will likely turn out to be one of the colder years this century, NOAA have made the ludicrous, and frankly dishonest, claim that this year will … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , , | 86 Comments

El Niño-Southern Oscillation Myth 3: ENSO Has No Trend and Cannot Contribute to Long-Term Warming

Guest post by Bob Tisdale This is the 3rd part of a series of posts that present myths and misunderstandings about the tropical Pacific processes that herald themselves during El Niño and La Niña events. In the posts, I’m simply … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , , | 86 Comments

El Niño-Southern Oscillation Myth 2: A New Myth – ENSO Balances Out to Zero over the Long Term

Guest post by Bob Tisdale This is the second part in a series of posts about El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). They address many of the myths and misunderstandings about the tropical Pacific processes that herald themselves during El Niño and … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO | Tagged , , , , | 121 Comments

Once again, reality trumps models – Pacific SST’s are flat

Model-Data Comparison: Pacific Ocean Satellite-Era Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies Guest post by Bob Tisdale I’ll be adding the Pacific Ocean (60S-65N, 120E-80W) sea surface temperature anomalies to my monthly updates. See Figure 1 for the area covered by those coordinates. Why … Continue reading

Posted in Modeling, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , | 77 Comments

El Niño-Southern Oscillation Myth 1: El Niño and La Niña Events are Cyclical

Guest post by Bob Tisdale This is the first of a series of posts that address many of the myths and misunderstandings about the tropical Pacific processes that herald themselves during El Niño and La Niña events. Most of the … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO | Tagged , , , , | 142 Comments

An Inconvenient Truth: Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies along Sandy’s Track Haven’t Warmed in 70+ Years

Guest post by Bob Tisdale I was visiting family in the Northeast U.S. when Sandy came ashore, so I was without power for most of last week. Since my return home, I’ve been catching up with all of the nonsense … Continue reading

Posted in hurricanes, Sea Surface Temperature, Weather | Tagged , , , , , , , | 61 Comments

Another model failure – seeing a sea of red where there is none

Seeing red just took on a whole new meaning – Anthony Model-Data Comparison – Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies – November 1981 through September 2012 Guest post by Bob Tisdale This is not the monthly sea surface temperature update. See the post … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Modeling, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , | 53 Comments

Resolving the biases in century-scale sea surface temperature measurements reveals some interesting patterns

This new paper in GRL takes on the well-known buckets-vs-inlets issue (Steve McIntyre also visited the issue several times) related to ship based sea surface temperature measurements and as a result, produces an improved dataset. The results show a surprising … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , | 59 Comments

Tisdale asks: Hey, Where’d The El Niño Go?

Guest post by Bob Tisdale This post will serve as the mid-September 2012 sea surface temperature anomaly update. Sea surface temperature anomalies for the NINO3.4 region of the eastern equatorial Pacific are a commonly used index for the strength, frequency … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , | 94 Comments

Tisdales’ Blog Memo to Kevin Trenberth at NCAR

Guest post by Bob Tisdale Date:  September 20, 2012 Subject:  Trenberth and Fasullo (2012) paper “Climate extremes and climate change: The Russian heat wave and other climate extremes of 2010” From:  Bob Tisdale – Climate Observations To:  Kevin Trenberth – … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , | 49 Comments

Tisdale: The Warming of the Global Oceans – Are Manmade Greenhouse Gases Important or Impotent?

Note: this post was two weeks in the making, and well worth your time to read – Anthony Guest post by Bob Tisdale Global sea surface temperatures have warmed over the past 30 years, but there is no evidence the … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Global warming, Oceans, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , | 158 Comments

New easy to use reference book for El Niño and global warming

I think readers will appreciate the point by point style that this book is written in. It enables you to zero in on argument rebuttals with graphs and data. Highly recommended – Anthony Also see Roger Pielke Sr.’s Announcement and … Continue reading

Posted in Book Review, ENSO, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , | 85 Comments

Tisdale on the problems with ENSO models

Guilyardi et al (2009) “Understanding El Niño in Ocean-Atmosphere General Circulation Models: progress and challenges” Guest post by Bob Tisdale The preliminary Reynolds OI.v2 sea surface temperature data for July 2012 won’t be available until next Monday July 30th, and there … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , | 27 Comments