Tag Archives: ENSO

New WUWT ENSO Forecast Page, Underwater Upgrades to the WUWT ENSO Page and a Disturbance in the Equatorial Atlantic

Guest Post by Just The Facts Introducing the new WUWT ENSO Forecast Page with an array of low skill forecasts… There are also several upgrades to the WUWT ENSO page, including new Sea Temperature Anomalies at depths. Lastly, WUWT reader … Continue reading

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Posted in Climate News, ENSO, Reference Pages, Volcanoes | Tagged , | 58 Comments

Claim: El Nino events get more extreme as globe warms

From the University of New South Wales  and the “chicken or the egg” department comes this claim that El Niño events will increase in intensity. Meanwhile the milquetoast La Nada of the present continues. New method shows how historical ENSO … Continue reading

Posted in Climate News, ENSO, Global warming | Tagged , , | 71 Comments

Another paper blames ENSO for global warming pause, calling it ‘… a major control knob governing Earth’s temperature.’

UPDATE: Chris de Freitas responds to comments with an addendum below – Anthony Readers may recall the recent paper that blamed “the pause” in global temperature on ENSO changes in the Pacific Ocean. Recent global-warming hiatus tied to equatorial Pacific … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Global warming | Tagged , , , , , | 211 Comments

Claim: ‘Recent El Niño behavior is largely beyond natural variability’

From the University of Hawaii at Manoa: El Nino unusually active in the late 20th century Spawning droughts, floods, and other weather disturbances world-wide, the El Niño – Southern Oscillation (ENSO) impacts the daily life of millions of people. During … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Paleoclimatology | Tagged , , , , , , | 105 Comments

Updates to and ENSO Observations from the WUWT Ocean Reference Page

Image Credit: Monterey Marine Meteorology Division – HYbrid Coordinate Ocean Model (HYCOM) By WUWT regular “Just The Facts” In making several updates to the WUWT Ocean Reference Page I observed something in the Sea Surface Temperature animation above, that I’ve … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Oceans, Reference Pages, Salinity, Sea level, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , | 59 Comments

A Different Perspective of the Equatorial Pacific and ENSO Events

by Bob Tisdale It’s difficult to express how enormous El Niño and La Niña events are. Often, when discussing them, I’ll display a map of the tropical Pacific (see example here) and write something to the effect of, the equatorial … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Ocean Heat Content, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , , | 32 Comments

The Tao of El Nino

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I was wandering through the graphics section of the TAO buoy data this evening. I noted that they have an outstanding animation of the most recent sixty months of tropical sea temperatures and surface heights. … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO | Tagged , , , , | 64 Comments

Global Temperature Updates – 2012

By Paul Homewood While Obama is imploring us to stop the global warming that is bringing us “the devastating impact of raging fires, and crippling drought, and more powerful storms”, it would seem to be a good idea to see … Continue reading

Posted in Climate data | Tagged , , , , , , , | 23 Comments

Analysis shows tidal forcing is a major factor in ENSO forcing

ENSO forecast based on tidal forcing with an Artificial Neural Network Investigation submitted by Per Strandberg Here on this page, you are going to find evidence that tidal forcing is one of the most important, if not the most important … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO | Tagged , , , | 136 Comments

El Niño-Southern Oscillation Myth 3: ENSO Has No Trend and Cannot Contribute to Long-Term Warming

Guest post by Bob Tisdale This is the 3rd part of a series of posts that present myths and misunderstandings about the tropical Pacific processes that herald themselves during El Niño and La Niña events. In the posts, I’m simply … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , , | 86 Comments

El Niño-Southern Oscillation Myth 1: El Niño and La Niña Events are Cyclical

Guest post by Bob Tisdale This is the first of a series of posts that address many of the myths and misunderstandings about the tropical Pacific processes that herald themselves during El Niño and La Niña events. Most of the … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO | Tagged , , , , | 142 Comments

Mythbusting Rahmstorf and Foster

Rahmstorf et al (2012) Insist on Prolonging a Myth about El Niño and La Niña Guest post by Bob Tisdale Anthony Watts of WattsUpWithThat forwarded a link to a newly published peer-reviewed paper by Stefan Rahmstorf, Grant Foster (aka Tamino of … Continue reading

Posted in Alarmism, ENSO | Tagged , , , , , , | 188 Comments

Another model failure – seeing a sea of red where there is none

Seeing red just took on a whole new meaning – Anthony Model-Data Comparison – Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies – November 1981 through September 2012 Guest post by Bob Tisdale This is not the monthly sea surface temperature update. See the post … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Modeling, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , | 53 Comments

New paper predicts SST temperature based on Pacific Centennial Oscillation

Here’s figure 18, which I found interesting, especially the red line. – Anthony Guest post by Bob Tisdale Today, blogger “slimething” left me a link to the Karnauskas et al (2012) paper A Pacific Centennial Oscillation Predicted by Coupled GCMs. … Continue reading

Posted in Modeling, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , | 38 Comments

Tisdale: The Warming of the Global Oceans – Are Manmade Greenhouse Gases Important or Impotent?

Note: this post was two weeks in the making, and well worth your time to read – Anthony Guest post by Bob Tisdale Global sea surface temperatures have warmed over the past 30 years, but there is no evidence the … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Global warming, Oceans, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , | 158 Comments

Tisdale on the problems with ENSO models

Guilyardi et al (2009) “Understanding El Niño in Ocean-Atmosphere General Circulation Models: progress and challenges” Guest post by Bob Tisdale The preliminary Reynolds OI.v2 sea surface temperature data for July 2012 won’t be available until next Monday July 30th, and there … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , | 27 Comments

Sea Surface Temperature Approaching the Threshold of El Niño

Guest post by Bob Tisdale This post will serve as the sea surface temperature update for mid-June. The post also provides an update on the progress I’m making with my new book The Ignored Driver of Global Climate.  I’ve included … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , , | 67 Comments

La Nada, El Niño, or Three-Peat La Niña for 2012/13 ENSO Season?

Readers may have noticed the WUWT ENSO meter is in the neutral zone. Bob Tisdale asks where it will head next. Guest post by Bob Tisdale Last year about this time, the El Niño-Southern Oscillations (ENSO) models from around the … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO | Tagged , , , , , , , | 65 Comments

March 2012 Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Anomaly Update – A New Look

Guest post by Bob Tisdale THE ADDITION OF CMIP3 (IPCC AR4) HINDCASTS/PROJECTIONS TO GRAPHS I’ve added a new feature to the graphs of the monthly sea surface temperature updates on a trial basis, and it is the multi-model mean of … Continue reading

Posted in Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , , | 49 Comments

Tisdale on Foster and Rahmstorf – take 2

Bob has asked me to carry this post, and I’m happy to do so. For those who want to criticize without contributing anything but criticism, I offer this insight: The only real mistake is the one from which we learn … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , , | 147 Comments

The La Niña has strengthened, now near 2008 levels

Update:  it appears that the September values of the Tahiti-Darwin SOI (+25) and Klaus Wolter Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI) are at historical levels when compared to previous Septembers, with the SOI only showing a higher September value (+29.7) back in … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , | 39 Comments