Tag Archives: Climatology

Peer Review; Last Refuge of the (Uninformed) Troll

Current peer review science, by attempting to explain away model failure, in fact confirms that the science is wrong Guest essay by David M. Hoffer It has become a favorite tactic amongst trolls to declare their belief in peer reviewed … Continue reading

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Posted in Modeling, Peer review | Tagged , , , , , , , | 244 Comments

New paper: climate models short on ‘physics required for realistic simulation of the Earth system’

I’m pleased to have had a chance to to review this new paper just published in the Journal of Climate: An Evaluation of Decadal Probability Forecasts from State-of-the-Art Climate Models Suckling, Emma B., Leonard A. Smith, 2013: An Evaluation of … Continue reading

Posted in Modeling | Tagged , , , , , , , | 46 Comments

A hilarious view of Climategate I’ve never read before

Scientific understanding and faith simultaneously on display:  ‘For climatologists, the search for an irrefutable “sign” of anthropogenic warming has assumed an almost Biblical intensity.’ – Fred Pearce, New Scientist, October 1996 This being near Climategate time, it is worth reflecting … Continue reading

Posted in Climategate | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 56 Comments

Ooops – Met Office decadal model forecast for 2004-2014 falls flat

‘The Pause’ claims another victim. Source: http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:2004/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:2004/trend:2004 Paul Matthews writes: The skillful predictions of climate science Smith et al (2007): 0.3°C in 10 years In 2007, a team of climate scientists from the UK Met Office led by Doug Smith wrote a … Continue reading

Posted in Climate FAIL, Forecasting, MetOffice, Modeling | Tagged , , , , , , , | 51 Comments

September doldrums – solar slump continues

While many science related government agencies are shut down (NASA GISS is deemed ‘non-essential’ for example) some remain open due to statements like this: Due to the Federal Government shutdown, NOAA.gov and most associated web sites are unavailable. However, because … Continue reading

Posted in Solar | Tagged , , , , , , , | 233 Comments

IPCC Climate: A Product of Lies, Damn Lies and Statistics Built On Inadequate Data

Guest essay by Dr. Tim Ball “If you torture the data enough, nature will always confess” – Ronald Coase. Facts are stubborn things, but statistics are more pliable. – Anonymous. Climatology is the study of average weather over time or … Continue reading

Posted in IPCC | Tagged , , | 81 Comments

Uh, oh. It’s models all the way down

Dr. Judith Curry lets an announcement slip in comments.

Posted in Climate News | Tagged , , , | 106 Comments

National Academy of Sciences: climate models still ‘decades away’ from being useful

From the National Academy of Sciences report A National Strategy for Advancing Climate Modeling: Computer models that simulate the climate are an integral part of providing climate information, in particular for future changes in the climate. Overall, climate modeling has … Continue reading

Posted in Climate News, Modeling | Tagged , , , , , , , | 114 Comments

Another uncertainty for climate models – different results on different computers using the same code

New peer reviewed paper finds the same global forecast model produces different results when run on different computers Did you ever wonder how spaghetti like this is produced and why there is broad disagreement in the output that increases with … Continue reading

Posted in Modeling, Uncertainty | Tagged , , , | 281 Comments

Two years to a 1740-type event?

Guest essay by David Archibald Wiggle-matching has been used by the best. Hubert Lamb, considered to be the most meticulous climatologist of all time, used wiggle-matching in this wind data graph he published in 1988: He had plotted up 600 … Continue reading

Posted in Curious things, Forecasting | Tagged , , , , | 136 Comments

Quite possibly the dumbest example of ‘Tabloid Climatology’ ever from Climate Central’s Andrew Freedman

Andrew Freedman writes in this Tabloid Climatology™ piece at Climate Central: When Hurricane Sandy struck New York City on October 29, 2012, the dark waters of Flushing Bay poured over the edges of LaGuardia Airport, flooding parts of the facility’s … Continue reading

Posted in Sea level, Tabloid Climatology | Tagged , , , , , , , | 95 Comments

Quote of the week – a pause for cooling off

From Dr. Judith Curry: 

Posted in Quote of the Week | Tagged , , , , | 31 Comments

An analysis of night time cooling based on NCDC station record data

Guest post by Mike Crow Figure 1 Night time temperature profile of a clear sky night in NE Ohio. 8:28pm Sunset/6:16am Sunrise Climate science is all about surface temperature trends. The problem with this is that the CAGW is a … Continue reading

Posted in Climate data | Tagged , , , | 110 Comments

On Hartmann and Wendler 2005 “The Significance of the 1976 Pacific Climate Shift in the Climatology of Alaska.”

Note: this is a companion article for the story: The Guardian’s Suzanne Goldenberg takes a fossil fueled trip to a remote Alaskan village to tell us recent global warming caused it to sink – but that’s not the cause   … Continue reading

Posted in Arctic, PDO, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , , | 16 Comments

Curry and Lomborg in house committee today – webcast live

UPDATE: Dr. Judith Curry’s transcript of her verbal testimaony is online here: http://judithcurry.com/2013/04/25/congressional-hearing-on-policy-relevant-climate-issues-in-context/ Skeptics outnumber alarmists at House of Representatives session today Subcommittee on Environment Hearing – Policy Relevant Climate Issues in Context Subcommittee on Environment | 2318 Rayburn House … Continue reading

Posted in Politics | Tagged , , , | 58 Comments

When Alaska Was Cold

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Temperatures are generally referred to some kind of long-term, often 30-year average. This is called the “climatology”, meaning the long-term average values of various climate variables. For up-to-date analyses, the period of time is usually … Continue reading

Posted in Arctic | Tagged , , , | 52 Comments

Challenging the Scientific Consensus on Climate Change

Consensus does not necessarily guarantee sound science Guest post by Forrest M. Mims III Consensus is often cited in support of scientific paradigms, including anthropogenic climate change. Australian physicist Tom Quirk has neatly dissected the consensus argument for the human … Continue reading

Posted in Climate_change, Consensus | Tagged , , , , , , , | 111 Comments

Dear readers – your help needed in fun crowdsourcing project

NOTE: This is a “sticky” top post, new posts will appear below this one. No, I’m not asking for money, only your ability to research and encapsulate an idea. I have another big project in the works, and I’m inviting … Continue reading

Posted in Curious things | Tagged , | 546 Comments

German “mad scientist” wants to rule the world…

Hmmm, sounds like a bad “B” movie plot. From Pierre Gosselin at No Tricks Zone: Why German Prof. Hans-Joachim Schellnhuber & Co. Will Become The Object Of Ridicule For Future Generations (…) Any fan of Hollywood films following the climate … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , | 123 Comments

Keeping track of NOAA’s ENSO data changes

The NOAA Weekly ENSO Sea Surface Temperature Indices Webpage Has Changed Location By Bob Tisdale There has been concern expressed recently around the blogosphere that NOAA hasn’t updated their weekly El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) sea surface temperature-based indices webpage since May … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO | Tagged , , , , , , , | 21 Comments