Tag Archives: Atlantic

2013: slowest Atlantic hurricane season in 30 years

A couple of days ago, Dr. Roger Pielke Jr. updated his famous graph of hurricane drought, and despite some ribbing from me on what could happen in May 2014, has confidently extended the drought out to the start of the … Continue reading

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Posted in Climate News, hurricanes, Weather | Tagged , , , , , , , | 42 Comments

Hurricane season begins with a new record hurricane drought for the USA

The Atlantic Hurricane season starts today, June 1st, 2013. While NOAA predicts an active Atlantic Hurricane Season, it is useful to note this other milestone of hurricane drought, a duration not seen since 1900. As of today, it has been … Continue reading

Posted in hurricanes, Weather | Tagged , , , , , , | 73 Comments

NOAA predicts active 2013 Atlantic hurricane season

From NOAA: In its 2013 Atlantic hurricane season outlook issued today, NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center is forecasting an active or extremely active season this year. For the six-month hurricane season, which begins June 1, NOAA’s Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook says there is a … Continue reading

Posted in hurricanes, Weather | Tagged , , , , , , , | 51 Comments

Washington Post Headline: “Worlds fish have been moving to cooler waters for decades, study finds”

This is an addition to the post Fishy Temperature Proxy by Anthony Watts. INTRODUCTION A new paper about fish migration patterns from 1970 to 2006 is getting some attention by the press. My Figure 1 is Figure 2 from Cheung … Continue reading

Posted in Alarmism, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , , | 33 Comments

On Guemas et al (2013) “Retrospective prediction of the global warming slowdown in the past decade”

I received a number of emails about the newly published Guemas et al (2013) paper titled “Retrospective prediction of the global warming slowdown in the past decade”. It’s paywalled. The abstract is here. It reads: Despite a sustained production of … Continue reading

Posted in Ocean Heat Content | Tagged , , , , , , , | 207 Comments

NOAA: ’2012 was an active [hurricane] year, but not exceptionally so …10 busier years in the last three decades’

NOTE: see video below, where you can watch the entire 2012 hurricane season on satellite time-lapse, way cool. – Anthony Busy 2012 hurricane season continues decades-long high activity era in the Atlantic Four U.S. land-falling storms include devastating Sandy and … Continue reading

Posted in hurricanes, Weather | Tagged , , , , , , , | 28 Comments

HH Lamb–“Climate: Present, Past & Future–Vol 2”–In Review–Part I

Guest post by Paul Homewood (reposted from his blog Not a lot of people know that please visit and  bookmark) Part 1 of a three part series. Hubert Lamb was one of the leading climatologists of his time, indeed described … Continue reading

Posted in Book Review | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 66 Comments

Klotzbach and Gray 2012 forecast – cooler Atlantic – fewer hurricanes

EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST OF ATLANTIC SEASONAL HURRICANE ACTIVITY AND LANDFALL STRIKE PROBABILITY FOR 2012 We anticipate that the 2012 Atlantic basin hurricane season will have reduced activity compared with the 1981-2010 climatology. The tropical Atlantic has anomalously cooled over the … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Forecasting, hurricanes, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , , | 37 Comments

Argo Notes the Third

I got into this investigation of Argo because I disbelieved their claimed error of 0.002°C for the annual average temperature of the top mile of the ocean. I discussed this in “Decimals of Precision“, where I showed that the error … Continue reading

Posted in ARGO data | Tagged , , , , , , , | 69 Comments

The DeSmoggers are crashing and burning

Well, the DeSmog Blog “coup” is going down, oh the humanity. There’s a scathing second writeup at The Atlantic by Megan McArdle (as if the first wasn’t enough) that takes the DeSmoggers to task. Note to Hoggan and crew – … Continue reading

Posted in Fakegate | Tagged , , , , , , , | 211 Comments

CSU’s Klotzbach and Gray Suspend December Hurricane Forecast

UPDATE:  note to readers, Gray and Klotzbach are only discontinuing December forecasts for the season ahead due to limited predictive skill — for the time being.  A main reason is the well-known “Spring barrier” in El Nino Southern Oscillation forecasts … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , | 69 Comments

The November AMO index goes negative, first time since 1996

Joe D’Aleo reports via email that the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) Index has gone negative for this past month, see the graph below: Source:http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/correlation/amon.us.data This is the first time the November value has been negative since about 1996. It appears … Continue reading

Posted in AMO | Tagged , , , , , , , | 157 Comments