Category Archives: Trenberth’s missing heats

Will the Next El Niño Bring an End to the Slowdown in Global Surface Warming?

Rebuttal to Chen and Tung (2014) highlighted in “Cause for ‘The Pause’ #38 – Cause of global warming hiatus found deep in the Atlantic Ocean“ Numerous scientific papers have reported the hiatus in global surface warming will end with the … Continue reading

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Posted in AMO, Hiatus in Global Warming, Ocean Heat Content, Sea Surface Temperature, Trenberth's missing heats | 81 Comments

Cause for ‘The Pause’ #38 – Cause of global warming hiatus found deep in the Atlantic Ocean

From the University of Washington  and the department of Trenberth’s missing heat comes a claim that we’ll have to wait another 15 years for global warming to resume. Sounds like a goalpost mover to me. The Oceans that Slowed 21st … Continue reading

Posted in Hiatus in Global Warming, Ocean Heat Content, Oceans, Trenberth's missing heats | 76 Comments

NOAA’s own trend calculator helps confirm ‘the pause’ and lack of ocean warming in the 21st century

People send me stuff. Yesterday I got a note suggesting I have a look at what NOAA/NCDC’s “climate at a glance” was showing for trends in the 21st century so far. I decided to take a look.

Posted in Climate data, Curious things, Hiatus in Global Warming, NCDC, NOAA, Oceans, Temperature, Trenberth's missing heats | 88 Comments

Open Letter to Kevin Trenberth – NCAR

Date: January 31, 2014 Subject: Your Blog Post at SkepticalScience and an Invitation from WattsUpWithThat From: Bob Tisdale To: Kevin Trenberth – NCAR Dear Kevin: I note that you were co-author of the SkepticalScience blog post Warming oceans consistent with … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Global warming, Hiatus in Global Warming, Ocean Heat Content, Trenberth's missing heats | 152 Comments

The journal Nature embraces ‘the pause’ and ocean cycles as the cause, Trenberth still betting his heat will show up

From the “settled science” department. It seems even Dr. Kevin Trenberth is now admitting to the cyclic influences of the AMO and PDO on global climate. Neither “carbon” nor “carbon dioxide” is mentioned in this article that cites Trenberth as … Continue reading

Posted in Climate News, PDO, Trenberth's missing heats | 419 Comments

If Manmade Greenhouse Gases Are Responsible for the Warming of the Global Oceans…

…then why do the vertical mean temperature anomalies (NODC 0-2000 meter data) of the Pacific Ocean as a whole and of the North Atlantic fail to show any warming over the past decade, a period when ARGO floats have measured … Continue reading

Posted in Ocean Heat Content, Trenberth's missing heats | 114 Comments

More on Trenberth and Fasullo (2013) “An Apparent Hiatus in Global Warming?”

We discussed the Trenberth and Fasullo (2013) paper “An Apparent Hiatus in Global Warming?” in the recent post Trenberth and Fasullo Try to Keep the Fantasy Alive. Since then, Dana Nuccitelli published a post at TheGuardian—cross posted at SkepticalScience—extolling the … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Global warming, Hiatus in Global Warming, Ocean Heat Content, Trenberth's missing heats | 60 Comments

Trenberth and Fasullo Try to Keep the Fantasy Alive

Trenberth and Fasullo published a paper “An Apparent Hiatus in Global Warming?” last week in the new online journal Earth’s Future. Judith Curry briefly introduced the paper in her December 7, 2013 post Week in review (Thanks, Judith.) From the … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Global warming, Hiatus in Global Warming, Ocean Heat Content, PDO, Trenberth's missing heats | 115 Comments

A descent into the maelstrom – ‘black hole’ whirlpools seen for the first time in the South Atlantic

More settled science: these whirlpools transport vast amount of water and heat vertically in the ocean, somewhat like hurricanes do for the atmosphere. It is fun to imagine “Trenberth’s missing heat” being sucked down one of these. Via Yahoo News: … Continue reading

Posted in Curious things, Oceans, Trenberth's missing heats | Tagged , , , , | 150 Comments

Accuracy, Precision, and One Watt per Square Metre

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I’ve been investigating one of my favorite datasets in the last few days, the CERES satellite-based top-of-atmosphere (TOA) radiation dataset. In particular, I’ve taken month-by-month global and hemispheric averages of the data. The dataset consists … Continue reading

Posted in Albedo, Trenberth's missing heats | Tagged , , , | 158 Comments

Meehl et al (2013) Are Also Looking for Trenberth’s Missing Heat

OVERVIEW Rob Painting of SkepticalScience recently published the post A Looming Climate Shift: Will Ocean Heat Come Back to Haunt Us? Many of you will find his post entertaining. But this post is not about the SkepticalScience post. This post … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Modeling, Sea Surface Temperature, Trenberth's missing heats | 44 Comments

A Couple of Comments about the Oppenheimer and Trenberth Op-Ed in the Washington Post

Update: At the suggestion of one of the readers at the cross post at WUWT, I’ve rewritten the second paragraph after Figure 3. Thanks, richard verney. ######## In response to the May 19, 2013 op-ed Overheated rhetoric on climate change … Continue reading

Posted in hurricanes, Trenberth's missing heats | 48 Comments

Open Letter to the Royal Meteorological Society Regarding Dr. Trenberth’s Article “Has Global Warming Stalled?”

Update 2: A number of typos were found in this post.  I’ve corrected them here and in the pdf version. A revised pdf copy is available here.  I’ve removed the old version from WordPress. #### Note:  A typo was found and … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Trenberth's missing heats | 74 Comments

Even More about Trenberth’s Missing Heat – An Eye Opening Comment by Roger Pielke Sr.

Roger Pielke Sr. was quoted in David Appell’s recent article Whither global warming? Has global warming slowed down? over at the Yale Forum on Climate Change & The Media. That portion of the article reads: About 90 percent of this … Continue reading

Posted in Trenberth's missing heats, Ocean Heat Content | Tagged , , , , , , | 94 Comments

A Different Perspective on Trenberth’s Missing Heat: The Warming of the Global Oceans (0 to 2000 Meters) in Deg C

We discussed Dr. Roy Spencer’s post More on Trenberth’s Missing Heat in my recent post and in the cross post at WattsUpWithThat. One of the points Roy made: a change in ocean heat content is presented in terms that look … Continue reading

Posted in Ocean Heat Content, Trenberth's missing heats | 82 Comments

More on Trenberth’s Missing Heat

In the post Trenberth Still Searching for Missing Heat, we discussed the recent Balmaseda et al (2013) paper “Distinctive climate signals in reanalysis of global ocean heat content”, of which Kevin Trenberth was a coauthor. Dr. Roy Spencer also has … Continue reading

Posted in ARGO data, Ocean Heat Content, Trenberth's missing heats | 115 Comments

Has Trenberth’s missing heat been found? Southern Oceans are losing heat

A paper published August 20th in Geophysical Research Letters finds from newly deployed observation systems that the Southern Oceans show an annual net heat loss of -10 Wm-2. Key Points Southern Ocean air-sea fluxes are under-observed, leading to large uncertainty … Continue reading

Posted in Oceans, Trenberth's missing heats | Tagged , | 72 Comments

Decimals of Precision – Trenberth’s missing heat

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Over at Judith Curry’s excellent blog there’s a discussion of Trenberth’s missing heat. A new paper about oceanic temperatures says the heat’s not really missing, we just don’t have accurate enough information to tell where … Continue reading

Posted in Trenberth's missing heats | Tagged , , , , , , , | 180 Comments

Trenberth: null and void

Via Eurekalert and Wiley-Blackwell The human cause of climate change: Where does the burden of proof lie? Dr. Kevin Trenberth advocates reversing the ‘null hypothesis’ The debate may largely be drawn along political lines, but the human role in climate … Continue reading

Posted in Climate News, Trenberth's missing heats | Tagged , , , | 168 Comments

Does the Trenberth et al “Earth’s Energy Budget Diagram” Contain a Paradox?

Guest post by Bob Fernley-Jones by Bob Fernley-Jones AKA Bob_FJ CAUTION: This is written in Anglo-Oz English. Here is the diagram as extracted from their 2009 paper, it being an update of that in the IPCC report of 2007 (& also … Continue reading

Posted in Trenberth's missing heats, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , | 669 Comments

Pielke Sr. on that hide and seek ocean heat

Torpedoing Of The Use Of The Global Average Surface Temperature Trend As The Diagnostic For Global Warming By Dr. Roger Pielke Senior There is a new paper by Gerald Meehl of NCAR and other collaborators  that has been announced in the media; i.e. … Continue reading

Posted in Oceans, Trenberth's missing heats | Tagged , , | 160 Comments

Tisdale on Ocean Heat Content Anomalies

April to June 2011 NODC Ocean Heat Content Anomalies (0-700Meters) Update and Comments Guest post by Bob Tisdale A NEW APPEARANCE Due to the noise in the Ocean Heat Content anomaly data for some of the ocean basins, I’ve added 13-month … Continue reading

Posted in Oceans, Trenberth's missing heats | Tagged , , , , , | 66 Comments

Trenberth’s missing heat? Look to the deep

From the National Center for Atmospheric Research/University Corporation for Atmospheric Research  an explanation for Global Ocean Heat Content Is Still Flat. Key point from the press release: Observations from a global network of buoys showed some warming in the upper ocean, … Continue reading

Posted in Modeling, Oceans, Trenberth's missing heats | Tagged , , | 205 Comments