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Category Archives: PDO
On Muller et al (2013) “Decadal variations in the global atmospheric land temperatures”
I received an email yesterday morning advising me that Muller et al (2013) had been published. (Thanks, Marc.) The title of the paper is “Decadal variations in the global atmospheric land temperatures”. The abstract is here and a preprint version … Continue reading
Posted in AMO, Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature, ENSO, PDO
72 Comments
Decadal Oscillations Of The Pacific Kind
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach The recent post here on WUWT about the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) has a lot of folks claiming that the PDO is useful for predicting the future of the climate … I don’t think so … Continue reading
Posted in PDO
Tagged north pacific index, pacific decadal oscillation, pressure indices
273 Comments
Does the Pacific Decadal Oscillation have predictive skill for global temperature?
Reader Eric Worrall writes: I was playing with Wood For Trees, looking at the relationship between Pacific Decadal Oscillation vs global temperature (Hadcrut 4), when the following graph appeared. The interesting thing is PDO in this graph appears to have … Continue reading
Posted in Climate data, PDO
Tagged climate, climate change, El Niño-Southern Oscillation, HadCRUT, Math, pacific decadal oscillation, Pacific Ocean, temperature
102 Comments
On Hartmann and Wendler 2005 “The Significance of the 1976 Pacific Climate Shift in the Climatology of Alaska.”
Note: this is a companion article for the story: The Guardian’s Suzanne Goldenberg takes a fossil fueled trip to a remote Alaskan village to tell us recent global warming caused it to sink – but that’s not the cause … Continue reading
Multidecadal Variations and Sea Surface Temperature Reconstructions
UPDATE: I’ve added a link at the end of the post for those interested in a copy of it in .pdf format. ########### OVERVIEW This is a somewhat lengthy blog post. There’s lots of information for newcomers, and there are … Continue reading
Posted in AMO, ENSO, PDO, Sea Surface Temperature
29 Comments
The Shifts Hypothesis – an alternative view of global climate change
Guest post by Pavel Belolipetsky The IPCC, Bob Tisdale and others have presented hypotheses to explain 20th century warming. This article presents another. My co-workers and I call it the “Shifts” hypothesis. And we consider it to have advantages over … Continue reading
Posted in PDO
Tagged pacific decadal oscillation, Regime shift, Sea Surface Temperature
148 Comments
Coralline Algae and the Case for Natural Climate Change
Guest post by Jim Steele Director Sierra Nevada Field Campus, emeritus, San Francisco State University There was a very revealing 2012 paper demonstrating the power and interconnections of natural ocean oscillations, “Marine proxy evidence linking decadal North Pacific and Atlantic … Continue reading
Posted in PDO
Tagged Alaska, Aleutian Low, Bering Sea, California Current, El Niño, pacific decadal oscillation, Pacific Ocean, PDO
64 Comments
Cooling in the near future?
Global Cooling – Climate and Weather Forecasting. Guest post by Dr. Norman Page Introduction. Over the last 10 years or so as new data have accumulated the general trend and likely future course of climate change has become reasonably clear. The earth … Continue reading
Posted in Forecasting, PDO
Tagged climate change, Global warming, pacific decadal oscillation, Sea Surface Temperature
177 Comments
Muscheler retracts? Offers a NEW excuse for why solar activity can’t be responsible for post-70′s warming
Guest post by Alec Rawls Technically Dr. Muscheler is asking me to retract the title of my post, “Raimund Muscheler says that a steady high level of forcing can’t cause warming“: I am sure that you are aware of the fact … Continue reading
Linking the ENSO and PDO induced rainfall of the Pacific Northwest to proxy data in tree rings and lake sediments
From Penn State , another Mann paper with proxy sets, and a divergence problem. At least they are talking about the MWP, or as they call it, the Medieval Climate Anomaly which had been erased in previous papers Mann had … Continue reading
Tisdale on the Curious Northern Hemisphere Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly Patterns
Guest post by Bob Tisdale This post will serve as the Preliminary Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly Update for June 2012, since we’ll be using preliminary June 2012 data in it. Last week ended on June 30th, so the preliminary data … Continue reading
More data fiddling – this time in NOAA’s ENSO data
Plot below showing ONI -vs- Aqua Channel 5 Temperature from lukewarmplanet (not Tisdale) to illustrate what he is talking about in his upcoming book. – Anthony Comments on NOAA’s Recent Changes to the Oceanic NINO Index (ONI) Guest post by Bob … Continue reading
Crowdsourced Climate Complexity – Compiling the WUWT Potential Climatic Variables Reference Page
By WUWT regular “Just The Facts” With the help of an array of WUWT reader comments, which began on this thread on January, 15th 2011, and grew on January 22nd, 2011, February 10th, 2011, February 28th, 2011, June 30th, 2011 … Continue reading
Posted in AMO, Announcements, Antarctic, Arctic, Carbon dioxide, Carbon sequestration, Citizen science, Climate data, clouds, Cosmic rays, dust storms, Earth, Education, Energy, ENSO, Environment, feedbacks, flooding, Forecasting, geothermal energy, Global warming, hurricanes, Land use land cover change, lightning, measurement, Methane, Modeling, Oceans, PDO, Science, Sea ice, snowfall, Temperature, tornadoes, UHI, Weather
Tagged climate, Climatic Variables, Complex, crowdsourced, Earth, Potential, reference page, Variables, WUWT
132 Comments
The Ridiculousness Continues – Climate Complexity Compiled
By WUWT regular “Just The Facts” With the help of an array of WUWT reader comments on this thread and several others documented within, I’ve been compiling a summary of all potential climatic variables in order to build a conceptual … Continue reading
Posted in Aerosols, AMO, Antarctic, Arctic, Climate data, clouds, Cosmic rays, dust storms, Earth, Earthquakes, Energy, ENSO, feedbacks, geothermal energy, Gravity, hurricanes, Methane, Oceans, PDO, petroleum, Science, Sea ice, Snow, Solar, solar power, thorium power, tornadoes, wind power
Tagged climate, Compiled, Complex, conceptual map, Earth, Earth's Climate System, Ridiculous, Ridiculously Complex, Ridiculousness, System, Variables
266 Comments
Global temps in a Crash as AGW proponents Crash the Economy
By Joe Bastardi, Weatherbell Analytics When the PDO turned cold, most of the meteorological and climate community understood that the pattern was turning very similar the last time of the PDO reversal, the 1950s, and it was a matter of … Continue reading
Posted in Climate data, PDO, Weather
Tagged Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit, climate, El Niño, El Niño-Southern Oscillation, Joe Bastardi, La Nina, Roy Spencer
313 Comments
Yet Even More Discussions About The Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO)
Guest post by Bob Tisdale INTRODUCTION I’ve written numerous posts that describe the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), what the PDO represents, and, just as important, what it does not represent. For those new to the PDO and for those needing … Continue reading
New WUWT Oceanic Oscillation Page – With Link Tutorial
Introducing WUWT’s newest addition, the Oceanic Oscillation Page, which includes graphs and graphics,on Oceanic Oscillations including the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), El Niño/La Niña and the Atlantic Multi-Decadal Oscillation (AMO). It was a struggle to find content for this page, … Continue reading
Posted in AMO, Climate data, ENSO, measurement, Oceans, PDO, Uncategorized
Tagged AMO, El Niño, La Nina, Oceanic, Oscillation, PDO
17 Comments
Arctic Cycles – AMO+PDO corresponds to Arctic station group
The following figure shows the AMO+PDO (black line above changed to red below) superimposed on the Arctic average annual temperature shown at the beginning of this document.
Interannual Terrestrial Oscillations
There’s a saying, “timing is everything”. After reading this, I think it is more true than ever. In other news. Paul Vaughn is giving Bob Tisdale serious competition in the contest over who can fit the most graphs into a … Continue reading
Posted in ENSO, PDO
Tagged Atmospheric Sciences, El Niño-Southern Oscillation, La Nina, Pacific Ocean, Phase (waves)
140 Comments
Nenana 2011 Ice Classic result
In case you missed it, the official result for 2011 is in: The Tanana River officially broke up on May 4, 2011 at 4:24 PM and here’s the clock Here’s the context of the date in comparison with all of … Continue reading

























