Category Archives: PDO

Crowdsourced Climate Complexity – Compiling the WUWT Potential Climatic Variables Reference Page

By WUWT regular “Just The Facts” With the help of an array of WUWT reader comments, which began on this thread on January, 15th 2011, and grew on January 22nd, 2011, February 10th, 2011, February 28th, 2011, June 30th, 2011 … Continue reading

Posted in AMO, Announcements, Antarctic, Arctic, Carbon dioxide, carbon sequestration, Citizen science, climate data, clouds, cosmic rays, dust storms, earth, education, energy, ENSO, Environment, feedbacks, flooding, forecasting, geothermal energy, global warming, hurricanes, Land use land cover change, lightning, measurement, Methane, modeling, oceans, PDO, Science, sea ice, snowfall, Temperature, tornadoes, UHI, weather | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 113 Comments

The Ridiculousness Continues – Climate Complexity Compiled

By WUWT regular “Just The Facts” With the help of an array of WUWT reader comments on this thread and several others documented within, I’ve been compiling a summary of all potential climatic variables in order to build a conceptual … Continue reading

Posted in aerosols, AMO, Antarctic, Arctic, climate data, clouds, cosmic rays, dust storms, earth, Earthquakes, energy, ENSO, feedbacks, geothermal energy, Gravity, hurricanes, Methane, oceans, PDO, petroleum, Science, sea ice, snow, solar, solar power, thorium power, tornadoes, wind power | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 264 Comments

Global temps in a Crash as AGW proponents Crash the Economy

By Joe Bastardi, Weatherbell Analytics When the PDO turned cold, most of the meteorological and climate community understood that the pattern was turning very similar the last time of the PDO reversal, the 1950s, and it was a matter of … Continue reading

Posted in climate data, PDO, weather | Tagged , , , , , , | 313 Comments

Yet Even More Discussions About The Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO)

Guest post by Bob Tisdale INTRODUCTION I’ve written numerous posts that describe the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), what the PDO represents, and, just as important, what it does not represent. For those new to the PDO and for those needing … Continue reading

Posted in PDO | Tagged , | 100 Comments

New WUWT Oceanic Oscillation Page – With Link Tutorial

Introducing WUWT’s newest addition, the Oceanic Oscillation Page, which includes graphs and graphics,on Oceanic Oscillations including the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), El Niño/La Niña and the Atlantic Multi-Decadal Oscillation (AMO). It was a struggle to find content for this page, … Continue reading

Posted in AMO, climate data, ENSO, measurement, oceans, PDO, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , | 17 Comments

Arctic Cycles – AMO+PDO corresponds to Arctic station group

The following figure shows the AMO+PDO (black line above changed to red below) superimposed on the Arctic average annual temperature shown at the beginning of this document.

Posted in AMO, Arctic, PDO | Tagged | 68 Comments

Interannual Terrestrial Oscillations

There’s a saying, “timing is everything”. After reading this, I think it is more true than ever. In other news. Paul Vaughn is giving Bob Tisdale serious competition in the contest over who can fit the most graphs into a … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, PDO | Tagged , , , , | 140 Comments

Nenana 2011 Ice Classic result

In case you missed it, the official result for 2011 is in: The Tanana River officially broke up on May 4, 2011 at 4:24 PM and here’s the clock Here’s the context of the date in comparison with all of … Continue reading

Posted in oceans, PDO | Tagged , , , | 28 Comments

Stockwell asks: Is the Atmosphere Still Warming?

Guest post by Dr. David Stockwell I suspect that the only really convincing evidence against global warming is a sustained period of no global warming or cooling — climate sensitivity and feedbacks are too esoteric. I have followed the recent … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, PDO | Tagged , , | 98 Comments

Arctic Temperatures and Ice – Why it is Natural Variability

By Joe D’Aleo, CCM On October 21st the Associated Press hit the wires with a story entitled ”Sea Ice Melting as Arctic Temperatures Rise.” The temperatures in the arctic have indeed risen in recent years and ice has declined, bottoming … Continue reading

Posted in AMO, Arctic, PDO | 66 Comments

Update And Changes To NODC Ocean Heat Content Data

Guest Post by Bob Tisdale, As noted in the post October 2010 Update to NODC Ocean Heat Content Data, the National Oceanographic Data Center has updated itsOCEAN HEAT CONTENT (OHC) data. This is the dataset based on the Levitus et al (2009) … Continue reading

Posted in AMO, ENSO, oceans, PDO | 105 Comments

AMO+PDO= temperature variation – one graph says it all

Joe D’Aleo and Don Easterbrook have produced a new paper for SPPI. This graph of US Mean temperature versus the AMO and PDO ocean cycles is prominently featured: I particularly liked the regression forecast fit:

Posted in AMO, climate data, oceans, PDO | 143 Comments

Ocean cooling contributed to mid-20th century global warming hiatus (and so did the PDO)

NOTE: As is typical these days, and in keeping with co-author Phil Jones tradition of not giving up anything, the publicly funded scientific paper is not included with the news, and is hidden behind a paywall. All we can get … Continue reading

Posted in oceans, PDO | 192 Comments

The North Pacific & Solar Cycle Change

Guest post by Paul Vaughan, M.Sc. Awhile back I drew attention to temporal patterns shared by the <i>rate of change</i> of solar cycle length (SCL’) and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO). (See here.) Correspondence I received later alerted me to … Continue reading

Posted in PDO, Sea Surface Temperature | 100 Comments

Connecting ENSO, PDV, and the North and South Pacific

A new paper in Geophysical Research Letters was brought to my attention by Dr. Leif  Svalgaard. Tropical origins of North and South Pacific decadal variability by Jeremy D. Shakun and Jeffrey Shaman makes some very interesting findings suggesting that both … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, oceans, PDO | 67 Comments

California Wildfires caused by cooler Pacific, La Niña

California’s Fires Result of a Cooling Pacific, Two Years of La Niña and Environmental Mismanagement Guest Post By Joseph D’Aleo, CCM, ICECAP While environmentalists and clueless politicans like CA Representative Linda Sanchez and not surprisingly Climate Progress’ Joe Romm sought … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, oceans, PDO | 85 Comments

Study: Ocean net heat flow is connected with climate shifts – CO2 not correlated – no “warming in the pipeline”

Related to this story: The Pacific Decadal Oscillation Time Series from the University of Washington, seen below. Emphasis points mine. h/t to WUWT reader Richard Heg. – Anthony Monthly Values for the PDO Index, January 1900 to September 2008. Positive … Continue reading

Posted in oceans, PDO | 112 Comments

Ocean heat content and Earth’s radiation imbalance

This paper is to be published on-line on Friday in Physics Letters A Dr. Douglas graciously sent me an advance copy, of which I’m printing some excerpts. Douglas and Knox show some correlations between Top-of-atmosphere radiation imbalance and the Pacific … Continue reading

Posted in climate_change, earth, PDO, Science | 436 Comments

La Niña fading, El Niño may soon return

Source: http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/PSB/EPS/SST/data/anomnight.5.11.2009.gif Bill Illis writes in comments: The newest Ocean SST map shows the La Nina conditions have gone away and we are in slightly positive ENSO conditions. Also interesting is that the negative PDO seems to be moving back … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, oceans, PDO | 113 Comments

PDO — ENSO, Aleutian Low, or some of each?

PDO — ENSO, Aleutian Low, or some of each? Guest Post by Basil Copeland Introduction In a recent post here at WUWT, as well as on his own blog, Bob Tisdale challenged the popular view that the Pacific Decadal Oscillation … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, oceans, PDO | 61 Comments

Misunderstandings about the Pacific Decadal Oscillation

Misunderstandings about the Pacific Decadal Oscillation Guest post by Bob Tisdale INITIAL NOTE The first version of this post (The Common Misunderstanding About The PDO dated June 26, 2008) incorrectly described the method for calculating the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. I … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, oceans, PDO | 115 Comments

The 1998 Super El Niño: possibly a “rogue wave”?

In comments on WUWT, people often think freely and throw out all sorts of ideas. Like in any collection of people, some are bad, some are average, a few are good, and even fewer are noteworthy. However, one that was … Continue reading

Posted in earth, ENSO, oceans, PDO, Science | 148 Comments

Fear and Loathing For California

Guest post by Steven Goddard On the same day when President Obama and Prime Minister Brown separately warned of imminent economic catastrophe, the new US Energy Secretary Dr. Steven Chu issued a different catastrophe warning.   The LA Times quoted him saying ““I … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, PDO, weather | 304 Comments

Looking more like La Nina every day

Click for larger image Source:  http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/PSB/EPS/SST/climo.html h/t Arthur Glass About a month ago I posted: La Nina is back…and was criticized by a few folks. Well compare the above to the image from that post below:

Posted in PDO | 136 Comments

Don Easterbrook’s AGU paper on potential global cooling

Don sent me his AGU paper for publication and discussion here on WUWT, and I’m happy to oblige – Anthony Abstracts of American Geophysical Union annual meeting, San Francisco  Dec., 2008 Solar Influence on Recurring Global, Decadal, Climate Cycles Recorded … Continue reading

Posted in climate_change, PDO, Science | 140 Comments