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Another Model -vs- Reality problem – National Weather Offices: Canada, A Case Study With National And Global Implications.

Guest opinion: Dr. Tim Ball An article by Lord Monckton outlined his involvements with Thomas Karl, Director of NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center in Asheville NC. It arose from a publication by Karl and others regarding global temperatures. The article, was apparently designed to influence the public debate as the COP21 climate conference in Paris…

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Climate modeler Matthew England still ignoring reality – claims IPCC models will eventually win

From the University of New South Wales and  ‘models versus reality‘ department comes this claim from alarmist Matthew England, whose “say anything” track record isn’t at all impressive, and looks to be an obsession with “being right” rather than doing careful science, for example: December 2012:  England accuses sceptics of lying when they say the…

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Models overestimate 60 year decadal trends

Guest essay by Clive Best Marotzke & Forster(2015) found that 60 year trends in global surface temperatures are dominated by underlying climate physics. However, the  data show that climate models overestimate such 60 year decadel trends after 1940. The recent paper in Nature by Jochem Maritzke & Piers Forster ‘Forcing, feedback and internal variability in global temperature…

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Where the complex climate models go wrong

By Christopher Monckton of Brenchly Joe Born (March 12) raises some questions about our paper Why models run hot: results from an irreducibly simple climate model, published in January in the Science Bulletin of the Chinese Academy of Sciences. To get a copy of our paper, go to scibull.com and click on “Most Read Articles”.…

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Reflections on Monckton et al.’s ‘Transience Fraction’

Guest essay by Joe Born In Monckton et al., “Why Models Run Hot: Results from an Irreducibly Simple Climate Model,” the manner in which the authors used their so-called transience fraction raised questions in the minds of many readers. The discussion below tells why. It will show that the Monckton et al. paper obscures the…