Bastardi: ‘potential nightmare.. a tropical cyclone coming at the outer banks on the July 4 weekend’

UPDATE: Latest GFDL model output suggests Bastardi could be right, see below. UPDATE2: New information from Bastardi here shows 4th of July nightmare is shaping up to be true. The Case for Rapid Development Feedback of a Potential Tropical Storm: Arthur. Guest essay by Joe Bastardi, WeatherBell Analytics. In the old days, one never had…

NOAA issues spring outlook, predicts flooding in the usual places, more drought for Cali and the Southwest

NOAA predicts moderate flood potential in Midwest, elevated risk of ice jams; California and Southwest stuck with drought March 20, 2014 According to NOAA’s Spring Outlook released today, rivers in half of the continental United States are at minor or moderate risk of exceeding flood levels this spring with the highest threat in the southern…