The figure depicts the upper ocean warming (in red color) observed over the warm rings during the intensification of Isaac. CREDIT Benjamin Jaimes

Models need to include ocean upwelling-downwelling responses to improve hurricane forecasts

From the UNIVERSITY OF MIAMI ROSENSTIEL SCHOOL OF MARINE & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE Study offers new insights on hurricane intensity, pollution transport Researchers study currents that fuel hurricanes and transport pollutants to coastal beaches MIAMI – As tropical storm Isaac was gaining momentum toward the Mississippi River in August 2012, University of Miami (UM) researchers were…

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Another Model -vs- Reality problem – National Weather Offices: Canada, A Case Study With National And Global Implications.

Guest opinion: Dr. Tim Ball An article by Lord Monckton outlined his involvements with Thomas Karl, Director of NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center in Asheville NC. It arose from a publication by Karl and others regarding global temperatures. The article, was apparently designed to influence the public debate as the COP21 climate conference in Paris…

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BP: CO2 reduction efforts futile

Forecasts 25% rise in annual CO2 emissions by 2035 Submitted by Eric Worrall – BP has controversially predicted that the huge rise in energy demand over the next 20 years can only be met with fossil fuels. According to BP; “Rising global demand for energy over the next two decades is at odds with the…

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NOAA touts hurricane season forecast success

Via NOAA press release: Atlantic hurricane season stays quiet as predicted Improved model, new surge forecast products and research projects debuted The Atlantic hurricane season will officially end November 30, and will be remembered as a relatively quiet season as was predicted. Still, the season afforded NOAA scientists with opportunities to produce new forecast products,…