Douville-paper

Recent Paper Ends Abstract with “…Model Might Be Too Sensitive to the Prescribed Radiative Forcings”

Guest Post by Bob Tisdale The paper is Douville et al. (2015) The recent global warming hiatus: What is the role of Pacific variability? [paywalled].    The abstract reads (my boldface): The observed global mean surface air temperature (GMST) has not risen over the last 15 years, spurring outbreaks of skepticism regarding the nature of global…

climate-sensitivity

Calculations suggest that Global warming caused by the doubling of CO2 will be less than 0.6K

Guest essay by Saburo Nonogaki It has been said that the averaged earth surface temperature would be 255K if no green-house-effect(g-h-e) gases were contained in the atmosphere, and is 288K at present where the atmosphere contains g-h-e gases. The estimation of 255K is based on the earth’s long-term radiative equilibrium and Stefan-Boltzmann’s law which states…