Author Archives: Willis Eschenbach

The Levelized Cost of Electric Generation

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach In early 2013, the US Energy Information Agency (EIA) released their new figures for the “levelized cost” of new power plants. I just came across them, so I thought I’d pass them on. These are … Continue reading

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Posted in Energy | Tagged , , | 244 Comments

Canute Ponders The Tides

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Short Post.  You can skip this if you understand the tidal force. Some folks seem confused about the nature of tidal forces. Today I saw this gem: “The tide raising force acts in both directions … Continue reading

Posted in Oceans | Tagged , | 496 Comments

Quote of the Week

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach In discussing President Obama’s latest boondoggle, the one billion (with a “b) dollar Climate Resilience Plan, The US Under-Assistant Minister of Scientific Silly Walks, John Holdren, wandered way off of the party line. The party line in … Continue reading

Posted in Quote of the Week | Tagged | 187 Comments

Dust In My Eyes

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I was thinking about “dust devils”, the little whirlwinds of dust that you see on a hot day, and they reminded me that we get dulled by familiarity with the wonders of our planet. Suppose, … Continue reading

Posted in Tropics | Tagged , | 97 Comments

Time and the Tides Wait for Godot

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I’ve been listening to lots of stuff lately about tidal cycles. These exist, to be sure. However, they are fairly complex, and they only repeat (and even then only approximately) every 54 years 34 days. … Continue reading

Posted in Oceans | Tagged , , | 528 Comments

Lakes For Sale, Partially Thawed, N=20

Guest Post By Willis Eschenbach Anthony pointed out the selling of overhyped claims of the “dramatic thinning” of Arctic ice here. The title of the underlying scientific study is much more prosaic, Response of ice cover on shallow lakes of … Continue reading

Posted in Bad science, snowfall | Tagged , , , | 64 Comments

Arctic Layer Cake

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach There’s a recent paper paywalled here, called Arctic winter warming amplified by the thermal inversion and consequent low infrared cooling to space. Fortunately, the Supplementary Online Information is available here, and it contains much valuable information. … Continue reading

Posted in Antarctic, Arctic, Bad science | Tagged , , | 144 Comments

Counting Your Penguin Chicks Before They Hatch

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Well, the BBC, which as I understand it is an acronym for “Blindly Broadcasting Cra- ziness”, gives us its now-standard tabloid style headline, that Climate change is ‘killing penguin chicks’ say researchers Of course they’ve included … Continue reading

Posted in Bad science | Tagged , | 193 Comments

Should We Be Worried?

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I chanced to plot up the lower tropospheric temperatures by broad latitude zones today. This is based on the data from the satellite microwave sounding unit (MSU), as analyzed by the good folks at the … Continue reading

Posted in Temperature | Tagged , , | 272 Comments

Sunny Spots Along the Parana River

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach In a comment on a recent post, I was pointed to a study making the following surprising claim: Here, we analyze the stream flow of one of the largest rivers in the world, the Parana … Continue reading

Posted in Bad science | Tagged , , , , | 163 Comments

How Scientists Study Cycles

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach We have the ill-fated stillborn Copernicus Special Edition as an example of how those authors went about analyzing the possible effects of astronomical cycles. Let me put up a contrasting example, which is The 1,800-year oceanic … Continue reading

Posted in Bad science | Tagged , , , , | 182 Comments

Riding A Mathemagical Solarcycle

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Among the papers in the Copernicus Special Issue of Pattern Recognition in Physics we find a paper from R. J. Salvador in which he says he has developed A mathematical model of the sunspot cycle … Continue reading

Posted in Bad science | Tagged , , | 132 Comments

Sunspots and Sea Level

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I came across a curious graph and claim today in a peer-reviewed scientific paper. Here’s the graph relating sunspots and the change in sea level: And here is the claim about the graph: Sea level … Continue reading

Posted in Bad science, Consensus | Tagged , , , | 381 Comments

CO2 and CERES

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the bureaucratic agency which appropriated the role of arbiter of things climatic, has advanced a theory for the lack of warming since the turn of the century, viz: The … Continue reading

Posted in Climate sensitivity | Tagged , , | 199 Comments

More Fun with Oil and Gas

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Well, having had such a good time with M. King Hubbert meeting the EIA, I thought I’d toss out another puzzle. This one is inspired by a statement from the King himself that someone quoted … Continue reading

Posted in Energy, natural gas, petroleum | Tagged , , | 149 Comments

M. King Meets the EIA

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Dramatis Personae: The “EIA” is the US Energy Information Agency, the US agency in charge of data about energy production, consumption, and use. It has just released its January 2014 Short Term Energy Report, with current … Continue reading

Posted in Energy | Tagged , | 171 Comments

Upwelling Solar, Upwelling Longwave

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach The CERES dataset contains three main parts—downwelling solar radiation, upwelling solar radiation, and upwelling longwave radiation. With the exception of leap-year variations, the solar dataset does not change from year to year over a few … Continue reading

Posted in Climate data, Radiative Imbalance, Solar | Tagged , , | 348 Comments

On The Stability and Symmetry Of The Climate System

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach The CERES data has its problems, because the three datasets (incoming solar, outgoing longwave, and reflected shortwave) don’t add up to anything near zero. So the keepers of the keys adjusted them to an artificial … Continue reading

Posted in Climate data, Radiative Imbalance, Solar | Tagged , , , , | 306 Comments