Holdren Is Wrong – Cold Winters Are Not Getting More Common

By Paul Homewood

As WUWT points out, John Holdren is one of many who have tried to link the cold winter in the USA this year to global warming.

In his White House video in January, he had this to say:

“A growing body of evidence suggests that the kind of extreme cold being experienced by much of the United States as we speak is a pattern that we can expect to see with increasing frequency as global warming continues….

We also know that this week’s cold spell is of a type there’s reason to believe may become more frequent in a world that’s getting warmer, on average, because of greenhouse-gas pollution.”

But is there any evidence that extreme cold winters are becoming more common, or, for that matter, more extreme?

First, let’s check the temperature trends for the CONUS in winter.

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Posted in Climate News, extreme weather, Polar Vortex, Weather | Tagged , , , | 59 Comments

Friday Funny – climate ‘cliff notes’

Josh writes:

As many know I have a bit of a ‘glass half full’ opinion on the state of climate science and with the recent IPCC offerings along with activist mutterings of ‘we are all heading for a cliff type’ alarmism and calls for Climate Scientist strike action, I imagined this view of where we/they are at.  Continue reading

Posted in Humor, Satire | 28 Comments

The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 4 – Early Evolution – Comparison with Other Satellite-Era El Niños

In the preceding post, we looked at the evolution of the weekly sea surface temperature anomalies in two regions of the equatorial Pacific (NINO3.4 and NINO1+2), comparing the data so far in 2014 to those of the strong 1982/83 and 1997/98 El Niño events. (See 2014/15 El Niño – Part 3 – Early Evolution – Comparison with 1982/83 & 1997/98 El Niño Events.) We presented them because there are a lot of comparisons of this El Niño to those strong El Niños.

In this post, using the same two regions, we’ll compare the evolution of the sea surface temperature anomalies this year to the rest of the satellite-era El Niño events. And we’ll also compare this year to the average, because someone was bound to ask.

This post serves solely as a reference. What it illustrates very well is that there is a tremendous amount of diversity in the evolutions of sea surface temperatures during El Niño events. A tremendous amount of diversity.

Are you ready for some spaghetti?

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Posted in El Nino Basics, ENSO, Sea Surface Temperature | 29 Comments

Al Gore dupes 9000 people in Hawaii, insults the rest

Climate change is real and getting worse, Al Gore told the packed audience. Image: PF Bentley/Civil Beat

The story below is from from Honolulu Civil Beat, who covered a political rally on April 15th by Gore to 9000 people in Honolulu’s Stan Sheriff Center. It is a 12,500 seat sports auditorium where his voice was amplified by, his slideshow enabled with, and his persona illuminated by and made comfortable with air-conditioning, all made possible by the “dirty energy” electricity generated by fossil fuels that he railed against.

HECO power plant at Kahe Point, powered by oil.

The electricity that enabled Mr. Gore’s rally was courtesy of the oil burning power plants of the Hawaiian Electric Company, such as the HECO power plant at Kahe Point in West Oahu seen at right.

Gore himself once said in a crackpot statement: “there is no such thing as ethical oil.” 

Yes, fossil fuels in the form of “dirty oil” enabled Gore to tell these people all about why they shouldn’t be using it.

But, that’s just the start of Mr. Gore’s hypocrisy. Read on. Continue reading

Posted in Al Gore, Alarmism | 95 Comments

When Greenland was green in warmer times

From the University of Vermont

Science: There’s something ancient in the icebox

Researchers find 3-million-year-old landscape beneath Greenland Ice Sheet

In this one-minute video, University of Vemont scientists demonstrate how they discovered 3 million-year-old soil under the Greenland Ice Sheet.

Glaciers are commonly thought to work like a belt sander. As they move over the land they scrape off everything—vegetation, soil, and even the top layer of bedrock. So scientists were greatly surprised to discover an ancient tundra landscape preserved under the Greenland Ice Sheet, below two miles of ice.

“We found organic soil that has been frozen to the bottom of the ice sheet for 2.7 million years,” said University of Vermont geologist Paul Bierman—providing strong evidence that the Greenland Ice Sheet has persisted much longer than previously known, enduring through many past periods of global warming.

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Posted in Paleoclimatology | 75 Comments

The Holdren ‘cherry blossom vortex’, Information Quality Act, and U.S. weather history

CEI is taking John Holdren to task over his “polar vortex” video.

In a post today at globalwarming.org we have this:Post image for Will Cherry Blossoms Get Sucked into the Polar Vortex?

DC’s cherry trees hit their official peak blossom date last Thursday, April 10th.  That’s the latest in the year that the Capital has experienced peak blossoming in over two decades.  (For you botanical historians, the last time that peak blossoming occurred this late or later was in 1993, when the event fell on April 11.)

In 2013 the blossoms were almost as late, hitting their peak on April 9.  That was a pretty dramatic change from 2012, when the date fell on March 20. This change was most disconcerting to two groups: tourists trying to plan their trips to DC in advance, and global warming alarmists who trumpeted every earlier-than-expected cherry blossom as yet further proof of global warming.  In fact, in a sizzling multi-part blog post series last year, followed by dozens of readers, we charted peak blossom dates against global warming data.  We even had graphs.  (See Adam Sandberg, Peak Bloom Is Here – DC’s Global Warming Canary Lands with Frost on its Feet, April 15, 2013.)

White House Science adviser John Holdren made some ridiculous and baseless claims about the “polar vortex” being tied to climate change in a hastily produced “never let a good crisis go to waste” style video on YouTube. Readers may recall our January 8th WUWT story:

 

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Posted in Climate News, Polar Vortex, Weather | 67 Comments

Using Intellectual Property agreements to defeat public disclosure

Phil Jones’ plan to hide from FOIA

Eric Worrall writes:

Anyone shocked by Mann’s broad claims of academic exemption from freedom of information, due to the “proprietary nature” of his work, should consider the following Climategate email.

Climategate Email 1106338806.txt says:

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Posted in Climategate, FOI, Michael E. Mann | 56 Comments

Decision in the Mann/UVa case, a blow to open science

Supreme Court of VA sides with University, secrecy, and Mann.  The previously claimed destruction of Mann emails now to begin.

In this appeal, we consider whether the Circuit Court of Prince William County (“trial court”) erred by denying a request for disclosure of certain documents under the Virginia Freedom of Information Act (“VFOIA”), Code § 2.2-3700 et seq., and whether a public body may impose charges for the cost of reviewing documents under the statutory exclusions.1

130934 American Tradition Inst. v. Rector and Visitors 04/17/2014

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Posted in FOI, Michael E. Mann | 98 Comments

Not quite Friday Funny: The new Ty-D-Bol Man – a rising tide floats all, er, boats

Some WUWT readers may remember this classic TV commercial:

Josh writes:

It looks like Lew & crew want to continue to debate the merits of his paper.

H/t and many thanks to Jo Nova for the ‘flushes itself’ idea.

I present, with help from Josh, the Lew-D-Bol Man:   Continue reading

Posted in Humor, Satire, Stephan Lewandowsky | Tagged , , | 18 Comments

Lewandowsky on ‘leakage’

No smear psychological categorization mission is too offbeat for Lew. Now he’s on about “leakage”. Try to stifle the images that conjures up while thinking about your choice of preventative antiemetics.

s mac says: in WUWT Tips and Notes:

Anthony, there is a YouTube video (link below) of Lewandowsky giving a talk at the AGU Chapman conference, and its very revealing and your readers would enjoy, he’s equal parts clown, bully, and circus performer.

He’s desperately trying to find a footprint for what he does – categorize the pigeonhole people and surmise their intentions, motivations — and find a place for it (and himself) in the “save the world” ethos of climate change activists. Video follows:

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Posted in Post-normal science, Stephan Lewandowsky, Uncertainty | 101 Comments

Tilted planets may actually have more life favorable climate

Odd Tilts Could Make More Worlds Habitable

Pivoting planets that lean one way and then change orientation within a short geological time period might be surprisingly habitable, according to new modeling by NASA and university scientists affiliated with the NASA Astrobiology Institute.

The climate effects generated on these wobbling worlds could prevent them from turning into glacier-covered ice lockers, even if those planets are somewhat far from their stars. And with some water remaining liquid on the surface long-term, such planets could maintain favorable conditions for life.

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Posted in Climate News, Space | 47 Comments

A Clear Example of IPCC Ideology Trumping Fact

By Paul C. Knappenberger and Patrick J. Michaels
Center for the Study of Science, Cato Institute

Within the U.S. federal government (and governments around the world), the U.N.’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is given authority when it comes to climate change opinion.

This isn’t a good idea.

Here perhaps is the clearest example yet. By the time you get to the end of this post, we think you may be convinced that the IPCC does not seek to tell the truth—the truth being that it has overstated the case for climate worry in in its previous reports. The “consensus of scientists” instead prefers to obfuscate.

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Posted in IPCC, IPCC AR5 Report | 116 Comments

UN IPCC AR5 report infected with fatal technical and procedural flaws

UN report’s fatal flaws destroy credibility of WGII and WGIII findings

Guest essay by Larry Hamlin

The UN IPCC AR5 latest climate assessment process comprising WGI, WGII and WGIII reports is complete. This process includes many hundreds of authors and reviewers, consideration of thousands of papers and ten of thousands of pages of reports, associated technical summaries and appendices. Yet amazingly with all this extraordinary expenditure time, effort and expense the report itself documents a monumental failure which has infected the process with fatal technical and procedural flaws which destroy the credibility of the WGII and WGIII findings.

The genesis of the fatal technical and procedural flaws are contained in the WGI report which documents the failure of the climate model global temperature projections to agree with observed global temperature measurements.

 

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Posted in IPCC, IPCC AR5 Report | 28 Comments

Satellite captures five volcanoes erupting at once on the Russian Kamchatka Peninsula

Remote. Cold. Rugged. Those three adjectives capture the essence of Russia’s Kamchatka Peninsula. Another word—perhaps more applicable than anywhere else on Earth—is “fiery.”

Of the roughly 1,550 volcanoes that have erupted in the recent geologic past, 113 are found on Kamchatka. Forty Kamchatkan volcanoes are “active,” either erupting now or capable of erupting on short notice. The Operational Land Imager (OLI) on Landsat 8 captured activity at five of them during a single satellite pass on April 14, 2014.

Imagery follows.

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Posted in Volcanoes | 60 Comments

Decision expected tomorrow in Mann UVa FOIA case

At the blog “Open Virginia Law” they are discussing the Mann case and potential impacts, as a new session results will be published from the Supreme Court of Virginia, and it’s likely the Mann/UVa case is one of them.

Insiders tell me that even if Mann/UVa loses, they’ll likely take a on a new position and file a claim of First Amendment right to academic freedom prohibiting release of the ClimateGate and HockeyStick emails, and surely will again encourage Mann to join, each claiming the right rests with them. With Mann, it’s all about delaying the inevitable, unless of course somebody like the hero of Climategate “FOIA” decides to take matters into their own hands and stop this abuse of the legal system and FOIA law by making an email dump. I don’t underestimate that possibility.

Here’s the situation:

Climate change’s looming impact on Virginia’s FOIA

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Posted in Climategate, FOI, Michael E. Mann | 42 Comments

More tabloid climatology: gloom and doom about the jet stream, winters, and global warming

tabloid_climatology_onlyyouFrom the University of Utah, an argument that makes you wonder “what started it 4000 years ago”? Looking at another similar study, Joltin Joe Romm called that study Bombshell: Study Ties Epic California Drought, ‘Frigid East’ To Manmade Climate Change

While they focus on the recent winter as being an example of this errant jet stream pattern and persistent ridges,  they completely ignore an almost identical pattern in the winters of 1977/78 before global warming was even a funding twinkle in James Hansen’s eye.

In 1977, a nearly identical pattern set up with warmth in Alaska, drought in California, and cold in Florida. Arctic sea ice was near a peak at the time. (h/t Steve Goddard)

ScreenHunter_227 Apr. 15 15.39

ScreenHunter_226 Apr. 15 15.38

The Lewiston Journal – Google News Archive Search

Warm US West, cold East: A 4,000-year pattern

Global warming may bring more curvy jet streams during winter

SALT LAKE CITY, April 16, 2014 – Last winter’s curvy jet stream pattern brought mild temperatures to western North America and harsh cold to the East. A University of Utah-led study shows that pattern became more pronounced 4,000 years ago, and suggests it may worsen as Earth’s climate warms.

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Posted in extreme weather, Tabloid Climatology | 63 Comments

UN IPCC AR5 climate reports: Conjecture disguised as certainty

UN IPCC WG report process fails to integrate critical information

Guest essay by Larry Hamlin

The world has experienced over the last 15+ years a remarkable absence of increasing global temperatures despite huge and growing increases in global CO2 emissions by the globes developing nations and despite claims by the UN IPCC that global temperature increases are dangerously out of control because of increasing atmospheric CO2 levels. This embarrassing dichotomy is demonstrated in the diagram below.
clip_image002
The UN IPCC has completed its three part (WGI, WGII, WGIII) Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) process where future climate findings are portrayed using “level of confidence” and “assessed likelihood” qualifiers that attempt to cast these outcomes in a cloak of scientific certainty.

Much of the analysis underlying these “level of confidence” and “assessed likelihood” climate findings are based upon the computer output obtained through the use of climate models identified as Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP’s) cases 2.6, 4.5, 6.0 and 8.5 scenarios. Climate model RCP2.6 represents a low future CO2 emissions scenario case and climate model RCP8.5 represents a high future CO2 emissions scenario.

 

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Posted in IPCC, IPCC AR5 Report, Uncertainty | 66 Comments

Good news: no ‘ozone hole’ in the Arctic

From the Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Plugging an ozone hole

MIT researchers find that the extremes in Antarctic ozone holes have not been matched in the Arctic

AGU_ozone_hole1

The Antarctic “Ozone Hole” has no similarly sized Arctic counterpart

CAMBRIDGE, Mass– Since the discovery of the Antarctic ozone hole, scientists, policymakers, and the public have wondered whether we might someday see a similarly extreme depletion of ozone over the Arctic.

But a new MIT study finds some cause for optimism: Ozone levels in the Arctic haven’t yet sunk to the extreme lows seen in Antarctica, in part because international efforts to limit ozone-depleting chemicals have been successful.

 

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Posted in Ozone | 131 Comments