by Andrew Bolt
Andrew Bolt, left, Ove Hoegh-Guldberg, right
THE ABC was among the first to fall for it, of course. In 2002, it reported the Great Barrier Reef was as good as dead already.
Host Kerry O’Brien groaned that our “once-spectacular” reef was “threatened by global warming” and “up to 10 per cent of the reef has been lost to bleaching since 1998”, turning it “bone white”.
Up popped Ove Hoegh-Guldberg, a Queensland reef researcher with a natty patter, to warn us to “change our lifestyles” or the reef would go — killed by hotter seas.
The Week That Was: 2014-03-08 (March 8, 2014) Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project
Quote of the Week: “Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I’m not sure about the universe.” Albert Einstein [H/t ICECAP] Number of the Week: 17% & 11%
Challenging the Orthodoxy: Two major papers came out, severely questioning and contradicting the latest work of the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), especially the Summary for Policymakers. Continue reading
Image Credits: NOAA – National Weather Service – Climate Prediction Center
By WUWT Regular “Just The Facts”
On the heels of Andrew Dessler’s Ozone Hole tweet, we have from the BBC:
“Researchers from the University of East Anglia have discovered evidence of four new gases that can destroy ozone and are getting into the atmosphere from as yet unidentified sources.”
WoodForTrees.org – Paul Clark – Click the pic to view at source
Image Credit: WoodForTrees.org
Guest Post By Werner Brozek, Edited By Just The Facts
You may have seen the following recent articles (1, 2 and 3) by Walter Dnes on his January Leading Indicator. The same idea can also be shown in a different way. Namely, we can compare this decade to the last decade and see how things are turning out. We have all read that the 2001 to 2010 decade was the hottest in recorded history. But what has happened since then? How does 2001 compare with 2011, and 2002 with 2012, and 2003 with 2013? And what will happen in 2014?
Picard and Dathon at El-Adrel
With the pending climate pajamafest all-nighter at the U.S. Senate
, (powered by the Washington DC coal burning power plant
) the release of former NASA scientists and engineers Right Climate Stuff message
that there is no need to be worried about CAGW, and Bill McKibben’s empty boxes fiasco
, these loosely related events coaclesced into a moment of understanding last night after I watched what is probably my favorite episode of Star Trek, The Next Generation
So, with “eyes wide open”, I thought I’d write about it. In case you don’t know how the episode plays out, it goes like this, borrowing from the Memory Alpha Wikia description:
Paul writes on his webpage:
The East Anglian Daily Times have published a special supplement this week on climate change, and I have managed to persuade them to include my article, presenting a slightly less alarmist point of view.
I would imagine the folks at UEA’s Climate Research unit are “having a cow” about right now. See the article: Continue reading
By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley
Commenters on my recent posting about using graphics as effectively as the Forces of Darkness do, but to use them to tell the truth, said they would like a smarter version of the 99.5% no-consensus pie-chart in that posting.
My large and able staff have burned the midnight o. The hi-res image below is the result. Attach it to every email. Send it to every news medium. Mail it to the White House. Make buttons out of it and wear them. Time to send the F. of D. sniveling into their noisome lairs. Continue reading
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach
I got to wandering through the three main datasets that make up the overall CERES data, and I noticed an odd thing. The three main datasets are the all-sky downwelling solar, upwelling reflected solar, and upwelling longwave radiation, measured in watts per square metre (W/m2). Here are those three datasets:
Figure 1 the three main datasets that make up the CERES all-sky data. Note that as you’d expect, total input (solar ~340 W/m2) equals total output (100 W/m2 reflected plus 240 W/m2 radiation).
What I’d never noticed before is that the three datasets are all running on different clocks. One peaks in December, one peaks in January, and one peaks in July. Not only that, they all have different cycles of rising and falling … go figure.
A word of foreshadowing. I have no particular point to make in this post. Instead, it is a meander, an appreciative inquiry into the components of the shortwave (solar) and longwave (thermal infrared) top-of-atmosphere radiation. And at the end of the day, I suspect you’ll find it contains more questions and wonderment and curiosities than it has answers and insights. So hop on board, the boat’s leaving the dock, there’s a forecast of increasing uncertainty with a chance of scattered befuddlement … what’s not to like?
New Study; Earth is Safe From ‘Global Warming’ Say the Men Who Put Man on the Moon
The planet is not in danger of catastrophic man made global warming. Even if we burn all the world’s recoverable fossil fuels it will still only result in a temperature rise of less than 1.2 per cent.
So say The Right Climate Stuff Research Team, a group of retired NASA Apollo scientists and engineers – the men who put Neil Armstrong on the moon – in a new report.
“It’s an embarrassment to those of us who put NASA’s name on the map to have people like James Hansen popping off about global warming,” says the project’s leader Hal Doiron.
A new modeling based paper in Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics takes on that question directly.
Of course the result is another “saved the world” moment according to some:
[ Source: http://twitter.com/AndrewDessler/status/442342191067693056 ]
I certainly don’t have a problem with reducing CFC’s, but Andrew Dessler’s comment speaks to the hero syndrome some of these scientists seem to have, which sometimes results in the “noble cause corruption of science” where the end justifies the means. Here is the paper abstract, link to full text follows. Continue reading
And nearly 3 to 1 in the last 30 days, and over 2 to 1 in 2014
From NOAA/NCDC: U.S. Records Summary
The summaries below list the number of records broken for several recent periods is summarized in this table and updated daily. Due to late-arriving data, the number of recent records is likely underrepresented in all categories, but the ratio of records (warm to cold, for example) should be a fairly strong estimate of a final outcome. There are many more precipitation stations than temperature stations, so the raw number of precipitation records will likely exceed the number of temperature records in most climatic situations.
UPDATE: Bill McKibben doesn’t seem to want to address the question. See below.
Earlier today, 350.org’s founder Bill McKibben tweeted this:
[Source: http://twitter.com/billmckibben/status/442052998324551680 ]
Tom Nelson asked about those boxes and the environmental impact to which I replied:
Robert B. writes via email with a question that we’ve just never asked readers to weigh in on here before in post, though has been bandied about in comments. I figure it is about time to put it to rest by asking up front.
He asks: Continue reading
I’m pretty sure we already know what he is going to say. Readers are welcome to make their predictions in comments.
Guest Post By Walter Dnes
The NOAA(NCDC) January data set update was delayed. It came in during the afternoon/evening of March 6th. With all the January data being in, now is the time for the January Leading Indicator “JLI” algorithm forecast to “put up or shut up”, and make forecasts for 2014. As described here and here, the JLI algorithm is not a “real forecast” per se, but rather a “zero skill baseline” that a “real forecast” has to beat in order to show skill. The only excuse I’ll use for missing the forecasts is a Pinatubo-scale event, i.e. a major volcano (or meteorite/comet impact) that kicks up a significant amount of particulates/sulfates/etc. into the stratosphere.
First, the raw data. Because some of the data sets adjust their past data every month, the algorithm would produce slightly different results each month for the quantitative forecasts. In close cases, even the qualitative forecasts can change. In order to allow reproduction of the results, the January 2014 data sets, as downloaded in February 2014, are attached here, along with the spreadsheet used for the calculations.
By Paul Homewood
The Met Office have now issued the precipitation stats for last month, so what do they tell us about the winter as a whole in England, where the floods have caused such havoc? (I am concentrating on England for this reason, although there is a section on the UK as whole, which shows a similar picture)
(I will also be devoting a separate post to the situation in Somerset.)
Over the past few months, there have been a number of articles about how the climate science community could have presented their message differently, or responded differently, so that they could have avoided the problem they’re now facing with the halt in global warming. Example: the problems with communications by climate scientists to the public were the subject of a recent editorial, and linked webpages, at Nature Climate Change titled Scientist communicators. In reading it, you’ll find the editorial is really nothing more than a rephrasing of manmade-global-warming dogma.
Story submitted by Eric Worrall
James Delingpole writing for Breitbart London has published a fascinating story of how green groups were undone by their own hubris and misleading evidence in their effort to sue Chevron Oil for billions of dollars for pollution.
NOAA Great Lakes Surface Environment Analysis (GLSEA) – Click the pic to view full size image
Image Credit: NOAA Great Lakes Surface Environment Analysis (GLSEA)
Great Lakes Ice Cover reached 91.8% yesterday, after Wednesday’s coverage of 91% made 2014 the second highest maximum on record. Great Lakes Ice Cover is well within striking distance of the highest maximum on record of 94.7% set in 1979. Coming on the heels of last week’s second highest Southern Sea Ice Area minimum on record, and The Pause in Earth’s temperature reaching 17 years last year, the signs of Earth’s “Rapidly Accelerating” Global Warming abound…
Starting at the same price, there’s a 10 to 1 gap in investment performance
By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley
… Don’t put your pension into Greens. “Greens” are what the City boys in red suspenders with East End accents you could cut with a machete and Porsches you could scratch with a convenient latch-key call renewable-energy stocks. See the chart: Continue reading