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Temperature analysis of 5 datasets shows the ‘Great Pause’ has endured for 13 years, 4 months

Time to sweep away the flawed, failed IPCC By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley HadCRUT4, always the tardiest of the five global-temperature datasets, has at last coughed up its monthly global mean surface temperature anomaly value for June. So here is … Continue reading

Posted in Climate data, Climate News, Hiatus in Global Warming | 44 Comments

Quote of the Week – The ‘Lie Big’ Law (Or why can’t John Cook tell the truth?)

Two words of the headline are a pun on Liebig’s law, something we covered in the context of another big lie: the “hockey stick”. Steve McIntyre in a post last Saturday writes of Cook’s Fake Ethics Approval and has this hilarious … Continue reading

Posted in 97% consensus, Climate Communications, Climate ugliness, FOI, Opinion | 58 Comments

A brief history of climate panic and crisis… both warming and cooling

From But Now You Know. There is most certainly a pattern to climate change…but it’s not what you may think: For at least 114 120 years, climate “scientists” have been claiming that the climate was going to kill us…but they … Continue reading

Posted in Climate News | 48 Comments

Climate Change ‘stock trading’

From Motif Investing (h/t to John Coleman) Climate change has become more than a hot topic. With carbon dioxide levels at all-time highs and temperatures on the rise, concerns over global warming1 are increasingly leading to government action and policy … Continue reading

Posted in Climate News | 27 Comments

EPA document supports ~3% of atmospheric carbon dioxide is attributable to human sources

NOTE: this post has an error, see update below. – Anthony From a Wry Heat reprinted with permission of Jonathan DuHamel A new post on The Hockey Schtick reviews a new paper “that finds only about 3.75% [15 ppm] of … Continue reading

Posted in 97% consensus, Carbon dioxide | 136 Comments

Climate spin – more than just a game, it’s ‘Wheel of Gore’

Over at Ben Garrison’s website, he writes about climate change and produces a grrraphic. One thing I don’t like about true believers is they like to set up extreme negatives for those who disbelieve.

Posted in Al Gore, Humor, Satire | 42 Comments

New study claims to confirm water vapor as global warming amplifier – but other data says no

Just because something is said to be an amplifier doesn’t mean it actually is doing so, plus other datasets don’t show an increase in water vapor.  See below. Also, you gotta love the big burning ball of hot they included … Continue reading

Posted in Climate News, feedbacks | 105 Comments

Remember that claim from NSIDC and Walt Meier that the Antarctic ice expansion was due to a ‘processing error’? …never mind

NASA scientist says that error has long since been corrected and the increase in sea ice in Antarctica is real. As readers know, we announced this paper (which was under embargo): Claim: Antartica record high sea ice partially an artifact … Continue reading

Posted in Antarctic, Sea ice | 41 Comments

Who’s really waging the ‘war on science’?

When it comes to attacking climate scientists, the alarmist Left has the market cornered Guest opinion by Paul Driessen Global warming alarmists constantly claim they are being “harassed” by climate chaos skeptics. The Climate Armageddon-istas proclaim they are victims, and … Continue reading

Posted in Climate cash, FOI | 61 Comments

Germany’s green tech forces 400x increase in power rates

The price of a stabilized green power grid is very steep, one could say it is like a “hockey stick” Story submitted by Eric Worrall  (h/t John Droz) Coal and gas electricity companies are being paid up to 400x times … Continue reading

Posted in Climate News, Coal, Energy, Green tech | 93 Comments

Analysis of Temperature Change using World Class Stations

Guest essay by Ron Clutz This is a study to see what the world’s best stations (a subset of all stations I selected as “world class” by criteria) are telling us about climate change over the long term. There are … Continue reading

Posted in Climate data, Weather_stations | 121 Comments

Should you trust NOAA claims about May and June records?

Guest essay by Joseph D’Aleo, CCM Last month was the hottest June since record keeping began in 1880, the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) said Monday. It marked the third month in a row that global temperature reached … Continue reading

Posted in Climate data, NCDC, NOAA, records, Weather | 151 Comments

The DDP Conference

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I had the great pleasure of being invited to give a presentation at the Doctors for Disaster Preparedness (DDP) conference this weekend in Knoxville, Tennessee. It was a very interesting and professionally run conference, and … Continue reading

Posted in Climate News, Willis Autobiography | Tagged , | 120 Comments

Rate Of Climate Change and Rate of Adaptation Deliberately Distorted

Guest essay by Dr. Tim Ball There is nothing permanent except change. – Heraclitus If you want things to stay as they are, things will have to change. – Giuseppe di Lamedusa Moving the Goalposts Again. Climate changes significantly all … Continue reading

Posted in Climate News, Politics | 77 Comments

There must be a Paul Ehrlich week in climate science

Yesterday, in Climactic headline shifts the hype factor between two headlines on crop production and climate was pointed out, noting that there was just a small increase in risk. Today we have another similar press release, claiming that climate change … Continue reading

Posted in Agriculture, Alarmism, Ozone | 48 Comments

‘Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future.’

That headline is attributed to physicist Niels Bohr, but a later more popular version is attributed to Yogi Berra. But. like predicting the future, it seems that the true provenence is murky. That said, whether you are making climate predictions, … Continue reading

Posted in Forecasting, Fun_stuff, Modeling | 114 Comments

Climactic headline shifts

Bruce Hall alerts me to this headline from Eurkekalert which reads:   But the real headline behind the headline is this one, at the actual source: 

Posted in Agriculture, media | 138 Comments

Taking Keating seriously part 2: the IPCC’s human-attribution claim is prima facie unscientific

Guest post by Alec Rawls (see part 1) Ex-physics teacher Christopher Keating, who strongly believes that human activity is causing dangerous global warming, is offering $30,000 to anyone who can prove that “claims of man-made climate change” are not supported … Continue reading

Posted in Climate News | 110 Comments

Quote of the week – the last word on ‘97% consensus’, now in a bumper sticker

Over at Scientific American, a place that isn’t hardly Scientific, nor American anymore (its owned by Germans IIRC) there’s a big row over Cook’s shoddy “97% consensus” paper in comments, mainly due to some pertinent ones asking some tough questions … Continue reading

Posted in 97% consensus, Quote of the Week | 103 Comments

NOAA’s own trend calculator helps confirm ‘the pause’ and lack of ocean warming in the 21st century

People send me stuff. Yesterday I got a note suggesting I have a look at what NOAA/NCDC’s “climate at a glance” was showing for trends in the 21st century so far. I decided to take a look.

Posted in Climate data, Curious things, Hiatus in Global Warming, NCDC, NOAA, Oceans, Temperature, Trenberth's missing heats | 88 Comments

The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 14 – Warm Water Recirculated?

There may still be a chance for an El Niño during the 2014/15 ENSO season. A new “pocket” of warm subsurface water has formed in the western equatorial Pacific. See the note in the page from the most-recent NOAA Weekly … Continue reading

Posted in El Nino Basics, ENSO | 71 Comments

Solar Cycle Driven Ocean Temperature Variations

What Slow Fourier Transforms can tell us. Guest essay by Stan Robertson, Ph.D., P.E. On May 3, 2014, an article on WUWT by Willis Eschenbach entitled, The Slow Fourier Transform (SFT) was posted. As he noted, the amplitude of the … Continue reading

Posted in Radiation, Solar, statistics | 186 Comments

Taking Keating’s $30,000 skeptic challenge seriously, part 1

Contradictory contest criteria have been rectified via Keating “clarification” Guest post by Alec Rawls At first glance retired physics teacher Christopher Keating’s challenge appears to be an obvious bait and switch. It opens as an invitation to “global warming skeptics” who … Continue reading

Posted in Climate News | 190 Comments

The law of unintended climate consequences at work – study says 23% of warming in Europe since 1980 due to clean air laws

(Via the HockeySchtick) A paper published today in Geophysical Research Letters finds that clean air laws which greatly reduced sulfur dioxide emissions explain 81% of the “brightening” of sunshine and 23% of the surface warming in Europe since 1980. However, … Continue reading

Posted in Aerosols | 48 Comments

Video summary of the Heartland #ICCC9 conference – plus a look at the “big oil” connection

This short video (4:30) was shot and edited by videographer Paul Budline from New Jersey, and it encapsulates short clips from many of the speakers at the conference. It is a good summary and worth your time. There’s a bit … Continue reading

Posted in Presentations | 43 Comments

June 2014 Global Surface (Land+Ocean) and Lower Troposphere Temperature Anomaly Update

Sorry this update is late. I got sidetracked with the post about Risbey et al. (2014), and the post about the new climate model, now with knobs. This post provides an update of the data for the three primary suppliers … Continue reading

Posted in GISS, Lower Troposphere Temperature, NASA GISS, NCDC, UKMO HADCRUT4 | 56 Comments

New paper finds the climate to be ‘highly nonlinear’

But, we already knew that from experience. However, a lot of models still treat climate as a mostly or near linear process, and that’s why they aren’t performing particularly well at even predicting the present. (via the Hockeyschtick) A paper … Continue reading

Posted in Climate News | 85 Comments

Onwards, Ever Onwards

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I’ve been remiss in my duties as travel correspondent. When last heard from, the gorgeous ex-fiancee and I were rolling out of Butte, Montana in a rented car. At the end of the day, we … Continue reading

Posted in Climate News, Willis Autobiography | Tagged , , , | 70 Comments

Union of Concerned ‘Scientists’ frackivists taken to task for willful misrepresentation of facts in Erie, Colorado

Simon Lomax writes at Energy Indepth: Local officials in Erie, Colo., are pushing back hard against a national environmental group for misrepresenting the outcome of a failed “ban fracking” campaign in their town. The officials say the Massachusetts-based group has … Continue reading

Posted in Fracking | 80 Comments

California’s future energy pipe dream

I wonder how they’ll manage to put 25,000 offshore wind turbines in place after seeing the long battle (back to 2001 for the first permit) to get Cape Wind in Massachusetts approved with enviros switching sides to protect viewsheds, and … Continue reading

Posted in Energy, solar power, wind power | 153 Comments

Climate Science; Winning The Science Battle, But Losing the Policy War

Essay by Dr. Tim Ball (Elaboration of my Heartland Climate Conference Presentation) We’re drowning in information and starving for knowledge. Rutherford Rogers So-called climate skeptics, practicing proper science by disproving the hypothesis that human CO2 is causing global warming, achieved … Continue reading

Posted in Opinion | 68 Comments

‘Climate models not only significantly over-predict observed warming in the tropical troposphere, but they represent it in a fundamentally different way than is observed’

New Paper by McKitrick and Vogelsang comparing models and observations in the tropical troposphere This is a guest post by Ross McKitrick (at Climate Audit). Tim Vogelsang and I have a new paper comparing climate models and observations over a 55-year … Continue reading

Posted in Modeling, Tropics, Uncertainty | 52 Comments

Another benefit of global warming – increased forage plants

From the Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo An increase in temperature by 2050 may be advantageous to the growth of forage plants With a 2°C increase in temperature, the plant Stylosanthes capitata Vogel was able … Continue reading

Posted in Agriculture, Positive effects of CO2 | 30 Comments

The Tyranny of Tautology

A response to A conversation with Dr. Roger Pielke Jr. Guest essay by Scott Bennett Willis Eschenbach described the Kaya Identity as being “trivially true”, his opinion is uncontested by Dr Pielke Jr., whose only retort in its defence was, … Continue reading

Posted in Carbon dioxide | 209 Comments

Uncertainty in the dirt: another climate feedback loop

From the Carnegie Institution  Climate change and the soil Climate warming may not drive net losses of soil carbon from tropical forests Washington, DC — The planet’s soil releases about 60 billion tons of carbon into the atmosphere each year, … Continue reading

Posted in feedbacks | 55 Comments