March 2014 Global Surface (Land+Ocean) Temperature Anomaly Update

INITIAL QUESTION

Once upon a time, the NCDC published its monthly global land+ocean surface temperature anomaly data around the 15th of the month. They have recently relaxed the dates of their monthly global state of the climate updates. The NCDC are now showing on the webpage here that they will be publishing their monthly global updates around the 22nd of each month. Because GISS is still updating their data around the 15th of the month, it seems like old news when I wait a week for the NCDC data before publishing these updates.

 

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Posted in Hiatus in Global Warming, NASA GISS, NCDC, UKMO HADCRUT4 | 11 Comments

Some hype sorting on the claim that Asian pollution is intensifying Pacific Storms

Is Asian Pollution Intensifying Pacific Storms? Separating the Hype from Reality.

By Cliff Mass

The media over the past week have given a lot of play to a paper in the journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS)  that claims that Asian pollution is enhancing storms over the Pacific Ocean, with effects extending globally.

We are talking headlines in hundreds of major media sources around the world.  As illustrated below, the headlines have been pretty scary.  But as I will show below, the PNAS paper really proves no such thing and this situation is another example of unhealthy and counterproductive hype and exaggeration in the media.
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Posted in Aerosols, extreme weather | 17 Comments

Climatologist Judith Curry levels both barrels against alarmist climate science

Guest essay by Larry Hamlin

Alarmist claims: inference from incomplete, inadequate and ambiguous observations

Climate scientist Dr. Judith Curry has recently posted a number of sharply worded essays providing stinging critical rebukes of assertions of climate harm by alarmists derived from biased and highly selective reading of the UN IPCC AR5 reports.

In an April 21 posting she says the following regarding the so called ‘facts’ cited by climate alarmists to try to make a case for man made climate harm:

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Posted in Alarmism | 72 Comments

Dana Nuccitelli’s lie of omission in the Guardian

In Bjørn Lomborg’s  latest oped: Global Warming’s Upside-Down Narrative Lomborg points out the following:

  1. The IPCC says unmitigated climate change will cost 0.2-2% GDP/year in 2070.
  2. The IPCC says climate policies in 2070 will cost more than 3.4% and likely much more than that.

This is why climate mitigation makes no economic sense: the cure costs more than the disease.

But, wait, “Skeptical Science” tank driver Dana Nuccitelli has an op-ed today in Guardian where he claims the IPCC uses only a select range of measures: the 0.2-2% is expressed in “annual global economic losses”, while the other is expressed “as a slightly slowed global consumption growth.”.

He only achieves that by cutting out the actual quote from IPCC report, as you can see in the screen cap helpfully provided by Lomborg in his Twitter feed that compares texts. Note the ellipsis:

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Posted in Climate News | 43 Comments

New paper finds solar UV-B output is correlated to global mean temperature

Map of correlations suggest it may be affecting biomass and planetary albedo.
From the Hockey Schtick:

A paper published today in Methods in Ecology and Evolution describes a new satellite dataset of solar UV-B radiation for use in ecological studies. According to the authors, “UV-B surfaces were correlated with global mean temperature and annual mean radiation data, but exhibited variable spatial associations across the globe.” The finding is notable, since climate scientists dismiss the role of the Sun in climate change by only looking at the tiny 0.1% variations in total solar irradiance [TSI] over solar cycles, ignoring the large variations in solar UV of up to 100% over solar cycles, and which according to this paper, correlates to global mean temperature. Thus, the role of the Sun and solar amplification mechanisms on climate is only at the earliest stages of understanding.

In the supplemental information (SI) I found this correlation map, which was telling for me. Note the red of highest correlation – mostly in the tropics. This suggests to me that UVB is playing a role with ocean biomass, possibly modulating algae/plankton, which in turn changes the albedo, and absorption of other solar wavelengths into the oceans (which then affects nearby land-mass temperature).

UVB_to Temperature-quadmap1

The authors write: Finally, we mapped the four types of local spatial association for each pair of compared variables to show how the strength and type of spatial association vary geographically. Areas with non-significant relationship or negative (inverse) spatial association (Low-High, High-Low clusters) indicate locations where our glUV data provide new information (variability) that is not captured by considered existing climate variables. Below is an example of a LISA map for the above mentioned comparison of annual UV-B radiation versus annual temperature (Figure 4a in the manuscript).

Here is the press release:

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Posted in Albedo, Biomass, Science, Solar | 73 Comments

Multi-million dollar global warming disaster epic ‘Years of Living Dangerously’ beaten in TV ratings by ‘Bob’s Burgers’ reruns

UPDATE: Showbuzz weighs in with an actual ratings number for “Years of Living Dangerously” and it’s mind blowingly low. Even this blog reached more people on Sunday. See below.

Showtime’s “Years of Living Dangerously” aired Sun, Apr 20, at 10:00 PM and didn’t even make the top 100 cable TV shows this week and was beaten in its time slot by a re-run episode of the animated cartoon Bob’s Burgers. Ouch!

years_dangerously
Above: Image from the Showtime website advertising the series

According to the producer, this docudrama got the “big budget” treatment to the tune of $20 million. Looks like nobody cares.

Here are the top 50 from Sunday, with link to the full top 100:

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Posted in Alarmism, media | 107 Comments

Believers in global warming unchanged since 2001, 1 in 4 Americans don’t buy it at all

One in Four in U.S. Are Solidly Skeptical of Global Warming

Nearly 40% are “Concerned Believers” in global warming, others are mixed

by Lydia Saad, Gallup

PRINCETON, NJ — Over the past decade, Americans have clustered into three broad groups on global warming. The largest, currently describing 39% of U.S. adults, are what can be termed “Concerned Believers” — those who attribute global warming to human actions and are worried about it. This is followed by the “Mixed Middle,” at 36%. And one in four Americans — the “Cool Skeptics” — are not worried about global warming much or at all.  (see graph)

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Posted in Global warming, Opinion | 59 Comments

A speech from the president on Earth Day – with warming as the topic

While Dr. Roy Spencer reports on a number of politically incorrect cartoons about Earth Day, saying,

“I mostly find Earth Day just plain annoying for the rank hypocrisy on display. A state-sponsored religious day of worship, along with all of the 1st Amendment-violating regulations to codify it. “

In response, the president has weighed in with a short speech. Continue reading

Posted in Global warming, Humor, Politics, Satire | Tagged , , , , | 62 Comments

Scientists with frickin’ weather control lasers in their heads

From the University of Central Florida

‘Dressed’ laser aimed at clouds may be key to inducing rain, lightning

UCF, Arizona researchers extend length of high-intensity laser with hope of stimulating showers

The adage “Everyone complains about the weather but nobody does anything about it,” may one day be obsolete if researchers at the University of Central Florida’s College of Optics & Photonics and the University of Arizona further develop a new technique to aim a high-energy laser beam into clouds to make it rain or trigger lightning.

The solution? Surround the beam with a second beam to act as an energy reservoir, sustaining the central beam to greater distances than previously possible. The secondary “dress” beam refuels and helps prevent the dissipation of the high-intensity primary beam, which on its own would break down quickly. A report on the project, “Externally refueled optical filaments,” was recently published in Nature Photonics.

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Posted in Technology, Weather | 51 Comments

Today’s Antarctic region once as hot as California, Florida

From Yale University, where that means that even though Earth 40-50 million years ago had a completely different arrangement of continents and climate, it still somehow will “underscore the potential for increased warmth at Earth’s poles and the associated risk of melting polar ice and rising sea levels”. Note that in this paleoreconstruction below, there is still a southern ice cap.

SIA3657[1]

The PR reads:  Parts of ancient Antarctica were as warm as today’s California coast, and polar regions of the southern Pacific Ocean registered 21st-century Florida heat, according to scientists using a new way to measure past temperatures.

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Posted in Antarctic, Paleoclimatology | 51 Comments

Idiots on parade: Portland water bureau’s tenuous grasp of science

From ARStechnica and the stupid, it burns, department comes this ridiculous story of a bureaucrat gone off the rails. See the video that set off this pissing match below.

The city of Portland, OR will empty a 38-million gallon reservoir after a teenager allegedly urinated in it, according to the Associated Press. It’s the second time in three years that Portland is flushing its Mount Tabor reservoir after a urine-related incident.

The reservoir is open-air and sits exposed to all of nature, leading many parties to question how necessary a draining would be, or how polluted 38 million gallons of water can really be by a single man’s urine.

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Posted in Government idiocy, Ridiculae | 123 Comments

Ouch. Corn biofuel could generate more greenhouse gases than gasoline

From the “we told you so back in 2010″ department and the University of Nebraska-Lincoln

Study casts doubt on climate benefit of biofuels from corn residue

The fuel could generate more greenhouse gases than gasoline

Corn+Gas+Tank[1]

Lincoln, Neb., April 20, 2014 — Using corn crop residue to make ethanol and other biofuels reduces soil carbon and can generate more greenhouse gases than gasoline, according to a study published today in the journal Nature Climate Change.

 

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Posted in Agriculture, Biomass, Energy | 70 Comments

Tornado season so far may be the slowest in a century

While there continues to be wailing about how climate change is supposedly making the weather more extreme, Greg Carbin, the man in charge at NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center (SPC) sends along this graph and says:

Likely the slowest start to tornado activity in any year in modern record, and possibly nearly a century!

And he has the numbers to show why:

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Posted in extreme weather, tornadoes, Weather | 49 Comments

Ice dating from Krypton

Here’s something useful that works like radiocarbon dating, but on ice. Since it is cosmic ray based, it makes me wonder if it could be used to reconstruct the cosmic ray record to test Svensmark’s theory of cosmic ray modulation of climate. How it works (graphic from Argonne National Laboratory):

Kr is a cosmogenic isotope produced in the upper atmosphere. Its analysis allows age determination for:

  • dating polar ice to study the climate history of the Earth, and
  • dating old groundwater to study the source, sink, and flow pattern of aquifers.

The applicable age range of 100 kyr – 1 Myr  is beyond the reach of 14C-dating.

From Oregon State University   CORVALLIS, Ore. – A team of scientists has successfully identified the age of 120,000-year-old Antarctic ice using radiometric krypton dating – a new technique that may allow them to locate and date ice that is more than a million years old.

The ability to discover ancient ice is critical, the researchers say, because it will allow them to reconstruct the climate much farther back into Earth’s history and potentially understand the mechanisms that have triggered the planet to shift into and out of ice ages.

 

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Posted in Antarctic, Paleoclimatology, Science | 39 Comments

Ridley: IPCC & OECD reports are telling us clear as a bell that we cannot ruin the climate with CO2 unless we have a population explosion

Matt Ridley: The Richer We Get, The Greener We’ll Become

The world’s climate change experts are now saying that strong growth doesn’t hurt the environment, it protects it

Matt Ridley, The Times

In the past 50 years, world per capita income roughly trebled in real terms, corrected for inflation. If it continues at this rate (and globally the great recession of recent years was a mere blip) then it will be nine times as high in 2100 as it was in 2000, at which point the average person in the world will be earning three times as much as the average Briton earns today.

I make this point partly to cheer you up on Easter Monday about the prospects for your great-grandchildren, partly to start thinking about what that world will be like if it were to happen, and partly to challenge those who say with confidence that the future will be calamitous because of climate change or environmental degradation.

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Posted in Climate News, Climate sensitivity, Economy-health | 79 Comments

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup

The Week That Was: 2014-04-19 (April 19, 2014) Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project

Quote of the Week: Pray don’t talk to me about the weather, Mr. Worthing. Whenever people talk to me about the weather, I always feel quite certain that they mean something else. And that makes me quite nervous. Oscar Wilde. “The Importance of Being Earnest “[H/t Paul Kenyon] Number of the Week: Down 32%; Down 40%

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SEPP’S APRIL FOOLS AWARD – THE JACKSON

SEPP is conducting its annual vote for the recipient of the coveted trophy, a piece of coal, The Jackson. Readers are asked to nominate and vote for who they thinks is most deserving following these criteria:

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Posted in Climate News Roundup | 6 Comments

Elements of the Mann-Steyn case: Climate Science, Free Speech and Legal Liability – Part 1

Lies and Legal Liability

Guest essay by Roger Sowell

The field of climate science, with controversial issues such as whether the planet is warming due to man’s burning of fossil fuels, or the world is blissfully ignoring additional carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, or perhaps the globe is cooling down into the next ice age, has created and still creates vigorous expressions of opinion, and some name-calling, defamatory statements, and calls for deliberate lies and deceit.  There appears to have also been outright lies, false statements, and fabrication of data, among other deceitful practices.   This article explores some of the legal ramifications, criminal cases and Defamation in Part One.  Part Two will continue the discussion on more of the civil causes of action.

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Posted in Climate News | 108 Comments

The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 5 – The Relationship Between the PDO and ENSO

UPDATE: I’ve added NOAA’s description of the PDO index toward the end of the post, before the closing.

# # #

During the earlier discussions of the upcoming El Niño event, the topic of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation or PDO was raised a number of times. Apparently, it’s time again to discuss what the PDO does and does not represent. I’m trying a couple of new approaches this time. Hopefully, it will be more suitable for those new to the topic. The intents of the post are to dispel many of the misunderstandings about the PDO and to correct the misinformation about the relationship of the PDO with El Niño and La Niña events.

THE PDO IS A USEFUL INDEX

This post is not intended to suggest, in any way, that the Pacific Decadal Oscillation Index is not a useful dataset. It was born as a tool for the Pacific fishing industry. I also understand that the PDO index is used by some meteorologists in forecasting weather. With that in mind…

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Posted in El Nino Basics, ENSO, PDO | 73 Comments

Climate Chaos, and hanging out with, like, marmots and wolverines

A conference in Portland

Report by Rod McLaughlin

I attended the “Cascadia Confluence” on April 20th in Portland. The idea is, human beings should organize themselves into “bioregions” instead of nation states. For example, Vancouver, BC, is in the same bioregion as Seattle, WA, though they are in different nations. San Francisco, CA, is in the “Shasta bioregion”, which overlaps with the “Cascadia bioregion”, where you can find Portland, OR.

The speakers and attendees mixed sensible concern about logging, pollution, and so on, with mystical ideas about “ecology” and “the water web”. One of the speakers claimed “people of color” would suffer from “climate change” because of what “we” are doing. What is it about America that produces this self-hating nonsense?

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Posted in NGOs | 63 Comments

Dueling climate reports – this one is worth sharing on your own blog

NOTE: This op-ed is apparently too hot for some editors to handle. Late last week it was accepted and posted on politix.topix.com only to be abruptly removed some two hours later. After several hours of attempting to determine why it was removed, I was informed the topix.com editor had permanently taken it down because of a strong negative reaction to it and because of “conflicting views from the scientific community” over factual assertions in the piece.

Fortunately, some media outlets recognize a vigorous scientific debate persists over humanity’s influence on climate and those outlets refuse outside efforts to silence viewpoints that run counter to prevailing climate alarmism. My original piece follows below.- Craig Idso

Guest essay by Dr. Craig D. Idso

The release of a United Nations (UN) climate change report last week energized various politicians and environmental activists, who issued a new round of calls to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Some of the most fiery language in this regard came from Sen. Barbara Boxer (D-CA), who called upon Congress to “wake up and do everything in its power to reduce dangerous carbon pollution,” while Secretary of State John Kerry expressed similar sentiments in a State Department release, claiming that “unless we act dramatically and quickly, science tells us our climate and our way of life are literally in jeopardy.”  Continue reading

Posted in IPCC, IPCC AR5 Report | 251 Comments