The Week That Was: 2014-08-30 (August 30, 2014) Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project
THIS WEEK: By Ken Haapala, Executive Vice President, Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP)
A Hint of Desperation? The synthesis report of UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) has been leaked to friendly media organizations such as Bloomberg and the New York Times. The IPCC schedule has the discussion of the report and approval during a meeting in Copenhagen from October 24 to October 31, 2014. (During the Copenhagen meeting, on October 26, the future work of the IPCC will be discussed.) The schedule has the presentation and distribution of the synthesis report from December 3 to December 14. One question about the timing of the leak quickly arises: is the IPCC trying to influence the US election on November 4?
Based on comments from journalists who are friendly with the IPCC, the synthesis report is more strident than past reports. Seth Borenstein of the Associated Press wrote:
Global warming is here, human-caused and probably already dangerous — and it’s increasingly likely that the heating trend could be irreversible, a draft of a new international science report says.
There is little in the report that wasn’t in the other more-detailed versions, but the language is more stark and the report attempts to connect the different scientific disciplines studying problems caused by the burning of fossil fuels, such as coal, oil and gas.
“Continued emission of greenhouse gases will cause further warming and long-lasting changes in all components of the climate system, increasing the likelihood of severe, pervasive and irreversible impacts for people and ecosystems,” the report says.
According to the publicly available atmospheric temperature data compiled by the University of Alabama in Huntsville (UAH), there has been no warming trend for over a decade. Surface data show no warming for about 17 years.
We now have more than 30 explanations for the failure of the earth to warm. Many explanations have come from members of the Climate Establishment that have benefited from the IPCC and the enormous expenditure of funds from countries such as the United States. Many of these explanations suggest causes of natural climate change that the IPCC failed to consider in its AR5 Summary for Policymakers.
Yet, in addressing the trend of no warming, Andy Revkin wrote: “What’s firmly established is that the climate is warming, that the buildup of human-generated heat-trapping greenhouse gases is contributing substantially to the warming …”
Alarmists are announcing greater certainty in the work, without bothering to ask the central question. How can we know it was CO2 in the recent past, if it isn’t CO2 now? The only answer seems to be appeal to authority, in this case the IPCC. See links under Defending the Orthodoxy and http://www.ipcc.ch/scripts/_calendar_template.php?wg=8
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Quote of the Week: I have been asked to talk about what I consider the most important challenge facing mankind, and I have a fundamental answer. The greatest challenge facing mankind is the challenge of distinguishing reality from fantasy, truth from propaganda. Perceiving the truth has always been a challenge to mankind, but in the information age (or as I think of it, the disinformation age) it takes on a special urgency and importance. Michael Crichton September 15, 2003 Number of the Week: 67%
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IPCC Illogic I – Circular Reasoning: When studying algebra many learned that when presented with an equation such as A+B=10, it is impossible to determine the value of A without knowing the value of B. Similarly, it is impossible to determine the value of B without knowing the value of A. In the AR5 Summary for Policymakers, the IPCC tries to get around this simple logic problem by using models to solve for the values of A & B simultaneously. [Assume A is human influences on climate and B is natural influences on climate and that the calculated values are 7 and 3, respectively.] This creates another problem. The models have not been verified and validated, how does one know that the calculated values are correct?
At this point the IPCC engages in circular reasoning. If A, equal to 7, is removed from the equation, an absurd result occurs, namely 3 = 10. However, a similar absurd result occurs regardless of the values of A and B, as long as the sum of A and B equals 10. The value of A or B must be determined empirically.
Andrew Montford points out another major issue with these presentations. The variations in temperature data have been obfuscated (smoothed) by using decadal averages. As statistician Matt Briggs insists, smoothing time series data can dramatically fool the researcher into being more certain about the final results than warranted by the data. See links under Challenging the Orthodoxy.
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IPCC Illogic II: The current trend of no global warming has prompted Richard Betts of the UK Met Office to discount the value of climate models for public policy by claiming they are useful for short-term regional projections but not for long-term global projections. Betts is one of the lead authors of IPCC AR5, working group 2, which “assesses the vulnerability of socio-economic and natural systems to climate change, negative and positive consequences of climate change.” Andrew Montford in Bishop Hill, and Bob Tisdale in WUWT, demolish the argument by Betts. It is the fear of long-term global warming, based on projections from the faulty models, that drives funding of the Climate Establishment. See links Models v. Observations and http://www.ipcc.ch/working_groups/working_groups.shtml
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IPCC Illogic III: An article by Alex Morales in Bloomberg on the leaked synthesis report stated:
The pace of temperature increases slowed to about 0.05 of a degree per decade from 1998 through 2012 from 0.12 degrees per decade for the longer period spanning from 1951 to 2012. The IPCC said 111 out of 114 climate models predicted a greater warming trend than was observed from 1998 to 2012. And for the period from 1984 to 1998, most models showed less warming than was finally recorded, they said.
Over longer periods, the climate models seem to be more accurate. From 1951 to 2012, “simulated surface warming trends are consistent with the observed trend,” the IPCC researchers said. If models cannot make short-term forecasts, there is no logical reason to assume they will be successful at making long-term forecasts. As pointed out by Bob Tisdale, the models show increasing warming trends later in the 21st century than in the early part of the century. (These trends are 0.23 Deg C/Decade 2000 to 2033, 0.27 Deg C/Decade 2034 to 2066, 0.31 Deg C/Decade, 2067 to 2100.) See links under Defending the Orthodoxy and Model Issues.
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Is the Trend of No Global Warming Caused by humans? Examination of the University of Alabama in Huntsville (UAH) graph of Monthly Global Lower Troposphere Anomaly from December 1978 through July 2014 can prompt such a question. After discounting the strong El Niño year of 1998, there is little warming until about 2002-2003, when a jump (step) in temperatures occurred. There is no clear trend thereafter, particularly if one discounts the El Niño year of 2010. The late 20th century warming appears in the surface record, which is subject to many human influences other than carbon dioxide.
Fred Singer, and others, have suggested that the surface records exaggerate late 20th century warming, whatever the reason. If so, then the current period of no warming may be an adjustment to this record. See http://nsstc.uah.edu/climate/2014/july2014/graph072014.png
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Avoiding Congress on Climate: Section 2.2 of the Constitution of the United States contains the following: “He [the President] shall have Power, by and with the Advice and Consent of the Senate, to make Treaties, provided two thirds of the Senators present concur…” There is nothing stopping President Obama from submitting the Kyoto Protocol to Congress for approval as a Treaty except his realization it would be an embarrassing failure.
According to reports President Obama has given up on extending the Kyoto Protocol or seeking a Treaty. The Administration is trying to devise a binding agreement for the US without the approval of Congress. Many of those who question the quality of the science used by the EPA to declare that greenhouse gas emissions, mainly carbon dioxide, endanger public health and welfare were disappointed that the Federal Courts turned a blind eye to the poor quality of the science. Will the courts turn a blind eye to this apparent effort to ignore Congress and the Constitution? See links under Problems in the Orthodoxy.
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EROI: In the August 23 TWTW, unreliable solar and wind power to produce electricity, which cannot be stored on a commercial scale, were identified as luxury goods. They are expensive goods that are not needed in a modern society. This week Andrew Montford is blunter. These renewables cannot sustain civilization. Montford links to a study by John Morgan, posted on the Energy Collective, covering the Energy Return On Invested (EROI) for various types of energy technologies. According to studies, modern civilizations such as Germany and the US, require an EROI of about 7. Needless to say, wind and PV solar do not make the grade. Although one can quibble about the numbers, the report is sobering and should be considered when one is faced with promises blowing in the wind. See links under Challenging the Orthodoxy.
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Capital Intensive – Green Jobs: The International Energy Agency, proponents of renewable energy, has published a new report of the mid-term future of renewable energy to 2020. Newspapers covering the publication reported largely what they thought was promising news for renewables. However, the report was not so optimistic, unless governments keep policies of mandating and subsidizing renewables. An interesting paragraph in the press release:
The annual report highlights the potential energy security implications of energy use for heat, which accounts for more than half of world final energy consumption and is dominated by fossil fuels. But the contribution of renewables to meet heating and cooling needs remains underdeveloped, with more limited policy frameworks compared with the electricity and transport sectors. Although modern renewable energy sources are expected to grow by almost 25% to 2020, their share in energy use for heat[ing] rises to only 9%, [of the total] up from 8% in 2013.
The electricity from solar and wind is not there when needed the most.
The report did recognize that, generally, renewables are capital intensive, thus provide few permanent “green jobs.” So much for the green jobs myths promoted by politicians. See links under Energy Issues Non-US
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Electricity Efficiency: Bureaucrats at the US Department of Energy and European Union are busily determining the desired energy consumption of ordinary appliances used by households. Unfortunately, less energy consumption for the bureaucrats means less efficiency in the appliance for the user. More human work! Drying clothes outside in the sun consumes less electricity than in a clothes dryer – even if it is winter and below freezing. John Brignell has succinct comments on this effort.
The effort by the Department of Energy was funded, in part, by $16.8 Billion in the so-called 2009 stimulus bill. And the politicians do not know why the stimulus failed? See links under Challenging the Orthodoxy, EPA and other Regulators on the March, and Washington’s Control of Energy
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Missing Emails: US Internal Revenue Service Commissioner John Koskinen told Congress he had “moved heaven and earth” in his effort to recover emails by Lois Lerner detailing her efforts to deny special tax status to organizations that appeared to be political opponents to the Administration. The tax status was customarily granted to political supporters of the Administration. It appears that moving heaven and earth was not necessary. The US government has a comprehensive back-up system.
Recovery of missing emails may give some EPA officials discomfort. Efforts to uncover emails from EPA officials with members of green organizations have been thwarted. Perhaps they may reveal questionable relationships. Only time will tell. See links under Litigation Issues
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Streams & Waterbodies: The EPA is contemplating expanding its powers under the Clean Water Act. Opponents claim the EPA will be using the Act to seize effective control of vast amounts of private land. EPA denies this, but who would have thought that after Congress failed to pass cap-and-trade, the EPA would embark on controlling carbon dioxide emissions from existing power plants? Given this regulatory overreach of the EPA, there is no reason to believe that the EPA does not have designs on controlling private lands
The Republican Chairman of the House Science Committee released one such map. Among the portions that stand out is that the dry Southwest is virtually covered with intermittent and ephemeral (short-lived) streams. See links under EPA and other Regulators on the March.
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Iceberg Ride: Professional adventurer and motivational speaker Alex Bellini has announce that to draw attention to global warming (and himself) he will live on an iceberg off the coast of Greenland. TWTW is not impressed. He no doubt will have appropriate food and equipment, much of it made from petroleum products.
If Mr. Bellini desired to impress, he could try to replicate Captain Tyson’s marvelous drift. Abandoned on a small ice flow with few provisions and limited equipment, starting October 16, 1872 Tyson’s party drifted about 1800 miles from Northwest Greenland through the Davis Strait to off the coast of Labrador where they were picked up on April 30, 1873. There were 18 survivors including 5 children. They had no proper lamp, let alone 20th century equipment. They survived on game the Inuit hunters caught – eating flesh and fat, often without cooking. Yet, without fresh fruits or vegetables, let alone modern vitamin pills, the party made it without noticeable scurvy, the most common killer of sailors during the voyages of discovery. That would be a real adventure. See link under Below the Bottom Line.
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Number of the Week 67%, EPA Air Quality Trends, 1980 to 2012, show that combined amount of six pollutants in the air has declined by 67% from 1980 to 2012; 72% from 1970. The pollutants are carbon monoxide, lead, nitrogen dioxide, particulate matter (10) and sulfur dioxide. Several issues become obvious. One, any studies to justify new regulations using data that are older than say, 10 years, are obsolete. And, two, asthma cases have increased as the air has become cleaner. EPA has no justification to claim that new regulations will reduce asthma cases. Yet, EPA administrator Gina McCarthy claimed that “In just the first year these standards go into effect, we’ll avoid up to 100,000 asthma attacks and 2,100 heart attacks — and those numbers go up from there.” See links under EPA and Other Regulators on the March and http://dailycaller.com/2014/08/27/epa-chief-co2-regulations-are-about-justice-for-communities-of-color/#ixzz3C03Uxu24
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ARTICLES:
For the numbered articles below, please see this week’s TWTW at: www.sepp.org. The articles are at the end of the pdf.
1. Six Threats Bigger Than Climate Change
The Obama administration talks global warming as the world burns.
By John Barrasso, WSJ, Aug 28, 2014
http://online.wsj.com/articles/john-barrasso-six-threats-bigger-than-climate-change-1409270527
2. Notable & Quotable: On Biofuels and Nature
The renewable energy paradigm requires an unprecedented industrial reengineering of the landscape.
Will Boisvert writing at thebreakthrough.org, Feb. 11, WSJ Aug 27, 2014
http://online.wsj.com/articles/notable-quotable-on-biofuels-and-nature-1409179097
3. Germany’s Expensive Gamble on Renewable Energy
Companies Worry [about, sic] Cost of Plan to Trim Nuclear, Fossil Fuels Will Undermine Competitiveness
By Matthew Karnitschnig, WSJ, Aug 26, 2014
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NEWS YOU CAN USE:
Science: Is the Sun Rising?
New paper describes another solar amplification mechanism that affects low clouds
By Staff Writer, The Hockey Schtick, Aug 28, 2014
http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.co.uk/2014/08/new-paper-describes-another-solar.html
Link to paper: Solar-wind-driven geopotential height anomalies originate in the Antarctic lower troposphere
By Mai Mai Lam, Gareth Chisham and Mervyn P. Freeman, Geophysical Research Letters, Aug 28, 2014
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL061421/abstract
Commentary: Is the Sun Rising?
Sunspot Trends Suggest Global Cooling Ahead
By Larry Bell, Newsmax, Aug 25, 2014
http://www.newsmax.com/LarryBell/Climate-Change-Sunspots-Global-Warming/2014/08/25/id/590671/
Climategate Continued
Misrepresentations and the Tainted Narrative of Mann’s Complaint
By Steve McIntyre, Climate Audit, Aug 26, 2014
Who wrote the EPA documents?
By Jean S, Climate Audit, Aug 27, 2014
http://climateaudit.org/2014/08/27/who-wrote-the-epa-documents/#more-19597
Suppressing Scientific Inquiry
Partisanship and silencing science
By Judith Curry, Climate Etc. Aug 29, 2014
http://judithcurry.com/2014/08/29/partisanship-and-silencing-science/#more-15507
Challenging the Orthodoxy
Hiding the pause
By Andrew Montford, Bishop Hill, Aug 28, 2014
http://bishophill.squarespace.com/blog/2014/8/28/hiding-the-pause.html
Do not smooth times series, you hockey puck!
By Matt Briggs, His Blog, Sep 6, 2008
http://wmbriggs.com/blog/?p=195
The (Latest) Answer To the “Pause”
By David Whitehouse, GWPF, Aug 26, 2014
http://www.thegwpf.org/the-latest-answer-to-the-pause/
[SEPP Comment: Discussed in the August 23 TWTW.]
Renewables cannot sustain civilization
By Andrew Montford, Bishop Hill, Aug 27, 2014
http://www.bishop-hill.net/blog/2014/8/27/renewables-cannot-sustain-civilisation.html
[SEPP Comment: See link immediately below.]
The Catch-22 of Energy Storage
By John Morgan, The Energy Collective, Aug 25, 2014 [H/t WUWT]
http://theenergycollective.com/barrybrook/471651/catch-22-energy-storage
The scientific simpletons strike again – Brussels sprouts a new absurdity
By John Brignell, Number Watch, Aug 23, 2014
http://www.numberwatch.co.uk/2014%20August.htm#vacuum
Sustainability: The Universal Solvent of Private Property Rights
By Charles Battig, American Thinker, Aug 26, 2014
NZClimate Truth Newsletter no 334
By Vincent Gray, The Australian Climate Sceptics, Aug 26, 2014
http://theclimatescepticsparty.blogspot.com.au/2014/08/climate.html
Susan Crockford: Healthy Polar Bears, Less Than Healthy Science
By Susan Crockford, GWPF, Aug 28, 2014
http://www.thegwpf.org/susan-crockford-healthy-polar-bears-less-than-healthy-science/
Link to paper of same name and author
http://www.thegwpf.org/content/uploads/2014/08/Health-Polarbears.pdf
[SEPP Comment: Very critical of establishment polar bear scientists.]
Defending the Orthodoxy
UN panel: Global warming human-caused, dangerous
By Seth Borenstein, AP, Aug 26, 2014 [H/t Clyde Spencer]
Link to IPCC AR5
A Closer Look at Turbulent Oceans and Greenhouse Heating
By Andrew Revkin, NYT, Aug 26, 2014 [H/t Clyde Spencer]
U.N. Draft Report Lists Unchecked Emissions’ Risks
By Justin Gillis, NYT, Aug 26, 2014
Irreversible Damage Seen From Climate Change in UN Leak
By Alex Morales, Bloomberg, Aug 27, 2014
A climate for change: The country’s sinking debate over global warming
Editorial, Washington Post, Aug 24, 2014
[SEPP Comment: The debate is raging because the advocates claimed the science is settled it is not.]
Climate Change Costs By 2100: Doing Nothing Has the Same Price Tag as Doing Something
Adapting to climate change would cost roughly the same as trying to slow it.
By Ronald Bailey, Reason.com, Aug 29, 2014
http://reason.com/archives/2014/08/29/climate-change-costs-by-2100
[SEPP Comment: If we do not know the causes, there is no reason to assume the costs to address climate change will not be a complete waste.]
Coal’s continued dominance of global industrialization must be made more vivid in climate change accounting
By Holly Welles, Princeton Environmental Institute [H/t GWPF]
http://www.princeton.edu/main/news/archive/S40/84/62I06/index.xml
[SEPP Comment: We do not know the costs of current emissions, if any. But now we must calculate the costs of future emissions?]
Questioning the Orthodoxy
A Single Meteorologist Explains What $165 Billion In Government-Funded Climate Science Couldn’t
Large scale oceanic oscillations responsible for most of the post 1980 “warming”
By Joe Bastardi, No Tricks Zone, Aug 24, 2014
[SEPP Comment: The headline by P Gosselin is not quite correct. Of the more than $165 billion in expenditures, about $35 billion was categorized as climate science.]
Before the deluge
By Andrew Montford, Bishop Hill, Aug 23, 2014
http://bishophill.squarespace.com/blog/2014/8/23/before-the-deluge.html
[SEPP Comment: A deluge of papers on the failure of the earth to warm, largely after the IPCC declared over 95% certainty in its work.]
Climate Alarmism: When Is This Bozo Going Down?
By Patrick Michaels and Paul C. “Chip” Knappenberger, CATO, Aug 27, 2014
http://www.cato.org/blog/climate-alarmism-when-bozo-going-down
When Global Warming Stopped
By Chris Dawson, Lord Monckton Foundation, Aug 28, 2014
http://theclimatescepticsparty.blogspot.com.au/2014/08/when-global-warming-stopped.html
Climate change cools off
Al Gore can’t even give away treats from his ice-cream truck
Editorial, Washington Times, Aug 25, 2014
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2014/aug/25/editorial-climate-change-cools-off/
More on GCMs and public policy
By Andrew Montford, Bishop Hill, Aug 27, 2014
http://bishophill.squarespace.com/blog/2014/8/27/more-on-gcms-and-public-policy.html
Nils-Axel Mörner Calls Global Warming “A Large-Scale Hysteria”…Antarctic Sea Ice Expansion “Not Surprising”
By P Gosselin, No Tricks Zone, Aug 26, 2014
Letter: Cut the Costly Climate Chatter
By Viv Forbes, Carbon Sense, Via WUWT, Aug 25, 2014
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/08/25/cut-the-costly-climate-chatter/
Social Benefits of Carbon
New book: About Face! Why the World Needs More Carbon Dioxide
Description of book by Hughes, Khandekar, and Ollier, By Anthony Watts, Aug 27, 2014
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/08/27/new-book-about-face-why-the-world-needs-more-carbon-dioxide/
The Warming-Induced Evolution of Terrestrial Plants
By Staff Writers, SPPI, Aug 27, 2014
http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/originals/the_warming_induced_evolution_of_terrestrial_plants.html
Problems in the Orthodoxy
Obama Pursuing Climate Accord in Lieu of Treaty
By Coral Davenport, NYT, Aug 26, 2014
[SEPP Comment: The article claims CO2 is a pollutant and scientists warn human-caused global warming is causing more severe drought and stronger wildfires, rising sea levels and more devastating storms. None of these claims can be substantiated by physical evidence.]
Good-Bye, Treaty
The administration plans to sign a non-binding climate-change accord. Good luck with that.
By Rupert Darwall, National Review Online, Aug 28, 2014
http://www.nationalreview.com/article/386639/good-bye-treaty-rupert-darwall
Obama Resorts to “Political Magic” to Carry Out His Stealthy Global Climate Change Strategy
By Ronald Bailey, Reason.com, Aug 27, 2014
http://reason.com/blog/2014/08/27/obama-resorts-to-political-magic-to-carr
Obama seeks to bypass Congress for U.N. climate change deal: report
U.S. wants ‘politically binding’ commitments on carbon dioxide emissions reductions
By Victor Morton, Washington Times, Aug 26, 2014
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2014/aug/26/obama-seeks-bypass-congress-un-climate-change-deal/
Is Atlantic holding Earth’s missing heat?
By Eli Kintisch, Science, Aug 22, 2014
http://www.sciencemag.org/content/345/6199/860
[SEPP Comment: Ignores the central issue – is CO2 the cause?]
Wow, we never saw this coming: ‘Trash burning worldwide significantly worsens air pollution’
By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Aug 26, 2014
Link to paper: Global emissions of trace gases, particulate matter, and hazardous air pollutants from open burning of domestic waste.
By Wiedinmyer C1, Yokelson RJ, & Gullett BK, Environmental Science Technology, Aug 19, 2014
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25019173
Seeking a Common Ground
Climate Change Nonensus [Non-Consensus]: Only 52% of meteorologists think global warming is mostly man-made
By Staff Writer, The Hockey Schtick, Aug 24, 2014 [H/t GWPF]
http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.co.uk/2014/08/climate-change-nonsensus-only-52-of.html
Link to survey: Meteorologists’ Views About Global Warming: A Survey of American Meteorological Society Professional Members
By Neil Stenhouse, et al. Bulletin of AMS, July 2014
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00091.1
[SEPP Comment: A similar result was obtained by SEPP in 1990; is the AMS finally starting to realize that its policy statement on climate is not dearly embraced by all?]
Atlantic vs Pacific vs AGW
By Judith Curry, Climate Etc. Aug 28, 2014
http://judithcurry.com/2014/08/28/atlantic-vs-pacific-vs-agw/#more-16735
Models v. Observations
A Note on the 50-50 Attribution Argument between Judith Curry and Gavin Schmidt
By Bob Tisdale, WUWT, Aug 28, 2014
Global Warming ‘Slowdown’ Could Continue for a Decade, Study
By Staff Writers, Canada Journal, Aug 22, 2014 [H/t Deke Forbes]
Model Issues
A Lead Author of IPCC AR5 Downplays Importance of Climate Models
By Bob Tisdale, WUWT, Aug 26, 2014
GCMs and public policy
By Andrew Montford, Bishop Hill, Aug 24, 2014
http://bishophill.squarespace.com/blog/2014/8/24/gcms-and-public-policy.html
Diary dates, modelling edition
By Andrew Montford, Bishop Hill, Aug 27, 2014
http://bishophill.squarespace.com/blog/2014/8/27/diary-dates-modelling-edition.html
Measurement Issues
How Much of Atmospheric CO2 Increase is Natural?
By Roy Spencer, His Blog, Aug 27, 2014
http://www.drroyspencer.com/2014/08/how-much-of-atmospheric-co2-increase-is-natural/
Measuring the Duration of the Pause in Global Warming
By Ross McKitrick, His Blog, Aug 29, 2014
http://www.rossmckitrick.com/index.html
Link to paper: HAC-Robust Measurement of the Duration of a Trendless Subsample in a Global Climate Time Series
By Ross McKitrick, Open Journal of Statistics, August 2014
file:///C:/Users/Owner/Downloads/OJS_2014082814175187.pdf
‘Missing heat’ in the Atlantic – It doesn’t work like that
By David Archibald, WUWT, Aug 24, 2014
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/08/24/missing-heat-in-the-atlantic-it-doesnt-work-like-that/
Problems with Statistical Tests of Pre-1958 Atmospheric CO2 Concentration Data
By James McCown, WUWT, Aug 29, 2014
USHCN Monthly Temperature Adjustments
By Walter Dnes, WUWT, Aug 24, 2014
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/08/23/ushcn-monthly-temperature-adjustments/
Changing Weather
Cold summer: US daily record minimums outnumbering record maximums 3 to 1 in the last 30 days
By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Aug 23, 2014
Hurricane Development Region Sea Surface Temperature Update – August 2014
By Bob Tisdale, WUWT, Aug 23, 2014
U.S. Tornado Intensity Index Shows No Upward Trend
By Paul Homewood, WUWT, Aug 25, 2014
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/08/25/u-s-tornado-intensity-index-shows-no-upward-trend/
Changing Seas
New paper shows equatorial Pacific sea surface temperatures were about the same in 1930’s as end of 20th century
By Staff Writer, The Hockey Schtick, Aug 29, 2014
http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.com/2014/08/new-paper-shows-equatorial-pacific-sea.html
Link to paper: Investigation of sea surface temperature changes from replicated coral Sr/Ca variations in the eastern equatorial Pacific (Clipperton Atoll) since 1874
By Wu, et al, Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, Oct 16, 2014
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0031018214003940
Global sea level rise a bit more than 1mm a year for last 50 years, no acceleration
By Jo Nova, Her Blog, Aug 26, 2014
Link to paper: Tide gauge location and the measurement of global sea level rise
By Beenstock, et al. Environmental and Ecological Statistics, May 23, 2014
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10651-014-0293-4
Changing Cryosphere – Land / Sea Ice
New paper shows ice mass stable to increasing over most of Antarctic ice sheet
By Staff Writer, The Hockey Schtick, Aug 29, 2014
http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.com/2014/08/new-paper-shows-ice-mass-stable-to.html
Link to paper: Snow- and ice-height change in Antarctica from satellite gravimetry and altimetry data
By Mémina, et al, Earth an Planetary Science Letters, Oct 15, 2014
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0012821X14005068
NOAA Data Show Southern Oceans Getting Colder…Contributing To Rapid South Polar Sea Ice Expansion
North Pole and South Pole Ice
By Ed Caryl, No Tricks Zone, Aug 25, 2014
Global Warming Causes Cooling In Antarctica ( Or Maybe It’s Just Natural!)
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, Aug 26, 2014
Great Graphic of Ocean Circulation
MIT Scientists Confirm Antarctica Is Cooling
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, Aug 27, 2014
Link to paper: The ocean’s role in polar climate change: asymmetric Arctic and Antarctic responses to greenhouse gas and ozone forcing
By Marshall, et al. Philosophical Transaction of the Royal Society A, Jun 2, 2014
http://rsta.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/372/2019/20130040
[SEPP Comment: Homewood’s headline may be exaggerated, but the paper raises questions about greenhouse gas and ozone forcing. If both IPCC claimed forcing are correct, then they should be occurring at both poles.]
Changing Earth
Severe drought is causing the western US to rise
By Staff Writers, San Diego CA (SPX), Aug 25, 2014
http://www.terradaily.com/reports/Severe_drought_is_causing_the_western_US_to_rise_999.html
Agriculture Issues & Fear of Famine
A doubleheader of GMO stupidity—From the two most populous countries in the world.
By Staff Writers, ACSH, Aug 25, 2014
http://acsh.org/2014/08/doubleheader-gmo-stupidity-two-populous-countries-world/
The Next-Generation Greenhouse
By Esther Dyson, Project Syndicate, Aug 27, 2014
[SEPP Comment: Can one imagine the cost of growing grains in a climate controlled building?]
Un-Science or Non-Science?
Temperature hiatus periods to become a ‘thing of the past’ as emissions soar
By Peter Hannam, Sydney Morning Herald, Aug 28, 2014 [H/t WUWT]
Link to paper: Drivers of decadal hiatus periods in the 20th and 21st centuries
By Nicola Maher, et al. Geophysical Research Letters, Aug 20, 2014
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL060527/abstract
Lowering Standards
Kiwis Await Our Climate Victims
By Tony Thomas, Quadrant, Aug 26, 2014
http://quadrant.org.au/opinion/tony-thomas/2014/08/kiwis-await-climate-victims/
[SEPP Comment: The New Zealand Royal Society does not grasp the difference between a Nobel Peace Prize and a Nobel Prize for science or who the recipients of the former were.]
Communicating Better to the Public – Exaggerate, or be Vague?
Global Warming ‘Pause’ Could Last For 30 Years
The 39th Theory About The Global Warming ‘Pause’ (And Counting) See the full list here
By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Aug 27, 2014
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/08/27/global-warming-pause-could-last-for-30-years/
Government’s green deal ad ruled ‘misleading’
Decc adverts implied energy savings were guaranteed and did not back up claim scheme boosted property prices, says ASA
By Staff Writers, Press Association, Guardian, UK, Aug 27, 2014 [H/t GWPF]
http://www.theguardian.com/media/2014/aug/27/government-green-deal-ad-decc-asa
Sunlight, not microbes, key to CO2 in Arctic
By Staff Writers, Corvallis OR (SPX), Aug 25, 2014
http://www.terradaily.com/reports/Sunlight_not_microbes_key_to_CO2_in_Arctic_999.html
[SEPP Comment: Contrary to the article, other studies indicate that the thawing of the permafrost results in a blossoming of plant life absorbing the CO2.]
UEA [University of East Angila] Add Dengue Fever To The List
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, Aug 28, 2014
http://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2014/08/28/uea-add-dengue-fever-to-the-list/
Communicating Better to the Public – Make things up.
Green Journalism; Mainstream Media Creating Climate Stories
By Tim Ball, WUWT, Aug 28, 2014
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/08/28/green-journalism-mainstream-media-creating-climate-stories/
Who’s going to be sacked for making-up global warming at Rutherglen?
By Jennifer Marohasy, Her Blog, Aug 27, 2014 [H/t WUWT]
Big adjustments? BOM says Rutherglen site shifted, former workers there say “No”
By Jo Nova, Her Blog, Aug 27, 2014
BOM finally explains! Cooling changed to warming trends because stations “might” have moved!
By Jo Nova, Her Blog, Aug 26, 2014
Dixon’s cunning plan
By Andrew Montford, Bishop Hill, Aug 23, 2014
http://bishophill.squarespace.com/blog/2014/8/23/dixons-cunning-plan.html
We learned, for example, that Lord Stern had said that the shale gas industry was founded on “baseless economics”. Now while lesser mortals might have thought that this would mean that the industry was doomed to failure, we also learned that it was going to poison us all, with reports of cancer causing chemicals and endocrine disrupters from fracking.
NASA – Erasing The Arctic Past
By Steve Goddard, Real Science, Aug 21, 2014 [H/t Climate Depot]
http://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2014/08/21/nasa-erasing-the-arctic-past/
More on Cook’s 97%
By Andrew Montford, Bishop Hill, Aug 29, 2014
http://bishophill.squarespace.com/blog/2014/8/29/more-on-cooks-97.html
[SEPP Comment: Some of papers strangely listed as supporting the 97% consensus – including “Initial public perceptions of deep geological and oceanic disposal of carbon dioxide.”]
Senior Meteorologist Demolishes, Mocks Alfred Wegener Institute Claims Of “Unprecedented Antarctica Ice Loss”
Antarctic Melt Alarm by the AWI …at -93°C! [minus 93 °C]
By EIKE meteorologist Klaus-Eckart Puls, Trans, edited by P. Gosselin, No Tricks Zone, Aug 27, 2014
[SEPP Comment: The Institute claimed “…to prove that the ice sheets of both regions [Arctic and Antarctic] are momentarily declining at an unprecedented rate.”
Communicating Better to the Public – Use Propaganda on Children
Green Weenies for Third Graders
By Steven Hayward, Power Line, Aug 26, 2014
http://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2014/08/green-weenies-for-third-graders.php
Questioning European Green
Fritz Vahrenholt: How The Green Energy Transition Is Destroying Germany’s Nature
By Fritz Vahrenholt, Die Welt, Translated by Philipp Mueller, GWPF, Aug w8, 2014
http://www.thegwpf.org/fritz-vahrenholt-how-the-green-energy-transition-is-destroying-german-nature/
Environmentalism and the Fear of Disorder
Greens engage in rituals to allay their anxieties.
By Ronald Bailey, Reason, Aug 22, 2014
http://reason.com/archives/2014/08/22/environmentalism-and-the-fear-of-disorde
Germany needs coal to balance dependency on Russian gas –watchdog
By Christoph Steitz, Reuters, Aug 27, 2014 [H/t GWPF]
http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/08/27/germany-energy-regulator-idUSL5N0QX0QT20140827
Questioning Green Elsewhere
Climate Change and Renewable Energy Target Scheme [AU]
By Des Moore, Institute of Private Enterprise, Aug 30, 2014
http://theclimatescepticsparty.blogspot.com.au/2014/08/climate-change-and-renewable-energy.html
Funding Issues
Liebreich: Climate Change Talks – The Rocky Road to Paris
By Michael Liebreich, Bloomberg New Energy Finance, Aug 26, 2014
http://about.bnef.com/blog/liebreich-climate-change-talks-rocky-road-paris/
In summary, the science, technology, economics, and finance all point to a deal being more likely in Paris in 2015 than in Copenhagen in 2009. The politics, however, remains hard to call: in much of the world it has improved, in a few countries it has worsened considerably.
[SEPP Comment: The science is imploding, but the financiers have hope of making big profits.]
The Political Games Continue
Climate plan spooks Dems
By Timothy Cama and Scott Wong, The Hill, Aug 27, 2014
http://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/216084-climate-plan-spooks-dems
[SEPP Comment: Are they saying, great plan Mr President, but we cannot publically embrace it?
Litigation Issues
Climate Change and Existing Law: A Survey of Legal Issues Past, Present, and Future
By Robert Meltz, Congressional Research Service, Aug 20, 2014 [H/t Timothy Wise]
http://fpc.state.gov/documents/organization/231269.pdf
[SEPP Comment: A multitude of issues arising from the unfortunate Supreme Court decision that greenhouse gases, namely carbon dioxide, can be regulated under the Clean Air Act.]
States: EPA climate regs illegally left out data
By Timothy Cama, The Hill, Aug 26, 2014
http://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/215917-states-epa-climate-regs-illegally-left-out-data
Link to letter to Gina McCarthy, Aug 25, 2014
http://www.ago.wv.gov/pressroom/Documents/Section%20307%20Letter%20%28August%2025%2c%202014%29.pdf
IRS Admits That Lois Lerner Emails Were Never Lost
Editorial, IBD, Aug 27, 2014
Missing IRS Emails Exist After All, DOJ Says
By John Hinderaker, Power Line, Aug 25, 2014
http://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2014/08/missing-irs-emails-exist-after-all-doj-says.php
Why did the government wait until now to disclose doomsday email backup?
Editorial, Washington Examiner, Aug 26, 2014
Subsidies and Mandates Forever
Obama’s Green Unicorn
The true cost of renewable energy is being masked by government subsidies and bailouts.
By Peter Roff, US News, Aug 25, 2014 [H/t GWPF]
Real 20 per cent Renewable Energy Target would decimate industry
By Staff Writers, Canberra, Australia (SPX), Aug 22, 2014
[SEPP Comment: Has unreliable, renewable become too big to fail? Cutting subsidies and mandates will turn green energy into red. Who is preventing the construction of these facilities?]
EPA and other Regulators on the March
EPA Air Quality Trends 1980 to 2012
By Staff Writers, EPA, Apr 21, 2014
http://www.epa.gov/airtrends/aqtrends.html
1970 to 2012
http://www.epa.gov/airtrends/images/y70_12_lineStyles.png
EPA staff backs new ozone restrictions
By Timothy Cama, The Hill, Aug 29, 2014
http://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/216269-epa-staff-backs-new-ozone-restrictions
[SEPP Comment: Surprise! Surprise!]
GOP chairman: EPA maps out power grab
By Benjamin Goad, The Hill, Aug 27, 2014
Link to USGS map: Streams and Waterbodies in the United States
http://science.edgeboss.net/sst2014/documents/epa/national2013.pdf
EPA blasts ‘myths’ on water jurisdiction rule
By Timothy Cama, The Hill, Aug 28, 2014
http://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/216202-epa-blasts-myths-on-water-jurisdiction-rule
[SEPP Comment: See link immediately above.]
EPA appeals to minorities for climate rule
By Timothy Cama, The Hill, Aug 27, 2014
http://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/216099-epa-appeals-to-minorities-for-climate-rule
EPA: Ignore our previous statements on Ocean Acidification
Hoisted with their own petard fighting a lawsuit
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Aug 25, 2014
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/08/25/epa-ignore-our-previous-statements-on-ocean-acidification/
Feds act to protect coral species
By Timothy Cama, The Hill, Aug 27, 2014
http://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/216110-feds-act-to-protect-coral-species
Link to rule: NOAA Lists 20 New Corals as Threatened Under the Endangered Species Act.
By Staff Writers, NOAA Fisheries, Aug 27, 2014
http://www.fisheries.noaa.gov/stories/2014/08/corals_listing.html
[SEPP Comment: The NOAA report states: “The amount of scientific information sought, obtained, and analyzed was unprecedented.” Unprecedented does not mean it was accurate or significant for the task.]
Why EPA Rules Often Cost More Than They Are Worth
By Tim Phillips, IBD, Aug 25, 2014
EU to change climate with hair dryers, kettles, lawn mowers
By Jo Nova, Her Blog, Aug 29, 2014
http://joannenova.com.au/2014/08/eu-to-change-climate-with-hair-dryers-kettles-lawn-mowers/
No wrongdoing in ‘social cost of carbon’ development, says federal watchdog
By Zack Colman, Washington Examiner, Aug 25, 2014
[SEPP Comment: Did they include the social benefits of carbon? Of course not.]
Vanishing bird ignites debate over endangered species rules
By Timothy Cama, The Hill, Aug 23, 2014
Energy Issues – Non-US
What is energy?
By Andrew Montford, Bishop Hill, Aug 26, 2014
http://bishophill.squarespace.com/blog/2014/8/26/what-is-energy.html
Energy agency predicts $1.6T in renewable investments through 2020
By Timothy Cama, The Hill, Aug 28, 2014
Link to report: Policy uncertainty threatens to slow renewable energy momentum
By Staff Writers, IEA, Aug 28, 2014
http://www.iea.org/newsroomandevents/pressreleases/2014/august/name-125080-en.html
India may face blackouts as coal shortage cuts power output
By Staff Writers, Reuters, Aug 28, 2014
Bihar village clamours for real electricity
By Giridhar Jha, India Today, Aug 6, 2014 [H/t GWPF]
[SEPP Comment: The villagers realize that electricity from solar power is substandard.]
Energy Issues — US
How fracking insulates USA: Our view
It eases security threats emanating from both the Middle East and Vladimir Putin.
Editorial, USA Today, Aug 26, 2014
Our Navy Should Go Nuclear, Not Green
By Donn Dears, Power For USA, Aug 29, 2014
http://dddusmma.wordpress.com/2014/08/29/our-navy-should-go-nuclear-not-green/
Growing Role of Gas Turbines in Power Generation
By Donn Dears, Power For USA, Aug 26, 2014
http://dddusmma.wordpress.com/2014/08/26/growing-role-of-gas-turbines-in-power-generation/
Winter blackouts could hit Midwest, Mid-Atlantic, regional grid operator warns
By Zach Colman, Washington Examiner, Aug 27, 2014 [H/t ICECAP]
Washington’s Control of Energy
In Obama Power Grab, Climate Trumps Constitution
Editorial, IBD, Aug 29, 0214
Obama pushes green standards for everything but the kitchen sink
By Tim Davaney, The Hill, Aug 29, 2014
The push for tougher efficiency standards was initially ushered in with the 2009 stimulus bill, which included $16.8 billion for the Energy Department to promote efficiency.
White House reviews federal-land fracking rules
By Timothy Cama, The Hill, Aug 29, 2014
http://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/216249-white-house-reviews-federal-land-fracking-rules
[SEPP Comment: It has been over 5 years. If it was decided by Washington, there would be no shale revolution and US dependence on foreign oil would be increasing, not decreasing.]
Oil and Natural Gas – the Future or the Past?
Fracking Boom Continues To Drive Gas[oline] Prices Downward
By Michael Bastasch, Washington Times, Aug 26, 2014
http://dailycaller.com/2014/08/26/fracking-boom-continues-to-drive-gas-prices-downward/
Hundreds of methane plumes erupting along East Coast
By Becky Oskin, Live Science, Aug 25, 2014 [H/t Clyde Spencer]
http://news.msn.com/science-technology/hundreds-of-methane-plumes-erupting-along-east-coast
Methane Is Discovered Seeping From Seafloor Off East coast, Scientists Say
By Henry Fountain, NYT, Aug 24, 2014 [H/t Clyde Spencer]
Link to paper: Widespread methane leakage from the sea floor on the northern US Atlantic margin
By A. Skarke, Nature Geoscience, Aug 24, 2014
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2232.html
Return of King Coal?
Coal-fired power plant installations rise in China
By Staff Writers, World Coal, Aug 22, 2014
[SEPP Comment: The article’s author assumes that the central government’s policy to reduce pollution also includes reducing CO2 – a big assumption.]
Is Coal winning the energy battle?
By Mike Jonas, WUWT, Aug 27, 2014
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/08/27/is-coal-winning-the-energy-battle/
Under assault from Big Green, coal is fighting back
By Ron Arnold, Washington Examiner, Aug 26, 2014
Nuclear Energy and Fears
What was deadly at Fukushima?
By Malcolm Grimston, WNN, Aug 26, 2014
http://www.world-nuclear-news.org/E-What-was-deadly-at-Fukushima-2608141.html
A Universally Acceptable and Economical Energy Source?
Transatomic Power’s Molten Salt Nuclear Reactor
By Kent Beuchert, WUWT, Aug 27, 2014
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/08/27/a-universally-acceptable-and-economical-energy-source/
[SEPP Comment: Another type of nuclear power plant? Is it universally accepted?]
The Energy to Fight Injustice
By James Hansen, Chemistry World, Jul 23, 2014 [H/T Master Resource]
http://www.rsc.org/chemistryworld/2014/07/energy-fight-injustice-james-hansen
Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Solar and Wind
Bearings: The Achilles Heel of Wind Turbines
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Aug 26, 2014
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/08/26/bearings-the-achilles-heel-of-wind-turbines/
[SEPP Comment: Do doubt salt spray on offshore turbines will do marvels for the bearings!]
Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Energy — Other
The Economics of Biofuels
By Staff Writers, SPPI, Aug 27, 2014
http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/originals/the_economics_of_biofuels.html
Carbon Schemes
Global warming pioneer calls for CO2 to be taken from atmosphere and stored underground
By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Aug 28, 2014
California Dreaming
Analysis finds California ‘solar’ plant reduces CO2 emissions at cost of $1,800 per ton
By Staff Writer, The Hockey Schtick, Aug 29, 2014
http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.com/2014/08/analysis-finds-california-solar-plant.html
[SEPP Comment: The study is in German, cannot vouch for its rigor.]
California drivers brace for costly new gas tax
By William La Jeunesse and Laura Prabucki, Fox News, Aug 27, 2014 [H/t WUWT]
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2014/08/27/california-hidden-gas-tax/
[SEPP Comment: A Global Warming Solutions Act tax.]
Oh Mann!
The “Discovery” of the EPA Inquiry
By Steve McIntyre, Climate Audit, Aug 24, 2014
http://climateaudit.org/2014/08/24/the-discovery-of-the-epa-inquiry/#more-19503
Environmental Industry
“WORLD WAR III Has Broken Out” Shrill German Climate Conference Declares…Enemy Man “Against Nature”
By P Gosselin, No Tricks Zone, Aug 29, 2014
Other Scientific News
Younger Dryas climate event solved via nanodiamonds – it was a planetary impact event
By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Aug 29, 2014
Link to press release: Nanodiamonds Are Forever
A UCSB professor’s research examines 13,000-year-old nanodiamonds from multiple locations across three continents
By Julie Cohen, UCSB, Aug 28, 2014
http://www.news.ucsb.edu/2014/014368/nanodiamonds-are-forever
[SEPP Comment: Remains to be evaluated.]
The Price Tag of Scientific Fraud
Each paper retracted because of research misconduct costs taxpayers roughly $400,000, according to a report.
By Kerry Grens, The Scientist, Aug 15, 2014 [H/t Catherine French]
http://www.the-scientist.com/?articles.view/articleNo/40783/title/The-Price-Tag-of-Scientific-Fraud/
[SEPP Comment: If the misconduct results in expensive government policy decisions, then the costs may be far greater than estimated.]
BBC R4: “Everything we know is wrong”
By Andrew Montford, Bishop Hill, Aug 28, 2014
http://bishophill.squarespace.com/blog/2014/8/28/bbc-r4-everything-we-know-is-wrong.html
Can a Scientist’s Writing Style Reveal Fraud?
By Rosa Pomeroy, Real Clear Science, Aug 28, 2014
Composition of Earth’s mantle revisited
By Staff Writers, Argonne IL (SPX), Aug 27, 2014
Other News that May Be of Interest
A way Texas can grow while being green
By William McKenzie, Dallas News, Aug 24, 2014
http://www.dallasnews.com/opinion/latest-columns/20140824-a-way-texas-can-grow-while-being-green.ece
[SEPP Comment: No mention of costs. According to reports from Israel, desalination uses lots of energy.]
Genetic engineering may lead to a cure for Ebola and other life-threatening diseases
By Staff Writers, ACSH, Aug 26, 2014
http://acsh.org/2014/08/genetic-engineering-may-lead-cure-ebola-life-threatening-diseases/
Washington State’s Elwha River now dam-less, runs free
By Brooks Hays, Olympic National Park, Wash. (UPI) Aug 27, 2014
http://www.terradaily.com/reports/Washington_States_Elwha_River_now_dam-less_runs_free_999.html
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BELOW THE BOTTOM LINE:
Man to live on melting iceberg for one year to urge climate change action
By Jo Nova, Her Blog, Aug 24, 2014
Claim: Climate change puts endangered Devils Hole pupfish at risk of extinction
By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Aug 28, 2014
Hey U.N. – show us your tipping points!
By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Aug 27, 2014
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/08/27/hey-u-n-show-us-your-tipping-points/
Hilarious! Sierra Club & 350.org ditch polar bears as climate mascot, try ‘cat videos’ for climate change instead
By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Aug 25, 2014
[SEPP Comment: Maybe the polar bears could not stand the heat of the adoring fans.]
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I’m not sure how much more of this CAGW nonsense I can take.
A.Watts. I am afraid because of the paucity of comments (revenue generating) that you may drop publishing WCENR.. Please don’t. I would comment more frequently except by the time I finishing reading it and the various extensions I am exhausted. I would hasten to point out that I DO NOT think you compromise the truth for revenue.
Given there is no current evidence of runaway global warming from any cause why would Revkin make s**t up like that? Given too that the entire IPCC case is based on flawed models why would anyone be surprised at the result (which, oddly, enrich those who create and exploit the models).
I think the IPCC has done all they know how to do and are now just re-arranging the chairs on what they perceive as the Titanic of modern global catastrophes. Cut them off until the models reflect reality.
“Excuse me mister, what causes tooth decay?”
“That’s the demon molecule carbon dioxide son, try taking out of the side of your mouth.”
All pretty good stuff, but I question “According to studies, modern civilizations such as Germany and the US, require an EROI of about 7. Needless to say, wind and PV solar do not make the grade.“. Clarification : I’m not questioning the “According to studies“, I’m questioning their finding and the next bit. To my mind, EROI is irrelevant. What matters is total net usable energy.
“is the IPCC trying to influence the US election on November 4?”
(y)
Their Boy Obama!
One narrow route of the Northwest Passage opened on Aug 27 thanks to an east wind blowing thick pack ice west in the “Follow the purple line.” 4-7 boats waiting for these conditions scooted west out of Fort Ross through the narrow (2 km by 25 km) Ballot Strait. These will probably complete the passage this year.
On Aug 31, there is a 10 mile blockage of 70% ice between Ballot and Goya Haven at about 70.1 deg N 96.5 W. This choke point traditionally freezes up by Sept 15. (Map)
Weather not climate.
It’s inconvenient for the alarmists but there’s no need to pin too much on the vagaries of the wind.
Thanks, very informative.
I recommend:
Do not smooth times series, you hockey puck!
By Matt Briggs, His Blog, Sep 6, 2008
http://wmbriggs.com/blog/?p=195
It’s peak hurricane season, where are they??:
http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/eastern-pacific/2014/Invest-93E?map=model
31 Aug: UK Register: Richard Chirgwin: Today’s weather is brought to you by BigCorp.com
Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology allowed to sling ads, but not politics
The most popular site on the dot-gov-au domain, the Bureau of Meteorology, has been okayed to start taking advertising – with some restrictions.
Australia’s Senate has passed legislation formalising the decision, so long as the bureau doesn’t take political advertisements, nor ads for gambling, alcohol, or – ahem – adult services.
Last year, the Bureau was okayed to spend money preparing its Website for advertising. That was followed by a trial that commenced in March 2013 to test the strategy.
(The Register would note that the trial seems to have been awfully quiet: as a regular, nay obsessive, user of the site, this author never noticed ads on the site.)…
http://www.theregister.co.uk/2014/08/31/bureau_of_met_okayed_to_take_ads/
Oops, here’s the link:
http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/
I missed the connection between Lois Lerner, the IRS and climate change. Can somebody explain?