Certified Consulting Meteorologist Mike Smith of WeatherData Inc. in Wichita, KS, a world renowned expert on severe weather, talks about the issues of trying to connect weather and climate and where these issues fail.
Certified Consulting Meteorologist Mike Smith of WeatherData Inc. in Wichita, KS, a world renowned expert on severe weather, talks about the issues of trying to connect weather and climate and where these issues fail.
Excellant presentation and exchange! Thanks, Mike and Anthony.
I lived in outer Kansas for 8 years. Mike is still the best!
Will all these videos be made available as links on a reference page so that anyone can find them easily?
REPLY: Yes when we get them all completed -A
A wonderful presentation, Thank you.
I really enjoyed that broadcast. Two extremely eloquent, informed and generous guys. I actually felt like I was learning something from a clearly explained and easy-to-follow discussion. I just wish Anthony and his knowledgeable friends had a regular web TV show. Well done to all involved.
MIKE
The CLIMATE4YOU web page has some great material on global temperatures and associated history . These quotes can be found in the SUN section and the Solar Irradiance Reconstructed graph. Just click the green bars for associated temperature history for various levels of Irradiance. The 23 AND 30 snowstorms per winter during a period when there was no major global warming, dwarf the 6-12 snowstorms that we call extreme to- day . These winters were extreme, not the numbers being called extreme today. I quote fro their web page:
http://www.climate4you.com/
1740-1741 winter
Not only was the winter 1740-1741 characterised by very low temperatures, but also by huge amounts of snow. People in the region saw this winter as the most severe since the European settlement began. There was 23 snow storms in all, most of them being strong. On 3 February about a foot of snow fell, and about one week later there were two more storms, filling the roads in Newbury, Massachusetts, up to the top of fences. Snow depths of about 3 metres were reported from some places.
The snow remained on the ground into April and May 1741
1747-1748: A memorable winter in Massachusetts
In 1891 Sidney Perley (Perley 2001) writes: “The old people of to-day think that we do not have as severe winters as they had when they were in their youth, and they certainly have good reasons for such considerations. The winter of 1747-48 was one of the memorable winters that used to be talked about by our grandfathers when the snow whirled above deep drifts around their half-buried houses. There were about thirty snow storms, and they came storm after storm until the snow lay four feet deep on the level, making travelling exceedingly difficult. On the twenty-second of February, snow in the woods measured four and one-half feet; and on the twenty-ninth there was no getting about except on snow shoes”.
At the very end, Mike had three points:
1. You can be an environmentalist and conservationist and not believe in CAGW
2. We must built a more resiliant and sustainable society regardless of Global Warming, Global Cooling, ( or sunami, earthquake, blizzard, pick your disaster).
3. Heed Storm warnings. Pick safety of your family over inconvenience.
I’m in agreement with all to various degrees.
1. You it is not necessary to buy in to the C, the A, the G, nor the W, to strongly believe in energy efficiency at rational cost and to eschew waste.
2. We cannot evacuate cities. We must HARDEN them. We must harden the infrastructure. We must HARDEN the will and skill of the PEOPLE who live in them.
3. Heed Storm warnings — but don’t panic and don’t over heed them.
This last point needs some elaboration. I live in Houston. Katrina hit New Orleans in 2005. Less than one month later, Rita, was targeting Houston. The costal communites needed to evacuate and the state set up evacuation routes well. Then Mayor Bill White overdid it: “Don’t wait; the time for waiting is over,” That brought the freeway system to a stand-still. Mayor White recanted within hours, but the damage was done; a million people were away from their homes, out of gas, facing the storm in their cars. People who really needed to evacuate faced choked highways far too close to the coastline and tight gas availability.
Three years later, IKE bigger than Katrina, came barreling through the Galvaston coastline, wiping out the Bolivar peninsula. Evacuations were much more orderly. Most people who didn’t need to evacuate stayed home, thus leaving the road clearer for those who needed to bug out. That made life and recovery better for everyone. They say good judgment comes from experience, and experience comes from bad judgment.