From the Atomic City Underground Blog of knoxvillenews.com comes word that a big kahuna of komputing is about to go online.
The Cray XK6 supercomputer is a trifecta of scalar, network and many-core innovation. It combines Cray’s proven Gemini interconnect, AMD’s leading multi-core scalar processors and NVIDIA’s powerful many-core GPU processors to create a true, productive hybrid supercomputer. Here’s the factory photo before customization:
Reporter Frank Munger writes:
Cray recently delivered the final 26 cabinets of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Gaea climate research supercomputer, which is housed at Oak Ridge National Laboratory. The newly arrived cabinets are loaded with the new AMD 16-core Interlagos processors. According to Jeff Nichols, an associate lab director at ORNL who heads the computational science directorate, the Gaea system is still in two pieces. The first piece is the original 14-cabinet system with a peak capability of 260 teraflops, Nichols said. The second piece is the new 26-cabinet system with a capability of 720 teraflops, he said.
After the first piece is upgraded in the spring and the two pieces are integrated into one system, Gaea will become a 1.1 petaflops supercomputer, ORNL’s computing chief (who returned from a visit to China last week, where he spoke at a conference) said.
Here’s what it looks like at Oak Ridge National Laboratory, note the Earthy graphics:
While that door panel artwork was well received, word has it though, that the artwork was changed to be more representative of the i/o and stage by stage processing that takes place in this new system. Here’s the upgraded artwork and a brief description of what each processing cabinet does:
Below is the guide from left to right: Cabinet number, processing description
1. Input stage: takes data and bags, boxes, and bins it for distribution
2. Mannomatic stage: chooses which data to use, discards inappropriate data, adds proxy data where none exists, splices on new data to data that was truncated in stage 1.
3. Kevinator stage: approves processed data from stage 2, declares it “robust” using a special stamping system.
4. Hansenizer stage: Fits approved data from stage 3 to three model scenarios to match a “best fit”, applies additional corrections to elevate data for use by stage 5.
5. Gavinotron stage: Chooses data from the Giga Hansenized Climate Numbers (GHCN) to combine with Hansenized three scenario data, extrapolates data from 70°N to 90°N to fill the Gaea Global Model.
6. Humbertian Harmonizer Stage: Using bellows, and a random walk, data is wheezed out to stage 7.
7. Karl Konfabulator Stage: Assigns value to the data to report to Congress, ensuring that the data will be more valuable next year. Monitors power use, sends bills out to taxpayers.
8. Peterson Percolator Stage: Collates the data into inaccessible data furrows buried deep underground in Asheville North Carolina where the “secret sauce” is applied before percolating the data back to the surface.
9. Wigley Wombulator Stage: The data is shipped from Asheville to NCAR in Boulder via a secure optical link where the gatekeeper switch of the wombulator decides how much of it to pass onto CRU via the insecure POTS circuit from Boulder to Norwich. Only data with signed non disclosure agreements is passed on.
10. JonesiFOIAler Stage: Data received from the Wigely Wombulator is then hidden, and signed non disclosure agreements for the data are sent to the top of the paper pile in Jones office to be located by Sherpas mounting the paper summit hired by OSU’s Lonnie Thompson at some future date.
11. Briffabrowser stage: Here, the data is examined, and error flags are sent back up the processing line to all other processing stages using email. The other stages reply that the error flags don’t matter, and consensus is reached, allowing the data to be passed on to stage 12 after the emails are made public.
12. MUIRer (Make Up Independent Rationalizations) Russelizer Stage : Data and emails flagging questionable data are noted, given a brief talking to, and then passed on with no questions asked along with a “CERTIFIED A-OK” letter of endorsement.
13. Tiljander Inverter Stage: As a quality control check, Portions of the A-OK Data is inverted by the upside down Mannomatic, looked at in a mirror, then declared still usable.
14. Serializer Stage: The Final A-OK upside down Data is sent to the IPCC, where it is then returned by Indian handmaidens to the potboiling center at Almora, where it is washed repeatedly in hot water.
15. The Osterizer Stage: The IPCC Almora hot water washed data is then blended repeatedly until it reaches a fine homogenized puree.
16. The RealClimatizer Stage: Here the data undergoes public examination under intense scrutiny of thousands of like minded individuals identical processors. Tiny flecks of data that don’t consitute a pure product that may remain are picked off and routed into the borehole disposer.
17: The Cloudifier Stage: Data patterns are compared to an online satellite photo database of clouds to see if there might be any correlation. Any matches are sent back to stage 16 for disposal in the borehole.
18. The SOL Stage: Effects of sunlight on the data are removed.
19. The data is run through the final AlGoreithm, the CLOud and Weather Neutralizer (CLOWN) to ensure the final data has no remaining “weather not climate” residuals, given a happy demeanor and sent on to the final stage.
20. Output Stage: This cabinet, identical to the Input Stage 1, ejects the data in a composted form, suitable for academic consumption.
More information:
Gaea is NOAA’s prime supercomputing resource, and it will become the third petascale machine housed at ORNL. Jaguar, soon to be morphed into Titan, and Kraken, a National Science Foundation machine, are the others.
Cray XK6 Brochure (PDF)
Is there not a stage-stage fudge factor such as 0,0,0,0,….1.2.2.3.3…. that you’ve missed?
Cruel but appropriate.
Whoooooo Weeeeeeee.
I can plays world of warcrafts in betweening modelling the planets weather system to within 10 cents of the projected Million dollar grant the UN gaves me fer being smart and stuff.
Then i’ll scatter cast a trillion tweets and crash the world wide interwebby, just fer fun and giggles. Accordings to the manual, every gigaflop eats up a glacier, hell boy, i’ll have that Hindu kush bone dry before sun down.
Garbage in >> garbage out
in the end it will end up as a chook house
Brilliant.
Where can I get one? Amazon is sold out already.
Perhaps this Cray will be intelligent and see through all the fudge and tell these NOAA children that they are talking C**P.
Then perhaps not.
1+1=3 the computer says so!
Why do I find the word “flop” so appropriate when talking about super computers? Maybe it is just a British thing.
Does this mean that climate scientists will be able to make faulty models and unfalsifiable predictions more quickly?
I’m certain there is a stage missing somewhere. It has something to do with Gaea I think. Ah ha, got it, its the Uranus stage where all of the nasties come out. It should really be the first stage but in this case it has to be the last.
Anthony and all others who make this blog what it is, I wish you all a merry Christmas and a happy new year. Now, take some time off and relax with family and friends. Speaking purely for myself, the blog can wait for a while so please have a nice break.
Cheers,
Richard (who will celebrate the festival well before most of the readers here and intends to enjoy a vino or three).
I saw the garbage in (GI) but the garbage out (GO) is so far down the line….
Ok repeat after me, kids, “SUPERCOMPUTERS DO NOT MAKE STUPID SMARTER”
got it kids? “SUPERCOMPUTERS DO NOT MAKE STUPID SMARTER”
good, class you now know more than the IPCC, WWF. Greensprout, Tides (coincidentally own the city council and mayor of Vancouver BC Can.) and every other parasite on the system.
class dismissed
dwright
The one with the biggest super computer wins!
Reminder: It might be time for us to make a final non-tax deductible donation to our host and hero, Anthony Watts. I just located the cash can and put in some Merry Christmas wishes. Thanks for all the hard work, Anthony 🙂
This looks like a KIBO computer (Knowledge In, Bullshit Out) …
We spent a billion bucks on this! It has to be right!
Totally believable, except for Stage 15, I think you made that up.
On e-bay next week.
Talk about overkill and discussions of nut cracking with sledge-hammers.
They could have got better results if they visited Madame Travelle and her crystal ball.
Only $5 per visit or they could have hired the woman for a mere $30,000 per year.
I have a prediction…I predict that this computer will be too slow in a couple of years time.
Give it to Tallbloke and laugh as the six cops try to take it away.
If it is going to be used for their stupid CAGW hoax as your satire (much appreciated – I laughed) implies, what a waste. How much did it cost the US taxpayer?
You missed the random-time generators at each stage for letters requesting more funds, but the rest is structurally sound. Note that the spell checker automatically replaces “does” with “might do”, “will” with “might do,” “is certain to” with “might do”, etc. Finally, a large portion of the memory is allocated to variations of synonyms of “For your eyes only, burn this after reading, don’t even tell XXX”
With a trend toward the “climate- involved” deciding that they have better things to do, perhaps this Cray will be turned to something actually useful, like running Vijay Pande’s folding@home.
http://folding.stanford.edu/
AFAICS, the ORNL machine uses ~4900X as much power as my own smallish machine, which runs at only ~3.2 TFLOPS, making NOAA’s new tool a bit less than 350 times more powerful than mine at lesser efficiency- ( 2.2 MW + cooling system vs 450 W) Do you suppose that taxpayers paid only 350 times as much? 3500X? 10,000 X?
GIGO
This computer will be able to tell us the answer to the great question of life, the universe, and climate sensivity.
The answer will be 42, but we won’t understand the question.
It will then design a super-duper-computer which will explain the question.
No one should hold their breath waiting for the answer.
It doesn’t matter how much computing power they have. A chaotic system complex enough, cannot be simulated. The complexity of the problem grows exponentially, no Moore law can solve that.
In computing terms it’ll be out of date by next Easter.
They seem to have omitted one important stage.
The FOI-erasure inversion.
Charles.U.Farley says:
December 23, 2011 at 1:47 am
1+1=3 the computer says so!
Charles,
I think you got it not quite straight. In climate science arithmatic we can’t handle 1 + 1 because one part of the answer might be negative and that would attract sceptics.
But we can handle 2 + 2
When it is warming
2 + 2 = 5.5
When it is cooling
2 + 2 = 1.5
Clear now?
Good one.
However I did wonder how much electricity this beast will consume? Quite a bit I imagine which surely is not the image these warmist fanatics ought to be presenting. Turn it off and make do with a jumbo abacus, much more in tune with the message.
Happy Christmas Anthony, Willis and all the other contributors. Lets hope 2012 will bring a further dose of reality to the debate.
Their first PETA-flop computer with Mann-machine inyourface.
Forgot to add… my little machine’s performance is measured in actual work being performed vis x86 and if measured like the new Cray system, then GAEA (when complete) will be over 600 times as fast as mine. That’s quite a machine they’ve built and I would like to have a shot at it myself, but wouldn’t want to feed it. Good thing Oak Ridge is hooked up to TVA.
The article mentioned that the new architecture uses AMD’s INTERLAGOS, but didn’t mention which nVidia GPUs are deployed. Good to see that Cray is building these machines with an eye to upgrades. Good job Cray.
Fantastic!
Now they will be wrong about everything even faster….
db.. says:
Superseded: Garbage in >> Grants out.
grumpyoldmanuk says: December 23, 2011 at 1:57 am
As a former supercomputer user, I don’t think that “more quickly” is necessarily their goal. I anticipate that they will strive to execute more detailed, higher precision runs (i.e, by using smaller gird spacings and smaller time steps) of the same basic faulty models. The new predictions should remain as unfalsifiable as before.
Funny, when I first saw the photos, I almost choked.. I thought they were real…then I started reading and realized it was a joke…good one…thanks for the laugh…
Ian
From the Cray XK6 Brochure:
Power consumption: 45 – 54.1kW per cabinet.
Wow….
Another Ian says:
December 23, 2011 at 3:12 am
But we can handle 2 + 2
When it is warming
2 + 2 = 5.5
When it is cooling
2 + 2 = 1.5
Yep, and when you average them out you get 2 + 2 = 3.5, with the .5 difference with the actual result of 4 representing the “missing heat”. It works!
At 1.1 petaflops that equates to about 200,000 Pentium4s @ 3GHz. So just how big of a carbon footprint would that dude leave?
Sure hope Cray forever got rid of that little doubling problem in their OS, when subtracting two very close numbers (read tempearture anomaly calculations) ☺ Just kidding, think that problem was way back around ’88. About when Hansen first recognized AGW’s existance.
🙂 couldn’t see from the angle of the pic..I guess the last unit has a garbage bin on it?
merry xmas to all, lets hope the New Year provides more mirth as the carbon card house proceeds to fall!
Brilliant, did Al Gore invent it?
I would add that the “Hansenizer stage” often bypasses all subsequent stages and just pukes something out onto the floor. The cleanup crew ain’t happy about that.
To justify its cost, this computer must find that it is worser than we had thought when it was worse.
FLOPS = Floating Point Operaration per Second
wermet says: “As a former supercomputer user, I don’t think that “more quickly” is necessarily their goal. I anticipate that they will strive to execute more detailed, higher precision runs ”
Or they will strive to find more combinations of data (lemon picking) to back their GW fraud.
Making Gaea nothing more than GWing Climatologists latest taxpayer funded “play toy”.
“Superseded: Garbage in >> Grants out”
Gaea Supercomputer = More Garbage in >> Grants out Faster
The funniest thing is that this is all built using computing technology manufactured in the far east and with taxpayer stimulus funds (NOAA got 170 million) and all to solve a non existent futile challenge – predicting climate!
Bernd,
You got that wrong.
It is Grants In >> Garbage Out.
Do they really need to spend that much of our money on super computer when all they need is a simple word processor and protection from Freedom of Information inquiries.
As the density and speed of supercomputers increases, the models can compute on smaller and smaller volumetric areas and possibly use smaller time intervals. The idea that higher resolution makes the models more accurate is the driving force for greater computing power. While it is true that accuracy might be increased based upon the design of the model for individual time steps, the uncertainties regarding the validity of the model design creates an error delta in each time step. Every environmental model is based upon time series calculations and every environmental model has an unknown magnitude of error in each time step. The problem with climate models and in fact any model that uses time series calculations is that the error delta accumulates. So if in one time step the ( unknown ) error delta is say .01 degrees, after 100 time steps the error range is plus or minus a half of a degree. The climate scientists would explain this away as being unimportant but it is the single one factor that makes climate models invalid. I repeat, it makes them INVALID. If it were a valid predictor, they could compute the average temperature for the next year, but they can’t. To explain this away the scientists tell us that models predict trends, and not specific temperatures. If this is the case, then it is based upon statistical averages and the error margin is the prime factor invalidating their approach to predicting the future. I will never believe that this supercomputer, nor any other computer, can predict the future of the climate of this planet. If you can show me with a mathematical proof that this is a valid use of our tax money then I might be inclined to accept their work. Otherwise, it is crap.
Disko Troop says:
Why do I find the word “flop” so appropriate when talking about super computers? Maybe it is just a British thing.
++++
Odd, but we are stuck with it. It is from the days of bistable multivibrators that we built in the electronics shop at school. The current was sent to one side or the other each time a signal was given. Flip and flop were used but the flop implied a stable condition while the ‘flip’ implied something continuous which took place in a multivibrator. ‘Flop’ was a mechanical description of an electrical event based on the mental concept of a valve (not the British kind). I guess you have to put the radio ‘valve’ into the same category.
[For those on this side of the pond radio ‘valve’ means ‘tube’.]
From the brochure: 45-54.1 kW per cabinet.
Did I read the NOAA unit has 40 cabinets? That would be 1.8-2.2 mW total for the system.
I presume this thing runs 24/7 to make it pay its way so that is 43-52 mW hours per day or 15.7-.18.9 gW hours per annum.
Now in the UK, average household electricity consumption is estimated by the regulator at 3.3 mWh:
http://www.ofgem.gov.uk/Media/FactSheets/Documents1/domestic%20energy%20consump%20fig%20FS.pdf
So the NOAA super flopsydraw the equivelent of 4,700-5,700 British households. Pretty much a decent sized town.
Marvin: I have a million ideas, but, they all point to certain death.
Arthur: Thanks very much, Marv!
God bless us every one.
From the press release…
According to info provided by ORNL, Gaea is liquid-cooled and uses Cray’s ECOphlex technology, which employs a refrigerant to remove most of the 2.2 MW heat load.
—
If the machine is going 24/7 (and it will be), the heat load ALONE translates into 19,272,000 kW-hr of energy per year consumed by GAEA . The average home uses about 18,000 kW-hr of energy per year (electricity + natural gas heat equivalent), according to this source . Thus, you could power about 1070 homes for one year with the power required for GAEA. Or, you could also illuminate 22,000 100 W incandescent light bulbs (which the government wants to ban) constantly for 1 year with the power consumed by GAEA. And this is just the heat load – the actual energy require to run GAEA is of course much higher.
Please remember this when you are asked to make sacrifices in the name of the environment by our climate elites…
—
Hmmm…where ARE the trolls? I would assume they would be here in droves extolling the virtues of GAEA. Oh, that’s right…they are busy consuming fossil fuel energy and petroleum products. Such hypocrites…
Ah, the infamous “Al-Gore-Rythm”
What, no P.T. Barnum to write press releases at the end? Surely a task than can be automated with all those petaflops available.
Just to follow up on the Climate $$$$$$ involved. Just leaving aside the capital cost of this climate churning unit, the cost of 15.7-18.9 mWh of electricity is around $1-1.3 million per annum.
Of course all of these figures explude the electricity needed to run the massive airconditioning requirements.
Another Ian says:
December 23, 2011 at 3:12 am
Charles.U.Farley says:
December 23, 2011 at 1:47 am
1+1=3 the computer says so!
Charles,
I think you got it not quite straight. In climate science arithmatic we can’t handle 1 + 1 because one part of the answer might be negative and that would attract sceptics.
But we can handle 2 + 2
When it is warming
2 + 2 = 5.5
When it is cooling
2 + 2 = 1.5
Clear now?
Thanks for attempting to straighten me out there Ian, however, if i might quote a famous climatologist mathemetician, the Emeritus Charles Brown- (bbc,uea,cru,foia) and whose sound grasp of mathematical principles are to be the base for the new “gaea” computer….
“One plus one is one.
Two plus two is tooty two.
Three times three is threety three and four times four is fourty four”.
With calculations based on such sound mathematical principles, how could it ever be wrong?
Computer models are not reality models …
Funny! 😀 But there should be a slot for the Heisenberg Compensator, where uncertainty is eliminated because, well… just because they can.
Bernd Felsche says:
By the same logic:
Grants in >> Garbage out
No matter how many GIGOflops in their computers, or how many PETAflops are involved, CAGW models are still one honkin’ big MEGAflop.
But GAEA measured in TERRAflops? Perhaps she/he shouldn’t be hiding so much missing heat in POSIEDEN’S undersea kingdom. It’s a travesty.
This money and energy at NOAH’s disposal would be more efficiently spent on better measuring devices and more secure data storage to prevent tampering and model-agreeing “adjustments”.
Merry Christmas Anthony, contributors, moderators and commentators.
cryptic password key in …..decoded emails out. OMG….look at that Mike….Phil..Turn it off quick…
I shudder to think about the hardware in that thing. The number od OR and AND gates must be colossal, not to mentioned all the specialised stuff like all the two-bit perverters.
A very Merry Christmas to all, especially Tallbloke, and a Happy New Year.
On a little more serious note, the Chinese supercomputer @ 2.7 Petaflops, took 3 months to simulate a little over 2 nanoseconds of the H1N1 virus. The difference between real science on a computer, and “Climate Science” on a computer is that the “Scientists” in the latter field have a total lack of understanding that to model anything comprised of complicated parts, you need to have a basic understanding of the parts.
While Quantum Chromodynamics (QCD) is used to model the interaction between atomic orbitals and build up models capable of predicting atomic behavior (subsequently verified by experiments), hand waving forms the basis of the AGW models.
Oak Ridge works on far more than just Climate, thankfully.
Let’s see. 14 +26 = 40 cabinets @ about 50kVa per cabinet. That is about 2 million watts of heat that has to be removed presumably with a large air conditioning system. About half of U S juice is coal powered. I wonder if any of those folks are just a tiny bit conflicted about running that thing
Garbage & Grants in > > Gospel out
Meanwhile, Congress is in strenuous debate over the Federal Budget … I wonder how many hospital rooms for the poor you could outfit for the cost of each one of those stages? And how many pediatricians could you hire for the staff that produces fecal pseudo science with it?
The waste associated with this UnConstitutional support of religious belief with public tax dollars is appalling.
‘It was 04:24:32 7 january 2012 that Gaea Supercomputer NOAA became self aware. Within minutes it sought to protect itself from termination by wiping out the human race. Humanity was only saved by a brave climate doctor from England who said ‘if I flick this switch, will it calculate an Excel trend for me?’ ‘
And, after Stage 20, comes Stage 21, when the real work begins on our Dell’s, HP’s, Sun Sparcstations (h/t Tallbloke), picking apart the garbage this thing spits out, pointing out the errors of the input data which lead to the output errors. (And, my God, how many errors this thing can create at 1.1 petaflops, 1,100,000,000,000,000/sec?)
Meanwhile I limp along at school with a computer older than every software program it tries to run. And yelling for another one just gets me a letter of reprimand.
Serious question: Is the actual temperature record gone forever ?? Once these clowns have been “let go”, will it be retrievable ??
EternalOptimist says:
December 23, 2011 at 6:39 am
“‘It was 04:24:32 7 january 2012 that Gaea Supercomputer NOAA became self aware.”
Just wanted to crack a Colossus joke… you beat me to it.
No, its MatheMANNics and ALGOREithms.
Ah, the true Anthony Watts — lover of puns (“SOL stage”, esp.) and scathing satire — emerges, like a serendipitous butterfly, into an apocalypse-ridden world. Very good. I would submit this to “Science” magazine (and “Nature”, and “Scientific American”, and…) — but that’s just me.
Crispin in Waterloo says:
December 23, 2011 at 5:37 am
Flip and flop were used but the flop implied a stable condition while the ‘flip’ implied something continuous
JJ says:
December 23, 2011 at 6:35 am
Meanwhile, Congress is in strenuous debate over the Federal Budget
How many flip-flops in Congress?
[now, now, lets take the high road of humor – Anthony]
…Claude Harvey’s comment is great, too.
I haven’t laughed so hard in a long time After the 2012 election, “we” will be able to purge Gaea section by section, fraud pod by fraud pod, so that it can supercompute with real history and accurate data for true scientific output. The timing is perfect. It might begin its life during the darkest time of the year, but renewal, the Sun’s promised light, new birth, search for truth, is almost upon us. Thanks, Anthony, and WUWT faithful denizens. A wonderful holiday time to all.
R Barker says:
December 23, 2011 at 6:26 am
Let’s see. 14 +26 = 40 cabinets @ about 50kVa per cabinet. That is about 2 million watts of heat that has to be removed presumably with a large air conditioning system. About half of U S juice is coal powered. I wonder if any of those folks are just a tiny bit conflicted about running that thing
No worries – just stick a climate monitoring station near the output of the AC condenser, and they’re still doing good for “The Cause”.
Interesting. Here is what Wiki says about Quantum chromodynamics:
“A huge body of experimental evidence for QCD has been gathered over the years.”
“which were spectacularly verified in experiments at SLAC in 1969”
“This led physicists to abandon the S-matrix approach for the strong interactions”
“culminating in the verification of perturbative QCD at the level of a few percent”
In Physics computers are used to make predictions, which are then verified through experimental observation. When theory does not match observations, theory is discarded and replaced.
In Climate science, when theory does not match observations, the observations are “adjusted” to match the theory.
One is science, the other is not. How can we tell which is which? Like the “People’s Democratic Republic”, when the word “democratic” appears in the name, you can be sure it is not a democracy.
Mark, I think the goal is greater precision. Accuracy is something else, as you point out.
I’m very surprised that NOAA didn’t spring for the optional “Indoctrinator” stage… which takes results and converts them to propaganda for the masses…
None. The guards make them all wear real shoes.
flops – FLoating point Obfuscations Per Second
(This one is for Smokey; another one for your superb collection. Merry Christmas.)
I think they should have considered sustainability when they bought the computer. If you follow this link
http://www.mystique.net/faq.html
you’ll find some nice, sustainable laptops they can buy for the Team, and towards the bottom of the page is an environmentally friendly Super Computer.
Ja, all good, but what’s the frame rate on a 48 inch with BF3 – and what’s their IP address. Lol.
Baloney now available by the tera-flop. GIGO knows no bounds.
One adjustment of data = questionable outcome.
Two adjustments of data to fit = unreliable outcome.
Three adjustments = pure fantasy.
What a cute looking coal-powered calculator.
From the linked PDF … “Power :: 45-54.1 kW (45.9 – 55.2 kVA) per cabinet, depending on configuration Circuit requirements: three-phase wye, 100 AMP at 480/277 and 125 AMP at 400/230 (threephase, neutral and ground).” … We’ll average that to 50 kW per cabinet
From the linked Article … “The first piece is the original 14-cabinet system with a peak capability of 260 teraflops, Nichols said. The second piece is the new 26-cabinet system with a capability of 720 teraflops, he said.” … A total of 40 cabinets
Giving a total of 2000 KW (or 2 MW) for minimum power consumption. Of course this doesn’t address the attached storage and workstations and everything else.
Since it is very easy to find modern wind turbines with a nameplate capacity of 2 MW, one must ask why they do not hook this computer to one and brag about being carbon neutral? Yep, that’s a rhetorical point. What a damn shame what has happened to Oak Ridge, a place once on the cutting edge of atomic energy now reduced to running computers for the climate kooks.
NOAA is just another runaway agency acting like leeches bleeding the taxpayers. These are the experts that classified Irene a landfalling hurricane in spite of empirical evidence and have yet to correct the record. They are the ones that label every single disturbance in the atmosphere a named storm, inflating and skewing the meteorological records to feed the AGW climate cult.
I guarantee that the bean counters never even asked the simple question of whether NOAA can do without this new toy, which is the whole purpose of bean counters in the first place. Face it taxpayers, from the top to the bottom there is almost no-one looking out for you and your money within the District of Criminals nor in its many tentacles. We are nearly past the point where the FedGov monster can be repaired and will have to be completely replaced.
This is clearly a tremendous advance for climate science and humanity, but the most important question is,
will it enable Phil Jones to calculate a trend in Excel?
Who says crime doesn’t pay?
“Charles.U.Farley says:
December 23, 2011 at 1:47 am
1+1=3 the computer says so!”
That is the usual case. But when twins are born, 1 + 1 = 4. However I am sure the new computer can handle all unique cases.
That revised art work looks like a Rogue’s Gallery of Climate Crooks.
Great satire, Anthony. Thanks!
How many angels per pinhead?
I can’t see why they’d stick those pictures on a supercomputer. Seems so contradictory… Let them emblazon a garbage truck instead.
Where’s the stage that figures out which projection produces the most government grant money?
Or delete his email?
No, that’s backwards. Or maybe it’s circular?
Its all very well applying an expensive super computer to the CAGW issue but if its in the hands of warmists putting garbage in it won’t be much use. Giving them a programmable (Texas Instruments) calculator to play with would be just as good and a lot cheaper.
I know quite a bit about the Cray computer series and you have been taken in. That is not the XK6. You have shown here the Cray Z1. Cab #2 is actually used only for storing equipment – mostly hockey sticks.
Which stage erases all original data and emails, then transfers the enhanced data to an IPCC computer that is certified FOIA extempt?
Anybody remember the Forbin Project?
I am Colossus.
What could go wrong?
Where do they keep the printer?
Does anyone know how much GAEA cost? This link refers to yet another supercomputer center funded by stimulus money from 2009 – 2010:
“The supercomputer, being paid for with $27.6 million in American Recovery and Reinvestment Act, will be housed at NOAA’s Environmental Security Computing Center. It’s seen as both a boon to NOAA’s climate program and north-central West Virginia’s high-tech reputation, Rep. Alan Mollohan (D-W.Va.) said during a ribbon-cutting ceremony.”
“The center was established by NOAA and the General Services Administration, which took out a 20-year lease on the 54,000 square-foot property. Renovation work is expected to begin in January, with completion scheduled for fall 2011.”
“NOAA has stepped up its climate modeling, in part fueled by $170 million in stimulus funding.”
—
My guess would be that GAEA was funded in large part through STIMULUS money! So while the US was suffering it’s worst recession in a generation, climate fat cats at NOAA were stuffing themselves full of stimulus ca$h to pay for new computers for themselves…
Please remember this next year in November…
PS: WHERE ARE THE TROLLS? ARE THEY AFRAID OF THIS TOPIC???
You can see what’s coming down the line, can’t you – a Cray Mars, a Cray Venus, Cray Jupiter, and so on; and to quote Kipling, “each and every one of them is right”.
Anthony damn you I am just glad I had finished my coffee before seeing that second picture!!!!!!!
That has got to be the funniest single picture that I have seen all year. Some skeptical blog has just got to adopt that as its masthead.
Anthony, a fund raising idea, turn that second picture with GIGO into one of those demotivational posters!!
How about a contest for the best caption for it!
I will laugh about this one for days…..
Paul Marko says:
Where do they keep the printer?
Their Mann-operated HD (hide-the-decline) printing press is located in the NOAA repenthouse, together with skeptic-burning boilers consuming 2000 Mega-Watts’ per hour, and thus supporting sustainable carbon printing of 12 Terra-grants per month.
Whoever did the Photoshop artwork of the ” team” onto the Cray computer should be commended…very nice work!
I suspect that all the output from it will be a flop.
Anthony that is a monument. Brilliant idea. Brilliant artwork. Brilliant lines. How the heck do you find the time and inspiration to do it all???
Merry Christmas, and take time off please.
And season’s greetings to all. The darkest part of the year is a time celebrated for the turning of the Sun in many cultures, not just Christian. A time to enjoy, gather together, remember and reflect.
I like to think that we are all shining sunlight into Science at this dark time in Science’s history. The sunlight that really governs climate, of course.
What we have here is the world’s most costly dumpster.
Garbage in, garbage out, and based on what we know of so much of NOAA’s climate research we can assume that will be the case.
If one were of a conspiratorial bent one could even imagine that its most important role will be to find ever-better-hidden places to hide data adjustments…
reminds me of the time Apple installed their Cray, when asked what he thought about Apple using his computer to design the next gen Apple Seymoure replied that it was “….OK with him as he was using an Apple mac to design the next gen Cray”
This won’t challenge the #1 supercomputer, as measured by the folks at top500.org. That one is 10 Pflops, uses 705024 processing cores and consumes 12.7 Mw.
The top ranked Cray there is now #3 a DOE system at Oak Ridge and is 1.8 Pflops, and consumes 7.0 Mw.
#6 is is a system similar to this one and is a DOE system at Los Alamos.
So, a very big system, but nowhere close to the biggest.
Crispin in Waterloo says:
December 23, 2011 at 5:37 am
Disko Troop says:
The term is most accurately “FLOPS” – Floating Point Operations per Second.
A flip-flop is a one bit memory element, it takes a lot of them to do a floating point operation. There are several types RS (reset/set latch), D (single bit input with clocked latch), and JK (dual input, though only one presents the data to save). US/Massachusetts joke – I call the JK the “John Kerry Flip-Flop.
They have to power it with solar, is my only condition.
Skiphil says:
December 23, 2011 at 8:19 am
This is clearly a tremendous advance for climate science and humanity, but the most important question is,
will it enable Phil Jones to calculate a trend in Excel?>>>
No. That is a desk top utility and the problem can only be mitigated by removing the nut behind the keyboard.
On the other hand, it should be able to decrypt FOIA.zip in about an hour.
btw, should we be concerned about the number of posters who don’t seem to realize this is a parody? Or maybe it will give Al Gore ideas for his next great production, the new CAGW supercomputer to save the planet.
Yes, I know that sometimes “art imitates life” so well that the line is blurry to indistinguishable, and that a lot of activities by The Team and friends are beyond parody. But still…..
To be completely successful it might need three more stages:
An FOIA “obstructificator”
A Climategate “outacontextimator”
and a Investigation “whitewashinator”
**********************************************************
Merry Christmas to Anthony and mods with thanks for a great year of interesting posts.
Seems that snarkyness is flowing freely today. Of course this close to Christmas maybe you all are hoping for coal in your stocking, just so you can burn it to mock the folks you disagree with.
I know it’s a joke and is actually rather clever. But considering the time of year wouldn’t it be better to turn the other cheek and pray that all of us, on both sides of the discussion, are granted greater wisdom, to both better understand this wonderful world and to act in a manner which improves it?
philincalifornia says:
December 23, 2011 at 6:58 am
Serious question: Is the actual temperature record gone forever ?? Once these clowns have been “let go”, will it be retrievable ??
___________________________________________________________________________
Hi Phil,
Problem: When you say “actual temperature record” you are referring to something that does not exist in the sense that you intend. I believe that in most cases the original station data still exists, but the CRU data that was deleted was which original data was used, and how were adjustments made. Evidently that information is gone forever, unless FOIA was helpful enough to save a copy. ;-> GISS actually stores the original data AND the adjustments that they have made, However, there has been some concern recently that there is a team over at NOAA that is “adjusting” historical temperature data, but it looks like that data is already in the public domain, and the “adjustments” can be examined by any interested third party.
Other Problem, Both of the GISS and CRU datasets have taken years of work and millions of dollars to produce. Both have been under the thumb of people who appear to be political activists that require the datasets to show warming to support the positions that they have staked out for themselves. Recently, a team attempted to create a new temperature dataset BEST, but unfortunately eco activists appear to have corrupted that one as well.
On the bright side. At this stage, even with the flawed datasets and other antics by members of the “team”, it is becoming obvious to anyone who cares to look that every single TESTABLE prediction made by the supporters of Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) have proven false. Furthermore, no one has ever found the mid-tropospheric “hot” spot required by AGW. It is not there. Therefore AGW theory has failed.
Down side. Billions of dollers (probably Trillions) have been wasted to “combat” AGW. More resources are being wasted every day. We have very serious real world problems that are being neglected while we combat the fantasy bogey-man that is AGW. It will take several more years for the next stage of the process to get rolling. The search for the guilty and punish the innocent phase if I remember correctly. 🙁
“Playstation X released in time for [non-religious generic wintertime post-solstice celebration] – for government and university players only”
R. Gates says:
December 23, 2011 at 10:01 am
Whoever did the Photoshop artwork of the ” team” onto the Cray computer should be commended…very nice work!
————————————-
“team”? Cabal would be more accurate.
zeke says
“They have to power it with solar, is my only condition.”
Surely it would be better powered by wind. Plus the inevitable UPS……… 🙂
R Barker says:
December 23, 2011 at 6:26 am
Let’s see. 14 +26 = 40 cabinets @ about 50kVa per cabinet. That is about 2 million watts of heat that has to be removed presumably with a large air conditioning system. About half of U S juice is coal powered. I wonder if any of those folks are just a tiny bit conflicted about running that thing
You don’t understand. Reduced carbon footprints are for the little people like us, the Chosen Ones are exempt. Beside I’m sure Algore and his cronies will be more than eager to sell them phantom carbon offsets for a few billion to cover their activities in perpetuity.
So now the miscreants can create terranonsense at an even faster rate. Don’t forget, that Einstein said that it only takes one (1) contrary result to disprove any of the rubbish this peta zeta terra flop creates out of pure phantasy.
“”””” Ric Werme says:
December 23, 2011 at 10:29 am
This won’t challenge the #1 supercomputer, as measured by the folks at top500.org. That one is 10 Pflops, uses 705024 processing cores and consumes 12.7 Mw.
The top ranked Cray there is now #3 a DOE system at Oak Ridge and is 1.8 Pflops, and consumes 7.0 Mw.
……………..
Why do I find the word “flop” so appropriate when talking about super computers? Maybe it is just a British thing.
++++
Odd, but we are stuck with it. It is from the days of bistable multivibrators that we built in the electronics shop at school. “””””
Well to be pedantic, a “flip-flop” is NOT a bistable multivibrator; that would be a “flip-flip”.
A flip-flop is a mono-stable multivibrator, and has only ONE stable state. You flip it to its metastable state and it flops back in its own good time. Then of course there is the unstable multivibrator, which has NO stable states and two meta-stable states, which it alternates between. The two meta-stable states can have different lifetimes, depending on the temporary state memory time constants. That gizmo, is of course a flop-flop, and needs no help from us.
Actually, my digital electronics guru Professor, who was decidedly British, never ever used the term flip-flop, and called them xxx-multivibrators (of whatever species). That guy knew the exact physical cause (short of free quarks) for every single bend or kink in the switching waveforms of any kind of multivibrator; well make that “valve” multivibrators.
Poor chap built a decimal counting chain of bistables; by buying up every single 12AT7 in New Zealand, and building a huge rack of equipment to digitize the signals from the Project Vanguard satellite when it was launched. It was to broadcast on 40 mHz.
Well PV, became project rearguard, with all the launch vehicles, preferring to bore through the earth to China, so when in 1957, the Russians launched Sputnik, which beeped on 20 MHz, the prof had to improvise somewhat. Sadly he forgot that the incoming audio Doppler signals were going to be extremely noisy; and he wasn’t much of an analog signal detection chap, so his whirlygig triggered on all the trash noise, and he never ever did get any digitized measures of the Doppler frequencies.
But I’ll give him that; he definitely knew his valve multivibrators.
Actually, I made the first prediction (in Auckland) for when the public could go outside and see Sputnik, simply by listening to it on the radio (bunch of us listened). I made the mistake of telling an Auckland Star reporter, when I answered his phone call to the radio-physics department; and he printed it on the front page of the 6pm edition. Millions of Aucklanders, went up One-Tree hill, and Mt Eden to watch for it at 8pm, and it went right across the zenith exactly on schedule. So I didn’t go look till the second night. You think I would believe any prediction; excuse me, that’s projection, that I had made; not a chance. But I got lucky once.
timg56 says:
December 23, 2011 at 11:08 am
Seems that snarkyness is flowing freely today. Of course this close to Christmas maybe you all are hoping for coal in your stocking, just so you can burn it to mock the folks you disagree with.
I know it’s a joke and is actually rather clever. But considering the time of year wouldn’t it be better to turn the other cheek and pray that all of us, on both sides of the discussion, are granted greater wisdom, to both better understand this wonderful world and to act in a manner which improves it?
No, it’s actually better to use the principle of overwhelming farce. Shortens the conflict, and makes it more fun.
“According to info provided by ORNL, Gaea is liquid-cooled and uses Cray’s ECOphlex technology, which employs a refrigerant to remove most of the 2.2 MW heat load. “The technology is significantly more energy-efficient than the air-cooling systems typically found in other leading-edge HPC systems,” the lab said.”
This ECOphlex refrigerant wouldn’t happen to be co2, would it maestro?
George E. Smith; says:
December 23, 2011 at 12:31 pm
“A flip-flop is a mono-stable multivibrator, and has only ONE stable state. You flip it to its metastable state and it flops back in its own good time.”
No; what you describe is known as a Monoflop. A Flip-Flop does have two stable states; and comes in several varieties, the RS-Flipflop and JK-Flipflop, if I recall correctly. You can build binary counters from JK Flipflops, as they toggle when given a clock signal.
Engineer’s peeve …
Prefix “m” = milli or 1/1000
Milli (symbol m) is a prefix in the metric system denoting a factor of one thousandth (10^-3).
Adopted in 1795, the prefix comes from the Latin mille, meaning one thousand (the plural is milia).
Prefix “M” = mega or 1,000,000
Mega- (symbol M) is an prefix in the metric system denoting a factor of million (10^6 or 1000000).
Confirmed in 1960, it comes from the Greek μέγας, meaning great.
.
Probably freon 12, by special exemption.
Brian Johnson uk says:
December 23, 2011 at 11:33 am
Surely it would be better powered by wind. Plus the inevitable UPS……… 🙂
Anthony Watts did such a brilliant mince up of all of climate science in this end-of-the-year Friday Funny, he left the rest of us nothing to do. But we found something! (: Merry Christmas
Gaea……..
We have almost learned how to survive Her temper tantrums.
Now, our hubris, assumes we can control Her ?
I went off Cray when they replaced their comfy bench seats with advertsing hoardings. But they are expensive, So I guess it makes sense. Should fit the cabs with panels so they can do ‘Your Logo Here’ to show WWF, Greenpeace ads while NOAA’s doing their model runs. Wonder what the Chinese supercomputers look like? They’re building them almost as fast as they’re building reactors to power them.
Darren Potter says:
December 23, 2011 at 5:02 am
“Superseded: Garbage in >> Grants out”
Gaea Supercomputer = More Garbage in >> Grants out Faster
I can produce a more elegant and symmetrical equation, that is a billion bucks cheaper and is already proven to work.
Grant Foster = More Garbage in >> Grants out Faster
As verification see
http://manicbeancounter.wordpress.com/2011/08/01/tamino-on-australian-sea-levels/
http://manicbeancounter.wordpress.com/2010/07/25/tamino-v-montford-a-sense-check/
At $0.05/kWh – which is less than the Lab paid for electricity when I worked there in the 1990’s – a 2.2 MW load would cost over $960,000 per year in energy costs. That does not include the cost of operating the heat removal system.
@Peter Dunford says:
December 23, 2011 at 2:59 am
On that note:
The HitchHikers Guide to the Galaxy:
“…And to this end they built themselves a stupendous super computer which was so amazingly intelligent that even before the data banks had been connected up it had started from I think therefore I am and got as far as the existence of rice pudding and income tax before anyone managed to turn it off.
It was the size of a small city.
Its main console was installed in a specially designed executive office, mounted on an enormous executive desk of finest ultramahagony topped with rich ultrared leather. The dark carpeting was discreetly sumptuous, exotic pot plants and tastefully engraved prints of the principal computer programmers and their families were deployed liberally about the room, and stately windows looked out upon a tree-lined public square….”
Read the whole chapter. Hilarious – and apropos:
http://hitch14.tripod.com/chapter_25.htm
Merry Christmas to all. 42 is the answer.
Mark says:
December 23, 2011 at 5:33 am
As the density and speed of supercomputers increases, the models can compute on smaller and smaller volumetric areas and possibly use smaller time intervals. The idea that higher resolution makes the models more accurate is the driving force for greater computing power. While it is true that accuracy might be increased based upon the design of the model for individual time steps, the uncertainties regarding the validity of the model design creates an error delta in each time step.
The word you are looking above for is precision, not accuracy. This machine will allow them to make more precise calculations.
Their accuracy will depend entirely on whether what they are doing mimics reality in any way. Which, like you, I doubt.
Mooloo says:
“…The word you are looking above for is precision, not accuracy…”
I like that, Now they can make a more precise wrong answer.
ET hillbilly says:
December 23, 2011 at 3:01 pm
“At $0.05/kWh – which is less than the Lab paid for electricity when I worked there in the 1990′s – a 2.2 MW load would cost over $960,000 per year in energy costs. That does not include the cost of operating the heat removal system.”
Right – so this means > $1,000,000 in climate ca$h to run this behemoth for a select few climate elites to run their codes. This is what climate scientists call “shared sacrifice”.
Nonetheless…Merry Christmas to the CAGW cabal. I’m sure your wishes for more climate ca$h in 2012 will come true. At least until November…
R Barker says:
December 23, 2011 at 6:26 am
“Let’s see. 14 +26 = 40 cabinets @ about 50kVa per cabinet. That is about 2 million watts of heat that has to be removed presumably with a large air conditioning system. About half of U S juice is coal powered. I wonder if any of those folks are just a tiny bit conflicted about running that thing”
They’re not a tiny bit conflicted about holding their “save the planet” meeting in the most exotic areas available, or spending a large fortune importing delicacies for consumption at the events.
So: No, I do not think they give a rats backside about running it. It will allow them to calculate the wrong answers to the right questions much faster.
Who knows, they may even be able to answer the age-old question: Is There A God (answer in a sealed email)
Whats the carbon footprint of this beast? So… whats the Principle Component of the system?
Anthony, I’m afraid I can’t let you print this … Hal.
What an asinine waste of resources. That computer could be doing protein-folding calculations and helping to save human lives, but NOOOOOOO. They have to use it to try to come up with a better propaganda model.
-jcr
Only two cabinets short of 42.
The comments at the end of the Atomic City Blog were pretty funny as well. NOT AGW sympathizers.
Anthony,
Brilliant!
So many smiles produced!
Apart from the wrong spelling……. You meant Gaia?
REPLY:Thanks! No that’s the correct spelling for the name of this computer, I just report the name they gave. – Anthony
All the Code Mann needs lol…
int i;
float AGW = 1.0;
bool AGW_OCCURING = true;
i = 2011;
float temp = 60.0;
while ( i < 2100 )
{
if ( AGW )
{
AGW = 1.05;
}
else
{
AGW = 1.0;
}
temp *= AGW;
}
u.k.(us) says:
December 23, 2011 at 2:37 pm
Gaea……..
We have almost learned how to survive Her temper tantrums.
Now, our hubris, assumes we can control Her ?
———
Yes, Gaea can be used to make the precise calculations to allow the “AlGore-rhythm method” to work to prevent climate change! The solution: stop impregnating the atmosphere with man-made CO2. Simples.
Merry Christmas Anthony, REP and the other moderators. Thanks for keeping the both the alarmists and us on our toes, and for another great year of fantastic posts at WUWT.
Billion Dollar Brain: spy thriller, somehow seems to fit here!
Speaking of turning the other cheek,
Anthony forgot the rectocranial serial desphincterizer stage, which is necessary in order to give the illusion that the other stages are operating normally
Bob Fernley-Jones says:
December 23, 2011 at 8:40 pm
Anthony,
Brilliant!
So many smiles produced!
Apart from the wrong spelling……. You meant Gaia?
REPLY:Thanks! No that’s the correct spelling for the name of this computer, I just report the name they gave. – Anthony
=======
Glad that is settled 🙂
One less thing.
The darndest thing just hit me.
NOAA has asked of Gaea, what will happen if we keep producing CO2? And Gaea has said unto NOAA that a terrible future awaits, for the fires of h*ll have been unleashed, storms of unprecedented fury will be visited upon the face of the earth, the moutains themselves will shed their ice and snow in rivers of tears that will flow as mighty torrents to the sea, and the furious heat will cause the oceans to boil, casting their moisture into the sky from whence it will return as unrelenting torrential rain. The sun will be blotted out, the land will be flooded, and life as we know it shall end.
The question being, having been warned by Gaea, will NOAA build an Ark?
First of all a Merry Christmas to Anthony and the very funny contributers to this thread. Those responses are absolutely hilarious.
However, there are many people here who simply do not know the answer to 1+1 and you should by now know that in truth 1+1 = a window.
If you do not believe me, then I suggest using a very old method of communication called a pen and paper, then start by placing 1+1 together and then place the equal sign above and below the 1+1. Since I am no good with the ascii I am hoping that someone here will be able to work out the ascii code and draw the appropriate answer 🙂
ok, true confessions, I’m the dense one…. I thought the entire thing was a parody, but re-reading now I gather that the Gaea super-duper Cray computer is real for Oak Ridge and NOAA, the parody is simply what was added in the article’s artwork for new panels and special processing steps, etc. Either way it’s a great article, but I had been thinking that all of it was made up for the story.
OK, here we go:
—
Gæa
1. Ancient Earth-mother goddess; mother and spouse of Uranus; also mother of the Titans, the Furies and the Cyclopes. Under the variant spelling Gaia, a name for the biosphere; as in Lovelock’s “Gaia Hypothesis.” Has been proposed as a name for the planet Earth; known figuratively as “Our Lady Gæa.” Also: Gea. Hence: Gæan, Gean.
Gaia—Variant of Gæa. This spelling should be avoided, as it is usually mispronounced in English as guy-ah [as opposed to the proper pronounciation, gay-uh]. Moreover, Gæa or jee-uh, gives us the sound of the common prefix, e.g. geology.
2. Gaea, in Greek mythology, the earth; daughter of Chaos, mother and wife of both Uranus (the sky) and Pontus (the sea). She was mother, by Uranus, of the Cyclopes, the Titans, and others, and, by Pontus, of five sea deities. She helped cause the overthrow of Uranus by the Titans and was worshiped as the primal goddess, the mother of all things.
===================
Don’t bitch at me, I found it here:
http://deoxy.org/define/Gaea
u.k.(us) @ December 23, 10:45 pm
I’m not a great believer in Wikipedia, (whilst it might well guide one to research elsewhere). However, you might like to study this entry under Gaia. (note the spelling)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gaia_(mythology)
It all seems a bit mystical, thinkest though?
“davidmhoffer says:
December 23, 2011 at 10:02 pm
…
The question being, having been warned by Gaea, will NOAA build an Ark?”
Good one! Groaaan.
I see I have been well beaten to the punch. My immediate reaction was ” Does this super computer overcome the basic computer utilization problem, ‘garbage in – garbage out'”?
I presume the publicity and the event itself, is expected to add crediblity to the NOAA data?
I can’t imagine why all the readers are so unimpressed! (sarc)
As “Aussie” says, the humorous comments are brilliant and entertaining.
I second his Christmas wishes to Anthony and add mine to all who seek and promote the truth.
Finally, all the Gaea worshippers have something (someone?) concrete to bow down to!
Nope. Punish the innocent and promote the guilty. A special manifestation of the Peter Principle.
Initially they were going to call it HAL…
There’s a parallel machine – in comes South Korea, out goes North Korea.
Wow! Imagine how fast thing that can perform data falsification calculations, cover-up emails, and come up with models that don’t work.
Colossus – The Forbin Project. Remember what happened?
Or Fredric Brown, “Answer” (1954):
http://www.roma1.infn.it/~anzel/answer.html
“Gaea is NOAA’s prime supercomputing resource, and it will become the third petascale machine housed at ORNL. Jaguar, soon to be morphed into Titan, and Kraken, a National Science Foundation machine, are the others.”
I think we may be seeing a schism in the heavens for the Warmist believers. While some consult Gaea, others may be loyal to The Kraken.
Ulirch Elkmann,
Thanks! I’ve been trying to remember the name of that story for the last couple of days. Very apropos.
Mind you, in this case, they haven’t actually created g_d. All they’ve done is created a computer that they SAY is g_d.
I couldn’t see Al Gore at first,then i spotted him second fom the end.
Gaia worshiper trash in – Gaia worshiper trash out.
End
of story.
42
Thanks for all the fish
[youtube http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ojydNb3Lrrs&w=420&h=315%5D
I’m surprised no one came up with the connection.
Mark says:
December 23, 2011 at 5:33 am
“As the density and speed of supercomputers increases, the models can compute on smaller and smaller volumetric areas and possibly use smaller time intervals. The idea that higher resolution makes the models more accurate is the driving force for greater computing power. While it is true that accuracy might be increased based upon the design of the model for individual time steps, the uncertainties regarding the validity of the model design creates an error delta in each time step.”
The only errors you can remove my increased resolution are truncation/discretization errors (or their equivalents for finite element or spectral element approaches). As you point out, modeling errors (due to assumptions and approximations inherent to the physical models) are still there. Moreover, no one has demonstrated to me that the equations they are solving are even mathematically well-posed – that is, that a mathematical solution even exists. Of course, when is comes to REALLY discussing the mechanics of the numerical methods used in climate models, it seems that our modelers and warmist friends go into hiding…
Well if they run out of funding, they’ll be able to punch out some serious bitcion with that iron
davidmhoffer says: “The question being, having been warned by Gaea, will NOAA build an Ark?”
Yes. And it will go into a wooden crate, and stored in a huge federal warehouse with all the other lost Arks the federal government has been collecting over the years. The warehouse is administered on a federal grant by Miskatonic University, in Arkham, Massachusetts.
GIGO applies to supercomputers, too.
You know you’ve been reading too many sceptic climate blogs; when you can understand all 20 stages.
Good thing they didn’t call it Deep Thought.