And hasn’t the running 13month average been above 0.0 since 1995?

How can people not see this?

The latest weekly data is showing the downturn similar to Dr. Spencer’s as noted above to Leone

Yes, you’re right. They were newer. I waited to reply until NOAA updated their weekly OI.v2 data. Here’s the global since 2000, for the week ending Nov 4. It also shows the minor upswing and downturn, like Dr. Specer’s data:
http://i34.tinypic.com/245wr6e.png

Can anyone confirm that Roy’s AMSR-E SST data is the same as the sea surface readings at

http://discover.itsc.uah.edu/amsutemps/execute.csh?amsutemps

Using all data available as the base period (i.e. 2002-2009) I get the following (approximate) anomalies for the most recent months

Jul +0.16
Aug +0.11
Sep +0.06
Oct +0.04

These values seem to match up pretty well with the monthly SST plot above
(plot 2 of 3). However, my numbers disagree with the 3-day plot (plot 3 of 3). Roy seems to have negative anomalies in late Oct/early Nov whereas my calculations give positive anomalies. I do, though, get negative anomalies between 29th Sep and 4th Oct.

I was hoping to find a reason for the apparent discrepancy between Bob Tisdale’s plots and Roy’s as commented upon by Leone. I think Bob is probably correct, i.e. the fall in SST from the peak in July has stopped and SST are starting to rise again.

Pictures sent by Roy Spencer are more recent and AMSR-E shows diving. Is there divergence between these datas (Spencer’s and yours)? Or will data used by you continue diving when next couple of weeks are in?

Your right to question this! Global average temperature (and anomalies to some LTA) convey no useful information about climate trends.

The only meaningful measure is change to total climate system dynamic energy level. Unfortunately, at the moment, it is not possible to get an accurate enough measure of changes in system energy, due to the chaotic nature of the systems which effect them.

It is? Here’s the weekly global SST anomalies through October 28, 2009.
http://i33.tinypic.com/mu9578.png

It’s showing an upswing in response to the recent surge in NINO3.4 SST anomalies:
http://bobtisdale.blogspot.com/2009/11/nino34-sst-anomalies-make-surge.html

Regards

What gets me is that here you have all these positive anomalies, yet so many more record lows are being set as compared to record highs.
Winter comes earlier, spring is later.
Are anomalies the best tool we have for examining global climate?

The “record lows” appear to be limited to the US (i.e. 2% of the earth’s surface). There haven’t been any record lows in the Arctic recently (see polar temperature link). Europe has been mostly above average. The same goes for South America and much of Asia.

What do you suggest we use to examine global climate. Anecdotes from random US posters, perhaps?

If you look at past el ninos, temperatures do not normally start rising noticeably until November or December. Normally at this time of year the temperature will be quite close to the 30 year trend.

I don’t think I’d want to send that image to Hopenhagen — it makes the next 100 years look really bad. No one is going to get excited about forecasts beyond 100 years in the AGW camp.

Send this to Copenhagen.

Warming? Where?

“As we approach Copenhagen, these three groups of climate skeptics are quite literally holding the world to ransom,”

So Anthony, how much $$$ do you think you can get out of them before you give them back their global warming?

Cushy job, given the target-rich environment.