<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
	xmlns:georss="http://www.georss.org/georss" xmlns:geo="http://www.w3.org/2003/01/geo/wgs84_pos#" xmlns:media="http://search.yahoo.com/mrss/"
		>
<channel>
	<title>Comments on: Why does Ocean Heat Content diverge from GISS projections?</title>
	<atom:link href="http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/10/24/why-does-ocean-heat-content-diverge-from-giss-projections/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/10/24/why-does-ocean-heat-content-diverge-from-giss-projections/</link>
	<description>The world&#039;s most viewed site on global warming and climate change</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Tue, 29 May 2012 20:46:24 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<sy:updatePeriod>hourly</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>1</sy:updateFrequency>
	<generator>http://wordpress.com/</generator>
	<item>
		<title>By: Foobar</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/10/24/why-does-ocean-heat-content-diverge-from-giss-projections/#comment-257629</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Foobar]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 12 Dec 2009 01:55:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=12076#comment-257629</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Melting ice cools surface temperatures?

Freshwater is lighter than salt water and therefore floats above seawater, until it becomes saline through mixing and begins to sink cooling deeper waters.

For an analogy, see eg. how Mediterranean water behaves in the Atlantic.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Melting ice cools surface temperatures?</p>
<p>Freshwater is lighter than salt water and therefore floats above seawater, until it becomes saline through mixing and begins to sink cooling deeper waters.</p>
<p>For an analogy, see eg. how Mediterranean water behaves in the Atlantic.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: lgl</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/10/24/why-does-ocean-heat-content-diverge-from-giss-projections/#comment-211942</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[lgl]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 Oct 2009 16:58:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=12076#comment-211942</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Sandy (13:43:05) :
Warmer than without them.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Sandy (13:43:05) :<br />
Warmer than without them.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Vincent</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/10/24/why-does-ocean-heat-content-diverge-from-giss-projections/#comment-211751</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Vincent]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 Oct 2009 09:01:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=12076#comment-211751</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Bob,
Thanks for your reply. I have saved it to a document for future reference.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Bob,<br />
Thanks for your reply. I have saved it to a document for future reference.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: jukin</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/10/24/why-does-ocean-heat-content-diverge-from-giss-projections/#comment-211591</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[jukin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 Oct 2009 02:19:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=12076#comment-211591</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In my field of work, when the theory does not match the experimental results the theory gets modified.

Of course, I do not rely on government grants to prove incorrect theories just to allow the government to extort money from innocent people.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In my field of work, when the theory does not match the experimental results the theory gets modified.</p>
<p>Of course, I do not rely on government grants to prove incorrect theories just to allow the government to extort money from innocent people.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Paul Vaughan</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/10/24/why-does-ocean-heat-content-diverge-from-giss-projections/#comment-211478</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Paul Vaughan]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2009 22:25:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=12076#comment-211478</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Effective:

&lt;i&gt;Sandy (13:43:05) &quot;Water as solid/liquid/vapour is the only relevant temperature controller in the climate.
The middle of big deserts have little or no water in the atmosphere. Hug a warm rock as the sun goes down and in the morning we’ll discuss how warm these insignificant GHGs kept you.&quot;&lt;/i&gt;]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Effective:</p>
<p><i>Sandy (13:43:05) &#8220;Water as solid/liquid/vapour is the only relevant temperature controller in the climate.<br />
The middle of big deserts have little or no water in the atmosphere. Hug a warm rock as the sun goes down and in the morning we’ll discuss how warm these insignificant GHGs kept you.&#8221;</i></p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Dave Wendt</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/10/24/why-does-ocean-heat-content-diverge-from-giss-projections/#comment-211459</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dave Wendt]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2009 21:54:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=12076#comment-211459</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Philip_B (03:41:04) 
The issue is one of scale. How much geothermal heating is there relative to solar heating.

I was doing the calculation, but then found wikipedia gave me the answer,

geothermal ocean warming is about 1/10,000 of solar irradiation


Evidently no one has pointed out to you that Wikipedia may not be a source you want place a lot of confidence in, especially for anything related to climate. A little math,actually just arithmetic. The conventionally accepted figure for geothermal heating is 86.4mW/m2, times 10,000 gives 864,000mW/m2 or 864W/m2, not an estimate of TSI contribution that I&#039;ve ever seen. And, as I pointed out previously, the 86.4mW/m2 figure is for generalized lithospheric cooling which makes no attempt to account for heat from volcanically active hot spots, largely, I would assume, because no one seems to have a clue what those contributions are. Additionally, since the geothermal heating seems to be expressed in spatially limited areas which represent only about 1/1000th of the area of the oceans, the effects are  magnified.
I would never claim that geothermal heating is a first order forcing, but it appears to be another in a growing line of factors that the alarmist GCMs have gotten almost completely wrong and provides more evidence, as if more was really required, that their output is BS.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Philip_B (03:41:04)<br />
The issue is one of scale. How much geothermal heating is there relative to solar heating.</p>
<p>I was doing the calculation, but then found wikipedia gave me the answer,</p>
<p>geothermal ocean warming is about 1/10,000 of solar irradiation</p>
<p>Evidently no one has pointed out to you that Wikipedia may not be a source you want place a lot of confidence in, especially for anything related to climate. A little math,actually just arithmetic. The conventionally accepted figure for geothermal heating is 86.4mW/m2, times 10,000 gives 864,000mW/m2 or 864W/m2, not an estimate of TSI contribution that I&#8217;ve ever seen. And, as I pointed out previously, the 86.4mW/m2 figure is for generalized lithospheric cooling which makes no attempt to account for heat from volcanically active hot spots, largely, I would assume, because no one seems to have a clue what those contributions are. Additionally, since the geothermal heating seems to be expressed in spatially limited areas which represent only about 1/1000th of the area of the oceans, the effects are  magnified.<br />
I would never claim that geothermal heating is a first order forcing, but it appears to be another in a growing line of factors that the alarmist GCMs have gotten almost completely wrong and provides more evidence, as if more was really required, that their output is BS.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Sandy</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/10/24/why-does-ocean-heat-content-diverge-from-giss-projections/#comment-211398</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Sandy]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2009 20:43:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=12076#comment-211398</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&quot;Without the GHGs the ocean would have cooled even more during periods of cooling and warmed less during warming periods.&quot;

Let&#039;s re-run the last 50 years of the Earth&#039;s climate to prove the validity of this assumption.
Water as solid/liquid/vapour is the only relevant temperature controller in the climate. 
The middle of big deserts have little or no water in the atmosphere. Hug a warm rock as the sun goes down and in the morning we&#039;ll discuss how warm these insignificant GHGs kept you.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Without the GHGs the ocean would have cooled even more during periods of cooling and warmed less during warming periods.&#8221;</p>
<p>Let&#8217;s re-run the last 50 years of the Earth&#8217;s climate to prove the validity of this assumption.<br />
Water as solid/liquid/vapour is the only relevant temperature controller in the climate.<br />
The middle of big deserts have little or no water in the atmosphere. Hug a warm rock as the sun goes down and in the morning we&#8217;ll discuss how warm these insignificant GHGs kept you.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: lgl</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/10/24/why-does-ocean-heat-content-diverge-from-giss-projections/#comment-211393</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[lgl]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2009 20:21:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=12076#comment-211393</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Bob Tisdale (04:01:22) :

It didn&#039;t hide anywhere. Without the GHGs the ocean would have cooled even more during periods of cooling and warmed less during warming periods.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Bob Tisdale (04:01:22) :</p>
<p>It didn&#8217;t hide anywhere. Without the GHGs the ocean would have cooled even more during periods of cooling and warmed less during warming periods.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Paolo M.</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/10/24/why-does-ocean-heat-content-diverge-from-giss-projections/#comment-211339</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Paolo M.]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2009 18:39:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=12076#comment-211339</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Philip_B (08:29:42) : forget the atmosphere. You can&#039;t increase the atmosphere heat content. Setting aside high frequency events, you will see  increasing AHC only when OHC is on the rise.
AHC depends on OHC, not the other way around!
Putting it in other words, the atmosphere is not warmed by GHGs. That is the ocean role!]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Philip_B (08:29:42) : forget the atmosphere. You can&#8217;t increase the atmosphere heat content. Setting aside high frequency events, you will see  increasing AHC only when OHC is on the rise.<br />
AHC depends on OHC, not the other way around!<br />
Putting it in other words, the atmosphere is not warmed by GHGs. That is the ocean role!</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Philip_B</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/10/24/why-does-ocean-heat-content-diverge-from-giss-projections/#comment-211281</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Philip_B]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2009 17:01:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=12076#comment-211281</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&lt;i&gt;anna v (07:31:41) : 

Philip_B (03:57:16) :

You are not correct in this assumption.

Even the solid ground rises about 40cms with the tides. There are tidal waves down below the thermocline because gravity does not follow your assumptions. And those tidal currents, when they meet shallower ground or sea mountains will create turbulence as surely as god made little apples.&lt;/i&gt;

I stand corrected. There is deep ocean tidal turbulence.

However, does this turbulence produced significant deep ocean/thermocline mixing on the scale of the world&#039;s oceans? 

From what I can determine this turbulence would not significantly affect OHC above the thermocline, but I&#039;m happy to be corrected.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>anna v (07:31:41) : </p>
<p>Philip_B (03:57:16) :</p>
<p>You are not correct in this assumption.</p>
<p>Even the solid ground rises about 40cms with the tides. There are tidal waves down below the thermocline because gravity does not follow your assumptions. And those tidal currents, when they meet shallower ground or sea mountains will create turbulence as surely as god made little apples.</i></p>
<p>I stand corrected. There is deep ocean tidal turbulence.</p>
<p>However, does this turbulence produced significant deep ocean/thermocline mixing on the scale of the world&#8217;s oceans? </p>
<p>From what I can determine this turbulence would not significantly affect OHC above the thermocline, but I&#8217;m happy to be corrected.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Bob Tisdale</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/10/24/why-does-ocean-heat-content-diverge-from-giss-projections/#comment-211245</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Bob Tisdale]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2009 16:04:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=12076#comment-211245</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Philip_B:  You wrote. &quot;I wasn’t saying that GHGs will cause a warmer and wetter atmosphere. I was saying, this is the mechanism by which the oceans would be warmed by GHGs, assuming GHGs cause sufficient atmospheric warming.&quot;

Sorry, Philip, but I did understand what you were driving at.  I included a link to my post on the El Nino-induced step changes in TLT anomalies at the end of this post above, so that should dampen part of that argument. Here it is again:
http://bobtisdale.blogspot.com/2009/06/rss-msu-tlt-time-latitude-plots.html]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Philip_B:  You wrote. &#8220;I wasn’t saying that GHGs will cause a warmer and wetter atmosphere. I was saying, this is the mechanism by which the oceans would be warmed by GHGs, assuming GHGs cause sufficient atmospheric warming.&#8221;</p>
<p>Sorry, Philip, but I did understand what you were driving at.  I included a link to my post on the El Nino-induced step changes in TLT anomalies at the end of this post above, so that should dampen part of that argument. Here it is again:<br />
<a href="http://bobtisdale.blogspot.com/2009/06/rss-msu-tlt-time-latitude-plots.html" rel="nofollow">http://bobtisdale.blogspot.com/2009/06/rss-msu-tlt-time-latitude-plots.html</a></p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: cba</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/10/24/why-does-ocean-heat-content-diverge-from-giss-projections/#comment-211242</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[cba]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2009 15:51:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=12076#comment-211242</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[phillip b

then why isn&#039;t there 100% rel. humidity all the way to the tropopause?

to ignore half the physics is to get it wrong.  moist air is lighter weight - lower average molecular weight and the parcel will be inclined to rise.  In fact - think of it as a hot air balloon too since that moist air is chock full of ghg power absorbing h2o molecules - further decreasing the parcel density.  As that parcel rises, it loses some energy that goes into gravitation potential energy but you&#039;ve got a solar powered hot air balloon going on too.  Ultimately it&#039;s going to reach the altitude where it will try to form a cloud, increasing albedo and reducing downward SW - which include more near IR than visible light.  Note too - it conveyed a lot of energy upward to where it can radiate  away - that heat of evaporation is in excess of the heat required to raise h2o liquid from 0 to 100 C for a given amount of h2o.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>phillip b</p>
<p>then why isn&#8217;t there 100% rel. humidity all the way to the tropopause?</p>
<p>to ignore half the physics is to get it wrong.  moist air is lighter weight &#8211; lower average molecular weight and the parcel will be inclined to rise.  In fact &#8211; think of it as a hot air balloon too since that moist air is chock full of ghg power absorbing h2o molecules &#8211; further decreasing the parcel density.  As that parcel rises, it loses some energy that goes into gravitation potential energy but you&#8217;ve got a solar powered hot air balloon going on too.  Ultimately it&#8217;s going to reach the altitude where it will try to form a cloud, increasing albedo and reducing downward SW &#8211; which include more near IR than visible light.  Note too &#8211; it conveyed a lot of energy upward to where it can radiate  away &#8211; that heat of evaporation is in excess of the heat required to raise h2o liquid from 0 to 100 C for a given amount of h2o.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: cba</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/10/24/why-does-ocean-heat-content-diverge-from-giss-projections/#comment-211238</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[cba]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2009 15:36:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=12076#comment-211238</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&quot;What new “forcing” can they come up with to explain the last 5 to 10 years of no increase in temps or OHC. I’m sure that is being worked on as we speak. One could expect some exotic Ozone or new Aerosol explanation to fill the gap again but they could surprise us and actually build in an ENSO or AMOC module. [But that would require backing off the 3.0C per doubling proposition or using the ENSO, AMOC impacts in an illogical opposite to reality manner].&quot;

Naw.  I&#039;m almost afraid to say it for fear of the idea being usurped and implemented.  The new &#039;forcing&#039; isn&#039;t a forcing per se - it&#039;s because of the increased awareness of the problem and the fact that all these lunatics &#039;care&#039; about the &#039;problem&#039; along with all that energy conservation being done by these loonies - nevermind the extra travel from one protest to the next.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;What new “forcing” can they come up with to explain the last 5 to 10 years of no increase in temps or OHC. I’m sure that is being worked on as we speak. One could expect some exotic Ozone or new Aerosol explanation to fill the gap again but they could surprise us and actually build in an ENSO or AMOC module. [But that would require backing off the 3.0C per doubling proposition or using the ENSO, AMOC impacts in an illogical opposite to reality manner].&#8221;</p>
<p>Naw.  I&#8217;m almost afraid to say it for fear of the idea being usurped and implemented.  The new &#8216;forcing&#8217; isn&#8217;t a forcing per se &#8211; it&#8217;s because of the increased awareness of the problem and the fact that all these lunatics &#8216;care&#8217; about the &#8216;problem&#8217; along with all that energy conservation being done by these loonies &#8211; nevermind the extra travel from one protest to the next.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Philip_B</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/10/24/why-does-ocean-heat-content-diverge-from-giss-projections/#comment-211235</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Philip_B]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2009 15:29:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=12076#comment-211235</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&lt;i&gt;But what causes the warmer and wetter atmosphere?&lt;/i&gt;

GreenHouse Gases

I wasn&#039;t saying that GHGs will cause a warmer and wetter atmosphere. I was saying, this is the mechanism by which the oceans would be warmed by GHGs, assuming GHGs cause sufficient atmospheric warming.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>But what causes the warmer and wetter atmosphere?</i></p>
<p>GreenHouse Gases</p>
<p>I wasn&#8217;t saying that GHGs will cause a warmer and wetter atmosphere. I was saying, this is the mechanism by which the oceans would be warmed by GHGs, assuming GHGs cause sufficient atmospheric warming.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Bill Illis</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/10/24/why-does-ocean-heat-content-diverge-from-giss-projections/#comment-211207</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Bill Illis]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2009 14:33:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=12076#comment-211207</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Great material as always Bob.

The important points are that Ocean Heat Content is not responding in the manner predicted by the theory and the climate models - and that GISS/the climate models treat the ocean cycles like noise in the system that can (almost) be ignored.

With almost no change in OHC in the last five years, that would indicate there is no lagged warming-in-the-pipeline to come and we are already at equilibrium.  We&#039;ve warmed 0.6C already, about the rate that would be expected if the temperature response was 1.0C to 1.5C per doubling.

By not taking the ocean cycles into account properly, the models have had to invent all kinds of other &quot;external forcings&quot; and &quot;lags&quot; in order to back-cast to the temperature record reasonably well.

What new &quot;forcing&quot; can they come up with to explain the last 5 to 10 years of no increase in temps or OHC.  I&#039;m sure that is being worked on as we speak.  One could expect some exotic Ozone or new Aerosol explanation to fill the gap again but they could surprise us and actually build in an ENSO or AMOC module.  [But that would require backing off the 3.0C per doubling proposition or using the ENSO, AMOC impacts in an illogical opposite to reality manner].]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Great material as always Bob.</p>
<p>The important points are that Ocean Heat Content is not responding in the manner predicted by the theory and the climate models &#8211; and that GISS/the climate models treat the ocean cycles like noise in the system that can (almost) be ignored.</p>
<p>With almost no change in OHC in the last five years, that would indicate there is no lagged warming-in-the-pipeline to come and we are already at equilibrium.  We&#8217;ve warmed 0.6C already, about the rate that would be expected if the temperature response was 1.0C to 1.5C per doubling.</p>
<p>By not taking the ocean cycles into account properly, the models have had to invent all kinds of other &#8220;external forcings&#8221; and &#8220;lags&#8221; in order to back-cast to the temperature record reasonably well.</p>
<p>What new &#8220;forcing&#8221; can they come up with to explain the last 5 to 10 years of no increase in temps or OHC.  I&#8217;m sure that is being worked on as we speak.  One could expect some exotic Ozone or new Aerosol explanation to fill the gap again but they could surprise us and actually build in an ENSO or AMOC module.  [But that would require backing off the 3.0C per doubling proposition or using the ENSO, AMOC impacts in an illogical opposite to reality manner].</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
</channel>
</rss>

