Hurricane energy versus temp (with temp slope removed for easier comparison)
http://tinypic.com/r/2ivmwpd/4
http://i36.tinypic.com/2ivmwpd.jpg

It looked like they’d line up better with temp moved back one year so:
Hurricane energy versus temp offset back on year (temp slope removed)
http://tinypic.com/r/331kbjt/4
http://i36.tinypic.com/331kbjt.jpg

All of this of course means absolutely nothing, I just thought it was an interesting experiment….the skewed (by one year) temp graph seems to show some correlation with hurricane energy.

jcl (12:55:37) :

Just for kicks, I overlaid the hurricane and temp data (after removing the temp data slope), and it doesn’t line up that well. If you offset the temp data by a year, it doesn’t look too bad though. I don’t know how to include those charts/pics here (done in Excel).

Jim

REPLY: use a free image service like http://tinypic.com/ and put the URL to the image in your comments. It will auto-link.

-Anthony

MartinGAtkins (12:56:57) : Short term ACE in the Atlantic depends on ENSO conditions

Reply is in new Cyclone thread.

“Both the eddy kinetic energy and the dry mean available
potential energy have a maximum for a climate
close to that of present day
Earth and are smaller in
much warmer and much colder climates”

Ref: http://arxiv.org/PS_cache/arxiv/pdf/0908/0908.4410v1.pdf , WATER VAPOR AND THE DYNAMICS OF CLIMATE CHANGES, by T Schneider, P O’Gorman, and X Levine. Page 14 of the pdf. Figure 8.

A similar observation to mine.

Yes, to get a really good tropical storm, you need tropical warm waters and an arctic airflow above it, giving a huge temperature gradient in the atmosphere (low level warm air and freezing air above).

A warm atmosphere will kill thermic activity dead.

.

“Look at 2 scenarios:

A – present – say the temperature differential is 15 degrees.

B – global warming – increase air temp by 2 degrees, but oceans are not as fast, and lag, so increase them by 1 degree. The temperature differntial is then 16 degrees.”

You have it backwards. Temperature decreases with altitude, meaning that the air above is cooler than that below. That is why warm, moist air rises until it cools to a temperature that squeezes the moisture out as rain. Were the air above to be warmer than the surface, hurricanes could not form. Thus, if the (cooler) air above warms by two degrees and the (warmer) sea surface warms by only one, then the differential in your scenario drops from 15 to 14, decreasing the strength of the hurricane.

Is there any legislation that could protect the public from hysterical and misleading media outages in the USA?

Nope. We’re going to have to either buy them out & take over or prevent the government from bailing them out (which I’ve heard recently that they’re asking for) and force them into bankruptcy.

As for the global warming/hurricane link, it’s depressing to read how many media articles regularly reference it as a foregone conclusion. It just makes my blood boil thinking about how many kids are being fed this in classrooms every day.

There is a link between global warming & my blood boiling, however….

Look at 2 scenarios:

A – present – say the temperature differential is 15 degrees.

B – global warming – increase air temp by 2 degrees, but oceans are not as fast, and lag, so increase them by 1 degree. The temperature differntial is then 16 degrees.

So a higher temperature differential is the result and this means more hurricanes according to the basic premise that the higher the differntial the more storms etc. I don’t really agree, as it ignores other apsects of climate, but perhaps the energy sum would increase.

One thing that everyone gets excited about is positive feedbacks and tipping points etc.

One thing that I would like studied is the balancing nature of our climate (ie negative feedbacks). Our climate has a lot of checks and balances in it and these are not well understood imho.

I’m all for reducing our emissions responsibly – it can only be a good thing to not be ignorant of our use of resources. But let’s not scare everyone into thinking our poor little climate is “fragile” etc.

What a joke. Someone should really call this puppet out on his bullshit

Ryan Maue from Florida State University explains why

Surely you mean he speculates as to why. They sure as hell don’t know.

Last night I was watching the weather channel and Jim Cantori was in Georgia. He was talking about all the rain they have had recently. He said and I repeat if this isn’t CLIMATE CHANGE I don’t know what is.”

Read literally, Cantori’s statement sounds pretty accurate to me.