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	<title>Comments on: Evidence that Global Temperature Trends Have Been Overstated</title>
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	<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/08/13/evidence-that-global-temperature-trends-have-been-overstated/</link>
	<description>The world&#039;s most viewed site on global warming and climate change</description>
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		<title>By: Vangel</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/08/13/evidence-that-global-temperature-trends-have-been-overstated/#comment-174909</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Vangel]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Aug 2009 22:15:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=9890#comment-174909</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&quot;I read the paper looking for elaboration on this statement, but I didn&#039;t find anything. The paper makes a clear case for possible sources of the discrepancy between terrestrial and satellite data but I don&#039;t see what the point of the above statement is.&quot;

The point seems quite clear. It is important for the actual data to show a real warming trend and that may not exist.  The surface record is very suspect.  If one looks at the actual measurements it becomes clear that there has not been any noticeable warming since the 1930s, which were the warmest decade in the US over the past 100 years.   While the satellite data shows warming it begins after the PDO went into a negative phase and the atmospheric warming seems to have reversed when the PDO reversed into a cooling phase.  

It may well be that the warming that we have all agreed on (the argument is about the role of CO2, not about the warming) was the result of inadequate measurements.  If that is the case, most of these papers, which assume that the warming is real and that CO2 has an effect, are just narratives that have no scientific merit.  Pielke knows that and as such has written his disclaimers to that effect.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;I read the paper looking for elaboration on this statement, but I didn&#8217;t find anything. The paper makes a clear case for possible sources of the discrepancy between terrestrial and satellite data but I don&#8217;t see what the point of the above statement is.&#8221;</p>
<p>The point seems quite clear. It is important for the actual data to show a real warming trend and that may not exist.  The surface record is very suspect.  If one looks at the actual measurements it becomes clear that there has not been any noticeable warming since the 1930s, which were the warmest decade in the US over the past 100 years.   While the satellite data shows warming it begins after the PDO went into a negative phase and the atmospheric warming seems to have reversed when the PDO reversed into a cooling phase.  </p>
<p>It may well be that the warming that we have all agreed on (the argument is about the role of CO2, not about the warming) was the result of inadequate measurements.  If that is the case, most of these papers, which assume that the warming is real and that CO2 has an effect, are just narratives that have no scientific merit.  Pielke knows that and as such has written his disclaimers to that effect.</p>
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		<title>By: Daryl M</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/08/13/evidence-that-global-temperature-trends-have-been-overstated/#comment-174858</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Daryl M]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Aug 2009 19:46:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=9890#comment-174858</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In the post, Dr. Pielke writes: &quot;It is important to underscore that our hypothesis depends upon (a) the presence of a real warming trend, and (b) (to some extent) an increase in greenhouse gases. So if you accept our arguments, then you necessarily are accepting the presence of a warming trend and corresponding increases in greenhouse gases. This too should be non-controversial, but I want to be clear to avoid any possible misinterpretations.&quot;

I read the paper looking for elaboration on this statement, but I didn&#039;t find anything. The paper makes a clear case for possible sources of the discrepancy between terrestrial and satellite data but I don&#039;t see what the point of the above statement is.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In the post, Dr. Pielke writes: &#8220;It is important to underscore that our hypothesis depends upon (a) the presence of a real warming trend, and (b) (to some extent) an increase in greenhouse gases. So if you accept our arguments, then you necessarily are accepting the presence of a warming trend and corresponding increases in greenhouse gases. This too should be non-controversial, but I want to be clear to avoid any possible misinterpretations.&#8221;</p>
<p>I read the paper looking for elaboration on this statement, but I didn&#8217;t find anything. The paper makes a clear case for possible sources of the discrepancy between terrestrial and satellite data but I don&#8217;t see what the point of the above statement is.</p>
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		<title>By: Keith Minto</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/08/13/evidence-that-global-temperature-trends-have-been-overstated/#comment-173752</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Keith Minto]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 16 Aug 2009 05:56:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=9890#comment-173752</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&quot; Justin Sane (20:29:24) :

Is there any data that plots the average high temperature over the years, and another that does the same with the low temperatures, then maybe even the same by latitude, like tropical, midway, and arctic? &quot;

That would be interesting,it might reveal a pattern that shows minima rising to meet a more or less static maxima,instead of an average rise. A rising minima would clearly implicate the UHI effect.

My question (00:40:40),just to clarify, concerns whether or not data exists on a  temp/height profile that goes from ground level to say 20 metres above ground.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8221; Justin Sane (20:29:24) :</p>
<p>Is there any data that plots the average high temperature over the years, and another that does the same with the low temperatures, then maybe even the same by latitude, like tropical, midway, and arctic? &#8221;</p>
<p>That would be interesting,it might reveal a pattern that shows minima rising to meet a more or less static maxima,instead of an average rise. A rising minima would clearly implicate the UHI effect.</p>
<p>My question (00:40:40),just to clarify, concerns whether or not data exists on a  temp/height profile that goes from ground level to say 20 metres above ground.</p>
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		<title>By: Justin Sane</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/08/13/evidence-that-global-temperature-trends-have-been-overstated/#comment-173717</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Justin Sane]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 16 Aug 2009 03:29:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=9890#comment-173717</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Is there any data that plots the average high temperature over the years, and another that does the same with the low temperatures, then maybe even the same by latitude, like tropical, midway, and artic?]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Is there any data that plots the average high temperature over the years, and another that does the same with the low temperatures, then maybe even the same by latitude, like tropical, midway, and artic?</p>
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		<title>By: Richard111</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/08/13/evidence-that-global-temperature-trends-have-been-overstated/#comment-173495</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Richard111]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 15 Aug 2009 13:03:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=9890#comment-173495</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Keith Minto (00:40:40) : 
Interesting question. At what point above ground level would the dry adiabatic lapse rate of 3C (5.4F) per 1000 feet apply from land based sensors? And over water?]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Keith Minto (00:40:40) :<br />
Interesting question. At what point above ground level would the dry adiabatic lapse rate of 3C (5.4F) per 1000 feet apply from land based sensors? And over water?</p>
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		<title>By: Keith Minto</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/08/13/evidence-that-global-temperature-trends-have-been-overstated/#comment-173436</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Keith Minto]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 15 Aug 2009 07:40:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=9890#comment-173436</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I do not know if this has been mentioned before,but is there a temperature profile that reflects the height above the ground?. I mention this as land temperature sensors and readings are at human user-friendly height....but is this appropriate for stable land based readings? A higher screen would reduce the surface quality effect, would not reduce UHI but may produce a more accurate reading, but a height/temp profile would be a good start to assess this.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I do not know if this has been mentioned before,but is there a temperature profile that reflects the height above the ground?. I mention this as land temperature sensors and readings are at human user-friendly height&#8230;.but is this appropriate for stable land based readings? A higher screen would reduce the surface quality effect, would not reduce UHI but may produce a more accurate reading, but a height/temp profile would be a good start to assess this.</p>
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		<title>By: timetochooseagain</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/08/13/evidence-that-global-temperature-trends-have-been-overstated/#comment-173418</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[timetochooseagain]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 15 Aug 2009 05:59:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=9890#comment-173418</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[George E. Smith (18:19:03) : I don&#039;t really disagree with any of that. When I said &quot;warming&quot; I meant &quot;relative warming&quot; in other words cloud nights are warmer than they would be otherwise-And I made no comment about whether warmer temperatures mean more or fewer clouds, but again I basically agree with what you say.

Sorry for the confusion.

And FWIW frogs don&#039;t understand commands anyway.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>George E. Smith (18:19:03) : I don&#8217;t really disagree with any of that. When I said &#8220;warming&#8221; I meant &#8220;relative warming&#8221; in other words cloud nights are warmer than they would be otherwise-And I made no comment about whether warmer temperatures mean more or fewer clouds, but again I basically agree with what you say.</p>
<p>Sorry for the confusion.</p>
<p>And FWIW frogs don&#8217;t understand commands anyway.</p>
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		<title>By: George E. Smith</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/08/13/evidence-that-global-temperature-trends-have-been-overstated/#comment-173369</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[George E. Smith]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 15 Aug 2009 01:19:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=9890#comment-173369</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&quot;&quot;&quot;   timetochooseagain (14:30:28) :   &quot;&quot;&quot;

We are talking climate not last night&#039;s weather.

So you say &quot;at night couds always cause warming&quot;;  simply not true.  When the sun goes down; clouds or no, the temperature always goes down; not up; and we are excluding the obvious situation where some warm air mass moves in from some other location; the temperature at night will also go up if you set fire to your house; but that is not an effect of clouds.

The very presence of those clouds is BECAUSE it was warm; they are not the cause of the warmth, but the result of it; and the warmer it is, the higher the moist air has to rise, before its temperature drops to the dew point so clouds can form, so the warmer it is, the higher those clouds form, and if the amount of moisture in the air (humidity) is lower, the air mass has to go even higher to get down to the dew point and form clouds.

Meteorologists have spouted that thesis for years on the evening news; it&#039;s cloudy so it will be warm tonight.   NO !!!  It is warm, and moist so it will be cloudy tonight; but absent the inflow of a santa ana air mass, it WILL cool down tonight clouds notwithstanding.   And tomorrowe because of those clouds; they will block sunlight and it will get less warm.

Over climate time scales more clouds always means more cooling; never more warming.  They have it exactly backwards just like the temperature/CO2 argument.

It&#039;s just plain silly to argue that a moist air mass that eventually condenses into cloud; and cloud that is of lower density and water content, the higher the altitude at which it forms; so therefore the less total long wave or solar radiation it can absorb; but yet it will warm the surface, and even moreso the more evanescent and high the cloud is.

No I don&#039;t dispute that clouds at night can still absorb surface emitted LWIR, and slow its escape, but it still will escape and it still will cool down; it won&#039;t warm up after the sun goes down; unless by mass transport of a different body of warmer air.    And of course a forest fire down the street will likely warm things up too.

Why is it so hard for people to discriminate cause  from effect when they have two phenomena occur together.

When you cut all four legs off  bull frogs, and tell them to jump; they will not jump; no matter how loud you yell at them.  That does not mean that cutting all four legs off a bull frog makes it stone deaf !

George]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;&#8221;"   timetochooseagain (14:30:28) :   &#8220;&#8221;"</p>
<p>We are talking climate not last night&#8217;s weather.</p>
<p>So you say &#8220;at night couds always cause warming&#8221;;  simply not true.  When the sun goes down; clouds or no, the temperature always goes down; not up; and we are excluding the obvious situation where some warm air mass moves in from some other location; the temperature at night will also go up if you set fire to your house; but that is not an effect of clouds.</p>
<p>The very presence of those clouds is BECAUSE it was warm; they are not the cause of the warmth, but the result of it; and the warmer it is, the higher the moist air has to rise, before its temperature drops to the dew point so clouds can form, so the warmer it is, the higher those clouds form, and if the amount of moisture in the air (humidity) is lower, the air mass has to go even higher to get down to the dew point and form clouds.</p>
<p>Meteorologists have spouted that thesis for years on the evening news; it&#8217;s cloudy so it will be warm tonight.   NO !!!  It is warm, and moist so it will be cloudy tonight; but absent the inflow of a santa ana air mass, it WILL cool down tonight clouds notwithstanding.   And tomorrowe because of those clouds; they will block sunlight and it will get less warm.</p>
<p>Over climate time scales more clouds always means more cooling; never more warming.  They have it exactly backwards just like the temperature/CO2 argument.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s just plain silly to argue that a moist air mass that eventually condenses into cloud; and cloud that is of lower density and water content, the higher the altitude at which it forms; so therefore the less total long wave or solar radiation it can absorb; but yet it will warm the surface, and even moreso the more evanescent and high the cloud is.</p>
<p>No I don&#8217;t dispute that clouds at night can still absorb surface emitted LWIR, and slow its escape, but it still will escape and it still will cool down; it won&#8217;t warm up after the sun goes down; unless by mass transport of a different body of warmer air.    And of course a forest fire down the street will likely warm things up too.</p>
<p>Why is it so hard for people to discriminate cause  from effect when they have two phenomena occur together.</p>
<p>When you cut all four legs off  bull frogs, and tell them to jump; they will not jump; no matter how loud you yell at them.  That does not mean that cutting all four legs off a bull frog makes it stone deaf !</p>
<p>George</p>
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		<title>By: timetochooseagain</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/08/13/evidence-that-global-temperature-trends-have-been-overstated/#comment-173327</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[timetochooseagain]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 14 Aug 2009 21:30:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=9890#comment-173327</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[George E. Smith (14:15:45) : At night, (although minimum temps are usually early mourning) clouds &quot;always&quot; cause warming-and high altitude clouds &quot;always&quot; cause warming when the pass over...and by the way, when they say &quot;greenhouse gas concentrations...over the observing site&quot; could also (especially given the context) include changes in humidity-which can occur locally if evapo-transpiration was altered by, say, agriculture (ever been to Iowa? I hear it is HUMID!).]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>George E. Smith (14:15:45) : At night, (although minimum temps are usually early mourning) clouds &#8220;always&#8221; cause warming-and high altitude clouds &#8220;always&#8221; cause warming when the pass over&#8230;and by the way, when they say &#8220;greenhouse gas concentrations&#8230;over the observing site&#8221; could also (especially given the context) include changes in humidity-which can occur locally if evapo-transpiration was altered by, say, agriculture (ever been to Iowa? I hear it is HUMID!).</p>
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		<title>By: George E. Smith</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/08/13/evidence-that-global-temperature-trends-have-been-overstated/#comment-173321</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[George E. Smith]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 14 Aug 2009 21:15:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=9890#comment-173321</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&quot;&quot;&quot;   tallbloke (14:54:14) : 

bill (13:24:15) :

from the document p7

if, for instance, there is a long-term positive trend in greenhouse gas concentrations or cloudiness over the observing site, it may introduce an upward bias in the observational record 

Local CO2 raises temperature!!

Or more accurately 

Local co2 or cloudiness may raise temperature.   &quot;&quot;&quot;


So what is the mechanism where local cloudiness (climatically speaking) raises temperatures; given that when a cloud passes in front of the sun, it ALWAYS gets cooler in the shadow zone (for very elementary optical reasons) as a result of blocked sunlight not reaching the surface.

And why would one take the air temperature at a height of two metres as being the same as the surface temperature.  Try telling that to a head of lettuce growing on the ground.   What would caue the air temperature (climatically speaking) to be higher than the actual surface temperature ?]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;&#8221;"   tallbloke (14:54:14) : </p>
<p>bill (13:24:15) :</p>
<p>from the document p7</p>
<p>if, for instance, there is a long-term positive trend in greenhouse gas concentrations or cloudiness over the observing site, it may introduce an upward bias in the observational record </p>
<p>Local CO2 raises temperature!!</p>
<p>Or more accurately </p>
<p>Local co2 or cloudiness may raise temperature.   &#8220;&#8221;"</p>
<p>So what is the mechanism where local cloudiness (climatically speaking) raises temperatures; given that when a cloud passes in front of the sun, it ALWAYS gets cooler in the shadow zone (for very elementary optical reasons) as a result of blocked sunlight not reaching the surface.</p>
<p>And why would one take the air temperature at a height of two metres as being the same as the surface temperature.  Try telling that to a head of lettuce growing on the ground.   What would caue the air temperature (climatically speaking) to be higher than the actual surface temperature ?</p>
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		<title>By: timetochooseagain</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/08/13/evidence-that-global-temperature-trends-have-been-overstated/#comment-173271</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[timetochooseagain]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 14 Aug 2009 18:56:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=9890#comment-173271</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Phil. (11:40:24) : Beatcha to it! :P]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Phil. (11:40:24) : Beatcha to it! :P</p>
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		<title>By: Phil.</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/08/13/evidence-that-global-temperature-trends-have-been-overstated/#comment-173265</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Phil.]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 14 Aug 2009 18:40:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=9890#comment-173265</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&lt;em&gt;Pamela Gray (08:32:46) :

So please tell me, where would I find a continuous and current record of actual atmospheric methane concentrations that I as a public tax paying individual can see for myself whether or not we are dying in a tundra-melting sea of methane?&lt;/em&gt;

You could try here: http://cdiac.ornl.gov/methane.html]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>Pamela Gray (08:32:46) :</p>
<p>So please tell me, where would I find a continuous and current record of actual atmospheric methane concentrations that I as a public tax paying individual can see for myself whether or not we are dying in a tundra-melting sea of methane?</em></p>
<p>You could try here: <a href="http://cdiac.ornl.gov/methane.html" rel="nofollow">http://cdiac.ornl.gov/methane.html</a></p>
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		<title>By: timetochooseagain</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/08/13/evidence-that-global-temperature-trends-have-been-overstated/#comment-173262</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[timetochooseagain]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 14 Aug 2009 18:27:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=9890#comment-173262</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Vangel (11:03:19) : ??? That&#039;s just it! I assumes no such thing! The whole point is that it supports the very notion you are talking about!]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Vangel (11:03:19) : ??? That&#8217;s just it! I assumes no such thing! The whole point is that it supports the very notion you are talking about!</p>
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		<title>By: timetochooseagain</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/08/13/evidence-that-global-temperature-trends-have-been-overstated/#comment-173260</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[timetochooseagain]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 14 Aug 2009 18:26:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=9890#comment-173260</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Pamela Gray (08:32:46) : 

http://cdiac.ornl.gov/methane.html

One thing you will note is that lack of change in Methane concentration recently is a pretty robust and &quot;mainstream&quot; conclusion which puzzles and confounds everyone.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Pamela Gray (08:32:46) : </p>
<p><a href="http://cdiac.ornl.gov/methane.html" rel="nofollow">http://cdiac.ornl.gov/methane.html</a></p>
<p>One thing you will note is that lack of change in Methane concentration recently is a pretty robust and &#8220;mainstream&#8221; conclusion which puzzles and confounds everyone.</p>
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		<title>By: timetochooseagain</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/08/13/evidence-that-global-temperature-trends-have-been-overstated/#comment-173258</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[timetochooseagain]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 14 Aug 2009 18:22:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=9890#comment-173258</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[dennis ward (09:24:05) : I continue to be astounded by the crap that passes for rebuttal of this serious study! Two points: glaciers are horrible thermometers. A case in point is Kilimanjaro, which is retreated, but not from higher temperatures-instead for completely different reasons. Even if that weren&#039;t the case, they do not provide QUANTITATIVE information about temperature! In other words, it wouldn&#039;t challenge the claim of OVERSTATED trends! Remember that Pielke Jr goes to great lengths to say that the analysis ASSUMES some real warming and NOBODY doubts that there has been some real warming.

The same objections go for animals (and by the way, people love warming weather, so in point of fact, even if the world wasn&#039;t warming, at least in the US the average temperatures people EXPERIENCE would still be rising considerably, because people are CHOOSING to live where it is warmer!) and plants (which are loving that CO2 by the way) BUT EVEN SO!:

White, M.A., K.M. de Beurs, K. Didan, D.W. Inouye, A.D. Richardson, O.P. Jensen, J. O’Keefe, G. Zhang, R.R. Nemani, W.J.D. van Leeuwen, J.F. Brown, A. de Wit, M. Schaepman, X. Lin, M. Dettinger, A. Bailey, J. Kimball, M.D. Schwartz, D.D. Baldocchi, J.T. Lee, W.K. Lauenroth. Intercomparison, interpretation, and assessment of spring phenology in North America estimated from remote sensing for 1982 to 2006. Global Change Biology (in press),

&quot;Trend estimates from the SOS [Start of Spring] methods as well as measured and modeled plant phenologystrongly suggest either no or very geographically limited trends towards earlier spring arrival, although we caution that, for an event such as SOS with high interannual variability, a 25-year SOS record is short for detecting robust trends.&quot;

Even I find that spring is not arriving sooner a little puzzling since I agree there has been SOME warming.

So quit this amateurish CRAP about a very serious paper. I mean COME ON!]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>dennis ward (09:24:05) : I continue to be astounded by the crap that passes for rebuttal of this serious study! Two points: glaciers are horrible thermometers. A case in point is Kilimanjaro, which is retreated, but not from higher temperatures-instead for completely different reasons. Even if that weren&#8217;t the case, they do not provide QUANTITATIVE information about temperature! In other words, it wouldn&#8217;t challenge the claim of OVERSTATED trends! Remember that Pielke Jr goes to great lengths to say that the analysis ASSUMES some real warming and NOBODY doubts that there has been some real warming.</p>
<p>The same objections go for animals (and by the way, people love warming weather, so in point of fact, even if the world wasn&#8217;t warming, at least in the US the average temperatures people EXPERIENCE would still be rising considerably, because people are CHOOSING to live where it is warmer!) and plants (which are loving that CO2 by the way) BUT EVEN SO!:</p>
<p>White, M.A., K.M. de Beurs, K. Didan, D.W. Inouye, A.D. Richardson, O.P. Jensen, J. O’Keefe, G. Zhang, R.R. Nemani, W.J.D. van Leeuwen, J.F. Brown, A. de Wit, M. Schaepman, X. Lin, M. Dettinger, A. Bailey, J. Kimball, M.D. Schwartz, D.D. Baldocchi, J.T. Lee, W.K. Lauenroth. Intercomparison, interpretation, and assessment of spring phenology in North America estimated from remote sensing for 1982 to 2006. Global Change Biology (in press),</p>
<p>&#8220;Trend estimates from the SOS [Start of Spring] methods as well as measured and modeled plant phenologystrongly suggest either no or very geographically limited trends towards earlier spring arrival, although we caution that, for an event such as SOS with high interannual variability, a 25-year SOS record is short for detecting robust trends.&#8221;</p>
<p>Even I find that spring is not arriving sooner a little puzzling since I agree there has been SOME warming.</p>
<p>So quit this amateurish CRAP about a very serious paper. I mean COME ON!</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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