Global Sea Level Updated at UC – still flattening

18 07 2009

There was a lot of wailing and gnashing of teeth when Dr. Roger Pielke mentioned a couple of weeks ago in a response to Real Climate that “Sea level has actually flattened since 2006″.

Today the University of Colorado updated their sea level graph after months of no updates. Note it says 2009_rel3 in lower left.

Click for larger image

Source here.  Here is the next oldest graph from UC that Pielke Sr. was looking at.

The newest one also looks “flat” to me since 2006, maybe even a slight downtrend since 2006. Let the wailing and gnashing begin anew.

Here is the text file of sea level data for anyone that wants to plot it themselves. In fact I did myself and my graph is below, with no smoothing or trend lines.

Read the rest of this entry »





Animating GHCN Global Temperature Anomalies from NCDC

18 07 2009

With the recent announcement from NCDC that June 2009 – second warmest on record globally I thought it might be interesting to go back and look at some of the older NCDC announcements.

Many commenters have questioned how NCDC arrives at some of the temperature anomalies on this NCDC graph:

June's Blended Land and Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies in degrees Celsius

June's Blended Land and Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies in degrees Celsius - click for larger

Here is what NCDC says in their official announcement.

As an aid to investigation and understanding, I have compiled all such NCDC global temperature anomaly maps that I could find and made them into a flipbook animation. NCDC only made this map style back to May 2007, and I’ve captured every month up to June 2009.

You’ll be able to watch it after clicking through, please be patient, it is a 1.4 MB file and will take bit to load. Read the rest of this entry »





Compelling video: Angry voters confront Congressman who voted for cap and trade

18 07 2009

From Tom Nelson

At the 4:12 mark, a speaker says that he hopes Castle loses his Congressional seat over his support of cap and trade, and the crowd cheers. Castle smiles briefly, then his face grows grim.

Around the 7:12 mark, Castle is booed after he says he believes in AGW.

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Flashback: Snow in Buenos Aires – first time in 89 years

18 07 2009

Flashback:  More from the “weather is not climate” department.

NOTE: These are news stories about unusual July weather in Argentina from 2007 which I thought might interest readers. Please note these stories are not from 2009.

snow_buenos_aires2.jpg

Picture: snow falls over the obelisk, in the center of Buenos Aires. From Clarin.

Killer Cold Snap Grips South America

Argentina’s capital, Buenos Aires, has seen snow for the first time in 89 years, as a cold snap continues to grip several South American nations.
Temperatures plunged to -22C (-8F) in parts of Argentina’s province of Rio Negro, while snow fell on Buenos Aires for several hours on Monday.

wait for it…. Read the rest of this entry »





Out of Africa: A new paper by Christy on surface temperature issues

18 07 2009
Mozal - Aluminium Smelter - Maputo, Mozambique -1998

Weather station, Mozal - Aluminum Smelter - Maputo, Mozambique - installed in 1998

More weather station photos from Africa here.

These stations shown and linked above are not GHCN stations as far as I can tell, but the siting was interesting nonetheless.

This new paper by John Christy, who works with Dr. Roy Spencer on the UAH dataset, points out that Tmin seems to have a signal in Africa where Tmax does not. Land use changes and aersols that affect the boundary layer at night are theorized and possible reasons. – Anthony

Surface Temperature Variations in East Africa and Possible Causes
JOHN R. CHRISTY, WILLIAM B. NORRIS, AND RICHARD T. MCNIDER
Earth System Science Center, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, Alabama

ABSTRACT
Surface temperatures have been observed in East Africa for more than 100 yr, but heretofore have not been subject to a rigorous climate analysis. To pursue this goal monthly averages of maximum (TMax), minimum (TMin), and mean (TMean) temperatures were obtained for Kenya and Tanzania from several sources. After the data were organized into time series for specific sites (60 in Kenya and 58 in Tanzania), the series were adjusted for break points and merged into individual gridcell squares of 1.258, 2.58, and 5.08.

Results for the most data-rich 58 cell, which includes Nairobi, Mount Kilimanjaro, and Mount Kenya, indicate that since 1905, and even recently, the trend of TMax is not significantly different from zero. However, TMin results suggest an accelerating temperature rise.

Uncertainty estimates indicate that the trend of the difference time series (TMax2 TMin) is significantly less than zero for 1946–2004, the period with the highest density of observations. This trend difference continues in the most recent period (1979–2004), in contrast with findings in recent periods for global datasets, which
generally have sparse coverage of East Africa. Read the rest of this entry »