As a meteorologist, I’m not at all surprised by the reports of ongoing hot weather in Texas and Mississippi while ongoing cold is in New England. Just sounds like a blocking pattern has set up. These can persist for quite a while. It will keep the warm ridge over the central US and the cool, wet trough over the eastern US.

However, at the moment, it does seem that the cool weather has been gaining an edge the past couple of years. Will make the next several very interesting.

Best Regards to all,
Paul

Nobody likes dissenting ideas. The question is whether those ideas are tolerated or not. In my humble opinion, Anthony is much better about letting dissenters be heard than prominent warmists, the most obvious example being Realclimate.

Has Anthony ever flat out deleted one of your posts?

1856-1864
1916 -1922 [and 1909-1911]
1964-1976

Global cold records were set during these very cold periods . We did have sample of this during the first 5 months of this year. AMO has gone back to positive in June .We have had 15 years of warm AMO so a decline of AMO to negative or cool is likely to return together with the cooling of the global climate to follow. The weather of the 1960-1970’s is likely the pattern of the next 2-3 decades

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/about/response-v2.pdf

Was this already addressed? If not I think a post dedicated to their response would be appropriate.

So humor me Zeke, what was your point?

You might want to check on some of the “conventions” used.

The sampling regiman violates the Nyquist sampling theorem

George,

Nyquist is only meaningful if you are trying to reconstruct the original signal. This is not the purpose of the sampling. Also, the sampling of temperature is not periodic since the min/max temperatures occur at different times on different days, so speaking about Nyquist doesn’t even make sense because it requires evenly spaced samples.

Please don’t take this as a defense of the manner in which the sampling is done, I do not intend it as such. Trying to compute the average by averaging the extremes is preposterous.

Lyman Horne

p.s. for those who don’t know what the Nyquist sampling theorem is, here is a fair treament on wikipedia:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nyquist%E2%80%93Shannon_sampling_theorem

I’m very impressed by your politeness, Anthony. If you don’t like dissenting ideas, state it from the start. Maybe “Wattsup with my own opinions” would be better.

REPLY: “Flanagan” There are plenty of dissenting ideas presented here, including yours, so your critcism as usual is myopic to your own world view.

I grow tired of your constant whining over the reporting of things that I see as relevant and interesting to the readers of this blog. Nearly every time I report on a record low or cold story you start this whining drivel. I’m tired of it.

I’m also not impressed with the need for an academic such as yourself, at a university in Belgium to have to hide behind anonymity. If you ideas and opinions are worth something, put your name to it. Intellectual cowards such as yourself do not impress me at all. – Anthony Watts”

Well there’s his problem. In Belgium, with the “Flemmies” and “Walloons” trying to erase each other’s language, it’s not easy keeping track of reality.

It’s raining cats and dogs here right now. It’s chucked down more than three inches of rain in the last few hours and roads in low lying areas have been turned into fords. This is the same type of weather that the Met Office failed to forecaste for the last few years. But then, if they keep forecasting a “barbecue” summer year on year they’ll get it right sooner or later.

Good news from the UK front. The Daily Express, a mianstream national daily newspaper, has finally cottoned on to the fact that AGW is going to cost us all dear and put it on the front page.

http://www.express.co.uk/posts/view/113555/Energy-bills-to-rise-by-230-

Even Monbiot seems to be attempting a U turn – of sorts. I can’t be sure because I found most of his frothing at the mouth rambling unreadable.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2009/jul/13/climate-change-emissions-uk”

Here in Australia, the Rudd Labor Govn’t (On the back of the last Howard govn’t) just gave us taxpayers a tax break, worth about AU$9 per week to me. Two days later I got a letter from my power utility telling me my power bill was going up by just over AU$6 per week, plus 10% GST. This is on top of higher gas costs, higher health insurance costs and higher food costs. Lovely!

weather one day in one place is not climate.

Current trend on Wood for Trees index (from 1979 to May 2009): 0.14 degrees a decade or 1.4 deg per century.

May temperature is around 0.1 degrees below this trend. Values about 0.1 degrees below trend happen regularly, with most gaps between such occurences less than 2 or 3 years.

Currently we are around 2 years continuous below this trend line. The only rough equivelant to this length of below trend temps is during early 1990s, heavily influenced by a volcano (if memory is serving me right).

Every el nino has pushed the temps above the trend line, so if we get an el nino, and another 12 months of below trend temperatures I would be seriously considering the likelihood that the last 30 year trend of temperatures is no longer an accurate reflection of what is currently happening with climate.

“… it’s the first time since World War I that the mercury has failed to hit 85.”

Video report from ABC News :

http://cosmos.bcst.yahoo.com/up/player/popup/?rn=3906861&cl=14448230&ch=4226722&src=news

If this is so, would my post be called an ad hominem? or something else …like ad nauseum?

Sorry!

Check out:

http://cdiac.ornl.gov/epubs/ndp/ushcn/usa.html

Here’s a good link…if you have not already seen. Agreed on your assessment of the implications…

http://digitaldiatribes.wordpress.com/category/atlantic-multidecadal-oscillation-amo/

Chris
Norfolk, VA, USA

We use a whole house fan to pull air through the house and only run the A/C on the hottest/stickyest days, haven’t had to yet! Nightime temperatures drop into the mid/low 60’s this year which is quite comfortable sleeping temperatures.

Our electrical consumption is much lower this year (which of course will be offset by the local power company Kwh increases due to Cap and Trade legislation).

It will be interesting to see what “breakthrough in understanding” might be trotted out to explain such an apparent contradiction, should it arise. The alternative (admitting error) is not likely to be a popular option, so lesser evils will be given serious consideration, should the scenario you describe unfold. Interesting post.

To be getting close to +10 when an El Nino is supposed to arrive doesn’t make any sense, that is if you believe in the predictions made by NOAA and their prediction for it to drop again.