Blah Blah Blah on with it will you..

Alright, I had just settled in to bed and turned on the television(save your cackling for someone else I still enjoy (ed) some programming) To see if I could find any science programs on the Discovery Channel as I drifted off to sleep.But, alas sleep would not fond me so easily this evening.
I did indeed find some sort of “Documentary” purported to be about volcanic activity and the Dinosaurs. I tuned in last in the show and was catching up as best I could and it appeared to be a correlation theory between volcanic activity and the extinction. Now I have an understanding of volcanic activity and global climate. My understanding is that with massive volcanic activity massive and widespread global climate change can and is effected. We KNOW that the gasses and ash which are expelled in a volcanic eruption on the scale needed to effect climate change (Krakatoa for example) has been shown to in fact release enormous amounts of sulfur and methane and yes even Co2 along with enormous amounts of ash and indeed even superheated pyroclastic flows. The ice record and indeed even the historic records show the result to be an inexorable increase in acid rain and global dimming (from the mixing of the sulfur and atmospheric water in the form of sulfuric acid and dimming from the ash ) which is known to result in widespread death through crop loss as well as livestock losses and through prolonged artificial winter. In other words it causes GLOBAL COOLING. To my complete and utter surprise this particular program didn’t just suggest that these type of episodes in nature lead to GLOBAL WARMING, they actually said that they do and went on to say it was because of the massive amounts of Co2 which is released during these events. This is what probably killed the dinosaurs they concluded.
I almost stopped at the end of that program and was ready to give the tube a resounding and altogether destructive heave from the second story window and be done with it again forever. I weakened though and waited to see what the next program would bring.
WOW the next program was another “Documentary” on the volcanic eruptions in Siberia and Iceland and again the common theme was Co2 released and the earth warmed for over 200 years by 20 degrees. W>T>F>

I would find this amazing indeed and quite an idiotic oversight on the part of program editors consulting scientists and even production checkers if it hadn’t been for the “Scientists” which were presenting these “FACTS” . There was a young woman whom appeared to be fresh out of university and quite frankly I surmised must be of the “NO CHILD LEFT BEHIND” dogma of our American scholastic enterprise. Clearly she had no idea how to string those pesky little things called words together into a coherent sentence with anything resembling what one might expect from someone at least having graduated the ninth grade. I have no idea what her name was and she was more or less shrouded in darkness in what I can only surmise was an attempt to fool viewers in a smoke screen of , don’t pay attention to the man behind the curtain , just listen to my words as the wizard commands. The second man I saw I know I have seen before and I believe is connected to the IPCC and AL GORE and I can only assume is possibly behind the MANBEARPIG as well.
It became apparent that these were no mistakes and in fact I believe were actual plants to coincide with the cap and tax bill which is running to the senate at this point. Couple all of this with the media blackout of any discussion on this bill which will destroy more families and individuals and businesses than the entire collapse already has, and I find myself finally feeling the fear I knew was coming for me. Beside that fear however is a profound anger. Anger which stems to all levels of humanity which I encounter everyday. But mostly with myself for not doing more in the past. I am most definitely disappointed in my lack of judgment over the 39 years of my life. Belief in anything you cannot touch taste feel see or prove with empirical evidence has led us all down the road to bigotry, fear, hate, and downright stupidity.

Nevertheless I could not this time rest my head before taking action to alert as many as possible even in this small way to what I have witnessed firsthand. I now leave it to you….

P.S. The series was Prehistoric Disasters and the episodes were Asteroid Strike and Planet of Fire respectively

Peace

Gino (10:32:11) :
GCR theory has more to do with the strength and activity of the sun’s magnetic field and how it interacts with the earths field. Am I off the mark?
Not on the first point, yes on the second. The modulation of cosmic rays takes place far from Earth, way out in interplanetary space. But the modulation is very small, only a few percent, depending on energy.

But a few percent change in cloud cover would drown out any CO2 signal.

Of course the correlations break down! That is *exactly* what you would expect if you are looking at LINEAR shadows of NON-linear relations! It suggests a problem with assumptions. Only once all of the terms, interactions, & dimensionality are *fully* worked out will equations be linearizable. Perhaps some fluid is being treated as Newtonian when it should be treated as visco-elastic. And perhaps also some terms in some differential equations are being set to zero when this is not *always valid. Perhaps some mass is being treated as a point when it should be treated as a series of concentric shells with differential response to gravitational accelerations. Perhaps some probability density functions are being assumed to be of one form when they are really of another. Until the morphology of the various nonlinearities are all worked out you NEED to pay some more respect to phase relations Leif — and I’ve given you some big clues — if you haven’t turned up anything interesting with the clues I’ve shared about the Chandler wobble phase reversal, then I know you haven’t made much of an effort.

European Ices. Who knew it could get so cold. Or how wet they don’t get. Thanks for stretching the imagination without speculating. Isn’t there an approx. 60 million year cycle of increasing and decreasing radiation, too, as we move in and out of some plane?
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Wise words.

Well there is some increase left in the C20th solar wind after you recalibrated it for us isn’t there?

Occams razor would lean towards a solar cause rather than an unknown extra-solar system factor we haven’t measured wouldn’t it?

He seems to get results , but how?

Heh, well I know, at least a good part of it, but I will hold my tongue and see what Piers reveals in October.

Still, I would rather have seen those European Space Agency millions devoted to more exhaustive analysis of cloud patterns, ocean cycles, correlations to solar data etc., than to mechanisms that, at the end of the day, defenders of the faith will deny are relevant because a cloud chamber is not a natural atmosphere.

Well the first hurdle is to determine whether GCRs are capable of creating condensation nuclei in sufficient numbers. The second is where in the atmosphere is there a deficiency of such nuclei so that GCRs can have a significant effect?

Nobody knows, except it does not seem to be measurement errors. Here is an analysis by one of the foremost experts [whom I know and trust]:
http://neutronm.bartol.udel.edu/reprints/2007bieber.pdf
And his conclusion:
[40] In summary, we have not been able to identify any instrumental or environmental effect that could cause the long-term decrease in the South Pole neutron rate. Unless some such cause emerges in the future, it would appear the origin of the decrease must be a change in the Sun or solar wind, with an attendant change in the strength of solar modulation of cosmic rays [Ahluwalia and Lopate, 2001; Caballero-Lopez et al., 2004; McCracken et al., 2004a, 2004b], or possibly a change in the local interstellar density of Galactic cosmic rays [Stozhkov et al., 2000].
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Pick your poison.

The IPCC is currently starting to outline its Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) which will be finalized in 2014. As it has been the case in the past, the outline of the AR5 will be developed through a scoping process which involves climate change experts from all relevant disciplines and users of IPCC reports, in particular representatives from governments.

As a first step, experts, governments and organizations involved in the Fourth Assessment Report have been asked to submit comments and observations in writing. These submissions are currently being analysed by members of the Bureau.

The scoping meeting to define the outline of the AR5 is scheduled in Venice, Italy, for 13-17 July 2009 (attendance is by invitation only). The outline will be submitted to the 31st Session of the IPCC and Sessions of the three Working Groups, which will be held in Bali, Indonesia, 26-29 October 2009.

This is just a non-stop party…….

Still, I would rather have seen those European Space Agency millions devoted to more exhaustive analysis of cloud patterns, ocean cycles, correlations to solar data etc., than to mechanisms that, at the end of the day, defenders of the faith will deny are relevant because a cloud chamber is not a natural atmosphere.

But a computer model is a natural atmosphere?

I do believe Piers has a few answers regarding solar influences beyond variations in TSI. I will be interested to see what he reveals on Oct 28th. I have read that he has an interest in sudden stratospheric heating events. Leif has previously indicated to me that there is some very minor hale cycle variation in flux tunneling events, but without reference as to their nature, passive or active. Piers may be working in this area. I must admit to being curious as to how he manages such long term predictions so close for very short lived events. He seems to get results , but how?

That said, with respect to solar influence I remain unconvinced with regard to reconstructions of past TSI variations. All I can trust is satellite records from the last few years. Extrapolations and reconstructions cut no ice with me. I also have questions about the influence of microwave frequency flux on water molecules that are not answered by black body absorption readings.