Another inconvenient TV meteorologist

27 04 2009

From WOOD-TV, Grand Rapids, MI

Chief Meteorologist Bill Steffen has been a familiar face in West Michigan since 1975.

MSNBC needs to read Bill’s Blog

April 26th, 2009 at 4:55 pm by Bill Steffen under Bill’s Blog, Weather

MSNBC is running a four-part series entitled Future Earth. On their website they say you can “find out why Earth’s climate machine — the North Pole — is melting alarmingly fast. Learn about our planet’s future, and how you can stop its decline.”

First, the North Pole is not “Earth’s Climate Machine”.  There is far more heat and area in the Tropics than at the North Pole.

Second,  YOU can’t stop it’s decline (assuming it’s declining)!  Nature is big – you personally are insignificant compared to nature.  Don’t you wish you had the power to control icecaps!  If you don’t mind some profanity, check out George Carlin’s take on “Saving the Planet”.

Third, MSNBC does not know “our planet’s future”.  The scenario they portray in this piece is about as remote a possibility in the near future (and more than likely the very far future) as the Lions going 16-0 next season.  The Antarctic icecap (which is much bigger than the Arctic icecap) has been growing.  In Sept. 1979 (first year of satellite data) the Antarctic icecap was 18.4 million sq. km.  In Sept. 2008, the Antarctic icecap was at 19.2 million sq. km. That’s a 30-year trendRead the rest of this entry »





Are Record Temperatures Abnormal?

27 04 2009
Guest post by Steven Goddard
Probability density function for the normal distribution
Consider a hypothetical country with 1,000 top notch weather stations and the perfect unchanging climate (which our AGW friends imagine used to exist before they were born.)   During the first year of operations, every station will necessarily set a high and a low temperature record on every day of the year.

That is a total of 365,000 high temperature records and 365,000 low temperature records.  During the second year of operation, each day and each station has a 50/50 chance of breaking a high and/or low record on that date – so we would expect about 182,500 high temperature records and about 182,500 low temperature records during the year.

In the third year of the record, the odds drop to 1/3 and the number of expected records would be about 121,667 high and low temperature records. Read the rest of this entry »