Are today’s poorer generations morally obliged to solve problems that may or may not confront tomorrow’s much wealthier generations?

21 04 2009

Guest post by Indur M. Goklany

http://Goklany.org

Some people argue that we are morally obliged to reduce greenhouse gases aggressively because otherwise the world’s current development path would be unsustainable, and our descendants will be worse off than we are.

igoklany_gdp

But will a warmer world indeed be unsustainable, and leave our descendants worse off?

I examine these claims out to the year 2200 in a post titled, “Will Global Warming Make Future Generations Worse Off?” at MasterResources.  My analysis uses the IPCC’s own assumptions regarding future economic development and results generated by the Stern Review on the economics of climate change. Note that both the IPCC and Stern are viewed quite favorably by proponents of drastic GHG reductions (see, e.g., here). Read the rest of this entry »





CBS’ Charles Osgood on the Sun – and a surprising suggestion

21 04 2009

charles_osgood_headshotHoly Cow! Charles Osgood, a skeptic?

A QUIET SUN DOESN’T HAPPEN OVERNIGHT.

excerpts:

I know you’ve already got a lot to worry about as it is, but something rather odd is going on — on the Sun.

The Sun normally undergoes an 11-year cycle of activity — and last year, it was supposed to have heated up — and, at its peak, would have a tumultuous boiling atmosphere, spitting out flares and huge chunks of super-hot gas.

Instead, it hit a 50-year low in solar wind pressure, a 55-year low in radio emissions, and a 100-year low in sunspot activity. Right now, the sun is the dimmest it’s been in nearly a century.
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Possible “habitable zone” planetary system discovered only 20 light years away

21 04 2009
After more than four years of observations using the most successful low-mass-exoplanet hunter in the world, the HARPS spectrograph attached to the 3.6-metre ESO telescope at La Silla, Chile, astronomers have discovered in this system the lightest exoplanet found so far: Gliese 581 e (foreground) is only about twice the mass of our Earth. The Gliese 581 planetary system now has four known planets, with masses of about 1.9 (planet e, left in the foreground), 16 (planet b, nearest to the star), 5 (planet c, centre), and 7 Earth-masses (planet d, with the bluish color). The planet furthest out, Gliese 581 d, orbits its host star in 66.8 days, while Gliese 581 e completes its orbit in 3.15 days.

IMAGE: European Southern Observatory Click for larger image of this artist rendition. After more than four years of observations using the most successful low-mass-exoplanet hunter in the world, the HARPS spectrograph attached to the 3.6-metre ESO telescope at La Silla, Chile, astronomers have discovered in this system the lightest exoplanet found so far: Gliese 581 e (foreground) is only about twice the mass of our Earth. The Gliese 581 planetary system now has four known planets, with masses of about 1.9 (planet e, left in the foreground), 16 (planet b, nearest to the star), 5 (planet c, centre), and 7 Earth-masses (planet d, with the bluish color). The planet furthest out, Gliese 581 d, orbits its host star in 66.8 days, while Gliese 581 e completes its orbit in 3.15 days.

From RedOrbit and Science News Astronomers Discover Lightest Exoplanet Yet

Astronomers claim to have discovered an exoplanet that is the most similar to Earth in terms of mass than any previously discovered.

Found in the constellation Libra, the planet known as Gliese 581 represents about twice the mass of Earth.

Astronomers have previously identified some 300 exoplanets, but most are much larger than Earth.

“This is by far the smallest planet that’s ever been detected,” said Michael Mayor, from the Geneva Observatory, Switzerland.

“This is just one more step in the search for the twin of the Earth.

“At the beginning, we discovered Jupiter-like planets several hundred times the mass of the Earth; and now we have the sensitivity with new instruments to detect very small planets very close to that of the Earth,” he told BBC News.

Mayor worked alongside an international team of scientists who made the observation using the low-mass-exoplanet hunting device known as the HARPS spectrograph, which is attached to the 3.6 meter ESO telescope at La Silla, Chile.

“The holy grail of current exoplanet research is the detection of a rocky, Earth-like planet in the ‘habitable zone’ – a region around the host star with the right conditions for water to be liquid on a planet’s surface,” Mayor said in a statement. Read the rest of this entry »





Leaving The Ice Pack Behind

21 04 2009

Leaving The Ice Pack Behind

Guest post by Steven Goddard

2009 Arctic ice extent has jumped into a big lead over the previous four years.  Danish Meteorological Institute Ice Cover April 21, 2009
NSIDC shows Arctic extent continuing to close on the 1979-2000 mean
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Solar ISN mean dips below 1.00 -

21 04 2009

While the sun still struggles to form cycle 24 spots like seen in this weak plage area (upper right)  in today’s SOHO MDI and Magnetograms (shown below) Paul Stanko of NOAA writes to tell me of an interesting development in his tracking of the International Sunspot Number (ISN).

shoho_mdi_042109

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