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	<title>Comments on: Cooler heads at NOAA coming around to natural variability</title>
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	<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/03/02/cooler-heads-at-noaa-coming-around-to-natural-variability/</link>
	<description>The world&#039;s most viewed site on global warming and climate change</description>
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		<title>By: Mike</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/03/02/cooler-heads-at-noaa-coming-around-to-natural-variability/#comment-103421</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mike]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Mar 2009 14:45:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=5994#comment-103421</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Do you know which study by Swanson and Anastasios this post refers to, and if so, do you have a link for it? The title of the study will be fine otherwise, if you know it.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Do you know which study by Swanson and Anastasios this post refers to, and if so, do you have a link for it? The title of the study will be fine otherwise, if you know it.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: MikeE</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/03/02/cooler-heads-at-noaa-coming-around-to-natural-variability/#comment-97777</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[MikeE]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Mar 2009 01:16:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=5994#comment-97777</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[SFTor (16:22:08) :  Not a scientist, but ill answer to best o my ability til a better answer comes along eh ;-)

  Yea co2 is what limits the biosphere, Plant growth isnt really burial though, but a raised level of co2 will expand the biosphere, shell/ocean sediment is probably the largest biological burial at a guess...


  So a raised level of co2 will increase the amount of life the planet is able to sustain, yes.. But its not going to cause a &quot;negative feedback&quot; as such. Water vapor very possibly does that all on its own. A negative feedback would be say more co2=more h2o vapor=more cloud=less energy in the system.  What youre saying, is the biosphere going too increase burial... i dont know. 

   The question is whether raised co2 is going to cause a run away green house effect? Probably not, considering in the past it has been many times higher, and for that matter the climate has been warmer since the last ice age than present with low co2, which points too greater climate variability than the AGW crowd would acknowledge.  Or are the climate implications from the raised co2 level going to be adverse to life on the planet?  I dont see any evidence of it. It certainly hasnt worked that way in the past.  

 End of the day the only real constant in the climate is change, and life adapts to the climate...]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>SFTor (16:22:08) :  Not a scientist, but ill answer to best o my ability til a better answer comes along eh ;-)</p>
<p>  Yea co2 is what limits the biosphere, Plant growth isnt really burial though, but a raised level of co2 will expand the biosphere, shell/ocean sediment is probably the largest biological burial at a guess&#8230;</p>
<p>  So a raised level of co2 will increase the amount of life the planet is able to sustain, yes.. But its not going to cause a &#8220;negative feedback&#8221; as such. Water vapor very possibly does that all on its own. A negative feedback would be say more co2=more h2o vapor=more cloud=less energy in the system.  What youre saying, is the biosphere going too increase burial&#8230; i dont know. </p>
<p>   The question is whether raised co2 is going to cause a run away green house effect? Probably not, considering in the past it has been many times higher, and for that matter the climate has been warmer since the last ice age than present with low co2, which points too greater climate variability than the AGW crowd would acknowledge.  Or are the climate implications from the raised co2 level going to be adverse to life on the planet?  I dont see any evidence of it. It certainly hasnt worked that way in the past.  </p>
<p> End of the day the only real constant in the climate is change, and life adapts to the climate&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: SFTor</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/03/02/cooler-heads-at-noaa-coming-around-to-natural-variability/#comment-97753</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[SFTor]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Mar 2009 00:22:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=5994#comment-97753</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I feel a need to expand and clarify the question:

I said &quot;express purpose.&quot; Perhaps that should be &quot;inherent functionality.&quot;

I think my argument goes as follows: &quot;Are we trying to manage something that the planet manages already?&quot;

Could it even be postulated that global temperature increases are a part of that management scheme (higher temperatures and available carbon= more plant growth, hence stronger negative feedback?)

I am perfectly ready to be corrected on this.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I feel a need to expand and clarify the question:</p>
<p>I said &#8220;express purpose.&#8221; Perhaps that should be &#8220;inherent functionality.&#8221;</p>
<p>I think my argument goes as follows: &#8220;Are we trying to manage something that the planet manages already?&#8221;</p>
<p>Could it even be postulated that global temperature increases are a part of that management scheme (higher temperatures and available carbon= more plant growth, hence stronger negative feedback?)</p>
<p>I am perfectly ready to be corrected on this.</p>
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		<title>By: SFTor</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/03/02/cooler-heads-at-noaa-coming-around-to-natural-variability/#comment-97745</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[SFTor]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Mar 2009 00:09:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=5994#comment-97745</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I have a question to the forum:

Would you consider it true that the biosphere is a system that is set up with the express purpose of managing carbon? 

It is after all the foundation of life on the planet. To me the notion connotes that we have a planet that has a robust capability to deal with fluctuations in CO2.

Are there any scientists out there that look at the world in this way?

I am not trying to be another little Goebbels here, but it seems to me a pretty powerful organizing principle for explaining to a semi-interested, semi-aware public why an increase in our current low atmospheric CO2 concentration is going to be handled just fine by the planet.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I have a question to the forum:</p>
<p>Would you consider it true that the biosphere is a system that is set up with the express purpose of managing carbon? </p>
<p>It is after all the foundation of life on the planet. To me the notion connotes that we have a planet that has a robust capability to deal with fluctuations in CO2.</p>
<p>Are there any scientists out there that look at the world in this way?</p>
<p>I am not trying to be another little Goebbels here, but it seems to me a pretty powerful organizing principle for explaining to a semi-interested, semi-aware public why an increase in our current low atmospheric CO2 concentration is going to be handled just fine by the planet.</p>
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		<title>By: Guenter Keil, Germany</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/03/02/cooler-heads-at-noaa-coming-around-to-natural-variability/#comment-96742</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Guenter Keil, Germany]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 10 Mar 2009 12:59:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=5994#comment-96742</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Obama replaces Merkel as planet saver

The irony of AGW history is that the first political leader who discovered planetary doom fear and panic as a strong propellant for a political career - Mrs. Merkel - has become absolutely silent about this topic and has stopped using even the words &quot;global warming&quot; (or, as we are in Germany, where problems become catastrophes very soon, &quot;clima catastrophe&quot;) since Lehman Brothers Day, 4 months ago. It´s the economy, now. As we like to say:&quot;The jammed penny has finally fallen.&quot;
But now Obama is taking over this part - with the same intention as Merkel. He will have to cut the curve like Merkel did, of course. I estimate his time constant to be about 6 months. But don´t be sad - you still have Al Gore. His time constant is much longer than the PDO.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Obama replaces Merkel as planet saver</p>
<p>The irony of AGW history is that the first political leader who discovered planetary doom fear and panic as a strong propellant for a political career &#8211; Mrs. Merkel &#8211; has become absolutely silent about this topic and has stopped using even the words &#8220;global warming&#8221; (or, as we are in Germany, where problems become catastrophes very soon, &#8220;clima catastrophe&#8221;) since Lehman Brothers Day, 4 months ago. It´s the economy, now. As we like to say:&#8221;The jammed penny has finally fallen.&#8221;<br />
But now Obama is taking over this part &#8211; with the same intention as Merkel. He will have to cut the curve like Merkel did, of course. I estimate his time constant to be about 6 months. But don´t be sad &#8211; you still have Al Gore. His time constant is much longer than the PDO.</p>
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		<title>By: E.M.Smith</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/03/02/cooler-heads-at-noaa-coming-around-to-natural-variability/#comment-94683</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[E.M.Smith]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Mar 2009 01:40:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=5994#comment-94683</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&lt;i&gt;Leif Svalgaard (17:44:40) :
3×2 (16:52:42) :
“Indeed it will. In some 5 billions years it will fry the Earth to a crisp.”
&lt;blockquote&gt;Not sure either of you are right. Isn’t there a theory that the Milky Way is set to collide with Andromeda in about 2.5 billion years. &lt;/blockquote&gt;
Collision of galaxies have no effect on the stars in them because of the vast distance between each star.&lt;/i&gt;

Um, wasn&#039;t there a stir about us presently being &lt;b&gt;in&lt;/b&gt; a collision with dwarf Sagittarius and maybe earth being from it, not the Milky Way and that&#039;s why the MW is not on the ecliptic?  As in this article:

http://viewzone.com/milkyway.html

That would kinda be an existence proof of Leif&#039;s point...   and... We&#039;re space aliens from another galaxy!]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>Leif Svalgaard (17:44:40) :<br />
3×2 (16:52:42) :<br />
“Indeed it will. In some 5 billions years it will fry the Earth to a crisp.”</p>
<blockquote><p>Not sure either of you are right. Isn’t there a theory that the Milky Way is set to collide with Andromeda in about 2.5 billion years. </p></blockquote>
<p>Collision of galaxies have no effect on the stars in them because of the vast distance between each star.</i></p>
<p>Um, wasn&#8217;t there a stir about us presently being <b>in</b> a collision with dwarf Sagittarius and maybe earth being from it, not the Milky Way and that&#8217;s why the MW is not on the ecliptic?  As in this article:</p>
<p><a href="http://viewzone.com/milkyway.html" rel="nofollow">http://viewzone.com/milkyway.html</a></p>
<p>That would kinda be an existence proof of Leif&#8217;s point&#8230;   and&#8230; We&#8217;re space aliens from another galaxy!</p>
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		<title>By: Jeff Alberts</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/03/02/cooler-heads-at-noaa-coming-around-to-natural-variability/#comment-94201</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Jeff Alberts]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Mar 2009 19:56:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=5994#comment-94201</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&lt;blockquote&gt; hkyson (04:08:38) :

If historical patterns of climate change strongly indicate that we are now due for another ice age, is it possible that increasing amounts of carbon dioxide and methane in our atmosphere are beneficial because they will act as a countervailing force against the onset of a new ice age?&lt;/blockquote&gt;

If ice core analysis is correct, then there&#039;s no reason to believe any reasonable amount of CO2 will prevent an ice age.

As for &quot;no ice ages occurring when CO2 is above 500ppm&quot;, that pretty much ignores other factors, such as the positions of the continents and the affects they have on ocean currents.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p> hkyson (04:08:38) :</p>
<p>If historical patterns of climate change strongly indicate that we are now due for another ice age, is it possible that increasing amounts of carbon dioxide and methane in our atmosphere are beneficial because they will act as a countervailing force against the onset of a new ice age?</p></blockquote>
<p>If ice core analysis is correct, then there&#8217;s no reason to believe any reasonable amount of CO2 will prevent an ice age.</p>
<p>As for &#8220;no ice ages occurring when CO2 is above 500ppm&#8221;, that pretty much ignores other factors, such as the positions of the continents and the affects they have on ocean currents.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: Syl</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/03/02/cooler-heads-at-noaa-coming-around-to-natural-variability/#comment-94096</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Syl]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Mar 2009 14:56:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=5994#comment-94096</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[hkyson (04:08:38) : 

I read in one paper that glaciations didn&#039;t occur when the CO2 was above about 500PPM. Nobody knows if CO2 would really make a difference, but even if it does we&#039;re still too low.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>hkyson (04:08:38) : </p>
<p>I read in one paper that glaciations didn&#8217;t occur when the CO2 was above about 500PPM. Nobody knows if CO2 would really make a difference, but even if it does we&#8217;re still too low.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: hkyson</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/03/02/cooler-heads-at-noaa-coming-around-to-natural-variability/#comment-94050</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[hkyson]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Mar 2009 12:08:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=5994#comment-94050</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[If historical patterns of climate change strongly indicate that we are now due for another ice age, is it possible that increasing amounts of carbon dioxide and methane in our atmosphere are beneficial because they will act as a countervailing force against the onset of a new ice age?

Harleigh Kyson Jr.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If historical patterns of climate change strongly indicate that we are now due for another ice age, is it possible that increasing amounts of carbon dioxide and methane in our atmosphere are beneficial because they will act as a countervailing force against the onset of a new ice age?</p>
<p>Harleigh Kyson Jr.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: B Kerr</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/03/02/cooler-heads-at-noaa-coming-around-to-natural-variability/#comment-94030</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[B Kerr]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Mar 2009 10:28:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=5994#comment-94030</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[3x2 (06:06:24) :

Re: B Kerr (03:35:51) : (Discovery Channel - “Ways to Save the Planet”)

Providing the focal point could be varied and moved around the planet, cities and even entire countries could pre-order their weather. Using mirrors it could even be ordered for the night time hours when, of course, it would be cheaper.

Lets hear you Australians and Californians mock the UK when we have a pleasant and sunny 23C year-round, even at night. Not laughing so loud now are you?

23C sounds good to me.
But moving 16 trillion lenses all at once?]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>3&#215;2 (06:06:24) :</p>
<p>Re: B Kerr (03:35:51) : (Discovery Channel &#8211; “Ways to Save the Planet”)</p>
<p>Providing the focal point could be varied and moved around the planet, cities and even entire countries could pre-order their weather. Using mirrors it could even be ordered for the night time hours when, of course, it would be cheaper.</p>
<p>Lets hear you Australians and Californians mock the UK when we have a pleasant and sunny 23C year-round, even at night. Not laughing so loud now are you?</p>
<p>23C sounds good to me.<br />
But moving 16 trillion lenses all at once?</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: Ross</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/03/02/cooler-heads-at-noaa-coming-around-to-natural-variability/#comment-94004</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ross]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Mar 2009 08:28:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=5994#comment-94004</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&lt;blockquote&gt;
Leif Svalgaard (21:36:28) :
Try it now! 
&lt;/blockquote&gt;

Nice anim too!]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>
Leif Svalgaard (21:36:28) :<br />
Try it now!
</p></blockquote>
<p>Nice anim too!</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: Ross</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/03/02/cooler-heads-at-noaa-coming-around-to-natural-variability/#comment-94003</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ross]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Mar 2009 08:18:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=5994#comment-94003</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&lt;blockquote&gt;
Leif Svalgaard (21:36:28) : 
Try it now!
&lt;/blockquote&gt;

... but, but, 
  ...can&#039;t believe my lying eyes;
       I see it, yet it is not.

Negative self-referential statements are not to be believed.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>
Leif Svalgaard (21:36:28) :<br />
Try it now!
</p></blockquote>
<p>&#8230; but, but,<br />
  &#8230;can&#8217;t believe my lying eyes;<br />
       I see it, yet it is not.</p>
<p>Negative self-referential statements are not to be believed.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: Lance</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/03/02/cooler-heads-at-noaa-coming-around-to-natural-variability/#comment-94002</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Lance]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Mar 2009 08:16:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=5994#comment-94002</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It&#039;s the  &quot;Al Chu,nah&quot; effect, not to be mistaken for the myth of &quot; El Niño and La Niña&quot; effect. 

 There&#039;s only one effect, the suns effect on the oceans(water) and land.

And if you dive( I do) you&#039;ll notice the temperature drop the deeper you dive with lack of light. 

   There&#039;s no hidden heat under the oceans, heat rises up last time I checked my physics books.

The sun warming of H2O will off gas water vapor that&#039;s lighter then air and rises radiating the heat through convection, out of our atmosphere. 

Of course then colliding with particles in the  ionosphere,  producing a nuclei to gather up the clean water vapor into clouds and return it to earth with small amounts of CO2, NO2, C14 dissolved(or included)) in it.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s the  &#8220;Al Chu,nah&#8221; effect, not to be mistaken for the myth of &#8221; El Niño and La Niña&#8221; effect. </p>
<p> There&#8217;s only one effect, the suns effect on the oceans(water) and land.</p>
<p>And if you dive( I do) you&#8217;ll notice the temperature drop the deeper you dive with lack of light. </p>
<p>   There&#8217;s no hidden heat under the oceans, heat rises up last time I checked my physics books.</p>
<p>The sun warming of H2O will off gas water vapor that&#8217;s lighter then air and rises radiating the heat through convection, out of our atmosphere. </p>
<p>Of course then colliding with particles in the  ionosphere,  producing a nuclei to gather up the clean water vapor into clouds and return it to earth with small amounts of CO2, NO2, C14 dissolved(or included)) in it.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: Steven Goddard</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/03/02/cooler-heads-at-noaa-coming-around-to-natural-variability/#comment-93966</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Steven Goddard]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Mar 2009 06:21:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=5994#comment-93966</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[jwt,

The Chu effect is indeed impressive.

Accuweather is forecasting another two feet of snow for Lake Tahoe
http://www.accuweather.com/us/ca/lake-tahoe/AB957/forecast.asp?partner=forecastfox&amp;traveler=1&amp;zipChg=1&amp;metric=0

And Kirkwood has received 86cm in the last three days.
http://www.onthesnow.co.uk/california/skireport.html
Northstar has received 132cm in the last three days.
Mammoth has a 493cm base.

Good thing Arnie declared a drought emergency last week.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>jwt,</p>
<p>The Chu effect is indeed impressive.</p>
<p>Accuweather is forecasting another two feet of snow for Lake Tahoe<br />
<a href="http://www.accuweather.com/us/ca/lake-tahoe/AB957/forecast.asp?partner=forecastfox&#038;traveler=1&#038;zipChg=1&#038;metric=0" rel="nofollow">http://www.accuweather.com/us/ca/lake-tahoe/AB957/forecast.asp?partner=forecastfox&#038;traveler=1&#038;zipChg=1&#038;metric=0</a></p>
<p>And Kirkwood has received 86cm in the last three days.<br />
<a href="http://www.onthesnow.co.uk/california/skireport.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.onthesnow.co.uk/california/skireport.html</a><br />
Northstar has received 132cm in the last three days.<br />
Mammoth has a 493cm base.</p>
<p>Good thing Arnie declared a drought emergency last week.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: Just want truth...</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/03/02/cooler-heads-at-noaa-coming-around-to-natural-variability/#comment-93957</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Just want truth...]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Mar 2009 05:53:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.com/?p=5994#comment-93957</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&quot;Steven Goddard (06:35:50) :

The esteemed Dr. Hansen (who spent the day yesterday freezing with a bunch of Hippies) has reportedly forecast that 2009 or 2010 may be the hottest year on record.&quot;

What else is new. With GISS data passing through his hands before it reaches the public that prediction has a very high probability of happening--at least in that data set. Nice to have to power to make your predictions come true. ;)
------------------------

Steven,

Do you have an update on snow total at Kirkwood since the Steven Chu&#039;s visit to California? Heavenly got 30&quot; just today.

Right now The Weather Channel is talking about &quot;combating the drought&quot; in California. It&#039;s been raining for days here in the Bay Area with few days in the last month where it hasn&#039;t rained. I think rain is a pretty descent way to combat drought.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Steven Goddard (06:35:50) :</p>
<p>The esteemed Dr. Hansen (who spent the day yesterday freezing with a bunch of Hippies) has reportedly forecast that 2009 or 2010 may be the hottest year on record.&#8221;</p>
<p>What else is new. With GISS data passing through his hands before it reaches the public that prediction has a very high probability of happening&#8211;at least in that data set. Nice to have to power to make your predictions come true. ;)<br />
&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;</p>
<p>Steven,</p>
<p>Do you have an update on snow total at Kirkwood since the Steven Chu&#8217;s visit to California? Heavenly got 30&#8243; just today.</p>
<p>Right now The Weather Channel is talking about &#8220;combating the drought&#8221; in California. It&#8217;s been raining for days here in the Bay Area with few days in the last month where it hasn&#8217;t rained. I think rain is a pretty descent way to combat drought.</p>
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