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	<title>Comments on: Update on the Verhojansk Russia Meteo station and data</title>
	<atom:link href="http://wattsupwiththat.com/2008/11/18/update-on-the-verhojansk-russia-meteo-station-and-data/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2008/11/18/update-on-the-verhojansk-russia-meteo-station-and-data/</link>
	<description>The world&#039;s most viewed site on global warming and climate change</description>
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		<title>By: fred4d</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2008/11/18/update-on-the-verhojansk-russia-meteo-station-and-data/#comment-58683</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[fred4d]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 22:04:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.wordpress.com/?p=4198#comment-58683</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Looked at the double temperature data from 4/30/04 to 6/16/04. Most days eight readings are recorded, two at 0:00, 6:00, 12:00 and 18:00 although for a few the double is missing. If I assume the first and second readings are consistently recorded in order corresponding to two different thermometers the difference between the two readings over the time was 0.14 degrees. The maximum difference between readings was 4.85 degrees and the minimum -0.50 degrees. Standard deviation for the differences was 0.73 degrees

Average,	Average 0,	Average 6,	Average 12,	Average 18,
0.14,	0.06,	-0.04,	-0.01,	0.59
Max				
4.85,2.05,	0.50,	0.50,	4.85
Min				
-0.50,	-0.50,	-0.50,	-0.50,	-0.50
STDEV				
0.73,	0.41,	0.32,	0.30,	1.28

The table above shows the Average, Max, Min and StDev of the differences for each recording hour. The worst correspondence is for the 18:00 observations. It could be if these are different locations there is a shadowing that affects the 18:00 observations but not the others. 

I think I have looked at this data enough. Strangeness abounds. Why the double readings? Why the changing GISS correction. Why does this data show no change over time but the GISS data shows warming?

Do enjoy reading your articles, especially on the weather station sites.

During the time period after the double readings stopped (6/14/04 on) there were not fewer 0:00 readings as I supposed in my last post but more 6:00 readings (6 more to be exact) than the 0;00, 12;00 and 18:00 readings.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Looked at the double temperature data from 4/30/04 to 6/16/04. Most days eight readings are recorded, two at 0:00, 6:00, 12:00 and 18:00 although for a few the double is missing. If I assume the first and second readings are consistently recorded in order corresponding to two different thermometers the difference between the two readings over the time was 0.14 degrees. The maximum difference between readings was 4.85 degrees and the minimum -0.50 degrees. Standard deviation for the differences was 0.73 degrees</p>
<p>Average,	Average 0,	Average 6,	Average 12,	Average 18,<br />
0.14,	0.06,	-0.04,	-0.01,	0.59<br />
Max<br />
4.85,2.05,	0.50,	0.50,	4.85<br />
Min<br />
-0.50,	-0.50,	-0.50,	-0.50,	-0.50<br />
STDEV<br />
0.73,	0.41,	0.32,	0.30,	1.28</p>
<p>The table above shows the Average, Max, Min and StDev of the differences for each recording hour. The worst correspondence is for the 18:00 observations. It could be if these are different locations there is a shadowing that affects the 18:00 observations but not the others. </p>
<p>I think I have looked at this data enough. Strangeness abounds. Why the double readings? Why the changing GISS correction. Why does this data show no change over time but the GISS data shows warming?</p>
<p>Do enjoy reading your articles, especially on the weather station sites.</p>
<p>During the time period after the double readings stopped (6/14/04 on) there were not fewer 0:00 readings as I supposed in my last post but more 6:00 readings (6 more to be exact) than the 0;00, 12;00 and 18:00 readings.</p>
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		<title>By: fred4d</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2008/11/18/update-on-the-verhojansk-russia-meteo-station-and-data/#comment-58674</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[fred4d]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 20:59:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.wordpress.com/?p=4198#comment-58674</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I have no idea if the method is correct, I have no background in metrology. For the all daily data i just graphed the entire T column, in the spreadsheet linked in the story, versus a summation of the date and time columns and got the linear trend line. For the March to March I obviously cut of the end of the data past March. 

For the average of the Max and min I just averaged the max and min data for each day then plotted versus the date. This would have been easier if I had sorted the data to collapse the Max min data, but I just cut and pasted an average formula. For most of the data there were four hourly observations and the max min so it was regular, near the end of the four years there were more than the 4 daily observations. Like two 6 am observations with slightly different temperatures, Some days were missing data as well. I think the time frame, even 8 years, is too short to make too much of the trends. The difference in the GISS data I do not understand, but then I do not know what they are correcting for. I would assume correcting for altitude and such would give more of a constant change in the numbers not the decreasing correction seen.

Looking at the every 6 hour data it looks like data is not collected automatically especially since it appears that more midnight data is missing than others (would have to check to verify that), When they were doing duplicate data for each observation it is like they were changing thermometers or station sites perhaps and wanted a little bit of time to overlap the data to check for consistency.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I have no idea if the method is correct, I have no background in metrology. For the all daily data i just graphed the entire T column, in the spreadsheet linked in the story, versus a summation of the date and time columns and got the linear trend line. For the March to March I obviously cut of the end of the data past March. </p>
<p>For the average of the Max and min I just averaged the max and min data for each day then plotted versus the date. This would have been easier if I had sorted the data to collapse the Max min data, but I just cut and pasted an average formula. For most of the data there were four hourly observations and the max min so it was regular, near the end of the four years there were more than the 4 daily observations. Like two 6 am observations with slightly different temperatures, Some days were missing data as well. I think the time frame, even 8 years, is too short to make too much of the trends. The difference in the GISS data I do not understand, but then I do not know what they are correcting for. I would assume correcting for altitude and such would give more of a constant change in the numbers not the decreasing correction seen.</p>
<p>Looking at the every 6 hour data it looks like data is not collected automatically especially since it appears that more midnight data is missing than others (would have to check to verify that), When they were doing duplicate data for each observation it is like they were changing thermometers or station sites perhaps and wanted a little bit of time to overlap the data to check for consistency.</p>
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		<title>By: wattsupwiththat</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2008/11/18/update-on-the-verhojansk-russia-meteo-station-and-data/#comment-58523</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[wattsupwiththat]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 03:26:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.wordpress.com/?p=4198#comment-58523</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Fred4D, thanks for doing this.

Can you share your method and or files, such as an Excel file or other tool?

- Anthony]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Fred4D, thanks for doing this.</p>
<p>Can you share your method and or files, such as an Excel file or other tool?</p>
<p>- Anthony</p>
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		<title>By: Richard M</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2008/11/18/update-on-the-verhojansk-russia-meteo-station-and-data/#comment-58521</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Richard M]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 03:16:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.wordpress.com/?p=4198#comment-58521</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Fred4D,

Sure looks strange. If anyone from GISS, NOAA or RC is reading this can you explain why there is such a big difference.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Fred4D,</p>
<p>Sure looks strange. If anyone from GISS, NOAA or RC is reading this can you explain why there is such a big difference.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: fred4d</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2008/11/18/update-on-the-verhojansk-russia-meteo-station-and-data/#comment-58516</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[fred4d]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 02:13:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.wordpress.com/?p=4198#comment-58516</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Compared Daily data to GISS data set for 2001 to 2007

Year	GISS Data	Daily Data
2001	-16.46	-13.35
2002	-14.41	-12.28
2003	-14.51	-12.32
2004	-15.87	-14.38
2005	-13.19	-12.16
2006	-13.82	-14.42
2007	-13.12	-13.42

Obviously the GISS corrections change the data trends.

Trend GISS +0.45 C/yr, Trend Daily data -0.12 C/yr]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Compared Daily data to GISS data set for 2001 to 2007</p>
<p>Year	GISS Data	Daily Data<br />
2001	-16.46	-13.35<br />
2002	-14.41	-12.28<br />
2003	-14.51	-12.32<br />
2004	-15.87	-14.38<br />
2005	-13.19	-12.16<br />
2006	-13.82	-14.42<br />
2007	-13.12	-13.42</p>
<p>Obviously the GISS corrections change the data trends.</p>
<p>Trend GISS +0.45 C/yr, Trend Daily data -0.12 C/yr</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: fred4d</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2008/11/18/update-on-the-verhojansk-russia-meteo-station-and-data/#comment-58509</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[fred4d]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 01:36:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.wordpress.com/?p=4198#comment-58509</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Looked at the daily trend data for the last 8 years.

The min and max data is only for the first 4 years. A trend on all the ave temp data using the max min data was -2.1 C/yr. Using only the March to March data it was -3.125 /yr. Using the eight years of 4 times a day observations gives a trend of +0.3 C/yr, the March to March 4 times a day observation for the eight years gives a trend of -.84 C/yr. 

Doesn&#039;t match the end of the yearly plot very well. Will look at the other data set.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Looked at the daily trend data for the last 8 years.</p>
<p>The min and max data is only for the first 4 years. A trend on all the ave temp data using the max min data was -2.1 C/yr. Using only the March to March data it was -3.125 /yr. Using the eight years of 4 times a day observations gives a trend of +0.3 C/yr, the March to March 4 times a day observation for the eight years gives a trend of -.84 C/yr. </p>
<p>Doesn&#8217;t match the end of the yearly plot very well. Will look at the other data set.</p>
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		<title>By: wattsupwiththat</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2008/11/18/update-on-the-verhojansk-russia-meteo-station-and-data/#comment-58496</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[wattsupwiththat]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 00:29:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.wordpress.com/?p=4198#comment-58496</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Good catch, the switch is hard to see. Makes you wonder though how often it gets left on. Pretty easy to do if you are in a hurry to get the heck out of the cold at -30C]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Good catch, the switch is hard to see. Makes you wonder though how often it gets left on. Pretty easy to do if you are in a hurry to get the heck out of the cold at -30C</p>
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		<title>By: Richard M</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2008/11/18/update-on-the-verhojansk-russia-meteo-station-and-data/#comment-58492</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Richard M]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 00:15:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.wordpress.com/?p=4198#comment-58492</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In looking at the picture again it looks like a light switch on the right side of the enclosure with a wire running from it. (If someone already posted this I missed it.)

I would assume the person reading the temp comes up and turns on the light just before doing the reading.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In looking at the picture again it looks like a light switch on the right side of the enclosure with a wire running from it. (If someone already posted this I missed it.)</p>
<p>I would assume the person reading the temp comes up and turns on the light just before doing the reading.</p>
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		<title>By: mark wells</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2008/11/18/update-on-the-verhojansk-russia-meteo-station-and-data/#comment-58414</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[mark wells]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 20 Nov 2008 19:18:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.wordpress.com/?p=4198#comment-58414</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Maybe its just me, but I looked at that data set you posted.  If you start at around 1900 (when the data is actually pretty clean and error free) going until the present you get to me what looks like the ordinary.  Using yearly averages, the overall average for the time frame is roughly -15 degrees celsius.  If you run a 5 year trend line you see that it starts off above average, moves down to below average and moves back up to above average today.  But, during the entire timeframe the moving average is + or -, 1 degree.  In fact the moving average is showing that we are now heading back down towards cold again.  How is this not normal.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Maybe its just me, but I looked at that data set you posted.  If you start at around 1900 (when the data is actually pretty clean and error free) going until the present you get to me what looks like the ordinary.  Using yearly averages, the overall average for the time frame is roughly -15 degrees celsius.  If you run a 5 year trend line you see that it starts off above average, moves down to below average and moves back up to above average today.  But, during the entire timeframe the moving average is + or -, 1 degree.  In fact the moving average is showing that we are now heading back down towards cold again.  How is this not normal.</p>
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		<title>By: EW</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2008/11/18/update-on-the-verhojansk-russia-meteo-station-and-data/#comment-58357</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[EW]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 20 Nov 2008 14:49:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.wordpress.com/?p=4198#comment-58357</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Interesting article about treeline in Polar Urals:
http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/120091806/abstract

&quot;Expanding forests and changing growth forms of Siberian larch at the Polar Urals treeline during the 20th century&quot;

&lt;em&gt;The aim of this study was to reconstruct stand structure and growth forms of Larix sibirica (Ledeb.) in undisturbed forest–tundra ecotones of the remote Polar Urals on a centennial time scale. Comparisons of the current ecotone with historic photographs from the 1960s clearly document that forests have significantly expanded since then.&lt;/em&gt;

However:
 &lt;em&gt; Because thousands of more than &lt;b&gt;500-year-old subfossil trees occur in the same area &lt;/b&gt;but tree remnants of the 15–19th century are lacking almost entirely, we conclude that the forest has been expanding upwards into the formerly tree-free tundra during the last century by about 20–60 m in altitude.&lt;/em&gt;

So once upon the time, there was no tundra, but forest...]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Interesting article about treeline in Polar Urals:<br />
<a href="http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/120091806/abstract" rel="nofollow">http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/120091806/abstract</a></p>
<p>&#8220;Expanding forests and changing growth forms of Siberian larch at the Polar Urals treeline during the 20th century&#8221;</p>
<p><em>The aim of this study was to reconstruct stand structure and growth forms of Larix sibirica (Ledeb.) in undisturbed forest–tundra ecotones of the remote Polar Urals on a centennial time scale. Comparisons of the current ecotone with historic photographs from the 1960s clearly document that forests have significantly expanded since then.</em></p>
<p>However:<br />
 <em> Because thousands of more than <b>500-year-old subfossil trees occur in the same area </b>but tree remnants of the 15–19th century are lacking almost entirely, we conclude that the forest has been expanding upwards into the formerly tree-free tundra during the last century by about 20–60 m in altitude.</em></p>
<p>So once upon the time, there was no tundra, but forest&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: JamesG</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2008/11/18/update-on-the-verhojansk-russia-meteo-station-and-data/#comment-58354</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[JamesG]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 20 Nov 2008 13:53:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.wordpress.com/?p=4198#comment-58354</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Thanks Anthony. That argument makes sense. An FE thermal model would indeed tell us the truth. I could likely do it too if it weren&#039;t for this pesky need to earn money.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks Anthony. That argument makes sense. An FE thermal model would indeed tell us the truth. I could likely do it too if it weren&#8217;t for this pesky need to earn money.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: E.M.Smith</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2008/11/18/update-on-the-verhojansk-russia-meteo-station-and-data/#comment-58349</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[E.M.Smith]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 20 Nov 2008 11:47:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.wordpress.com/?p=4198#comment-58349</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[To the poster who asked &quot;why natural fertilizer?&quot;..  Because artificial fertilizers (especial nitrogen ones) are made with hydrocarbon energy sources and are thus expected to be evil.   Never mind that it takes far less energy to synthesize NH3 than to get it from animal pee (via feed, via farming...)]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>To the poster who asked &#8220;why natural fertilizer?&#8221;..  Because artificial fertilizers (especial nitrogen ones) are made with hydrocarbon energy sources and are thus expected to be evil.   Never mind that it takes far less energy to synthesize NH3 than to get it from animal pee (via feed, via farming&#8230;)</p>
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		<title>By: E.M.Smith</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2008/11/18/update-on-the-verhojansk-russia-meteo-station-and-data/#comment-58347</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[E.M.Smith]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 20 Nov 2008 11:30:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.wordpress.com/?p=4198#comment-58347</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Daniel Said: In the paper they say that we can reduce CO2 50ppm by “reforestation of degraded land and use of more natural fertilizers.”...
End quote.

Having been around a lot of &quot;natural fertilizers&quot; I can assure you that it breaks down into large quantities of &quot;greenhouse gasses&quot; including many hydrocarbon containing aromatic ones!  BTW, where do the sequestering trees go in 25 to 50 years?  Or do we need to keep doing this on new land each 50 years (I assume they would be using a very high growth tree species that reaches maturity in 25-50 years for max sequestration.)

Before we head down this rat hole would it not be easier to just stop cutting down the existing rainforest?  Oh right, since it&#039;s mature it is not a net sequestration so no carbon credits.  Guess we need to plant new forests then and let the old ones go... gotta get those carbon credits.

How can these looneytoons in one breath say farming causes GHGs and in the next breath say we can cure GHGs with tree farming.  Sheesh.  

(Disclaimer:  Elsewhere on the net I&#039;ve advocated tree farms for biofuel production and I&#039;ve shown that if we wanted a one time short duration suck down of CO2 we could do in a rapid forest system.  But I&#039;ve not been from the &quot;we must sequester CO2 forever&quot; camp, so have no hypocrisy in tossing darts at the idea of trees as long term sequestration.)]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Daniel Said: In the paper they say that we can reduce CO2 50ppm by “reforestation of degraded land and use of more natural fertilizers.”&#8230;<br />
End quote.</p>
<p>Having been around a lot of &#8220;natural fertilizers&#8221; I can assure you that it breaks down into large quantities of &#8220;greenhouse gasses&#8221; including many hydrocarbon containing aromatic ones!  BTW, where do the sequestering trees go in 25 to 50 years?  Or do we need to keep doing this on new land each 50 years (I assume they would be using a very high growth tree species that reaches maturity in 25-50 years for max sequestration.)</p>
<p>Before we head down this rat hole would it not be easier to just stop cutting down the existing rainforest?  Oh right, since it&#8217;s mature it is not a net sequestration so no carbon credits.  Guess we need to plant new forests then and let the old ones go&#8230; gotta get those carbon credits.</p>
<p>How can these looneytoons in one breath say farming causes GHGs and in the next breath say we can cure GHGs with tree farming.  Sheesh.  </p>
<p>(Disclaimer:  Elsewhere on the net I&#8217;ve advocated tree farms for biofuel production and I&#8217;ve shown that if we wanted a one time short duration suck down of CO2 we could do in a rapid forest system.  But I&#8217;ve not been from the &#8220;we must sequester CO2 forever&#8221; camp, so have no hypocrisy in tossing darts at the idea of trees as long term sequestration.)</p>
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		<title>By: Chris</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2008/11/18/update-on-the-verhojansk-russia-meteo-station-and-data/#comment-58303</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Chris]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 20 Nov 2008 00:36:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.wordpress.com/?p=4198#comment-58303</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Hinkel et al?]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hinkel et al?</p>
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		<title>By: George M</title>
		<link>http://wattsupwiththat.com/2008/11/18/update-on-the-verhojansk-russia-meteo-station-and-data/#comment-58302</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[George M]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 20 Nov 2008 00:34:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wattsupwiththat.wordpress.com/?p=4198#comment-58302</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[abjects?  oops, objects]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>abjects?  oops, objects</p>
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