dave bruenner (11:33:59) :
‘ I have heard quite a twitter about a mysterious term 10xcsn’
” I have no idea…”

One of those “web bot” things – they crawl the web for supposedly significant words & phrases which are then supposed to be important for predicting future trends & world events & such. (For example, in 2001, an increase in online references to Sept 11th as that date approached).

This 10xcsn is now on various conspiracy sites, but few even purport to know its meaning, other than to say its from the ‘new world order,’ secret societies or ufos.

I’m going to make up a weird, Kurt-Vonnegut-style name, and associate it with a secret-project-type title and throw it out on the web, then see how long it takes for web bots to pick it up as a sign of end times, something related to a Nostradamus prediction, or part of an international multi-generational conspiracy.

Any decent web bot will surely scan WUWT, so here goes:

Lucifex Trasmastodedes appointed Dirigent for Operation Empoissoner. Take all normal measures to conceal this information. – Mendacitas de Aleppo

ufo new world order bilderberg assassination cia illuminati mafia da vinci code paris hilton

“…two small active regions (NOAA11005 & 11006) were seen on the disc from Oct. 13 to 18, as well as several small plages without sunspots.

” Most of those features belonged to the new solar cycle, thus heralding the onset of the rising phase of cycle 24.

“Only AR11006 produced minor A subflares on Oct. 17 and 18. A semi-halo CME was also seen in LASCO images on Oct.17, but it was a backside event directed away from the Earth.

” It may indicate the presence of an active source that could
rotate onto the Earth-facing hemisphere over the coming week. ”

http://www.sidc.be/products/bul/

http://www.lavoisier.com.au/articles/greenhouse-science/solar-cycles/IanwilsonForum2008.pdf

Any comments?

I am still stuck with my question about the Landscheidt papers.
He not only made the prediction for a Maunder Minimum in 2030 (still to be proven), he also made predictions for El Ninjo events and big droughts (which were proven).

In order to make such predictions he must have had a profound understanding of the way our sun behaves and interacts with our atmosphere and oceans.

I just would like to have your opinion how to weigh Landscheidt’s work and conclusions in regard to the current discussions.
One of the aspects I remember is an explanation how solar winds bring energy into the statosphere thus influencing air pressure and weather patterns.

“I have heard quite a twitter about a mysterious term 10xcsn being batted about in the looney bin chat rooms. It supposably refers to some kind of solar mishap or flare. Does this have ANYTHING to do with the suns variation of magnetic field.”

Could be “clear solar noon”, which appears to be what it sounds like, a clear noon day.

“This model is referred to as the Clear Solar Noon Model”
http://www.osti.gov/energycitations/product.biblio.jsp?osti_id=5901573

“Nontemperature-related errors in the pre-1976 global horizontal data used in the SOLMET/ERSATZ data base were corrected using a technique known as the SYI/CSN procedure. Data for clear solar noons (CSN) were compared with standard year irradiance (SYI) values obtained…”
http://rredc.nrel.gov/solar/pubs/NSRDB/history.html

“Sunspot 1005 has decayed into a plage region.

” Meanwhile a new sunspot formed overnight in the southern hemisphere and also belongs to Cycle 24. For a short period early today, both sunspots were visible at the same time.

“This is the first time two Cycle 24 sunspots were visible at the same time.”

http://www.solarcycle24.com/

Am I correct in assuming that any increase in the energy coming from the suns southern hemisphere plays out between January and June tending to reinforce the influence of the March magnetosphere coupling effect?
First, there is no generally accepted difference and persistent increase from either hemisphere. There are no shortages of wild claims, of course, here is one of the worst http://spaceweb.oulu.fi/~kalevi/publications/Mursula_ASR_2007.pdf [even using my IMF polarity data]. I’m sure you’ll find in it ample material to further your speculations.

Second, the [small, perhaps 15%] part of the magnetospheric coupling that maximizes in March for one polarity of the IMF will minimize in March for the other polarity [reversed in September]. Since the poles change polarity at cycle max, the result is a [weak] 22-year cycle of geomagnetic activity. This is explained in [too?] great detail in the papers referred to, e.g. http://www.leif.org/research/suipr699.pdf

Ken McCracken on the radio tonight saying that the next twenty years will bring cooling [...] I believe his temperature projection is based on ice core data. I imagine that the mechanism that relates low amplitude solar cycles to reduced terrestrial temperature remains unexplained.

Not only that, but also un-demonstrated, so no wonder is it not explained.

Erl Happ (08:23:49) :
the stratosphere where strong seasonal heating produces no response whatsoever in the layer immediately below.
It seems that you have seen the light, good, finally.
The two-slab model is a teaching tool to make you grasp the physics at work [it apparently failed to do so]. A more realistic atmosphere has more than one absorbing layer, which will just further decrease outgoing thermal radiation and increase surface temperatures. You see, the main point is that the downward directed radiation heats the surface, not the atmosphere, but since the atmosphere is heated from below, a higher surface temperature leads to a higher atmospheric temperature the usual way.

Mathematics is no substitute for common sense.
First, common sense is not so common [to wit ...]. Second, Mathematics is the most powerful tool we have to understand how the universe works. It is a bit unreasonable [ http://nedwww.ipac.caltech.edu/level5/March02/Wigner/Wigner.html ] that it should be so, but without Mathematics, you cannot really understand [and apply that understanding] the physical world. You can still be awed by its beauty and violence.