More anecdotal and oddly cool summer weather: Rockford, IL yet to reach 90 degrees

19 08 2008

Having grown up in the midwest not too far from there, having no 90 degree days yet for the entire summer is admitedly unusual. Here is a running window of the last 3 days of temperature data from Rockford. So far 84 degrees F has been the warmest since this report has been issued. – Anthony


NOUS43 KLOT 162218
PNSLOT
 
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
517 PM CDT SAT AUG 16 2008
 
…ROCKFORD STILL WAITING FOR SUMMER…
 
ANY LECTURES ON GLOBAL WARMING IN ROCKFORD WILL GATHER LITTLE
ATTENDENCE THIS SUMMER. SO FAR…HIGH TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN CAPPED
FROM ENTERING THE 90S.
 
NONE OF THEM ARE IN SIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEEK EITHER. THE LONGEST THAT
ROCKFORD HAS EVER GONE WITHOUT A 90 DEGREE TEMPERATURE WAS AUGUST
15TH…OCCURRING IN THE YEAR 2000.
 
SINCE ROCKFORD FAILED TO REACH 90 DEGREES YESTERDAY…WE ARE ALREADY
EXPERIENCING A RECORD EVENT AND AWAITING THE NEW DATE OF RECORD.
ROCKFORD HAS NEVER GONE THROUGH A SUMMER WITHOUT A 90 DEGREE
TEMPERATURE. METEOROLOGICAL SUMMER ENDS THE LAST DAY OF THIS MONTH.
WITH THE DAYS SHORTENING BY SEVERAL MINUTES EACH DAY…IT IS NOT
PROMISING FOR ROCKFORD TO SEE A 90 DEGREE EVENT PAST THIS SUMMER.
SO IF NO 90 DEGREE TEMPERATURE IS RECORDED AT ROCKFORD IN THE NEXT
TWO WEEKS…ANOTHER RECORD WILL PROBABLY BE SET AS A YEAR WITHOUT A
NINETY.
 
$$
 


Source of statement here





Democrats planning everything but the weather in Denver

19 08 2008

From USA Today:

Democrats planning everything but the weather in Denver 
By Chuck Raasch, GNS Political Writer

WASHINGTON — Democrats are hoping for an open-air sendoff of Barack Obama on Aug. 28 as big as the Colorado sky. But what if Denver’s heavens open up with a thunderstorm, as they can do on late-summer evenings on the Rockies’ eastern slopes?

“Rain or shine,” Obama will speak outdoors at Invesco Field at Mile High, said Natalie Wyeth, press secretary for the Democratic National Convention. But rain isn’t always the worst Mother Nature can do. “I moved to Colorado in 1994, and my first day of school in Denver it snowed a foot. In September,” said Dan Smith, a University of Florida political scientist and former Colorado resident.

Obama will deliver the first outdoor speech to accept the presidential nomination since John F. Kennedy spoke in the Los Angeles Coliseum in 1960. Tens of thousands of delegates and supporters are expected to gather in the home of the Denver Broncos football team.

A comfortable evening could be the perfect backdrop for a scene of cheering crowds that Obama’s planners are hoping for. But a storm like the one on Aug. 8 would unleash a torrent of rain-on-parade metaphors, if nothing else. That drought-buster dumped more than two inches of rain in less than an hour near the stadium at roughly the time of the evening Obama is scheduled to speak. “That would not have been a good day” for an outdoor speech, said Colorado state climatologist Nolan Doesken. Read the rest of this entry »





AMS Linking Weather Events to Climate Change

19 08 2008

One of the most vocal criticisms I get is when I write about weather events around the globe. For example one commenter, “beaker” recently wrote this criticism to my story about Denver setting two new record low maximum temperatures on consecutive days, breaking one record that stood for 118 years:

“Why is this site so obsessed with short term extrema? All this will do is reinforce crackpot opinions on long term climate change on the basis of irrelevant weather noise.”

In a nutshell he’s saying “weather is not climate”. We all understand that. I always make sure that I tag such entries as “weather” and not “climate change”. It’s not the first nor will it be the last time I get criticized for talking about weather events on a blog that focuses mostly on climate change. As I pointed out though, weather is in fact my career, so I reserve the right to talk about it.

To his credit, “Beaker” was gracious in acknowledging that he was not specifically referring to me as a “crackpot”. It is true that any single weather event can’t be linked to climate change, and even in periods of a year, linking even a collection of weather events to long term climate change is problematic. And yes, as “Beaker” points out, can be fodder for “crackpots”. Tim Flannery and Al Gore come to mind as people that use specific weather events to point out “climate change”.

Take for example Hurricane Katrina, long the poster child for climate change, yet several studies have shown that there is no trend linking global warming to increased hurricane activity. Thus naming specific storms as linked to climate change is just not supportable. Senator (and former presidential candidate) John Kerry recently said that a tornado outbreak in the USA was attributable to “global warming”, when in fact it is related to the La Nina pattern in the Pacific.

There seems to be no dearth of prominent people willing to connect weather events with climate change. But these are often politicians, celebrities, and  book pushers.  They stand to gain from attention, even if the words they say are not based in fact, so it is not surprising.

Along those lines, this is a bit more troubling. I’d like to share this graphic, which is titled on the published page: “Figure 1.1 Geographical distribution of notable climate anomalies and events occurring around the planet in 2007“.


Click for a larger image

I apologize for the quality of even the large image, as it was scanned from paper.

Here are some of the “climate anomaly” events listed on the graphic:

  • Northeast U.S.A/Southeast Canada – Major winter storm (Feb) Around 300,000 people affected
  • Hurricane Felix (Sep) Max winds 270 km/hr – Second major hurricane in the 2007 season
  • Uganda (Jun) Heaviest rainfall in 35 years
  • China – heaviest snowfall in 56 years (Mar)

And the source for this graphic listing those “climate anomalies”? Read the rest of this entry »