Record cold events around the world in 2007

Below is an opinion from the Washington Times by Geophysicist David Denning, to which I’ve added photos and links to the events he’s written about.
 

A caveat: I caution the reader that annual weather does not equate to long term climate. Yes we have had a number of record cold events in 2007, and the winter in the Northern Hemisphere is already shaping up to be colder than normal. But fortunes of weather can turn on a dime. I’d also point out that we are in a solar minimum right now and predictions of solar cycle 24’s peak range from it being very low (colder) to very high (warmer). The next few years will be telling.

snowbuenosaires.jpg
Snow in Buenos Aires, July 9th, 2007

Year of global cooling

By David Deming
December 19, 2007

South America this year experienced one of its coldest winters in decades. In Buenos Aires, snow fell for the first time since the year 1918. Dozens of homeless people died from exposure. In Peru, 200 people died from the cold and thousands more became infected with respiratory diseases. Crops failed, livestock perished, and the Peruvian government declared a state of emergency.

Unexpected bitter cold swept the entire Southern Hemisphere in 2007. Johannesburg, South Africa, had the first significant snowfall in 26 years. Australia experienced the coldest June ever. In north-eastern Australia, the city of Townsville underwent the longest period of continuously cold weather since 1941. In New Zealand, the weather turned so cold that vineyards were endangered.

Last January, $1.42 billion worth of California produce was lost to a devastating five-day freeze. Thousands of agricultural employees were thrown out of work. At the supermarket, citrus prices soared. In the wake of the freeze, California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger asked President Bush to issue a disaster declaration for affected counties. A few months earlier, Mr. Schwarzenegger had enthusiastically signed the California Global Warming Solutions Act of 2006, a law designed to cool the climate. California Sen. Barbara Boxer continues to push for similar legislation in the U.S. Senate.

In April, a killing freeze destroyed 95 percent of South Carolina’s peach crop, and 90 percent of North Carolina’s apple harvest. At Charlotte, N.C., a record low temperature of 21 degrees Fahrenheit on April 8 was the coldest ever recorded for April, breaking a record set in 1923. On June 8, Denver recorded a new low of 31 degrees Fahrenheit. Denver’s temperature records extend back to 1872.

Recent weeks have seen the return of unusually cold conditions to the Northern Hemisphere. On Dec. 7, St. Cloud, Minn., set a new record low of minus 15 degrees Fahrenheit. On the same date, record low temperatures were also recorded in Pennsylvania and Ohio.

Extreme cold weather is occurring worldwide. On Dec. 4, in Seoul, Korea, the temperature was a record minus 5 degrees Celsius. Nov. 24, in Meacham, Ore., the minimum temperature was 12 degrees Fahrenheit colder than the previous record low set in 1952. The Canadian government warns that this winter is likely to be the coldest in 15 years.

… If you think any of the preceding facts can falsify global warming, you’re hopelessly naive. Nothing creates cognitive dissonance in the mind of a true believer. In 2005, a Canadian Greenpeace representative explained ‘global warming can mean colder, it can mean drier, it can mean wetter.’ In other words, all weather variations are evidence for global warming. I can’t make this stuff up.’

Note from Anthony: That’s what I call CYA forecasting ;-)

No; but others can, and do. However, maybe at long last the penny is dropping. The New Statesman, no less, this week publishes a piece by sensible David Whitehouse which says flatly:… The fact is that the global temperature of 2007 is statistically the same as 2006 as well as every year since 2001. Global warming has, temporarily or permanently, ceased. Temperatures across the world are not increasing as they should according to the fundamental theory behind global warming – the greenhouse effect. Something else is happening and it is vital that we find out what or else we may spend hundreds of billions of pounds needlessly.

… For the past decade the world has not warmed. Global warming has stopped. It’s not a viewpoint or a sceptic’s inaccuracy. It’s an observational fact…. So we are led to the conclusion that either the hypothesis of carbon dioxide induced global warming holds but its effects are being modified in what seems to be an improbable though not impossible way, or, and this really is heresy according to some, the working hypothesis does not stand the test of data.

It was a pity that the delegates at Bali didn’t discuss this or that the recent IPCC Synthesis report did not look in more detail at this recent warming standstill.
A pity indeed, that the entire western ruling class has been taken in by this scam.But now the cavalry appears at last to have arrived. According to this story, a US Senate report documents the opinion of hundreds of prominent scientists from around the world who say global warming and cooling is a cycle of nature and cannot legitimately be connected to man’s activities.The report compiled observations from more than 400 prominent scientists from more than two dozen nations who have voiced objections to the so-called ‘consensus’ on ‘man-made global warming.’ Many of the scientists are current or former participants in the United Nation’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, whose present officials, along with former Vice President Al Gore, have asserted a definite connection.

The new report comes from the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee’s office of the GOP ranking member, and cites the hundreds of opinions issued just in 2007 that global warming and man’s activities are unrelated. [My emphasis]
…‘Many scientists from around the world have dubbed 2007 as the year man-made global warming fears “bite the dust”’, the introduction said. And there probably would be many more scientists making such statements, were it not for the fear of retaliation from those aboard the global-warming-is-caused-by-SUVs bandwagon, the report said.And it details some of this intimidation.

Looks like man-made global warming theory is melting away faster than you can say Al Gore. A lot of reputations are now going to disappear along with it: all those who were part of the famous ‘consensus’ (not).Those people should never be taken seriously again.

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16 thoughts on “Record cold events around the world in 2007

  1. Just watch, the cooling will be cashed in as evidence that the reduction in anthropogenic CO2 has quelled our fatal fever!

  2. “A caveat: I caution the reader that annual weather does not equate to long term climate. ”

    I keep seeing that, or something close to that. (In the rest of this comment you may well think that I am just being argumentative, but I really don’t know enough to do that. I am somewhere between a nebbish and a nobody and I reall would like some clarification.)

    The news hit a while back that a windstorm blew all the ice out of the Northwest Passage (or something like that) and that that event was proof positive that global warming (climate change) was real.

    Now the ice is “growing” back at an (apparently) unprecedented rate, but that is just a local *weather* phenomenon.

    We had uncommon (FSVO “uncommon”) warm weather (or absence of bone chilling cold weather) this past fall–proof positive that global warming (climate change) was afoot.

    No we have sort of ordinary (for my short 17 years here) cold weather and snow on the ground (I have heard “record setting” used in describing some of the cold, ice, and snow, but I’m not so sure of that) but that is just local weather, no big deal. (:”Local” seems to run from New Mexico to Maine and I don’t remember that so much, but ….)

    So the question I have: Is it fair to say that “climate” is the sum (or average, maybe) of “weather” over time?

  3. “A lot of reputations are now going to disappear along with it”

    Insofar as i am able, I do not intend to allow THAT!

    If I have anything to say about it, the names, Gore, Hansen, and Mann are going to be–at least–as well remembered as the names, Malthus, Ehrlich, and Carson.

    Not to mention the names, Watts and McIntyre!

  4. “So the question I have: Is it fair to say that “climate” is the sum (or average, maybe) of “weather” over time?”

    I think I have asked that several times…finally found an answer.

    Since it is from NASA I wonder if I should accept it, even if it does seem right to me.

    http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/noaa-n/climate/climate_weather.html

    Well, this one sentence seems right to me, some of the rest, not so much.

    “The difference between weather and climate is a measure of time. Weather is what conditions of the atmosphere are over a short period of time, and climate is how the atmosphere “behaves” over relatively long periods of time.”

    Anthony: I’d agree with that

  5. I read an article in my local paper on average rainfall, and found they average the last 30 years, adjusting every 5 or 10 years, I forget which, to a new 30 year average- So I guess “climate” is the average weather for the last 30 years.

  6. I read an article in my local paper on average rainfall, and found they average the last 30 years, adjusting every 5 or 10 years, I forget which, to a new 30 year average- So I guess “climate” is the average weather for the last 30 years.

  7. Perth, Western Australia had its coldest December temperature ever recorded this year. After its coldest temperature ever recorded last year (in fact, we broke the coldest ever record, then broke the new record a few days later).

    Otherwise, the issue the warmers get all hot and bothered about is the climate trend. In particular, the accelerating warming trend AGW will cause. Cooling even over a relatively short period (a year or a few years) is a damming refutation of that thesis IMO.

  8. If it’s too hot it’s AGW. If it’s too cold it’s AGW. If it’s just right it’s AGW. They get to eat their porridge and have it, too. Science without the burden of falsifiability. They got all the bases covered.

  9. Although some desparate alarmists may try, cooling cannot be blamed on human activity…especially with still increasing CO2 concentrations. And there’s no way the alarmists will be able to use the cooling as confirmation of reduced CO2 brought on by their planet-saving efforts and awaremess. CO2 concentrations are going up. Instead look for them to turn to global dimming, where there will soon be universal consensus.

  10. Philip_B points out the recent cold spell in Perth, Western Australia. It was bloody cold for summer!
    Right on cue; a few days later, it’s the “hottest it’s ever been” (well, since they’ve been keeping records … about 100 years). Two records in one month. Perhaps it’ll average out to no change. :-)
    As a climate experiment ;-) on that hottest day I hosed down the hot concrete paving slabs then in the shade, but previously in the sun … with the result of an 8 degree C temperature drop until the surrounding air and radiation warmed to within 2 degrees of the previous ambient. Pretty much as expected.
    I’m still puzzled how a transient such as an average temperature can be considered as being representative of thermal state. In temperate climates, it’s often near the average temperature for a very short time of the day; especially during summer. And what about humidity? Enthalphy?
    There seems to be much more wrong than faded paint on Stevenson screens when only transient average temperatures are used to describe the heat content of the climate system.

  11. Bernd,
    I recently read an interesting paper which, I think, addresses some of your question. I’ve pasted the title details at the bottom of the page.

    The title “Does a Global Temperature Exist?”, is just one of the questions that has occured to me.

    On a more practical level, does anyone know of a website where I can find
    companies or people taking bets on predicted future temperatures?
    Spread betting would be good, because then I wouldn’t have to wait too long for large changes not to occur, only for opinions to change.

    And if I’m proved wrong… then it will be a good lesson in humility :))

    Does a Global Temperature Exist?
    Christopher Essex
    Department of Applied Mathematics
    University of Western Ontario
    Ross McKitrick
    Department of Economics
    University of Guelph
    Bjarne Andresen
    Niels Bohr Institute
    University of Copenhagen
    J. Non-Equilibrium Thermodynamics
    (in press, June 2006)

  12. “Although some desparate alarmists may try, cooling cannot be blamed on human activity…especially with still increasing CO2 concentrations. ”

    Actually, I have a hypothesis that the Eenie-Weenie ice Age (1940-1970s) might have at least partially been due to human activities:

    WWII Full-War production, massive numbers of superchrged air raid comtrails, 100 blasted/burned cities, a number of Troposphere-puncturing Firestorms/A-bombs, 1000 surface H-bomb tests (right on top of water or ice).

    I don’t know how it all adds up, but it was largely high-in-the-atmosphere kind of stuff. (Maybe I’ll try to tot it up in some meaningful way. See what the numbers tell me.)

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