Halloween Weirdness in Space – The Great Pumpkin

31 10 2007

I mentioned this a couple of posts back, exploding Comet 17P/Holmes is one of the strangest things in the sky ever but it gets stranger…Last night, astrophotographer Alan Friedman of Buffalo, NY, took a close-up picture of the comet’s core. “A strong deconvolution filter followed by multiple passes of unsharp mask and gaussian blur reveals startling new structure in comet 17P/Holmes.” i.e. after processing the image with Photoshop Here’ what popped out:

Linus would be impressed. The structure is due to outgassing from fissures and crevices in the comet’s core, but it is just a little too coincidentally spooky. Of course we’ve always seen things in the sky that mirror our minds, from constellations to UFO’s,  so why not Halloweeen?

Would you like to see the comet masquerading as the great pumpkin?? Look north after sunset for an expanding fuzzball in the constellation Perseus: sky map. Comet Holmes is about as bright as the stars of the Big Dipper, easy to see with the unaided eye and for backyard telescopes. The Chico Observatory in upper Bidwell Park will also be looking at this object.





Watching Noel

30 10 2007

There is a lot of intense interest out there in watching TS Noel to see if this disorganized system turns into a Hurricane when it hits the warmer waters of the Gulf Stream. Click on the image for an animated version.

Then, place your bets.

The image is from my company, IntelliWeather, and updates every half hour.

UPDATE: Noel did in fact become a hurricane, and now has 80 mph sustained winds, but it appears to be headed out to sea, and into cooler waters where it will likely dissipate.

from NHC advisory 22: …HURRICANE NOEL EXPECTED TO BECOME A LARGE AND POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL STORM OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC ON FRIDAY… NOEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH…32 KM/HR…AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK…NOEL WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE BAHAMAS.

[Image of 3-day forecast, and coastal areas under a warning or a watch]





Upcoming TV special on the Sun – worth watching

28 10 2007

 

Given that the sun is so quiet lately (click image – no sunspots) and there is talk of an ebb in its next solar cycle 24, it bears looking into the details of our primary climate driver.

 The National Geographic Channel has a TV special on the sun, sunspots, climate, etc. They interviewed several people involved in that debate. It includes interviews with Judith Lean, Leif Svalgaard, and others.

It will be shown on the National Geographic Channel. It’s titled: Naked Science ‘Solar Force’.

It goes out on Tuesday 30th October 2007 at 9pm ET and again at midnight ET.
It also rebroadcasts on Thursday 1st November 2007 at 10pm ET.

TV listings can be found on http://channel.nationalgeographic.com/channel/ if you are interested.

UPDATE: description from the NGC website -

The suns energy seems to be constant, but this gigantic nuclear reactor is in a continual state of flux. National Geographic Channel (NGC) reveals the latest scientific information that is uncovering the hidden ways that fluctuations in the suns output influence our climate. See how a radical experiment supports the idea that the suns invisible cosmic rays may have a visible impact on our weather, and find out how a new NASA program could shed new light on how solar wind impacts Earth.





Things that go boom in the sky

28 10 2007

Here’s something you don’t see every day; an exploding comet.  In fact the last time this comet did this was in 1892.

Comet 17P/Holmes is now larger than Jupiter. Astronomer Eric Allen of Quebec’s Observatoire du Cégep de Trois-Rivières combined images he captured on three consecutive nights (Oct. 25, 26 and 27) and placed them beside a picture of Jupiter scaled to the same distance as the comet, as shown above. More at www.spaceweather.com

The comet is visible to the naked eye, and looks even better through a telescope. This would be a good excuse to go visit the Chico Community Observatory in upper Bidwell Park Sunday night and have them swing the telescope by for a look. Or if you want to spot it yourself, here is a sky map.





Helio, La Niña, and bad winters, awww nuts!!

27 10 2007

acorn-mastyear.jpg

While doom and gloom predictions continue about CO2 induced global warming, saying that it now is the largest driver of climate, overwhelming any influences of the suns variation, there appear to be other things happening. There are forecasts emerging for a wet and cold winter.

Lets review. We have a longer than normal solar minimum occurring, and we have a strong La Niña developing too. We have colder water in the Pacific.

Here is a animated view of the growing La Niña. Watch the animation, note the exapnding La Niña off the west coast of South America, note also the expanding pool of cooler water developing the Gulf of Alaska. This will be a key formation point for cold wet storms.

And there are other signs too. Acorns. Have you noticed this year we have an overabundance of acorns? I was walking in Bidwell Park a couple of weeks ago and the ground was covered with them, and they were still raining down like hailstones. I’ve never seen anything like it. This has been what biologists call a “mast year” for valley oaks.

While this may sound a bit like an “Old Farmers Almanac” moment, but I have a theory for it.

Trees are directly in touch with the sun, more so than other living things in the biosphere. Our “valiant” dendroclimatologists, like Michael Mann, point to tree rings as a proxy for earths climate. That may be true, but I think in addition to “treemometers” they also act as helioproxies too.

In a nutshell (ahem); I think it’s highly likely that trees have evolved survival strategies that are based on detecting changes in the sun’s output. It stands to reason that over the billion plus of years that plant life has been on earth and the millions of solar cycles they’ve been through, that they can detect changes in their primary energy source, the sun, and adapt accordingly. Producing abundant acorns could well be such a survival strategy.

We have strong signs of a solar cycle that is late and well below average, a near record low hurricane season, and a strong La Niña emerging.  Now we have valley oaks producing acorns like there is no tomorrow. Maybe we should heed the trees.

h/t Russ Steele at NCwatch for the animation for forecast links





Hurricane season 2007 is near the record low of 1977

24 10 2007

ACE Plot 2007

Florida State University’s COAPS (Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies) says that hurricane season 2007, which ends November 30th, is looking well below normal, in fact they are calling it “historic inactivity”.

According to COAPS: “Unless a dramatic and perhaps historical flurry of activity occurs in the next 11 weeks (ACE is based on calendar year, not traditional June-November hurricane season) , 2007 will rank as a historically inactive Tropical Cyclone year for the entire Northern Hemisphere. During the past 30 years, only 1977, 1981, and 1983 have had less activity to date (Jan-December). For the period of June 1 – October 19, 2007, only 1977 experienced LESS tropical cyclone activity.”

ACE Departure from Climatology thru October 24th, 2007

Northern Hemisphere  -31% **** 316 (458) (Historic inactivity, 16% of season to go)
North Atlantic  -28% **** 63 (87) (Bill Gray wants 4 more (huh?, Season 91% over)
Eastern Pacific  -59% **** 52.2 (128) (Kiko helping out a little, Season 95% over)
Western Pacific  -25% **** 179 (237) (Still 21% of yearly activity to go)

PDI Departure from Climatology thru October 24th 2007
(PDI = Power Dissipation Index)

Northern Hemisphere  -24% **** 29687 (39101)
North Atlantic  -8% **** 6533 (7095) Effects of the Category 5’s
Eastern Pacific  -63% **** 3875 (10510) Includes Kiko
Western Pacific  -18.3% **** 17189 (21037) Includes Kajiki

Here are the named storms so far and their PDI:

Andrea 2.3 (Subtropical)
Barry 3.4
Chantal 2.5
Dean 386
Erin 1.3 (weak weak weak)
Felix 215
Gabrielle 4.0
Humberto 8.2
Ingrid 2.8
Jerry 2.4
Karen 17.2
Lorenzo 6.7
Melissa 1.9

There are some caveats:
Climatology based upon ACE (Bell et al. 2000) from 1970-2006 for each basin. ACE is not a perfect metric and does not account for storm size. Northern Hemisphere includes Northern Indian Ocean after 1976, which accounts for less than 3% of the yearly total. Data quality is a tremendous issue. The NHC declared extratropical observations were not included, which can account for up to 20% a year in additional ACE. The JTWC only started keeping track of EX phases in 2004, so there are literally 1,000 observations since the 1950s that are likely extratropical in the database (as phished out from the JMA database).





How Not to Measure Temperature, Part 33

23 10 2007

Looking SSELooking SSE

Until now, most of the surface temperature measurement stations I’ve highlighted as substandard locations for measuring temperature accurately have been in the USA. Today, courtesy of Geoff Sherrington, we are treated to the sight of the main Australian historic site, Melbourne metropolitan, near LaTrobe St, Melbourne. He reports it has max-min temp records daily since 1855 to late 2007.

Yet look at the pictures, this station is only 2 meters from a sidewalk, and a couple of meters more from a major street intersection and voluminous traffic. Hardly the best place to measure temperature. This site demonstrates the growing trend of climate monitoring stations that have been gradually surrounded by increasingly closer urban influences, and demonstrates that the problem is not unique to the USA.

Here are some additional pictures, click for large versions.

melb-latrobe-south-closer.jpg

melblatrobeswasphalt.jpg

And a satellite image of downtown Melbourne showing the intersection is available at Windows Live Maps

UPDATE: Kristen Brynes has offered a couple of photos she had available taken from different angles of the same site, see them below. Thanks Kristen.

melbourneausnw.jpg

melbourneausse.jpg

Additionally, the Lat/Lon of this station is:

-37.8075, 144.9700

A PDF document from Australias BOM lists the METADATA for this site and is available here





Projects Page Updated

22 10 2007

According to my stat counter, the Projects Page tab above has been getting a regular stream of interest, so it has been updated with relevant content as of today 10/22/07





ABC’s 20/20 John Stossel on Climate Change “Give me a break!”

22 10 2007





My Surfacestations.org project “down under”

22 10 2007

downunder_youtube.jpg
This was forwarded to me by Russ Steele over at NCWatch. Titled: Climate Change – Is CO2 the cause? 

It’s a compelling presentation by Bob Carter of the facts of climate change to a recent public forum in Australia.  He is a research professor in the Marine Geophysical Laboratory at James Cook University, Australia. He’s featuring a “Count the torpedos” element.

My www.surfacestations.org project is highlighted in Part 4. It is gratifying to see my work used by others,

Part1

Part2

Part3

Part4





Pipe Dream or Viable Energy?

19 10 2007

I’m a proponent of alternate energy sources, mostly to get us disengaged from Middle East Oil. Often there are schemes floated to produce alternate energy that just don’t balance out when you sum up the energy in versus energy out. Most corn based biofuel processes fall under that category now, so does nuclear fusion, but that may change someday.

So when something dropped in my inbox today called “cold energy” I was immediately skeptical, because it made me think of “cold fusion”, which was a hoax. This one however may be different and it’s concept is simplicity itself.

It’s another form of wind power, but this one has to do with high and low pressure systems on a synoptic scale. Basically the idea is to build open ended pipes between areas that often have strong pressure gradients, such as the Midwest. This map below gives you and idea of how High and Low pressure centers are often separated in the USA.

surfwind_pipe.jpg

The pressure difference between the two pressure systems would push air down the pipe, and drive a turbine. The turbine would have reversible pitch blades to capture airflow no matter which direction the High to Low pressure gradient was.

A company called Cold Energy LLC is proposing building just such a system. The hold a patent on the concept, and call it Atmospheric Cold Megawatts (ACM). Here is some descriptive text from their website:

Utilizing a revolutionary new process, the ACM technology is capable of generating power at the scale of coal and hydro plants with virtually no environmental externalities. By leveraging the differences in atmospheric pressure at geographically separated locations, wind speeds approaching sonic levels can be generated within ACM pipelines. This energy may then be converted to a variety of desired forms using existing technology.

No fuel is required or consumed to produce the power. No pollutants are introduced into the atmosphere as the result of the generation process. The cost per KWh is a fraction of traditional (and alternative) generation methods. Because there are few moving parts, maintenance costs are minimal and the projected lifespan of installations is considerably longer than any other generation method.

They claim they can produce power at a cost of .03 to 1 cents per kilowatt/hour. Of course the advantages are huge, with there being no environmental impact other than long pipes either above or below ground. Here is how they say it would work out:

ACM is a system for the generation of energy based upon differences in the atmospheric pressure at geographically spaced sites, and comprises at least one long conduit – in the order of many miles long. In operation, the air flow in the conduit will accelerate to a high velocity wind without the consumption of any materials and without the use of any mechanical moving parts. A power converter, such as a wind turbine, in the conduit converts the high wind velocity generated by even small pressure differences into energy of any desired type.

The opposite open ends of the conduit are located at geographically spaced sites, selected on the basis of historical information indicating a useful difference in barometric pressure. A plurality of conduits, each having open ends in different geographically spaced sites, may be interconnected to maximize the existing pressure differences, and will produce higher and more consistent levels of energy production. The ACM conduit configuration of the invention can transform even barometric pressure differences in the order of one tenth pound per square inch into wind velocities in the sonic range.

I think its totally tubular. ;-) But will it work?

UPDATE: It’s a pipe dream, see reader comments, particularly Brendans.





Earth’s Albedo Tells an Interesting Story

17 10 2007

Thanks to one of our commenters (thanks Henry), this unique project called “Earthshine” being done at the Big Bear Solar Observatory has been brought to my attention. The project is simple in concept:

The Earth’s climate depends on the net sunlight deposited on the globe, which is critically sensitive to the Earth’s albedo. A global and absolutely calibrated albedo can be determined by measuring the amount of sunlight reflected from the Earth and, in turn, back to the Earth from the dark portion of the face of the Moon (the `earthshine’ or `ashen light’).  

 Measuring Earth’s Albedo via telescope

What earthshine looks like on the moon, using photo enhancement on the lower left. BBSO uses a blocking filter to dim the moonshine crescent, typically about 10,000 times brighter than the earthshine.

In simple terms, the lower the albedo of the Earth, the greater amount of solar radiation it will absorb. The greater the albedo, the more solar radiation is reflected.  This of course affects earthly temperatures.

The Earthsine project is producing some very interesting results. Notably, that the Earth’s Albedo has risen in the past few years, and by doing reconstructions of the past albedo, it appears that there was a significant reduction in Earth’s albedo leading up to a lull in 1997. 1998 has been touted as one of the warmest years on record, and the time lag may have had to do with the thermal inertia of the oceans. Then the albedo increased, making the earth more reflective. Clouds have the greatest potential for changing albedo on a  short time scale.

earth_albedo_bbso.png

Reconstructed annual reflectance anomalies, Δp* (black) with respect to the mean anomaly for the regression calibration period, 1999-2001 (gray band). The large error bars result from the seasonal variability of the Earth’s albedo, which can be 15-20%. Also plotted (blue) are the ES-observed annual anomalies for 1999-2003 and 1994-1995. The right-hand vertical scale shows the deficit in global SW forcing relative to 1999-2001. The red solid bar represents the accumulated forcing (in W / m2) attributed to the greenhouse gases concentration increase over the last 100 years, from the International Panel for Climate Change (2001).
Image credit: Earthshine Project, BBSO.

The most interesting thing here is that the albedo forcings, in watts/sq meter seem to be fairly large. Larger than that of all manmade greenhouse gases combined:

  • Carbon dioxide: 1.5 Watts per square meter.
  • Methane: 0.5 Watts per square meter.
  • Nitrous oxide: 0.2 Watts per square meter.
  • Halocarbons: 0.2 Watts per square meter.
  • Total from all greenhouse gases: 2.4 Watts per square meter.
  • This rapidly changing albedo lends some credence to Svensmark’s theory of Earth’s cloud cover being modulated by Galactic Cosmic Rays, but it could also be caused by other factors such as aerosols.

    Whatever the cause for the rapid change in albedo, it seems to have quite an effect of earth’s radiation budget. The California Instttute of Technology made a press release in 2004 that summed up the project fairly well:

    Read the rest of this entry »





    All Quiet Alert

    15 10 2007

    “All Quiet Alert” – That sounds like an oxymoron, and maybe it is, but the sun is extremely quiet right now, so much in fact that the Solar Influences Data Center in Belgium has issued an “All quiet alert” on October 5th. Since then, the sunspot number has remained at zero.

    Here is what the sun looks like now:

    Daily Sun: 15 Oct 07

    The sun is blank–no sunspots. Credit: SOHO/MDI

    Click for a larger image.

    There is talk about of an extended solar minimum occurring, or perhaps a recurrence of a Dalton or Maunder type minimum. There are signs that the sun’s activity is slowing. The solar wind has been decreasing in speed, and this is yet another indicator of a slowing in the suns magnetic dynamo. Below are near real-time (updated hourly)dials of Solar Wind speed, Solar Wind Density, and Interplanetary Magnetic Field. More on that later.

    AVG_SPEED AVG_DENS AVG_BTOT
    Credit: Rice Space Institute

    As you may know, the Earth’s magnetosphere is distorted by the solar wind as it blows by. Modulations of the Earth’s magnetopshere are said by Svensmark to cause modulations of GCR’s (Galactic Cosmic Rays) and hence modulation of cloud condensation nuclei, resulting in variations of global cloudiness, and hence surface temperature.

    In the meantime, a review of the Dalton Minimum might be valuable. It appears the when we have a quiet sun, our magnetosphere is not distorted as much, and this allows an increased incidence of GCR’s, resulting in more cloudiness.

    One thing is certain, based on past climate history and solar history, if in fact the suns magnetic activity slows, or collapses and we enter a prolonged period of little or no sunspot activity, we’ll see a global cooling trend. There are a number of theories about and a couple of dozen predictions about solar cycle 24 which has yet to start. One paper by Penn & Livingston in 2006 concludes:

    “If 1500 G represents a true minimum for spot magnetic fields and the field strengths continue to decrease at the rate of 52 G/yr then the number of sunspots in the next solar cycle (cycle 24) would be reduced by roughly half, and there would be very few sunspots visible on the disk during cycle 25.”

    We’ll know more in about six months what the sun decides to do for cycle 24.





    BBC Video on False Claims in Gore’s Inconvenient Truth

    13 10 2007

    BBC news report - click to play video

    As a followup to my post Et tu, Gorus, here is a BBC News report on the 9 items that a British High Court deemed to be false claims in the documentary,  An Inconvenient Truth.





    Et tu, Gorus?

    12 10 2007

    Gore wins the Nobel Peace Prize, and even more surprising, the IPCC also shares the award.


    Why?


    Why would a committee award such a prestigious prize right on the heels of his documentary being proven inaccurate and prone to exaggerations? Coming in the same week that Marion Jones is asked to return medals to the olympics, one has to wonder if such a fate will befall Gore in the future.

    Al Gore’s documentary, An Inconvenient Truth, is being shown in schools in England. But a recent High Court ruling stated the film must be distributed with caveats to prevent “promoting partisan political views”, citing 9 inaccuracies:

    1. Claims of 20 feet sea level rise from Greenland and Antarctica  – Evidence is that will not melt for millennia. 

    2. Rising sea levels causing inundation of Pacific islands – Court observed that this was a false claim.

    3. Gore claims global warming will “shut down the Ocean Conveyor” – the judge said this was “very unlikely”

    4. Graphs showing CO2 versus temperature over 650,000 years were claimed to be an exact fit – The judge said that, “the two graphs do not establish what Mr Gore asserts”.

    5. Snowmelt on Mount Kilimanjaro evidenced global warming – deforestation reducing moisture into upslope winds is the cause.

    6. The film showed drying Lake Chad, claiming caused by global warming – Court determined that this was false. 

    7. Hurricane Katrina was caused by global warming – Court determined it was “not possible” to attribute singular events to global warming. 

    8. Polar bears drowned due to disappearing arctic ice – Gore misread the study: in fact four polar bears drowned due to a particularly violent storm. 

    9. Global warming caused species losses including coral reef bleaching – Court found this claim difficult to support.

    In light of these inaccuracies, there are now calls emerging for the producers of Gore’s film to return the Oscar for “best documentary”.





    USHCN Station Surveys – Completion by State

    11 10 2007

    www.surfacestations.org volunteer Gary Boden has provided me an updated version of the Excel speadsheet I use to chart this project. This version calculates the completion of USHCN surveys by state, as seen below.We could really use some help in Arkansas, Delaware, Illinois, Kansas, Kentucky, Nebraska, North Dakota, and West Virginia. If you live in these states, and can help complete this important survey of offical climate stations, please visit www.surfacestations.org and sign up.

    State  Stations Done   Percentage     
    AL      15       4       27%     
    AZ      25       7       28%     
    AR      15       0        0%     
    CA      54       42      78%     
    CO      25       14      56%     
    CT       4       4      100%     
    DE       5       0        0%     
    FL      22      15       68%     
    GA      23      16       70%     
    ID      28       7       25%     
    IL      36       2        6%     
    IN      36      32       89%     
    IA      23       7       30%     
    KS      31       2        6%     
    KY      13       1        8%     
    LA      18      10       56%     
    ME      12      10       83%     
    MD      17       2       12%     
    MA      12       5       42%     
    MI      24      15       63%     
    MN      33      29       88%     
    MS      32       6       19%     
    MO      26       0        0%     
    MT      44       9       20%     
    NE      46       1        2%     
    NV      13       5       38%     
    NH       5       4       80%     
    NJ      12       1        8%     
    NM      28       3       11%     
    NY      59       9       15%     
    NC      29      13       45%     
    ND      24       0        0%     
    OH      26      11       42%     
    OK      45       3        7%     
    OR      41      17       41%     
    PA      24       4       17%     
    RI       3       2       67%     
    SC      29      12       41%     
    SD      25       7       28%     
    TN      15       2       13%     
    TX      48       9       19%     
    UT      40      18       45%     
    VT       7       6       86%     
    VA      19       6       32%     
    WA      44      33       75%     
    WV      13       0       0%     
    WI      23      11       48%     
    WY      30       6       20%     
    TOTAL 1221     422     





    Surfacestations.org updated, now at 800 mark

    10 10 2007

    With 421 stations surveyed, we now stand at 800 stations remaining to be surveyed. The rate of surveying slowed during the month of September, which is to be expected as people end summer vacations, start school, and other end of summer activities. I expect we’ll see it pick up in the weeks ahead as people get back to new routines.

    One notable: we are down to the final seven stations from California. I recently did Weaverville and Orleans, but have not written them up yet. That leaves Blythe, Brawley, Cedarville, Death Valley, Fresno, Livermore, Needles, San Luis Obispo, and Tejon Rancho. I’m particularly interested in Tejon Rancho since it is a benchmark station that has been unchanged virtually since its beginning. Alas, it’s on private property, and they don’t seem interested in providing access. So if anyone has an “in” with the Tejon Ranch company, please let me know.

    If you are considering doing a station survey, please check the USHCN masterlist at www.surfacestations.org to see what is available.





    Camille Paglia on “fancy-pants, speculative, climate models”

    10 10 2007

    Camille Paglia is listed as one of the top 100 intellectuals in the world today, in fact she’s at number 20.  So, it is with some surprise that I read her response to a question on climate change in a column on Salon.com. See page two on this link.

    The computer models make predictions based on a mathematical estimate of how our planet works. All well and good. But as a TV and Radio Meteorologist who’s job its been for 25 years now to delivery timely forecasts to the public, I’d point out that my work relies on computer models every day used to forecast weather days ahead. How often are they right? Well how often is it that I nail a forecast perfectly one week in advance?

    How often do you hear me telling you what the weather will be two weeks from now, or a month from now? I don’t do those things. Yet surprisingly, computer weather forecast models exist for those time periods, but they aren’t often correct. Chaos theory doesn’t lend itself well to computer modeling of weather forecasting, and it isn’t taken into account in climate modeling, which tends towards more linear processes. One of the biggest criticisms of climate models, such as NASA/James Hansens Model E, is that it doesn’t handle clouds at all well in it’s calculations.

    Here’s what Camille says about climate modeling: (H/T Lon Glazner)

    Commenter: I too grew up in upstate New York. I am an environmental groundwater geologist (who almost majored in fine arts). Your take on the Al Gore/global warming pseudo-catastrophe was right on target. Anyone can read up on Holocene geology and see that climate changes are caused by polar wandering and magnetic reversals. It is entertaining, yet sad to read bloviage from Leonardo DiCaprio, who is so self-centered that he thinks the earth’s history and climate is a function of his short personal stay on this planet. Still he, Al Gore, Prince Charles and so on, ad nauseam, continue with their jet-set lifestyles. What hypocrisy!

    Hanson

    Camille Paglia: Thank you for your input on the mass hysteria over global warming. The simplest facts about geology seem to be missing from the mental equipment of many highly educated people these days. There is far too much credulity placed in fancy-pants, speculative computer modeling about future climate change. Furthermore, hand-wringing media reports about hotter temperatures in the Northern Hemisphere are rarely balanced by acknowledgment of the recent cold waves in South Africa and Australia, the most severe in 30 years.

    Where are the intellectuals in this massive attack of groupthink? Inert, passive and cowardly, the lot of them. True intellectuals would be alarmed and repelled by the heavy fog of dogma that now hangs over the debate about climate change. More skeptical voices need to be heard. Why are liberals abandoning this issue to the right wing, which is successfully using it to contrast conservative rationality with liberal emotionalism? The environmental movement, whose roots are in nature-worshipping Romanticism, is vitally important to humanity, but it can only be undermined by rampant propaganda and half-truths.





    Biofuels hit the wall

    9 10 2007

    Just a short while ago, biofuels seemed like they’d be a great alternative for some petroleum based fuels. But in the last year, we’ve seen the demand for corn skyrocket, and issues are being raised about balance between biofeuls and the demand for food supply. This story from PlanetArk.com indicates that there appears to be a finite limit to biofuels close at hand.

    BIOFUELS: ANOTHER GREEN DREAM IS FADING QUICKLY
    by Nao Nakanishi

    HONG KONG – The earth is too small to accommodate all the biofuels projects envisioned for the globe, and this raises doubts whether green fuels will ever play a big role in weaning the world off crude oil.

    The idea of producing an endless supply of inexpensive fuel from what sprouts from the soil seemed almost too good to be true for a world worried about global warming, caused in part by the burning of fossil fuels.
    And perhaps it is. It has become increasingly clear that it will not be possible to grow enough crops to cover global demand for food and fuel, especially as water is becoming scarce and pressure is mounting from the environmental lobby to conserve tropical rainforests and wildlife.

    Over the past year, a biofuel boom worldwide has already sharply boosted agricultural prices, sparking worries over food supply as the world’s population continues to grow.

    David Jackson, an analyst at LMC International Ltd in London, calculated that the world would need an additional 100 million hectares of farmland if all countries were to blend 5 percent of biofuels into the cars — as many envisage by 2015.

    The required land, about half the size of Indonesia, would match roughly the total additional land available for farming on earth, including remote areas of Africa or Brazil.
    Read the rest of this entry »





    Gore to share Nobel Peace Prize with Canadian

    9 10 2007

    According to Investors Business Daily, Al Gore will be awarded the Nobel Peace prize and share it with Canadian climate researcher Sheila Watt-Cloutier.

    IBD writes: “…a couple of global warming alarmists. With dozens of wars raging, the committee couldn’t find a single person laboring honorably for peace?”

    Meanwhile:

    “Court Identifies Eleven Inaccuracies in Al Gore’s ‘An Inconvenient Truth’” – “Here’s something American media are virtually guaranteed to not report: a British court has determined that Al Gore’s documentary “An Inconvenient Truth” contains at least eleven material falsehoods.”

    Looks like Al will be the first “warmmonger” to win a Peace prize by pitching a faulty slide show.

    I wonder if, should we see a global cooling period in about 20 years as solar activity wanes as the sunspot cycle takes a big dip, if the Nobel committee will ask for that Peace Prize back like the Olympic Committee did for sprinter Marion Jones?